$Aster Aster Breaking out of Falling Channel -50% down from ATH ASTER/USDT Technical Outlook (2H)
SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:ASTER Aster is Breaking out of its Falling Channel -50% down from ATH
Current price: $1.14
After a prolonged downtrend, ASTER is showing early signs of consolidation and stabilisation, Prices have should accumulation below $1.20 . Price action remains below the 200 EMA, suggesting that the broader structure is still bearish, but momentum is gradually shifting as short-term moving averages begin to flatten.
Key Observations:
Buy Zone :$0.99 – $1.38
This area has acted as a structural demand zone where previous sell pressure was absorbed. A reclaim above this region would confirm a shift in sentiment and could set the stage for a trend reversal.
Resistance Levels / Take Profit Zones:
TP1: $1.73
TP2: $2.10
TP3: $2.40
Momentum & Structure:
A clean breakout and sustained close above $1.38 could open the path to take profit areas mentioned above.
* Failure to hold above$0.99 will invalidate this idea and could expose ASTER to another leg down.
Summary:
Bias:Neutral to mildly bullish while above $0.99
Invalidation:Break and close below $0.99
Potential upside:$1.73 – $2.40 range if buyers maintain momentum with future all time highs up to $3.
Asterdex
FireHoseReel | Aster DEEP ReSearch: EP5 - Inside ASTER Economy🔥 Welcome To FireHoseReel !
Let's dive into Aster Deep ReSearch EP 5 - Inside the ASTER Token Economy
🪙 Token Launch & Hype
In September 2025, ASTER officially launched and instantly grabbed headlines. Within just days, its price surged over +2000%, reaching nearly $1.90, pushing Aster’s market cap beyond $3 billion. This explosive move was fueled by a powerful combo of marketing hype, backing from CZ, and a uniquely structured community rewards model.
🎁 Aster allocated over 50% of total supply to airdrops, liquidity incentives, and referrals — creating one of the widest token distributions in DeFi. Just 24 hours after launch, more than 330K new wallets were activated on the platform.
🧬 ASTER Token Utility – Not Just Governance
ASTER isn't just a passive governance token. Its utility spans multiple layers across the Aster ecosystem:
🗳 Governance: Token holders can vote on key protocol decisions and platform upgrades.
💸 Fee Discounts & Premium Access (future): Holding ASTER may unlock lower trading fees or access to Pro features, similar to Binance’s BNB model.
🎯 Liquidity Incentives: ASTER powers LP rewards, referral programs, and ecosystem growth incentives.
💰 Staking & Margin Collateral: Users can stake ASTER to earn ~5–7% APY and simultaneously use up to 80% of staked value as margin in Aster Pro.
🔥 Aster also introduced a token-burning mechanism (approx. 5–7% annually) to control inflation and support long-term price stability.
⚠️ Challenges Ahead
While the generous airdrop strategy helped bootstrap adoption, it also introduces inflation risk and potential sell pressure if demand doesn't scale.
Aster’s long-term success depends on deep integration of ASTER within trading, governance, and infrastructure — especially as it rolls out its own Layer-1 chain (Aster Chain) with native utilities tied to the token.
FireHoseReel | Aster DEEP ReSearch: EP4 - ASTER Token Explained🔥 Welcome To FireHoseReel !
Let's dive into Aster Deep ReSearch EP4 - Powering Aster , All About ASTER
🪙 The ASTER Token & Its Tokenomics
The native utility token of the Aster ecosystem, ASTER, plays a central role in powering the platform’s growth and governance.
🧨 Launched in September 2025, ASTER saw an explosive debut , surging over 2000% within days to around $1.90, pushing the project’s market cap beyond $3 billion. This rally was fueled by strategic hype, major endorsements (including CZ), and generous community incentives.
📦 Distribution & Community Focus
Over 50% of the total token supply was allocated to airdrops and user rewards, aiming to drive mass adoption. The airdrop campaign alone attracted 330K+ new wallets within 24 hours of launch.
🔧 ASTER Utilities
Governance: Token holders can vote on key protocol proposals.
Fee Benefits & Access (coming soon): Holding ASTER may unlock trading discounts or premium features , similar to BNB on Binance.
Incentives: Used for LP rewards, referrals, and ecosystem campaigns.
Deflation Mechanism: An annual token burn (5–7%) reduces circulating supply over time.
📈 Staking & Margin Collateral
Users can stake ASTER to earn 5–7% APY, while using up to 80% of staked value as margin collateral , blending passive income with trading utility.
This dual-role design ensures ASTER is not just a passive governance token, but an integral part of the trading stack.
⚠️ However, its tokenomics also face challenges. While the airdrop accelerated growth, it may create sell pressure and inflation if demand doesn't scale with usage.
To address this, the Aster team is expanding ASTER's utility , including exclusive roles in Aster Chain, governance power, and staking benefits , alongside regular burns to stabilize long-term value.
FireHoseReel | Aster DEEP ReSearch: EP2 - How Aster Was born ?🔥 Welcome To FireHoseReel !
Let's dive into Aster Deep ReSearch EP2 - How Aster Was Born ?
🏗 How It All Started
Aster DEX was launched in 2024 through the strategic merger of two DeFi projects: Astherus, a yield-focused protocol, and APX Finance, a decentralized perpetual exchange.
By combining expertise in both yield generation and derivative trading, Aster formed a comprehensive platform capable of attracting sustainable liquidity and enabling ultra-fast perpetual markets.
🚀 Boosted by Binance Chain’s infrastructure and liquidity, Aster saw explosive growth. By the end of 2025, the platform had processed over $500 billion in cumulative trading volume and onboarded more than 2 million users — a massive milestone for a newly launched DEX.
🧬 Backing from YZi Labs, a firm closely tied to Binance, played a crucial role in this success. Even CZ (Changpeng Zhao), Binance’s founder, publicly endorsed Aster during its early token launch. This strong industry support earned the trust of the community and fueled rapid tech development.
⚙️ Multi-Layered Architecture & Trading Modes
Aster DEX is designed as a modular trading ecosystem that merges high-speed derivatives, spot markets, and yield opportunities into a single platform — optimized for both newcomers and advanced traders.
🔄 Simple Mode (Up to 1001× Leverage)
Aster’s Simple Mode offers a frictionless experience with:
• No gas fees
• No MEV risk
• Direct wallet-based execution
• Trades routed through a shared liquidity pool (ALP)
Key Highlights:
• Up to 1001× leverage on BTC pairs
• 250× on ETH, 75× on altcoins
• Instant trades — no deposits needed
• Oracle-based pricing (Chainlink & Pyth)
• Dynamic funding rate updates to minimize liquidation risks
🔧 Simple Mode brings the ease of AMMs into leveraged derivatives — ideal for fast, low-friction perpetual trading.
📊 Pro Mode (On-Chain Order Book & Institutional Tools)
Pro Mode offers a full-featured, CEX-style experience on-chain — ideal for professional traders.
What it includes:
• On-chain order book with fast matching
• Market, limit, stop-loss, and trailing-stop orders
• Advanced tools like Grid Trading bots
• Position management: TP/SL, Post-Only, timed execution
• Ultra-low fees: 0.01% maker / 0.035% taker
💼 Aster Pro also introduces Hidden Orders (dark-pool-style), allowing large traders to conceal order size until after execution. This prevents front-running and reduces market impact — a rare DeFi feature.
🧾 Beyond Crypto: Perpetual Stocks
Aster DEX expands beyond crypto into traditional assets via stock perpetuals — offering 24/7 trading on blue-chip equities like Apple and Tesla.
Features:
• Up to 50× leverage
• Crypto-collateralized (e.g., USDT)
• Trade traditional assets even outside stock market hours
🏪 The platform also includes an integrated spot exchange for quick swaps between BTC, ETH, USDT, and ASTER — enabling easy onboarding for new users.
ASTER: Updating My Bearish Targets — Next Stop 0.94Hey friends! 👋
I’ve already posted a few bearish ideas on ASTER, and here’s another update on this coin 🐻
Right now I’m refreshing my downside targets.
🎯I’m expecting ASTER to drop to 0.94, and possibly even lower.
As many of you remember from my previous publications, my original big target was 0.76, but honestly, that now feels a bit too ambitious in the short term.
So let’s first wait for 0.94 — once we get close to that level, I’ll post a fresh update with the next steps.
What do you think — will we see 0.94 soon? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
FireHoseReel | Aster DEEP ReSearch: EP1 - Introduction🔥 Welcome To FireHoseReel !
Let's dive into Aster Education Ep1 .
Introduction
🪙 In recent years, decentralized exchanges (DEXs), especially in the field of perpetual derivatives trading, have experienced remarkable growth. Aster DEX is one of the newest platforms in this sector that has quickly achieved major success by focusing on perpetual contract trading. By offering features such as ultra-high leverage, multi-chain liquidity, and a combination of professional trading tools, this decentralized exchange has attracted significant attention from traders.
💻 For example, in the first half of 2025 alone, the platform’s trading volume exceeded $58 billion, capturing a notable share of the rapidly growing decentralized perpetual market. The rapid expansion of Aster DEX—reaching over $33 billion in monthly trading volume by June 2025, demonstrates strong user adoption and its serious competition with major market players.
✅👇 Key Features
1️⃣ Dual Trading Modes: Simple & Pro
Aster offers two distinct trading environments. In Simple Mode, retail users can trade with one-click execution without concerns about MEV attacks (miner front-running). In Pro Mode, advanced features such as a full order book, complex order types, 24/7 perpetual stock trading, and hidden orders (similar to dark pool features on centralized exchanges) are available for professional traders.
2️⃣ Multi-Chain Support
Aster operates across several major blockchains, including BNB Chain, Ethereum, Solana, and Arbitrum. This allows users to benefit from aggregated cross-chain liquidity without needing to manually bridge assets between networks, providing seamless access to a wide range of digital assets.
3️⃣ Extreme Leverage & Deep Liquidity
One of Aster DEX’s most unique features is its ultra-high leverage of up to 1001x in certain markets, a rare offering in the DeFi space. Combined with deep liquidity (with over $1 billion in Total Value Locked by 2025), this creates strong opportunities for high-return trading. At the same time, the platform’s smart risk-management design helps prevent exploitation and manipulation at such extreme leverage levels.
4️⃣ Capital Efficiency & Yield-Generating Products
Aster allows users to deploy yield-bearing assets within its ecosystem. For example, asBNB liquid-staking tokens and the yield-generating stablecoin USDF from Aster Earn can be used as trading collateral. This enables traders to earn passive annual yields (sometimes exceeding 30%) while actively trading, significantly boosting overall capital efficiency.
5️⃣ Strong Infrastructure & Backing
Aster is backed by YZi Labs and has received support and endorsement from major industry figures such as Changpeng Zhao (CEO of Binance). The development team is also building its own Layer-1 blockchain, called Aster Chain, designed with a focus on ultra-high speed, security, and transaction privacy. This powerful infrastructure can serve as a strong foundation for Aster’s long-term ecosystem growth.
ASTER — Fresh Short Outlook After Re-Entry ConfirmationHey everyone 👋
Even though I closed my previous idea on Aster because I briefly doubted whether the price would actually move lower, the chart eventually confirmed its intention to decline — and even below the targets I set in that earlier publication.
With the structure now much clearer, I’m re-entering the idea with updated targets:
🎯 Target 1: 1.1
🎯 Target 2: 1.0
🎯 Target 3: 0.94
❌ Idea Cancel Zone: 1.186
Let me know what you think in the comments — your feedback helps me decide which assets to analyze next💬
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I share my personal view of the market — always do your own research before making trading decisions
ASTER — Pre-Drop Positioning & Key Levels Hey everyone. 👋
Hope your week has been productive. Even though it’s Saturday, the market keeps signaling that decisive moves are coming.
One of them is Aster — and in my view, it’s preparing for a controlled downside move.
Here are the key targets I’m watching:
🎯 Target 1: 1.01
🎯 Target 2: 1.00
❌ Invalidation Zone: 1.2543
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Follow your own trading system and always manage risk — stop-losses are mandatory.
If this asset interests you, drop a reaction or a comment. 💬
It helps me understand whether you want more consistent updates and market insights on Aster.
Aster’s Fate — Too Early to CelebrateEven though my invalidation zone in the previous Aster idea was broken, I’m still holding my view — Aster looks ready to continue its move down.
For now, I expect Aster around 0.8888, but my final target is 0.76.
Let’s break this path into a few steps:
🎯 Target 1: 0.116
🎯 Target 2: 0.104
🎯 Target 3: 0.9
🎯 Target 4: 0.76
❌Invalidation zone: 1.1637
⚠️ This is not a trading signal — just my personal forecast.
Always trade with stop-losses and follow me to catch updates, because I post new ones as soon as the chart changes.
💡 And remember — consistent profits come from proper risk control. Even if 50% of trades get stopped out, risk management keeps us growing.
Aster RollercoasterThe picture in Aster doesn’t look too bright right now — things are getting a bit shaky here. I’m expecting a move down toward 0.9
Though if you remember, friends, according to my global forecast, I still see Aster possibly reaching 0.76, but for now, my target is 0.9.
Let’s see how the price reacts as we approach that zone.
❌Invalidation zone: 1.1201
⚠️ This is not a trading signal — make your own decisions and always trade with stop-losses.
💬 Drop your reactions, share your thoughts in the comments, and follow me if you want to see regular Aster updates! 🚀
ASTERUSDT — Is This the Start of Reversal from the Falling WedgeThe ASTER/USDT pair is currently standing at a critical juncture, right inside the key demand zone between 1.015 – 0.945 — a level that has acted as the “last fortress” for buyers since October.
The structure forms a classic Falling Wedge pattern, a setup that often signals the end of a mid-term downtrend and the potential beginning of a reversal phase.
After weeks of bearish momentum, price action now shows signs of seller exhaustion, as ASTER attempts to break above the upper wedge trendline — a key sign that bullish momentum might be awakening.
However, the recent long candle rejection from the top indicates that a tight battle between bulls and bears is still in play.
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📊 Pattern & Technical Structure
Falling Wedge Pattern → historically leads to bullish reversals once accumulation completes.
Yellow Zone (1.015 – 0.945) → acts as the primary demand/retest area, determining whether the breakout holds or fails.
Breakout Attempt → price already tested above the wedge, but a confirmed 6h close above 1.05 is required for validation.
Resistance Targets:
R1: 1.21 — minor resistance
R2: 1.505 — mid-level resistance
R3: 1.79 – 2.08 — major extension targets if momentum expands
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🟩 Bullish Scenario (If Breakout Confirmed)
If the price manages to close above 1.05 with increasing volume, it would validate the Falling Wedge breakout, potentially opening a rally toward 1.21, 1.505, and even 1.79 as buying strength accelerates.
Entry Zone: above 1.05 (confirmed breakout)
Key Support: 0.945
Targets: 1.21 → 1.505 → 1.79+
Bullish Catalysts: demand zone holding + wedge breakout confirmation
Extra Confirmation: volume spike, RSI turning upward from neutral zone
> Bullish narrative: “If the demand zone holds and buyers reclaim control, ASTER could be entering the first stage of a mid-term reversal.”
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🟥 Bearish Scenario (If Breakout Fails / Fakeout)
However, if ASTER fails to hold above 1.015 and closes back below 0.94, it would confirm a fake breakout, likely sending the pair back toward the lower wedge region around 0.78–0.72.
Bearish trigger: 6h candle close below 0.94
Targets: 0.78 → 0.72
Invalidation: reclaim above 1.05 with strong volume
Confirmation: red candle expansion + rising sell volume
> Bearish narrative: “Failure to hold the demand zone could invite another wave of selling pressure back into the lower wedge.”
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🔎 Summary
ASTER is now at a major decision point.
The yellow zone at 1.015 – 0.945 will define whether this marks the beginning of a strong reversal or the continuation of the downtrend.
A confirmed breakout could ignite a bullish momentum run toward 1.79 – 2.08,
while a breakdown below 0.94 could lead to a deeper retracement toward 0.78 – 0.72.
Volume confirmation and price reaction around this zone will decide ASTER’s next major move.
#ASTER #ASTERUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #Breakout #PriceAction #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #SupportResistance #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #DeFi
ASTER on the Edge — The Next Big PledgeIn my view, ASTER is currently forming a descending diagonal triangle.
Earlier, I mentioned that my downside target for ASTER is around 0.76.
I believe we’re now completing wave 4, after which the price may decline
toward my target zone.
After that, a breakout to the upside is expected —
and I think ASTER has the potential to rise toward 1.4–1.6.
But first, let’s see how it behaves during the upcoming decline.
This is just one of my possible scenarios —
not financial advice or a guaranteed outcome
ASTER : Soaring to the Stars or Heavy Plunge?This currency is currently sitting on a demand level (red zone). If it breaks the trend line (green line), it will head toward a supply zone (blue) in a lower timeframe. If it can't break through that zone, we expect continued decline; but if it does, we expect the uptrend to continue. If it doesn't break the trend line and drops below the demand zone, we expect a drop down to the green zone.
ASTER/USDT – Major Breakout Potential from a Falling Wedge?The ASTER/USDT pair currently shows a very interesting technical structure, where price has been moving inside a Falling Wedge pattern since mid-October.
This formation is widely recognized as one of the most powerful bullish reversal patterns, signaling that selling pressure is weakening while buyers begin to take control.
At the moment, price is hovering around $0.95, approaching the apex of the wedge, which indicates that the consolidation phase is nearing a breakout point. The contracting volume reflects that the market is waiting for confirmation of the next major move.
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Main Pattern Characteristics
Falling Wedge Pattern:
Two converging downward-sloping trendlines clearly define this setup, showing that sellers are losing strength.
Historically, this pattern often ends with a bullish breakout, especially when it forms after a long downtrend.
Volume & Momentum:
Volume has been decreasing throughout the wedge formation, which is normal — but a strong breakout is typically confirmed by a sharp volume surge.
Watch for bullish RSI divergence (price making lower lows while RSI makes higher lows) as an early confirmation of a potential reversal.
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Bullish Scenario
If ASTER manages to break and close above the wedge resistance area near $1.01 – $1.05 on the 4H timeframe, it would mark a strong bullish reversal signal.
Gradual upside targets:
1. $1.21 – First breakout confirmation target.
2. $1.52 – Key psychological resistance.
3. $1.82 – $2.10 – Momentum expansion zone where buyers could dominate.
4. $2.30 – Extended target if the bullish rally strengthens.
A strong breakout with rising volume could be the starting point of a new bullish trend for ASTER.
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Bearish Scenario
Conversely, if price fails to break above resistance and drops back below $0.89 – $0.85, a breakdown scenario could unfold, targeting the $0.76 area.
A close below wedge support would confirm that sellers still have control.
However, statistically, falling wedge structures are more likely to resolve bullishly, as long as the price does not close decisively below the lower boundary.
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Summary
The ASTER/USDT chart is currently at a critical decision point — between continued consolidation or the beginning of a major reversal.
Technically, the combination of a tightening wedge, declining volume, and possible RSI divergence indicates that a major breakout may be approaching.
If confirmed, bullish momentum could accelerate rapidly, supported by growing liquidity near the wedge’s lower range.
#ASTER #ASTRUSDT #FallingWedge #CryptoBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPattern #BullishSetup #CryptoMarket #SwingTrade #PriceAction #ReversalPattern #CryptoAnalysis
Why you should actually be bullish on ASTERASTER price action has people confused.
Short-term thinking always blinds investors.
ASTER went from $0 to $4B market cap in one week while the market dumped. It is six weeks old, already top 45, and still above $2B market cap.
The Dex has done 2.85T in trading volume with over 5M users. The team announced that 70–80% of all trading fees go to buybacks of $ASTER. This changes the math. Strong volume. Strong user base. Strong tokenomics.
ASTER is the Perp DEX of Binance, backed by CZ and YZILabs. HYPE reached a $20B market cap in under a year. ASTER is following the same pattern with better fundamentals.
Key points: $4B+ market cap in week one 2.85T total trading volume 5M+ users 70–80% fee buybacks Binance ecosystem backing DEX will outlast CEX.
Hold this long term.
Aster’s Fall Before It Stands TallAs mentioned in my previous analyses,
I expected Aster to decline toward 0.88 before the trend turns bullish.
At the moment, all the signs confirm a bearish continuation, and the price might go even lower than expected.
🎯 Target 1: 0.88
🎯 Target 2: 0.76
⚠️ Be cautious — don’t try to catch the bottom.
It’s wiser to wait until a clear pattern forms before entering long positions
🔴 The invalidation zone is marked in red on the chart.
ASTERUSDT — Compression at Its Peak: A Major Breakout is Brewing1. Overview
ASTER/USDT is currently in a tight consolidation phase, forming a clear symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart.
This pattern reflects an equilibrium between buyers and sellers, where volatility compresses and tension builds before a decisive move.
Price is hovering around $2.011, right in the middle of the narrowing range between the descending resistance and ascending support trendlines — a typical setup before a major breakout.
This is a classic indecision zone, where markets quietly prepare for their next expansion phase.
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2. Technical Structure & Key Levels
Upper Resistance Zone:
$2.1267 (Fib 0.5) — first resistance and mid retracement point.
$2.2004 (Fib 0.618) — second resistance and key psychological level.
$2.4391 (Fib 1.0 / previous swing high) — first breakout target.
$2.8253 (Fib 1.618 extension) — extended bullish target on strong momentum.
Lower Support Zone:
$1.8145 (Fib 0.5) and $1.7405 (Fib 0.618) — demand zone highlighted in yellow; strong historical reaction area.
The ascending trendline coincides with this demand zone, making it a critical defense area for bulls.
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3. Pattern Context — Symmetrical Triangle (Neutral Continuation)
The symmetrical triangle often acts as an accumulation or distribution zone within a larger trend.
Given that this pattern formed after a strong prior uptrend, the bias leans slightly toward bullish continuation.
However, confirmation is essential — a valid breakout requires a decisive candle close outside the triangle with notable volume.
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4. Bullish Scenario — Breakout to the Upside
Confirmation trigger: A 4H candle closing above the upper trendline, ideally beyond the $2.13–$2.20 zone with strong volume.
This signals that buyers have successfully regained control after the compression phase.
Trade setup:
Entry: After a confirmed breakout (close above $2.13) or on a successful retest of the upper trendline.
Targets:
TP1: $2.44 — previous swing high / Fib 1.0 zone.
TP2: $2.82 — Fib 1.618 extension target.
Stop Loss: Below $1.95 or more conservatively below the demand zone at $1.8145.
Extra confirmation:
Volume must increase significantly (above 20-bar average).
RSI breaking above 60 supports bullish momentum buildup.
Narrative:
A confirmed breakout above this pattern could mark the start of the next impulsive leg in ASTER’s broader uptrend, transforming this triangle into a reaccumulation structure rather than distribution.
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5. Bearish Scenario — Breakdown Below Support
Warning sign: A 4H candle closing below $1.74, breaking both the demand zone and ascending support line.
This indicates that buyers lost control and that supply pressure is starting to dominate.
Trade setup:
Entry: After a confirmed close below $1.74 with rising volume.
Targets:
TP1: $1.60 — minor structural support.
TP2: $1.35 — previous swing low.
TP3 (extended): $1.07 — if selling pressure accelerates.
Stop Loss: Above recent rejection highs or above the $1.90–$2.00 zone.
Narrative:
A breakdown here would invalidate the higher-low structure and suggest the beginning of a mid-term corrective wave before potential reaccumulation at lower levels.
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6. Strategic Summary
ASTER/USDT is currently trapped in a compression zone, and volatility expansion is likely approaching.
Symmetrical triangles like this often precede sharp directional moves, as energy builds before release.
Overall bias: Neutral-to-bullish, given the preceding uptrend — but confirmation is mandatory.
While price remains within the triangle, the best approach is patience — wait for a 4H breakout candle with strong volume confirmation.
> “Patience during compression phases is what separates those who predict from those who profit.”
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7. Risk & Management Notes
Always define a clear stop loss before entry.
Avoid over-leverage during consolidation periods.
Volume confirmation is key — low-volume breakouts often lead to traps.
This analysis is for educational and technical purposes only, not financial advice.
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#ASTER #ASTERUSDT #Crypto #Altcoin #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Breakout #SymmetricalTriangle #CryptoSetup #MarketStructure #Fibonacci #CryptoChart
ASTER/USDT — Retest the Fibonacci Zone: Rebound or Breakdown?ASTER is standing at a critical equilibrium zone, retesting a strong demand area between 1.75–1.83, which also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement zone.
This area acts as the last line of defense for buyers to preserve the medium-term bullish structure.
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📊 Structure & Pattern
After failing to break above the 2.43 resistance, ASTER corrected sharply and is now retesting its previous demand base.
This setup forms a Bullish Retest Pattern, where price seeks a new footing before the next potential leg up.
However, a confirmed break below this zone could shift the market structure into a bearish breakdown, signaling a possible trend reversal.
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🟩 Bullish Scenario (Potential Rebound)
Buyers must defend the 1.75–1.83 area.
Bullish confirmation occurs when a 4H candle closes above 1.82 with increasing volume.
Upside targets:
→ 1.9469 (minor resistance)
→ 2.1319 (psychological resistance)
→ 2.3077 – 2.4331 (major distribution zone)
As long as demand holds, ASTER could form a new higher low and resume its bullish trajectory.
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🟥 Bearish Scenario (Potential Breakdown)
A 4H close below 1.7485 (Fib 0.618) would signal that buyers are losing control.
Such a breakdown could trigger a deeper sell-off toward 1.50, possibly extending to 1.20 (major structural support).
A strong rejection at 1.95–2.13 without volume follow-through would also reinforce the bearish outlook.
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📌 Technical Summary
ASTER is currently at a make-or-break zone where bulls and bears are battling for control.
Holding the 1.75–1.83 demand area keeps the door open for a +30% rebound toward the 2.43 region.
But a clean breakdown below 1.75 could invalidate the bullish setup and lead to a deeper correction toward 1.20.
The next few 4H candles will determine the dominant trend for the week.
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🎯 Key Levels
Main Support: 1.8217 – 1.7485
Major Structural Support: 1.2000
Resistance Levels: 1.9469 / 2.1319 / 2.3077 / 2.4331
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“ASTER is approaching a decision point — holding above 1.75–1.83 could trigger a sharp rebound to 2.43, but losing this zone might drag it down to 1.20.
A critical 4H battle between bulls and bears is underway.”
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#ASTERUSDT #CryptoTrading #AltcoinAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciRetracement #DemandZone
Why bother playing fair?This is a very unique instrument to trade.
The standard: professional, delta neutral market makers run the game.
Here directional takers are in control.
~2 billion USD daily volume
~3 billion market cap (15 billion fully diluted)
~3% liquidity: 1 million USD
~90% controlled supply
They have their own algorithms abusing level 3 data (stoploss/liquidation prices)
With unlimited buy/sell power, abusing god mode positions (exempt from liquidation, margin limits and requirements)
That and the super thin liquidity
Causing maximum pain on leverage traders.
There is barely any liquidity on their own books.
Market makers are not participating, exchanges are not participating.
Operating on the principle that most traders will not realize their profits
And use their liquidation price as a stop loss.
They make around 15% (!!!) of trade value per liquidation, by far the highest yield for liquidation of any exchange. (1$ price liquidation price gets filled at 0.85$)
And from my research, it seems they are handled by their own liquidators, bypassing maker orders on the books completely.
Push price into liquidations, let go, leave no liquidity for profitable positions to exit
Repeat.
The scheme is on par with FTX and LUNA.
Will it fail the same way? It could.
If it does, who will take the fall?
Their anonymous founder?
Trade with extreme caution.






















