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Here is How BITCOINs Historical Cycle Could Pursue.Hello There, recently I spotted an important constellation within the cycle of Bitcoin, which caught my attention and is extremely crucial for the forthcoming of future price actions. While Bitcoin, in the short term, is still extremely bearish with many bears and whales dumping into the market, the middle-to-long-term perspective should be considered from a different angle. In this case Bitcoin could be about to pursue an extremely important cycle, which was already the origin of a massive peak expansion, boosting Bitcoin into massively high spheres. Currently, Bitcoin could just be in the middle of this massively underlying cycle trend, which could repeat itself in a different shape to turn out with a fundamental reversal and increase of volatile price outbreaks. Such dynamics are always interesting to watch for traders when considering placing a trade in a breakout pattern and simultaneous setup for a high profit. This whole cycle mainly consists of 5 elements, of which 2 have already been completed in the current constellation. You can watch all the important levels of cycle progress in my chart. What is highly important and a necessary factor for the current cycle to hold and continue as well is that when bearish volume increases in the short term within the next times, Bitcoin has the ability to continue seeking support within the range. If this does not happen and Bitcoin does not show the ability to hold the $45,000 to $50,000 range, then the potential for a downtrend continuation increases. If this scenario happens, there are two possibilities. Either Bitcoin expands the current uptrend channel to lower levels in which it seeks support within the lower accumulation channel line marked in green, or a black swan event such as corona or a massive financial market crash like the one seen in 2008 could dismiss this whole cycle. Such possibilities would only increase if the bearish price action really accelerates to a point where there are no potentials for reversal. Generally speaking, it will be highly important how Bitcoin reacts to the lower accumulation channel line of this gigantic uptrend channel. If there will be a stabilization and substantial bounce, the possibility of the repetition of the cycle almost increases above any bearish scenario. Also, the 9- and 21-MA are crucial signals here. If this cross down happens again, there is a likelihood that Bitcoin will continue with a cross up also. In any case, the upcoming short-term bearish trend dynamics are highly deterministic for any further price actions and cycle considerations. Thank you very much for watching.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by VincePrince
26
BItcoin Short Term Analysis (4H)As we had already identified Bitcoin’s support zone in previous analyses, this area is still valid. To assess Bitcoin in the lower timeframes, there are two possible scenarios: One is that it starts moving upward from the current prices, and the other is that it revisits the green zone once more, forms a double bottom, and then moves toward the red target. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will negate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
9
(BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Pattern - Critical Breakout Setup🔍 Market Overview & Technical Breakdown Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently forming a rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, which is a bearish signal indicating a potential reversal. The price action shows higher highs and higher lows, but the narrowing wedge suggests that buying momentum is weakening. BTC has been battling a major resistance zone around $85,000 - $87,500, struggling to break higher. If Bitcoin fails to hold above the key support level at $80,000, we could see a strong downside move. However, if BTC breaks the upper resistance, the bearish setup may be invalidated, opening the door for a push toward $95,000+. 📉 Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish Formation) A rising wedge occurs when the price moves upward within two converging trendlines, making higher highs and higher lows but with a weakening bullish momentum. This pattern often breaks downward, leading to a sharp sell-off. Characteristics of This Wedge Formation: ✅ Upward Sloping Support & Resistance Lines: BTC is trending higher, but the slope is narrowing, showing a loss of bullish strength. ✅ Decreasing Volume: Volume is declining as price moves higher, indicating buyers are losing control. ✅ Bearish Breakout Probability: Rising wedges typically break down 75% of the time, suggesting a high likelihood of a drop below support. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Resistance Zones (Potential Breakout Levels) 1️⃣ $85,000 - $87,500 → Strong resistance; BTC has repeatedly failed to break above. 2️⃣ $90,000+ → A confirmed breakout would invalidate the wedge and shift the trend bullish. 3️⃣ $107,000 Target → If BTC breaks above resistance, we could see a move toward the psychological $100,000 - $107,000 level. 🔻 Support Levels (Bearish Breakdown Zones) 1️⃣ $80,000 - $82,000 → Key support within the wedge; a breakdown confirms the bearish move. 2️⃣ $75,000 → Strong historical demand zone; BTC could bounce here if it drops. 3️⃣ $70,000 and Below → Ultimate bearish target if selling pressure accelerates. 📈 Bullish vs. Bearish Scenarios ⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Rising Wedge Breakdown) 🔴 Entry: Below $80,000 (confirmed breakdown). 📉 Stop-Loss: Above $83,500 (to avoid fakeouts). 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $78,000 TP2: $75,000 TP3: $70,000 🔹 Confirmation: Look for increased selling volume and a retest of $80,000 as resistance after breakdown. 🚀 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance) ✅ Entry: Above $87,500, confirming bullish momentum. 📉 Stop-Loss: Below $85,000 (to minimize risk). 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $90,000 TP2: $95,000 TP3: $107,000 🔹 Confirmation: BTC must break the wedge’s upper boundary with strong volume for bullish continuation. 📊 Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment 🔵 RSI (Relative Strength Index) Currently near 60 – Showing bullish momentum but not yet overbought. A move above 70 could signal an overbought market and potential reversal. 🔴 Volume Profile Volume is decreasing as BTC rises, suggesting a possible exhaustion of buying power. A breakout should be accompanied by strong volume to confirm bullish strength. 🟢 Moving Averages (EMA & SMA) BTC is trading above key EMAs (50 & 200), supporting the bullish case. A breakdown below the 50 EMA could accelerate selling pressure. 📢 Final Thoughts: High-Risk, High-Reward Setup 🚨 BTC is at a critical decision point! The rising wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal, but confirmation is needed. If BTC breaks below $80K, expect a strong sell-off. However, if bulls manage to break above resistance, BTC could rally toward $100K+. 🔹 Risk Management Tip: ✅ Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade. ✅ Use stop-losses to protect your capital. ✅ Monitor volume & key levels for stronger trade signals. 🔥 What’s your take on this setup? Will BTC break down or push higher? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
My Long-term BTC Idea March 2025 IMPORTANT MONTH FOR BITCOINBitcoin (BTC) Analysis - Not Financial Advice Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. These are real trend lines that you can draw yourself. While the current trend appears bearish, it might also present a good buying opportunity. Personally, I’ve struggled to trade Bitcoin successfully because emotions often get the better of me. For instance, I saw WIF at $0.02 but didn’t buy because I had also seen it at $0.00002. This example highlights that the current price isn’t always a reason to avoid buying. That said, I am currently holding off. Key Insights from the Chart: Current Price Action: BTC is around $86,845, correcting after hitting a high near $96,500. It appears to be testing a support line within an ascending channel. Trend Channels: The broader ascending channel (orange lines) suggests a long-term bullish trend. Mid-range correction lines and resistance levels (purple lines) highlight key price zones. Support and Resistance Levels: Key support: $69,077, $64,877, and $49,673. Major resistance: $109,087 (upper boundary of the orange channel). Buying Zones: Golden Buy Zone: Around $15,446, ideal for long-term entries during deep corrections. Perfect Buy Zone: Slightly above $29,166, a strong buy area if BTC pulls back. Bear Market Bottom: Approximately $40,147, a solid long-term support level. Market Outlook: Short-term: The correction might continue until BTC tests the mid-level purple line or the $73,721 level. A bounce from these levels could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, potentially pushing toward the $109,000 target. Long-term: If BTC stays within the ascending orange channel, a long-term target above $109,000 remains realistic. Risk Factors: A break below the correction line or falling outside the channel would indicate a bearish reversal. Personal Perspective: With the monthly candle closing in three days, BTC needs to push upward to form a wick, signaling bullish potential. If not, attention shifts to the weekly candle. Predicting the outcome is uncertain—this could either be a buying opportunity or a liquidation zone. Remember, back in 2021, BTC hit FWB:65K , then dropped to $30k, which turned out to be a great buying opportunity as it later surged to $67k. Altcoin Season: Some believe altcoin season is coming, but I think it already happened in 2024. Raydium (RAY) soared from $0.12 to $9, and coins like WIF and Fartcoin also surged. Unfortunately, many low-quality coins have been pumping, with less-experienced investors driving the trend. Conclusion: Despite the current bearish sentiment, this market phase might offer solid buying opportunities if key support levels hold. The next few days are crucial—watch how the monthly candle closes and monitor the weekly candle for further signals. As always, trade carefully, and don’t let emotions dictate your decisions.
by carl2k2
1
Bitcoin & Logical correction and refueling for the next climb...RSI has reached the overbought zone. The news is favorable. Strong fundamentals and favorable technicals can lead to magnificent climbs. Unless the events behind the scenes want to pull Bitcoin down again. In any case, according to the chart, there is a possibility of a logical correction up to the prices of around $31,000 and $32,000. Maybe a little lower than $30,000 and then move to $42,000. In my opinion, this modification is beneficial for the next moves.
by Farid-110