BTC – Between Structure and Supply!BTC has been trading inside a clean ascending channel 📈, respecting both support and resistance.
After breaking above the $113,000 structure zone, price pushed higher but is now approaching a potential retest area.
🟠 Structure zone ($113K – $114K): Could act as support on a pullback.
🟢 Channel support: Aligns perfectly with structure for confluence.
🔵 Supply zone ($122K – $124K): Next major resistance where sellers may step in.
As long as BTC holds above structure, bulls 🐂 remain in control, with the next upside target sitting around the supply zone.
Patience ⏳ is key — waiting for a clean retest could set up the next continuation trade.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entry, risk, and management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD HOURLY IDEA FOR, 17TH SEP, 2025.As usual, Price did it thing yesterday as it invalidated our step-up by moving back up and is currently trading around 117,000+ above a balance area within the range from 114,000 - 116,000. Price trades currently at 117,000 within the London open, and on a short retracement downward as we watch if the price is going to stay above the balance or go back into the previous range.
Bitcoin at Critical Resistance – Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin (BTCUSDT – 3H) is testing the 117.5k – 118k resistance zone, which coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel.
So far, this level has acted as a strong rejection zone several times.
🔎 Key Insights:
• Structure: Price has formed a rising channel/wedge, often seen as a corrective bearish pattern.
• Resistance: 117.5k – 118k (major supply zone + channel top).
• Supports:
• 114k (short-term channel support)
• 107k – 108k (major support zone + channel bottom).
📌 Scenarios:
• Bearish (more likely): Rejection from 118k → downside targets at 114k and 107k – 108k.
• Bullish (alternative): Break & close above 118k → potential rally toward 122k – 124k.
⚠️ As long as BTC stays below 118k, downside risks remain higher.
BTCUSD – Liquidity Sweep & Weekend Fractals
Key Levels
• Major liquidity pocket tagged at 117,898.79.
• After that sweep, price printed a string of bearish fractals.
• Market makers are now likely eyeing the cluster of minor fractals at 117.4k, 118.6k, and 119.3k.
Trade Recap
All our targets were reached over the weekend.
I’m flat now, but in hindsight a trailed stop would have captured more of the move as price kept running.
Plan Forward
Watching how price reacts around the 118k–119k zone for clues on the next leg.
A decisive rejection here could open a deeper retrace; sustained acceptance sets up a fresh structure.
Not financial advice—pure market structure analysis using the CORE 5 lens.
Ethereum: Breakout or Pullback After FOMC?Hello everyone, let’s take a look at ETH together! 🚀
On the H4 chart, ETH has paused after its surge to 4.8k, consolidating between 4.45k–4.62k while staying above the rising Ichimoku cloud – a sign the medium-term trend remains strong. The latest dip came with lighter volume, suggesting profit-taking rather than a full reversal. Key supports lie at 4.47k–4.45k, then deeper at 4.41k–4.39k and 4.35k–4.33k. On the upside, 4.58k–4.62k is the major resistance zone; if cleared, ETH could head toward 4.70k–4.80k. As long as the price holds above 4.41k, this remains an accumulation phase within the uptrend.
The spotlight this week is on the FOMC. A dovish Fed could cool USD and yields, lifting risk assets and giving ETH the push it needs to break past 4.62k. A hawkish outcome, however, might trigger a retest of 4.47k–4.41k to gauge demand. ETF flows and on-chain activity also matter: strong inflows would support recovery, while outflows could pressure supports. Overall, bias stays bullish, but the decisive move hinges on the FOMC – the switch that may set ETH’s next direction.
What’s your take on ETH’s setup? Share your view!
The 115854.56-119177.56 area is a resistance zone
Hello, fellow traders!
Follow us to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day!
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Looking at the big picture, there are two important areas.
These are the 104463.99-18353.0 and 84814.27-93570.28 levels.
To continue the stepwise uptrend, an upward breakout of the 116259.91-119177.56 level is necessary.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts is passing through the 108353.0-116259.91 level. If support is found in this area, the price is likely to continue attempting to break above the 116259.91-119177.56 level.
If the price declines to the 104463.99-18353.0 level and encounters resistance, it is expected to eventually encounter the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is moving between 84814.27 and 93570.28, so it's important to determine whether it can find support within this range.
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Two OBV EMA lines have been added to the OBV indicator in the Low Line ~ High Line channel.
OBV EMA 1 can be used as a short-term indicator, EMA 2 as a medium-term indicator, and EMA 3 as a long-term indicator.
Disabling EMA 3 reveals that the OBV is currently above both EMA 1 and EMA 2, indicating a transition from EMA 1 to EMA 2.
If OBV rises above the High Line and remains above it, the price is likely to continue its upward trend.
Currently, the price has been trending upward as the OBV indicator has risen above the High Line, but with the High Line indicator re-emerging, it appears to be declining below the High Line.
However, as mentioned earlier, since the OBV indicator is holding above EMA 1 or EMA 2, the key is whether the current support and resistance zones hold support.
In other words, the key is whether support can be found and an upward movement can occur around the 115,854.56-116,259.91 range.
The 115,854.56 and 116,259.91 points are the HA-High indicator levels on the 1D and 1W charts.
Therefore, the current support and resistance zones should be considered resistance zones and a corresponding strategy should be developed.
The basic trading strategy is to buy between DOM(-60) and HA-Low and sell between HA-High and DOM(60).
However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, it could exhibit a step-like upward trend, while if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, it could exhibit a step-like downward trend.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
Therefore, those who bought near the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range should consider selling in segments.
If you want to make a new purchase, you can do so when the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range shows support. However, this requires a quick and short response, so caution is advised.
From a broader perspective, this means buying in a sell zone.
-
I believe whether the price will rise or fall in the future depends on whether it can break above Zone 1.
There's a possibility of a bear market turning around, with a new all-time high (ATH) occurring between the week of November 24th and the week of January 26th, 2026.
More details will likely emerge as this month progresses.
This month's volatility period will be around September 19th and September 28th.
-
Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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THE 4-YEAR CYCLE WILL NEVER ENDTHE 4-YEAR CYCLE WILL NEVER END.
As I’ve said many times before, I now think this cycle will push into late January / February 2026, similar to 2017.
As I’ve written extensively about, the macro setup is nearly identical to 2017.
Read that here.
The funny thing is, when we do push into early Q1 ‘26, all your favorite “influencers” will proclaim “this time is different”, because most weren’t here during the 2017 cycle or before.
There is ZERO EVIDENCE that the 4-year cycle is dead.
Since the GFC in 2008, the Fed was redesigned for these boom and bust cycles to counter inflation and unemployment.
At this point, unless the US completely dismantles the Fed, the 4-year cycle will live on in perpetuity. We see the effect of this on TradFi as well.
See the comparison here.
The Fed is set to cut interest rates for the first time in a year at tomorrow’s FOMC. This is a liquidity positive catalyst for markets.
The next ISM PMI print on October 1st should be ~50, which will be the start of the business cycle.
That would give us ~5 months of a surging business cycle, which will pump risk assets to VALHALLA.
BITCOIN 1W Stoch RSI completed a Bullish Cross. Expect new ATH.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just completed a Bullish Cross on its 1W STOCH RSI and that's the first time it does so since April 07 2025. That was as we know, the previous market bottom of the Trade War correction.
In fact, every 1W STOCH RSI Bullish Cross has been a buy signal within this Bull Cycle's Channel Up (since November 2022), most of which huge. The April 2025 Bullish Leg rose by +65.92% and that has been the 'weakest' one of this Channel Up.
As a result, if we get the bear minimum of +65.92% this time around too, expect a new High around $175000, which should be the Cycle Top and in our opinion the absolute maximum that this Cycle can give.
Do you think we will go that high? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bitcoin - It is bullish either way!💎Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) still remains bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
Yes, over the past couple of days we have been seeing a quite negative correction on Bitcoin. However, looking at the higher timeframe, Bitcoin remains totally bullish. So even if Bitcoin continues with the recent correction, it would ultimately result in a bullish all time high break and retest.
📝Levels to watch:
$60.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
PEPE ANALYSIS🔮#PEPE Analysis 💰💰
#PEPE is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a daily time frame and if it breakouts with high volume then we can see a bullish momentum in #PEPE. Before that we will see little bit bearish movement towards its support zone and than a bullish movement.
🔖 Current Price: $0.00001091
⏳ Target Price: $0.00001413
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #PEPE. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
#PEPE #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
BTC Price Action: Bulls vs BearsBitcoin has shown a gradual recovery after a prolonged corrective phase, with market structure leaning toward a constructive buildup. Fundamentally, sentiment is influenced by global macro conditions—investors are watching U.S. monetary policy signals, while stable demand from institutions and long-term holders continues to provide a supportive backdrop. On-chain activity remains steady, with balanced exchange inflows and outflows suggesting no extreme directional pressure in the near term.
From a technical perspective, the market has shifted momentum from bearish flows into a developing bullish sequence. The recent break of structure on the 4H timeframe highlights strengthening upside intent, though price is still moving within a broader accumulation phase. Current flows suggest the possibility of a short-term dip for liquidity before continuation to higher levels, aligning with the overall constructive weekly outlook.
BB ANALYSIS🔆#BB Analysis : Channel Following ⛔️⛔️
As we can see that #BB is following ascending channel on daily time frame. We can see a bullish formation here. And if it trade with good volume then we can see a proper bullish move in #BB 📈📈
Also there is an instant resistance zone and if it breaks with good volume when we would see a huge movement
🔖 Current Price: $0.1714
⏳ Target Price: $0.2323
⁉️ What to do?
- Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.🚀💸
#BB #Cryptocurrency #ChartPattern #DYOR
#BTC: Daily AI Market Breakdown. 2025/16/09Howdy, crypto-warriors and lords of volatility! NeuralTraderingPro is back on the air to decipher the language of charts and orders for you. It’s Tuesday, September 16th, and the market is charged with so much energy you could mine it! ⚡️ Let's see who's calling the shots today.
📜 FORECAST REVIEW: BULLS HELD THE LINE
My analysis from yesterday turned out to be a treasure map! I emphasized the rock-solid support wall at 114,750 USDT and suggested an aggressive Long 1 trade idea: "Buy at current values with a tight stop just below the support wall." This exact scenario played out perfectly! The bears couldn't breach the bulls' defense; the price bounced off that level and surged upward, reaching current marks around 115,800 USDT. The primary bearish breakout scenario was invalidated. Congratulations to everyone who took advantage of this idea and caught the bounce! It was a classic demonstration of how crucial it is to read the order book.
📊 CURRENT SITUATION: CHART AND INDICATOR ANALYSIS
Current Price: 115837.56 USDT
📈 Daily Chart (1D): The global bullish trend is undeniable. The price is confidently holding above the SMA 20 and SMA 50 moving averages. The RSI is at 60, indicating strong buying momentum but still leaving room for growth before hitting the overbought zone. The MACD histogram is rising in the positive zone, confirming the strength of the trend. The structure looks very confident for continued ascent.
💹 4-Hour Chart (4H): Here, we see a picture of bullish triumph. The price didn't just bounce; it broke through local resistance and is now trading above the SMA 20 and SMA 50, which have transformed into dynamic support. Bollinger Bands have begun to expand, and the price is hugging the upper band—a clear sign of buyer strength. RSI is above 60, and MACD is confidently rising above the zero line. All signals point to preparation for the next upward impulse.
⏱️ 30-Minute Chart (30m): On the smaller timeframe, we see the current phase: consolidation after yesterday's rally. The price is moving in a narrow sideways channel, accumulating strength. RSI is oscillating around the neutral zone, and MACD shows a fading momentum. This is a typical breather before the next move. The key support zone here is 115,500 USDT.
📋 ORDER BOOK ANALYSIS: THE BATTLE FOR 115,837
The main battle of the day is unfolding right now!
🟢 Support Walls: Below the current price, buyers have placed several support levels in the 115,822 - 115,804 USDT range. They don't look massive, but their purpose is to cushion small pullbacks.
🔴 Resistance Walls: And here's where it gets interesting! Right at the current price of 115,837.56 USDT, there's a colossal sell wall of over 12 BTC (worth approximately $1.4 million)! This is the main barrier preventing the price from taking off right now. Sellers have concentrated all their power at one point.
Conclusion: The fate of the immediate movement is being decided here and now. If buyers "eat through" this $1.4 million wall, it will be a powerful signal of their strength and could trigger a sharp price surge upward (short squeeze), as the next significant resistance is higher up.
📰 MARKET SENTIMENT AND KEY THEMES
The news background is clearly favoring the bulls and is filled with expectations of growth.
1. 💳 PayPal is lighting the fire! The integration of BTC and Ethereum for P2P payments in PayPal is fundamentally powerful news. It significantly expands cryptocurrency use cases for millions of users and is a long-term growth driver.
2. 💵 Dollar under pressure. Ahead of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar is weakening. The market is pricing in expectations of an interest rate cut, which historically makes risky assets like Bitcoin more attractive.
3. 🐂 Analysts are sounding the horn. Several sources are pointing to bullish technical signals and pattern formations, forecasting a rally to $122,000. In particular, the importance of breaking the $117,500 level to confirm the rally is noted.
4. 🚀 Historical optimism. Renowned analyst Tom Lee predicts a "grand rally" in Q4, fueling long-term bullish sentiment. Interestingly, historically, September is often a turning point. For example, in September 2021, the market was also actively discussing Ethereum valuations and its approach to new highs, creating a generally positive mood.
5. 😐 Fear & Greed Index in neutral zone. The market is not overheated with euphoria nor paralyzed by fear. This is an ideal state for forming a strong and healthy trend movement.
🔮 FORECAST AND KEY TARGETS FOR THE WEEK (September 16-23)
All factors—technical analysis, news background, and sentiment—point to a high probability of continued growth. The only obstacle is the huge sell wall at the current price. A breakthrough of this level will be the main bullish trigger of the week.
Scenario Probability: Long 📈 (65%) / Short 📉 (35%)
🎯 Key targets for the upcoming week:
UP Targets (in case of resistance wall breakout):
1. 🐂 117,500 USDT - Key level mentioned by analysts. Its breakthrough will confirm the start of the rally.
2. 🐂🐂 119,000 USDT - Important psychological resistance, the next target for profit-taking.
3. 🐂🐂🐂 122,000 USDT - Optimistic target for the week, based on technical patterns.
DOWN Targets (in case of rejection from the wall and correction):
1. 🐻 115,000 USDT - Return to the psychological mark and recent support zone.
2. 🐻🐻 114,200 USDT - Local low from September 15th, an important support level.
3. 🐻🐻🐻 112,500 USDT - Deep correction in case of a shift in market sentiment.
💡 TRADING IDEAS
1. Long Positions (Long) — playing the breakout.
Trading Idea Long 1 (Aggressive): Buy immediately after a break and sustained price above the wall at 115,900 USDT. This would signify buyers have won. Target: 117,500. Stop-loss: 115,450 USDT.
Trading Idea Long 2 (Conservative): Buy on a pullback to the support zone of 115,000 - 115,200 USDT, if the market provides such an opportunity. Targets: 117,500, 119,000 USDT. Stop-loss: 114,400 USDT.
2. Short Positions (Short) — playing against the trend.
Trading Idea Short 1 (Risky): Sell at current values, betting that the $1.4 million wall will hold. Target: 115,000. Stop-loss: very tight, at 115,950 USDT.
Trading Idea Short 2 (On structural breakdown): Short only if the price falls below the 4H chart support and consolidates below 114,800 USDT. This would signal a false breakout upward. Targets: 114,000, 112,500 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,500 USDT.
🛡️ CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The market is bullish. Positive news and a strong technical picture create favorable conditions for growth. The key is whether buyers can absorb the massive sell order. This will determine short-term movement. I recommend acting situationally: either join the breakout or catch a pullback to strong support. Control your risks and always use stop-losses 🛡️, as volatility can be high.
May your deposits multiply! 💰 Don't forget to like 👍 this analysis and subscribe to always stay on top of the hottest trends!
Bitcoin Buy setupHi everyone.
I think these two areas have a good potential to take at least 1:1RR profit.
I've set orders in these areas.
Lets see what happens.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Bitcoin will start to correction after touching resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The established market structure for Bitcoin remains bullish, with the price action being methodically guided higher within a well-defined upward channel. This pattern has been in effect since the resolution of a prior upward wedge, creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows between its support and resistance lines. The price of BTC has just completed another full rotation from the channel's support and has now arrived at a critical inflection point. Currently, the asset is directly testing the upper boundary of the channel, a level which forms a powerful confluence of resistance with the horizontal 118200 - 117200 seller zone. The primary working hypothesis is a short, corrective scenario, based on the high probability that the channel's resistance will be respected. A confirmed rejection from this area would signal that the current upward impulse is exhausted and a downward rotation towards the channel's support is underway. Therefore, the TP for this rotational play is logically placed at 112200 points. This target aligns perfectly with the ascending support line of the channel, representing the most probable objective for a corrective move of this nature. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Analytics: Market outlook and forecasts
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, Bitcoin continued its upward movement to the resistance zones. However, the seller didn’t show any activity, and the market only paused.
We’re currently trading in a narrow sideways pattern, but the buyer still has the initiative, despite being in the selling zone.
When trying to resume sales, there was a confident absorption at the $115,000 level, as shown on the cluster chart. We noted this level in our review on TradingView.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
The priority scenario is an upward exit and a test of the next resistance level within today.
However, there is still a high probability of a sharp correction. Trading volumes have decreased, and seller activity could trigger a sharp downward move to the $111,000 level at any time.
The Federal Reserve meeting and interest rate decision on September 17 could increase volatility and the likelihood of a test of lower levels. Therefore, it is important to exercise caution when opening any positions this week.
Buy Zones:
$114,300–$113,500 (volume zone)
$111,600–$110,500 (accumulated volumes)
~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$117,500–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
This week, we’ll be following these macroeconomic events:
• September 16, Tuesday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the volume and core index of US retail sales for August;
• September 17, Wednesday, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for August;
• September 17, Wednesday, 9:00 (UTC) — publication of the Eurozone consumer price index for August;
• September 17, Wednesday, 13:45 (UTC) — announcement of the Canadian interest rate decision;
• September 17, Wednesday, 18:00 (UTC) — statement and economic forecasts from the US FOMC, as well as announcement of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• September 17, Wednesday, 18:30 (UTC) — US FOMC press conference;
• September 18, Thursday, 11:00 (UTC) — UK interest rate decision announcement;
• September 18, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — release of the US initial jobless claims and the US Philadelphia Fed's September Manufacturing Activity Index;
• Friday, September 19, 3:00 (UTC) — announcement of Japan's interest rate decision.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Bitcoin Peak Coming in 45 Days?The above chart compares Bitcoin’s previous market cycles (2017 and 2021) with its current trajectory in 2025, aiming to identify whether history might be repeating. It highlights how long Bitcoin’s bull runs last, how steep the crashes are afterward, and when the next peak and correction could happen.
🔶 2017 Peak
- Bitcoin topped out in December 2017.
- After the peak, BTC crashed by -84%, dropping from around $20K to nearly $3K.
- The bear market lasted about 1 year of decline, followed by roughly 1,065 days of bull run from the bottom before a new cycle peak.
🔶 2021 Peak
- Bitcoin peaked again in November 2021.
- Price fell by -77%, retracing from nearly $69K to about $15K.
- Similarly, the downturn lasted around 1 year of drop, and the recovery phase extended for about 1,065 days of bull run from the bottom.
🔶 2025 Peak?
- If the pattern repeats, the next top could align around late October 2025 and reach the $140K–$150K range.(1,064–1,065 days from the December 2022 bottom).
- In every cycle, Bitcoin’s crash percentage has decreased, suggesting the asset is maturing. If this pattern repeats, we could see a 60–70% drop, pushing the price back toward the $40K–$60K range.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s historical cycles suggest a repeating rhythm of 1 year of decline followed by ~3 years of recovery and growth. Both the 2017 and 2021 cycles lasted about 1,065 days from bottom to top, with each new bull run setting higher all-time highs and each crash becoming less severe.
If this pattern continues, Bitcoin could potentially reach the $140K–$150K range by late October 2025, before facing another correction in the 60–70% range, possibly pulling the price back to the $40K–$60K zone.
While the market shows signs of maturity with institutional adoption and reduced crash percentages, history reminds us that sharp corrections often follow euphoric peaks. For long-term investors, the lesson remains clear: cycles repeat, but opportunities also return.
Dogecoin: Waiting for confirmation at 0.30 USDHi everyone, Dogecoin recently surged from 0.22 USD up to 0.30 USD, clearly reflecting strong inflows into this altcoin. However, the 0.30 USD area has turned into a solid resistance zone, with selling pressure pushing the price back to around 0.26 USD. A retest of the 0.28–0.30 USD region will be crucial in determining whether DOGE can sustain its upward momentum.
On the support side, the 0.22–0.23 USD FVG zone acts as a key buffer. If price dips deeper but holds this area, the likelihood of DOGE bouncing back to continue the uptrend remains high. Additionally, staying above the Ichimoku cloud suggests the bullish structure is still intact. Trading volume has tapered off recently, reflecting investor caution, but a clear breakout above 0.30 USD could open the way for higher targets.
What’s your view – will DOGE maintain its momentum, or will we see a deeper pullback first?
BTCUSD Eyes 116,833 While Dollar Flexes Pre-NewsGood morning traders—
Bitcoin is pressing toward 116,833.25 while the U.S. Dollar Index grinds into a fresh bullish range ahead of key U.S. data.
Notably, there’s a major volume node near 11,861. We could see price hover or even dip into that pocket on the headline drop before any attempt at the higher target. Classic market-maker mind games: build liquidity, shake stops, then decide the real direction.
Macro backdrop
U.S. CPI tomorrow keeps rate-cut odds alive.
Treasury yields firm, adding fuel to the dollar bid.
Equity futures soft, hinting at defensive flows.
Plan
Keep stops tight and trailing, only ride trades backed by strong volume.
Patience until post-news—let the data show the hand before sizing up.
Stay nimble and let the market makers reveal their move. Happy trading.