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Bitcoin: Sell Signal Points To 106K AREA.Bitcoin has rejected the 113K as a resistance with a clear bearish pin bar close. The low of that pin bar has been broken which qualifies as a sell signal on the daily time frame. 113K was previously a key support, and now a resistance which further adds to the broader corrective argument that I have been writing about for weeks. So what does this mean? The next support is the 105K area and that is where I am anticipating a test either this week or next. Besides CPI, this month also features the next FOMC meeting which can act as a major catalyst bullish OR bearish. These economic events are big enough to affect Bitcoin in a major way which makes it within reason to test the 105K area. IF 105K breaks, the next support after that is the 102 to 100K area. These support references serve as important potential pivot points for day trades and swing trades. You have to evaluation the price action for reversals along with utilizing a realistic reward/risk framework. For example, since Bitcoin has proven to no longer be in an impulse wave (trend) it is more likely in a consolidation. In practice this means LOWER expectations are warranted. Instead of placing take profit objectives on highs or new highs, it is within reason to choose a higher probability objective like 1:1 or whatever the next resistance is at the time of the reversal. Like 113K can be used as a resistance for a profit objective now (UNTIL OR UNLESS IT BREAKS). Using wave counts helps immensely when it comes to forming expectations that are in line with market intent. Since the 108K overlap I am anticipating more of a range bound type of environment which means both RANGE support and resistance levels are significant. This is in contrast to expecting the market to continue to trend which is a common mistake among the less experienced. This thought framework is relevant to swing trades and day trades as the market character changes more frequently over shorter time frames. Even as an investor, the wave counts can help you to recognize much higher quality buying opportunities rather than buying at any price. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
21
BITCOIN Is the end of the Bull Cycle approaching?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) may be approaching the end of its current Bull Cycle and a few weeks ago we have issued a first reminder of the dynamics of this Cycle in relation to all previous. The historic symmetry is high and this time we've presented it using the Time Cycles and Time Fibonacci levels. As mentioned on previous studies, measuring the Super Cycle from bottom-to-bottom, the Top tends to be formed around the 0.786 Time Fib. Naturally the distance from the 0.786 Fib and 1.0 is the Bear Phase (red). What follows next is the Bear Buy (blue) of the Bull Phase from Fib 0.0 to Fib 0.236. What concerns us most at this stage is the fact that 0.786 Time Fib is on the week starting December 01 2025. To make things more alarming, if the next Bear Phase follows the last two that measured 51 days from Top-to-Bottom, since the Super Cycle ends on October 05 2026, the next potential Top of this Cycle could be on the week starting October 13 2025! Certainly food for thought, surely the current Cycle got derailed/ delayed a few months by Trump's tarrifs but above all this serves as a reminder that booking profits in trading is key. And especially since very few actually manage to do so on Tops. So are you booking profits for this Cycle or not yet? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
10
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 33💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you ! ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe . 👀 On the 1H timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that BTC moved upward after breaking through its taker-seller zone, with the breakout fueled by high volume and a whale candle. A strong resistance has now formed at $113,000, while a solid support floor is holding at $110,400. With today’s news, one of these levels is very likely to break. Keep in mind, today’s news is extremely important—if it turns out positive for crypto, the market could push higher and start a strong bullish leg. ⚙️ The RSI key zones are at 50 and 70. If volatility increases and momentum crosses above these levels, Bitcoin could kick off a strong move. 🕯 The size and volume of green candles have increased, building a very solid support around $110,400. Price is currently sitting in a resistance area, and with the NFP release we could see strong candles forming with high volume. 📊 On the 1H timeframe of Tether dominance (USDT.D), we see that after its recent bullish leg, it formed a trendline which has now been broken, followed by a pullback. Currently, USDT dominance is sitting at a very important support floor. If this floor breaks, a significant amount of Tether could flow into Bitcoin and altcoins. 🔔 The alarm zones for Bitcoin are set at $113,000 and $110,400—these are the levels to watch and place alerts on. Since we have the NFP news release today, a potential whale move is likely. If you’re planning to trade the news, define a small risk, use trigger orders, and make sure to apply strict risk management! ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by CryptosWinter
Bitcoin faces bear market risk despite short-term rallyBitcoin faces bear market risk despite short-term rally Bitcoin may enter a bear market by October 2025 if historical 4-year cycles play out, with a possible bottom near $50,000 by October 2026. Analysts project BTC could hit $140,000 before year-end but warn of a sharp drop afterward. While the “Repetition Fractal Cycle” signals a bearish shift, strong ETF inflows ($29.4B in 2025) and institutional demand could alter the pattern. Currently, BTC is testing a key resistance trendline. A break below $100,000 would confirm a bearish outlook, while a move above $113,650 could revive momentum toward $140,000. Polymarket assigns a 59% chance of BTC falling under $100,000 by 2026. Macroeconomic headwinds and tighter regulations could accelerate a downturn. In the short term, Bitcoin is up 2.1% at $112,876 — its highest in a week — ahead of U.S. jobs data, as markets bet on Fed rate cuts from September 17. Weaker ADP payrolls data boosted expectations for soft nonfarm payrolls Friday, which may support risky assets like crypto.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ProfessorSingapore
BTCUSD – Is the Big Wave Coming?Hello everyone, what do you think about BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ? BTCUSD is now standing at a critical crossroads. After a short-term correction, price has continued to build a new support zone around $107,000. This is an area where buyers have consistently defended, showing that underlying demand remains strong. In the past, after each strong rally, we saw a period of accumulation followed by another breakout. Every dip has been quickly absorbed, while volume has been increasing on each bounce – a clear signal that smart money is quietly accumulating. On the news front, expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut, combined with rising safe-haven demand amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty, are creating a powerful catalyst for BTC. This narrative positions Bitcoin not just as a risky asset, but as “digital gold” in the eyes of many institutional investors. I expect this accumulation phase to end soon, with the Bulls regaining control. What about you? What’s your view on BTCUSD? Share your thoughts in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
BITCOIN 4H Bullish Cross formed. Can it sustain a rally to 124k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just completed its first Bullish Cross on the 4H time-frame between the MA20 (red trend-line) and the MA50 (blue trend-line). Following a rejection after marginally breaching above the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), this pattern looks very similar to the Bullish Cross of June 25. Both took place after a strong medium-term correction is the form of Channel Down patterns, with the Bullish Crosses getting formed after a Lower Highs break-out. If fact even the August 07 MA20/50 Bullish Cross led to a strong rally. As a result, if BTC manages to turn its 4H MA100 into a Support, we expect it to initiate a new rally to test at least the previous High above $124k, similar to the July 03 High test. The 0.786 and 0618 Fibonacci levels can be used as Resistance and Support levels upon break-outs and pull-backs respectively. So do you think this 4H MA20/50 Bullish Cross can kickstart a new rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
Bitcoin in the decisionBitcoin opened bearish today, and this outlook remains as long as we trade below 110,900. At 110,300 we still have a naked POC from September 2nd, which should act as support. Since this level often acts like a magnet, I expect we might revisit it. It is important that this level holds – otherwise, a quick move down toward 108,600 could follow, which I see as the next real support. If we somehow manage to reclaim 112,000, the picture flips back to bullish. In that case, a test of the naked POC at 113,000 would be the target, where I expect strong rejection.
by Rayo_mxp
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHY IS NOBODY TALKING ABOUT THIS!!?(warning)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are again, as professional traders, analyzing the multi-time frame context of the market. On an ultra-high time frame, we are seeing the medium moving average touch. We are also discussing the possible channel retest, plus I'm sharing with you the bearish cross and bearish divergence. On the high time frame chart, we are having the zigzag finished, probably with the highest probability. The first ultra-high time frame wave is starting, that is the question of this video, which we are answering, and we are seeing the bullish divergence. On the medium timeframe, we are seeing that as we are touching the resistance, the volume is dropping, which is a bearish sign. We are seeing two bearish divergences on RSI and MACD histogram, and with the highest probability, we are finishing the first wave. On the low timeframe chart, I'm discussing the ending diagonal with you, and I forgot to tell you about this, but we are also having a bearish cross there. Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
8
Bitcoin will continue to decline inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The dominant market structure for Bitcoin remains bearish, with the price action being clearly contained within a well-defined downward channel since the major rejection from the 116800 Resistance Level. This structure has been guiding the asset lower through a series of impulsive declines and corrective rebounds, confirming that sellers are in control of the trend. The most significant recent development was the breakdown below the key horizontal support around the 109000 level. Currently, after this breakdown, the price of BTC is in a corrective phase, rallying back to retest this broken structure from below, which now acts as the current resistance level. This 109000 - 109800 resistance zone is a critical inflection point. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on the failure of this retest. A confirmed rejection from this former support area would validate the continuation of the bearish momentum and signal that the next impulsive downward fall is imminent. Therefore, the TP for this trend continuation play is logically placed at 104000 points. This target represents a new lower low within the channel and is the next major area of structural interest for the price. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
27
BITCOIN dominance crashing. Are we ahead of a major Altseason?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on a relative correction lately, down more than $15000 from its last All Time High (ATH). Despite this obvious technical weakness, there is one indicator that delivers a very promising signal, not just for BTC but for the crypto market as a whole. That is Bitcoin's Dominance (BTC.D, blue trend-line), which got rejected on its 8-year Lower Highs trend-line in mid-June and is pulling-back every since. This chart shows that both last two Cycles, such a rejection that took place in the last year of the Cycle, not only initiated a BTC rally but also an even stronger rise on the altcoin market, what is otherwise known as an 'Altseason'. This time it took place about 6 months before the end of the year (projected end of the Bull Cycle), which is exactly what happened in 2017, the Cycle that the current one looks most like it. As a result, we expect the current market weakness last at most another 2 weeks, which is roughly by the time of the next Fed meeting where the majority of the market is eagerly anticipating the first Rate Cut in years. Do you think that is the signal of an upcoming final rally on Bitcoin and an Altseason? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
BITCOIN BEARISH TRANDLINE WITH DOUBLE BOTTOM - READ CAPTIONHi trade's Bitcoin is currently trading under a bearish trendline and attempting to form a possible double bottom near support. Price is showing multiple rejections from lower support areas, indicating short-term buyers are defending this zone. If the market retraces upward, the first resistance to watch is 110000. A breakout above this resistance may open the way toward the supply zone support zone 108200-107300 resistance zone 110000 supply zone 113000 👉 If you find this idea useful, follow for more daily updates 🔔 💬 What do you think about this setup – will Bitcoin hold support or break lower?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by haleh120
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHALES PREPARING HUGE MOVE!!!? (damn)Yello Paradisers! In this video, as professional traders, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis. First, we went through an ultra-high time frame where I shared with you that we are touching an important moving average trend line. Because of that, we understand that a channel retest is possible, but we need to be careful because there is a bearish divergence, and we already got a confirmational bearish cross. On the high timeframe chart, we have seen that the ABC zigzag is already finished. Right now, we are forming a possible first ultra-high timeframe wave, and from that, we are starting the first motive mode wave. We are seeing bullish divergence, and what I forgot to say is that if we start moving to the upside and creating the secondary high timeframe wave, we will touch the CME futures gap and close it. Which is another confluence. After that, we have been shifting our focus to the medium timeframe. I've told you that what's important is also what you don't see in the market and we are seeing so far no bearish divergence plus what I have didn't show you but there are also two bullish hammer candlestick patterns candles I have been sharing with you the moving average trend line the Fibonacci time zone and the next resistances finally at low time frame chart we have been going through the ending diagonal. Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics. I apologize; I accidentally turned off the video in the middle. Unfortunately, TradingView doesn't allow me to continue, so the next video will be here on TradingView on Wednesday. Stay tuned.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
6
BTCUSD: Decline Movement ContinuesHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup. Market Analysis From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been bearish since it was rejected from the major Resistance Zone 2 near 118900. This initiated a downtrend that has since been developing within the confines of a large downward wedge pattern, creating a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The most recent significant event was the breakdown below the key horizontal Resistance Zone 1 around the 112100 mark. After finding temporary support, the price is now in a corrective rally, heading back up towards the main resistance line of the wedge in a classic retest move. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is based on the expectation that the dominant downtrend will continue. I'm anticipating that the price will complete this corrective bounce and touch the wedge's resistance line. Upon reaching this area, I expect sellers to show strength, reject the price, and cause a reversal that initiates the next impulsive move downwards within the overall structure. Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this rejection from the wedge's resistance. The primary target for this move is 106500 points, which aligns perfectly with the lower support line of the wedge pattern. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Ratner
3
BITCOIN ahead of September crash on historically worst month??Despite the obvious hint of 2 potential rate hikes by the end of this year, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has found itself on a downtrend. And as today we entered the first day of September, this sentiment is further empowered by one simple statistical fact: that September has historically been BTC's worst performing month. As this table on the chart shows (source: CoinGlass), September's average returns have been -3.77%, the worst average score out of all months since 2013. An interesting fact however is that out of all the Septembers that ended in green (4), they did so when there was a red August (like the one we just closed at -5.91%). At the same time out of all the times August was red (8) four times September followed in red. This shows that historical probabilities are equally distributed there. Statistics aside, the market has a strong case of a bottom on the current levels and that's purely a technical one. As you can see, since May 01, Bitcoin has been trading within a Channel Up. This pattern has seen so far two Bullish Legs of almost identical rise (+22.07% and +21.05% respectively) and when they corrected (Bearish Legs), the first Low was on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the second on the Channel Up bottom. This time there is an even stronger technical case, as the price hit the 1W MA20 (red trend-line), which as we've shown on a recent study, is a Support level that historically kickstarts the final rallies during Bull Cycles. Even their 1D RSI sequences are similar, with the indicator currently being on a Lower Lows formation that previously marked the June 22 (Higher) Low. As a result, assuming we will see the 'minimum' of +21.07% Bullish Leg, we should be expecting a $130000 Higher High, which matches our realistic Cycle Top study, based on most studies we've conducted. So do you think Bitcoin will again declined this September or we are currently forming a new bottom? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
Bitcoin: Wave 4 Overlap Changes Expectations.Bitcoin has compromised the 108K area overlap which refers to the wave 1/wave 4 overlap rule for the broader wave 5 impulse that I have been measuring for months. While this can be very subjective, this fact prompts me to adjust my expectations in regards to trend structure, along with risk management. The wave 4 overlap does NOT necessarily mean a bear market is ahead but it does justify considering a lower probability of new high (or wave 5), and a greater probability of a consolidation. So what does this mean for traders and investors? This pull back should not be treated like a typical pull back. In a corrective structure, after the completion of the A wave, which the current leg is likely to be, it is followed by the B wave. This typically establishes a lower high which can be expressed as a move from current prices back to the 115K area. Those who are unaware will get caught in this thinking new highs are just around the corner. IF I am correct about this proposed corrective scenario, this can be very beginning of a very broad wave 2 which can eventually lead price back into the 80Ks. At this magnitude such a move can take a year to play out. Gold has shown similar patterns that persist for years before breaking out, so this scenario is within reason. Key factors to watch for: there are many fundamental question marks that the market has to adjust to. There are numerous data points that are expected over the next few months like NFP, the FOMC rate cut, and how the FED hints at future quantitative easing. While this situation seems beneficial to Bitcoin, we can't take it for granted. This is a sentiment game, NOT a logical one. This is why I use prices to determine if risk is worth taking, not my economic opinion that is based on public information. This means it is possible to have a favorable easy money environment, and Bitcoin can still be stuck in a broad range. With the 108K overlap in place, I will be mostly interested in whole number support levels like 105K, 100K, 95K ext. Even a retest of the 108K support for a double bottom, but if I consider any longs the profit objective will be low (like 1.5 to 1 or even 1:1). I am only interested in swing trades because in my opinion these are not investing levels. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
10