BTCUSDT 4H🔎 Chart Context
• Pair: BTC/USDT
• Exchange: Binance
• Timeframe: 4H (240M)
• Date: 16 August 2025
The chart applies price action, liquidity sweep, demand/supply zones, and FVG (Fair Value Gaps) to forecast market behavior.
📊 Key Observations
1. Major Highs & Lows
• Recent Highs: 124,474 and 123,218
• Key Resistance: 122,335.16 zone
• Significant Lows: 112,650.00 and 111,920.00 (highlighted as potential liquidity target)
These represent liquidity pools where institutional activity often occurs.
2. Current Price
• Trading around 117,621 – 118,235 zone at the time of charting.
• Price is consolidating after rejection from 124,474 top.
3. Liquidity Structure
• Market swept liquidity above 124,474 and quickly rejected, signaling a potential distribution phase.
• Below, untested liquidity exists near 111,920, which is marked as a probable downside target.
4. FVG & Demand Zones
• A Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains open around 115,200–116,500, which price could retest before further downside.
• Stronger demand lies around 111,920–112,650, likely to act as a magnet if the retracement deepens.
5. Resistance Zones
• 122,335–124,474 is a strong supply block / distribution zone, which caused the sharp rejection.
• Any bullish recovery will need to reclaim 120,247 and 119,800 to sustain upside momentum.
📈 Bullish Case (Less Likely, Countertrend Scenario)
• If BTC holds above 115,200–116,500 FVG zone and forms higher lows:
• First target: 119,800 (minor supply).
• Second target: 122,335 (major resistance).
• Reclaiming this zone could trigger a retest of 124,474.
• However, this requires strong demand and volume, which currently looks weak.
📉 Bearish Case (Higher Probability Scenario)
• After liquidity grab at 124,474, rejection suggests continuation lower.
• Likely retracement path:
• Retest 116,500–115,200 (FVG zone)
• Break below to sweep 112,650
• Final downside liquidity target: 111,920
This scenario aligns with the chart projection arrow pointing toward 111,920.88.
⚡ Trading Plan
• Short Entries (Preferred Play):
• At 119,800–120,247 (supply retest)
• At 122,335 zone (distribution block)
• Target 1: 116,500–115,200 (partial close).
• Target 2: 112,650.
• Target 3: 111,920 (main liquidity sweep).
• Stop-loss: Above 124,474 high.
• Long Setup (Countertrend, Risky):
• Entry at 115,200–116,500 (FVG)
• TP1: 119,800
• TP2: 122,335
• Stop: Below 114,700
Bitcoinlong
Can the Thief Rob BTC Pullback Before the Police Arrive?🚨 BTC/USD 💰 Bitcoin Breakout Heist Plan – Robbers in Action 🚀 🚨
Asset: BTC/USD “Bitcoin vs U.S. Dollar” — Crypto King Market
📊 Plan: BULLISH BREAKOUT RAID
🎯 Target: 123,000.00 🎯 — Police Barricade Resistance + Overbought Trap Zone
🔒 Entry: ANY PRICE LEVEL — Thief avg pullback entry at 115,000.00
🛑 Stop Loss: 113,000.00 — Below the Laser Tripwire
🎩 Thief Entry Blueprint 🕵️♂️
The vault’s trembling. The thief’s not waiting.
Layered limit orders are being deployed like smoke bombs — we strike anywhere, anytime, with stealthy precision. No begging for dip, we rob it raw. 💣🧨
📉 Risk Protocol Setup 🛡️
SL: Under local support – cut fast if alarms trigger.
Risk light, rob heavy. Use tight stops or trailing guards to escape with the loot.
📈 Why Rob Long?
Bullish momentum building like a pressure cooker 💥
Resistance zones turning into trapdoors for late bears 🐻
Liquidity pools above — ripe for raid
Sentiment flips, on-chain signals, and macro tailwinds align ⚡
📌 Robbery Reminders:
NO SHORTING — This is a one-way heist 🚷
Avoid news-time chaos ⛔
Use multiple entries (layer style) and escape plans.
Overbought ≠ exit — it’s the bait for the next raid 🧠
💖 LIKE = SUPPORT THE CREW
Every like boosts the Thief Trader movement — more heat, more setups, more wins.
Smash Boost. Share the Heist. Stay Robbing. 🐱👤📈🔥
🔔 Stay tuned. Next breakout blueprint dropping soon.
JUVUSDT UPDATE\#JUV
UPDATE
JUV Technical Setup
Pattern: Bullish Flag
Current Price: \$1.566
Target Price: \$2.40
Target % Gain: 65.88%
Technical Analysis: JUV is forming a bullish flag on the 1D chart after a strong impulsive move, consolidating within a tight range. Price has held above \$1.40 support with increasing bullish momentum, and a breakout above the flag resistance could trigger a sharp rally toward \$2.40.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: CRITICAL UPDATE (warning) Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are going through high-timeframe, medium-timeframe, and lower-timeframe analysis. This multi-timeframe analysis is important for us to understand the whole context of the market, and that is how we are able to make the best trading decisions as professional traders.
I'm explaining to you that we are on the high-timeframe chart, trading inside of a channel ABC zigzag formation. From an Elliott Wave perspective, we are currently in the C wave, which is a motive wave, and we are creating the smaller secondary wave. We can see a bullish divergence confirmed, and we are waiting for RSI to have a successful bullish reclaim.
I'm updating you about the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement level and all of the confluences at around $116,000 and $117,000. From a medium-timeframe perspective, we are updating the Elliott Wave price action development count. I'm sharing with you the contracting triangle. The deviation that happened during the E wave, the confluence of the $116,000 and $117,000, and truly sharing with you how important this demand zone area really is.
Then we are moving our attention to low time frame analysis where I share with you the most probable price action development in the upcoming days, weeks, and months.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin : Stay heavy on positionsSame view as before. No change.
Bitcoin : Stay heavy on positions (2x)
For new Bitcoin entries, now is the time.
If you're using leverage, I’d wait for a scale-in signal before jumping in.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
BTC Holding Strong: Fibonacci Levels Point to $130KBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is holding above a key dynamic support zone at the lower boundary of its ascending channel, with current price action signaling a potential continuation to the upside. This long setup is supported by multiple bullish confluences.
✅ Bullish Confluences:
Fibonacci Retracement Support: Price respected the 38.2%–61.8% Fib retracement zone between $113,769 and $110,828, confirming a strong demand area.
Trend Structure: Clear higher low formation on the daily chart, maintaining the bullish channel pattern.
EMA Cloud Support: Price remains above the multi-band EMA cloud, showing sustained bullish pressure and trend bias.
Channel Support: Bounce from the ascending channel’s lower trendline, keeping structure intact.
Bullish Candlestick Formation: Daily candle holding above key support with buying pressure evident.
Ideal entry would be between 113k and 114500.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $123,285 (38.2%): Initial resistance and reaction zone.
TP2 – $126,225 (61.8%): Mid-extension target, aligns with prior swing high zone.
TP3 – $130,983 (100%): Full measured move to the channel top.
SL: Placed just below the 61.8% retracement (~$110,800), protecting against a breakdown of the bullish structure.
Trading Bitcoin using 15-min TF with 4-hour ConfluenceI am forecasting the price direction for Bitcoin using the price action movement which shed light on the market maker price manipulation and psychology. The current price movement in Bitcoin is bullish and is trading within a upward range on the 15min TF and will confirm the upside to retest the ATH if break above the confluence zone highlighted by the orange color line.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: THIS FIBONACCI SPIRAL WILL BLOW YOUR MIND!! Yello Paradisers! I've revealed to you the secret Fibonacci spiral target. We have been going through multi-timeframe analysis as professional traders. We have been going through the high timeframe chart. We have understood that we are trading inside of that ABC zigzag. Right now, we are in the C wave and we are creating the five moves that are upside. That might take us towards $135,000.
We are right now in the first wave of that fifth wave. We are having bullish divergences on the high timeframe chart. All important indicators like stochastic RSI, RSI, and MACD are having bullish signs, and we have successfully reclaimed the volume profile point of control from resistance into support.
Then, we are turning our focus on the medium timeframe. We are again going through the Elliot wave. We are taking a look at the contracting triangle; the deviation there happened, we are seeing the bullish divergence, and we are updating the Fibonacci spiral. Then we are moving our focus to the low timeframe where we are concluding the Elliot wave count of smaller waves and understanding that the fifth one might be extended.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTCUSD Long SetupHi everyone.
These two areas are good to set orders. But please consider the risk management for each..
I'll update TPs later..
Tradingview.com Platform Description:
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
BTC Upside Momentum Trend & Structure
• BTC remains in a broader uptrend after retesting $118K.
• Holding above both 50 EMA and 200 EMA indicates trend strength .
Support Levels
• $118,000–$119,000 (current pivot and demand zone)
• $116,500–$117,000 (secondary support, aligns with MicroStrategy buys)
Resistance Levels
• $122,000–$123,200 (near all-time high zone)
• $125,000–$128,000 (upside breakout range)
Indicators
• Volume: Declining slightly on recent dips, showing weak sell pressure.
• RSI: Near neutral (≈50), providing room for further bullish momentum.
• MACD: Normalizing but still favoring bulls near EMA support.
BTC Bitcoin Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought BTC Bitcoin before the recent breakout:
My price target for BTC in 2025 is $125K, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Regulatory Developments Favoring Adoption:
The anticipated regulatory shifts in the United States are expected to create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. With the potential for pro-crypto policies under a new administration, including the establishment of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by major nations, investor confidence is likely to increase significantly. Analysts suggest that such developments could drive the total cryptocurrency market capitalization from approximately $3.3 trillion to around $8 trillion by 2025, with Bitcoin poised to capture a substantial share of this growth.
Increased Institutional Demand through ETFs:
The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has already begun to transform the investment landscape for Bitcoin, making it more accessible to institutional and retail investors alike. Following the successful introduction of multiple Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, analysts project that inflows could exceed $15 billion in 2025, further boosting demand for Bitcoin. This increased accessibility is expected to drive prices higher as more investors seek exposure to the asset class.
Supply Constraints from Halving Events:
Bitcoin's supply dynamics are fundamentally bullish due to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The most recent halving in April 2024 has led to a significant reduction in supply inflation, creating scarcity that historically correlates with price increases. As demand continues to rise while supply becomes more constrained, this fundamental imbalance is likely to support higher prices.
Growing Adoption as a Store of Value"
As macroeconomic conditions evolve, including persistent inflationary pressures and potential monetary policy easing, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a viable store of value akin to gold. This perception is bolstered by its finite supply and decentralized nature, making it an attractive hedge against inflation. Analysts suggest that as more investors turn to Bitcoin for wealth preservation, its price could see substantial appreciation
Bitcoin - The cycles are playing out!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) just repeats another cycle:
🔎Analysis summary:
Following all of the previous all time high breakouts, Bitcoin will now further extend the rally. After some simple calculation, we can see that Bitcoin will rally another +50% in order to reach the overall price target. However there will be volatility along the way so make sure to remain calm.
📝Levels to watch:
$200.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTCUSD - Bitcoin potential at least 125'400Bitcoin is trading within the Pendulum Fork.
After the CL was reached, the price should have gone to the L-MLH.
However, this was not achieved, and instead a HAGOPIAN was left behind.
In most cases, this HAGOPIAN will drive the price higher than where it came from.
Since we know that in about 80% of all cases the market moves to the CL, we also have a good chance this time of reaching the high of at least 125,400. Personally, I see the target quite a bit higher, but let’s see what BTCUSD has in store for us.
Thanks for the likes peeps §8-)
Analytics: market outlook and forecasts
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
At the beginning of last week, Bitcoin reached the resistance level of $115,000-$116,300 (a mirror volume zone) and experienced a quick correction. However, at this level, there was a strong absorption of sales, as the volumes clearly indicated active buys, and by Wednesday, the focus shifted towards long positions.
The only surprise was a slight stop in the $117,600-$118,600 zone (accumulated volumes). In general, we passed it with almost no resistance, which is a sign of buyer strength.
An additional catalyst for growth was President Donald Trump's executive order on August 7, which allows Americans to invest in cryptocurrency through their retirement accounts. This decision could pave the way for a multibillion-dollar influx of new funds into the cryptocurrency market.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
Now we’re almost close to the ATH, but at the moment there is a small resistance in the range of $121,500-$122,300. It’s not yet clear in which direction the volume will move, but in case of a breakout of the ATH, this zone can become the nearest support in the case of a correction.
If sells are activated at the current levels, it’s worth paying attention to the level of ~$120,000 (pushing volumes). In this case, a local sideways movement is possible between the level of ~$120,000 and the zone of $122,300-$121,500.
Buy Zones:
~$120,000 (pushing volumes)
$117,500–$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
$115,300–$114,000 (accumulated volumes)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
On macroeconomic events this week:
• August 12, Tuesday, 12:30 (UTC) - publication of the basic consumer price index (CPI) of the United States for July, as well as in comparison with July 2024;
• August 13, Wednesday, 6:00 (UTC) - publication of the consumer price index (CPI) of Germany for July;
• August 14, Thursday, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK's GDP for the second quarter and for June;
• August 14, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial unemployment claims and the US producer price index (PPI) for July;
• August 14, Thursday, 23:50 (UTC) — publication of Japan's GDP for the second quarter;
• August 15, Friday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the volume and base index of US retail sales for July.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BITCOIN has broken Free - The Next cycle type begins- WHY ?
I have been talking about the Blue Arc of resistance for a while now.
The ARC that has rejected EVERY ATH since Bitcoin began its true rise in Value back in 2011.
I am not going to get to technical right now as I have had only 1 coffee..lol..
Lets begin
I have 3 charts with this Arc on , all slightly different so as to allow for small errors in plotting or calculation.
ALL charts now show PA Above the Arc.
Why is this so important ?
As previously explained, that Blue Arc is a part of a Calculated Fibonacci Spiral.
Calculated from Each ATH to the next and using the difference as a part of that calculation, I was able to pinpoint the centre of this Arc.
And here is the Full picture.
What I am finding a little interesting is how that centre is on MARCH 2020 - That Sudden and worrying COVID CRASH !
But that is a subject for another time.
The Two important things to take of here is how PA began rising on this spiral as soon as PA entered it ( Left ) and unless we broke out of it now, PA would have been dragged back down by December. The time spent inside this spiral are the cumulative years of Bitcoin.
It is also very interesting how the 3 "Cycles " we have had in this channel. have ended perfectly at that intersection of the Blue Arc and the underlying line of support, that PA has not dropped below since we entered the channel back in 2012
To me, that is more than just a coincidence.
And if we look at a smaller time frame, we can see that PA has broken over this Arc, with strength.
The Daily chart above does show us that we do still have challenges ahead.
For instance, there is that line of local resistance just above, that could , under the right circumstances, push PA back down with vengeance should the Bears take over.
But I do not think that will happen yet but it would be nice if we could climb over that and use it as support.
We have done on 2 previous occasions this cycle but each time, we got pushed back under.
3rd time lucky ?
The 4 hour chart gives hope.
Here we can see how that Blue Arc was used as support but once it failed, the Bulls were Quick to get back over.
To me, this shows us that the Bulls have every intention of keeping Bitcoin High and above that Blue Arc.
But the longer we wait to get over that local line of resistance above, and use as support, the further away it Gets.
Currently, the Target to get over that lline is around 140K
Near Term projections of PA, in a bullish run, are around 160K -> 180K
This would give PA that underlying line of support.
So, we wait to see how this plays out but THE MOST IMPORTANT THING ?
We Must remain above that line, the Blue Arc....that currently sits around 115 -118K
The Next Few weeks are VITAL and I remind you..August has nearly twice as many RED monthly closes as Green..Unless it is in a Bull run....;-)
The Daily RSI has room to move still but is High
The Weekly RSI is Similar in hieght, with room to move.
So, We could be in a good position to start that New Cycle type, out of the Spiral that Created Bitcoin as we now know it. The 4 year Flow could change as mass adoption takes pace and People simply do not Buy / Sell as we used to do.
But it is impossible to really know whats coming.
We can only watch and learn. We may well end up having the 4 year cycles again.
After all, that gave us superb profit making opportunities.
Or will Bitcoin become the Store of Value, the Digital Gold ?
Time will tell.
Have a good week and stay safe
Highway Star$133’000 bull run pennant above $119’000.
Shift above all time accurate trend lines. We are at the beginning of exponential vertical segment. Strong rising front at $115’700.
Bitcoin institutional demand continues to outpace new supply, with 545,579 CRYPTOCAP:BTC purchased year-to-date compared to only 97,082 CRYPTOCAP:BTC in new supply.
The volumes were bought on July 15 and 25 for 116,000 and 115,000 respectively. So I think we are waiting for 119,000 to launch above all time high.