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Audcadanalysis

AUD/CAD Daily Market OutlookThe AUD/CAD structure on the daily timeframe is showing clear signs of bearish pressure after repeated rejections within the 0.91500–0.92270 supply zone. Price has been consolidating beneath this resistance area, forming lower highs and indicating a weakening bullish momentum. My expectation is a continuation to the downside, targeting the next significant liquidity level around 0.84439, but the short-term confirmation zone sits at 0.90789. At the moment, price is hovering just above 0.90789. For a cleaner and higher-probability sell scenario, I require a decisive daily close below 0.90789, followed by a bearish engulfing candle to signal strong seller dominance. Such a break would confirm that the market has transitioned from distribution into a stronger downside phase. Trade Idea (Sell Bias): • Entry Zone: Confirmation comes after a clear close below 0.90789 followed by an engulfing candle. • Stop Loss: Positioned above the red zone around 0.92270, protecting against any liquidity grab or false breakout. • Targets: The broader downside structure points to a continuation towards the lower range around 0.84439, where previous major demand sits. This setup aligns with the prevailing market structure, the visible supply rejection, and the need for confirmation to avoid premature entries. OANDA:AUDCAD
Short
by Actualjustice
AUDCAD: Bearish as Aussie Struggles Against Resilient LoonieAUDCAD has come under renewed selling pressure, sliding back toward key support zones after failing to sustain gains above 0.9200. The Canadian dollar remains supported by solid employment data and oil market stability, while the Australian dollar faces headwinds from weaker Chinese demand and a cautious RBA. With momentum shifting lower, AUDCAD looks poised for further downside if support levels give way. Current Bias Bearish – Price is testing the lower end of its recent consolidation and risks breaking down toward 0.8950. Key Fundamental Drivers AUD Weakness: RBA’s cautious tone and China’s slower growth outlook weigh heavily on the Australian dollar. CAD Strength: Stronger-than-expected labor market data and oil resilience underpin CAD. Commodity Flows: Oil boosts CAD, while iron ore softness limits AUD upside. Macro Context Interest Rate Expectations: RBA remains cautious, signaling no rush to hike, while BoC is data-dependent but reluctant to cut aggressively amid still-high inflation. Economic Growth Trends: Australia faces slowing domestic consumption, while Canada’s growth outlook is steadier, albeit with labor market slack. Commodity Flows: CAD benefits from oil’s relative stability, while AUD remains exposed to weakening iron ore demand from China. Geopolitical Themes: US-China tariff tensions pressure AUD more directly, while CAD benefits from closer US trade alignment. Primary Risk to the Trend A rebound in Chinese stimulus measures or stronger-than-expected Australian data could provide support for AUD. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Australia jobs data and CPI prints – critical for RBA policy outlook. Canada CPI – pivotal for BoC’s rate stance. Leader/Lagger Dynamics AUDCAD is typically a lagger, reflecting broader AUD performance against China-sensitive pairs and CAD’s alignment with oil. It follows AUDUSD trends and CAD crosses but reacts slower than majors like AUDUSD or USDCAD. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.9050 0.8950 Resistance Levels: 0.9160 0.9230 Stop Loss (SL): 0.9230 Take Profit (TP): 0.8950 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints AUDCAD is bearish, with downside momentum reinforced by weak AUD fundamentals and firmer CAD drivers. A break below 0.9050 opens the path to 0.8950, while resistance at 0.9160–0.9230 caps upside. Stop loss sits above resistance at 0.9230, and profit-taking is aimed near 0.8950. Watch for Australia’s jobs/CPI data and Canada’s CPI as the key catalysts that could either reinforce or undermine this bearish setup.
Short
by ultreosforex
AUDCAD Forming Bullish ContinuationAUDCAD is showing strong signs of a potential bullish continuation as price consolidates just below a key resistance zone around the 0.9200 region. The market has maintained higher lows, reflecting steady buyer interest and a gradual shift in sentiment toward the upside. If the pair manages to break above this resistance with strong momentum, it could confirm a breakout structure, opening the door for a rally toward the 0.9350–0.9400 levels in the coming sessions. The technical picture supports the idea of accumulation, with the market forming a bullish flag-type pattern before continuation. From a fundamental perspective, the Australian dollar remains relatively supported as the Reserve Bank of Australia maintains a firm tone on inflation and continues to assess the impact of its prior tightening measures. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar has been weighed down by weaker oil prices and softening domestic demand, which have limited the Bank of Canada’s ability to maintain a hawkish stance. The diverging central bank outlooks and commodity performance are creating a favorable backdrop for further AUD strength against the CAD. As long as AUDCAD holds above the 0.9100 support region, buyers are likely to maintain control, with the next key level of interest being the 0.9250 zone. A confirmed breakout above resistance would strengthen bullish conviction and align with the broader upward trend that has been building since mid-year. This setup remains technically and fundamentally aligned for potential continuation, making it a pair to keep on the radar for bullish opportunities in the near term.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Trading The AUD/CAD Breakout - A Systematic Approach.🎯 Aussie vs Cad Dollar – Market Capital Flow Blueprint (AUD/CAD Bull Setup) 🦘🍁 Hello Market Money Makers & Thief OG’s! We’re watching the AUD/CAD pair with a bullish bias — the Aussie is showing strength vs the Loonie, and the capital-flow looks supportive. Here’s the plan: 📈 Setup: A breakout of the triangular moving average structure has just been confirmed — signalling a potential swing/day trade environment. Risk-reward is favourable, and layered entries give us flexibility in execution. 🛒 Entry Strategy (Layering Style): Using multiple buy limit orders (classic Thief layering method) at the following levels: 0.91300 0.91400 0.91500 0.91600 (You can add more layers if you like — scale as you see fit.) 🚫 Stop Loss (Thief’s SL): 0.91100 — if price drops below here the trade is invalidated. Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I am not recommending you blindly follow my SL — it's your choice, you can make money then take money at your own risk. 🎯 Target (TP): 0.92300 — this level acts as a police barricade (strong resistance) + overbought trap zone. Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I am not recommending you blindly follow my TP — it's your choice, you can make money then take money at your own risk. 🔍 Watch-Pairs / Correlations: OANDA:USDCAD – watch relative strength of USD vs CAD. OANDA:AUDJPY – for Aussie strength confirmation. OANDA:GBPCAD – another CAD-weakness proxy. Monitoring these helps us see if CAD remains weak or if AUD continues to shine. 📌 Key Points / Why This Setup Works: Capital flow: Aussie assets drawing interest, contributing to AUD strength. Breakout confirmation: Moving average triangle resolved bullishly. Layered entries: lets us average into the trade if price comes down to support. Target zone backed by resistance and structural trap — good exit zone. Stop-loss placement protects capital if market flips direction. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: This is Thief style trading strategy just for fun. #AUDCAD #Forex #FX #DayTrade #SwingTrade #CapitalFlow #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
Long
by The-Thief
AUDCAD Forming Descending WedgeAUDCAD on the 4H timeframe has been consolidating within a descending wedge structure, and price is now breaking out of the upper trendline, signaling a potential bullish shift. The series of higher lows forming near the wedge base hints at accumulation, while repeated rejections from the lower boundary suggest sellers are losing momentum. As long as price holds above the breakout zone, I expect continuation toward 0.9220 and eventually the 0.9300 region. On the fundamental side, the Australian dollar is gaining traction as improving risk sentiment and stabilizing commodity demand support AUD strength. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is softening due to recent pullbacks in crude oil prices and increasing speculation that the Bank of Canada may not maintain its hawkish stance for long if economic slowdown persists. This divergence creates a favorable backdrop for AUDCAD bulls. I’ll be watching for a minor retest of the broken wedge resistance to confirm support. If momentum holds, buyers could drive an impulsive leg toward previous supply areas. For now, I remain bullish as long as price stays above recent breakout levels, turning this structure into a profitable continuation play.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
AUD/CAD: Bearish Drop to 0.9097?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:AUDCAD is signaling a bearish continuation on the 1-hour chart , with price testing a downward trendline and forming lower highs, indicating sustained selling pressure. The entry zone sits near the resistance zone , aligning with the trendline for a high-probability short setup if sellers maintain control. Entry between 0.9182-0.9200 for a sell position. Targets at 0.9116 (first) and 0.9097 (second) near the support zone for a solid risk-reward ratio. Set a stop loss on a close above 0.922 to protect against an unexpected reversal. Look for confirmation with a break below 0.9182 accompanied by increasing volume, driven by the prevailing bearish momentum. Fundamentally , tomorrow—Thursday, October 16, 2025—we have the Australian Unemployment Rate report, which could trigger volatility in AUD. Additionally, the Bank of Canada Governor’s participation in a friendly session in Washington tomorrow may influence CAD movements, adding another layer of uncertainty to the pair. 💡 📝 Trade Plan: ✅ Entry Zone: 0.9182 – 0.9200 (short setup near resistance & trendline) ❌ Stop Loss: Close above 0.9220 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.9116 (initial support) TP2: 0.9097 (extended downside target) What’s your take on this setup? Share below! 👇
Short
by Master_Hunter
1
AUD/CAD: Bearish Drop to 0.91630?FX:AUDCAD is signaling a bearish move on the 1-hour chart , with an entry zone between 0.92215-0.92280 near a resistance level. First target at 0.91875 🎯 marks initial support, while the second at 0.91630 🎯 offers a deeper downside play. 📈 Set a stop loss on a daily close above 0.9232 to manage risk effectively. 🌟 A break below 0.92 with strong volume could confirm this drop, driven by CAD strength and AUD weakness. Watch commodity trends! 💡 📝 Trade Plan: ✅ Entry Zone: 0.92215 – 0.92280 (resistance area) ❌ Stop Loss: Daily close above 0.9232 to manage risk 🎯 Target 1: 0.91875 (initial support) 🎯 Target 2: 0.91630 (deeper downside target) Ready for this move? Drop your take below! 👇
Short
by Master_Hunter
6
AUDCAD: Watching for Pullback .. Here's My Trade Plan📊 AUDCAD has rallied strongly following the release of positive RBA data, giving the Aussie a notable boost 💹. 🔎 On the chart, we can clearly see a phase of bullish expansion 🚀. At this stage, my focus is on waiting for a retracement, allowing price to pull back and then confirm with a bullish break of structure on a lower timeframe for a long entry 🎯. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
AUDCAD - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum. No opposite signs. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by VladimirRibakov
5
AUDCAD Forex Heist Plan: Entry, SL & TP by Thief Trader Style🏴‍☠️🔥 AUD/CAD Bank Heist Plan – Thief Trader's Long Con in Motion! 🔥🏴‍☠️ Breakout Bulls vs Bearish Guards – Who Wins the Forex Vault This Time? 🌍 Hello Money Makers, Market Bandits, and Strategic Robbers! 💰🚀💣 It’s Thief Trader back again, dropping heat with another high-stakes Forex bank job – this time we're targeting the AUD/CAD vault. This is not your grandma’s trading plan. We’re executing a well-calculated heist based on a fusion of technical breakouts + fundamental drivers with a dose of pure trading psychology warfare. 🎯 💼 The Heist Blueprint: Long Entry Game Plan 🧠 Our job is to move in silence until the breakout alarms go off. We target 0.90200 as the clean breakout trigger over the Moving Average. This zone marks the guard shift — bulls take over if we break through. 📌 Entry Types (Choose your weapon): 🔹 Buy Stop: Above 0.90200 (Post-MA breakout confirmation). 🔹 Buy Limit (DCA Style): Set limit buys at recent lows (M15/M30 swing low) for pullback entries. Layer your entries like a true strategist. 🔔 Set Alerts: Don't sleep on this. Place alerts at breakout zones – let the chart notify you when the bank door opens. 📡 🛑 Risk Management – The Escape Plan We don't jump in blind. Place your Stop Loss ONLY AFTER the breakout confirms. 📍Suggested SL: 0.89600, near recent 4H wick low. 🔥 Reminder: Your stop depends on your lot size, risk tolerance, and how many entries you're stacking. Don't set it too tight – we don't want early alarms killing the mission. 🎯 Profit Target – Rob & Exit 📍 Primary TP: 0.91200 🎭 Or simply: Escape before the alarm rings (i.e., close early if you see price weakness near resistance or news surprises). 🧲 Scalpers, stick to long bias only. If you're running capital deep, go in hard. If not, ride with the swing team. Use trailing SLs to protect and ride the move like a ghost. 🧠 Behind the Heist – What Fuels Our Mission? The AUD/CAD pair is showing bullish signs backed by: ✴️ Macroeconomic indicators ✴️ Central Bank divergences ✴️ COT data (Commitment of Traders) ✴️ Intermarket correlations ✴️ Sentiment shifts & positioning strategies Before executing any trade, read your fundamentals. Study the landscape. Then strike. 🕵️‍♂️ ⚠️ Trading Safety Alert – Timing Is Everything 🚫 Avoid placing trades during high-impact news. ✅ Use trailing SL to lock in profits and prevent whipsaw hits. 📊 Protect your capital like it’s stolen loot – because it is! 💥Support the Crew 💥 🚀 Smash that 💗 Boost Button if you’re vibing with the plan. Every like strengthens the Thief Trading Crew – and gets us closer to daily market domination. 🎉💪 📲 Stay locked in. Another heist is coming soon. Till then – rob smart, trade sharp, and vanish like a legend. 🐱‍👤💸 🔑 #AUDCAD #ThiefTrader #ForexBreakout #LongSetup #ScalpToSwing #TradeWithPlan #DCAEntry #ForexHeist #MarketStrategy #RiskReward
Long
by The-Thief
AUDCAD | Weekly Outlook | July 14, 2025🟦 AUDCAD | Weekly Outlook | ICT-Based Analysis 📅 Week Starting: July 14, 2025 🧠 "Don't chase — let the trade come to you." 🧭 Market Context (1H + HTF Alignment) This chart outlines a clear Smart Money framework for AUDCAD using ICT principles. The market recently completed a manipulation phase below a major accumulation zone, forming a clear SMT divergence and respecting a CISD (Clean Internal Sell-side Displacement). After manipulation and SMT confirmation, price respected the CISD and showed willingness to displace bullishly, suggesting a potential re-accumulation phase on the lower timeframes. 🔍 Key Observations Accumulation + SMT: We had a prolonged accumulation phase that led to a smart money manipulation (fakeout), marked by SMT divergence. This was followed by a bullish shift in structure, confirming intent. CISD + CE Reaction: Price respected the CISD zone and formed a bullish W reversal + OB/BI setup. This is a common ICT pattern before major expansions. Re-Accumulation Area: The current consolidation near ERL levels shows signs of controlled accumulation, with price respecting previous liquidity levels. This area may act as a springboard for expansion towards HTF objectives. 📈 HTF Targeting: Reversal Area + EQH The chart marks a High Time Frame Reversal Area (HTF) above the current price, potentially acting as a premium inefficiency or sell-side liquidity target. EOH (Expansion Objective High) is drawn in that same region, providing a long-term magnet for price. This aligns with the broader Monthly Cycle expectation. 🔄 Monthly Cycle Analysis “Monthly Cycle is Created — Open, Low... Now We Wait for the High and Close.” This suggests: Monthly Open and Low are already formed. A bullish monthly cycle is anticipated — meaning we're waiting for the High to form next. Once the high is set, a retracement towards the Close level is expected by the end of the month. This macro view gives us context for aiming long positions on pullbacks — buying dips within the re-accumulation range. ⚠️ Trader's Insight Don’t Chase — Let the Trade Come to You. The setup is not about chasing price. Instead, the idea is to: Wait for price to return to favorable zones (e.g., CE of OB inside CISD) Confirm intent with LTF SMT, FVGs, or M15 structural shifts Target HTF inefficiencies and liquidity zones (EOH & Reversal Area) 🎯 Bias for the Week Bullish, based on: Monthly cycle direction (expecting HIGH) Price behavior post-CISD respect Clear smart money accumulation and displacement Re-accumulation on LTFs suggesting continuation
Long
by muhannad_anwar
AUDCAD – Bearish Rejection at Key Resistance ZoneAUDCAD is showing signs of weakness near the 0.8980 supply zone after an extended rally. The pair is now reacting to a historically respected resistance area, with bearish momentum building as exhaustion sets in. 🔍 Technical Outlook: ✅ Price rejected at multi-touch resistance around 0.8980 📐 Clean bearish structure forming after wedge-like exhaustion 📉 Expecting a move down toward: TP1: 0.89365 – recent minor structure TP2: 0.89080 – key demand zone from early July TP3: 0.88654 – full measured target from range 📛 Invalidation above: 0.8985 🌍 Fundamental Breakdown: 🇦🇺 Australia: 📉 Softening inflation and retail sales 🏦 RBA cautious with limited appetite for further hikes 🇨🇳 Weak Chinese demand adds pressure on AUD 🇨🇦 Canada: 💪 Supported by rising oil prices and solid employment data 🏦 BoC remains vigilant on inflation, though on hold 🛢️ Strong WTI prices continue to support CAD ⚠️ Risks to the Bearish View: ⚡ Unexpectedly strong China data could boost AUD 📉 Sudden drop in oil prices would hurt CAD 🗣️ Surprise hawkish shift from RBA 🔗 Correlation & Flow: AUDCAD is a lagging asset, heavily influenced by WTI crude (boosting CAD) and China-linked risk flows (affecting AUD). Keep an eye on AUDUSD and USDCAD for early signals. 📆 Upcoming Key Events: 🇦🇺 RBA Minutes, Jobs Data, Wages Index 🇨🇦 BoC Business Outlook, CPI Print 🛢️ US Oil Inventories (affects CAD) 🧭 Summary: 🔻 Bias: Bearish 📊 Drivers: Oil strength, RBA caution, CAD resilience ⚠️ Risk: China rebound or oil correction 🕵️ Watch: Canadian CPI + Australian jobs data 📉 Likely to Follow: Oil and AUDUSD/USDCAD macro trends
Short
by ultreosforex
9
AUDCAD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25AUDCAD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDCAD – Bearish Setup Following Retracement to Key ResistanceWelcome to Velatrix Capital. Below is a live market opportunity identified by our internal trading desk. This is not financial advice. It’s a data-backed, logic-driven trading edge. Use it with discipline — or don’t use it at all. 🧠 Technical Outlook AUDCAD is currently showing bullish momentum on the lower timeframes, approaching a key resistance zone between 0.89057 – 0.89272. Our trading desk expects price to reach this supply zone and then present a short-selling opportunity with favorable risk/reward potential. We advise waiting patiently for the price to enter this key range before initiating any short trades. Trade Parameters: • Timeframe: 1H • Direction: Sell • Entry Zone: 0.89272 – 0.89057 • Stop Loss (SL): 0.89386 • Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.88458 • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.87954 • Risk/Reward (R/R): 1:2 / 1:4.80 Note: Setup is invalidated if price breaks and closes above 0.89386. 🔔 Follow Us This is just the surface. For more setups, clean breakdowns, and performance-driven content: 📌 Follow, engage, and stay sharp. Our edge is real — and it’s public. We don’t chase hype. We build edge.
Short
by Velatrix_Capital
Why AUDCAD is On My Watchlist for a Short Trade🔎 AUDCAD Trade Idea Overview 🔎 Currently watching AUDCAD closely 👀 — and here’s what I’m seeing across the key timeframes: 📉 On the weekly timeframe, the pair remains in a clear bearish trend, with lower highs and lower lows forming consistently. 🕰️ Dropping down to the daily, we’re seeing continued bearish momentum in alignment with the higher timeframe bias. ⏳ On the 4-hour chart, there’s been a clean break of market structure, confirming short-term weakness. 🎯 I’m eyeing a pullback into equilibrium within the current price range for a potential short entry. 🔹 Entry: On retracement into a key value zone 🔹 Stop loss: Positioned above recent swing highs 🔹 Take profit: Targeting previous lows and liquidity pockets 💧 Patience is key here — waiting for the right setup to align across multiple timeframes. 📊 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly. 💼
Short
by fxtraderanthony
AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure. 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15’ order block identification 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT