Get started

Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Wave is Coming?! Quick update for Bitcoin. Earlier, I already warned about a potential bullish accumulation after a test of a demand zone. The price is now testing an important supply cluster and we may see a breakout of that today. In case of a daily candle close above 113600, a bullish reversal will be confirmed, and we will expect a growth at least to 116800. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
6
BTC – Base Before Break?After the ATH at 125k on 25 Aug, BTC pulled back to 107k and has been consolidating. The latest structure looks more like a base for reversal than a continuation pattern: price is back into the 113.3k zone, which coincides with resistance, and we’ve printed a sequence of higher lows—a classic pressure build under supply. What I’m watching • Bullish trigger: A clean break/close above 113.3k opens the path toward 120k (both a technical target and a psychological level). • Continuation potential: If 120k is reclaimed with momentum, a 123–125k retest comes into play. • Support: 110k is the line in the sand; below it, risk shifts to 100k zone (the correction low). Trading plan • Breakout: Look for acceptance above 113.5k and a successful retest to validate upside toward 120k. • Buy-the-dip zone: If we pull back, watch 111–112k for signs of bid absorption and continuation. Bias: I’m bullish while 110k holds. A failure below 110k would likely send us back to 107k and even 100k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
11
BTC - Are the bulls looking for a liquidity grab?Market Context Bitcoin is holding strong after bouncing from a higher support zone and is now pressing into an area packed with liquidity. The recent bullish price action has carved out multiple fair value gaps on the way up, each serving as confirmation of demand and strengthening the bullish structure. Above current price lies a major cluster of buy-side liquidity — a magnet for price. Fair Value Gaps & Confirmations On the way up, price created several bullish fair value gaps that have each been respected as support. The first, second, and now third retests into these imbalances show that demand continues to step in, absorbing supply and building pressure upward. Adding to that, a bullish inversion fair value gap (IFVG) has formed, giving extra confirmation that buyers are in control. Liquidity Target Above The most obvious draw for price is the heavy buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. With so many stops positioned there, the market is incentivized to push higher and sweep that zone. The path toward it could involve another retest into one of the fair value gaps below before expansion takes place, or a direct continuation straight into the liquidity pocket. Final Thoughts This structure is showing textbook bullish strength: stacked fair value gaps, IFVG confirmation, and a clear liquidity pool overhead. Unless the market breaks back below the deeper support zone, the expectation remains a run into buy-side liquidity. If this breakdown sharpened your view, a like is appreciated — and I’d love to hear from you: do you expect a retest first, or do we shoot straight into liquidity?
Long
by Louigi_24
62
BTC capped at 113.2k–115.2k: fade rallies, watch CPI__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is chopping in the low-110k, capped by a stacked 113.2k–115.2k supply zone, with macro headline risk elevated into CPI. Momentum: 📉 Range with bearish tilt — upside attempts fail below 113.2k–114k while HTF pressure remains risk-off. Key levels: • Resistances (HTF/LTF) : 113.2k–113.4k (LTF/240 PH) · 114.5k–115.3k (HTF/720 PH) · 116.6k (recent high, HTF). • Supports (HTF) : 111.9k–112.0k (W pivot) · 110.8k (240 PL) · 107.8k (D PL). Volumes: Normal on HTF; “moderate” upticks on 1H–30m during failed breakouts. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H/6H trend down; 4H–1H mixed with a hard cap at 113.2k–114k; 15m micro-bullish while 111.96k holds. Strong confluence at 113.2k → 115.2k resistance and 111.96k/110.77k/107.8k supports. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRAL SELL ; Global Risk Regime stays STRONG SELL — confirms the bearish bias and fades micro-rallies. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ As long as 113.2k–115.2k caps price, favor “sell the rip” and only buy on confirmed signals. Global bias: SELL while below 115.24k; major short invalidation on daily > 116.6k. Opportunities: • Tactical short on 113.2k–114.0k rejection toward 112.0k/111.0k; inval. above 115.3k. • Breakout long only on H1/H4 acceptance > 113.3k (retest holds) toward 114.6k/115.24k; inval. below 111.9k. • Defensive long on clean reaction at 110.8k or 107.8k if risk blocks improve (≥ NEUTRAL BUY on LTF). Risk zones / invalidations: Break < 110,77k voids defensive longs (opens 107.8k); H4/D12 close > 115.24k voids range shorts (opens squeeze to 116.6k). Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): CPI next (direct vol around 111k–112k pivot) · Geopolitics (NATO Article 4; Middle East) supports risk-off · US tariff path (SCOTUS) preserves trade-policy uncertainty. Action plan: • Fade-rally short : Entry 113.2k–114.0k / Stop 115.3k / TP1 112.0k · TP2 111.0k · TP3 110.8k / R:R ~1.8–2.5. • Breakout long : Entry > 113.3k (confirmed retest) / Stop 111.9k / TP1 114.6k · TP2 115.24k · TP3 116.6k / R:R ~1.6–2.2. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ HTFs remain bearish while LTFs attempt extensions under a dense overhead supply. 1D/12H/6H: Downtrend, rallies capped below 113.2k–115.2k; dominant supply, supports layered at 111.96k → 110.77k → 107.8k. 4H/2H/1H: Mixed reads; need a clean close > 113.24k to open 114.6k–115.24k, otherwise frequent fades back to 111.96k. 30m/15m: 30m cautious (STRONG SELL) vs 15m micro-bullish (NEUTRAL BUY); classic pre-catalyst divergence — wait for H1/H4 confirmations. Confluence/Divergence: Heavy multi-TF supply 113.2k → 115.2k; risk-on equities vs risk-off credit/crypto warns against chasing crypto bounces. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro is mixed (gold ATH, firm oil, US equities buoyed by cut hopes) while geopolitics heats up and CPI looms. Macro events: CPI imminently (sets risk tone) · NATO Article 4/Middle East tensions (risk premia higher) · US tariff track (SCOTUS) sustains uncertainty. Bitcoin analysis: 100–1k BTC cohorts accumulating, 1k–10k distributing — potential cap on impulsive upside; ETF flows cooling, consistent with consolidation below 114k–116k. On-chain data: Activity skewed by inscriptions/runes; sentiment in “fear” (44/100) implies positioning not crowded long. Expected impact: Range-to-down bias while < 113.3k–115.2k; a benign CPI could trigger a push > 113.3k toward 114.6k/115.24k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ The market stalls under multi-TF supply as key catalysts approach. - Overall trend: 📉 bearish on HTF; LTFs try but stall below 113.2k–114k. - Best setup: Fade 113.2k–114.0k into CPI with active management. - Key macro: CPI and geopolitics drive the global risk regime. Stay disciplined around the 111.9k–112.0k pivot and let confirmation lead exposure. ⚠️
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Ox_kali
BTC 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 38😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you! ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe. 👀 On the 4-hour timeframe of Bitcoin we can see that Bitcoin was under a descending trendline, and each time it touched this trendline it faced selling pressure. Bitcoin broke this trendline at the end of August, and since the beginning of September until now it has been ranging below the $113,000 resistance, where it has touched this level 3 times and then got rejected downward. Usually, these kinds of zones don’t break easily, and if they do, it is together with major global economic news. ⚙️ The key RSI zone of Bitcoin in the 4-hour timeframe is at 65. A swing scenario is considered for Bitcoin after the news, and if this news comes in favor of the risky market (crypto), it can move above the 65 range and even enter overbought territory. 🕯 The size, volume, and number of green candles have almost increased, while red candles are still accompanied by selling pressure. There is a taker-seller zone above, at the $113,000 resistance, that has kept the price down. With the release of news, a good wave of capital can enter or exit the market. 📊 On the 4-hour timeframe of USDT.D we can see that Tether dominance is in a very important support zone, and losing this support can bring good volume into the market. I think this support break can also happen with today’s PPI news. Tether dominance, like Bitcoin, was above a continuation ascending trendline, but now it has broken the trendline and is ranging below it. This shows us the importance of the news! 📊 On the 4-hour timeframe of BTC.D we can see that Bitcoin dominance is in a support zone, and with a 4-hour candle that looks like multiple profit-taking it got supported and moved upward. Although the move is small, we should pay attention. The resistance zone of Bitcoin dominance is at 58.36%, and the support zone is at 58.06%. Losing these zones can give altcoins very strong moves. 🔔 Bitcoin is now under an important resistance at $113,000. If this zone is broken, it can move upward again. A very strong support zone is also built by maker buyers at $107,627, which is quite far from the current price. For a long position, wait until the taker-seller zone is taken out with a whale candle and then enter on the pullback. Also pay attention that altcoins can give us the most profit during this period when both Bitcoin dominance and Tether dominance are dropping. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by CryptosWinter
Bitcoin BTC is at a Critical Level: Equal Highs Trade Plan💰 Bitcoin (BTC) Update 💰 BTC is currently trending upward 🟢📈 on the 30M timeframe ⏰ and has reached a critical level ⚖️. We’re seeing a shift in structure 🔄, but there are equal highs forming 📍, leaving the question: will price break higher and continue bullish 🚀, or reject and move lower 🔽? 📊 My trade plan is simple: ✅ Wait for a break above the current range/equal highs 📈 ✅ Look for a retrace + retest 🔄 ✅ Enter long on confirmation 🎯 If this setup fails to play out, then the idea is invalidated ❌ and we stand aside. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. 📚
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
1
RIOT Continues wave 3.NASDAQ:RIOT is moving well in wave 3 after price completed wave 2 at the triple support -0.5 Fibonacci retracement, High Volume Node (HVN) and daily 20EMA. Fibonacci extension targets for wave 3 are minimum $45.17, which falls in line with wave 4 retesting the High Volume Node resistance as support at $34. Daily RSI will put in bearish divergence if we continue higher today so watch out for that. An initial rejection or consolidation at $18 HVN is expected. Analysis invalidated below $10.5 Safe trading
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Maddox_Metrics
COIN Ready for Gap Fill?NASDAQ:COIN Coinbase looks ready for move up to at least fill the gap at $359 if not make new all time highs. Daily RSI printed bullish divergence and price broke out yesterday into bullish market structure. A break above the High Volume Node resistance could see new all time highs sooner than expected! Analysis is invalidated if we drop below the swing low and that will continue my previous analysis downwards with a target of the ascending 200EMA, High Volume Node support, S1 Pivot at $282. Safe trading
NASDAQ:COIN
by Maddox_Metrics
BTCUSD POSSIBLE BUY SETUP 112,167 TO 120,000📊 BTCUSD – Potential Bullish Continuation Ahead Description: BTCUSD has recently shown a break of structure (BOS) and a clean break above the descending trendline. Price is currently forming higher lows, which suggests a possible continuation to the upside. Support Zone: $110,000 – $111,000 First Target Zone: $113,000 – $114,000 Main Target Zone: $116,000 – $117,000 My Bias (plan): I remain bullish as long as the price holds above $ 110,000. Possible entry: retracement around $111K – $112K. Stop Loss: below $110K. Take Profit: $113K – $117K. Risk Management: ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Manage your risk properly—never risk more than you can afford to lose. Community Note: I share analysis like this regularly. If you find it useful, feel free to follow me here on TradingView for more updates 🙌.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ntulilwageophrey
4
US100 - New Highs are coming!Market Context The US100 is trading within a strong bullish structure after bouncing from a well-defined support zone. Price has been respecting key levels on the way up, forming fair value gaps (FVGs) that act as stepping stones for continuation. The overall picture points to a market that is building momentum for a potential liquidity grab higher. Support Zone & Initial Rally The chart shows a strong support zone at the lows, which provided the foundation for the current bullish impulse. Once price tapped into this area, buyers stepped in aggressively, leaving behind multiple bullish imbalances on the way up. This confirms that institutional interest is present at these levels. Fair Value Gaps & Structural Strength On the rally, price created overlapping FVGs, including a bullish fair value gap and an inversion fair value gap (IFVG). Importantly, candles never closed below the primary FVG — reinforcing its validity as strong demand. This means that even if price retraces, these areas will be closely watched for re-entries. Liquidity Grab & Next Move Above current price action lies a clear buy-side liquidity (BSL) level. The market is likely to target this zone, either directly from current levels or after a retest into the stacked FVGs. A liquidity sweep above the highs would be the natural continuation of the bullish structure, unlocking the potential for new short-term highs. Final Thoughts The US100 is showing a textbook bullish setup: strong support, healthy retracements, and unmitigated FVGs acting as demand. As long as the lower support holds, the expectation remains for a run into the BSL above. If this analysis brought value, drop a like — and let me know: are you waiting for the retest, or do you think the market runs the highs straight away?
FX:NAS100Long
by Louigi_24
37
BTCUSDT – What’s the Next Trend?👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on BINANCE:BTCUSDT ? Although the price weakened at times following U.S. economic reports, buyers managed to defend the 110,000 USD support, which is considered a positive signal. However, overall momentum has been limited since the last strong rally. Sideways movements have continued up to now, with Bitcoin currently trading around 111,100 USD. On the H1 chart, BTC is moving inside a box, forming an accumulation pattern. The preferred strategy is to look for buy and sell opportunities around support and resistance levels. In case of a breakout, it’s safer to wait for a pullback before entering. And you—what do you think about BTCUSDT’s trend? Share your thoughts in the comments or leave a like if you agree with my view.
by Kevinn_Nguyen
9
TIA ANALYSIS🚀#TIA Analysis :  What Next ??💲💲 ✅As we can see that there was a formation of Descending Triangle Pattern in #TIA and given a breakout. We are expecting around more than 30% bullish move in coming weeks 📈📈 🔰Current Price:  $1.815 🎯 Target Price:   $2.081 ⚡️What to do ? 👀Keep an eye on #TIA price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. Stay tuned for further analysis and stay updated with market sentiments and news.⚡️⚡️ #TIA  #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis  #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
Bitcoin breaking down to 95k !?The recent move makes me think Bitcoin could revisit the 95k area and sweep the June lows. Another scenario is we stay stuck between 105k and 115k for a while before the next big move, which then would be more likely to be up to new ATH. Until we reclaim 115k with volume, I expect down. A big red flag for me is the lack of volume on the way up since April. Markets don’t move higher forever without new buyers stepping in, and right now it feels like momentum is running out. 95k isn’t just a random number either. It lines up with a key demand zone, and where the last big bounce started, and if price gets there with volume, that could be the reset we need. A clean sweep of the June lows would also wash out weak longs and set up a stronger base for the next move higher. At the same time, the macro climate is still a wild card. Wars, inflation, interest rates, central banks, Trump... these are all heavy influences that can shift momentum in either direction without warning. Bitcoin might be doing its own thing, but it doesn’t live in a vacuum. Until something changes, I’m leaning short on the way down, targeting 95k as the spot to watch for signs of real buying pressure. What do you think?
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoDINGUE
1
Bitcoin: Pullback Expected Into Prior Consolidation Zone After a strong markup phase, Bitcoin has now formed a buying climax near the $113K level. Price action shows signs of distribution, with stacked imbalances above acting as a liquidity magnet. I expect price to first sweep this overhead liquidity, trapping breakout buyers and creating the conditions for a reversal. Once the sweep is complete, confirmation will come if price fails back below the buying climax zone. This would indicate true seller pressure and a shift in market structure. At that point, I will be watching for a retest of the prior POC (Point of Control) to establish short positions. Trade Plan: Entry trigger: Sweep of buying climax → bearish rejection → retest of supply / POC. Stop loss: Above the sweep high (invalidates distribution scenario). Targets: Previous consolidation levels and liquidity pools below ($111K–$110K zones). This setup aligns Wyckoff distribution structure with orderflow and liquidity logic. As long as the sweep fails and sellers regain control, I expect a pullback into the prior consolidation zone. ⚠️ Invalidation: Sustained acceptance above the buying climax would cancel the short bias.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by raivo_luhse
2
ETH Game PlanETH Game Plan 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with speculation building for a possible 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy shifts are being driven by both inflation trends and weakening labor market data. The latest August and September job reports were soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This environment continues to fuel expectations for a major bullish run in the weeks ahead. 📈 Technical Analysis Price has shown strong HTF bullish momentum, recently reaching all-time highs. Currently, ETH appears to be in an accumulation phase, gathering liquidity and energy before the next expansion higher. 📌 Game Plan Price should run the $4200 level, which is equal lows and likely contains significant liquidity. I will then look for a close back above $4200 with a newly formed 4H demand zone. 🎯 Setup Trigger 4H structure break following the liquidity run. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: 4H swing low confirming the BOS Targets: TP1: $4500 TP2: $4650 TP3: $5000 (All-Time Highs) 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
2
BTC/USDT Analysis. Expecting a Breakout of the Local High Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily market analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the previously marked sell zone at $112,200–$113,200 (volume area), where we saw only a minor reaction. The overall context, along with the large cluster of stop orders above $113,500, suggests a high probability of continued upward movement toward the next resistance zones: $114,400–$115,500 (volume area) and ~$116,500 (volume anomaly). At those levels, it will be important to watch for selling pressure, as another significant correction may occur. Currently, the price is holding above local support at $112,600–$112,000. If buyers manage to protect this zone, we can expect another upward impulse. A breakdown and consolidation below it, however, may extend the decline at least toward the next support. Buy Zones: $111,000–$110,600 (volume area) $108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes) Sell Zones: $114,400–$115,500 (volume area) ~$116,500 (volume anomaly) $117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes) $121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption) This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by Crypto_robotics
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #173👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into Bitcoin analysis. Today and tomorrow are very important days, and it’s crucial to have the right outlook on Bitcoin. We’ve got some interesting triggers for opening positions that could potentially hit our trading targets for the next few weeks. ⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe Bitcoin has been moving upward along a trendline and is now sitting inside a resistance zone. How price reacts to this level is key—it could determine Bitcoin’s next major move. 🔍 If the resistance breaks, an upward rally could begin, as volume has been increasing strongly and the RSI is sitting just below 64.92. That’s an important resistance level, and breaking it could bring fresh momentum into the market. 💥 Rising momentum and strong buying volume are always good signs of a powerful uptrend, and as long as these two factors align with price action, the trend should continue. ⚡️ So, if you already have open positions, you might want to take profits if the price rejects from support and RSI plus volume show divergence with the price move. ✨ If you’re looking to open a new position, the breakout of 113,237 is currently the best trigger for a long entry, provided no divergence appears. 🔽 On the other hand, if price rejects this zone and breaks below the trendline, a short setup could form. However, keep in mind that in the current market, where higher cycles remain bullish, all short positions are risky. Personally, I don’t take shorts in this environment and prefer to stay aligned with the broader uptrend. 📰 Finally, tomorrow we have the U.S. inflation report—one of the most important releases of the month, and it will have a big impact on the market. Be extra careful with your positions, because sharp volatility is highly likely once the data comes out. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
6
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 37💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you! ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe. 👀 On the 1H timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after breaking the 111,330$ resistance, BTC managed to push higher and is now approaching its next key resistance at 113,000$. This level overlaps with the multi-timeframe range high, making it a critical zone. A clean breakout above this area could drive BTC toward higher price targets. ⚙️ On the RSI, the key zones are around 70 and 50. If momentum pushes past these levels—especially with positive news flow—BTC could enter an overbought phase, fueling further upside. 🕯 Candle structure is showing strength: green candles are getting larger with more volume. At the range high, we’ve seen some red candles forming, reflecting seller absorption. However, each test shows weaker selling pressure compared to the last time BTC hit this level—back then, price dumped sharply within just 2 red candles. 📊 Looking at Tether Dominance (USDT.D) on the 1H, after reacting to 4.45%, it broke lower toward 4.39% and even closed below that level. Right now, it’s retesting 4.39%. If this new support fails, dominance could extend lower toward the next support. A breakdown below 4.37% would be strong confirmation for BTC breaking its range high. 🔔 Trading plan : Bitcoin is currently sitting just below the 113,000$ resistance. Don’t rush into a position here. Ideally, wait for : Another test of this resistance. A confirmed breakout with a pullback/retest of 113,000$. Enter long after the retest for a safer entry. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by CryptosWinter
Bitcoin tight range below 113.24–114k, FOMC in focus__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is ranging tightly: repeated rejections below 113,24–114,0k while 111,956 support still holds. Momentum is split with 1D/12H constructive and 4H–6H still leaning lower. Momentum: range ⚖️ — bounces above 111,956 but a firm 113,24–114,0k cap stalls extensions. Key levels: • Resistances (D/12H/4H): 113.24–114.0k · 114.8k (extension) · 121–124k (HTF). • Supports (D/12H/4H): 112.2/111,956 · 110,086 · 107,026. Volumes: broadly normal to moderate; very high spikes on LTF during rejections around 113.2–113.3k. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H held (constructive), 4H–6H down (pressure at the cap), 1H/LTF counter‑trend pops. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRAL SELL 🟠 — slight sell bias that aligns with the ceiling at 113.24–114.0k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic stance: as long as 113.24–114.0k caps price, favor defensive range-trading; switch to pro‑breakout only on confirmed acceptance. Global bias: overall = NEUTRAL SELL (mild) while below 113.24–114.0k; invalidated on 12H close above 113,241 with volume. Opportunities: • Defensive buy at 112.2–111,956/110,086 → aim 113.2–114.0k; stop < 110,086. • Rejection short at 113.24–114.0k → aim 112.2 then 111,956; stop > 114.3k. • Bullish breakout on 4H/12H close > 113,241 + successful retest → aim 114.8k then 121–124k; stop below 113.1 (failed retest). Risk zones / invalidations: • Break below 110,086 ⚠️ re‑opens 107,026 and invalidates range longs. • “Fake breaks” above 113,241 without volume expansion → trap risk. Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): • FOMC in focus (high odds of a rate cut) → potential volatility around pivots. • Firm USD → headwind for risk assets, capping BTC near resistance. • Asian risk tone constructive (Nikkei record) + adoption (BBVA custody, KuCoin Pay) → medium‑term structural support. Action plan: • Defensive Long: Entry 112.2–111,956 | Stop < 110,086 | TP1 113.2 | TP2 114.0k | TP3 114.8k | R/R ~1.5–2.0R. • Rejection Short: Entry 113.24–114.0k | Stop > 114.3k | TP1 112.2 | TP2 111,956 | TP3 110,086 | R/R ~1.3–1.8R. • Breakout Long: Entry on 4H/12H close > 113,241 + retest | Stop < 113.1 | TP1 114.8k | TP2 116.0k | TP3 121–124k | R/R ~1.8–3.0R. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Higher timeframes hold structure, mid timeframes weigh on momentum, and LTFs rotate quickly near range edges. 1D/12H: constructive above 111,956, yet 113.24–114.0k is still the lid; acceptance > 113,241 would unlock 114.8k then 121–124k. 6H/4H: bearish tilt with frequent rejections below 113.2–114.0k; “normal” volumes → prefer selling range highs until 114.0k is absorbed. 2H/1H: tactical “buy the dip” while 111,956 holds, but no trend confirmation without a close > 113,241. 30m/15m: very high volume on rejections at the cap → “fake break” risk; scalping window between 112.0–113.3k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro is mixed (strong USD vs Asian risk‑on) with FOMC risk ahead; on‑chain supports a consolidation narrative with cooler TradFi flows but improving adoption. Macro events: • FOMC: rate cut expectations → directional impulse possible, but also whipsaw risk. • Strong USD: short‑term headwind for BTC, consistent with capping near resistance. • Nikkei 225 at record highs: constructive Asian risk tone partly offsets USD drag. Bitcoin analysis: • Adoption/flows: BBVA (custody via Ripple) and KuCoin Pay (on‑chain payments) support future demand; Metaplanet adds to “corporate accumulation.” • Critical zones: reclaiming 114–116k is needed to re‑ignite momentum; below 110,086 risks a 107,026 retest. On-chain data: • Accumulation between 108–116k; STH profitability ~60% → fragile without a push above 114–116k. • ETF/futures inflows cooling → limited near‑term conviction. Expected impact: • Range likely persists while 113.24–114.0k holds; upside requires a high‑volume breakout, otherwise expect rotations and traps. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is range‑bound with a credible cap at 113.24–114.0k and a defended floor at 111,956. - Trend: neutral to slightly bearish while 4H–6H remain down and 113,241 isn’t reclaimed. - Best setup: rejection shorts at 113.24–114.0k or defensive longs at 112.2–111,956 with tight risk. - Key macro: FOMC ahead, with a firm USD acting as a near‑term brake. Stay nimble: trade the edges, and only chase breaks backed by volume. 🔔
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Ox_kali
Bitcoin Cycles: History Repeating Itself?Bitcoin has always moved in cycles — a strong impulsive rally 📈 (1), followed by a healthy correction 🔻 (2), then a breakout above the previous high 🔓 (3). Looking at the chart, the current price action is following this same rhythm once again. After the last correction, BTC bounced strongly, retested previous highs, and is now consolidating before its next potential move. If this pattern continues to repeat, the next leg could take Bitcoin toward the $140,000 target 🎯 — aligning perfectly with the upper bound of the long-term channel. 👉 The past doesn’t guarantee the future, but BTC’s structure suggests the market might just be writing the same story again. 💬 What’s your bias here? Are you bullish or waiting for a deeper pullback? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
17