Bitcoin Hits Critical Support — Is Another Dump Coming?As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin has broken through its support lines and declined to the support zone($86,300-$85,140), reaching its full target in the process.
Currently, Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the support zone($86,300-$85,140), and we need to watch whether it will break through this support or begin to rebound.
Before diving into the analysis, it’s important to note that Bitcoin has a strong correlation with the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ). Given that the S&P 500 is currently in a downward trend, it’s likely that Bitcoin will also experience further declines.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Bitcoin is currently starting a new five-wave downward sequence following the break of its support lines, which could lead to even lower levels.
Looking at recent developments, one reason for Bitcoin’s decline is the selling pressure from long-term holders, which has created a quiet but significant downward pressure and challenged the support levels. Additionally, the state of the U.S. markets, with the S&P 500 index also trending down, contributes to the downward pressure on Bitcoin.
In conclusion, I expect that Bitcoin, upon entering the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720) and touching the resistance lines, will again face downward movement and aim for the support zone($86,300-$85,140). If it breaks that support zone, we could see it moving towards Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($85,300-$83,000).
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,000-$88,500
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $91,830-$90,000
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,400-$97,000
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the $83,000 mark with strong momentum, we might expect it to reach even lower levels, potentially down to $80,000.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the support zone($86,300-$85,140)?
First Target: $85,540
Second Target: $84,229
Stop Loss(SL): $90,429(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Bitcoinprediction
Bitcoin - The 30% correction is just starting!🥊Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is just heading lower:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just a couple of weeks ago, Bitcoin perfectly retested the major all time high resistance. Since then, Bitcoin already created an expected correction of about -40%. But looking at the higher timeframe, Bitcoin can still drop another 30% from here until it retests support.
📝Levels to watch:
$60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Elite | BTCUSD | 2H – Descending Structure Into Major DemandBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After failing to hold above 92K–94K, BTC continued respecting the descending trendline, showing controlled sell pressure rather than panic. The current reaction at demand suggests sell-side liquidity has been tapped, but structure has not yet flipped bullish. Any upside move without a structural reclaim remains corrective until proven otherwise.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Reversal / Expansion 🚀
Conditions (MANDATORY):
Strong 2H hold above 85,000
Break and acceptance above 88,500
Trendline breakout with follow-through
🎯 Target 1: 90,500
🎯 Target 2: 93,500
🎯 Target 3: 96,400 (major liquidity)
❌ Bearish Continuation 📉
Conditions:
2H close below 84,500
🎯 Downside Target 1: 82,800
🎯 Downside Target 2: 81,000
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 88,500 – 90,500 – 96,400
Support 🟢: 85,200 – 84,500 – 82,800
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice
BTC/USDT Analysis. Another Manipulative Move
Hello everyone! This is the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with a daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the sell zone at $88,800–$90,000 (area of abnormal selling activity), where price once again met resistance and went on to print a new local low.
The $87,000 level — previously marked by the largest seller volume — failed to produce a reaction on the retest and did not act as a buyer absorption zone, highlighting short-term demand weakness.
Price did not reach the key support at $84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies). However, before testing that area, significant buyer activity emerged: attempts to push below the local low were defended, and selling pressure failed to extend the move.
At the moment, Bitcoin is moving back toward $90,000, where untested abnormal volume remains.
In the near term, we are considering a scenario involving the formation of a full reversal structure with a potential move toward the technical level at $94,500.
On a retest of the abnormal activity zone $86,000–$84,800, and upon a clear buyer reaction, we will look for long opportunities.
Buy Zones
$86,000–$84,800 (abnormal activity)
$84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies)
Sell Zones
~$90,000 (abnormal volume)
~$92,400 (local sell zone)
$94,000–$97,500 (major volume zone)
$101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin - This cycle is totally clear!🚨Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) enters the next bearmarket:
🔎Analysis summary:
Bitcoin always creates textbook cycles. And after every retest of the major resistance curve, Bitcoin started a major bearmarket. Since we already witnessed bearish confirmation, Bitcoin is heading for a new correction. Just let it play out.
📝Levels to watch:
$60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Local Bear Flag on BTC ( 78000$-80000$ )After a strong impulsive drop, price has formed a local bear flag — an ascending corrective channel within a broader bearish move. Price action inside the channel looks corrective, with no clear signs of strong demand.
I expect a breakdown from the flag to the downside and continuation of the bearish move in the short term.
Downside target:
$78,000 – $80,000
As long as price remains below the upper boundary of the flag and fails to break out to the upside, the bear flag scenario remains valid.
BTC Halving Cycle #5 Macro Range Forecast Low/High Target ZonesBitcoin has historically exhibited repeatable regime shifts around halvings: post-ATH drawdown → accumulation → expansion → blow-off → distribution. This model overlays those recurring phases and projects Cycle #5 with probabilistic “zone targets” for the next macro low and macro high based on historical drawdown depth, recovery duration, and peak extension behavior. The goal is to provide a cycle-level map for risk framing and position sizing—expect volatility and invalidations along the way.
Bitcoin Investors Rotate, But Don’t Rebuild, Price Momentum StalBitcoin is trading near $87,108 at the time of writing, holding above the $86,361 support level. While this zone provides near-term stability, recovery remains fragile. BTC must reclaim higher levels before signaling a meaningful trend reversal.
Short-term holders continue to pose a risk to upside progress. If they begin taking profits, Bitcoin could remain range-bound below $88,210. A failure to maintain this structure could result in another test of $84,698, a level already visited during recent volatility.
A stronger recovery requires Bitcoin to breach $88,210 convincingly. A push toward $90,401 would signal improving momentum. Achieving this move depends on renewed investor support, which may emerge as value-oriented buyers respond to current price discounts.
Bitcoin Short and Medium term review.Bitcoin Current rate : 85880
Still the resistance and support at 87720 and 83704.
Despite Volatile, holding between these two resistance and support for the 4th week successfully. The Support zones was posted on 19-Nov-2025. Please view the report.
The maximum downfall ( support) can be till 73800.
Even if there is a fall, accumulate on dips as parcel for a target of 123,000.
In long term it can touch 170000 probably by next 1-1.5 year.
BITCOIN SIGNAL: HERE ARE THE NEXT BTC TARGETS!!!! (trap) Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Japan just sent a warning most Bitcoin traders are missing!Hey @TradingView Community,
Japan just sent a signal most traders are overlooking
Let me explain
The Bank of Japan is preparing to raise interest rates toward 0.75%
Levels not seen in decades
On the surface, it looks insignificant but In reality, it impacts global liquidity
For years, Japan has been the cheapest source of capital. Investors borrowed yen at near-zero rates and deployed that money into risk assets like equities, real estate, and crypto.
This is the yen carry trade!
When rates rise, leverage unwinds.
Not because Bitcoin is weak but because cheap money disappears.
Higher borrowing costs lead to:
• Leveraged position closures
• Forced selling
• Increased volatility
This is not Japan targeting Bitcoin, this is liquidity tightening!
Bitcoin is still being traded as a leveraged risk asset, not held purely as a long-term store of value and that distinction explains the reaction
At We Trade Waves we don’t panic over volatility, we study where price pressure comes from, how to read the structures and how to take advantage of the next move
Assets dependent on leverage are fragile but Assets held with conviction turn volatility into opportunity
Japan’s move isn’t about 0.75%
It’s about discipline returning to markets and every cycle reminds us of the same truth:
Easy money inflates moves
Tight conditions reveal structure
That’s how real market understanding is built and that's how cycles and waves works
And the most important part, don't forget We Trade Waves 4 Golden rules!
1) Do not jump in
2) Do not over risk/trade
3) Do not trade without Stop Loss
4) Never ever add to a losing position!
What’s your take: short-term liquidity shock or a healthy market reset?
Trade with care,
Alain M(Coach)
WTW Team
Expanding Flat Elliot wave countBitcoin may be approaching a significant macro top, with multiple technical indicators aligning to signal a potential reversal and a subsequent major corrective wave.
Key Projections:
Potential Top Formation: The current price action is forming what appears to be the peak of a corrective Wave (B), with a potential top range between $109,000 and $150,000.
Projected Corrective Target: Following the completion of Wave (B), a significant downward move, labeled as Wave (C), is anticipated. This corrective wave targets the $45,000 - $67,000 price zone.
Timeline: The entire corrective structure, from the formation of the top to the potential bottom of Wave (C), is projected to unfold by approximately September 2026.
Elliott Wave Structure: The primary thesis is based on an Elliott Wave count. The chart indicates the completion of a five-wave impulse cycle, and the market is now in a larger A-B-C corrective pattern. The current price is likely forming the peak of the B-wave.
Fibonacci Confluence: There is a strong confluence of Fibonacci extension levels at the potential top. The peak of the current Wave (B) is precisely testing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, a critical ratio often associated with the termination of corrective waves.
Significant Bearish Divergence (Crucial Point): This is one of the most compelling signals on the chart.While the price is making higher highs (from the peak of wave (5) to the peak of wave (B)).Both the RSI and the MACD indicators are showing lower highs. This is a classic, multi-indicator bearish divergence on a high timeframe (weekly), indicating that the upward momentum is weakening significantly and a trend reversal is becoming more likely.
BTCUSD: Holding Wave X or Slipping Lower?24 Nov 2025
27 Nov 2025
1 Dec 2025
17 Dec 2025
Bitcoin is still trading inside a falling channel, and the overall structure remains corrective. The recent bounce from lower levels lacks momentum and is overlapping, which signals consolidation rather than a trend reversal. Price continues to respect channel resistance, keeping the broader bias weak.
Wave X is acting as an important support zone around 83,822 , and as long as price holds above this level, further consolidation remains possible. This area is currently absorbing selling pressure and preventing immediate continuation to the downside.
However, a decisive breakdown below Wave X would signal that the correction is not complete. In that scenario, downside momentum is likely to expand, opening the path toward the 79,650 - 75,655 zone.
Stay Tuned
@Money_Dictators
RD :)
BTC | UPDATE📊 BTC Update — Key Levels in Play
Bitcoin is currently reacting near a critical structure zone. Price holding above support keeps the bullish scenario valid, with momentum favoring a continuation toward the next resistance level. A clean reaction from these levels could confirm further upside.
🔓 Entry: 87,195
❌ Stop Loss: 85,843
🎯 Target: 88,098
Market structure and liquidity around this area make it a level worth watching closely.
What’s your bias from here — continuation or rejection? 👇
Support with a like if this helps your analysis 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post reflects personal market analysis. Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Micro-Context Assessment
Hello everyone! CryptoRobotics trader-analyst here, and this is the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested a high-volume bar where significant selling pressure had previously formed. As expected, a reaction followed: volumes increased on the approach, but sellers failed to seize control, and the primary bearish continuation scenario was not realized.
At the moment, the micro-context, volume distribution, and price action are leaning in favor of buyers. Around the $87,000 level, notable volume is being accumulated on the buy side. On a retest of this area, a short-term long setup can be considered with a target near $90,000.
If no reaction follows and the $86,000 level is broken, the scenario shifts toward continued downside, with price moving toward the next major support zone.
Buy Zones
• $87,000 (major volume cluster)
• $84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies)
Sell Zones
• ~$90,300 (local sell zone)
• ~$92,400 (local sell zone)
• $92,000–$93,000 (local volume zone)
• $94,000–$97,500 (volume zone)
• $101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTCUSDT Analysis : Bearish Setup, Bitcoin Faces Strong RejectionBTCUSDT PERPETUAL – 1 Hour Chart Analysis
Market Structure
On the 1-hour timeframe, BTCUSDT shows a strong bearish displacement from the highs, indicating clear dominance by sellers. The aggressive sell-off broke previous structure and pushed price into a short-term accumulation phase. After forming a base, price attempted a corrective move to the upside, but this recovery lacked strong continuation volume.
The overall structure still remains bearish, as price failed to reclaim key resistance zones with strength.
Reversal Zone Reaction
The highlighted Reversal Zone above current price is a critical supply area where sellers previously entered the market aggressively. Price retraced into this zone and immediately showed rejection, confirmed by strong bearish candles and long upper wicks. This reaction suggests that smart money used this area to re-enter short positions rather than allow bullish continuation.
This rejection validates the zone as a high-probability resistance, reinforcing bearish bias unless price can decisively reclaim and hold above it.
Breakdown & Momentum Shift
After rejecting from the reversal zone, BTCUSDT started printing lower highs, signaling weakness in buyers. The current price action shows sellers regaining control, with momentum shifting back to the downside. The absence of bullish follow-through confirms that the move up was corrective rather than impulsive.
This behavior aligns with classic pullback-to-supply mechanics in a bearish trend.
Liquidity & Correction Zone (CZ)
Below current price, the marked Correction Zone (CZ) represents an area where internal liquidity exists. This zone often acts as a temporary pause where price may react briefly before continuation. However, without a strong bullish pattern, this area is more likely to be a minor reaction point, not a trend reversal zone.
Traders should remain cautious here and wait for price behavior confirmation.
Target Zone & Projection
The lower highlighted Target Zone aligns with:
Previous swing lows
High liquidity resting below the range
An area where sell-side stops are likely to be triggered
The projected move indicates a potential liquidity sweep into the target zone, followed by the possibility of a technical bounce. However, the note “Need Positive Pattern” clearly emphasizes that no blind buying should be done. A bullish confirmation pattern is required before considering long positions.
Trading Psychology & Execution Mindset
This setup favors patience and discipline. The market is not offering immediate confirmation for longs. Selling rallies remains the safer approach until price reaches deeper demand and shows a clear change in character.
Professional traders wait for:
Structure shift
Strong rejection or absorption
Clear bullish confirmation at target zones
Not every zone is a trade — confirmation is king.
Final Outlook
BTCUSDT remains bearish on the 1-hour timeframe. The rejection from the reversal zone strengthens the downside bias, with price likely targeting lower liquidity zones. Any bullish opportunity should only be considered after strong confirmation at the lower target area. Until then, the market favors sellers.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis📊 US macro data has been updated — and CRYPTOCAP:BTC reacted with a bounce to the upside.
Altcoins, meanwhile, still look confused, as if they don’t know where to run yet 🤷♂️
😨 Fear & Greed Index: 11.
That’s extreme fear — and historically, such levels often mark zones where a gradual recovery can begin. Possibly even starting tomorrow.
📈 Overall, the OKX:BTCUSDT price action in 2025 looks very similar to #Bitcoin ’s behavior in 2021–2022.
We really want to believe we’re already in “Phase 2” of this fractal.
Because if this is still “Phase 1”, history suggests a scenario like:
➡️ first $103,000 BTC,
➡️ then potentially a deeper move toward $53,000.
🤔 What do you think — are we already transitioning into recovery, or is another painful leg still ahead?
______________
◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates!
🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves
🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
Bitcoin (BTC) — Potential Downside Scenarios | Stay AlertHello everyone!
In my bearish Bitcoin forecast from October 23 (you can find it under this post), I mentioned that I was expecting BTC to reach 83K first and then 60K.
As we can see now, Bitcoin has already hit 83K and even moved below it.
What stands out is that the current market structure closely resembles the pattern formed at the beginning of 2022 (highlighted in green on the chart:
). After that configuration played out, Bitcoin lost more than 50% of its value…
This is why we need to stay extremely cautious right now. It feels like the market may be pricing in a major upcoming global event, and I wouldn’t rely too much on the idea of a classic New Year rally.
A rally is only possible if the downside move happens very fast and impulsively.
For now, my primary downside target is around 75K.
After Bitcoin reaches this level, I’ll be carefully watching the structure of the decline, and based on the shape and behavior of that move, I’ll decide on the next potential directions for BTC.
On the current chart, I’ve outlined two potential downside scenarios:
1️⃣🟠Orange scenario — Bitcoin starts moving down directly from the current price.
2️⃣ 🟣Purple arrow scenario — Bitcoin first pushes higher toward 90–92K, and only then continues lower to break local lows.
What do you think? Drop a comment — which arrow do you see playing out for the drop?
Or maybe you disagree with my bearish view entirely? I’d love to hear your opinions either way!
Bitcoin in a correction - stabilization after a bearish impulseBitcoin is not moving in a clen trend, but rather in a corrective structure. The candles are relatively small, with visible wicks on both sides, which reflects hesitation and an ongoing balance fight between buyers and sellers. The most recent candles after the sharp sell-off suggest stabilization rather than an immediate reversal. There is no strong, impulsive bullish candle closing near the highs, which would normally signal clear directional intent.
Decline produced several candles with long lower wicks. This usually points to localized buying interest and defensive behavior around key levels, but it is not yet a textbook reversal pattern such as a hammer or bullish engulfing. On the way down, bearish candles closed relatively low, confirming that selling pressure was genuine and not just a liquidity sweep. At this stage, the candles speak more about absorption than about a confirmed trend change.
Price has moved into classic reaction zones, including the 0.382–0.5 retracement of the prior upside leg. These areas often act as balance zones where price either consolidates or builds a base. However, there is no perfectly completed harmonic structure like a clean ABCD with strong counter-momentum, which again supports the idea of accumulation rather than an aggressive reversal.
The WWV adds an important layer. Volume expanded mainly during the sell-off, but there was no explosive spike that would suggest panic or capitulation. This looks more like controlled distribution or a methodical move lower to collect liquidity. Recently, volume has started to fade, which often precedes range-bound behavior or a short-term technical bounce.
Bitcoin has completed a strong bearish impulse and is now sitting in a potential stabilization zone. Candles suggest caution, volume suggests waiting, momentum shows exhaustion but not reversal, and the table confirms a neutral-to-defensive market state. The market is asking for patience. The next meaningful move will be defined by how price reacts to nearby levels and whether momentum and volume start to align in one clear direction.
Bitcoin Pullback to Resistance — Next Drop Loading?As I expected , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has begun its decline from the resistance zone($94,850-$93,000) and has reached its target.
Currently, Bitcoin is moving near the resistance zone($90,900-$90,100), the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($91,840-$90,110), and other resistance lines.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin has completed its five-wave downward sequence and is now in the process of forming the corrective waves upward, likely within the resistance zone($90,900-$90,100).
Moreover, since the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) has successfully broken the upper line of its falling wedge pattern, we can anticipate further increases in USDT.D%, which could put additional downward pressure on Bitcoin.
Additionally, considering that the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ) is likely to resume a bearish trend, and given Bitcoin’s correlation with the SPX, a further decline in Bitcoin is not unexpected.
In conclusion, based on the above analysis, I expect that Bitcoin will at least test the support lines and, if those are broken, it may continue to decline toward the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($87,000-$85,663). If the momentum of breaking these support lines is strong, we can expect even more significant downward movement.
Do you think Bitcoin can go below $87,000?
First Target: Support lines
Second Target: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($87,000-$85,663)
Stop Loss(SL): $92,000(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
BTC at a Critical Weekly Level: Watching for a Bullish ReactionBTC Bitcoin has seen a fairly aggressive bearish pullback, but when we zoom out to the weekly time frame, price has now retraced directly into a weekly bullish order block 🧱📊. This area represents a key support zone that I’m watching closely.
📈 If this level holds and we start to see bullish price action, it could open up a strong opportunity as we drop down into the lower time frames. From there, I’ll be focusing on the 1-hour chart, watching market structure and price behavior to see if conditions line up for a potential entry.
⏳ As always, patience is key — I’ll only get involved if price does exactly what I’ve outlined in the video.
⚠️ Not financial advice — this is simply my market analysis.






















