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EURUSD Breakdown or Reversal? Key Levels for Nov 24EURUSD Analysis – Monday, November 24 Welcome traders! 👋 I’m glad to have you here — we’re all learning and growing together in this amazing trading journey. Let’s dive into today’s analysis on EURUSD 👇 As mentioned before, EURUSD is still bearish on the weekly timeframe, and last week’s weekly candle closed strongly bearish again. However, on the daily timeframe, price remains in a bullish structure, because the main swing low has not been broken, meaning the larger bullish correction is still active. On the 4H timeframe, price has taken out sell-side liquidity and is currently pushing upward, forming a short-term bullish leg. I have already identified the relevant POI below and OBS above on the chart. Given the current market phase, today we must proceed with extra caution because EURUSD is in a decision stage — both trend continuation and deep retracement are possible. For today, we have two scenarios: Scenario 1 (Bearish Reaction First) Price moves downward toward the POI and sweeps liquidity resting below. This liquidity mainly comes from the Asia session low. After grabbing liquidity and reacting to the POI, price may start a bullish movement from there. Scenario 2 (Bullish Sweep → Down → Up) Price first moves upward toward the OBS, sweeping the Asia session high liquidity. After tapping into the OBS, price may reject, move back toward the POI, and then from there continue upward again. Important Notes ⚠️ The market is never 100% — always wait for clear confirmation before taking any trade. Practice strong risk management, especially today. Price may also break the strong daily low, and if that happens, EURUSD may continue fully bearish. So be extremely cautious and react according to structure. Share your insights in the comments below. 📘 Educational Note: This analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only. Always follow your own trading plan, wait for confirmations, and manage risk with discipline and consistency. 🚀 Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts. Follow 👉 parisa_tl for more SMC setups and weekly insights. #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #SMC #OrderBlock #Liquidity #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #MarketStructure #POI #OBS #ForexTrader #FXEducation #4HAnalysis #DailyAnalysis #IntradayTrading #DayTrading #ForexSetups #RiskManagement #TraderMindset #ICTConcepts #parisa_tl
by parisa_tl
Eli Lilly: The Trillion-Dollar Cure for Market Volatility?Eli Lilly has officially shattered the Silicon Valley ceiling, becoming the first healthcare company to achieve a $1 trillion market capitalization. While tech giants like Nvidia grapple with bubble concerns and doubts about AI monetization, Lilly has delivered tangible, recurring revenue through its dominance of GLP-1. This milestone is not merely a pharmaceutical victory; it represents a fundamental shift in market leadership from speculative tech to essential biopharma. Macroeconomics: The Flight to Quality The Federal Reserve’s pivot is fueling this ascent. New York Fed President John Williams signaled imminent rate cuts, raising December cut expectations to 70%. Lower rates disproportionately benefit capital-intensive sectors like pharma, which require massive upfront R&D and manufacturing spend. Investors, wary of tech volatility, are treating Lilly as a "defensive growth" asset—a rare hybrid offering the stability of healthcare with the explosive growth of software. Science & Innovation: The Dual-Agonist Revolution Lilly’s valuation rests on **tirzepatide** (branded as Mounjaro and Zepbound). Unlike previous drugs that target a single hormone, tirzepatide mimics both GIP and GLP-1, delivering superior efficacy in weight loss and blood sugar control. This scientific leap has rendered competitors’ single-agonist drugs vulnerable. Furthermore, Lilly is already stress-testing its own dominance with **retatrutide**, a triple-agonist candidate showing even higher potency, effectively cannibalizing its own portfolio before rivals can catch up. Business Models: Disrupting the Middlemen Lilly is aggressively rewriting the pharmaceutical distribution playbook. The launch of **LillyDirect** bypasses traditional Pharmacy Benefit Managers (PBMs). By partnering directly with Walmart to offer cash-pay options for Zepbound vials, Lilly captures margin previously lost to intermediaries. This Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) model exerts immense pressure on insurers to cover these drugs, leveraging patient demand as a battering ram against restrictive formularies. Geostrategy: Manufacturing Sovereignty Management recognizes that demand is useless without supply. Lilly has committed over $27 billion to manufacturing expansion, predominantly in the US and Europe (Ireland and Germany). This strategy reduces reliance on fragile Asian supply chains, insulating the company from US-China geopolitical friction. By onshoring active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) production, Lilly positions itself as a national security asset, aligning corporate growth with Western industrial policy. Technology & Cyber: AI-Driven Discovery Lilly is moving beyond traditional wet labs. The company’s **TuneLab initiative** utilizes federated AI learning. This allows biotech partners to train models on Lilly’s proprietary data without exposing the underlying IP. Additionally, partnerships with Isomorphic Labs aim to accelerate small molecule discovery. This "tech-forward" approach reduces the years-long timeline of drug discovery, turning R&D into a computational problem rather than a biological guessing game. Management & Leadership: The Ricks Doctrine CEO David Ricks has executed a masterclass in capital allocation. While peers engaged in share buybacks, Ricks poured capital into manufacturing capacity ahead of approval. His leadership style is characterized by "preemptive scale"—building the factory before the drug is approved. This risk appetite allowed Lilly to meet the explosive demand for Zepbound faster than competitors, securing market share through sheer logistical brute force. Patent Analysis: Building the Moat Lilly is fiercely defending its IP territory. The company has launched legal offensives against compounding pharmacies attempting to sell unauthorized versions of tirzepatide. Simultaneously, they are layering patents on delivery mechanisms and combination therapies. The transition from auto-injectors to vials also serves a strategic patent function, complicating the regulatory pathway for future biosimilars. Conclusion Eli Lilly has successfully decoupled itself from the broader healthcare index. By combining Silicon Valley-style innovation with industrial-scale manufacturing, it has created a $1 trillion moat. As the Fed eases policy, Lilly stands ready to deploy cheap capital to further widen the gap against its rivals.
NYSE:LLYLong
by TradeThePool
EURUSD Review November 24 2025Short-term price movement ideas. Price has formed a daily confirmation from the weekly zone in the form of an FVG. At this moment, we have already seen a retest of this FVG and received 4H confirmations in the form of a Break-the-Structure (BtS) and an additional FVG. If the price now confirms the 4H zone on a lower timeframe, then we can consider opening a short position with the objective of taking out the previous low. Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
by SFASignals
$Gold Technical Analysis October 2025 📊 #GOLDUSD Update 🔑 Key Zones PRZ: $4,371 (Gold stopped nicely at $4,381!) Local Support Zone: $4,180–$4,050 Holding this range can send Gold soaring again toward: ➡️ $4,500 → $4,750 → $5,200 If these supports are lost, → next downside zones are: ➡️ $3,950 → $3,850 → $3,750 📅 Timeframe & View Short-term: Gold trading between $4,180–$4,050 — key range before the next big leg. Long-term: ATH projection levels: 💎 $5,300 → $5,700 → $7,300 → $7,700 These correspond with critical years for the global cycle: 2025 (Oct–Nov) performance 2027 2031 2033 Every pullback in this decade-long uptrend remains a buy opportunity. ⚖️ Gold or BTC? For the short term, my focus shifts to BTC. But once that phase completes, I’ll move back to Gold for the long wave. 💰 Long-Term Holders For those holding gold long-term (1 year+): Any pullback below $3750 remains a strong buy zone for adding. ✅ Quick Recap 📍 PRZ hit: $4,371–$4,381 🛡 Support: $4,180–$4,050 🚀 Upside Targets: $4,500–$4,750–$5,200 ⚠️ Downside Risk: $3,950–$3,850–$3,750 🧭 Cycle Years: 2025, 2027, 2031, 2033 💰 Focus: Short-term BTC → Long-term Gold 🧭 Personal Trading Note I only trade Gold in the real market, and use the demo setup here purely for tracking and study. ⚓ Renzo Tip “When the tide turns, the wise trader doesn’t fight it — he rides one wave, then waits for the next.” 🤲 Prayer May Allah bless us with patience in the long waves, wisdom in every entry, and reward us with clarity in both gold and time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HamadaMark
2
USD/JPY: Is Tokyo’s Holiday Trap Ready to Snap?The USD/JPY pair currently navigates a minefield of divergent policies and geopolitical maneuvering. Japan’s currency hovers near critical lows, pressured by aggressive fiscal strategies and enduring U.S. economic resilience. Traders face a complex landscape defined by imminent Ministry of Finance (MoF) intervention and shifting interest rate expectations. Geostrategy: The Tactical Holiday Window Strategic timing defines the current currency defense playbook. The U.S. Thanksgiving holiday creates a classic liquidity vacuum. Thin markets allow authorities to move prices sharply with minimal capital expenditure. Takuji Aida confirms Japan holds excessive foreign reserves to fund such active intervention. A surprise operation during this low-volume window would maximize the tactical shock of Yen-buying. Japan’s leadership likely views this week as the optimal moment to strike. Macroeconomics: The Takaichi Doctrine Domestic politics drive the Yen’s recent depreciation. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi champions aggressive spending alongside low interest rates. Takuji Aida advocates stimulating the economy despite the risks of increased debt issuance. Markets interpret these moves as a commitment to monetary looseness. Investors fear Japan’s fiscal discipline is crumbling under Takaichi’s growth strategy. Consequently, capital flees the Yen for higher-yielding U.S. assets. Economics: The Fed’s Mixed Signals U.S. economic data complicates the trajectory of the currency pair. Federal Reserve policymaker John Williams suggests rates could fall in the near term. Futures markets price a distinct possibility of a December cut. However, persistent inflation creates conflicting signals for the dollar. Traders await U.S. retail sales data to gauge genuine consumer strength. Robust consumption would delay Fed easing, exerting further upward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. Management & Leadership: A Narrative Pivot Leadership rhetoric in Tokyo has shifted from sanguine acceptance to combative defense. Initially, the administration downplayed the negatives of a weak Yen. Now, policymakers openly fret over inflationary side effects. Rising import costs threaten domestic political stability. This swift change in tone indicates the administration recognizes the liability of uncontrolled depreciation. Management strategy has pivoted toward active market control to protect political capital. Business Models: The Export Dichotomy The weak Yen forces a bifurcation in Japanese corporate models. Exporters in automotive and heavy industries reap windfalls from repatriated earnings. Conversely, domestic-focused models suffer from soaring energy and raw material costs. Aida notes that the demerits of a weak currency now rival its benefits. Firms must rapidly adapt pricing architectures to survive this volatility. The era of passive currency acceptance is over for Japanese importers. Industry Trends: Retail Meets Liquidity Global retail trends directly collide with currency flows this week. U.S. Black Friday sales serve as a critical bellwether for the American economy. Strong sales would reinforce the "higher for longer" U.S. rate narrative. Simultaneously, Japanese markets face holiday closures, creating dangerous liquidity gaps. These disconnects foster distinct industry trends where volatility spikes become the norm rather than the exception. Technology & Cyber: Algorithmic Risks Algorithmic trading systems thrive on current market instability. The cyber dimension of FX trading becomes critical during low-liquidity holiday weeks. Automated systems may exacerbate price swings if Japan intervenes unexpectedly. Traders must utilize advanced tech platforms to detect sudden order flow anomalies. The disparity between Tokyo’s manual decisions and New York’s automated execution speeds creates a high-risk environment. Science & Innovation: The Cost of Progress A weak currency erodes the purchasing power of the scientific sector. Japanese research institutions rely heavily on imported technology and rare materials. A depreciating Yen drastically increases the foundational cost of innovation. While exporters gain cash, the price of scientific advancement rises. Fiscal stimulus must specifically target these R&D gaps to prevent a lag in global competitiveness. High-Tech & Patent Analysis: The IP Imbalance Japan’s high-tech sector faces a double-edged sword. Patent analysis suggests Japanese IP becomes cheaper for foreign entities to license. This trend could accelerate cross-border technology transfers out of Japan. However, acquiring foreign patents becomes prohibitively expensive for Japanese firms. The Takaichi administration must address this intellectual property imbalance. Strengthening the Yen is vital for sustaining high-tech acquisition power. Conclusion The USD/JPY pair stands at a volatile intersection of policy and market forces. Japan possesses the capital to intervene, and the U.S. holiday provides the perfect tactical cover. Traders must remain hyper-vigilant as economic data and geopolitical strategy converge.
Long
by the5erstrading
NIFTY Monthly Time & Price Analysis**🚀 NIFTY Monthly Time & Price Analysis Big Move Loading… Stay Ready, Not Shocked!** When Time & Price speak together… the market rarely disobeys. This Monthly Analysis is showing something sharp, clean & high-probability — and if it plays out, many traders will say “Yeh move toh samajh hi nahi aaya!” But YOU won’t be one of them. Because you’re reading this. 💡 📌 Key Levels (Ultra-Refined Time & Price Projection) 🔹 CMP: 26,135 🔹 Target-1: 26,515 🔹 Target-2: 26,950 🔹 Stoploss: Below 26,012 🔹 Strategy: Buy on Dips – Demand > Supply, Momentum is Waking Up ⏳ Time Windows That Can Trigger Explosive Moves These are not random dates. These are precision Time Nodes— moments where Time aligns with Price to create volatility pockets. 📅 28 Nov @ 3:15 PM → Price Window: 26,290 📅 05 Dec @ 3:15 PM → Price Window: 26,518 📅 12 Dec @ 3:15 PM → Price Window: 26,720 📅 20 Dec @ 3:15 PM → Price Window: 26,960 If Nifty respects these — wave structure + demand flow + timing cycle = directional blast. 🔥 Why This Analysis Matters Because the market is currently in that zone where: ✔ High-quality demand is silently absorbing supply ✔ Price is holding premium levels ✔ Time cycles are clustering within 20 days ✔ A decisive breakout is preparing to enter the scene Many will see the move after it happens. You’re seeing it before.
NSE:NIFTY1!Long
by RaviRoushanSrivastava
3
Continue to accumulate - gold price moves slowly around 4050⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) trades firmer near $4,075 in early Asian hours on Monday, supported by rising expectations of a Fed rate cut following comments from John Williams. Attention now turns to Tuesday’s US September PPI and Retail Sales data. Williams noted Friday that the Fed could still lower rates soon without derailing progress on inflation. Markets now see nearly a 74% chance of a December cut, up from 40% last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Softer rates would lower the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, offering the metal additional support ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price continues to accumulate and move sideways in the range: 4000 - 4100, The market did not have many major changes at the beginning of the week. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4143 - 4145 SL 4150 TP1: $4130 TP2: $4120 TP3: $4100 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4003 - 4001 SL 3996 TP1: $4016 TP2: $4028 TP3: $4040 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Altcoins Market ETA- So this graphic show only Cryptos and when i speak only Cryptos, it means " No BTC, No ETH, Not Stablecoins ", Only Altcoins ! - This post is not a price prediction, not a FUD, and not a FOMO, it's just my own opinion based on facts. - Without BTC/ETH and Stables, the crypto market barely reaches $580B MC, a nutshell in the ocean of global finance. Cryptos have already been rejected four times around the $900B MC. ---------------------------------------------------------- - In 2021 we had DeFi. - In 2022 we had L1/L2 wars. - In 2023 we had AI. - In 2024 we had memecoins. But 2025 has no new narrative. ---------------------------------------------------------- Cycles always go like : BTC → ETH → Large caps → Mid caps → Micro caps but this time : - There's too many new tokens, too many VCs and early insiders droping on retails. - Altcoins are falling due to a lack of liquidity, no compelling narrative, and absent buyers, while market makers focus on protecting themselves with BTC and stablecoins. ( Dyor on what happened on 10th October 2025 ). - Right now, most people are holding their breath, waiting for the Fed to launch the next round of QE and another rate cut. - Money makes Money, the world is working like that. - My advice for now: be patient. If you already hold crypto and believe in your projects, just HODL. If you’re new to crypto, stay on the sidelines and wait until the market surpasses $1 trillion. - Comments are welcome but stay sharp and thoughtful. Be Safe! Happy Tr4Ding !
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3ES
by thecryer
Bullish Analysis – XAU/USD (15M) SMC🇺🇸 BREAKDOWN After the market swept all the sell-side liquidity below the previous lows, it became clear that institutions were accumulating longs at discounted prices. Right after that sweep, we got a clean bullish ChoCH, signaling the first shift in intent. Then price left an FVG unmitigated, and as usual, the market created a manipulative bearish BOS—a classic fake-out designed to induce shorts and grab more liquidity before moving in the real direction. That manipulation brings price directly into the 15M Order Block, which aligns with a clean support area. My entry is positioned at 4,039, exactly where I expect the institutional reaction: • 15M OB • Support zone • Liquidity sweep • Clear rejection From that point, I’m expecting the typical sequence: fake out → rejection → lower-timeframe confirmation → bullish expansion. For exits, I’m targeting two key zones: • TP1 at 4,073 for the first FVG mitigation and liquidity grab. • TP2 at 4,101, a level with higher-timeframe inefficiencies waiting to be filled. The setup gives me an R/R of 1:3, totally professional and risk-controlled. This analysis follows the classic institutional flow: liquidity → manipulation → return to origin → bullish continuation. If I get a bullish BOS on 1M or 5M, this becomes an A+ setup. GOOD LUCK TRADERS 🦾😎🖤
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
5
SPY Multi-Timeframe Breakdown (Weekly → 15m) + GEX for Nov. 24SPY Multi-Timeframe Breakdown (Weekly → 15m) + GEX & Options Plan Let’s take a look across all timeframes to see what SPY wants to do next. 🟩 Weekly (1W) – Big Picture On the weekly, SPY is still in a bullish long-term uptrend, riding that rising channel since 2024.
But right now price is: ✅ at the top of the channel
✅ inside weekly supply (red zone)
✅ showing rejection wicks This is usually where big money: * takes profit * hedges * slows momentum * waits for a better entry Most likely move on the weekly: 👉 pullback or sideways consolidation first Weekly still bullish overall, but this location is a “late long” zone. Key levels: * 665–670: upside rejection area * 649–652: first support * 613–620: stronger demand if selling continues 🟥 Daily (1D) – Structure Shift Daily chart shows more weakness: * CHoCH + BOS down * lower high forming * rejection from daily supply * back inside the channel mid-range This suggests: 👉 short-term bearish momentum
👉 buyers waiting lower Daily demand zones: * 652–655 (current defense) * 640–645 (next liquidity) * 613–620 (major demand) If buyers can’t defend 652, daily structure continues lower. 🟨 1-Hour (1H) – Intraday Trend 1H trend is still bearish until proven otherwise. We have: * descending channel * multiple BOS down * failed retest of supply * sellers stepping in around 666–668 Short-term view: As long as SPY stays below 666–668, sellers control intraday momentum. Bullish shift ONLY if: ✅ break above 668
✅ hold above it Otherwise, continuation toward 652–650 is possible. 🟦 15-Minute (15m) – Micro View 15m shows the first signs of stabilization: * CHoCH up * retest of trendline * small range forming This is where scalpers usually try: * quick longs off support * but targets stay small If 15m breaks back below: 650–652 → momentum shifts right back bearish. 🧲 GEX (Options Positioning) This is the important part. GEX levels tell us where price is likely to move next because dealers hedge. Key takeaways: 🔻 Highest negative GEX / PUT support: 650
🔻 Additional support walls: 645, 640, 634 As long as SPY stays above 650: 👉 downside moves get absorbed
👉 volatility stays controlled 🔺 CALL walls: 664
668
675 These act as resistance magnets. Meaning: SPY can bounce into 664–668, but dealers will hedge against upside past 668, making it tough to break through. ✅ GEX Bias Neutral → Bearish * Below 668 = sellers comfortable * Above 668 = momentum flips bullish quickly * Below 650 = volatility spike and acceleration lower 📈 Options Trading Thoughts (Recommendation) Based on: * weekly supply * daily CHoCH down * 1H bearish structure * GEX resistance Best option approach: ✅ credit spreads
✅ bearish bias until 668 breaks Example: * Sell 675c / Buy 680c (bear call spread) OR * Sell 650p / Buy 645p (put spread) if price holds 652 Directional calls are lower probability unless: ✅ SPY breaks 668
✅ holds above it ✅ Summary * Weekly still bullish trend, but in resistance * Daily showing lower structure * 1H bearish until 668 breaks * 15m trying to base * GEX supports selling below 668 * 650 is the key downside level this week My view: 👉 Likely bounce attempts
👉 but sellers reload around 664–668
👉 unless bulls break 668 with strength 📌 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
6
Is This the Start of the Next Natural Gas Upswing?💨 Natural Gas (XNG/USD) — “Profit Pathway Setup” 🎯 Swing / Day Trade Edition 📊 Market Overview: The Energies Market is heating up — and Natural Gas is showing its next potential boom move! After a confirmed Moving Average Breakout, bulls are sneaking back in. 🕵️‍♂️ This setup blends discipline + creativity, using the Thief-Trader layered entry method — designed to catch price action efficiently while minimizing emotional errors. ⚙️ ⚔️ Trade Plan (Bullish Setup): Entry Zones (Layered Buys): 🟩 3.500 🟩 3.600 🟩 3.700 (You can expand your buy layers depending on your own comfort and risk plan.) Stop-Loss (Thief SL): 🧯 3.350 — just below the nearest lower-low candle wick. 💬 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — this SL is a personal style choice, not a fixed rule. Manage your risk your way. Target (Profit Escape Zone): 🎯 4.100 — a strong resistance + overbought + trap + distribution zone. 💬 Reminder: I’m not forcing my TP; you’re the boss of your own bag — make your profits, then take them! 💰 📈 Why This Setup Works: 🧠 Technical Confirmation: MA breakout = bullish continuation in progress. 🎯 Layering Strategy: Multiple limit orders reduce average cost + improve flexibility. 🏗️ Structural Setup: Clear accumulation → breakout → markup pattern emerging. 🧩 Exit Logic: Resistance + trap-zone = high-probability exit zone for profit capture. 🌍 Related Assets to Watch (Correlation Check): 💹 NYMEX:NG1! — Natural Gas futures benchmark, strong global mirror. AMEX:UNG — U.S. NatGas ETF; sentiment confirmation. 🛢️ BLACKBULL:WTI / BLACKBULL:BRENT — closely tied to energy flow; when oil strengthens, gas often follows. ⚡ TVC:DXY — dollar strength can inversely impact commodity demand. 💵 FX:EURUSD — macro correlation to risk appetite across energy & FX. Keep eyes on these pairs — their momentum helps confirm or contradict your NatGas bias. 👀 📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ Trend Bias: Bullish 💪 Setup Type: Swing / Day Trade hybrid 🧮 Risk : Reward: Favorable above 1 : 3 ⏳ Holding Window: Short-term → Mid-term (2 – 5 days typical) 🧭 Trade Management: Stick to your plan — don’t chase, layer smart. ⚠️ Pro Tip: If price breaks below 3.350, it’s a signal to step aside — no hero moves. 🛑 Price structure > emotions. Stay patient, and let the plan do the heavy lifting. 🧘‍♂️ ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #NaturalGas #XNGUSD #EnergyTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutStrategy #CommodityTrading #ForexTrading #TradingIdeas #RiskManagement #MarketAnalysis #EnergyMarkets #TradingView #ChartAnalysis
EIGHTCAP:XNGUSDLong
by The-Thief
USDCHF SELL Setup – Liquidity Tap + Trendline Break Risk📉 SELL Setup – Liquidity Tap + Trendline Break Risk Price has pushed into a major resistance zone sitting above previous highs, grabbing liquidity before stalling. The reaction shows clear exhaustion from buyers. Even though the short-term trend has been climbing, the market is now testing a key reversal area with extended bullish legs and weakening momentum. The ascending trendline is also getting tighter, showing signs of a potential break. If price rejects this resistance zone, a shift in structure is likely, opening space for a deeper correction. I’m watching for bearish confirmation from the top of the zone. A clean rejection or break back inside structure would activate the selling idea. Targets are set toward the previous demand levels shown on the chart. SL: Above the liquidity sweep / resistance zone. TP: Major demand zones and imbalance levels below. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Short
by DreamsForx
AUDUSD SELL Setup – Trendline Respect + Liquidity + StructureAUDUSD continues to follow the broader downtrend, respecting the descending trendline multiple times. Price recently pulled back into the trendline and a small supply zone, creating a clean lower-high formation. Liquidity above the minor highs was taken, and the immediate reaction shows sellers stepping back in. Market structure remains bearish with repeated BOS/CHOCH confirming downside continuation. As long as price stays under the trendline and supply, the bearish momentum is intact. I’m targeting the next liquidity levels and demand zones below, expecting price to fill inefficiencies on the way down. SL: Above the sweep / supply zone. TP: Next major demand / liquidity pool. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Short
by DreamsForx
BUY Setup – Structural Shift After Liquidity SweepPrice has just swept the liquidity under the previous swing lows, which often signals the end of the bearish leg. After the sweep, market reacted strongly from the demand zone, showing clear rejection wicks and increasing bullish pressure. The structure is now transitioning from bearish to bullish. We have the first break in short-term structure, and price is holding above the mitigation zone. This indicates that buyers are gaining control and absorbing sell orders. If price maintains support above this level, the probability of a continuation move higher increases. My focus is on a confirmed retest: A bullish rejection from the demand zone shows strength. A strong impulsive candle would confirm momentum. Any slowdown or deep pullback is expected to stay above the swept-liquidity area. Targets are set toward the next imbalance and resistance zone above, where liquidity is resting. Stop-loss remains below the sweep, away from the manipulation zone. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Long
by DreamsForx
XAUUSD Weekly Market Outlook 17-21 NOVDear traders, This week in the gold market brought a blend of controlled volatility, structural clarity, and liquidity-driven movement. Below is your institutional-style recap summarizing everything that shaped XAUUSD — and the key factors to monitor moving forward. ⸻ 📌 Weekly Summary Gold spent the week rotating between a well-protected daily demand zone at $4,032–$3,952 and a strong intraday supply zone at $4,088–$4,110. Despite multiple sharp intraday moves, the broader market held its bullish structure, consolidating after October’s exceptional rally. This tightening price action indicates accumulation and prepares the market for a significant expansion. ⸻ 📈 Technical Highlights 🔹 Daily Chart (D1) • Strong defense of the $4,032–$3,952 demand region. • Price remained above major trend EMAs. • Sellers continued protecting $4,088–$4,132. • RSI neutral, showing no confirmed trend reversal. 🔹 H4 / H1 • Clean descending channel respected throughout the week. • Multiple London sweeps below $4,022–$4,033. • Supply at $4,078–$4,090 consistently rejected price. • Friday’s end-of-week power move hinted at bullish intent but still lacked confirmation. 🔹 15M–5M • Ideal conditions for scalpers: CHoCH ➝ BOS sequences repeated across sessions. • Buy-side and sell-side liquidity taken repeatedly: • BSL: $4,067 / $4,079 • SSL: $4,033 / $4,025 • MACD + momentum divergence signaled exhaustion before every reversal. ⸻ 💧 Liquidity Overview A liquidity-driven week with textbook sweeps around session opens. Buy-Side Taken: $4,067 → $4,079 → partial sweep $4,088 Sell-Side Taken: $4,033 → $4,025 → multiple weak lows cleared The market continues accumulating orders before the next major move. ⸻ 🌍 Macro Drivers • DXY remained neutral; no strong directional catalyst. • Yields softened slightly, easing downward pressure on gold. • Market anticipates next week’s FOMC minutes, which may be the spark for a breakout. Expect continued positioning until then. ⸻ 🔭 Next Week’s Outlook Gold is winding up for a breakout. The next clean H1 move will likely set the tone for the coming weeks. Bullish Breakout Requires: H1 close above $4,090 🎯 Targets: $4,107 → $4,132 → $4,160 Bearish Break Requires: Break below $4,048 🎯 Targets: $4,033 → $4,000 → $3,952 Until breakout: expect range, liquidity grabs, and fakeouts. ⸻ 📣 Weekly Performance Highlights 🪙 BTC/USD WEEKEND BONUS ✅ SELL +600 PIPS ✅ BUY +1,100 PIPS 🔥 Additional +1,700 PIPS added to the weekend. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 WEEKLY RECAP 🏅 GOLD NET PIPS: +5,220 💰 TOTAL WEEKLY PROFIT: +5,220 PIPS 📌 49 Signals → 45 Wins | 4 SL 🎯 Win Rate: 92% These results speak for themselves — consistency, precision, and high-probability execution week after week.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX