Aaveusdt
AAVE: The Squeeze Is OnWe're watching a textbook compression pattern on AAVE—price trapped between ascending support at $173.25 and descending resistance at $198.53. These narrowing wedges don't last forever. The question isn't if it breaks, it's which direction and how violently. Current price: $175.48.
1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉
• Wedge Compression: Ascending support at $173.25 (4 touches from $80.01) vs descending resistance at $198.53 (8 touches from $237.08)
• Trend Structure: Trading below all three major EMAs (20/50/200)—path of least resistance is down
• Rejection Signal: Massive 75.8% upper wick shows aggressive selling pressure defending higher prices
• Volume Context: 50% below average ($51k vs $101k)—no conviction behind bounce attempts
2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️
Bearish Signals:
• MACD bearish and diverging further negative (-1.98 vs -1.70 signal)
• ADX at 30.3 confirms moderate trend strength pointing south
• Bearish order block overhead at $193.18-$186.41 acting as supply ceiling
• Lower high structure with deteriorating momentum
Bullish Signals:
• RSI at 32 screaming oversold
• Stochastic at 16.6 in extreme territory
• Ascending trendline at $173.25 has held for months
The Conflict:
We're oversold, but oversold can stay oversold in a trending market. Weak volume means any bounce lacks conviction. The trendline is the last line of defense.
3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯
🔴 Scenario A: Breakdown (Primary Path - 68% Confidence)
• Trigger: Rejection at $177-$179 zone (EMA20 resistance)
• Entry: Break below ascending trendline at $173.25
• Target 1: $169.36 (swing low + bullish OB top)
• Target 2: $162.19 (strong support low)
• Stop: 4H close above $193.18
• R/R: ~1:0.5 on first target, but probability-weighted favorable
🟢 Scenario B: Bullish Reversal (Alternative)
• Trigger: 4H close above $193.18 (flips bearish OB to support)
• Entry: Retest of $193.18 as support with volume confirmation
• Target: $210.36 (bullish change of character)
• Invalidation: Failure to hold $193.18 on retest
MY VERDICT
The higher probability play is watching for breakdown below $173.25 and riding it toward $169.36. We've got alignment—bearish structure, deteriorating momentum, weak volume, rejection wicks. But that ascending trendline is the make-or-break level. If it holds with a volume spike, I'd reassess quickly. Until then, the setup favors the downside.
Are you fading this oversold condition or playing the breakdown? What's your read on that $173.25 trendline?
AAVE ANALYSIS (1D)Hello everyone.
Today I'm going to examine AAVE.
As you can see after a five upward impulsive wave, AAVE has faced a double Zig-Zag correction.
The reason why this pattern is a Double Zig-Zag is simply because the first A-B-C correction was not enough. Therefore another Zig-Zag correction was needed.
This kind of corrections only appears in the market when the main correction wave is not enough to balance the price according to the last impulsive wave.
There are two scenarios comes forward;
First: If it's a double Zig-Zag correction, there is always another possibility that this pattern could turn itself into a triple Zig-Zag. In this case, the mini wedge pattern you see on the chart will break the last low and create a way deeper correction. Target of a possible triple Zig-Zag is marked on the chart.
Bullish scenario: If the double Zig-Zag has ended which is what I'm seeing at the moment, the 4H ascending wedge you see on the chart will create a leading diagonal and a higher high, which will be seen as wave 2 for another five wave upward impulsive move. That's the opportunity you can't afford to miss.
Fortunately, the risk management comes very easy when Elliott patterns are clear.
If you're looking for a swing long position in here your stop-loss should be last low, just below the Wave Y. To make it better, wait for a daily candle close below it, so you won't be hunted for liquidity grabs.
Target of the possible wave 3 is marked on the chart as well.
AAVEUSD — SHORT IDEA (BEARISH ORDER FLOW)Price is trading at premium levels and reacting from a strong supply zone.
Buy-side liquidity has already been taken, which suggests smart money distribution.
Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk
Invalidation if price hits the target before triggering entry, as this is a more conservative entry.
Bulls Flexing StrengthHey guys, AAVE is setting up one of those textbook bullish continuation patterns that makes you sit up and pay attention.
The current price of $199.14 sits right in the equilibrium zone, perfectly balanced between premium and discount levels. What's immediately striking is the clean higher low formation that's been confirmed, with price holding firmly above all major moving averages. The EMA20 at $197.14, EMA50 at $196.87, and EMA200 at $193.39 are all stacked bullishly beneath current price, creating a support ladder that's characteristic of strong uptrends. This alignment doesn't happen by accident - it's the result of sustained buying pressure and institutional accumulation.
The ADX reading of 53.3 is absolutely critical to understanding the current market state. This indicator measures trend strength, and anything above 25 signals a trending market rather than choppy consolidation. At 53.3, we're looking at a strong, established trend that has momentum behind it. When you pair this with the MACD showing powerful bullish divergence (0.6012 vs 0.0205 signal line), the technical picture becomes crystal clear. The MACD histogram is expanding positively, indicating accelerating bullish momentum rather than a weakening trend.
The RSI at 68.7 is approaching overbought territory but hasn't reached extreme levels yet. This is actually ideal for continuation setups - we want to see strength, not weakness. The RSI has room to push into the 70-80 zone during strong trending moves, so this reading suggests we're in the middle of a move rather than at an exhausted top. The MFI at 66.8 confirms that money flow is supporting this price action, with capital flowing into AAVE rather than exiting.
From a Smart Money Concepts perspective, this setup gets even more interesting. Price is currently trading above a bullish order block that spans $196.09 to $197.71. This zone represents an area where institutions likely accumulated positions during the previous move up, and it's now acting as a demand zone. Order blocks are one of the most reliable SMC concepts because they mark areas where smart money has shown their hand. The fact that we're holding above this level suggests institutional support remains intact.
There's also an unfilled bullish Fair Value Gap sitting at $195.26-$195.54. FVGs represent inefficiencies in price action where the market moved too quickly, leaving behind an imbalance. These gaps act as magnets - if we see any pullback, this $195.26-$195.54 zone would be an ideal area for smart money to add to positions. It's essentially a discount entry point within the broader uptrend.
The bearish order block at $204.48-$199.70 represents the immediate supply zone we need to reclaim. This is where sellers previously showed strength, and reclaiming this zone with volume would be a significant bullish signal. A break above $204.48 with expanding volume would likely trigger stops and fuel a move toward the swing high at $206.80.
The market structure is showing higher lows, which is the definition of an uptrend. The recent swing low at $189.16 held firm, and the even stronger low at $186.85 provides an additional backstop. The Bollinger Bands show price trading above the middle band at $195.32, with the upper band at $202.02 within striking distance. When price walks the upper Bollinger Band in a strong trend, it often signals continuation rather than reversal.
Volume analysis reveals current levels at $19,995 versus an average of $22,867. While this is slightly below average, it's not concerning given we're in a consolidation phase. What we want to see is volume expansion as price approaches the $204.48 resistance zone. A breakout on declining volume would be suspect, but a breakout with volume above $25,000+ would confirm institutional participation. The 24h volume of $161 million shows healthy overall interest in AAVE.
The wick analysis is particularly revealing. The lower wick represents 24.9% of the candle range, while the upper wick is only 11%. This asymmetry tells a story - buyers are aggressively defending lower prices (creating large lower wicks), while sellers aren't showing the same aggression at higher prices (small upper wicks). This imbalance in supply and demand dynamics typically precedes upside moves.
For a complete trading setup, here's how I'd approach this: Entry zone is $197-199, with aggressive traders potentially entering at current levels given the strong technical backdrop. More conservative traders might wait for a pullback to the $195.26-$195.54 bullish FVG for a better risk-reward entry. The stop loss should be placed below $188.00 - a 4H close beneath the discount zone at $188.09 would invalidate the bullish market structure and break the higher low formation. This isn't just a random percentage-based stop; it's a structural level where the thesis breaks.
Target the swing high at $206.80 for TP1, which represents a 3.85% move from current levels. If we get a clean breakout above $206.80 with volume confirmation, look for extension targets at $210 and potentially $215 based on measured moves. The risk-reward on this setup is approximately 1:2.5 from current levels, which is solid for a continuation play. If entering from the FVG around $195, the R:R improves to nearly 1:4.
The confidence level on this setup is 78% - high conviction but not maximum. What keeps this from being a 90%+ setup is the slightly below-average volume and the fact that we're in equilibrium rather than deep discount. The ideal scenario would be a quick wick down to $195 on a volume spike (liquidity grab), followed by immediate reclaim and push through $204.48. That would be the textbook smart money playbook.
Alternative scenarios to consider: if price rejects hard at the $204.48 bearish order block without volume confirmation, we could see a deeper pullback to the $195.26 FVG or even the $189.16 swing low. This wouldn't invalidate the bullish thesis unless we close below $188.00. Consolidation between $197-204 for another 12-24 hours would actually be healthy, allowing the RSI to cool off slightly before the next leg up.
What are you thinking here? Are you waiting for a pullback to the FVG for a better entry, or taking the trade at current levels given the strong momentum?
AAVE/USDT — Critical Demand Zone 135–120: Reversal Signal?AAVE/USDT (3D) is developing a highly interesting structure after delivering a strong rebound from the major demand zone at 135–120, an area that has historically served as a large accumulation region for institutional players since 2023.
The long downward wick — clearly a liquidity sweep — shows how the market wiped out stop-losses beneath the zone before snapping back upward. This kind of wick is rarely random; it often signals smart money accumulation exactly where retail traders panic.
Still, despite the sharp recovery toward 180–190, the broader market structure remains in a pattern of Lower Highs, which means the medium-term trend is still technically bearish. AAVE is now positioned at a major inflection point: Is this the beginning of a structural reversal, or only a temporary bounce before another leg down?
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🔵 Bullish Scenario — Reversal Begins Above 205
The bullish case gains real validity only if price can break and close above the 195–205 resistance cluster on the 3D timeframe.
A decisive breakout here would mark the first Higher High in months and potentially flip the trend.
If the breakout holds, upside targets include:
Target 1: 265–305 (major supply zone)
Target 2: 380–400 (macro swing high)
Target 3: 440+ if DeFi momentum expands
Key bullish confirmations:
Increasing buy volume during the breakout
Strong 3D candle close above 205
A clean retest of 195–205 turning into support
If these align, a full trend reversal becomes increasingly probable.
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🔴 Bearish Scenario — Breakdown Below 120
The bearish case becomes dominant if price fails to defend the 135–120 demand block and instead closes firmly below 120 on the 3D timeframe.
If that happens, the mid-term downtrend likely resumes with the following targets:
Target 1: 99–84
Target 2: 70 (previous liquidity sweep low)
Target 3: 62 if capitulation expands
This scenario would suggest that the prior liquidity sweep was not a reversal signal but rather preparation for a deeper markdown phase.
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📌 Key Patterns & Structural Notes
Liquidity Sweep: The long wick beneath the demand zone signals wiped-out liquidity and possible institutional absorption.
135–120 Demand Block: A crucial accumulation area that currently serves as the final defense for buyers.
Lower High Structure: Trend remains bearish until 205+ is reclaimed.
Range Market: Price is currently oscillating within a broader 120–225 range; a breakout of either side will determine the next macro move.
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🎯 Final Summary
AAVE is now at one of its most important decision zones of the past year.
Break above 205 → bullish trend shift
Break below 120 → bearish continuation and deeper lows
Until one of these triggers is activated, AAVE remains in accumulation/consolidation mode, preparing for its next major directional move. Swing traders typically wait for one of these confirmations before entering large positions.
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#AAVE #AAVEUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyDemand #LiquiditySweep #DeFi #Altcoins #CryptoMarket
AAVE Holding Strong — Watching for Breakout Reaction Toward $250AAVE / USDT is holding strong above the marked horizontal levels. If price reacts with clear strength from this zone, it could offer a solid opportunity for a move towards $250–$320. Wait for clean confirmation before entering and manage risk wisely.
AAVE Update🚨📊 AAVE Update
AAVE has formed a double bottom pattern,
which is normally a strong bullish reversal signal —
but we still have a red resistance zone 🔴
sitting right above the price.
This red zone is acting as a strong ceiling,
and price must break above it
for the double bottom to fully confirm and momentum to continue higher.
Until that breakout happens,
upside stays limited and sellers remain active at this zone.
AAVE price analysisAfter nearly 5–6 months of waiting, CRYPTOCAP:AAVE has reached the $146 target, followed by a constructive rebound. The brief volatility spike on October 10–11 doesn’t change the broader structure.
From a fundamental perspective, CRYPTOCAP:AAVE remains one of the more robust DeFi assets. Price stability is notable considering the complete absence of ETF-related hype — which means any future catalyst could amplify the move.
If market conditions improve, OKX:AAVEUSDT has a reasonable probability of retesting the $500–600 ATH zone.
What’s your view: is CRYPTOCAP:AAVE preparing for a mid-term trend expansion or is the asset likely to stay in accumulation?
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
#AAVE Bears Ready For Further Downside | Must Watch For Bears Yello Paradisers! Are you watching what’s unfolding on #AAVEUSDT right now? Because if you’re not, this could catch you completely off guard. There’s a potential bearish breakdown brewing that could send #AAVE into much deeper territory. Let’s dive in before it's too late:
💎#AAVE has been trading inside a symmetrical triangle, caught between a descending resistance and ascending support. Each test of the upper boundary has been weaker, showing fading bullish momentum. Now, we’re pressing against the lower support line with sellers gaining control.
💎The current price is $222, and we’re right on the edge. A confirmed breakdown below the ascending support will flip the entire structure bearish. The 50 EMA is now acting as resistance, reinforcing this downward pressure and aligning with the broader setup.
💎If this bearish scenario confirms, the next downside target becomes the Support Zone around $195–180, but the real liquidity lies deeper. A sharp move could easily send #AAVEUSD into the Strong Demand Zone between $133–123, where we expect stronger buyers to finally show up.
💎However, this setup is invalidated if #AAVE breaks back above the Resistance Zone at $263. That would signal strength and likely trigger a fast bullish reversal targeting higher levels above $280.
Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
AAVE/USDT – New Volume Box Activation🔹 AAVE/USDT – New Volume Box Activation
AAVE is forming a new volume box structure between $203 – $385, showing renewed momentum after the last low recovery. Price is currently stabilizing around the lower range with growing volume, suggesting early accumulation activity.
As long as AAVE holds above the $200 support zone, we follow for a possible continuation inside this box. The first target for structure development sits around $322, followed by $385 as the main breakout resistance level.
The setup remains active as long as the current momentum and volume stay consistent — confirmation on lower time frames will define the strength of the next move.
TradeCityPro | AAVE: Trendline Squeeze, Breakout Loading👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review the AAVE coin for you—one of the lending projects in the Ethereum ecosystem, currently ranked 32 on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $3.36 billion.
⏳ 4H Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, this coin started a downtrend after being rejected from the 301.39 zone and, together with a descending trendline, has been moving downward.
✔️ Price has now reached it again, faked it once, and is still ranging around this trendline.
✨ If the trendline is broken and price holds above its trigger, it can begin an upward move.
⚡️ The trigger we have to confirm the start of this move is the 234.24 zone. With the break of this trigger, we can also use it to open a long position.
📊 The next resistance levels this coin has are 261.25 and 302.18, each of which can be used as the next trigger for a long position.
💥 For a short position, the main floor that has formed is 202.86. A break of this level will be a very good trigger for a short position.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
AAVE/USDT;BUY LIMITHello friends
Given the price reaching the specified support and the strong support of the price by buyers in the specified range and the failure of the specified resistance, we can buy in steps with risk and capital management and move to the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
AAVE Near Crucial Support, Setting Stage for 14% Bounce to 326$Hello✌️
Let’s analyze Aave’s price action both technically and fundamentally 📈.
🔍Fundamental analysis:
Aave’s next big update (V4) will make its markets more connected and efficient. If it succeeds like the last upgrade, AAVE’s value could move toward $326 again. 💧
📊Technical analysis:
BINANCE:AAVEUSDT is approaching a key monthly support area. If this zone holds, price could see a potential 14% rebound toward the 326 level, with confirmation coming from sustained buying momentum around support. 📊💎
📈Using My Analysis to Open Your Position:
You can use my fundamental and technical insights along with the chart. The red and green arrows on the left help you set entry, take-profit, and stop-loss levels, serving as clear signals for your trades.⚡️ Also, please review the TradingView disclaimer carefully.🛡
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AAVE Breakdown from wave 5 wedge. Whats next?Local Analysis / Targets / Elliot Wave
CRYPTOCAP:AAVE broke down out of the wave (5) of 1 wedge per my previous analysis reaching the paths first target to find support the daily 200EMA and S1 pivot point. If price continues lower I expect it to bounce first before delivering a final thrust down in wave C of 2.
The major support High Volume Node, $210, is the target at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. Further breakdown brings up the golden pocket and S2 pivot, $175, and the alt-coin ‘golden pocket’ sits at $149 the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. This is the most common area for alt-coin pull backs to terminate and a characteristic area for low volume, highly volatile assets in general due to the psychology as I discuss on my Fibonacci tutorial on YouTube.
RSI is making its way down into oversold but has plenty of room to fall with no bullish divergence yet.
Standard Deviation Band Analysis
Standard deviation bands are non-normally distributed unlike the renko chart shared in yesterdays report when time is removed. Price continues to spend way to much time at extremes with fast movement through the fait value zone. Bands are shifting significantly positive as time goes on due to price spending so much time in th eupper boundaries. This is a good sign of strength, dips remain shallow showing strong demand.
Price is testing the SD+2 threshold as support now and losing this would bring up the next target of the fair value regression line at $150 which adds confluence to the alt-coin ‘golden pocket’ targets in the technical analysis.
Safe trading
AAVEUSDT – Quick Dip Play?Hi everyone! Today I’m eyeing a possible slight move down on AAVEUSDT. Plan is simple: tight stop-loss, risking just 0.5% of the account — no greed here.
On the 4H timeframe, EMAs are tightening, which often leads to a strong move in either direction. Fundamentally, the bias still leans bullish after yesterday’s news, but we might get a small dip first before any pump.
Risk is balanced — more of a 50/50 setup — so discipline is key. Let’s see how it plays out. Good luck! 🍀
AAVE/USD - Bearish OutlookBINANCE:AAVEUSDT AAVE/USD - Looking for strong bearish around Trendline and Resistance Zone.
Fundamental Update :
Decentralized liquidity protocol Aave announced it had surpassed $60 billion in net deposits, scammers launched a phishing campaign targeting its users through Google Ads, according to security researchers.
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