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Gold consolidates at 4090 – Downside risk if 4070 breaks1. Market Overview Gold (XAU/USD) rebounded slightly from the 4081 low after a quick wick rejection, now trading around 4090–4092. The market remains under pressure from the upper supply zone, while buying momentum is still weak. Traders are waiting for U.S. economic data later today to determine the next direction. ________________________________________ 2. Technical Analysis • Main trend: Short-term bearish • Key resistances: 4108 – 4115 – 4132 • Major supports: 4070 – 4060 – 4045 • EMA50/200 (H1): Still in a bearish crossover, indicating ongoing downside momentum. • H1 Candles: Narrow range with long lower wicks — showing mild buying but no strength. • RSI (H1): Hovering around 45 – not oversold yet, leaving room for further decline. ________________________________________ 3. Outlook Gold remains in a consolidation phase after a recent drop, with no clear reversal signal yet. As long as the price stays below 4115, the short-term bearish bias prevails. A break below 4070 could push prices toward 4060 or even 4045. Conversely, a close above 4115 (H1) may trigger a short-term bullish correction. ________________________________________ 4. Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: 4111 – 4114 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: 4117 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry: 4061 – 4064 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: 4058
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
2
2008 Crisis and How the Banking System Has Changed Since: ⚠️These headlines serve as a reminder that despite the Basel I, II, and III global banking regulations, we have not been spared from systemic risks originating within the financial system itself 🏦After the 2008 crisis, banks became heavily overregulated. As a result, many of their most lucrative investment and financing activities shifted into affiliated offshore hedge funds — entities that remain very much part of the same global financial machinery. They are simply no longer called “banks,” and therefore escape almost all regulation. 💵These hedge funds lend, repackage loans, buy and sell exotic financial instruments, re-hypothecate, and re-collateralize. They use questionable collateral to issue risky loans , which are then resold, repackaged, and used again as collateral again. 💰 Exotic derivatives, curreny swaps, REPO operations, outright fraud,risky options market-making, — you name it — all thrive offshore , far from regulatory oversight yet just a click away for clients. And make no mistake: these so-called “non-banks” are deeply interconnected with the global financial system. If they fail, the shockwaves will be felt everywhere. 📈 The next financial tsunami will begin offshore — but it’s the onshore world that will be hit the hardest . So don’t keep large sums of money in the bank, guys. Once your funds are in the bank, they’re no longer truly yours — they belong to the bank. Your account can be frozen, blocked, seized, taxed, or even converted into shares (as happened in Spain in 2011). ⚠️And remember: banks can fail. They will fail. And when they do — the government won’t save you. Yours truly, Greg🌹
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by TopTradingSignals
2
Premarket activity is a sign of manipulation So, I have done my research to pick the right moment to enter a trade, studies the market and earnings. Everything went well. The stock gone up for @IBM after the announcement. I am waiting to get some return on my money spent on this stock as a trader. But then comes the premarket activity. The stock has gone down premarket, from $287 to $262. Made me lose trust in this US stock market as a whole. What a stupid example of manipulation and corruption. Favouring some people or organisations (legally with rules, but still favouring) over the rest of individuals. What is the difference between USA and China ? All manipulating and corruption but in different methods. Each one seeing the other corrupt. To me, both as rotten and corrupt as each other.
NYSE:IBM
by ma_akm
1
Bitcoin Technical & Market Analysis $BTCCurrent Market Context Bitcoin is trading around $109,090 as of October 23, 2025, demonstrating resilience after experiencing the largest liquidation event in cryptocurrency history on October 10. The market has entered a critical consolidation phase following a dramatic crash that saw BTC plunge from $126,255 to briefly touch $104,000, erasing over $500 billion in total crypto market capitalization within hours.​ Technical Analysis Based on Chart Patterns The attached chart reveals several critical technical indicators using the LuxAlgo indicator (for readers interested in replicating this analysis). The analysis shows: Key Support Levels: Immediate Support: $107,400-$108,000 zone (currently testing). This area has become increasingly fragile due to weakening institutional demand through ETF outflows.​ Secondary Support: $106,200-$106,500 represents the next critical floor​ Major Support: $103,500 marks the primary support level where buyers aggressively defended during the October 10 crash​ Psychological Level: $100,000 remains the ultimate line in the sand​ Key Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $111,250-$112,000 (short-term holder cost basis at $113,100)​ Mid-term Resistance: $115,000-$117,000 pivot zone​ Major Resistance: $122,000-$124,500 (previous all-time high region)​ Moving Averages: The chart demonstrates that Bitcoin is currently trading between the 200-day Simple Moving Average ($107,846) and the 365-day SMA ($100,367). This compression zone has historically led to extended consolidation periods lasting several months before a significant directional move emerges.​ Fundamental Drivers & Market Sentiment Extreme Fear Persists The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plummeted to between 22-28, indicating "Extreme Fear"—the lowest reading since April 2025. This sentiment has persisted for seven consecutive days, with the index dropping from 71 ("Greed") just days before the October 10 crash. Historically, such extreme fear readings have preceded significant market bottoms, with seven previous instances resulting in an average 22% rally within 15 days.​ ETF Flows Show Institutional Hesitancy U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded mixed flows this week, with significant outflows of $1.23 billion between October 13-17. While BlackRock's IBIT showed resilience with $73.6 million in inflows on October 22, overall institutional demand remains muted. Wednesday saw $101 million in outflows, suggesting institutions are adopting a wait-and-see approach. The inconsistent ETF activity has made the $107,000-$108,000 support zone "increasingly difficult to defend," according to Bitfinex analysts.​ Geopolitical Pressures: Trump Tariffs The catalyst for the October 10 liquidation event was President Trump's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese imports, escalating U.S.-China trade tensions. Trump has since threatened to increase tariffs to 155% if no deal is reached by November 1, adding continued pressure to risk assets. However, Trump is scheduled to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping on October 31, creating a potential catalyst for sentiment reversal.​ Long-Term Holder Distribution On-chain data reveals that long-term Bitcoin holders have reduced their positions by 28,000 BTC since October 15, indicating continued distribution pressure. Daily selling by long-term holders has reached elevated levels at over 22,000 BTC per day (30-day average). Approximately 47% of this selling pressure comes from coins held between six months to one year, suggesting profit-taking from investors who accumulated during earlier 2025 dips.​ Record Liquidations Create Cleaner Market Structure The October 10 event saw $19-20 billion in leveraged positions liquidated within 24 hours, affecting over 1.6 million traders. This historic deleveraging has normalized futures open interest from the 95th percentile down to the 61st percentile, creating a healthier market structure with less downside risk from forced liquidations.​ Price Outlook: 5-10 Day Forecast Base Case Scenario (60% probability): Consolidation with downside bias toward $100,000-$105,000 Multiple analysts, including Standard Chartered's Geoffrey Kendrick, now consider a dip below $100,000 "inevitable" in the near term. Technical indicators support this view:​ Bitcoin is trading below the short-term holder cost basis of $113,100​ The formation of a potential "death cross" pattern suggests bearish momentum​ Continued long-term holder distribution creates structural headwinds​ Price prediction models suggest BTC could trade between $108,400-$116,764 over the next 5-10 days, though several analysts warn that weakness could persist into the $100,000-$103,000 range before finding a sustainable bottom.​ Bullish Catalyst Scenario (30% probability): Recovery toward $115,000-$120,000 This outcome depends on several positive developments: Friday's CPI data release (October 24) could provide directional clarity if inflation remains subdued​ A breakthrough in U.S.-China trade negotiations at the October 31 summit could rapidly shift sentiment​ Historical patterns suggest extreme fear readings often precede sharp recoveries​ If Bitcoin can reclaim and hold above $111,250, it could trigger a rally toward the $115,000-$117,000 resistance zone within 5-10 days.​ Bear Case Scenario (10% probability): Break below $100,000 toward mid-$90,000s If the $107,000-$108,000 support fails convincingly and the $103,500 level breaks, Bitcoin could experience a deeper correction toward $93,000-$97,500. This scenario would likely require additional negative catalysts such as further tariff escalations or sustained ETF outflows.​ Trading Considerations Key Events to Monitor: October 24: U.S. CPI data release (only major economic data unaffected by government shutdown)​ October 31: Trump-Xi summit in Asia​ November 1: Original deadline for 100% China tariff implementation​ Technical Triggers: A daily close above $111,250 would negate the bearish setup and suggest renewed upside momentum​ A daily close below $106,500 would open the path to $103,500 and potentially $100,000​ Watch for the interaction with the 200-day moving average at $107,846—sustained trading below this level typically signals extended weakness​ Options Market Signals: Bitcoin options open interest has reached all-time highs, now exceeding futures open interest by $40 billion—one of the widest gaps on record. This reflects increased hedging activity and market maturation, but also suggests potential for amplified intraday volatility.​ Investment Strategy Recommendations Given the current market structure, a cautious approach is warranted for the 5-10 day timeframe: For Conservative Investors: Wait for confirmation of support above $108,000 or look for accumulation opportunities if BTC dips toward $100,000-$103,000 Monitor Friday's CPI data and the Trump-Xi summit for potential catalysts Consider dollar-cost averaging into positions rather than deploying full capital at current levels For Active Traders: The current range between $107,000-$112,000 offers tactical trading opportunities Use tight stop losses given the elevated volatility environment Be prepared for potential whipsaw movements around key economic releases Institutional Perspective: Spot buying continues despite futures weakness, with the Coinbase Premium Index showing steady accumulation. This suggests sophisticated investors view current levels as attractive for long-term positioning, even as short-term volatility persists.​ Conclusion Bitcoin is navigating a critical juncture following historic liquidations and extreme fear sentiment. The 5-10 day outlook suggests continued consolidation with a bias toward testing the $100,000 psychological level before establishing a sustainable bottom. However, key catalysts including CPI data and U.S.-China trade negotiations could rapidly shift the trajectory. The technical setup remains fragile below $108,000, but extreme fear readings and cleaned-out leverage positions suggest limited downside beyond $100,000 and potential for a sharp reversal once sentiment stabilizes. The current environment favors patient accumulation over aggressive positioning, with the understanding that volatility will remain elevated until macro uncertainties resolve.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Successcor
Volume Profile- Market's Hidden MapWhen we look at a normal chart, we see how price moved over time. But the Volume Profile adds a new dimension. It tells us where traders actually traded the most, revealing the market’s hidden balance and imbalance zones. It shows which price levels were accepted- high volume + bullish action and which were rejected- high volume + bearish action Think of it as reading the market’s memory, where buyers and sellers agreed or fought the hardest. Basically, there are three types of Volume Profiles 1️⃣ P-Shaped Profile This profile generally appears after a downtrend is over or After a weak open that reverses sharply upward in an uptrend Sellers got trapped and covered their positions as buyers stepped in; The long lower profile tail shows panic selling absorbed; Volume bulges near the top where buyers took control. Candle close insights: Strong Bullish close = Genuine buying continuation. Weak Bearish close = Possible exhaustion; higher chances of fading the move 2️⃣ b-Shaped Profile – Bearish Bias This profile can be seen after an up-move or After a strong open that fizzles out in a downtrend. Early buyers exited positions, and sellers dominate; The upper tail shows failed buying; The bulge at the bottom shows new acceptance at lower prices. Candle close insights: Weak Closing (near the lows) = Confirms strong selling and not just long liquidation. Strong Closing (near the highs) = Possible absorption 3️⃣ D-Shaped Profile – Balanced Day Commonly seen during consolidations or Range-bound markets. Both sides trade actively; Market finds fair value; Volume is evenly distributed around the midpoint presenting a day of balance and indecision. Candle close insights: Candle close carries less weight here as the market is in equilibrium. Great for range trading- buy near Value Area Low, sell near Value Area High. Expect a directional break once the balance is disturbed. For now, let’s allow these core ideas to sink in. As we progress, we’ll uncover more layers that make volume profile reading even more powerful. Do boost/comment for more educational content in future.
Education
by Bravetotrade
3
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/10/2025, US SESSION)Gold is consolidating near 4,110–4,115 after attempting a bullish recovery from yesterday’s dip. Current PA is compressing within a minor intraday wedge under key dynamic resistance (H1 200EMA). The US session is likely to determine whether gold continues its bullish correction toward 4,150–4,162 or loses momentum and re-tests liquidity zones below 4,098–4,083. ⸻ 📈 Market Overview • Recent bullish recovery but still trading below major H1 protections. • Buyers attempting to hold above 4,110, forming higher lows since early London. • Sellers are defending resistance around 4,126–4,132, aligned with descending structure. • Momentum mildly bullish but weakening — breakout decision likely in US volatility. ⸻ 🧠 Technical Breakdown 📅 Daily (D1) • Still in macro bullish uptrend, recent rejection candle confirmed lower wick buying. • Current candle showing attempt to recover after heavy retracement. • RSI holding around 59 — neutral but leaning recovery. • Failure to climb above 4,150 today risks another bearish D1 candle. ⏳ 1H (H1) • CHoCH confirmed from previous bearish swing, but price is still under key EMAs. • Trading just below H1 200EMA (approx. 4,150–4,153) — a critical supply zone. • Multiple rejections around 4,125–4,132, signaling short-term resistance. • RSI ~53, balanced but slightly bullish. • MACD histogram showing steady green momentum but starting to flatten. 📍Conclusion: US session needs a breakout above 4,132 or a strong retest to confirm direction. 🕒 30M • Price consolidating in a tightening wedge. • 200EMA overhead at 4,150 acting as session ceiling. • MACD still green but declining — buyers losing steam. • A break below wedge support (~4,104–4,106) may trigger corrective wave. 📉 15M–5M • M15: Sideways structure; BOS previously bullish but now stalling. • M5: Shows liquidity sweeps & quick rejections near 4,126 zone. • Buyers holding structure above 4,110, but momentum slowing. 📍Scalp buyers may wait for retracement or bullish engulfing confirmation. ⸻ 📐 Fibonacci Golden Zone (Last Impulse: 4,088 → 4,137) 🔸 38.2% → 4,119 🔸 50% → 4,113 🔸 61.8% → 4,106 ✅ Golden Buy Zone: 4,119–4,106 ⚠ If 4,106 breaks decisively, deeper pullback to 4,098–4,083 liquidity pocket is likely. ⸻ 🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ Bullish Continuation (Preferred if zone holds) 📍Buy Zone: 4,119–4,106 (Fib confluence + bullish PA confirmation) 🎯 TP1 4,126 | TP2 4,132 (local high) | TP3 4,148 | TP4 4,159 (H1 200EMA) 🛑 SL below 4,102 ⚡ Aggressive Breakout Buy 📍Trigger: Break & close M15 above 4,132 🎯 TP1 4,148 | TP2 4,153 | TP3 4,162 | TP4 4,168 🛑 SL below 4,125 🔻 Bearish Reversal from Supply (Only if clear rejection at 4,132–4,148) 📍Entry: Bearish engulfing/confirmation at 4,132–4,148 🎯 TP1 4,119 | TP2 4,113 | TP3 4,106 | TP4 4,098–4,083 🛑 SL above 4,153 📉 Breakdown Sell (Stronger correction case) 📍Trigger: Clean break below 4,106 🎯 TP1 4,098 | TP2 4,087 | TP3 4,071–4,058 🛑 SL above 4,113 ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Watch – US Session • US jobless claims & mid-tier USD data may fuel volatility. • DXY strength could cap gold upside near 4,148. • If US yields fall, gold may break 4,132 strongly. ⸻ 📍 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 4,126–4,132 / 4,148–4,153 / 4,162 Support: 4,119 / 4,113 / 4,106 / 4,098 / 4,083 Trendlines: 🔻 Descending resistance capping at 4,132 🔺 Ascending intraday support at 4,110 ⸻ 🧾 Analyst Summary Gold is coiling for a directional move during US session. Buyers still maintain short-term structure as long as price holds above 4,106–4,110. A bullish breakout above 4,132 may fuel an impulsive move into H1 supply at 4,148–4,159. However, repeated rejections could cause a deeper correction to 4,098–4,083 before any further bullish attempt. ⸻ 📌 Final Bias Summary ✅ Bias: Mildly bullish above 4,106 ⚠️ Rejection at 4,132 = short-term sell wave 📍 Buy dips > 4,106 | Strong buy only above 4,132 📍 Sell only on confirmed rejection or breakdown below 4,106 — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀 ⸻
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
FETUSDTYou’re looking at the FET weekly chart for a broader perspective. As shown, the price has completed its three-wave corrective structure and has already collected liquidity below 0.23 technically finishing its corrective leg. If overall market sentiment turns positive and liquidity flows back in, the price could potentially rally toward the $0.50 zone, which represents a 100% move from current levels. However, if we get a weekly close below 0.23, it would likely signal further time and price correction, as reflected on the chart.
by rasooldavarpanah
BITCOIN -H4 TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS This Bitcoin H4 chart shows a clear institutional distribution and re-entry structure. Here’s a detailed professional breakdown 👇 🔹 1. Structural Overview Trend Context: Prior to the major drop, BTC was in a strong bullish run, forming higher highs. The sharp reversal and large bearish displacement from the upper zone mark the beginning of a distribution phase — institutions off-loaded their longs and initiated shorts. Current Phase: Price is now in a retracement / re-accumulation pocket after that big markdown. The market is testing old supply areas to confirm whether more shorts will be added. --- 🔹 2. Institutional Short Zones (Red Rectangles) 🔴 Zone 1 – 122,900 – 125,500 USD This is the primary distribution / institutional short zone. Price made a liquidity sweep of previous highs (black dots) before heavy bearish displacement — clear sign of smart-money exit and short entry. Expect this zone to act as a major resistance; any revisit could attract further short positions. 🔴 Zone 2 – 112,900 – 115,500 USD The secondary mitigation zone. Formed as price attempted to retest structure after the initial dump — a “supply inside a supply” pattern. Institutions typically scale in here after the first move down to balance their positions. Price reaction: short-term rejection candles confirm sell-side intent remains active. --- 🔹 3. Current Price (≈ 109,400 USD) BTC is trading just beneath the lower supply, creating a small range between 107,900 – 110,500 USD. The current sideways movement is likely liquidity building before one of two outcomes: Break and retest above 115k → bullish correction to 120–122 k. Rejection below 107 k → continuation of bearish leg toward 103–105 k zone. --- 🔹 4. Key Liquidity Pools Type Price Zone Expectation Buy-side liquidity 112 k – 115 k Stops above minor highs; possible sweep before drop Sell-side liquidity 103 k – 105 k Resting orders below equal lows; target for continuation Major clean lows ≈ 102 k – 103 k Ideal take-profit for short-term bears --- 🔹 5. Institutional Bias Summary Direction Zone Description Short Bias 122 k – 125 k Major institutional distribution area Short Bias (Mitigation) 112 k – 115 k Secondary supply and scaling zone Potential Long Re-entry 103 k – 105 k Expected liquidity sweep + demand base --- 🔹 6. Trading Outlook 🟢 Bullish Scenario Price must close decisively above 115 k with displacement (large bullish candles and volume). That would indicate absorption of supply → next target = 122 k – 125 k zone for final mitigation. 🔴 Bearish Scenario Rejection from 112 k – 115 k or a break below 107 k confirms sellers’ control. Downside continuation target = 103 k – 105 k (demand / liquidity zone). A sweep below 102 k could mark the smart-money buy-trigger area for the next larger leg up. --- 🔹 7. Professional Summary Market condition: Distribution to re-accumulation transition Bias: Short-term bearish until 103 k–105 k is tested Institutional zones: Shorts: 125 k and 115 k Longs: ≈ 103 k Confirmation to watch: Volume-backed breakout from 107 k or 115 k Liquidity sweep and rejection patterns (pin bars, engulfing, displacement)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by enwemadufranklyn1989
ETHUSDTAs you can see on the chart, the price has formed a beautiful triple-bottom pattern and is currently accumulating liquidity. As we all know, liquidity accumulation usually comes with a period of time correction (consolidation). If the price loses the triple-bottom support zone, it’s likely to drop toward 3300–3400. However, if buying pressure appears here and we see a confirmed price stabilization above the 4000 zone, we can expect the first potential bullish target around 4640. Respectfully
by rasooldavarpanah
Momentum Cooling Off, Eyes on $3,700 Support ZoneETHUSD – Daily Chart | Momentum Cooling, Consolidation at Key Support Market Context: Ethereum’s daily chart continues to show a controlled consolidation after the strong rally earlier this quarter. Price action remains confined between the $3,700–$3,850 support zone and $4,350–$4,450 resistance. While sentiment across crypto remains moderately positive, short-term indicators suggest fading momentum and compression rather than a confirmed breakout. ________________________________________ Trend Structure: The broader trend remains constructive, but recent daily candles have formed lower highs — suggesting a mild corrective bias. As long as ETH holds above $3,700, the long-term structure stays intact; a break below would open the door for a deeper pullback toward $3,400–$3,600. A decisive close above $4,450 would confirm renewed momentum and likely invite trend-following participation. ________________________________________ Moving Averages: The 20-day EMA is flattening and currently near price — acting as short-term resistance. The 50-day EMA sits slightly above, showing the market is still in a pause within its bullish structure. The 100- and 200-day EMAs remain well below current levels, confirming the long-term trend remains intact. ________________________________________ Momentum Indicators: RSI (14): hovering around 45–48, reflecting neutral-to-slightly-bearish momentum. A reclaim above 55 would indicate buyers returning. MACD: histogram narrowing, signal lines converging — momentum cooling but not yet reversing. Stochastic RSI: mid-range, curling upward — early sign of potential energy buildup. ADX (14): around 20–25, suggesting weak trend strength; look for ADX rising above 25 for confirmation of direction. ATR: contracting steadily — volatility compression often precedes expansion. ________________________________________ Key Levels: Resistance: 4,350–4,450 — multi-touch supply zone. Next Resistance: 4,600–5,000 — major breakout region if momentum builds. Support: 3,700–3,850 — critical daily support, repeatedly defended. Secondary Support: 3,400–3,600 — previous accumulation area. ________________________________________ Indicator Summary: RSI & Stoch RSI → Neutral; momentum reset after an overbought phase. MACD → Flattening; no strong divergence, just cooling momentum. ADX → Low; confirming a sideways, non-trending environment. EMAs → Flat; short-term equilibrium within a long-term bullish trend. Volume → Gradually declining on dips, suggesting no panic selling. ________________________________________ Outlook: Ethereum’s daily chart reflects a classic consolidation within an ongoing uptrend. Until price closes firmly beyond either $4,450 or $3,700, traders should expect range-bound action and momentum-reset conditions. The next significant move is likely to align with an RSI breakout above 55 , MACD expansion , and a rising ADX above 25 — all signaling renewed directional strength. ________________________________________ Summary: ETH remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, but short-term momentum has cooled. Volatility compression, neutral oscillators, and flattening EMAs define a market gathering energy for its next impulsive phase. As long as $3,700 holds, the broader outlook stays constructive — this is the “calm before expansion”.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by aviranos
DXY Forming a Strong Base – Reversal Ahead?U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY – Daily Analysis After a long downtrend, the Dollar Index seems to be forming a strong base at the bottom, as highlighted by multiple bounces from the same support zone. This area has been acting as a reliable floor, preventing further downside. Currently, the price has also broken above the descending trendline, showing early signs of strength. If the price holds above this breakout, we could see a move toward the 100–101 zone, which is the next key resistance area. However, if the price dips back below the trendline, a retest of the base zone near 97.00 could take place before any potential continuation higher. Summary: DXY is showing a potential reversal structure. A sustained move above the trendline could confirm the start of a stronger bullish phase. DYOR, NFA Thanks for reading! Appreciate your support and engagement 🙏
TVC:DXYLong
by unichartz