Brent Crude Oil. Proper Technical Analysis.Greetings fellow traders,
As time goes by, the markets evolve...
If your way of TA is strong, then the path will lead its way...
More visible, more probable:
Dashed lines; Possible forming patterns / support or resistance
Solid lines; Confirmed patterns / support or resistance
Dotted lines; Possible price-action trajectories / wave trend
Lighten colors = support | Darken colors = resistance
Current Pattern Formation Level:
Alpha pattern: Falling Wedge
Possible Beta pattern: Descending Channel
Today's Note:
it's time to separate the boys from the men and do some proper Technical Analysis. Because guys, there are people out there who are actually saying that Technical Analysis is a "self fulfilling prophecy". The next sentence, only fundamentals can help you... Well, this kinda make my blood boil. I mean, it's like looking through a looping glass. I reckon they are living an inverted world. How can you be so confident on fundamentals only, when you know you're living in a fake news era. This seems ignorant, apparently lazy, hypocritical and a bit naive to me. Because truthfully, like most and far more experienced true great traders or analysts would say, "Show me the markets, then I'll show you the news!".
if you want to believe in lies, that's your prerogative. However, telling lies about Technical Analysis... M@*&#^$!*@#!%_F@cker, better be ready to take some verbal punches... ^_^
Since some of these idiots basing their so called recession on crude oil technical's and fake news. In addition fear mongering. Well, let me show you the real news. This drop was suppose to happen anyways. It already got rejected at the resistance, heading back towards the support for a retest. Just as what is happening now. So yeah, it looks like it's even going down a bit more. But a recovery looks inevitable. You have to look at the big picture not only a moment in time. The price action is about to reach a super strong support. Which is highly probable that the price action is going to bounce back up, retesting and possibly even breaking out, reaching new all time highs. I want to say... Beat that, with your click bait fundamental based on fake news crap. However, currently only time will tell, whether this forecast will truly play out. Needless, it does not matter why this is going to happen, as long as you cannot estimate the possible trajectory.
Might be cool if you were coincidentally correct. But you will never be able to tel when to enter and/or exit the market. NO CLUE. The same people were super bullish before the BAKKT dump with btcusd. Getting rekt afterwards. Justice already prevailed, fortunately. Yet, they keep trying.
Anyhow, in this case I will wait for a confirmation of the support and hence showing a bounce back movement. That's the safest way of entering the markets. Follow the trend. Because, the trend is your friend!!!!!! Although, you need to have real TA skills & some experience to find them. I have yet to see the first Fundamental analyst, who shows a rational possible target to enter nor exit. Who knows, they say there is a first time for everything. I fear I might be dead due to old age by then though.
To be concluded...
BCOUSD
Oil against USD has good chancesConsidering Trump is on an edge of becoming third impeachment president of USA, American dollar has good chances to fall and so all the derivatives grow against it. Oil not yet bullish - I consider it still in a consolidation stage, but with very good chances to enter new bull run. Marked targets are for nearest 3 months period.
BCOUSD : LONG (TF = 2H)I also think about the expectations for crude oil for brent oil .
The average analyst forecast for Brent oil in 2019 is $ 70.
My personal opinion is that brent oil should be between $ 60- $ 65 under the current conditions.
This week's news feed could give us the jump we expected and this band's bottom may be upper than 60 dollars.
Since our time frame is small, this trade involves a lot of risks.
To mitigate these risks, I recommend:
RISK/REWARD RATIO : 1/3
POSITION SIZE : %1
STOPLOSS : 62.870
GOAL : 65.897
NOTE : A question came to me: Is the position still the same even if the bigger timeframes ?
My opinion is that the position size in each time period smaller than the weekly time period should be 1%.
HERE'S WHY BRENT CRUDE STILL HAS UPSIDE POTENTIALHi traders, you may already be aware of our long position in Brent crude (check on our profile), and this is a quick update of how things are looking now.
The double bottom pattern confirmed with a bullish RSI divergence is working out quite well so far. Especially yesterday and today, as the US CPI came in lower than expected, did Brent crude make significant progress to the upside.
We're still holding our long and will notify you when we close it or when it reaches our TP.
Like and share :)
BCOUSD - classic triangle.Colleagues, I recommend to consider short positions after the breakthrough of the trend line, because I see a picture of accumulation of positions by a strong player for subsequent sale, the local trend is downward, on the trading session yesterday-there was an attempt to turn.






















