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AB-CD

GOLD → Neutral price channel... Waiting for news FX:XAUUSD is testing the lower boundary of the 4060 channel and rebounding, maintaining moderate fluctuations in anticipation of key US data. Focus on 4040 - 4100... The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has risen to 74% following comments by J. Williams The unusual situation surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict means that any hints of de-escalation could trigger a correction in the metal... The trading week will be relatively short, as Thursday and Friday are public holidays in the US, and the market may see reduced volatility. Focus on the following news: - PPI (forecast +0.3%) and US retail sales - Q3 GDP and PCE index (inflation) Gold remains sensitive to Fed comments and geopolitics. Strong data could lower expectations for policy easing. A breakout is likely after the release of inflation data and GDP. Rising odds of a rate cut in December limit downside potential. Resistance levels: 4100, 4111 Support levels: 4040, 4024 Gold is being held within its current trading range. The last four trading sessions indicate uncertainty about the future direction. In this case, it is worth considering trading within the current boundaries first. I expect a retest of resistance and a subsequent downward rebound. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
24
GOLD → Mixed data forms a symmetrical triangle FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off support at 4030, with bulls trying to maintain the current trend. The fundamental backdrop is currently weak for gold, which is why there are bears in the market. The PMI report is coming up... Mixed US employment data (NFP growth to 119K, but unemployment rose to 4.4%) has created uncertainty. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December remains at 40%. Fed officials remain cautious, warning of the risks of premature easing. Focus on the 4070-4082 area and local trend resistance... Gold is awaiting new signals from PMI data. A breakout of the range is likely if there are significant deviations from forecasts (Manufacturing PMI: 52, Services PMI: 54.8) Technically, a symmetrical triangle is forming on the chart, which could keep the market within its boundaries if the fundamental background remains unchanged. However, a breakout of either boundary could trigger a distribution in the direction of the break Resistance levels: 4080, 4110 Support levels: 4040, 4030, 4006 In the medium term, gold currently looks weak. The reaction to support is weakening, a cascade of levels and a downward resistance line are forming. The market may test the 4080 area, but if the PMI is weak, gold will return to attack the trend support. However, a break above 4082 and a close above this zone could give us a chance for growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
20
NZDUSD → The hunt for liquidity. Bearish trend...FX:NZDUSD is forming a correction towards consolidation after updating its global minimum. Bears may play aggressively against the backdrop of a strong dollar. The dollar is quite strong after Thursday's news. After retesting resistance, the index is not falling, but is gathering strength and may continue to grow. The global trend is downward. After a long consolidation, the currency pair is breaking support and updating its low. The market sentiment is bearish. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD may continue to decline after retesting resistance at 0.560 and a false breakout... Resistance levels: 0.5606, 0.5635 Support levels: 0.555, 0.55 A false breakout, lack of bullish momentum, and price consolidation below 0.56 could trigger a further decline in price within the current trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Waiting for NFP... High importance level!FX:XAUUSD is stagnating ahead of the news. The market is in a phase of uncertainty, with long shadows and short candlestick bodies. The key factor will be the US employment data for September. We have not seen unemployment data for more than seven weeks, which makes this data highly significant. Complete uncertainty. Significant deviations from forecasts could significantly change expectations for Fed rates. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December fell to 33% after the publication of the minutes, in which the regulator expressed concerns about inflation. The market expects 50K jobs to be created in September, compared to 22K in August. The unemployment rate is forecast at 4.3%, with wage growth at 3.7% year-on-year. The further dynamics of gold depend on the NFP data. Weaker indicators may reinforce expectations of Fed policy easing and support price growth, while strong data will put pressure on the metal Resistance levels: 4082 - 4111 Support levels: 4040, 4006 In the current circumstances, having only one scenario means narrowing your view of the situation as much as possible. The market can be aggressive on news. Weak data could lock the price within the current range (trading between graces). However, a breakout of resistance at 4082 - 4111 and a close above this level could trigger growth. Otherwise, a breakdown and consolidation below 4040 could break the current bullish trend and trigger a sell-off to 3930 (especially against the backdrop of the Fed's weak but hawkish stance). Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
GOLD → Market support, exit from consolidationFX:XAUUSD is feeling market support ahead of the news. The price is rebounding from trend support, breaking through strong resistance and enjoying high interest from bulls... The rise in demand for defensive assets is driven by concerns about the overvaluation of technology stocks and weak US labor market data. The number of applications for unemployment benefits rose significantly in October. Private employers cut jobs for four weeks. The Fed minutes may show disagreement over the regulator's future policy, and the probability of a rate cut in December is estimated at 50/50. The market's attention is focused on September NFP data (forecast: +50K). Gold is awaiting signals from the Fed and employment data. The Fed's cautious stance and weak NFP data could support further price growth. Resistance levels: 4145 - 4211 Support levels: 4097, 4082, 4055 Gold is entering a long zone. Any correction could be a good opportunity to enter the market. Pay attention to key support levels for trend trading... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
SOLANA → Hunting for liquidity in a weak market BINANCE:SOLUSDT is forming a countertrend correction. Zone of interest: 140.0–143.5. The lack of bullish potential and positive fundamentals could cause another decline... Bitcoin is extremely weak, with the price testing the 90K zone. There is panic in the market. Against the backdrop of a bear market, altcoins may enter a phase of “liquidity hunting” before another decline. Solana's price on D1 broke through fairly strong support at 141.3-138.5. The trend is bearish, and the breakout of support confirms the weakness of buyers (strength of sellers) at the moment. SOL is updating its low to 129 and forming a pullback. As part of the current correction, the price may test the liquidity zone formed by yesterday's surge in volume - 140.5 - 143.3 Resistance levels: 139.0, 140.2, 143.3 Support levels: 135.67, 129.3 Consolidation is forming above the support range - 135.67. Most likely, bulls may flood the volume and provoke another rise to the liquidity zone, but there may not be enough potential for continued growth. A false breakout and lack of bullish momentum could trigger a decline to 135.5 - 129.3. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
8
GBPJPY → Attempt to reverse the local trend to bullish FX:GBPJPY breaks the structure of the local downtrend amid the fall of the Japanese yen. The price may continue the global bullish trend... The yen continues to fall, the pound is rising. A breakout of the trend resistance is forming. The global trend is bullish. Key support is 203.500 - 203.260. Consolidation above this zone will confirm the bullish structure and may support further growth. If the bulls keep the price above 203.500, it could trigger growth. Resistance levels: 204.06, 205.32 Support levels: 203.52, 203.26 There is a battle between the bulls and bears for the 203.5 area. Consolidation is forming above 203.0, confirming the importance of the current zone. Now the focus is on the bulls; if they can keep the price above 203.5, the growth will continue. Otherwise, the price may test support... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
GBPCHF → Countertrend correction. Retest of resistance FX:GBPCHF is testing key resistance at 1.0515 as part of a countertrend correction. Bears are behaving quite aggressively in the current market... The global trend is downward. After retesting the local bottom, the currency pair is forming a correction to the previously broken consolidation border. The key area of interest is 1.0515, and bears are trying to hold it. The battle for the zone has been going on for several hours. In extreme cases, a retest of 1.054 is possible before a decline. A false breakout of resistance (consolidation border) is forming as part of a countertrend movement... Resistance levels: 1.0515, 1.0542 Support levels: 1.0486, 1.0443 If the bears keep the price below 1.0515, completing the reversal pattern, this could trigger a further decline. Otherwise, the currency pair may form a short squeeze and test 1.0542 before declining... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
BITCOIN → 100K broken. Consolidation in the short zone...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P broke through the 100K support level and is consolidating within the local range of 94,150 - 97,280. The decline may continue if the market does not receive support (news or other bullish drivers). Bitcoin is consolidating below the upward trend line of support and below 100K. The price has entered a zone of panic and sell-off. Before the fall, a “liquidity hunt” is possible - a retest of 97300 - 98900. The price is coming out of consolidation downwards, the bulls were unable to hold the 100K zone. The lack of a bullish driver and the negative fundamental background are doing their job... Resistance levels: 97280, 98900, 100700 Support levels: 94150, 91900 Before further decline, the market may test the previously broken support zone relative to the upward lower trend line. Focus on the 97280 - 98990 zone. A false breakout and lack of bullish momentum could form a reversal pattern and trigger a decline to 94150 - 91900. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
48
GOLD → Retest 4050 in a weak market...FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off support at 4000 and forming a correction towards 4050, an important resistance level. The market's main focus is on the September employment report (NFP), which will be released on Thursday. Key pressure factors: The strong dollar is supported by hawkish statements from the Fed and risk aversion. The probability of a rate cut in December has fallen to 42%. Support for gold: Demand for government bonds has lowered the yield on 10-year Treasuries, allowing gold to rebound to $4045. A series of negative labor market reports keeps risks alive. Gold remains under pressure. A break below $4000 will open the way to $3950, while a rise above $4050 will require weak NFP data or dovish Fed rhetoric. The week will determine the direction Resistance levels: 4050, 4090 Support levels: 4000, 3965 The market is beginning to doubt the local bullish structure. Strong trend support is breaking down and the previously broken level is being retested. If the bears keep the price below 4045-4050, gold could continue to decline. However, it is worth keeping an eye on the news in the second half of this week... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
17
GOLD → Consolidation while awaiting the driverFX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a sharp decline. Bulls are consolidating above 4050. Important US data is ahead, including the employment report (NFP) on Thursday. Decrease in bets on Fed easing: The probability of a cut in December has fallen to 46% (from 67% a week ago) after cautious statements by Fed officials. However, we have not yet seen inflation and employment data, so the situation may change... The September NFP report will be released on Thursday after a 43-day hiatus. The market is waiting for clarity from the US data. Weak indicators (NFP, inflation) could bring back interest in gold, while strong data would strengthen the dollar and reinforce the correction. Gold is in the $4030–4100 range. A break above $4100 will require weak US data or unexpectedly dovish rhetoric from the Fed. The $4030–4045 level is key support. Resistance levels: 4097, 4110 Support levels: 4071, 4046, 4032 I think the market may remain in the current range while awaiting economic data or other drivers. A correction to support may form from resistance. It is important to monitor the levels from below; if the bulls keep the price above support during the correction, gold will be able to strengthen... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
7
XRPUSDT → Consolidation before breaking through support BINANCE:XRPUSDT continues to storm the 2.24 support level amid a downtrend and a weak market. There is no bullish driver, and the fundamental background is also weak... Bitcoin breaks through the key support zone of 100K and enters a zone of panic and sell-offs. The cryptocurrency market is weak and facing seasonal sell-offs in the absence of a bullish driver. The correction may continue... XRP is forming a local downtrend with cascading resistance within a flat. The reaction to the 2.24 support is weakening and a pre-breakout base is forming. Before the fall, a retest of the 2.315 zone of interest is possible. Resistance levels: 2.315, 2.4465 Support levels: 2.24, 2.153, 2.097 A false breakout of 2.3146 could trigger a further decline, but a close below 2.153 could trigger a sell-off and a subsequent decline to the 2.153-2.097 zone. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
XRPUSDT → False breakout of resistance in a weak marketBINANCE:XRPUSDT faces strong resistance and forms a false breakout amid a weak market. Bearish pressure remains high... Bitcoin failed to break through the 106K resistance and returned to the short zone, with the cryptocurrency market, including XRP, reacting with a decline... Overall, the market is in a weak phase and is not yet ready to move into strong growth. Consolidation may continue... False breakout of resistance at 2.5530 amid a weak market. The market has no potential for continued growth, and a reversal pattern is forming, provoking a sell-off... Resistance levels: 2.496 - 2.553 Support levels: 2.376, 2.24 A retest of the local base at 2.5 is possible before the decline continues. As part of the current movement, the market may test 2.37, but if the bulls fail to hold this zone, the coin may drop to 2.24. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
GOLD → Correction and retest 4150 FX:XAUUSD still retains its bullish structure. The price is entering a correction phase within the trading range. The key support level that may attract the attention of MM is 4150. The probability of a decline in December fell to 51% (from 63% the day before) after hawkish statements by Fed officials. Government bond yields are rising. These factors are putting pressure on gold. However, a weak dollar, a flight to safe assets amid global market sell-offs, and uncertainty surrounding US data (September reports may be published, but October data is likely to be lost) are providing support for the bullish trend. Gold retains its growth potential due to macro risks. A short-term correction is possible due to profit-taking ahead of the weekend, but the $4150 level remains key support. Resistance levels: 4211, 4239 Support levels: 4161, 4150, 4100 Within the current trading range, the focus is on support at 4161 - 4148. A false breakdown and bulls holding prices above key levels could trigger a rebound and growth to local resistance levels... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
EURUSD → Correction for consolidation before growth FX:EURUSD is in a “liquidity hunt” phase, testing an intermediate support level, and may continue to rise if the dollar's decline intensifies... On the daily timeframe, the price is within a wide trading range, but at the same time, it is breaking through the resistance of the local downtrend, which allows us to observe bullish sentiment in the market. The trend is changing, and there are local confirmations of the presence of bulls in the market... Without reaching the resistance level of the range, the price is consolidating and correcting, testing the key support level of 1.1618. If the bulls hold this area, the price will continue to rise to 1.1667 - 1.1728. Support levels: 1.1618, 1.1577 Resistance levels: 1.1667, 1.1728 A false breakdown and price consolidation above 1.1618 could lead to a continuation of the bullish momentum and the achievement of the first key target of 1.1667. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
XAUUSD AB=CDHello traders, hope you’re doing well this trading week and that you’re all catching some nice pips from the markets. Today I’m looking at Gold (XAUUSD, 1H) and we’ve got a clean bearish AB=CD symmetry setup on the chart, offering a potential short opportunity. Price has completed the AB=CD leg into the PCZ, with point D landing right around the 0.786–1.000 AB zone (≈ 4,241–4,280). This is my Potential Completion Zone (PCZ) where I’m watching for signs of exhaustion and rejection. Key Levels PCZ (short idea zone): 4,241 – 4,280 TP1: 4,199 – 4,188 (first reaction target) TP2: 4,174 – 4,156 (127–161.8% extension zone) Invalidation: Clean break and hold above 4,280 Trading Plan If I get bearish confirmation (wick rejections, bearish candle close, or breakdown from local structure), I’ll look for shorts from the PCZ, targeting TP1 first and then TP2 if momentum continues. A sustained move above 4,280 cancels the bearish idea and suggests standing aside or reassessing for a bullish continuation. Manage risk carefully, keep size controlled, and let the AB=CD symmetry do the heavy lifting.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
1
GOLD → Consolidation before the next rally?FX:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above the psychological threshold of 4200-4225 amid uncertainty surrounding the publication of US data after the end of the shutdown. Despite the resumption of government work, key reports for October may be lost... Key factors: The House of Representatives has approved funding, ending the shutdown. However, data for October (including NFP and CPI) may not be published. We need to wait for confirmation... However, the restoration of statistics (possibly next week) will clarify the Fed's trajectory. Fed support: 80% of economists surveyed by Reuters expect a 25 bp rate cut in December. Gold retains its growth potential. The $4200 level is a key barrier, with the price entering a new trading range of 4200-4400. A breakout of the local trigger is possible if data is weak or the Fed confirms a rate cut in December... Support levels: 4200, 4161, 4148 Resistance levels: 4239, 4274, 4317 Focus on local consolidation and the 4239 trigger. A breakout and close above this level could trigger further growth. Otherwise, the market may test 4220-4200 before resuming its rally. Overall, the market structure and sentiment are bullish. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
BITCOIN → Flagship within the trading range BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is trading within a wide trading range of 99K - 105K, with the market attempting to form an intermediate bottom at 101K. However, the trend is downward... Bitcoin, within the downward trend, is rebounding from support at 101K and, against the backdrop of locally positive news, is striving towards resistance at 105300. However, the downward trend and the opening of the session far from the key zone of interest are negative prerequisites for the current situation. Within the daily rally, the potential for continued growth may be exhausted. There is a hunt for liquidity within the trading range. A retest of resistance may end in a false breakout and a decline in the trend... Resistance levels: 105300, 107300 Support levels: 103000, 101130, 98900 The price is within the trading range, and there are no clear prerequisites for the price to break out of the current flat. Accordingly, I expect trading within these limits to continue. A false breakout of resistance (lack of momentum and potential for continued growth) could trigger a reversal of the local movement and a decline in price. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Consolidation above 4100...FX:XAUUSD consolidates above $4,100 ahead of a key vote in the US House of Representatives on reopening the government. The rise is supported by weak employment data and expectations of Fed policy easing... Key factors: Losses of more than 11,000 jobs per week until the end of October have heightened concerns about the labor market. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has risen to 68%. Lower government bond yields and a weaker dollar have supported gold. The resumption of data publication after the shutdown may change market sentiment (it is important to monitor actual data). Gold retains its upside potential, but a short-term correction is possible. The outcome of the vote in Congress will determine the immediate dynamics. Resistance levels: 4148, 4161 Support levels: 4097, 4075, 4046 If the bulls keep gold above 4100-4120, then in the short term, the market will be able to test resistance for a breakout. However, as a primary retest, I expect a rebound before the breakout and growth, provided that the fundamental background remains unchanged and continues to support the market... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
EURUSD → An attempt to reverse the bearish trend...FX:EURUSD on the daily timeframe is breaking through the resistance of the downward price channel that has been developing for two months. Confirmation of the trend reversal is needed... The dollar has been testing support at 99.3 for several days now, and the likelihood of a further decline is only increasing. The decline of the dollar will have a positive effect on the euro exchange rate. The currency pair is forming a battle for the 1.1577 zone, a key area of support against the backdrop of an uptrend. If the bulls keep the price above this level, it will confirm the price entering a new trading range, which in turn will open the way to 1.1667. Support levels: 1.1577, 1.1541 Resistance levels: 1.1622, 1.1667 A consolidation of the price above the support of the new trading range and a subsequent breakout of the local maximum could confirm a trend reversal, which could trigger a rally to 1.1667 - 1.174. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
GOLD → The bullish trend continues its movement FX:XAUUSD is testing the $4,150 level, hitting a three-month high amid expectations of a resumption of US government operations and weak economic data. The weekly gain exceeded 3%. Expectations of Fed easing - 64% probability of a rate cut in December, Consumer Sentiment Index (50.3) - lowest in 3.5 years. Layoffs rose 183.1% in October. The end of the shutdown will allow the release of missed data (NFP, CPI), which may confirm the need for a rate cut. All of this provides support for the metal. Today, it is worth paying attention to ADP employment data (4-week average) — an assessment of the labor market. Fundamentally, gold remains bullish thanks to a combination of monetary expectations and macro risks. Resistance levels: 4150, 4160 Support levels: 4125, 4085 The trend is bullish and quite aggressive, with the market not allowing for deep pullbacks. Ahead lies resistance at 4150-4160, a fairly dense pool of liquidity that is likely to halt the current movement and trigger a small correction before continuing to rise to 4200-4250. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
29
USDCHF → Manipulation? False breakout of resistance FX:USDCHF attempted to take advantage of the trend reversal opportunity after breaking out of a descending wedge, but the weak dollar hindered the rally... The currency pair is facing resistance at 0.8076. There is no continuation of the momentum towards a breakout, and bearish pressure, which is intensifying as the dollar index declines, is negatively affecting the currency pair. The price has returned to the trading range, with an emphasis on 0.8057 - 0.8076. If the bears keep the price below this zone, this move could trigger further sell-offs. Resistance levels: 0.8057, 0.8076 Support levels: 0.7957, 0.7925 The false breakout confirms that sellers currently have the upper hand and buyers lack the strength to push the price higher. Accordingly, consolidation below the key level could trigger a further decline towards the zone of interest at 0.7975. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
USDJPY → Consolidation above key support. Growth?FX:USDJPY breaks the structure of downward resistance on the daily timeframe. A retest is forming as part of the correction, and bulls have every chance of growth... The dollar is in an uptrend, which generally supports the currency pair. Against this backdrop, the Japanese yen continues to weaken. USDJPY is testing the previously broken resistance of the trading range as part of the correction. However, the price was not allowed to fall and quickly returned to the long zone. Accordingly, support at 153.0 - 153.2 plays a key role. Consolidation above this level could trigger further growth to 153.8 - 156.0. Support levels: 153.23, 152.83 Resistance levels: 154.83, 156.0 The bullish trend may support the current movement, and a breakout of the trend resistance on D1 is a fairly strong sign of interest in growth against the backdrop of a strong dollar. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7