Beyond Technical Analysis
DOGE Price Heating Up! Support Tested, Big Move IncomingCRYPTOCAP:DOGE continues to respect its key ascending support line (red trendline), which has acted as a strong base since late 2023. Each retest of this level has led to a bounce, showing buyers are still defending it.
Price is trading around 0.23, moving toward the 0.27 supply zone. A breakout above could fuel another leg up, while losing support would put the 0.14–0.15 demand zone back in play, a crucial level to preserve the broader bullish structure.
In short, DOGE is at a decision point: holding support keeps the bullish case alive, but losing it could hand control back to the bears.
DYOR, NFA
Tesla Pops on Musk’s $1 Trillion Bonus. Here’s How Insane It Is.The mother of all KPIs.
Elon Musk has a new carrot dangling in front of him, and it’s not a Mars colony or a flamethrower.
Tesla’s board is asking investors to approve a bonus so massive, so absurd, so galaxy-brained, that it makes past compensation packages look like pocket change.
Ready? We’re talking about the potential for a $1 trillion payday if Musk manages to drag Tesla to an $8.5 trillion valuation. In ten years.
That’s nearly eight times where it is today. So let’s unpack just how unhinged this deal really is, why Tesla stock popped on the news, and what it would take for Musk to collect.
🚀 The Trillion-Dollar Tease
Tesla stock NASDAQ:TSLA climbed 3.6% Friday on the back of this announcement, not because anything happened then and there, but because something could happen ten years out.
The board dropped the proposal in a securities filing, outlining that Musk could receive up to 423 million shares – worth over $1 trillion – if Tesla smashes through a series of market cap and operational milestones.
In other words, the board is looking to lock Musk in and make sure he doesn’t get distracted by rocket launches, robot brains, or tweeting memes about NPCs at 2 a.m.
💰 What’s the Catch?
The catch is that this isn’t free money. To claim the full $1 trillion, Musk has to lead Tesla into uncharted corporate territory: Boost Tesla’s market cap from $1 trillion to $8.5 trillion by 2035. That’s more than double Nvidia’s NASDAQ:NVDA current valuation ($4.2 trillion) and equal to the GDP of Japan, Germany, and the UK, combined.
Deliver 12 million more EVs (as of this summer, Tesla has managed about 8 million in its entire history).
Land 10 million autonomous driving subscriptions.
Register and operate 1 million robotaxis (Not on the market right now).
Sell 1 million AI robots (Not on the market right now).
Increase adjusted earnings from $13 billion to $400 billion. That’s a 24x jump in profit.
Next stop? Tesla’s earnings report ( Earnings Calendar for reference) in about a month from now.
🪄 The Board’s Spin
Tesla Chair Robyn Denholm called the package “fundamental to Tesla becoming the most valuable company in history.” Translation: Elon, please.
In a letter to shareholders, the board said the award “aligns extraordinary long-term shareholder value with incentives that will drive peak performance from our visionary leader.”
Which is corporate-speak for: We know he’s mercurial, but this should keep him tethered for at least a decade.
⚡ The Stakes for Tesla
Tesla’s stock reaction says investors are cautiously optimistic – emphasis on cautiously. Shares have been down nearly 30% since mid-December, plagued by slowing EV sales , rising competition, and Musk’s very public political feuds (including an ongoing rift with President Trump that’s cost Tesla federal EV incentives).
To make matters trickier, Tesla’s brand halo isn’t as shiny as it used to be. EV rivals like BYD, Rivian, Hyundai, and Mercedes are cutting into Tesla’s dominance, while price cuts have compressed margins.
Analysts expect Tesla to deliver 1.6 million vehicles this year, down from last year’s totals. On top of that, revenue continues to slide, lower by 12% in the last quarter , indicating a shrinking business.
So why the big gamble? Because if this plan works, Tesla wouldn’t just catch up – it would become the undisputed king of EVs, autonomous driving, AI robotics, and energy storage. In other words, a full-blown tech empire.
💰 Musk’s 25% Solution
Part of Musk’s motivation here isn’t just about the money – though a trillion-dollar payday to one person is actually insane. Musk has repeatedly said he wants at least 25% voting control over Tesla to feel “comfortable” keeping his focus there.
Under the proposed plan, if Musk hits every target, his stake in Tesla would rise to 25% from his current holdings of 12%, giving him outsized influence over its future direction. That means if Tesla’s valuation is at $8.5 trillion, he’d be holding shares worth $2.12 trillion. But if he misses? He gets nothing. Zero.
It’s a high-wire act for both Musk and shareholders: reward him with historic wealth if he delivers, but don’t overpay if he falls short.
🤖 Robotaxis, Humanoids, and AI Dreams
A key piece of this plan hinges on Musk’s boldest vision yet: turning Tesla into an autonomous AI platform. Forget just cars – think fleets of robotaxis generating recurring subscription revenue and Optimus humanoid robots replacing repetitive labor in warehouses, factories, and maybe even households.
If this strategy pays off, Tesla won’t just be an automaker – it’ll be an AI-powered infrastructure company. But right now, that future is priced into a present that still depends on selling Model Ys and Cybertrucks.
🔍 The Market’s Split Personality
Wall Street’s reaction has been mixed, and here’s why:
The bulls argue that Tesla has the innovation engine, the brand, and, yes, the Musk factor to make the impossible happen. They point to SpaceX’s reusable rockets and Nvidia’s AI dominance as proof that moonshots sometimes land.
The bears see the trillion-dollar pay package as monopoly money that’ll never be real. Between slowing EV demand, Tesla’s underwhelming Q2 deliveries, and Musk’s penchant for side quests, they’re skeptical Tesla can hit even half of these KPIs.
🏁 The Bottom Line
Tesla’s proposed Musk mega-package is nothing short of audacious. It’s an all-in bet on:
Explosive growth in EVs and autonomous driving
Turning Tesla into an AI + robotics powerhouse
Keeping Musk’s focus locked on Tesla instead of Mars, memes, or political campaigns
Is the plan bold? Absolutely. Is it risky? Without a doubt.
Off to you : Do you believe Musk deserves the “One-Trillion-Dollar Man” (or $2T) title? Or is all that a desperate move to keep him around? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Weekly Bearish Key Reversal on XLFXLF has provided a great trend (and moral support) to the bullish trend we've seen recently. However a Weekly Bearish Key Reversal on XLF might be a moment for a pause before data later this week and FOMC the week after. Take a look at some of the US Banks weekly charts as well.
BCH Market Update📊 SET:BCH Market Update
SET:BCH looks to be forming a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern ❌
👉 The key level to watch is the black support trendline ⚫
⚠️ If price breaks below this trendline, the pattern will be confirmed and SET:BCH could drop toward the green support level as the target 🎯
👉 This would signal sellers taking control and potential continuation to the downside 📉
FETUSDT: Ascending Wedge Bottom_Ready to take another FlightFETUSDT
Monthly
Continuously moving within an Ascending Wedge.
On a monthly time frame, it is continuously forming HH, HL
Historically, 12 bars (approx. 1 year) correction is observed.
However, it takes a good flight after such correction.
Price is squeezing (and hence profit/loss too) respecting ascending wedge.
Good news! the correction bars have been completed, touching the bottom of ascending wedge.
Flight is ready to take an upside move.
Daily
Flag pattern,
current price range is forming a support zone.
Fundamentally, it has all the spices to justify the above analysis.
Enjoy the ride!
ATHUSDT.P – Trap Zone Absorption → Reversal | High-Timeframe ValBITGET:ATHUSDT.P
🕐 Timeframe: 1H
📊 Strategy: Trap Zone Reversal | Absorption + Delta Flip + HTF Value Reclaim
⸻
📘 CONTEXT:
We’re observing a reversal setup on the 1H chart of ATHUSDT.P (BitGet Mix Perpetual).
Price has recently swept a key trap zone and shown aggressive selling absorption near the lows. We’re now seeing reversal momentum building as price reclaims structure.
This follows a period of:
• Failed sell climaxes at the trap zone
• Absorption of aggressive sellers
• Re-entry above higher timeframe value (HTFV)
These are classic markers of a shift from distribution (short bias) into accumulation (long bias).
⸻
🔍 STRUCTURE BREAKDOWN:
• 🔲 Contraction Box High (BH): 0.03017
• 📉 Higher Timeframe Value (HTFV): 0.03006
• 💚 Trap Zone Absorption Level: 0.02990
• 🔵 Trap Zone Low: 0.02983 (Suggested stop-loss zone)
The chart also marks:
• 📈 Sell climaxes that failed to follow through
• 📉 Buy climaxes that have now been absorbed
This suggests wholesale price acceptance has shifted to the upside.
⸻
🎯 TRADE PLAN:
• Entry Zone: Around 0.02990
• Stop Loss: Below 0.02983 (trap zone low)
• Target 1: 0.03071 ✅ (Remove ~33% at this level)
• Target 2: 0.03151 ✅ (Remove ~90%, leave runners)
• Risk/Reward: Designed for a +5% move
• Execution Type: Reversal entry off structural sweep + absorption
⸻
🧠 NOTES ON INDICATORS:
This chart is deliberately stripped of indicators to maintain focus on raw structure and price behavior.
The following zones are marked visually:
• HTFV = Higher Timeframe Value area (drawn manually)
• Trap Zone = Where previous aggressive sellers are now trapped
• Absorption = Inferred from prior failed lows and clustering behavior
• No footprint data shown, but reversal pressure is visible through price structure alone
⸻
✅ TRADE STATUS:
📈 Active – Position Open
Monitoring structure for expansion continuation and scale-out levels.
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: Gold Income or Bargain Entry?The Setup: A Pullback with a Plan
Gold has been riding a strong bullish wave, yet momentum indicators suggest it's time for a breather. RSI is now overbought, and if history repeats, we could see a healthy correction of up to 9.29%, in line with prior pullbacks. This projects price near 3255, where we also find a cluster of UnFilled Orders (UFOs) acting as a potentially relevant support. It’s a key price area where buyers may step in again.
Rather than try to perfectly time the correction or the bottom, we’re applying a more forgiving approach: selling a PUT far below current price—generating income while leaving room to be wrong by over 375 points.
This is not a hedge. This is a standalone income strategy that accepts risk but frames it intelligently using technical context and options structure.
The Strategy: Selling the 3250 PUT on GC
We're using a simple but powerful strategy—selling a naked PUT—which can generate income or result in ownership of Gold at a deep discount if price dips.
Underlying Asset: GCZ2025 – using Gold Futures Options (Nov 24 2025 Expiration)
Strategy: Sell 1x 3250 PUT
Premium Collected: 10.09 points ≈ $1,009
Breakeven Price: 3240
Max Profit: $1,009 (if Gold stays above 3250 until expiration)
Max Risk: Unlimited below breakeven
There are two possible outcomes here:
Gold stays above 3250 → we keep the full premium.
Gold drops below 3250 → we get assigned and become long GC at 3250. From there, we’re exposed to downside risk in Gold, with a breakeven at 3240.
The position benefits from time decay and stable to rising prices, but it does carry the full downside exposure of long Gold futures if the trade moves against us.
We want to be very clear here—this is a naked trade with undefined risk. That doesn’t make it reckless if done with sizing discipline and technical alignment, but it’s not a beginner-friendly strategy.
Gold Contract Specs
Understanding the size and risk of what you're trading is critical—especially with naked options.
✅ GC – Gold Futures (Full Size)
Symbol: GC
Contract Size: 100 troy ounces
Tick Size: 0.10 = $10
Point Value: 1 point = $100
Initial Margin (as of Sep 2025): ~$15,000 per contract (subject to change)
Underlying for the Option: GC Futures
✅ MGC – Micro Gold Futures
Symbol: MGC
Contract Size: 10 troy ounces
Tick Size: 0.10 = $1
Point Value: 1 point = $10
Initial Margin: ~$1,500 per contract (subject to change)
Why does this matter?
Because if GC collapses below 3250 and you're assigned long, you’ll be exposed to full-size futures. That’s $100 per point of movement. A 50-point drop? That's $5,000 in unrealized loss.
That’s where MGC becomes your best ally. Micro Gold futures offer a scalable way to hedge. If price begins moving down or breaks below the support zone, one could short MGC against the Short GC 3250 PUT to cap further losses or rebalance directional exposure with reduced size and margin impact.
The Technical Confluence: Where Structure Meets Strategy
The 3250 strike isn’t just a random number—it’s calculated. Historical RSI-based corrections in Gold have shown recent worse-case scenarios around 9.29%, and projecting that from recent highs lands us precisely near the 3255 zone. This level also aligns with a clear UFO support, where institutional buyers have likely left behind unfilled orders.
That confluence—statistical retracement, technical indicator, and order flow support—gives the 3250 strike an interesting probability structure. Selling a Put beneath it means we are placing our bet below the “floor” and getting paid while we wait.
If Gold never corrects that far, we profit.
If it does, we might get long near a historically meaningful level.
There’s no need to catch the top. There’s no need to nail the bottom.
Just structure the trade where the odds are already potentially skewed in your favor.
Trade Plan: Reward, Risk & Realism
This trade isn’t about precision entry or leveraged glory—it’s about risk-defined logic with a cash-flow twist. Here's the full breakdown:
🧠 Trade Parameters
Strategy: Sell 1x Gold Futures 3250 PUT Options
Premium Collected: 10.09 points = $1,009
Point Value (GC): $100/point
Breakeven Price: 3240 (3250 – 10)
Expiration: Nov 24, 2025
🟩 If Gold Stays Above 3250
You keep the full premium → $1,009 profit
🟥 If Gold Falls Below 3250
You may be assigned 1 GC contra<ct long at 3250
Unrealized losses begin below breakeven (3240)
Losses can be significant if Gold falls aggressively
⚠️ Reward-to-Risk?
Reward is capped at $1,009
Risk is unlimited below breakeven
The trade only makes sense if you're prepared to own Gold, or hedge dynamically via MGC or using any other technique
This isn’t a “set-and-forget” income play—it’s a calculated entry into a structured exposure with a fallback plan.
Risk Management: No Margin for Error
Selling naked options isn’t “free money.” It’s responsibility wrapped in premium. Here's what must be considered:
❗ Undefined Risk
When you sell a naked PUT, you're exposed to the full downside. If Gold drops $100 below your strike, that’s a $10,000 loss. Don’t sell naked options unless you’re ready—and capitalized—to buy the underlying or actively hedge it.
🔄 Use MGC to Hedge
If Gold breaks below 3250, using Micro Gold Futures (MGC) offers a surgical way to hedge risk without overleveraging. A simple short MGC can offset GC losses proportionally, depending on how aggressive the move becomes.
🧮 Precision Matters
Avoid entering trades too early or too large.
Place an “invalidation” point: if price violates the support zone with conviction, reduce or hedge exposure.
Never sell premium just because it’s “high”—sell where structure backs the trade.
📊 Discipline Trumps Direction
This strategy is valid only if risk is respected. The market doesn’t owe anyone consistency—but a structured, risk-controlled approach keeps you in the game long enough to see it.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
IBEX 35: Signals of Trend SeekingBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The IBEX 35 opened the session higher and by midday was trading around 14,920 points, after several weeks in which the Spanish index has followed the global rebound. Since April, stock markets have staged an almost vertical rally, with examples such as the Nasdaq 100, which has gained nearly 45%. However, overbought conditions are becoming evident, pointing to an imminent correction.
In the case of the Spanish benchmark, 15,442.90 points marked the peak of the bullish move that began in spring and the start of a pullback that could turn into an opportunity. The rally that started on August 1, which pushed the index up by 10%, has already corrected by about 6%, mirroring—albeit with some delay—a pattern seen in Germany’s tech-heavy DAX. At present, the price is attempting to recover, although with mixed signals.
From a technical perspective, a strong breakout above resistance at 14,988 points would open the door to a new test of recent highs. However, the price has lost support at the 50-session moving average, while the Point of Control (POC) lies at 14,230 points, below the nearest support zone around 14,368.93 points. As for indicators, the RSI remains at a neutral level (52.77), the MACD shows a clear bearish trend, and the ActivTrades Europe Market Pulse places European market risk in neutral territory, suggesting more of a consolidation phase than a structural decline.
In conclusion, barring a more significant shift, the outlook suggests that both the IBEX 35 and the major European indices are preparing the ground for a new entry window in the coming weeks, in line with previous corrective patterns within their broader upward trend.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
CNXAUTO Intraday level Cycle 2CNXAUTO: Intraday Levels Cycle -2 for 08th SEP 2025 (Contd of Previous Post)
SOME CORRECTION AHED.
POSITIONED NEAR UTgt LEVEL.
Constituents of weightage stocks can slip from yheir TOP
^^^^^^^Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#3: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#4: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RL#1 & UTgt
HZ => Hurdle Zone, Specialty of “HZ#1 & HZ#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillatoror as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Gold Extends Rally as Fed Rate-Cut Bets Intensify📊 Market Overview
• Spot gold is trading around $3,583–3,588/oz, close to its all-time high near $3,600.
• Main driver: Weak U.S. August jobs data boosted expectations for aggressive Fed rate cuts this month.
• A weaker USD and strong central bank purchases continue to support demand.
• Short-term outlook remains bullish, though overbought signals point to possible technical pullbacks.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: $3,600 (psychological), $3,620–3,625 (extended resistance).
• Nearest Support: $3,574 (Fibo 0.236), $3,560–3,580 zone.
• EMA: Price stays above EMA21 → bullish trend intact.
• Candlesticks / Momentum: Bullish flag structure; RSI >80 (overbought), suggesting possible pullback.
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue its upward momentum if Fed signals dovish policy and USD weakens further.
However, a technical correction is likely if profit-taking intensifies around $3,600–3,625.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL XAU/USD: $3,622 – $3,625
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3628
BUY XAU/USD: $3,577 – $3,580
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3574
SIEMENS LOOKS GOOD. IS READY FOR SWING SIEMENS LOOKS GOOD. IS READY FOR SWING
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#3: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#4: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RL#1 & UTgt
HZ => Hurdle Zone, Specialty of “HZ#1 & HZ#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Bitcoin Targets $116K or $104K Post-CPIMy main bias is to the upside, expecting more upward movement, contingent on holding $104,770. The upcoming CPI data is the key catalyst. On the 4-hour chart, a break above $111,721 targets $116,722, while a break below $109,464 targets the key support zone at $104,777.
Chronex | EURJPY - Buy🚀 Yo Chronex — Bias for today is live!
🎯 100 % model-driven.
No trend-line art, no gut calls. Just a repeatable institutional process delivered every day at London Open
CHECKLIST
H4 Structure:
H4: Order flow:
H1 Structure:
H1 Order flow:
m15 Order flow:
Entry Model:
Context:
🧠 What Chronex does (bird’s-eye view)
- Scans all 28 major FX pairs every session.
- Ranks each currency’s relative strength / weakness from multi-TF data.
- Pairs strongest vs. weakest to create a tight outlook list.
- Adds built-in risk filters → posts one clean table: *Direction · Conviction · Entry zone · SL*.
📍 Today’s Playbook:
Risks
1. Do we have economic high impact news release?
2. Any higher-timeframe counter-trend zones?
3. Has better zone above/below?
Verdict:
💬 Drop questions, challenge the outlook, or share your own setups below!
WLD: Descending Resistance Finally BrokenMIL:WLD has broken out of the long-term descending resistance line, signaling weakening selling pressure. Price is now trading around 1.27, reclaiming the 1.25–1.35 resistance zone.
Sustaining above this area could push toward 1.60, while slipping back below may signal a false breakout with downside risk toward 1.00.
In short, WLD is at a pivotal stage, holding above keeps the breakout valid, rejection could trap late buyers.
DYOR, NFA