Beyond Technical Analysis
XAUUSD LONG VIEW !!Bullion climbed as much as 0.6% after closing lower on Tuesday. Consumer spending unexpectedly stalled in December, setting the scene for a delayed and highly anticipated January jobs report on Wednesday.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Demand Zone 5042 5041
🎯 Target 1: 5,075
🎯 Target 2: 5,086
Litecoin —The 2026 bear market is over!2025 was different. Everything is different now. The last bull market was not, for Litecoin. The next bear market...
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a nice day.
I am looking at Litecoin and I am seeing not, repeating patterns; things change.
The 2021 bullish cycle comes together with a bearish cycle. The same price level that started a major rise September 2020, was later tested as support June 2022. The same level is tested again February 2026.
In 2024 and 2025 Litecoin produced two peaks, no bull market in Cryptocurrency market terms. Nothing extraordinary but rather, a small bullish cycle. A small bullish cycle leads to a small bearish cycle?
Here we can say that Litecoin has been consolidating since June 2022. The next 3-5 years will be awesome. The longer the consolidation phase, the stronger the market cycle that follows.
We are witnessing a consolidation phase, within a wide range, that soon will be more than four years long. This can support a huge bull market for the next cycle. This bull market can happen at any point in time in the near or far-distant future; last week we saw a test of long-term support.
This chart can work together with what we saw with Solana and Ethereum.
The 2024 and 2025 anticipated growth phase was stunted, truncated, dwarfed, due to some political events. Everything changed.
Everything is favorable now. What we missed in the past cycle due to unfavorable market conditions, should unravel in the coming years. My thesis.
The massive attack on the Cryptocurrency market during the Biden administration caused incredible harm to Litecoin and most other sectors of this market, this is reflected on this chart. It can be clearly seen by how the market performed lately.
Since these negative factors are no longer the case, we can expect the next bullish market cycle to be many times better; the world continues to change.
What was once novel, it is normal today. It was the same with email, credit cards and the Internet. At first, people were scared and fought these technologies off; now, they are vital to our day to day life and are accepted as normal, necessary or even mandatory. We cannot live without them but some people had to fight to help them survive.
Cryptocurrency fought and won. It will get better.
It seems Litecoin's bear market will be small. There is no strong bullish cycle to correct. We are already looking at bottom prices and very bad conditions. It can go lower, but it is not necessary nor called for.
The market is going through a once in a lifetime full flush and reset. Let's start from scratch the market says.
This is good. We are young. Growing up, we all had to go through certain pains.
After the challenging periods are over, we tend to enjoy and appreciate our lives even more.
Now that the attack on Crypto is over, we can experience long-term growth.
Namaste.
Massive Head and Shoulders on OKLO - Are you prepared?Things are about to get ugly for OKLO as the companies largest shareholders dump on retail at every pump and the weekly candle is currently back testing the neckline of this massive head and shoulders as resistance.
Is this company nothing but hot air and about to go negative?
AUD/USD Surge: Navigating the Aussie’s Three-Year HighThe AUD/USD pair recently shattered market expectations by climbing past the 0.7100 threshold. This rally marks a definitive three-year peak for the Australian Dollar. Domestic monetary strength and shifting global dynamics drive this impressive performance. Investors now prioritize the Australian Dollar as a premier "risk-on" asset.
The Monetary Pivot: RBA Takes the Lead
Hawkish commentary from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ignited the latest surge. The RBA maintains a restrictive stance to combat persistent inflation. Unlike its global peers, the RBA resists premature interest rate cuts. This policy divergence creates a significant yield advantage for the Aussie Dollar.
Geostrategic Leverage and Critical Minerals
Australia occupies a vital position in the modern global supply chain. Its geostrategy focuses on providing critical minerals to Western allies. Nations prioritize Australian lithium and rare earths to decouple from volatile markets. These strategic partnerships ensure consistent capital inflows and bolster the currency's value.
Industrial Innovation and Business Excellence
Australian mining giants lead the world in automation and high-tech integration. Companies deploy autonomous fleets to maximize efficiency and safety. These innovations lower operational costs and increase export volumes. Such robust business models attract significant foreign direct investment into the Australian economy.
Leadership and Corporate Culture
Australian corporate leaders embrace agile management and transparency. They foster cultures that prioritize sustainable growth and technological adoption. This leadership style builds immense investor confidence in Australian equities. Strong corporate governance provides a stable foundation for currency appreciation during volatile periods.
Technological Sovereignty and Cybersecurity
Australia invests heavily in quantum computing and biotechnology. Rising patent filings in green hydrogen technology showcase a diversifying economy. Simultaneously, the government enforces world-class cybersecurity frameworks to protect financial infrastructure. This digital resilience encourages institutional traders to maintain long-term positions in AUD.
Macro Outlook: Risk Appetite and Data
The current market environment reflects a rampant appetite for risk. Global traders are moving away from the safe-haven US Dollar. Upcoming US Non-Farm Payroll data will likely dictate the next short-term move. However, the structural strength of the Australian economy suggests a continued bullish trajectory for AUD/USD.
WOULD NGD CONT ITS MARKING UP?
In wyckoff perspective , there is still no trading range
i rarely initiate position from the selling climax
I would assume if this is a genuine marking up, then we would probably experiencing a trading range here onwards
Bar from 3/1/26 - 5/2/26, i would view it as a springboard
with trgger bar today, position initiated as attached
Gold ¡WARNING! Very Powerful 11th and 12th + Panic CycleFollow me here on TW for my regular critical updates on crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL, MSTR) and metals (GLD, SL, PL) based on Martin Armstrong's Socrates.
Look in my TW Ideas for posts of each market individually.
Gold, Silver & Platinum have PANIC CYCLES this Thursday 12th.
Gold has the STRONGEST TARGET on the 12th whereas Silver & Platinum on the 11th.
Last week was a STRONG TARGET that produced a LOW.
This week is NOT a target in Gold. It is for Silver & Platinum so, I would not be surprised to see a CYCLE INVERSION with a continued rally into next week on all 3 metals.
A PANIC CYCLE is either of these two:
A penetration of the prior session high AND low.
A very strong move in the same trend direction (up).
In either scenario, it may or may NOT change the trend so, if it panic down then it can still continue rallying the very next next day into next week.
I must say this is very hard to predict BUT I will bet that they will rally HARD on the 11th then PANIC DOWN on the 12th then continue the rally into next week.
¡EXTREME CAUTION IS WARRANTED! ¡FOR REAL!
¡Good luck! 🙏🏻
WILL SUNCOR ENERGY CONT ITS MARK UP?This is a typical reaccmulation pattern of scehmatic #2 in wyckoff methode
i am interested with the Bar @ 4february26, high effort with low result
-i consider this as possiblity of absoprtion
With Springboard (red color) spotted,
Trigger bar today dictate for position intiation
Nasdaq Short Is Playing Out - TGT 24'080First, Nasdaq has failed to make a new high.
Then price dropped, missing the red CL by just a couple of points. Is this really a miss?
Let’s play: *What if…*
The white fork measured how far price could pull back. As we Forkers know, there was about an 80% probability that price would retrace to the white Centerline - and indeed, the CL was reached.
Now it looks like price is turning on a dime.
Next target: the red Centerline around 24,080–24,000.
Here I’m sharing some deeper insights on the lower time frames:
Questions and comments are always appreciated.
GBPJPY – Daily tmf | Bullish Continuation After Healthy Pullback
Bias: Bullish
Market Structure
GBPJPY remains in a clear higher-timeframe uptrend, characterized by consistent higher highs and higher lows. The recent downside move appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting a pullback within trend instead of a full reversal.
Price has not yet broken any major daily structure lows, keeping the bullish bias valid.
Key Zone of Interest (Demand)
Price is currently reacting around the 210.00–211.00 zone, which aligns with:
Previous consolidation
Prior resistance flipped into support
A strong demand area within the bullish structure
This zone is a logical area for buyers to step back in.
Price Action Context
The recent bearish candle looks strong in isolation, but in context it follows:
Range formation near highs
Liquidity build-up before the pullback
Such behavior is common in trending markets and often precedes continuation moves.
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the demand zone and shows bullish reaction:
First target: 213.80
Extended target: 215.00+
Continuation is favored with a strong daily close back above 211.00–212.00.
Invalidation
The bullish setup becomes invalid on a daily close below 209.00, which would suggest a deeper corrective phase.
Conclusion
As long as price holds above key demand, GBPJPY remains technically bullish, with the current move viewed as a healthy pullback in an ongoing uptrend.
Bitcoin starts toward Ma200 —The age of Crypto!Notice how Ma200 is starting to curve down. Bitcoin's bottom can produce a market reaction towards this level. The market can also draw a v shaped recovery, something not seen in more than six years.
Here Ma200 matches perfectly the 0.618 Fib. retracement level. If we want to be conservative, we can use a range for our recovery rally target. This range can sit between 0.5 - 0.618 Fib.
The easy target sits at $85,323 which is the 0.382 Fib. retracement level.
The next range and main target can be $93,127 - $100,930.
Seeing Bitcoin's extreme readings on several oscillators, means it is not necessary we get a lower low in the latter part of this year.
A strong recovery can certainly support another down-wave but a lower low is not mandatory. It can easily happen but it is not "written in stone" so to speak. So we stay open to all scenarios.
Many signals coming from across the altcoins market support a full bottom already being present. Bitcoin can be different though but it is wise to keep an open mind. The market has never been this depressed before.
A bottom tends to form when market conditions and sentiment turns the worst. It will not get any worse than now.
Bitcoin's projected target for the 2025 bull market sits around $165,000 to $185,000. The actual all-time high resulted in $126,000, a big difference. This projection was made based on past history.
The same past also predicts Bitcoin producing a new major down-wave later in 2026.
Since the bull market didn't show up in its full glory and force, the bear market can also end up coming up short. The bull market was weak in comparison to past cycles, most of the action happened in 2024. The same can happen with the bear market.
Stay open to change, the Cryptocurrency market is young and will continue to evolve.
Nothing forbids Bitcoin starts now growing for months, nothing.
The future is uncertain but bright. All that was missed in 2025 will be recovered plus some more in the years to come.
Trust Bitcoin. Trust the altcoins market.
Cryptocurrency is the evolution of the Internet. Finance will never be the same.
Money is free now. Crypto means freedom. Freedom for the world and the masses. A new age. The age of Crypto.
Namaste.
GOLD Today NFPHi, I’m Maicol, an Italian trader.
I study Gold since 2019.
I need your support.
Leave a like and follow me.
It’s a small thing for you, but important for my work.
Please read the description to understand the trading plan.
Don’t focus only on the chart. Thanks.
Live today at 14:00 CET (Rome time).
🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞
Yesterday Gold closed the daily candle bearish, but it is still holding above our key level.
For now, I remain bullish until we see a daily close below 5000.
A confirmed daily repositioning below that level would change the bias.
What to watch today?
NFP at 14:30.
After NFP, monitor:
Yesterday’s daily lows
The dynamic liquidity zone
A potential trap around the gap / the area marked with the spheres
The initial price reaction will be crucial.
If price pushes immediately and aggressively toward the 5100 daily imbalance, it may become difficult to look for longs from the marked levels.
If instead price drops first, takes liquidity, and then reacts, we could have a more valid setup — always keeping today’s data in mind.
We’ll go through everything live at 14:00.
With the chart in front of us, it will be much clearer.
See you later and have a great Wednesday.
🔍 Reminder 🔍
I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions.
I focus on the 14:30 news and the New York open at 15:30.
🔔 Turn on notifications so you don’t miss anything.
📬 If you have any questions, message me. I’ll reply.
🔍 NEXT APPOINTMENTS 🔍
As usual, we’ll be live at 14:00 to follow the market in real time.
In the meantime, have a good day.
-GOOD TRADING
-MANAGE RISK
-BE PATIENT
Report 11/2/26Macro & Geopolitical Report
Report Summary:
This report evaluates the market impact of the Trump administration’s decision to formally rescind the EPA’s 2009 greenhouse-gas “endangerment finding”, the legal keystone used to regulate CO₂ and other GHGs under the Clean Air Act—especially for vehicles. The central thesis is that this is not a simple “pro-oil / anti-EV” headline; it is a regime-uncertainty shock. Near-term, it reads as regulatory cost relief for parts of legacy autos, refining, and carbon-intensive industry. Medium-term, it raises the probability of multi-year litigation, state-federal fragmentation, and cross-border compliance divergence (EU/UK/others), which can increase the cost of capital for long-cycle investments and push multinationals toward the strictest-common-denominator standard anyway. In the next 1–4 weeks, the most visible market expression should be sector dispersion and volatility premia, not a broad macro risk-off—unless it collides with other tails (Middle East energy shocks, trade retaliation, or U.S. fiscal stress).
What happened and why it matters now
The White House announced the president will formalize a rollback that rescinds the 2009 finding that greenhouse gases endanger public health and welfare. That finding sits downstream of the Supreme Court’s Massachusetts v. EPA decision and is the predicate EPA has relied on to set and tighten vehicle GHG rules. The administration is presenting the rollback as a major deregulatory action, including claims of roughly $2,400 per vehicle in compliance cost relief and an aggregate savings headline near $1.3 trillion (figures that will be contested and, importantly, do not remove the reality of global compliance for many manufacturers). In policy terms, the move aims to remove the federal legal foundation for broad GHG regulation; in market terms, it injects uncertainty into the rulebook that governs autos, utilities, and heavy industry capex decisions.
This matters now because the market is already running hot in risk assets (major indices elevated, credit conditions still functional), so the first-order response tends to be “who wins/loses on margins.” But the second-order effect is larger: when the rulebook itself becomes unstable, investors demand higher compensation for policy risk—especially in capital-intensive sectors where payback periods are long and regulatory outcomes materially change cash flows.
Market reaction and positioning signal
In the immediate window, markets typically do not reprice the entire macro complex on climate policy alone. Instead, they reprice dispersion. Legacy automakers and ICE-heavy suppliers can catch a relief bid on the assumption of lower near-term compliance pressure, while clean-tech and some renewables can see multiple compression if investors fear weaker mandated demand. Utilities and grid infrastructure can trade in both directions: less federal pressure can reduce near-term capex urgency, but uncertainty and state-level divergence can raise required returns and complicate planning.
The positioning signal to watch is whether this becomes a “one-day sector rotation” or a broader repricing of policy credibility. If implied volatility and defensive hedging demand rise while indices remain stable, that’s the market saying: “We can rally, but we’re paying for tail risk.”
Macro transmission mechanism
This event transmits through three linked channels. The first is the regulatory cost channel: if federal rules are weakened, compliance costs and product-mix constraints can ease near-term, supporting margins for certain incumbents. The second is the uncertainty channel: litigation risk, whiplash risk, and state-level divergence raise discount rates and can delay or re-shape capex decisions (especially in autos, utilities, industrials). The third is the cross-border channel: even if U.S. federal standards loosen, major exporters still face overseas standards and carbon-cost regimes. That cross-border constraint often pushes firms to keep decarbonization capex alive, but executed in a more complex, less efficient way—raising frictional costs rather than eliminating them.
Political and fiscal implications
Politically, the rollback turns climate regulation into a sharper partisan wedge and invites immediate legal challenges, which increases the probability of policy whiplash across election cycles. That’s the key reason markets should treat the “cost relief” narrative cautiously: relief is only durable if the legal strategy survives and if future administrations do not reverse course. Fiscal optics matter because the administration is framing deregulation as an implicit consumer and industry “tax cut,” yet critics will argue that any near-term savings are offset by long-run external costs (disaster losses, insurance repricing, health burdens) and that the federal posture could increase state and private-sector costs through fragmentation.
Internationally, a looser U.S. federal stance widens divergence with Europe at a moment when the EU is tightening carbon-cost enforcement mechanisms at the border. That can increase trade friction and compliance costs for U.S. exporters in carbon-intensive sectors—even if domestic rules relax—creating a structural incentive for large firms to maintain “global standard” product pathways.
Strategic forecast: base case and pivot points
The base case is litigation + fragmentation. Courts will likely be asked to evaluate whether EPA can rescind the finding consistent with statutory obligations and established administrative law standards, and regardless of outcome, the time horizon is long. Under that base case, markets should expect prolonged uncertainty rather than a clean deregulation dividend. That typically supports the largest incumbents (scale to manage multiple regimes) and penalizes smaller or highly levered firms whose business model assumes one stable regulatory path.
The bullish fork is “rollback largely stands + states don’t fully substitute + global growth stays steady.” That improves near-term margins for ICE-linked supply chains and can modestly support U.S. industrial activity, especially if energy prices are contained. The bearish fork is “rollback blocked or whipsawed + states accelerate tougher rules + trade partners tighten carbon enforcement.” That produces the worst investable mix: higher compliance complexity, higher cost of capital, and delayed investment efficiency.
Asset impact section
XAUUSD (Gold)
Gold is not a direct one-for-one climate headline trade; it is a regime hedge. If investors interpret this move as increasing U.S. political and legal volatility—especially if it contributes to broader institutional conflict—gold tends to stay supported on dips. If, instead, markets price it as growth-positive and disinflationary through lower compliance costs and potentially cheaper vehicle pathways, gold may consolidate rather than trend. The key is whether this policy shock adds to the market’s perception of U.S. governance risk; that’s what feeds gold structurally.
S&P 500
For the S&P, the impact is mostly composition and dispersion, not index direction. Energy, industrials, and some legacy auto exposures can benefit from perceived cost relief. Clean-tech and certain renewables can face valuation pressure if mandated demand assumptions are weakened. The macro risk is longer-run: if policy instability raises the equity risk premium for capital-intensive sectors, the index’s multiple can face a gradual headwind even while earnings hold up.
Dow Jones
The Dow can look relatively resilient in this regime because it is more exposed to industrial cyclicals and mature cash-flow profiles that can be perceived as beneficiaries of deregulation. However, that outperformance is conditional on rates stability. If litigation and policy whiplash feed into higher term premium (investors demanding compensation for governance uncertainty), cyclicals can de-rate quickly even if they were “headline winners.”
USDJPY
USDJPY is primarily a relative-rates trade, and this climate policy event affects it indirectly through growth and term-premium expectations. If markets interpret deregulation as supportive for U.S. growth and therefore U.S. yields, USDJPY can bias higher. If the dominant interpretation becomes “U.S. policy volatility rising,” risk-off episodes can strengthen JPY via deleveraging and hedging flows. Practically, this reinforces a two-way, volatility-sensitive USDJPY profile rather than a clean trend.
DXY
The dollar impact is second order. A “growth-supportive deregulation” read can support DXY modestly through rate expectations. But if the event is absorbed into a wider narrative of U.S. institutional volatility and legal unpredictability, it can cap DXY rallies as global allocators diversify—especially if overseas policy frameworks look more stable. The durability of DXY strength during equity drawdowns is the real tell.
Crude Oil
Crude is not mechanically lifted by a regulatory rollback. Oil prices still anchor primarily to the global supply/demand balance and geopolitical risk premia. Where this matters is the medium-term demand narrative: if EV penetration expectations are revised lower in the U.S., it can marginally support longer-dated refined product demand assumptions. But the nearer-term tape will still be dominated by OPEC+ policy, inventory dynamics, and Middle East risk. In other words: this is more of a micro and policy-volatility catalyst than a spot-crude driver.
Closing synthesis
The market should treat this as a policy-risk premium event, not a simple “industry winner” trade. Near-term, dispersion favors legacy and cash-flow durability while challenging parts of clean-tech duration that rely on stable mandates. Medium-term, the larger macro effect is whether the U.S. drifts into a patchwork regime that raises compliance complexity and increases the cost of capital for long-cycle investments. If policy volatility rises across multiple fronts simultaneously, gold’s regime-hedge bid strengthens, equity multiples become more sensitive to term premium, and USD becomes more headline-reactive.
GBP/USD 11th of FebruaryAlthough yesterday price dropped some there was good enough push towards the DOL to get a nice trade and we are still in tact with the bullish bias because it did not violate any of the lows that are supporting my narrative we just retraced to a daily FVG and respected it so far forming a 1H low at that POI which I don't expect to be violated so I will wait for the marked FVG to be mitigated and create a STL there and then go up again to the DOL target from yesterday even if doesn't reach to it getting a move higher will be enough to profit from it because it is not a small amount of pips
Silver ¡WARNING! Very Powerful 11th and 12th + Panic CycleFollow me here on TW for my regular critical updates on crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL, MSTR) and metals (GLD, SL, PL) based on Martin Armstrong's Socrates.
Look in my TW Ideas for posts of each market individually.
Gold, Silver & Platinum have PANIC CYCLES this Thursday 12th.
Gold has the STRONGEST TARGET on the 12th whereas Silver & Platinum on the 11th.
Last week was a STRONG TARGET that produced a LOW.
This week is NOT a target in Gold. It is for Silver & Platinum so, I would not be surprised to see a CYCLE INVERSION with a continued rally into next week on all 3 metals.
A PANIC CYCLE is either of these two:
A penetration of the prior session high AND low.
A very strong move in the same trend direction (up).
In either scenario, it may or may NOT change the trend so, if it panic down then it can still continue rallying the very next next day into next week.
I must say this is very hard to predict BUT I will bet that they will rally HARD on the 11th then PANIC DOWN on the 12th then continue the rally into next week.
¡EXTREME CAUTION IS WARRANTED! ¡FOR REAL!
¡Good luck! 🙏🏻
EURUSD sideways, breakout and price increase.Related Information:!!! ( EUR / USD )
The Euro (EUR) is trading broadly unchanged against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, hovering near 1.1917 at the time of writing and consolidating at one-week highs following a two-session advance. The greenback remains under pressure ahead of a series of key US macroeconomic releases, while a moderately positive risk backdrop continues to weigh on the currency.
The USD is still struggling to recover from last week’s disappointing labor market data. Adding to the soft tone, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett cautioned on Monday that job creation is likely to slow in the coming months, citing the impact of US President Donald Trump’s immigration policies and rising productivity. These remarks, delivered ahead of Wednesday’s release of the January Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, have done little to shore up demand for the US Dollar.
personal opinion:!!!
The accumulation is continuing, awaiting a breakout from the uptrend, while the DXY index remains weak.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance zone point: 1.19300, 1.19500 zone
Support zone :1.18850 zone
Follow us for the most accurate gold price trends.
ElDoradoFx – GOLD SESSIONS ANALYSIS (11/02/2026, ASIA SESSION)
Gold is trading around $5,023 after rejecting from the intraday supply near 5,080 and compressing into a tight consolidation above the 5,000 psychological level. Structure on lower timeframes is currently corrective, with price sitting between intraday supply and rising demand.
Asia session is building liquidity inside a range, suggesting London will likely decide the next expansion leg. As long as price holds above the 4,990–4,980 demand seen on the charts, buyers still have structural support.
⸻
📊 Technical Outlook (D1, H1, 15M–5M)
🔹 D1
• Macro bullish structure still intact
• Strong rejection from weekly highs
• Price holding above rising trend support
• EMA cluster still trending upward
• Pullback currently corrective
🔹 H1
• Clear rejection from 5,080 supply zone
• Range forming between 5,080 and 5,000
• Demand visible at 5,000–4,980
• Liquidity resting above 5,080
🔹 15M–5M
• Sideways compression structure
• No strong BOS yet
• Equal highs forming intraday
• Asia likely sweeping range extremes
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zones
(Based only on chart swing: 4,983 → 5,078)
1️⃣ BUY Swing: 4,983 → 5,078
• 38.2% = 5,042
• 50% = 5,031
• 61.8% = 5,020
🟩 BUY Golden Zone: 5,042 – 5,020
2️⃣ SELL Reaction Swing: 5,078 → 5,020
• 38.2% = 5,042
• 50% = 5,049
• 61.8% = 5,056
🟥 SELL Reaction Zone: 5,042 – 5,056
⸻
🎯 High Probability Zones
📈 BUY Scenario (Range Support)
Buy Zone: 5,020 – 5,000
🎯 Targets → 5,040 → 5,060 → 5,080
🛑 SL: Below 4,980
⚡️ Confirmation:
• Sweep of intraday lows
• 5M bullish BOS
• Strong rejection candle
—————————
📈 BUY Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break & hold above 5,080
Retest: 5,070–5,060
🎯 Targets → 5,100 → 5,120
🛑 SL: Below 5,040
—————————
📉 SELL Scenario (Range Resistance)
Sell Zone: 5,060 – 5,080
🎯 Targets → 5,040 → 5,020 → 5,000
🛑 SL: Above 5,095
⚠️ Only valid with bearish BOS
—————————
📉 SELL Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break & close below 5,000
Retest: 5,010 fail
🎯 Targets → 4,980 → 4,960
🛑 SL: Above 5,030
⸻
📰 Fundamental Watch
• Asia liquidity thin → fakeouts likely
• Dollar relatively stable intraday
• London session expected to bring expansion
• Market watching risk sentiment flows
⸻
📌 Key Levels
Resistance: 5,060 / 5,080 / 5,100
Support: 5,020 / 5,000 / 4,980
Break-Buy Trigger → > 5,080
Break-Sell Trigger → < 5,000
⸻
📌 Summary
Gold is consolidating intraday around $5,023 inside a tight Asia range. The market is neutral-to-bullish above 5,000, with highest probability trades coming from range extremes. Acceptance above 5,080 signals continuation; loss of 5,000 opens deeper pullback.
Trend-defining level: 5,000
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 10/02/2026 🥇
⚡️ Strong recovery and precision execution across sessions.
📉 SELL −70 PIPS (SL)
📈 BUY +90 PIPS
📉 BUY −40 PIPS (SL)
📈 BUY +320 PIPS
📉 SELL +30 PIPS
📈 BUY +360 PIPS
▶ LIVE TRADING SESSION ▶
📈 BUY +30 PIPS
📈 BUY +130 PIPS
📉 BUY −40 PIPS (SL)
📈 BUY +70 PIPS
📈 BUY +130 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +1,010 PIPS
🎯 11 Signals → 8 Wins
🔥 Accuracy: 73%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ Excellent session management turned early losses into a strong green finish — discipline and execution delivered.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Bullish reboundSo … in analysing volume profiles and volume characteristics of bitcoin in this bearish fall I have come to the conclusion that bitcoin is about to rebound soon.
Here are my reasons:
1. Bitcoin is still within range of previous bullish rally and is not showing signs of this momentum shifting (I know I know this is a bit of a controversial take, but please keep an open mind),
2. Value area of the bullish swing, annotated on the chart, is way above the current price level, meaning the price is not at its fair value and is searching for a new balanced price (a price where both sellers and buyers will be happy in the short term),
3. That brings me to my observation that price might rebound higher. I believe, and I base this believe mainly on the volume analysis, that this is the current best price or fair value, meaning that this is the new swing low, actually it's a higher low technically speaking. If you look at the previous week volume you can observe a purple dot very far away from the 20 MA on the volume (don't be confused, I just set my volume indicator to dots instead of bars). That indicates major exchange between the auctioneers on the market, in fact it is the largest volume traded since the last halving took place (go see volume deviations yourself).
In conclusion of this little rant of mine, I believe bitcoin has a lot of potential since it did not deliver according to expectations at the start of this halving cycle. People talked about more than 300k, however the struggle was real for price even at 120k, giving us "the great bitcoin consolidation". What is happening now, and is to no shock at all to those understanding the market mechanism of supply & demand, is that in order for market to reach higher spots in the orderbook need to be emptied out. That may happen for many reasons as for example fear, profit taking, market manipulation, broker mismanagement … no matter what the reason is, growth only happens when the demand exceeds the supply. And the supply of bitcoin since the last halving hasn't been topped at all, not even close.
So bitcoin has experienced a great exchange of sellers, so now the space is free for new demand and people are greedy and fearful due to geopolitical tensions, thus finding safe haven in more decentralized forms of money.
This is not financial advice so make your own critically revised decisions.






















