AAPL EARNINGS TRADE SIGNAL (JULY 31)
### ๐ AAPL EARNINGS TRADE SIGNAL (JULY 31) ๐
๐ **AAPL Call Play** โ Earnings Strategy
๐ง Multi-model conviction: **75% Bullish Bias**
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### ๐ Fundamental Drivers
โ
TTM Revenue: +5.1%
โ
Gross Margin: 46.6%
โ
8 straight earnings beats
โ ๏ธ Sector shift: growth โ value = caution
๐ TTM EPS Est: \$8.31 (+29.4% growth est.)
๐งฎ **Score**: 8/10
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### ๐ฐ Options Flow Breakdown
๐ฅ IV Rank: 0.70
๐ต Bullish OI @ \$220C = 25,950 contracts
๐ป Skew: Heavy puts @ \$197.5 / \$200
โ ๏ธ Gamma squeeze possible near \$220
๐ **Score**: 8/10
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### ๐ Technicals
๐ RSI: 39.3 (Oversold)
๐ Trading below 20DMA (\$211.64)
๐ฅ Low volume pre-earnings = low conviction
๐ Support: \$207.5 | Resistance: \$220
๐ **Score**: 6/10
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### ๐ Macro Setup
โ ๏ธ Supply chain pressures
โ ๏ธ Regulatory risk ongoing
๐ Growth โ Value rotation still underway
๐ **Score**: 5/10
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### ๐ง Trade Setup (Call Option)
* ๐ฏ **Strike**: \$220
* ๐ต **Entry**: \$0.87
* ๐
**Expiry**: 08/01 (2DTE)
* ๐ **Target**: \$2.61
* ๐ **Stop**: \$0.43
* โ๏ธ **Risk**: 2% of portfolio
* โฐ **Timing**: Enter before close, report after market
๐งฎ Expected Move: ยฑ5.0%
๐ Confidence Level: 75%
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### โ๏ธ Exit Plan
โ
Profit: Exit @ \$2.61
โ Stop: Exit @ \$0.43
๐ Time Exit: Force close within 2 hours post-earnings
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๐ฃ **EARNINGS SCALP PLAY**
โ AAPL is oversold w/ strong EPS beat history
โ Bullish OI stacking at \$220
โ High gamma setup, low IV risk = ๐ฅ
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Aaplearnings
AAPL Apple Options Ahead Of Earnings Last AAPL chart was pretty accurate:
Now looking at the AAPL Apple options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $140 strike price Puts with
2023-2-17 expiration date for about
$3.35 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.




