Uh Oh... False Breakouts on both Bitcoin and EthereumWith the close of last week's candlestick COINBASE:ETHUSD failed to sustain its new All Time High (ATH). Last week's price action was interesting because the prior major high at 4070 was solidly broken, retested, and price moved on to make a new ATH.
This price action follows Bitcoin COINBASE:BTCUSD last week which also had the same phenomenon; a new ATH that was quickly rejected.
There is no more reliable sign of a bearish pullback about to occur than a false breakout. In order for new ATH to be sustained traders and investors must keep buying. If they do not... WATCH OUT!
Prior history of the event can be consulted to see just how reliable it can be:
January 2025 Bitcoin
March 2024 Bitcoin
And of course November 2021... the start of the last bear cycle in Bitcoin.
Trade wisely!
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #163👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s analyze Bitcoin. Yesterday, Bitcoin made a bearish move. Let’s explore the reason behind it and what Bitcoin’s next move might be.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, during the New York session, a large number of Bitcoin were sold by one of the whales, which caused Bitcoin to make a large red 4-hour candle with high volume.
✨ This candle caused the price to make a long shadow below the range, and afterward, the price started to gradually decline. With the break of 112233, the price is now heading towards the 110183 support.
🔔 The 110183 zone is a very important support, and the price’s reaction to this zone will significantly impact the future market trend.
🧩 Bitcoin’s dominance trend is still bearish, and if this continues, altcoins could provide excellent long positions as long as Bitcoin doesn’t experience a sharp decline.
✔️ However, Bitcoin itself is still experiencing a lot of selling pressure, and the volume is still increasing. If this increase in volume continues, the price could reach at least the 110183 support.
💥 The RSI oscillator has reached near the 30 zone again. A break of this zone and entering Oversell would increase the likelihood of further bearish movement.
⚡️ For now, I’m not opening any positions and I’m waiting for the right structure to form before entering a trade.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.c
Bitcoin will exit of triangle and then bounce up from buyer zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Following a decisive breakout from a prior downward wedge, Bitcoin entered a phase of balance and consolidation that is currently forming a symmetrical triangle. This new market environment signifies contracting volatility, with the price being methodically squeezed between a descending resistance line and an ascending support line. The asset has reached a critical juncture, as it is now at the apex of this formation, where the ascending support line converges with a strong horizontal support level at 114400. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation of a 'fake breakdown' or 'liquidity hunt'. It is anticipated that the price may briefly dip below the support line and into the buyer zone to trigger stops before staging a strong reversal. A swift reclaim of the 114400 level would be the ultimate confirmation of this bullish thesis, validating the original uptrend. This reversal is then expected to trigger a significant upward rebound. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at the 118000 level, as this represents a key area of prior price interaction and serves as a prudent first objective for a rally of this nature. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN MASSIVE CRASH TOWARDS $44K JUST STARTED!!!? (warning) Yello Paradisers!
In this video, I'm sharing with you the CME futures gap that we have created and what needs to be done to close it. On the ultra-high time frame, I'm sharing with you the bearish cross. We are shifting our focus afterward to the high time frame where I'm seeing the bullish divergence. I'm telling you where the daily candle cannot close.
Then, we move our focus to the medium time frame, where I'm sharing with you the RSI bullish divergence plus the support. On the lower time frame, we will look in the next video.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin on Edge: Bearish Momentum Building Below $111,800🚨 Bitcoin Alert: Key Support Cracks! 🚨
Bitcoin has slipped below the crucial $111,800 support on the 4H chart, even as rate cut cues try to lift sentiment.
📉 If BTC closes another 4H candle under $111,800, this breakdown could gain momentum, eyeing the $105,000–$107,000 zone as the next major support area.
⚠️ Watch price action closely — failure to reclaim this level may accelerate the bearish move.
Distribution Pattern Signals Crash Into CME Gap at 92kIt is always the same playbook at this point and it is getting boring to watch. The same double top distribution pattern repeats again and again. This is the game they play, wiping out both shorts and longs before the real rally begins.
The last time we saw this setup Bitcoin pulled back 32 percent into the CME gap at 77k. The next gap sits at 92k and you can bet they will dump it down there too. In reality it is not even that big of a move, just 26 percent, perfectly in line with previous pullbacks.
The real story is the fear it will create. This lines up with September, historically Bitcoin’s worst performing month and a time when blood usually runs in the streets.
DO NOT FALL FOR THIS BEAR TRAP AND SHAKE OUT
BTCUSD: Correction Toward $100K or Rebound Ahead?BTCUSD – Weekly Overview
Bull run over at $111K? Or just a deeper correction?
Bitcoin starts the last week of August under pressure, with traders eyeing a potential retest of $100K after a sharp long liquidation shook the market. Whales are rotating into ETH while smaller holders continue accumulating, leaving BTC at a crossroads.
Meanwhile, macro focus remains on the Fed’s “preferred” inflation gauge later this week, as rate-cut bets intensify across risk assets.
🔹 Technical Outlook
BTC is currently approaching $110,370 — the key pivot.
A daily close below 110,370 would confirm bearish continuation, targeting 106,200 – 102,650 – 100,000.
As long as price trades above 110,370, bulls still have a chance.
A daily close above 113,800 would flip sentiment back bullish, opening the path toward 120,600 and 124,000.
🔹 Key Levels
Pivot: 110,370
Support: 106,200 – 102,650 – 100,000
Resistance: 113,800 – 120,600 – 124,000
✅ Summary:
Bitcoin sits at a critical level. Below 110,370, the correction could deepen toward $100K. But stabilization and a breakout above 113,800 would revive the bull trend, with upside targets at 120K+. Expect volatility this week as macro and earnings catalysts collide.
THIS IS WHY BITCOIN DUMPED...Last night Bitcoin took a sharp hit – but why? In this video, we break it down with a skeptical lens . From forced selling by companies holding crypto in their treasuries to the impact of Wall Street’s institutional players, we’ll uncover the possible reasons behind the drop and what it could mean going forward. Plus, we’ll talk about risk management, diversification, and why stop-losses matter more than ever.
💡 Trade smart, keep risk tight, and don’t FOMO. Share your thoughts in the comments, boost if it helps
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin reach its previous ATH?!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If it moves up, we can look for a short-term position to sell Bitcoin from the specified supply zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and observing capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has once again surpassed the $4 trillion mark, a development that signals a renewed wave of investor confidence in the sector. This key psychological threshold could attract a fresh influx of both institutional and retail capital. At present, the market appears to be in a phase of “stabilization supported by structural demand,” where current price levels are sustained not by short-term hype, but rather by steady institutional inflows, declining exchange reserves, and disciplined behavior from long-term holders.
On the capital flow front, the latest weekly report from CoinShares shows that after early-month volatility, inflows into digital asset investment products have regained momentum. In the week ending August 18 alone, approximately $3.75 billion was recorded as net inflows. While the majority of these funds were directed toward Ethereum, Bitcoin also saw $260 million in net inflows the previous week, reinforcing the narrative of “organized demand.”
Exchange-based data further indicates that Bitcoin reserves held on trading platforms continue to trend lower, now standing around 2.52 million BTC—the lowest level since October 2022. Importantly, part of this reduction reflects transfers of coins to ETF custodians rather than outright withdrawals from the market. As such, the net effect is a reduction in immediate selling pressure without necessarily triggering a traditional “supply shock.” Meanwhile, metrics such as long-term holders’ realized price and the MVRV ratio suggest the market is currently in a phase of reasonable profitability, though it still remains some distance from historically overheated zones.
From a broader “capital markets” perspective, one contributing factor has been recent U.S. policy adjustments regarding retirement funds’ access to alternative assets. Combined with a temporary weakening of the U.S. dollar, this has provided fuel to sustain current price levels.
Nevertheless, last night a major Bitcoin whale disrupted the supply-demand balance by selling roughly 24,000 BTC, causing Bitcoin’s price to tumble by $4,000. The concerning aspect is that this whale still holds another 153,000 BTC, and should these coins also be sold, it could present a significant bearish overhang for the market.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 22💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour Bitcoin chart, after the last attempt to push toward resistance, it faced a strong rejection at $115,000 and moved toward the box's lower boundary. Currently in the alarm zone for a short position, but personally, I wouldn’t open a short here.
⚙️ Key RSI levels are 45 and 20. The 20 level is a support in the heart of oversold territory, where Bitcoin’s volatility spikes and often sees a reversal. The 45 level acts as resistance, with volatility triggering reversals upon hitting it.
🕯 Volume shows larger and more frequent red candles, with price heading toward its support levels.
💵 USDT.D broke and held above 4.27% but got rejected at 4.4%. A break and hold above 4.4% could increase selling pressure on Bitcoin.
🔔 Bitcoin’s alarm zones today aren’t very logical, so we can focus on altcoins instead. I’ll post a few altcoin picks on TradingView and the channel today.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
105-108K is a Vital BTC areaMorning folks,
It seems that everything goes as we suggested. S. Bessent grabs all available liquidity out of the market. RRP is done already, next is a banking reserves. They still need around $500 Bln. This explains, why other markets show reasonable action while BTC totally erased Powell speech effect.
BTC now stands at vital area. Downside breakout of 105-108K support will lead probably to appearing of big daily H&S pattern and following drop under 80K area...
For now we do not consider any long positions. To take the short one, you anyway will have to do it against the Friday's top of 117K, which seems a bit too far for daily/intraday trading. So, you have to find either closer area for stop placement or wait for some upside bounce.
Although it is a temptation to treat daily shape as Double Top, I wouldn't aimed right now on its 101K target. Better to consider closer standing ones around 108K first.
BTC Testing Key Demand Zone After Range BreakdownHello guys!
Bitcoin has been trading inside a clear range after breaking the previous trendline.
We had a Supply & Demand (S&D) reaction at the range’s beginning, and price is now moving lower after failing to hold above the broken trendline.
Currently, Bitcoin is approaching the demand zone (highlighted in blue). If price respects this area, we could see a bounce. Otherwise, a breakdown could trigger further downside movement along the lower channel.
For now, the bias remains cautious, watching how the price reacts to the 111,000–112,000 USDT zone will be key.
▒₿▒ Distribution Top - Anatomy of a Bitcoin Cycle Top ▒₿▒COINBASE:BTCUSD
I've identified key price action indications that we have "topped" with an ATH for this Bull Market Cycle. There is a much deeper analysis that needs to be done here.
While this price action is the first major clue, to confirm a true distribution top, we'll also need to analyze volume profiles for institutional selling, spot bearish divergences in key momentum oscillators, and watch on-chain metrics for any signs of whale or miner selling pressure.
Every Bitcoin cycle has a story, and the final chapter is always the most dramatic. I've been analyzing the price action at every major cycle peak, and there's a recurring pattern that acts like a final warning before the curtain falls. It’s not the explosive top itself, but the messy, indecisive period that follows: the Distribution Top .
This isn't just a pattern; it's the visual footprint of a massive transfer of wealth. It’s the moment when the cycle's early investors (smart money) begin to distribute their holdings to the late, euphoric buyers.
Look at the price action from the November 2021 ATH top. After the euphoric peak, the clean, powerful uptrend dies. It's replaced by a volatile, sideways "wiggle." The Heikin Ashi candles lose their bodies, showing long wicks on both sides. This is the signature of market conflict and exhaustion.
Cycle Tops vs. Local Highs: A Crucial Distinction
It's important to understand that this "wiggle" is unique to major, euphoric ATH cycle tops. Other tops, like the one from August 2021 shown below, have a much different character. Notice how the rejection is sharper, faster, and lacks the prolonged, grinding "wiggle." This is often a rejection from a known resistance level, not the slow, painful end of cycle-wide euphoria.
The "Distribution Top" is a process. It’s designed to churn, create confusion, and trap breakout traders before the real move down begins. It’s the market grinding at the highs, absorbing the last wave of FOMO. We saw this exact anatomy play out in the April 2021 top as well.
The Key Takeaway for Bitcoin Investors:
Recognizing this specific pattern is crucial for capital preservation. When you see this shift from clean momentum to choppy, indecisive grinding near an all-time high , it's a signal that the market character has changed. The risk is no longer to the upside; it's to the downside.
While this price action is the first major clue, to confirm a true distribution top, we'll also need to analyze key trend lines, candlestick patterns, seasonality, volume profiles for institutional selling, and watch on-chain metrics for any signs of whale or miner selling pressure.
Now, take a look at the most recent price action. We are seeing the early stages of this very same pattern developing after a new high.
The question every Bitcoin holder should be asking is: Is this history rhyming once again?
As I mentioned at the start of this post, there are much more metrics to analyze here, so I'll be updating this post with further findings.
DISCLAIMER
I AM NOT A FINACIAL ADVISOR, NOR AM I YOURS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. MEARLY DOODLINGS ON A MATHMATICALLY DRIVEN GRAPHICAL INTERFACE, TRACKING AN INVISIBLE 256BIT MILITARY-GRADE ENCRYPTED ASSET. . . FOR ENTERTAINMENT/AMUSEMENT PUROSES ONLY. ENJOY!
Looking to hear your thoughts on this @TradingView @Profit_Through_Patience @David_Perk @ProjectSyndicate @Xanrox_ @HAMED_AZ @melikatrader94
Bitcoin back at 112k: Bullish Illusion or Bearish Truth?1. What happened lately
In my previous BTC analysis, I mentioned that as long as the 110k zone holds, the bullish structure technically remains intact.
On Friday, Powell’s speech lifted the market precisely from that zone, as the possibility of rate cuts injected optimism across risk assets, including crypto.
2. The psychological trap
But here’s the question I keep asking myself: is this genuine strength, or just wishful thinking? I’ve said it many times — trade what you see, not what you hope for . And what the charts are showing right now is not as promising as the initial bounce might suggest.
3. Technical signals
- BTC quickly returned to the 112k support level, erasing the Friday rally.
- Price remains under the trendline that started in April.
- The bounce looks more like a retest of broken levels than a new impulsive leg.
- Structurally, we can even identify a head and shoulders pattern with the neckline around the 110k zone, although not perfectly shaped.
4. Reading between the lines
It’s hard for me to believe that Bitcoin came back to the same support just to give latecomers another easy buying opportunity. More likely, the “rate cut euphoria” was dead cat bounce, and the market is telling us something different than the headlines.
5. Conclusion
At this moment, I remain neutral in my positioning but leaning bearish in my outlook. Optimism is tempting, but discipline requires us to trust the charts, not our hopes.
And... if it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, and quacks like a duck… it’s probably a duck. 🦆