ALCHUSDT – 4H trade ideaPrice is currently forming a bullish falling wedge, with liquidity resting at the 4H FVG below.
Based on the Total Market Cap context, I’m expecting a potential AMD scenario:
Possible wick down into the 4H FVG
Followed by a bullish breakout from the falling wedge
Price is consolidating above the Monthly VWAP, which supports the bullish bias.
If we see confirmation after the sweep, continuation towards higher levels becomes likely.
➡️ Check the weekly analysis for higher timeframe context.
ALCHUSDT
$ALCH Shocking Bearish Plunge Exposed!BINANCE:ALCHUSDT.P
Price Levels (as marked on the chart):
SL (Stop Loss): 1.272 (0.09077)
DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging): 1.135 (0.09668)
Entry: 1 0.10250 - 0.10300
TP2 (Take Profit 2): 0.618 (0.11173)
TP3 (Take Profit 3): 0.5 (0.12406)
TP4 (Take Profit 4): 0.14562
Current Price: Approximately 0.10315 (based on the right-side price scale)
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Shown at the bottom, indicating momentum. The RSI has recently declined, suggesting bearish momentum.
Price Movement Analysis
Recent Trend: The chart depicts a clear downtrend for ALCH/USDT. After a period of consolidation and a slight uptrend (around August 13-18), the price has experienced a sharp decline, particularly noticeable around August 23-24, 2025.
Key Levels:The price has fallen significantly below the Entry level (1.10250) and is now well below the DCA (1.135) and SL (1.272) levels, indicating the trade has moved against the initial plan.
It has surpassed TP2 (0.618) and TP3 (0.5) in the downward direction, suggesting these were not take-profit targets but rather support levels that failed. TP4 (0.14562) is the next potential target if the downtrend continues.
Support and Resistance: The sharp drop indicates strong selling pressure. The previous support around 0.5 has been breached, and the next support could be near 0.14562 (TP4). Resistance might now form around the DCA level (1.135) if a reversal occurs.
RSI Analysis
The RSI at the bottom shows a downward trend, moving from a neutral region (around 50) toward oversold territory (below 30). This indicates increasing bearish momentum and potential oversold conditions, which could signal a reversal if buying interest returns.
The recent decline aligns with the price drop, confirming sustained selling pressure.
Trading Strategy Insights
Entry and Exit Points: The chart suggests a trading plan with an entry at 1.10250, a stop-loss at 1.272, and take-profit levels (TP2, TP3, TP4) that appear to be incorrectly labeled or misinterpreted as the price has fallen below them. This suggests the trade may have been a long position that turned unprofitable.
Risk Management: The SL at 1.272 is above the current price, meaning the stop-loss has likely been triggered if this was a long trade, limiting further losses.
Potential Next Steps: If the downtrend continues, TP4 (0.14562) could be the next support level. However, the RSI nearing oversold conditions might indicate a potential bounce. Traders should consider short positions or wait for a reversal signal.
ALCH Looks Bearish (8H)ALCH is one of the altcoins that began its bullish rally earlier than others.
From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, it appears that an ABC correction has completed.
As long as the red box is maintained, price may move toward the FVG zone.
Targets are marked on the chart.
Additionally, a liquidity pool is forming below the candles, which is expected to be swept soon
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this bearish outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You


