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Bitcoin BTC Trend Shift: Watching for a Break (BoS) Confirmation🚀 Bitcoin (BTC) Update 🚀 Bitcoin has made a bullish move 🟢📈, showing a clear structural shift to the upside 🔄 on the 4H chart ⏰. My bias remains bullish ✅, but with a degree of caution ⚠️. What I want to see next is a decisive break above the previous swing high 📍📊 — this would confirm a true break of structure (BOS) 🔓 versus the current stage, which is only a structural shift 🔄. ⚠️ This analysis is educational only and not financial advice. 📚
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin Daiy SMA UPDATEThis chart uses the SMA, Simple Moving Average Red = 50, Blue = 100, Green = 128, Yellow = 200 The weekend was calm and very low trading. PA is ranging along the 100 SMA and sitting, waiting. PA has the potential to move in either direction right now but the Bulls are certainly present, Keeping PA static. Daily MACD remains Bulish with room to move higher, Histogram is Green On the shorter term 4 hour, we can see how the 50 SMA is supporting PA while the 100 is currently the line to cross at 111582 PA has support below and is avobe the VRVP POC ( red dots ) Shorter term certainly appears more Bullish The 4 hour MACD also shows this The MACD came down and tested neutral line as support and the Histogram here is alo Green. But understand, this does NOT guarantee a rise further. The lines of Resistance abive are growing. Currently, beginning aroun 113K The Blue line on the Daily chart is the ultimate Goal to be crossed. This is a LONG Term line of resistance that has rejected EVERY ATH since 2011. It is the only line that has done this and what is important to know, this is a Calculated Arc, part of a Fibonaccj Spiral ( as explained in a previous post) This is the Bigger picture, PA from November 2009, the year after Bitcoin Was born As you can see, PA is being Sqqueezed and HAS to react before January 2026 or face stiff rejection below that Long Term line of support ( dashed line) What ever happens, this IS the beginning of a New Era, Cycle of Bitcoin. And this is why we need to pay so much attention to Bitcoin right now. We MUST rise above that blue Arc of resistance.... And Curently, we are HERE....shown in the chart below. This is a daily chart from November 2024 PA has been trying to get above this blue Arc since then. And we are right under it again now, Target price to get to and hold Above this Blue Arc is around 117K We may wait till the FED tells us its decision on interest rates this month.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Rally Entering Final Stages!Bitcoin Bull Cycle Analysis: Historically, Bitcoin has moved in clearly defined market cycles, each lasting roughly 1,064–1,065 days (about 3 years) from bottom to peak, followed by a sharp correction. 2013–2017 Cycle 🔶Bitcoin bottomed in early 2015 and then entered a strong bull run. 🔶Over the next 1,064 days, Bitcoin surged by more than 12,000%, ultimately peaking in late 2017. 🔶After the peak, Bitcoin experienced an 84% decline over the following year, entering a prolonged bear market. 2017–2021 Cycle 🔶From the December 2018 bottom, Bitcoin again began a long bull phase. 🔶In the next 1,064 days, Bitcoin gained over 2,000%, reaching a new all-time high in late 2021. 🔶Similar to the previous cycle, the market corrected sharply, with Bitcoin losing around 76% of its value within a year. 2021–2025 Cycle (Current) 🔶The most recent bottom was recorded in late 2022. Since then, Bitcoin has been in a sustained uptrend. 🔶As of today, the cycle has lasted 1,000+ days, during which Bitcoin has appreciated by roughly 675%. 🔶If the historical pattern continues, this bull run may have about two months left before reaching a cycle peak. 🔶Afterward, the market could undergo a significant correction, potentially in the range of 60–70%, though smaller than previous drops. Conclusion : Bitcoin’s market history shows a repeating cycle of multi-year bull runs followed by sharp corrections. While past performance does not guarantee future results, the consistency in cycle length and the pattern of diminishing corrections suggest that Bitcoin may soon approach its next major peak. If the trend holds, a significant pullback of 60–70% could follow, offering both risks for late entrants and opportunities for long-term investors. This highlights the importance of caution, disciplined risk management, and strategic planning as we near the potential end of the 2021–2025 bull cycle.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by HexaTrades
6
Bitcoin to $500K by 2028–2030Institutional Adoption, Scarcity, and the Devaluation of the Dollar The question of whether Bitcoin could reach the half‑million mark within the next five to seven years is increasingly debated among investors, economists, and institutions alike. While such projections still carry uncertainty, several converging trends suggest that a $500,000 valuation for Bitcoin by 2028–2030 is within the realm of possibility. These drivers include the rapid pace of institutional adoption, Bitcoin’s fixed supply, its growing narrative as a store of value, the potential role of national reserves, and a macroeconomic backdrop defined by inflation and dollar devaluation. Additionally, the long‑term holding behavior of Bitcoin investors has reduced circulating supply, further amplifying the scarcity effect. 1. Institutional Adoption via ETFs and Beyond The approval and growth of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in major financial markets mark a watershed moment in the asset’s mainstream acceptance. These vehicles simplify access for institutional investors that were previously constrained by custody and regulatory hurdles. Pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds are now able to allocate to Bitcoin through regulated channels. As demand from professional investors grows, the inflows through ETFs act as a continual buy‑side force. Unlike speculative retail buying sprees of previous cycles, institutional allocations are more structured and long‑term oriented, potentially anchoring a more stable demand floor. This steady absorption of supply is expected to become one of the strongest catalysts for Bitcoin price growth this decade. 2. Fixed Supply: The Scarcity Engine Bitcoin’s most unique feature is its hard‑coded supply cap: only 21 million coins will ever exist . This mathematical certainty contrasts starkly with fiat currencies, where central banks can expand money supply indefinitely. Halving events, which reduce the block rewards of mining BTC roughly every four years, further accelerate scarcity. By 2030 , the annual mining of Bitcoin will be minuscule compared to today, limiting fresh supply even as institutional demand scales up. In classical economic terms, a growing demand against a fixed or declining supply can only result in upward price pressure. 3. Store of Value in an Inflationary World The past decade has demonstrated how inflation and monetary expansion distort asset markets. As governments print more money to finance debt and expenditures, investors increasingly seek hedges against the erosion of purchasing power. Historically, gold has played this role. Bitcoin, with its transportability, divisibility, verifiability, and digital-native characteristics, is now increasingly seen as a modern alternative or complement to gold. If Bitcoin even partially captures the $13+ trillion gold market as a store of value, valuations well above $500,000 per coin become mathematically plausible. 4. Bitcoin as a Component of National Reserves While still early, several nations are exploring or experimenting with holding Bitcoin in their reserves. For countries facing dollar dependency or geopolitical pressures, Bitcoin provides a neutral, censorship‑resistant reserve asset that reduces reliance on the U.S. financial system. Should more governments follow El Salvador’s lead or allocate even a small percentage of their foreign reserves to Bitcoin, global reserve demand could represent a massive new buyer base. Even marginal allocations at a sovereign level would create outsized effects due to Bitcoin’s relatively small market capitalization compared to global reserves. 5. The Dollar, Inflation, and Asset Price Revaluation The U.S. dollar, while still dominant, faces structural challenges: ballooning government debt, persistent fiscal deficits, and the need for monetary expansion to sustain growth. Increased money supply historically leads to currency debasement. As purchasing power erodes, asset prices, from equities to real estate to scarce stores of value like Bitcoin, tend to reprice higher in nominal dollar terms. Thus, Bitcoin’s potential ascent to $500,000 is not solely about Bitcoin “going up,” but also about the dollar “going down.” In this sense, the milestone is as much a reflection of fiat devaluation as it is of Bitcoin adoption. 6. The Supply Dynamics: 80% Already Parked On‑chain analytics highlight another critical factor: roughly 80% of Bitcoin supply is currently held by long‑term investors in “dormant” wallets, seldom moved or sold. This indicates that a large portion of the supply is illiquid, effectively taken off the market. When institutions, retail newcomers, or governments try to acquire Bitcoin in size, they will be competing over the thin slice of supply available for trade. This dynamic creates a potential supply squeeze, which historically has been one of the key drivers of Bitcoin’s parabolic price advances. Conclusion: A Plausible Milestone, But With Volatility Along the Way Projecting Bitcoin to $500,000 by 2028–2030 is not simply speculation, it is a thesis grounded in identifiable trends: institutional adoption through ETFs, a mathematically capped supply, Bitcoin’s emerging status as digital gold, the potential for sovereign reserve adoption, and macroeconomic tailwinds fueled by dollar debasement. However, it is important to note that Bitcoin’s journey will not be linear. Volatility, regulatory battles, and shifts in global macro conditions will shape the trajectory. Yet, the combination of structural scarcity and rising global demand makes the possibility of half‑a‑million per coin a credible long‑term scenario. #crypto #bitcoin #finance #defi #economy #portfolio #digital #blockchain #trading #asset
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by signalgo
Bitcoin is nearing supportFirst, we touched the white Centerline twice. The third attempt was a miss and triggered a Hagopian, which got filled in mid-August. Already below the yellow Centerline, Bitcoin wasn’t able to climb back above it. Now, price is near the L-MLH of both Forks, indicating that potential support lies just ahead. Let’s see if we can hold at the white L-MLH and find a long entry, which would hopefully shoot us back up to the Centerline (remember: there’s an 80% chance of reaching the Centerline). Patience is key, so let’s relax, grab some popcorn, and watch this movie §8-)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
4
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHALES PREPARING HUGE MOVE!!!? (damn)Yello Paradisers! In this video, as professional traders, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis. First, we went through an ultra-high time frame where I shared with you that we are touching an important moving average trend line. Because of that, we understand that a channel retest is possible, but we need to be careful because there is a bearish divergence, and we already got a confirmational bearish cross. On the high timeframe chart, we have seen that the ABC zigzag is already finished. Right now, we are forming a possible first ultra-high timeframe wave, and from that, we are starting the first motive mode wave. We are seeing bullish divergence, and what I forgot to say is that if we start moving to the upside and creating the secondary high timeframe wave, we will touch the CME futures gap and close it. Which is another confluence. After that, we have been shifting our focus to the medium timeframe. I've told you that what's important is also what you don't see in the market and we are seeing so far no bearish divergence plus what I have didn't show you but there are also two bullish hammer candlestick patterns candles I have been sharing with you the moving average trend line the Fibonacci time zone and the next resistances finally at low time frame chart we have been going through the ending diagonal. Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics. I apologize; I accidentally turned off the video in the middle. Unfortunately, TradingView doesn't allow me to continue, so the next video will be here on TradingView on Wednesday. Stay tuned.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
6
BTCUSD Breakout Above Trendline – Bullish Continuation Setup🔹 Market Context On the 15m timeframe, Bitcoin has decisively broken above the descending trendline that had previously acted as dynamic resistance with multiple rejections. This breakout occurred after the market created Equal Highs (EQH) and engineered liquidity above them, followed by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) to the upside. The breakout not only invalidates the short-term bearish structure but also signals a possible shift in order flow, with buyers stepping in after liquidity collection. ⸻ 🔹 Price Action Breakdown • Liquidity Grab: The equal highs at ~$108,700–$108,900 were swept, clearing stop orders and creating fuel for a push higher. • Trendline Break: The clean break and close above the descending trendline suggests weakening seller control. • Retest Opportunity: Price may revisit the broken trendline or recent demand zone (~$108,700–$108,900) before continuing upward. • Strong High in Play: The $110,500 zone represents the untested supply area and “strong high” that will likely attract price in the short term. ⸻ 🔹 Trade Idea (Bullish Bias) • Entry Zone: Retest of $108,700–$108,900 demand area • Stop Loss: Below $108,250 (invalidates bullish structure) • Take Profit Targets: • TP1: $109,350 → first reaction level • TP2: $109,750–$110,000 → psychological liquidity pool • TP3: $110,500 → untested supply / strong high ⸻ CFI:BTCUSD 🔹 Invalidation If BTC closes back below $108,250 with strong momentum, this would suggest a failed breakout and reopen short opportunities toward $107,500 and $107,200. ⸻ 🔹 Bias Summary • Primary Bias: Bullish continuation after breakout • Key Zone to Hold: $108,700–$108,900 • Upside Targets: $109,350 → $110,500 • Invalidation Level: $108,250
CFI:BTCUSD
by KhaleelSuliman
Bitcoin at Golden Pocket Support – Don’t Sell the Dip?Bitcoin is currently testing the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone (~$108k), a historically strong support level also known as the “Golden Pocket.” With confluence from CZ’s reminder — “Things to avoid in crypto: Selling the dip” — this area could be a major bounce zone if bulls defend it. 🔹 Strong Support: $108k 🔹 Next Support: $98k if breakdown happens 🔹 Resistance: $113k – $117k Bias: Watch for confirmation candles. A bounce here could send BTC back toward $113k–117k. A breakdown invalidates this support.
Long
by bitcub
Bitcoin - It is bullish either way!💎Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) still remains bullish: 🔎Analysis summary: Yes, over the past couple of days we have been seeing a quite negative correction on Bitcoin. However, looking at the higher timeframe, Bitcoin remains totally bullish. So even if Bitcoin continues with the recent correction, it would ultimately result in a bullish all time high break and retest. 📝Levels to watch: $60.000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
44
BITCOIN PREDICTION: CRASH WILL STOP HERE!!!? (nobody watching) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I'm sharing with you the ultra-line time frame perspective. We are analyzing the channel and the Elliott Wave Theory on a high time frame chart. I'm sharing with you how the ABC correction is finished. We are going through the Bitcoin CME futures gap or medium time frame. I'm sharing with you the Fibonacci time zone, the Elliott Wave count, and the confirmations we are waiting for to start in your positions. Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
8
BTC/USDT Analysis. Continuation of the local uptrend Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with the daily market analysis. Yesterday, the market followed our scenario, continuing the local uptrend and breaking the previous high. At the moment, there are no strong signs of profit-taking that could trigger a reversal, nor major resistance zones nearby. The main expectation remains further growth towards the $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone), where a reversal pattern may start to form. For intraday traders, the key level to watch is around $112,000. An abnormally high volume cluster was recorded there, which positioned buyers earlier. If the price dips into this zone and shows a reaction, a local long setup may be considered. Buy zones: ~$112,000 (local zone, abnormal cluster), $110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes). Sell zones: $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone), ~$116,500 (volume anomaly), $117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes), $121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption). This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by Crypto_robotics
BTC RoadmapBitcoin’s monthly chart shows the same repeating rhythm across cycles: massive rallies, steep drawdowns, and multi-year bases before new highs. But unlike past cycles where drawdowns reached 75–80%, the landscape has changed. Institutional adoption, ETF inflows, and broader ownership have created a structural cushion. Instead of BTC revisiting deep cycle lows, the worst case now is a retest of the previous peak (~$69k) — the top of the 2021 cycle. Cycle 1: +23,960%, then -78% Cycle 2: +8,922%, then -78% Cycle 3: +1,053%, then -75% Cycle 4 (current): +300% off the lows so far, ETF-driven The yellow trendline continues to serve as long-term support. ETF entries and institutional demand should prevent another full collapse like in earlier cycles. Peak target: $147k Q4 2025 Bottom target: 65k - 74k Q4 2026/Q1 2027 Stop-loss zone (invalidated idea): close below 50W MA Definitely not written by chatgpt.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by definitelynotabotbeepboop
BITCOIN PREDICTION: ANOTHER MASSIVE LIQUIDATION INCOMING!!?(bad)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis. Professional trading requires doing analysis on multiple time frames so you can really understand the context of what's going on. On the ultra-long timeframe, I've been sharing with you the Elliott Wave plus the bearish cross, the bearish divergence. On the high timeframe chart, we have been going through the ABC zigzag, which seems to be finished already, and we are starting the first wave of our ultra-high timeframe impulse. On the medium time frame, we have been going through the Fibonacci and Elliott Wave count. I have been sharing with you on the RSI, a bullish divergence. We have been going through the sub-waves and where the secondary wave might end. We didn't have enough time to go through it, but I wanted to show you the CME Futures gap that will probably close on the creation of the secondary wave. Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
9
BTC Professional Market Movement Analysis🏗️ How Market Moves Liquidity Grab at Support 🟢 Price dips into the 112K zone to collect liquidity (stop-hunts + institutional buys). Market shows wick rejections & volume absorption. This is where smart money positions for the next leg higher. Expansion Phase 🚀 After liquidity grab → market expands upward. Price pushes aggressively toward the 124K resistance. This movement is fueled by trapped sellers covering shorts + buyers entering late. Resistance Reaction 🔴 At 124K zone, market faces supply. Either: Rejects and falls back toward support (range continues). Breaks through → signals strong bullish continuation (trend shift). 📉 If Support Fails If BTC closes below 111K, it means liquidity is not enough. Market will seek the next major demand zone (100K) where bigger orders sit. This creates a stop-hunt + deeper accumulation before a new push higher. 🧠 Pro Definition Market does not move randomly — it moves from liquidity pool to liquidity pool. BTC is currently collecting orders at 112K support. Expect a bounce → expansion → test of 124K supply. If 112K fails, price will seek deeper liquidity near 100K before rebounding. ⚡ In simple terms: 👉 Market first hunts liquidity at support 🟢, 👉 then expands upward toward resistance 🔴, 👉 and finally decides — either reject back into the range or break higher for continuation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
2
New Highs Ahead ? - BTCUSD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Today we are having Elliott wave theory counts on BTCUSD Bitcoin Chart Analysis The weekly timeframe of the BTCUSD bitcoin chart reveals that we are unfolding Super Cycle Degree Wave (III) in Blue. This wave's sub-divisions, which should total five for a Cycle Degree, are visible. We've completed Waves I & II and begun unfolding Wave III in red. Within Wave III, we are unfolding the 1st wave ((1)) of one lower degree as Primary (Black). This wave will unfold in five sub-divisions of one more lower degree as Intermediate degree in (Blue). Daily Outlook: On the daily outlook, we are currently unfolding wave (4) of Intermediate degree (Blue), a subdivision of wave ((1)) of Primary degree (Black). As wave (4) nears completion, a reversal is expected soon, driving prices toward new highs to complete wave (5) of ((1)). Additional Support Confirmation: Further reinforcing the analysis, the Anchored VWAP's Average is also showing support near 104,000. This confluence of support levels increases the likelihood of a reversal, making it an important level to watch for traders. Key Takeaways: - We're unfolding Cycle Degree Wave III on the weekly timeframe. - Wave (4) of Intermediate degree is nearing completion on the daily outlook. - A reversal is expected soon, driving prices toward new highs. - Anchored VWAP also showing Support nearby current price. Important Wave Theory Considerations: As per wave theory, wave (4) shouldn't overlap wave (1), except in the case of diagonals and triangles. In this scenario, we are unfolding a diagonal, allowing wave (4) to enter into wave (1). However, it's crucial to note that wave (4) should not go beyond the low of wave (2) under any circumstances. If it does, our wave counts would be invalidated. A Word of Caution: Elliott Wave Theory and possible wave counts suggest that the price will make new highs on the chart soon. However, the market is inherently unpredictable and always ready to surprise. Therefore, it's essential to consider "what-if" scenarios in your trading journey. Are we ready for new highs ? As we navigate the complexities of the market, it's vital to remain adaptable and prepared for any eventuality. By acknowledging the potential for surprises and maintaining a flexible mindset, traders can better navigate the markets and make informed decisions. Conclusion: The BTCUSD bitcoin chart is poised for a reversal, driven by the completion of wave (4) and the subsequent unfolding of wave (5). While the analysis suggests new highs are on the horizon, it's essential to remain cautious and consider the unpredictability of the market. Are you prepared for the possibilities that lie ahead ? I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RK_Chaarts