Bitcoin Explodes to $116,000 After Fed Speech SignalBitcoin Surges Past $116,000 as Federal Reserve Signals Historic Policy Shift
The cryptocurrency market experienced a dramatic reversal of fortune as Bitcoin rocketed past $116,000, recovering from a challenging period that had seen the digital asset touch six-week lows. The catalyst for this remarkable turnaround came from an unlikely source: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose dovish remarks at the prestigious Jackson Hole Economic Symposium sent ripple effects through global financial markets, fundamentally altering the trajectory for risk assets and digital currencies alike.
The Jackson Hole Moment That Changed Everything
In what many market observers are calling a pivotal moment for monetary policy, Jerome Powell delivered a speech that effectively cemented market expectations for an interest rate cut in September. The immediate reaction was nothing short of spectacular. Within minutes of Powell's comments hitting the wires, Bitcoin surged over 2%, climbing from approximately $114,200 to breach the psychologically significant $116,000 level. This rapid appreciation represented not just a technical bounce, but a fundamental reassessment of the cryptocurrency's near-term prospects in a changing monetary environment.
The significance of Powell's speech cannot be overstated. The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium has historically served as a platform for Federal Reserve chairs to signal major policy shifts, and this year proved no exception. Powell's carefully calibrated remarks suggested that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate-hiking cycle, which had been implemented to combat persistent inflation, might finally be approaching its conclusion. For Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem, which had struggled under the weight of tighter monetary conditions for much of the past two years, this represented a potential game-changer.
The market's interpretation was unambiguous. Federal funds futures immediately repriced to reflect a 90% probability of a rate cut at the September Federal Open Market Committee meeting, up from roughly 70% before Powell's speech. This dramatic shift in expectations triggered an immediate reallocation of capital across asset classes, with risk assets being the primary beneficiaries and the US dollar experiencing notable weakness.
A Broader Market Rally Takes Shape
While Bitcoin's surge captured headlines, the positive sentiment extended far beyond the cryptocurrency market. Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, staged an even more impressive recovery, rebounding 8% after having endured a painful 12% correction in the preceding sessions. This outperformance by Ethereum suggested that investors were not merely buying Bitcoin as a hedge against monetary policy uncertainty, but were expressing renewed confidence in the broader digital asset ecosystem.
Traditional financial markets also responded enthusiastically to Powell's dovish pivot. US equity indices gained approximately 1%, with technology stocks leading the advance. The yield on benchmark Treasury securities dropped to 4.27%, reflecting bond traders' expectations for a less restrictive monetary policy stance going forward. Gold, that traditional safe-haven asset and frequent competitor to Bitcoin for investor attention, rose 0.6%, demonstrating that the appetite for alternative stores of value remained robust even as risk sentiment improved.
This synchronized movement across asset classes highlighted an important dynamic that has become increasingly evident in recent years: the growing correlation between cryptocurrency markets and traditional financial assets during periods of significant monetary policy shifts. While Bitcoin was originally conceived as an uncorrelated asset that would provide portfolio diversification benefits, its behavior during major macro events has increasingly mirrored that of other risk assets, particularly growth-oriented technology stocks.
Understanding the Whale Dynamics
Beneath the surface of the price action, on-chain data revealed fascinating insights into how different market participants positioned themselves ahead of Powell's speech. Most notably, Bitcoin whales – entities holding large quantities of the cryptocurrency – had been quietly accumulating during the recent downtrend. According to blockchain analytics, these major holders added approximately 16,000 BTC to their positions during the period of price weakness, suggesting that sophisticated investors saw value at lower levels and were positioning for exactly the type of policy-driven rally that ultimately materialized.
This accumulation pattern by whales deserves closer examination, as it often serves as a leading indicator for future price movements. The fact that these large holders were adding to positions while retail investors were capitulating speaks to a divergence in market sentiment that often precedes significant trend changes. The 16,000 BTC accumulation represents over $1.8 billion at current prices, demonstrating serious conviction among institutional and high-net-worth investors about Bitcoin's medium-term prospects.
The whale accumulation also highlights the maturation of Bitcoin markets. Unlike the wild speculation that characterized earlier cycles, current market dynamics show signs of more sophisticated trading strategies and longer-term investment horizons. These large holders appear to be treating Bitcoin less as a speculative vehicle and more as a legitimate asset class worthy of strategic allocation within diversified portfolios.
The Federal Reserve's Delicate Balancing Act
The enthusiasm surrounding Powell's dovish turn must be tempered with an understanding of the complex challenges facing the Federal Reserve. Some cryptocurrency strategists have sounded alarm bells, warning that a significant Bitcoin surge could potentially clash with the Fed's broader economic goals. If cryptocurrency markets experience excessive speculation leading to wealth effects that stimulate consumer spending, this could complicate the Fed's efforts to bring inflation back to its 2% target.
This concern is not without merit. The cryptocurrency market's total capitalization now exceeds $2.5 trillion, making it large enough to have meaningful macroeconomic impacts. A sustained rally in digital assets could create wealth effects that filter through to the real economy, potentially reigniting inflationary pressures just as the Fed believes it has gained the upper hand in its fight against rising prices. This dynamic creates a fascinating feedback loop where the very monetary policy easing that benefits Bitcoin could ultimately be constrained by Bitcoin's success.
Furthermore, the Federal Reserve must consider the international implications of its policy decisions. A weaker dollar resulting from rate cuts could have significant consequences for global trade and financial stability. Many emerging market economies have dollar-denominated debt, and a rapidly weakening dollar could create challenges for these nations. Additionally, other major central banks might be forced to adjust their own policies in response to Fed actions, potentially triggering a global easing cycle with unpredictable consequences.
Technical Analysis and Market Structure
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's surge past $116,000 represents a significant development in market structure. The cryptocurrency had been trading in a descending channel for several weeks, with each rally attempt meeting selling pressure at lower highs. The Powell-induced breakout decisively violated this bearish pattern, suggesting a potential trend reversal is underway.
However, technical indicators present a mixed picture that warrants careful consideration. The Bitcoin Bull Score Index, a composite metric that aggregates various momentum and sentiment indicators, has been signaling fading momentum despite the recent price surge. This divergence between price action and underlying momentum suggests that while the immediate reaction to Powell's speech was strongly positive, questions remain about the sustainability of the current rally.
Volume patterns also deserve attention. The surge past $116,000 occurred on elevated but not exceptional volume, suggesting that while there was genuine buying interest, we haven't yet seen the kind of capitulation from bears or FOMO from sidelined buyers that typically characterizes major trend changes. This could mean that the market is still in the early stages of processing the implications of the Fed's policy shift, with more significant moves potentially ahead as participants fully digest the changing macro landscape.
Support and resistance levels have also shifted following the breakout. The $114,000-$115,000 zone, which previously acted as resistance, should now serve as support on any pullbacks. Above current levels, the next major resistance lies around $120,000, which represents both a psychological level and the site of significant selling during previous rallies. How Bitcoin behaves around these key levels in coming sessions will provide important clues about the strength of the current uptrend.
The Broader Implications for Cryptocurrency Adoption
Beyond the immediate price implications, the Federal Reserve's policy shift could have profound effects on cryptocurrency adoption and development. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin, making them relatively more attractive compared to traditional fixed-income investments. This dynamic could accelerate institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies as portfolio diversifiers.
Moreover, a more accommodative monetary policy environment could reignite interest in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, which had seen diminished activity during the period of rising rates. Lower rates in traditional finance make the yields available in DeFi more competitive, potentially driving renewed capital flows into these innovative financial platforms. This could create a virtuous cycle where increased DeFi activity drives demand for cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, which serves as the backbone for most DeFi applications.
The changing monetary landscape also has implications for central bank digital currency (CBDC) initiatives. As traditional monetary policy tools become less effective in a low-rate environment, central banks might accelerate their exploration of CBDCs as alternative mechanisms for implementing monetary policy. While CBDCs could potentially compete with cryptocurrencies in some use cases, they might also serve to legitimize digital currencies more broadly, ultimately benefiting the entire ecosystem.
Risk Factors and Considerations
Despite the current optimism, several risk factors could derail Bitcoin's bullish momentum. First, the Federal Reserve's commitment to rate cuts is contingent on continued progress in reducing inflation. Any resurgence in price pressures could force the Fed to maintain or even increase rates, potentially triggering another leg down in cryptocurrency markets.
Regulatory risks also remain omnipresent. While the regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies has generally improved in recent years, with the approval of Bitcoin ETFs and growing institutional participation, the potential for adverse regulatory actions remains. Any major regulatory crackdown, particularly in the United States or European Union, could quickly reverse current gains.
Geopolitical tensions represent another wildcard. While Bitcoin has sometimes benefited from geopolitical uncertainty as investors seek alternatives to traditional financial systems, extreme events could trigger broad-based risk aversion that negatively impacts all speculative assets, including cryptocurrencies. The ongoing conflicts in various regions and tensions between major powers create an environment where sudden shocks remain possible.
Technical vulnerabilities within the cryptocurrency ecosystem itself also warrant consideration. While Bitcoin's network has proven remarkably resilient over its history, the broader cryptocurrency space has experienced numerous hacks, exploits, and technical failures. Any major security breach or technical failure could undermine confidence and trigger selling pressure across digital assets.
Market Psychology and Sentiment Dynamics
The psychological aspect of the current rally deserves special attention. After months of ranging price action and failed breakout attempts, many market participants had grown pessimistic about Bitcoin's near-term prospects. The sudden reversal triggered by Powell's speech has likely caught many traders off-guard, potentially setting up a powerful short squeeze as bearishly positioned traders scramble to cover their positions.
This shift in sentiment is already visible in various metrics. Funding rates in perpetual futures markets have turned positive, indicating that traders are willing to pay premiums to maintain long positions. Social media sentiment, as measured by various analytical tools, has shifted from predominantly bearish to cautiously optimistic. The fear and greed index, which had been mired in "fear" territory for weeks, has begun moving toward neutral readings.
However, this rapid shift in sentiment also creates vulnerabilities. Markets that move too far, too fast often experience sharp pullbacks as early buyers take profits and late entrants get shaken out. The key for sustained upward movement will be whether the current rally can attract new capital from investors who have been waiting on the sidelines, rather than simply representing a reshuffling of existing positions.
The International Perspective
The Federal Reserve's policy shift has global implications that extend far beyond US borders. Other major central banks, including the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan, will need to carefully consider their own policy stances in light of the Fed's dovish turn. This could potentially trigger a synchronized global easing cycle, which would likely be highly supportive for risk assets including cryptocurrencies.
For Bitcoin specifically, international dynamics are particularly important given its global nature. Demand from regions experiencing currency devaluation or financial instability has historically been a significant driver of Bitcoin adoption. If the Fed's rate cuts lead to dollar weakness, this could accelerate Bitcoin adoption in emerging markets as a hedge against local currency depreciation.
The Asian markets, particularly China despite its official ban on cryptocurrency trading, remain influential in Bitcoin price dynamics. Any shifts in Chinese policy toward cryptocurrencies, or changes in how Chinese investors access Bitcoin through offshore channels, could have significant impacts on global prices. The recent rally has already seen increased activity from Asian trading hours, suggesting renewed interest from this important region.
Looking Ahead: The Path Forward
As markets digest the implications of Powell's Jackson Hole speech, the path forward for Bitcoin appears more constructive than it has in months. The combination of potential monetary easing, continued institutional adoption, and improving regulatory clarity creates a favorable backdrop for digital assets. However, the journey is unlikely to be smooth, with volatility remaining a defining characteristic of cryptocurrency markets.
The September Federal Open Market Committee meeting looms large on the horizon. While markets have largely priced in a rate cut, the magnitude of the cut and the Fed's forward guidance will be crucial in determining whether the current rally has legs. A more aggressive easing stance than currently expected could propel Bitcoin toward new all-time highs, while a more cautious approach might lead to some near-term disappointment.
Beyond monetary policy, several other catalysts could influence Bitcoin's trajectory in coming months. The continued development of the Lightning Network and other scaling solutions could enhance Bitcoin's utility as a payment method. Growing environmental consciousness and Bitcoin mining's increasing use of renewable energy could address one of the persistent criticisms of the cryptocurrency. Additionally, further institutional adoption, particularly from major corporations adding Bitcoin to their treasury reserves, could provide fundamental support for prices.
Conclusion: A Pivotal Moment in Bitcoin's Evolution
The surge past $116,000 following Jerome Powell's dovish signals represents more than just another rally in Bitcoin's volatile history. It potentially marks a pivotal moment in the cryptocurrency's evolution from speculative asset to recognized component of the global financial system. The fact that Federal Reserve policy now has such direct and immediate impacts on Bitcoin prices underscores how integrated cryptocurrencies have become with traditional financial markets.
For investors and observers, the current environment presents both opportunities and challenges. The potential for significant gains exists, particularly if the Federal Reserve follows through with monetary easing and the global economy achieves the sought-after "soft landing." However, the risks remain substantial, and the cryptocurrency market's inherent volatility means that dramatic reversals remain possible.
What seems clear is that Bitcoin has successfully weathered another period of adversity and emerged with renewed momentum. The quiet accumulation by whales during the recent downturn, followed by the explosive response to Powell's speech, demonstrates that demand for digital assets remains robust among sophisticated investors. As the financial world continues to evolve and adapt to technological innovation, Bitcoin's role appears increasingly assured, even if its exact price trajectory remains uncertain.
The coming weeks and months will be crucial in determining whether this latest surge represents the beginning of a new bull cycle or merely another rally within a broader consolidation phase. What is certain is that Bitcoin continues to capture the imagination of investors worldwide, and its correlation with macro policy decisions ensures it will remain at the center of financial market discussions for the foreseeable future. As traditional monetary policy reaches its limits and financial innovation accelerates, Bitcoin stands ready to play an increasingly important role in the global financial ecosystem, with the $116,000 level potentially representing just another milestone on a much longer journey.
Bitcoinlong
BITCOIN PREDICTION: PUMP TO $135K STARTING???! (Buy Now?) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I'm sharing with you the high time frame chart, the double shooting star candlestick pattern, double top formation, bearish divergence that needs to be confirmed, and its channel that we are trying to break to the downside. High time frame chart, I'm sharing with you the ABC zigzag and the potentiality of that C move being already finished. If not, the previous low needs to hold, and we are looking at things on a medium time frame. The bullish things on a medium time frame are the bullish divergence, and on a low time frame chart, the Elliott wave count that seems to be completed to the downside. If the previous low is going to hold, we are starting a new impulse towards $129,000 as a higher degree third wave. Then we will have a fourth wave, and the final fifth wave will take us towards $135,000. Watch the video where I'm explaining all the confirmations and the price action dynamics, and how we will be developing with the highest probability.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
ibit Bitcoin ETF LONG now is a good time to invest. If you go on Google and type in far side Bitcoin and click the link that goes to the farside uk Bitcoin site. You'll see the daily money flows into or out of all of the different Bitcoin ETFs. If you do the same thing but type ethereum instead you'll see all of the different inflows and outflows of money into the ethereum ETF.
This is important because with the Bitcoin ETFs you'll see that there's been hundreds of million dollars in inflows in the past week. Yet both the 19th and the 20th had outflows of money. 1 and 1/2 weeks ago the same thing happened there were two days without flows of money and then it continued with major inflows of money.
In my opinion I believe this is because the large corporations and investors put too much money in to the ETFs in order to manipulate it so that it will gain a higher value.
They also talk to each other and plan these events so that they can profit from them. So let's take five fake companies that we just call 1 2 3 and 4 and 5. These five companies will all talk to each other on the phone and tell each other well we want to put in 200 million over the course of the week well we want to put in 300 million over the course of the week.
Over the course of one week
Company 1 wants to put in 200 million
Company 2 wants to put in 300 million
Company 3 wants to put in 400 million
Company 4 wants to put in 250 million
Company 5 wants to put in 300 million
Total 1.45 billion, they want that money to stay in Bitcoin at their investment.
Like I said they all plan this to manipulate Bitcoin in my opinion.
This is what happens:
Company 2 puts in 600 million
Company 2 puts in 700 million
Company 3 puts in 800 million
Company 4 puts in 450 million
Company 5 puts in 600 million
Total real investment 3.15 billion
Why do they do it?
This is only an example but over the course of one week these companies wanted to put in 1.45 billion but they ended up putting in 3.15 billion.
3.15 billion
1.45 billion -
-------
1.70 billion + surplus
So they put in 1.70 billion dollars over the amount that they were supposed to in order to get a rally going where Bitcoin goes up in value by a lot.
They are also in contact with the stock market listed Bitcoin mining companies so that the Bitcoin mining companies do not sell the Bitcoin. Instead they Bogart the Bitcoin (keep it) so that they can sell at a higher price when the companies get back in touch with them to say it's time to sell.
All of silicon valley is involved as well I believe in my opinion. All the tech companies and private investors with a lot of money and who knows maybe Mr SpaceX and Mr Amazon are also involved.
It's like a cabal. (Private political group) But for cryptocurrency.
So when this rally happens of course other people buy into the ETF like your average Joe. Hoping to profit.
What happens?
The ETF goes higher in value which means Bitcoin goes a lot higher in value. Maybe it will go up to 125,000 this time? Or maybe it will go up to 130,000 this time before going down?
What's the point?
The point is they are going to be selling that 1.7 billion dollar surplus because they only had 1.45 billion that they were going to put in.
That 1.7 billion dollar surplus that got the rally going and when it's time to sell could possibly be worth 7% to 8.5% more. Plus they're all putting in their own money into it because it's like insider trading. When you're putting your money into a stock as an institutional investor of course you're going to put your own money into it too so these people are putting 50 million dollars by themselves, 500 million by themselves. Who knows?
So surplus of 1.7 billion + 7% is now worth 1.819 billion or a gain of 119,000,000 million dollars. So they sell and they make $119 million for their company. Plus how much do they make for themselves and all of their cohorts that they are in contact with?
Insider trading at its finest.
This happens with all companies. Take for instance an airline. Companies know that maybe airlines will go up in the summer. Or they know that it will go up in the travel season for the holidays Thanksgiving and Christmas. So all the different companies they get in touch with each other and they say hey we're going to buy $5 billion of airline one and then the other company tells them okay we're going to buy 2 billion of airline one. Of course again they're all putting in their own money as well.
The Bitcoin rally is not over. We may see as high as 138,000 this rally. Before the bear market hits.
Some say we could see 420,000. I'm not sure about that I wonder if that's for the next rally in 2028 after the halving?
Will you take a leap of faith and do the right thing for humanity and leave a comment under this post with what your opinion is?
BITCOIN PREDICTION: HERE IS WHERE THE CRASH WILL STOP!!! (deep) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I'm sharing with you an Ultra High Time Frame: the double-top shooting star candlestick pattern formation plus bearish divergence, plus that we are trying to break below our channel.
On a high timeframe chart, I'm sharing with you the ABC zigzag, explaining that right now we are in the C wave, which is a motive mode wave. That means five waves to the upside, and with the highest probability, right now we are in the secondary wave that on its primary waves is creating a zigzag formation.
The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level needs to hold, and the channel can't be reclaimed. I'm sharing with you the kind of confirmations for both short and long positions we are waiting for with the ParadiseTeam.
On a medium timeframe, we are seeing the first bullish signs and a bullish divergence, where we need to wait for confirmations before taking action. We are also looking at the Fibonacci support that is supporting the finishing of Wave 2.
On the low timeframe chart, we are analyzing the higher degree secondary wave, which is a zigzag. A and C waves are motive mode waves, so we are waiting for the completion of the five-moonstone downside inside of the C wave. This might perfectly confluence with the 0.618 Fibonacci's extension of Wave A, which is usually where the C Wave ends.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin - Clean chart that outlines the next leg up seamlessly!The Bitcoin chart is crystal clear, simple, and very bullish.
We’ve talked about it over and over, and we’ve always said that 120K is a confirmed target — and now that it’s been hit, I’m telling you the next stop is 150K.
We’ve got a reverse Head & Shoulders pattern, the neckline has been broken, and price is now retesting it.
BTC also broke its previous ATH at 109,500 and is on its way to retest it right now.
All of this on the weekly chart are strong bullish signals that will at least push price to the upper side of the Ascending Channel that we’ve been tracking. Plus, the projection target of the reversal H&S perfectly aligns with this outlook — no coincidence here.
👉 150K is the next station. 🚀
Best regards:
Ceciliones🎯
Bitcoin : Stay heavy on positions
In the short term, there's a potential for a bounce off the previous "short-term overbought" zone, which now serves as support—a textbook pattern.
From a longer-term perspective, my view remains unchanged.
Bitcoin : Stay heavy on positions (2x)
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
Pepe looks ready to blast off [long]Pepe is equip to blast off into the metasphere. Just look at the squeeze moment indicator on the two week. Would you look at that. Just look at it. Look at it. Just look at it. Would you look at that.
Even on the weekly time frame PepeUSDT looks ready for a large green D.
I like to use that pmar to get a feel for what it's really going to do. It looks like it has A LOT of room to move
The daily time frame doesn't look so hot. The squeeze is in the green already. However Every other time frame less than one day so 14 hours 12 hours 10 hours etcetera etcetera they're all pointing to the fact that we're going into the green.
GOOD NEWS! Have you found a paid indicator that works wonderfully? Let me know and I will recreate it for you by it and I'll invite you to have access to. I won't give it out freely To everyone. It will just be myself and you that has it. so send me with the indicator and I'll code it up for you! Send me a DM with to the paid version like their website which tells about it and I will recreate it for you.
MORE GOOD NEWS!
I'm going to be calling hot solana meme coins very soon so MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW ME! The fact is there's a secret... I won't be just blatantly writing a message like this with an analysis I will only be changing my profile picture to the coin's name. so you'll have to visit my profile often. I will leave the date in my bio and I will write "updated 08/18/25 6:16PM" As an example so you know exactly when the signal was called. so make sure to follow me!
Make sure to like this post. That way it will help me to gain more followers and it will help all of us. do your part to help me and I will help you immensely.
Sincerely,
rocket
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Indicators Suggest $127,000 TargetAt the time of writing, BINANCE:BTCUSDT trades at $115,061, holding firmly above the $115,000 support. The models suggest that selling by STHs will remain limited until BTC approaches $127,000, which sits above the previous all-time high of $124,474 and marks the next major profit-taking level.
For BINANCE:BTCUSDT to reach this target, broader market support will be necessary. Geopolitical tensions remain a drag on sentiment, but renewed investor confidence could aid momentum. Reclaiming $117,261 as support and pushing to $120,000 would set the stage for a potential new all-time high in the near term.
If conditions worsen, BINANCE:BTCUSDT risks losing $115,000 support, with a possible decline to $112,526 or lower. Such a move would invalidate the bullish thesis and highlight the vulnerability of BTC to external pressures, reinforcing caution among traders while the market reassesses its trajectory.
BTCUSDT 4H🔎 Chart Context
• Pair: BTC/USDT
• Exchange: Binance
• Timeframe: 4H (240M)
• Date: 16 August 2025
The chart applies price action, liquidity sweep, demand/supply zones, and FVG (Fair Value Gaps) to forecast market behavior.
📊 Key Observations
1. Major Highs & Lows
• Recent Highs: 124,474 and 123,218
• Key Resistance: 122,335.16 zone
• Significant Lows: 112,650.00 and 111,920.00 (highlighted as potential liquidity target)
These represent liquidity pools where institutional activity often occurs.
2. Current Price
• Trading around 117,621 – 118,235 zone at the time of charting.
• Price is consolidating after rejection from 124,474 top.
3. Liquidity Structure
• Market swept liquidity above 124,474 and quickly rejected, signaling a potential distribution phase.
• Below, untested liquidity exists near 111,920, which is marked as a probable downside target.
4. FVG & Demand Zones
• A Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains open around 115,200–116,500, which price could retest before further downside.
• Stronger demand lies around 111,920–112,650, likely to act as a magnet if the retracement deepens.
5. Resistance Zones
• 122,335–124,474 is a strong supply block / distribution zone, which caused the sharp rejection.
• Any bullish recovery will need to reclaim 120,247 and 119,800 to sustain upside momentum.
📈 Bullish Case (Less Likely, Countertrend Scenario)
• If BTC holds above 115,200–116,500 FVG zone and forms higher lows:
• First target: 119,800 (minor supply).
• Second target: 122,335 (major resistance).
• Reclaiming this zone could trigger a retest of 124,474.
• However, this requires strong demand and volume, which currently looks weak.
📉 Bearish Case (Higher Probability Scenario)
• After liquidity grab at 124,474, rejection suggests continuation lower.
• Likely retracement path:
• Retest 116,500–115,200 (FVG zone)
• Break below to sweep 112,650
• Final downside liquidity target: 111,920
This scenario aligns with the chart projection arrow pointing toward 111,920.88.
⚡ Trading Plan
• Short Entries (Preferred Play):
• At 119,800–120,247 (supply retest)
• At 122,335 zone (distribution block)
• Target 1: 116,500–115,200 (partial close).
• Target 2: 112,650.
• Target 3: 111,920 (main liquidity sweep).
• Stop-loss: Above 124,474 high.
• Long Setup (Countertrend, Risky):
• Entry at 115,200–116,500 (FVG)
• TP1: 119,800
• TP2: 122,335
• Stop: Below 114,700
Can the Thief Rob BTC Pullback Before the Police Arrive?🚨 BTC/USD 💰 Bitcoin Breakout Heist Plan – Robbers in Action 🚀 🚨
Asset: BTC/USD “Bitcoin vs U.S. Dollar” — Crypto King Market
📊 Plan: BULLISH BREAKOUT RAID
🎯 Target: 123,000.00 🎯 — Police Barricade Resistance + Overbought Trap Zone
🔒 Entry: ANY PRICE LEVEL — Thief avg pullback entry at 115,000.00
🛑 Stop Loss: 113,000.00 — Below the Laser Tripwire
🎩 Thief Entry Blueprint 🕵️♂️
The vault’s trembling. The thief’s not waiting.
Layered limit orders are being deployed like smoke bombs — we strike anywhere, anytime, with stealthy precision. No begging for dip, we rob it raw. 💣🧨
📉 Risk Protocol Setup 🛡️
SL: Under local support – cut fast if alarms trigger.
Risk light, rob heavy. Use tight stops or trailing guards to escape with the loot.
📈 Why Rob Long?
Bullish momentum building like a pressure cooker 💥
Resistance zones turning into trapdoors for late bears 🐻
Liquidity pools above — ripe for raid
Sentiment flips, on-chain signals, and macro tailwinds align ⚡
📌 Robbery Reminders:
NO SHORTING — This is a one-way heist 🚷
Avoid news-time chaos ⛔
Use multiple entries (layer style) and escape plans.
Overbought ≠ exit — it’s the bait for the next raid 🧠
💖 LIKE = SUPPORT THE CREW
Every like boosts the Thief Trader movement — more heat, more setups, more wins.
Smash Boost. Share the Heist. Stay Robbing. 🐱👤📈🔥
🔔 Stay tuned. Next breakout blueprint dropping soon.
JUVUSDT UPDATE\#JUV
UPDATE
JUV Technical Setup
Pattern: Bullish Flag
Current Price: \$1.566
Target Price: \$2.40
Target % Gain: 65.88%
Technical Analysis: JUV is forming a bullish flag on the 1D chart after a strong impulsive move, consolidating within a tight range. Price has held above \$1.40 support with increasing bullish momentum, and a breakout above the flag resistance could trigger a sharp rally toward \$2.40.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: CRITICAL UPDATE (warning) Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are going through high-timeframe, medium-timeframe, and lower-timeframe analysis. This multi-timeframe analysis is important for us to understand the whole context of the market, and that is how we are able to make the best trading decisions as professional traders.
I'm explaining to you that we are on the high-timeframe chart, trading inside of a channel ABC zigzag formation. From an Elliott Wave perspective, we are currently in the C wave, which is a motive wave, and we are creating the smaller secondary wave. We can see a bullish divergence confirmed, and we are waiting for RSI to have a successful bullish reclaim.
I'm updating you about the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement level and all of the confluences at around $116,000 and $117,000. From a medium-timeframe perspective, we are updating the Elliott Wave price action development count. I'm sharing with you the contracting triangle. The deviation that happened during the E wave, the confluence of the $116,000 and $117,000, and truly sharing with you how important this demand zone area really is.
Then we are moving our attention to low time frame analysis where I share with you the most probable price action development in the upcoming days, weeks, and months.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin : Stay heavy on positionsSame view as before. No change.
Bitcoin : Stay heavy on positions (2x)
For new Bitcoin entries, now is the time.
If you're using leverage, I’d wait for a scale-in signal before jumping in.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
BTC Holding Strong: Fibonacci Levels Point to $130KBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is holding above a key dynamic support zone at the lower boundary of its ascending channel, with current price action signaling a potential continuation to the upside. This long setup is supported by multiple bullish confluences.
✅ Bullish Confluences:
Fibonacci Retracement Support: Price respected the 38.2%–61.8% Fib retracement zone between $113,769 and $110,828, confirming a strong demand area.
Trend Structure: Clear higher low formation on the daily chart, maintaining the bullish channel pattern.
EMA Cloud Support: Price remains above the multi-band EMA cloud, showing sustained bullish pressure and trend bias.
Channel Support: Bounce from the ascending channel’s lower trendline, keeping structure intact.
Bullish Candlestick Formation: Daily candle holding above key support with buying pressure evident.
Ideal entry would be between 113k and 114500.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $123,285 (38.2%): Initial resistance and reaction zone.
TP2 – $126,225 (61.8%): Mid-extension target, aligns with prior swing high zone.
TP3 – $130,983 (100%): Full measured move to the channel top.
SL: Placed just below the 61.8% retracement (~$110,800), protecting against a breakdown of the bullish structure.
Trading Bitcoin using 15-min TF with 4-hour ConfluenceI am forecasting the price direction for Bitcoin using the price action movement which shed light on the market maker price manipulation and psychology. The current price movement in Bitcoin is bullish and is trading within a upward range on the 15min TF and will confirm the upside to retest the ATH if break above the confluence zone highlighted by the orange color line.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: THIS FIBONACCI SPIRAL WILL BLOW YOUR MIND!! Yello Paradisers! I've revealed to you the secret Fibonacci spiral target. We have been going through multi-timeframe analysis as professional traders. We have been going through the high timeframe chart. We have understood that we are trading inside of that ABC zigzag. Right now, we are in the C wave and we are creating the five moves that are upside. That might take us towards $135,000.
We are right now in the first wave of that fifth wave. We are having bullish divergences on the high timeframe chart. All important indicators like stochastic RSI, RSI, and MACD are having bullish signs, and we have successfully reclaimed the volume profile point of control from resistance into support.
Then, we are turning our focus on the medium timeframe. We are again going through the Elliot wave. We are taking a look at the contracting triangle; the deviation there happened, we are seeing the bullish divergence, and we are updating the Fibonacci spiral. Then we are moving our focus to the low timeframe where we are concluding the Elliot wave count of smaller waves and understanding that the fifth one might be extended.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTCUSD Long SetupHi everyone.
These two areas are good to set orders. But please consider the risk management for each..
I'll update TPs later..
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Navid Nazarian
BTC Upside Momentum Trend & Structure
• BTC remains in a broader uptrend after retesting $118K.
• Holding above both 50 EMA and 200 EMA indicates trend strength .
Support Levels
• $118,000–$119,000 (current pivot and demand zone)
• $116,500–$117,000 (secondary support, aligns with MicroStrategy buys)
Resistance Levels
• $122,000–$123,200 (near all-time high zone)
• $125,000–$128,000 (upside breakout range)
Indicators
• Volume: Declining slightly on recent dips, showing weak sell pressure.
• RSI: Near neutral (≈50), providing room for further bullish momentum.
• MACD: Normalizing but still favoring bulls near EMA support.
BTC Bitcoin Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought BTC Bitcoin before the recent breakout:
My price target for BTC in 2025 is $125K, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Regulatory Developments Favoring Adoption:
The anticipated regulatory shifts in the United States are expected to create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. With the potential for pro-crypto policies under a new administration, including the establishment of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by major nations, investor confidence is likely to increase significantly. Analysts suggest that such developments could drive the total cryptocurrency market capitalization from approximately $3.3 trillion to around $8 trillion by 2025, with Bitcoin poised to capture a substantial share of this growth.
Increased Institutional Demand through ETFs:
The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has already begun to transform the investment landscape for Bitcoin, making it more accessible to institutional and retail investors alike. Following the successful introduction of multiple Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, analysts project that inflows could exceed $15 billion in 2025, further boosting demand for Bitcoin. This increased accessibility is expected to drive prices higher as more investors seek exposure to the asset class.
Supply Constraints from Halving Events:
Bitcoin's supply dynamics are fundamentally bullish due to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The most recent halving in April 2024 has led to a significant reduction in supply inflation, creating scarcity that historically correlates with price increases. As demand continues to rise while supply becomes more constrained, this fundamental imbalance is likely to support higher prices.
Growing Adoption as a Store of Value"
As macroeconomic conditions evolve, including persistent inflationary pressures and potential monetary policy easing, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a viable store of value akin to gold. This perception is bolstered by its finite supply and decentralized nature, making it an attractive hedge against inflation. Analysts suggest that as more investors turn to Bitcoin for wealth preservation, its price could see substantial appreciation
Bitcoin - The cycles are playing out!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) just repeats another cycle:
🔎Analysis summary:
Following all of the previous all time high breakouts, Bitcoin will now further extend the rally. After some simple calculation, we can see that Bitcoin will rally another +50% in order to reach the overall price target. However there will be volatility along the way so make sure to remain calm.
📝Levels to watch:
$200.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION






















