AVA/USDT —Demand Zone: Accumulation or Deeper Breakdown?📌 Overview
The AVA/USDT weekly chart shows a dramatic journey:
From the 2021 peak ($6–7), price has been in a prolonged downtrend followed by sideways consolidation since 2022.
For nearly 3 years, the yellow zone ($0.38 – $0.45) has acted as a battlefield between buyers and sellers.
Each test of this area has resulted in strong rebounds, marking it as a major demand zone.
Now, AVA is once again hovering near this critical support. The big question: Is this the ultimate long-term accumulation zone or the start of a deeper breakdown?
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🔍 Pattern & Structure Analysis
Macro trend: Bearish since 2021 → long consolidation from 2022–2025.
Dominant pattern: Wide sideways range with a solid base at 0.38–0.45 and tiered resistances at 0.69, 0.87, 1.10, 1.93.
Price character:
Multiple lower wicks into demand zone → sign of liquidity grabs and potential accumulation by bigger players.
Prolonged sideways near lows suggests a possible bottoming formation.
However, compression against support can also lead to a breakdown if bulls lose control.
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🟢 Bullish Scenario
If buyers defend 0.38–0.45 and push higher:
1. First confirmation: Weekly close above 0.6947.
2. Upside targets:
0.8778 → first mid-term resistance.
1.1002 → psychological & structural breakout zone.
1.9351 → major resistance, early trend reversal confirmation.
3. With strong momentum, a revisit of 3.87 – 5.79 (the 2021 supply zone) remains possible in the next bull cycle.
(Potential gains: +63% to 0.87 / +105% to 1.10 from current price ~0.53).
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🔴 Bearish Scenario
If a strong weekly close below 0.386 occurs:
1. The 3-year demand zone will fail → showing buyers have lost control.
2. Downside target: 0.25 – 0.19 as the next realistic demand area.
3. Extreme measured-move projection even points to 0.07 (though unlikely, it must be considered).
(Downside risk: −53% to 0.25 from current price).
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📊 Key Takeaways
$0.38–0.45 = pivotal demand zone for AVA’s next cycle.
Breakout above 0.69 = early bullish signal.
Breakdown below 0.38 = opens risk of new all-time lows.
This zone will decide whether AVA enters a new accumulation phase or faces final capitulation.
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Critical demand zone = 0.38–0.45.
Watch 0.6947 breakout for bullish bias.
Watch 0.386 breakdown for bearish continuation.
Momentum will reveal if this is smart money accumulation or a last leg down.
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