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Bitcoinanalysis

BITCOIN has broken Free - The Next cycle type begins- WHY ? I have been talking about the Blue Arc of resistance for a while now. The ARC that has rejected EVERY ATH since Bitcoin began its true rise in Value back in 2011. I am not going to get to technical right now as I have had only 1 coffee..lol.. Lets begin I have 3 charts with this Arc on , all slightly different so as to allow for small errors in plotting or calculation. ALL charts now show PA Above the Arc. Why is this so important ? As previously explained, that Blue Arc is a part of a Calculated Fibonacci Spiral. Calculated from Each ATH to the next and using the difference as a part of that calculation, I was able to pinpoint the centre of this Arc. And here is the Full picture. What I am finding a little interesting is how that centre is on MARCH 2020 - That Sudden and worrying COVID CRASH ! But that is a subject for another time. The Two important things to take of here is how PA began rising on this spiral as soon as PA entered it ( Left ) and unless we broke out of it now, PA would have been dragged back down by December. The time spent inside this spiral are the cumulative years of Bitcoin. It is also very interesting how the 3 "Cycles " we have had in this channel. have ended perfectly at that intersection of the Blue Arc and the underlying line of support, that PA has not dropped below since we entered the channel back in 2012 To me, that is more than just a coincidence. And if we look at a smaller time frame, we can see that PA has broken over this Arc, with strength. The Daily chart above does show us that we do still have challenges ahead. For instance, there is that line of local resistance just above, that could , under the right circumstances, push PA back down with vengeance should the Bears take over. But I do not think that will happen yet but it would be nice if we could climb over that and use it as support. We have done on 2 previous occasions this cycle but each time, we got pushed back under. 3rd time lucky ? The 4 hour chart gives hope. Here we can see how that Blue Arc was used as support but once it failed, the Bulls were Quick to get back over. To me, this shows us that the Bulls have every intention of keeping Bitcoin High and above that Blue Arc. But the longer we wait to get over that local line of resistance above, and use as support, the further away it Gets. Currently, the Target to get over that lline is around 140K Near Term projections of PA, in a bullish run, are around 160K -> 180K This would give PA that underlying line of support. So, we wait to see how this plays out but THE MOST IMPORTANT THING ? We Must remain above that line, the Blue Arc....that currently sits around 115 -118K The Next Few weeks are VITAL and I remind you..August has nearly twice as many RED monthly closes as Green..Unless it is in a Bull run....;-) The Daily RSI has room to move still but is High The Weekly RSI is Similar in hieght, with room to move. So, We could be in a good position to start that New Cycle type, out of the Spiral that Created Bitcoin as we now know it. The 4 year Flow could change as mass adoption takes pace and People simply do not Buy / Sell as we used to do. But it is impossible to really know whats coming. We can only watch and learn. We may well end up having the 4 year cycles again. After all, that gave us superb profit making opportunities. Or will Bitcoin become the Store of Value, the Digital Gold ? Time will tell. Have a good week and stay safe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
1
Bitcoin is super bullish (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section If you’ve been following our previous analyses, we had a bullish outlook on Bitcoin from the lower green zone. An important level on the Bitcoin chart has been reclaimed, and it is expected to move toward the next targets if it consolidates above the red box. The targets are marked on the chart. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will nullify this analysis.
by behdark
1
Bitcoin Bounces Back — Is $120K the Next Stop?!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) reacted well to the 50_SMA(Daily) and the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800 and started to rise again. The question is, can Bitcoin reach $120,000 again and even create a new All-Time High(ATH)!? In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave 4 in the descending channel . To confirm the end of the main wave 4 , we must wait for the upper line of the descending channel to break. The structure of the main wave 4 is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to trend higher in the coming hours and attack the resistance area and the upper line of the descending channel(First Target: $117,490) . Do you think Bitcoin's main correction has begun, or does Bitcoin still have a chance to create a new ATH? Second target: $119,991 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $113,526-$112,591 Note: Stop Loss: $111,070 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
22
Bitcoins has slipped back under Long Term resistance. CAUTION It is VERY clear to see and some just do not want to see it That Blue Arc, Arrowed, is an Arc that has rejected EVERY ATH since Bitcoin began rising from its early Low. And also understand, that arc is not just a random line, It is Calculated and is part of a Fibonacci Spiral. ANYWAY, as we can see on the chart. PA is heading to a Squeeze with this Arc and a rising line of support below. This line of support has NEVER failed since PA crossed over it. So we have a n arc of Resistance that has Never been broken. We have a line of support that has Never been Broken. One of these two line Has to break. The Apex of this Squeeze us Dec this year and, as we all know, PA always react before the Apex. So, How accurate is the placement of this Arc ? Lets see the Daily chart Here we can see that PA has for most of this year, been trying to break over and, in July, succeeded, only to fall back below a week ago. To many extents this played along Very well with the monthly Candle Colour patterns I been posting. But the fact remains, we are once again BELOW a HUGE powerful line of resistance that we MUST break above and stay above. We do have many lines of Support below, Local and some, longer term. We can close on the 4 hour just to see where we are in a more local time frame. Here, we can see that 105K is a very possible line of support initially that we need to watch and see what happens. Hopefully, we range above this level and let RSI cool off. The RSI is always a great gauge to watch here and the daily offers some hope of remaining in this current PA range It must be said that RSI could still drop lower, though we have room to rise before PA becomes OverBought on the Daily. But the weekly shows us a longer term CAUTION flag. While we have not been OverBought on the weekly for a long time, we ARE up high, leaving the potential for a Drop. But with the Daily in good shape, this could be postponed. In this cycle, previous times we got overbought, PA ranged while RSI dropped. This could repeatover and over........But PA needs to rise OVER that line of resistance and turn it into Support. This is NOT a choice//it is a MUST HAPPEN if Bitcoin is to continue its rise higher. The current Price line of this Blue Arc is around 116K. What we realy need to understand about this Arc is that once we pass December 2025, that arc begins to DROP. And if PA is below it still, PA will get dragged down with it, into an ever decreasing price model. So, there we have it Simple as that.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Consolidates Below VWAP Amid Structural UncertaintyFenzoFx—Bitcoin’s downtrend eased near the bullish order block but hasn’t entered the zone. It’s currently consolidating around $114,360.0, below the July 14 VWAP. No clear break of structure has occurred, making long positions risky. Key support lies at $110,650.0, backed by high volume. Technically, price is expected to enter this zone. If it does, traders should watch for a break of structure on lower time frames like M15. This setup offers a minimum 1:7 risk-to-reward. If BTC closes below the main support, bearish momentum may continue toward the next order block at $110,120.0.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FenzoFxBroker
Bitcoin to $116K in a Week? Here's the Case Everyone's IgnoringI know it sounds wild — but hear me out. BTC is primed for something massive, and the ingredients are all on the table: ✅ ETF inflows are quietly stacking ✅ Supply shock post-halving is still underestimated ✅ DXY weakening = flight to hard assets ✅ Global uncertainty = Bitcoin safety bid ✅ Technicals pointing to a breakout above ATH with no resistance until $100K+ We're seeing the early signs of parabolic structure forming — and if volume confirms, this could move fast. Everyone thinks a 2x in a week is impossible... until it isn't. Not saying it’s guaranteed — but if you've been around long enough, you know BTC doesn’t move linearly. 👀 Watch the $72K breakout zone closely. If it flips with conviction and volume, $116K is not out of the question. Drop your charts. Agree or disagree?
VANTAGE:BTCUSDLong
by MrYounity
2
BTCUSD Technical Analysis – Bearish Momentum Towards Fair Value BTCUSD Technical Analysis – Bearish Momentum Towards Fair Value Gap Bitcoin is showing clear bearish pressure after rejecting from the previous resistance zone around 118,800 – 120,000. The market structure and smart money concepts indicate potential for further downside. 🔍 Key Observations: Previous Resistance Respected: Price failed to break through the strong resistance zone marked near the 119,200–120,000 level, showing strong institutional selling interest. Market Structure Breaks: BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed bearish shift. Price has maintained lower highs and lower lows, signaling a bearish trend. Liquidity/Fair Value Gap Zone: The market is currently targeting the liquidity/FVG zone between 116,400 – 116,100, which aligns with price inefficiency and unfilled orders. Support Zone Ahead: A strong support zone is visible near 115,600 – 115,200. Expect a potential reaction or consolidation here. 📌 Strategy & Bias: Short Bias Active until price reaches 116,116 (target). Watch for possible bullish reversal signs in the support/FVG zone. Ideal for scalp-to-swing short trades, with tight SL above recent EQH. 📚 Educational Notes: Fair Value Gaps (FVG) indicate institutional imbalances and are often revisited by price. CHoCH and BOS are early signals of smart money moves – always monitor them in confluence with volume and zones.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
1
BTCUSD Analysis : Major Breakout Setup | Big Move Loading"Bitcoin Coiling Below Key Resistance – Breakout or Trap?" 🔍 Technical Overview: Bitcoin is currently trading within a compressed range, sitting just below a key descending trendline that has capped upside movement for multiple sessions. Price is consolidating between minor highs and lows, hinting at a build-up of momentum for the next breakout move. The setup presents a classic compression inside a bearish wedge, but with increasing bullish pressure evident from higher lows and wick rejections near minor supports. 🧱 Detailed Technical Breakdown: 🔸 1. Descending Trendline Structure Price has formed a downward sloping resistance line from earlier highs. This trendline has acted as a dynamic ceiling, rejecting multiple bullish attempts. Each time price approaches it, the rejection gets weaker, indicating a possible breakout attempt soon. 🔸 2. Multiple Minor & Major Zones Minor Resistance: Around $118,800–$119,200 A short-term ceiling that has paused bullish rallies. Price needs a clean break and close above this to initiate momentum. Major Resistance: ~$121,000–$121,200 This zone aligns with a previous significant swing high. A break above here could result in strong bullish continuation toward ATH levels. Minor Support: ~$117,000 Price has repeatedly bounced from this level. A breakdown would indicate fading bullish strength and open the downside. Major Support: ~$115,000 A historically strong demand zone. If BTC fails all bullish attempts, this would be the final defense for buyers. 🧠 Market Psychology Insight: Price is trapped between aggressive short-term sellers and accumulating buyers. Buyers are placing confidence in this area by defending higher lows. Sellers are still protecting the trendline, but with each retest, the defense weakens. This is a classic equilibrium zone where liquidity is building—once imbalance hits, a strong impulsive breakout (either direction) is likely. Volume and momentum should be watched closely as a breakout with confirmation may trap the opposite side, leading to a strong move (short squeeze or long liquidation). 🔮 Scenario Forecasts: 📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario: Price breaks above $119,200 → minor resistance flips to support Retest of the broken trendline confirms a bullish breakout Price targets: First Target: $121,000–$121,200 (major resistance) Second Target: $122,500+ Third Target: $123,800–$124,000 (All-Time High) Confirmation Needed: 4H candle close above descending trendline and $119,200 with rising volume. 📉 Bearish Rejection Scenario: Price gets rejected from the trendline or minor resistance zone Breaks below $117,000 minor support Possible targets: First Target: $116,000 (reaction zone) Second Target: $115,000 (major support) A fall below $115,000 could invalidate the bullish buildup and invite strong bearish continuation. This would signal that bulls failed to reclaim control, and sellers maintain market structure dominance. 📌 Key Levels Summary: Type Price Range Significance 🔺 All-Time High $123,800–124,000 Final upside target 🔸 Major Resistance $121,000–121,200 Key breakout level 🔹 Minor Resistance $118,800–119,200 Immediate trendline + local supply 🔹 Minor Support ~$117,000 Local demand base 🔻 Major Support $115,000 Last line of defense for bulls 🧭 Conclusion & Strategy: Bitcoin is approaching a make-or-break zone under a significant descending trendline. Price compression is tightening, and a breakout looks imminent. Traders should stay patient and wait for confirmation—either a breakout and successful retest for longs or a rejection and trendline defense for shorting opportunities. Whether it’s a breakout toward $121K and ATH, or a drop toward $115K support, this setup offers a high-probability trade opportunity for both bulls and bears depending on the confirmation.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Has Bitcoin become a "SAFE" asset ? These charts show that...... After we heard the US Federal Reserve hold rates yesterday, Markets Fell some. And Bitcoin joined them for a couple of hours but Look now. While the $ falls, the S&P Falls, GOLD is the traditional haven of safety and we can see how it Rose in Value over the last 12 hours The $ has Fallen over the last 8 hours S&P Stalled for the last 24 hours And the STRONGEST positive moves over the last 12 hours were from BITCOIN rising, though it is taking a breather for the moment. SO, has it become a SAFE HAVEN ? Put it like this. Bitcoin has NOT lost value like it used to when under pressure. We have yet to see what would happen once it reaches its cycle Top. Will it retreat as it has historicaly... But for now, it does seem to be a strong store of Value and remains with potential and likelihood of further rises. The TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP chart below This shows us that the investor market seems Very confident in the Crypto Market,,Just going from strength to strength. The TOTAL 2 Market Cap chart shows us something very interesting. The TOTAL2 chart is the Total Market Cap MINUS BITCOIN Compare the 2 charts and you will see how the TOTAL chart has risen way over its previous cycle ATH but the TOTAL2 is currently being rejected off its previous ATH line. This clearly shows us that BITCOIN is the strength in the Crypto Market. It is the same story on the TOTAL3 chart ( TOTAL minus BTC & ETH ) It is the same on the OTHERS chart ( Top 125 coins minus top 10 by market Cap ) BITCOIN CARRIES THE MARKET These are early days but the Future of Bitcoin does seem VERY good So far this cycle, the largest retrace was -31% This drop was NOT a sharp Drop over a short period of time. It was an expected and controlled drop over 112 days. But the zoomed out version of that chart tells us something VERY GOOD PA has risen above and Tested and held that line of resistance that had rejected PA at Cycle Top ATH in 2017 and 2021. That is a HUGE move and we wait to see if we Hold and move higher away from this line. SO, Is Bitcoin a Safe Haven ? It is certainly looking more and more like it. PA is secure, has held position well and is in Price discovery...slowly and with caution...but always moving forward. The traditional 4 yeat Cycle would end in late Q4 this year and so we have to wait and see what happens then. But Bitcoin PA has moved into New ground on so many fronts now. The traditinal BEAR market may not appear, in which case, YES, Bitcoin could become a New SAFE HAVEN Buy Bitcoin Hold Bitcoin
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
White House Crypto Report Incoming: Will BTC Pump from Support? One of the important news for Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) that was released today was that " White House confirms first Bitcoin and crypto report will be released TOMORROW ". Bitcoin is likely to rise with the release of the White House report . What do you think? At least a temporary pump may be in store for Bitcoin. Bitcoin fell to the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and filled the New CME Gap( $119,500-$118,295) as I expected in the previous idea . Bitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($116,828-$115,710) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . I expect Bitcoin to rise from the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) to at least $118,680(First Taregt) . Second target: Upper line of the descending channel Note: Stop Loss: $114,680 = Worst Stop Loss(SL) CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $118,827-$118,298 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $120,144-$119,200 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
19
Bitcoin Rejected Near $120K – Bears Wake Up!First of all, I have to say that Bitcoin’s movements over the last 12 days have been a bit difficult to trade , generally, the hardest market to make a profit in is the range market with a swing movement . Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading near the Resistance zone($121,000-$119,500) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($121,336-$120,000) , and the upper line of the descending channel . Since Bitcoin has lost support lines , we can consider this increase in Bitcoin over the last two days as a pullback to the support lines(broken) . Do you agree with me!? In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Bitcoin is still completing the main wave B. The main wave B is a Regular Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . The structure of the microwave B of the main wave B was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . Additionally, the SPX 500 index ( SP:SPX ), which Bitcoin is correlated with , is poised for a correction in my opinion, which could also impact Bitcoin . Also, unlike previous Mondays, MicroStrategy has NOT purchased Bitcoin , and the company currently holds 607,770 BTC . Old Bitcoin wallets also seem to be waking up to the fact that they can create movements in the crypto market . " In recent days, 471,867.8 BTC worth $56.39 million have been transferred from old wallets from 2012 to 2017 . ". I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and fill the CME Gaps in the coming hours . New CME Gap: $119,500-$118,295 CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,401-$116,615 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
48
Bitcoin Correction Maturing – Long Setup Brewing!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has fallen by more than -4% over the past day. Let's take a look at the reasons for the decline. One of the key reasons behind Bitcoin’s decline in the past 24 hours ( July 25 ) could be the reduced likelihood of Jerome Powell being replaced as Chair of the Federal Reserve. In recent days, market participants were speculating that Donald Trump might replace Powell — a scenario that was considered bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin. However, recent reports of a meeting between Trump and Powell, and signs that Powell might not be dismissed, have weakened this fundamental narrative. This meeting may signal a truce or reduced tension between Trump’s team and Powell , which could imply a continuation of current Fed policies. That’s bad news for Bitcoin, as it removes a potential psychological tailwind from the market and dampens speculative sentiment. As a result: Over $500 million in liquidations(Long Positions) occurred Weak inflows into Bitcoin ETFs A stronger U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) And declining Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) prices over the past two days all added additional selling pressure on BTC. Now let's take a look at Bitcoin's conditions on the 4-hour time frame . Bitcoin currently appears to have broken the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) , Support lines , 100_SMA(4-hour TF) , and the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern with a bearish Marubozu candle . Note : In general, trading was difficult when Bitcoin was inside a symmetrical triangle (about 10 days). It also seems that the pullback to these zones has ended and Bitcoin is waiting for the next decline . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 5 of microwave C of major wave 4 . There is a possibility that main wave 4 will create a descending channel and complete at the bottom of the descending channel (at Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) ). I expect Bitcoin to start rising again after completing the CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) from Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($114,480-$114,000) or Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($113,284-$112,603) near the PRZ and Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $117,904-$116,665 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $121,046-$119,761 Do you think Bitcoin has entered a major correction, or does it still have a chance to create a new ATH? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
29
BTCUSD Analysis : Channel Break + QFL Setup | Structure Analysis📊 Chart Overview This 2H BTCUSD chart reveals a comprehensive view of market behavior transitioning from a phase of consolidation into a potential breakout or further rejection. The price action is analyzed inside a parallel channel, transitioning into a curved resistance path, which is currently governing the market structure. 🔵 Phase 1: Consolidation Inside a Straight Channel Price has respected a clear ascending channel (highlighted in blue) from July 16 to July 24. This phase shows a range-bound movement with defined supply and demand zones. Labelled as “Straight Channel or Consolidation”, this represents a potential accumulation/distribution zone. The Channel Previous Supply Interchange marks an important S/R flip zone, now serving as a key reference for future reactions. 🔻 Phase 2: Break of Structure & Curved Resistance Price broke down below the channel support and is now respecting a downward curved trendline. This indicates a shift in momentum from neutral to bearish, forming lower highs. A sharp drop occurred post-channel exit, marking a QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level) area—hinting at smart money involvement or liquidation hunt. 🔁 Reversal Scenarios & Key Levels There are two possible future paths visualized: 🟥 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation Price respects the curved trendline, failing to break resistance. A rejection near the current region (~117.5k) could lead price back toward: Central Zone Reversal near 115,000 USD Further into the 100% Reversal Zone (green zone) near 113,500–114,000 USD Ideal for short entries after clear rejection confirmations. 🟩 Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout Price breaks and sustains above the curved resistance. Temporary resistance seen at Minor level (~120,000 USD), followed by Major resistance near 121,000 USD. This scenario requires bullish volume and reclaim of structure, invalidating the short bias. 🧠 Strategic Viewpoint & Trade Mindset Market is at a decision point—either confirming a bearish rejection from dynamic resistance or invalidating it for a bullish reversal. Patience is key; wait for either: A failed breakout attempt (short opportunity), or A confirmed breakout and retest (long opportunity). Use lower timeframes (15m–1h) for execution once direction is confirmed.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by GoldMasterTrades
Powell’s Comments Could Decide BTC’s Fate: New ATH or Rejection!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has attacked the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) several times over the past week but failed to break through, meaning that buyers are still hoping for a BTC increase or even a new All-Time High(ATH) . Bitcoin has reached a Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) again and is trying to break the upper lines of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . The Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($117,255-$116,675) is important and includes high sell orders , so if Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and the Resistance lines with high momentum , we can hope for a continuation of the upward trend. Whether or not the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and the Resistance lines break could depend on the tone of Jerome Powell’s speech today . Jerome Powell will speak at the opening of the “ Integrated Review of the Capital Framework for Large Banks ” — the final major appearance before the Federal Reserve enters its pre-meeting blackout period. Market Expectations: The speech is officially about regulatory frameworks (like Basel III), but traders are watching closely for any hints regarding interest rate policy. Even indirect comments could move risk assets like BTC. Rate Cut Signals? With political pressure mounting (including criticism from Trump ) and markets pricing in a potential cut later this year, Powell may adopt a cautious, data-dependent tone emphasizing flexibility in decision-making. -------------------- In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the wave structure of the main wave 4 correction is over. The main wave 4 has a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , so that the microwave B of the main wave 4 has a Double Three Correction(WXY) . Of course, the breakdown of the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and Resistance lines can confirm the end of the main wave 4 . Also, there is a possibility that the 5th wave will be a truncated wave because the momentum of the main wave 3 is high , and Bitcoin may NOT create a new ATH and the main wave 5 will complete below the main wave 3. I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($121,000-$120,070) AFTER breaking the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and Resistance lines . Second Target: $121,620 Third Target: $123,820 Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $117,450 CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,429-$116,878 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,053-$115,411 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
29
Bitcoin: The Key Buying Level Near $112K Liquidity ZoneFenzoFx—Bitcoin consolidation extended into the bullish FVG, trading near $115,470.0. The 4-hour chart shows an indecisive candle, while the 200-day MA points upward, signaling bullish control. The bullish outlook remains intact if price holds above the critical $112,000.0 support. However, current bearish momentum may drag price toward this level, potentially filling nearby FVGs. Traders should monitor $112,000.0 for bullish setups, including break of structure and long-wick bullish candles.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FenzoFxBroker
BTCUSD Analysis (MMC) : Dual Directional Outlook let's See🔍 1. Overview of Structure & Context: On the 30-minute timeframe, BTCUSD is consolidating between two strong technical zones: A descending trendline acting as resistance A parallel rising support forming a compression zone This wedge-like formation signals a potential high-impact move in either direction — a dual-directional outlook. Price is currently testing the midpoint between resistance and support, offering two reactive trade scenarios. 🟦 2. Key Zones Highlighted on Chart: 🔹 A. Parallel Support Zone (Dynamic Support): A grey-shaded rising support has been tested multiple times. Each bounce suggests buying strength near this diagonal zone. This zone represents smart money accumulation potential under MMC concepts. As price approaches this zone again, bulls are expected to step in if momentum aligns. 🔹 B. Descending Resistance Line (Supply Line): The market is facing lower highs, a sign of bearish control at higher levels. Each retest of this line has led to a rejection. This line also acts as a liquidity magnet — price may spike above it to trap buyers before dropping (false breakout potential). 🧭 3. Scenarios and Trade Possibilities (Dual Directional Path): ✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout – (Marked as Path 1) If BTC breaks above the descending trendline with strong bullish volume, this confirms a structural breakout. This setup targets: First level: $119,600 Second level: $120,200 Once broken, the trendline can flip into support. Ideal confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle on breakout Retest of broken resistance turning into support Volume surge or momentum indicators turning bullish ⚠️ Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection & Breakdown – (Marked as Path 2) If BTC fails to break resistance and breaks below the parallel support zone, it opens a bearish scenario. Price may fall back to: First level: $117,200 Final key support: $116,400 (Major Breakdown Zone) This is a typical MMC-style mirror move: a structure break leading to liquidity run toward a previous demand zone. Bearish confirmation: Close below grey zone Lower high formation near resistance Increasing bearish volume / weak bounce 📐 4. Strategy & Trading Tips (MMC Application): Under the Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), these zones are not just technical levels — they represent emotional price memory of both institutional and retail players. Wait for the reaction, not prediction. Use confluence tools (RSI divergence, volume, candle patterns). Avoid trading inside the wedge — it's a trap zone. Ideal entries are at breakout with retest confirmation or rejection from major zones. 📊 Risk Management Plan: Entry Type Trigger Level SL Suggestion TP Range Long Trade Break & retest above $118.8K Below $118.2K $119.6K → $120.2K Short Trade Breakdown below $117.8K Above $118.2K $117.2K → $116.4K 🧠 Conclusion: BTC is in a decision-making zone between a downward pressure line and strong support. A breakout could lead to a clean trend continuation, while a breakdown would trigger bearish momentum. The chart reflects precision MMC logic, offering a tactical map for day traders and scalpers to follow the smart money — not the noise. Let the market decide direction. We just need to be prepared, not predictive.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC/USD Technical Analysis — Educational BreakdownBTC/USD Technical Analysis — Educational Breakdown 🧠 Key Observations: 🔹 Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmations The chart highlights multiple BOS points, showing clear transitions in market structure – a strong indication of bullish momentum building up after prior consolidation and retracements. 🔹 Support Zone (Demand Area): 115,355 – 117,403 This area has acted as a liquidity pool where buyers previously stepped in, forming the base for new BOS formations. A retest of this level could offer a high-probability long entry. 🔹 Resistance Zone (Supply Area): 123,375 Region This marked level is a prior high and expected profit-taking or potential short-trigger zone. Price is likely to target this level if bullish momentum continues. ⸻ 📈 EMA Analysis (20/50/100/200) • Stacked Bullishly: EMAs are layered with the shorter-term EMAs (20/50) above the longer-term ones (100/200), suggesting trend continuation to the upside. • Price reclaiming above all EMAs signals momentum is shifting from accumulation to expansion. ⸻ 🔮 Potential Scenario: 1. Bullish Retest Play A pullback toward the demand/support zone (116k–117.4k) can present a high-RR entry. 2. Continuation Toward Resistance If price holds above the EMAs and structure, we could see a push toward 123,375, where profit booking may occur. ⸻ 📌 Market Sentiment Bias: Bullish • Structure: Bullish BOS • Momentum: Above all EMAs • Volume Profile: High acceptance near
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
1
BTCUSD Analysis : Curve Line Breaked and Move Towards Target📊 Market Overview: BTCUSD has recently completed a strong bullish leg, following a parabolic curve formation that led price into a Major Resistance Zone near the $120,400 level. This rally aligns with MMC principles where price forms momentum-driven structures before reaching high-liquidity zones (often ending in exhaustion). 📍 1. Curve Line Support & Breakdown – A Shift in Sentiment Your chart shows a clear Curve Line that supported the bullish impulse. Price respected this dynamic support throughout the uptrend until a Curve Line Breakdown occurred—marking the first sign of bullish weakness. In MMC strategy, this curve structure breakdown is critical: It tells us the accumulation → expansion → exhaustion cycle is ending. The market is likely entering retracement or distribution phase. Price often seeks lower equilibrium, typically around the Central Zone. 🧠 2. QFL Zone (Quick Flip Level) – The Hidden Base Immediately after the curve broke, price moved toward the QFL level, which represents a demand base from earlier structure. This zone acts as a short-term support and often produces a reactive bounce (but not always a reversal). Watch closely: If price respects this zone → temporary relief bounce If it fails → we’ll likely see full test of Central Zone or lower demand levels 🟩 3. Central Zone – The MMC Decision Area The Central Zone is a key horizontal level on your chart, defined between ~$117,300 and ~$118,200. This zone is marked based on: Previous structure Volume clusters Demand imbalance Why is this zone important? It serves as the balance point between buyers and sellers. A bullish reaction here could re-initiate a move toward Minor Resistance (~$119,200). A failure to hold could open the door for deeper retracement toward the green demand box (~$117,200 or below). 🔄 4. Two Primary MMC-Based Conditions to Watch: ✅ Condition 1: Bounce from Central Zone Price reacts from within the Central Zone Forms bullish structure (double bottom, bullish engulfing, or reversal wick) Short-term target becomes Minor Resistance (~$119,200) If volume increases and price breaks above Minor, continuation toward Major is possible ❌ Condition 2: Breakdown & Bearish Continuation Price fails to hold within Central Zone Bearish structure forms (e.g. lower highs, breakdown candles) Clean move expected toward next liquidity pocket at $117,200–$116,800 This would confirm market shifting into bearish control 📌 5. Minor vs Major Levels – Key Zones Minor Resistance (~$119,200): Short-term target if bounce occurs Major Resistance (~$120,400): Liquidity sweep zone, strong supply Green Demand Box (~$117,200): If Central Zone fails, this becomes next bounce zone 📘 Final Thoughts: This is a classic MMC setup in real-time: Curve Formed → Broke OFL + Central Zone → Now being tested Next move depends on confirmation from buyers or sellers at Central Zone Don’t trade emotionally — let price action give you confirmation before taking any positions. Watch the Central Zone behavior closely and manage risk based on scenario outcomes.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BITCOIN daily Heiken Ashi chart - potential trend reversal ? There are aq number of things to see here. The main chart shows us PA raning in a tight range, with possible support on the VPVR on the right The dailu MACD Shown below Is turning bearish BUT could we see the same as the arrow ? Maybe but the ADX shown below does lead to some caution being required The Daily ADX is up high and could Very easily turn down REMEMBER, ADX direction does NOT show Trend ditection, Only trend Strength So, we may see a weakening of the trend, That cuold lead to a dip in price, OR it may not But caution is now require.d
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal