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ARBUSDT Forming Descending ChannelARBUSDT is showing an interesting setup with its clear descending channel pattern on the daily chart, signaling a potential reversal is on the horizon. This technical formation suggests that the bearish momentum may be exhausting and that a breakout could pave the way for a strong bullish wave. Traders and investors alike are closely watching this pattern for a decisive move above the channel resistance, which would confirm the trend change and could set off a powerful rally. One of the key aspects supporting this outlook is the good volume that’s been building up around current levels. Healthy volume during consolidation phases often indicates accumulation by smart money, hinting that larger players are positioning themselves for a breakout. This adds a layer of confidence to the trade idea, especially for those targeting swing trades in the crypto market. With the broader market sentiment becoming more risk-on, ARBUSDT stands out as a coin with significant upside potential. The expected gain for ARBUSDT sits at an attractive 70% to 80%+, aligning with previous price action levels where the market found support and resistance. If the pair can maintain momentum after the breakout, there’s room for it to reclaim lost ground quickly, providing traders with multiple profit-taking zones along the way. Keeping an eye on daily closes and volume spikes will be crucial to catching this move early. Investors are showing renewed interest in ARBUSDT, adding to its bullish case as sentiment shifts. This combination of technical pattern, volume strength, and investor confidence makes ARBUSDT a crypto pair to watch closely in the coming days and weeks. Patience and solid risk management will be key for anyone looking to capitalize on this setup. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
Whales Dump on Wall Street, Fueling Bitcoin's 'Inevitable' SurgeIn the high-stakes world of cryptocurrency, where fortunes are made and lost in the blink of an eye, a new narrative is taking shape. With Bitcoin's price hypothetically hovering around a robust $107,000, a significant portion of market analysis now suggests that a new all-time high is not just a possibility, but an inevitability. This confidence stems from a complex interplay of technical strength, unprecedented institutional demand, and a massive, yet healthy, transfer of wealth from early adopters to the new titans of finance. The market is currently witnessing a fascinating dynamic: while the price consolidates above the monumental $100,000 psychological barrier, long-term holders, often referred to as "OG whales," are systematically selling their holdings. This activity, which could be misconstrued as bearish, is being interpreted by many as a necessary and constructive phase. Instead of suppressing the price, this distribution is meeting a voracious appetite from Wall Street, primarily through the mechanism of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). This creates a state of equilibrium, a period of sideways consolidation where the market digests enormous gains and builds a foundation for its next explosive move. The target on the horizon is a liquidity cluster around $109,000, a key level that, if decisively flipped to support, could unlock a path to uncharted territory. This article will delve into the multifaceted dynamics of this hypothetical market scenario. It will explore the significance of consolidating above $100,000, dissect the "great transfer" of Bitcoin from early believers to institutional giants, and analyze the technical and on-chain metrics pointing toward an imminent breakout. Finally, it will consider the potential risks and counterarguments that could challenge the prevailing bullish thesis, providing a comprehensive overview of a market at a pivotal crossroads. Part 1: The New Paradigm - Consolidating Above $100,000 The act of breaking and holding a price level as significant as $100,000 represents more than just a numerical achievement; it is a profound psychological and structural shift for Bitcoin. In this hypothetical scenario, the market is not just visiting this level but is actively building a base above it, a process known as consolidation. This phase is crucial, characterized by sideways price movement within a defined range, often accompanied by decreasing trading volume, as the market takes a collective breath and establishes a new sense of fair value. The Psychology of a Six-Figure Asset For years, $100,000 was a distant, almost mythical target for Bitcoin. Surpassing and, more importantly, sustaining this level transforms market perception. It solidifies Bitcoin's status as a mature, global macro asset, moving it further away from its speculative past. This psychological victory attracts a new wave of capital from more conservative investors, wealth funds, and corporations who may have been hesitant to enter before such a milestone was reached. The consolidation phase above this level acts as a proof of stability, demonstrating that the asset can absorb significant profit-taking without collapsing, thereby building trust and confidence for the next wave of adoption. Market Structure and Institutional Support This period of stability is not happening in a vacuum. It is underpinned by a fundamental change in market structure, primarily the advent and overwhelming success of spot Bitcoin ETFs. These regulated financial products have provided a seamless bridge for Wall Street to pour billions of dollars into Bitcoin, creating a formidable wall of buy-side demand. In this scenario, where Bitcoin oscillates between $102,000 and $110,000, spot ETFs would be consistently recording massive net inflows, absorbing the supply being offered by sellers. This dynamic is a textbook example of healthy consolidation. It is a tug-of-war where the immense selling pressure from profit-takers is effectively matched by the persistent buying pressure from new institutional entrants. This prevents a sharp price decline and allows the market to methodically transfer coins from one cohort to another without inducing panic. Technically, this phase often forms recognizable patterns like sideways ranges, bullish flags, or ascending triangles, all of which suggest that pressure is building for an eventual breakout to the upside. The decreasing volume during this time indicates that the market is reaching an equilibrium before the next major directional move. Historical Precedent in a New Era Bitcoin has experienced consolidation phases after breaking previous major milestones, such as $1,000 and $20,000. However, the current hypothetical consolidation above $100,000 is fundamentally different in both scale and participants. Previous cycles were largely driven by retail investors and a smaller group of early adopters. The current cycle is defined by the heavyweight presence of institutional players who bring not only massive capital but also a long-term strategic investment horizon. The amount of capital required to absorb selling pressure at a six-figure price point is orders of magnitude greater than in any previous cycle. The fact that the market can achieve this stability highlights the depth and maturity it has developed. While past consolidations were precursors to further retail-driven mania, the current phase is about the systematic absorption of early investor supply by the largest financial institutions in the world, setting the stage for a rally built on a much stronger and more diverse foundation. This isn't just a pause; it's the construction of a launchpad for the next chapter in Bitcoin's story. Part 2: The "Great Transfer" - Long-Term Holders vs. Wall Street At the heart of the market's current dynamic is a historic transfer of wealth. This is the moment where the earliest and most steadfast believers in Bitcoin, the "OG Whales" or Long-Term Holders (LTHs), are realizing their life-changing gains by selling to the new behemoths of the financial world: Wall Street institutions. This process is not the bearish signal it might imply, but rather a critical market function that fuels the bull run's continuation. Defining the Players: "OG Whales" and Long-Term Holders Long-Term Holders (LTHs) are typically defined in on-chain analysis as addresses that have held their Bitcoin for more than 155 days (approximately five months). These are investors who have weathered significant volatility and have a deep conviction in the asset. "OG Whales" are a subset of this group, representing individuals or entities who accumulated vast amounts of Bitcoin in its nascent stages, often at prices of three figures or less. For them, selling at over $100,000 represents astronomical returns on their initial investment. Their motivation to sell is rational and expected. It is a common market pattern for patient bottom buyers to take profits as the market approaches and surpasses new all-time highs. They understand that the euphoria surrounding these record prices is what attracts the necessary buy-side demand to absorb their large sell orders. This selling, or "distribution," is a hallmark of every Bitcoin bull market peak. The key question is whether the demand is strong enough to absorb this supply without crashing the price. Deconstructing the "Dumping on Wall Street" Narrative The essence of this transfer is that since the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, LTHs have been the primary source of selling pressure. They are, in effect, providing the liquidity that the newly launched ETFs require to meet the relentless demand from their clients. This dynamic is precisely why the price has been able to stabilize at such high levels. The institutional buying frenzy is absorbing the supply unloaded by LTHs. This is not a malicious act of suppression but a symbiotic relationship: LTHs need massive buyers to sell to, and Wall Street needs massive sellers to source coins from. This is simply the natural ebb and flow of a market cycle where supply and demand are meeting at a new, higher equilibrium. On-Chain Evidence of a Healthy Distribution Several on-chain metrics provide a clear window into this phenomenon, confirming that the current selling is a sign of a healthy bull market, not an impending top. • Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR): This metric shows the degree of realized profit for all coins moved on-chain. In this scenario, the LTH-SOPR would be extremely high, indicating that the coins being sold were acquired at a much lower cost basis and are now being sold for massive profits. While this signals profit-taking, it is typical of a bull market and, on its own, does not signal a top. • Realized Profit: On-chain data would show a massive spike in realized profits, confirming that sellers are locking in gains. The market's ability to absorb these profits and continue consolidating is a sign of immense strength. • Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) / Value Days Destroyed (VDD): These metrics measure the activity of older coins. A spike in VDD is synonymous with the LTH cohort spending their coins. This typically peaks shortly after breaking all-time highs because sellers need the liquidity that new buyers bring. The fact that this selling is being met with such strong institutional demand prevents it from turning into a bear market trigger. • Long-Term Holder Supply: While some LTHs are selling, the overall supply held by this cohort may still be growing or stabilizing. This is because investors who bought six months prior are continuously "aging" into LTH status. This indicates that while the oldest hands are selling, a new generation of convicted holders is forming, providing a solid foundation for the market. In essence, the "great transfer" is a feature, not a bug, of the current bull market. It is a sign of Bitcoin's maturation, where the asset is moving from the strong hands of early pioneers to the deep pockets of the global financial system. This process allows the market to de-risk, shed its over-leveraged players, and build a stronger base for what many believe is the inevitable next leg up. Part 3: The Path to $109K and Beyond - Technical and Liquidity Analysis With the market having established a strong foundation above $100,000, all eyes turn to the next key resistance levels. Technical and on-chain analysis points to a significant cluster of liquidity around the $109,000 mark, which is viewed as the final hurdle before Bitcoin can enter a new phase of price discovery. The argument for the "inevitability" of a new all-time high rests on a confluence of bullish technical patterns, resetting momentum indicators, and the overwhelming force of market liquidity. Understanding Liquidity at $109,000 In financial markets, liquidity refers to the ease with which an asset can be bought or sold without causing a significant price change. On a price chart, liquidity is concentrated at levels with a high density of buy and sell orders. The area around $109,000 to $111,000 represents a major liquidity cluster. This is composed of: • Sell Orders (Asks): A large number of investors who bought at lower prices have placed take-profit orders at this psychological and technical level. • Short Position Liquidations: Traders who are betting against Bitcoin have placed their stop-losses above this resistance. If the price breaks through, these short positions are automatically closed with a buy order, creating a "short squeeze" that adds explosive fuel to the rally. Analysis of order book data shows significant liquidation levels stacked just above this zone. Successfully breaking through and absorbing this sell-side liquidity would remove a significant barrier, clearing the path for a rapid move higher. A decisive flip of the $109,000 level from resistance to support is what bulls are watching for as the ultimate confirmation of upward momentum. Bullish Technical Indicators The consolidation phase has allowed Bitcoin's technical indicators to cool off and prepare for the next advance. • Chart Patterns: On higher timeframes, the price action is forming classic bullish continuation patterns. There is potential for formations like an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern or a bullish engulfing candlestick, both of which have historically high success rates in predicting upward moves. A bullish engulfing pattern on the daily chart, for instance, has shown a high probability of leading to new local highs when appearing in a broader uptrend. • Momentum Oscillators: Indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) have likely reset from "overbought" conditions during the consolidation. This reset is healthy and necessary, allowing momentum to build again from a neutral base rather than an overheated one. It signals that the market has shed its speculative froth and is ready for a more sustainable trend. • Moving Averages: Throughout the consolidation period, the price would find strong support at key moving averages, such as the 21-week exponential moving average (EMA) or the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). These levels act as dynamic support, with dip buyers consistently stepping in, reinforcing the strength of the underlying trend. • The "Inevitability" Thesis Synthesized The argument that a new all-time high is "inevitable" is built on the convergence of these powerful forces: 1. Unprecedented Demand: The constant, price-agnostic inflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs provide a demand floor that the market has never experienced before. 2. Supply Absorption: The selling pressure from long-term holders, which would have crushed the market in previous cycles, is being successfully absorbed by this new institutional demand. 3. Healthy Reset: The market has undergone a healthy consolidation, allowing technicals to cool off, leverage to be flushed out, and a strong support base to be built. 4. Psychological Breakthrough: The conquest of the $100,000 level has fundamentally altered market perception and opened the door to price discovery, with the next logical target being the liquidity pool at $109,000. While no outcome in financial markets is ever truly guaranteed, the confluence of persistent institutional buying, constructive on-chain dynamics, and bullish technical setups creates a powerful case that Bitcoin is coiling for a significant breakout. The move through $109,000 is seen not as a question of "if," but "when." Part 4: Risks and Counterarguments Despite the overwhelmingly bullish sentiment in this hypothetical scenario, a prudent analysis requires examining the potential risks and counterarguments that could challenge or delay the ascent to new all-time highs. The cryptocurrency market remains susceptible to a variety of internal and external shocks, and overconfidence can be a precursor to sharp corrections. Macroeconomic Headwinds Bitcoin's increasing integration into the global financial system means it is more sensitive to macroeconomic conditions than ever before. A sudden and severe global recession, an unexpected spike in inflation leading to aggressive monetary tightening by central banks, or major geopolitical conflicts could trigger a "risk-off" event across all asset classes, including Bitcoin. Investors might flee to the perceived safety of cash or government bonds, causing even the strong institutional demand for Bitcoin to waver. It is often noted that traders wait for clarity on key macroeconomic data and policy updates before committing to a trend, and any negative surprises could trigger a sell-off. Overwhelming Profit-Taking The thesis of a new all-time high hinges on the ability of institutional demand to absorb the selling from long-term holders. However, there is a risk that this supply could become too overwhelming. The profits held by early investors are immense, and there may be a price point—perhaps on the approach to $110,000 or just beyond—where profit-taking accelerates to a pace that even the ETFs cannot sustain. If a large cohort of whales decides to sell in unison, it could create a supply shock that temporarily breaks the market structure and forces a deeper correction. Market Exhaustion and Valuation Metrics While consolidation is healthy, a prolonged sideways period can sometimes signal exhaustion rather than accumulation. On-chain metrics that compare Bitcoin's market value to its realized value are crucial for gauging how overheated the market is. These tools help identify periods of extreme overvaluation. If such metrics were to enter their highest zones, it would suggest that the market is reaching peak froth, making it vulnerable to a sharp reversal, regardless of the positive narrative. It is understood that while Bitcoin's price has a strong correlation to global liquidity, internal market dynamics can cause it to decouple, especially during periods of extreme valuation. Regulatory and Black Swan Risks The risk of unforeseen "black swan" events always looms over the market. This could include a sudden and harsh regulatory crackdown in a major jurisdiction, the collapse of a major crypto exchange or institution, or the discovery of a critical flaw in the Bitcoin protocol itself. Furthermore, the concentration of Bitcoin within a few large ETF products, while providing demand, also introduces a new vector of risk. If these institutions were to face regulatory pressure or decide to offload their holdings for strategic reasons, the resulting sell pressure could be catastrophic. In conclusion, while the path to a new all-time high appears clear and well-supported by current dynamics, it is by no means guaranteed. A combination of adverse macroeconomic shifts, overwhelming selling pressure, extreme valuations, or an unexpected black swan event could easily derail the bullish momentum. Investors and analysts must remain vigilant, balancing the optimistic on-chain and technical data with a realistic appreciation of the inherent risks in this volatile asset class. Conclusion The hypothetical scenario of Bitcoin consolidating above $100,000 while eyeing a breakout to $109,000 and beyond represents a pivotal moment in the asset's history. It paints a picture of a market that has achieved a new level of maturity, driven by a paradigm shift in its investor base. The central thesis—that a new all-time high is now "inevitable"—is not born from baseless hype, but from a powerful confluence of observable market forces. The successful establishment of the six-figure price level as a support floor, rather than a speculative peak, is the first pillar of this argument. This consolidation is made possible by the voracious and sustained demand from Wall Street institutions, which are using spot Bitcoin ETFs to absorb the immense selling pressure from early adopters. This dynamic, the "great transfer" of Bitcoin from OG whales to institutional treasuries, is not a sign of a market top but a healthy and necessary distribution that de-risks the market and fuels the next leg of the bull run. The on-chain analysis provides a framework for understanding this phase not as stagnation, but as a constructive consolidation where the market builds energy for a parabolic advance. This narrative is supported by bullish technical patterns, resetting momentum indicators, and a clear liquidity target at $109,000, which, once breached, could trigger a powerful short squeeze and propel Bitcoin into a new phase of price discovery. However, this bullish outlook must be tempered with an awareness of the significant risks that remain. Macroeconomic instability, the sheer scale of potential profit-taking, and the ever-present threat of regulatory or black swan events could challenge the prevailing trend. Ultimately, this analysis reveals a Bitcoin that is at a crossroads, but one where the path forward appears more clearly defined and well-supported than ever before. The interplay between the old guard of crypto and the new titans of finance is forging a stronger, more resilient market. While no outcome is certain, the evidence strongly suggests that Bitcoin is not at the end of its run, but is merely pausing to build a higher launchpad for its journey into the financial mainstream.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
1
Bitcoin BTC price analysis BTC.D and events calendar for JulyToday is the last day of the month and the last day of the second quarter, so there may be some volatility in the markets between 🐂 VS 🐻 💰 The CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart shows an interesting picture — the price has reached the upper limit of the consolidation channel, and now: 1️⃣ The scenario with an upward breakout is quite clear: a breakout from the channel upward and consolidation above $108-110k= a move to $125k during July. 2️⃣ A correction to $99k will mean that buyers have taken control of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, preventing it from updating its lows. This will be a clear signal to buy, because further growth is inevitable. 3️⃣ A deep correction to $91,660 (filling the GAP that formed on the CME BTC chart) or slightly lower. This is the last “unclosed” GAP, which, according to TA rules, should be filled for a full-fledged growth trend to begin. So which scenario is closer to your heart, which one do you believe in? Or write your version of events in the comments. Interesting observations to think about: ◆ Over the past two weeks, the inflow of funds to #BTCETF has exceeded $5 billion, but the price of #BTCUSD on CEX exchanges has not been able to “break out” upward. Is this just ETF "property of numbers", or are spot #Bitcoin sales that strong? ◆ The BTC.D indicator has reached a critical level of 66%, and it will be interesting to see whether it will give altcoins some breathing room next month. (If there are a lot of likes and comments under the idea, we will additionally describe our thoughts on BTC.D and USDT.D.) ◆ SP 500, by the way, has updated its highs, and the last few months on the stock market are very similar to the beginning and middle of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. ◆ And in principle, July promises to be very eventful: 👉 By July 9, Trump is expected to make a statement regarding the tariff wars with the rest of the world, which he has put on hold. 👉 July 18 marks the beginning of Mercury retrograde, which “influences” people's behavior and ‘superstitions’ and forces them to be “more cautious” when making trading decisions (and trading bots don't care about emotions and beliefs) 👉 And on July 30, there will be a FOMC meeting, where Mr. Powell may announce a rate cut, as the US is in a recession, which is time to acknowledge. If we have forgotten anything, please add it in the comments!
by P_S_trade
12
BITCOIN, what's the trend in July?Geopolitical calm, optimism about trade diplomacy, anticipation of a rate cut by the FED - a trio that helped the global equity market set a new all-time record and produced a positive correlation effect on the bitcoin price. Can the trend remain bullish until the end of July? 1) Global liquidity still underpins bitcoin's upward momentum An often underestimated driving force continues to influence bitcoin's evolution: the global M2 monetary aggregate, which maintains a close, positive correlation with the price of the digital asset. This indicator, which aggregates the money supply of the major economies converted into US dollars, generally acts on bitcoin with an average lag of around 12 weeks. The latest statistics show a new all-time high for this global liquidity. This factor is helping to sustain the upward trend observed since April, despite a complex fundamental context marked by a Federal Reserve determined to maintain a restrictive monetary policy in the short term. The US dollar, by strengthening or weakening, directly modifies the total value of M2 expressed in dollars. This contributes to the extent of global liquidity and, consequently, to bitcoin's evolution. 2) A bullish continuation technical configuration in formation On the chart, bitcoin's trend has been marked by a sustained advance for several months. Chartist analysis suggests that a bullish continuation flag may be in the making. If this pattern is confirmed by a clear breakout above the all-time high, theoretical projections place the next targets between $128,000 and $145,000. The dynamics of the daily candlesticks on BTC/USD testify to a market that remains positively oriented, provided that the 98,000/100,000 US dollar support zone is preserved. 3) The four-year halving cycle still active To place this development in a longer-term context, it is worth recalling the four-year cycle structured around halving. The last halving event took place in April 2024, initiating a new bullish phase that should continue until autumn 2025 if historical regularities repeat themselves. Bitcoin therefore has several months left to set new records, even if episodes of volatility cannot be ruled out. Temporal analyses show that the terminal phase of this cycle is expected between October and December 2025. This outlook gives the trend time to develop, even if the summer period should see the development of a short-term correction. 4) Outlook for July Since the spring, bitcoin has been on an upward trend, which has its roots in both the technical configuration and the unprecedented scale of global liquidity. The combination of these factors has created an environment conducive to continued bullishness over the summer, even if the market will have to contend with geopolitical and trade tensions, as well as the firmness of the FED, which is unlikely to cut rates before September. CAUTION: a technical break of the $100K support would put an end to the uptrend in place since the beginning of April. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 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INDEX:BTCUSD
by Swissquote
BTC Shorts Into Q3 | Monthly + Half-Year Candle PressureWe’re entering a pivotal window on the Bitcoin chart, the monthly close, Q2 close, and 6-month candle all lining up. This kind of macro convergence rarely goes unnoticed by the market and often marks major structural shifts. BTC has failed multiple times to break through key highs, and with momentum fading into this close, I’m leaning short heading into Q3. Even if price wants to trend higher later this year, I expect that move to begin from a deeper wick, not from the top of the current range. I’m watching the 103K level closely. A break below it could trigger a swift drop toward 95K, possibly lower depending on how the new monthly opens and reacts. That would line up with the idea of a strong lower wick forming on the new 3M or 6M candle. This isn't a long-term macro short, just a high R setup where structure, timing, and context are aligning. I believe this move starts today or very soon. The next few candles will speak volumes.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by UnTapped-Funds
BTC Is Replaying a Bullish Fractal >>> Are You Watching?Hello guys! I see a deja vu here! Let’s look at the historical daily chart (Jan–May 2025): What happened? Initial Drop (Yellow Oval): Bitcoin approached a key S&D zone but didn't touch it, triggering a short-lived bounce before dropping again. Second Drop (Red Ovals): This time, price precisely touched the demand zone, triggering a clean bullish reversal. What followed was a strong trend breakout, sustained higher lows, and an eventual surge past prior resistance levels. Current 4H Chart Setup: A Mirror Image? Yellow Highlight: Once again, we saw a bounce that didn't quite touch the key demand zone ($98K–$100K). Red Zone Prediction: If this mirrors the historical move, the price is likely to return and touch this S&D area before launching a bullish leg. Blue Path Projection: A sharp reversal is expected post-touch, aiming toward $111K–$113K as the next key resistance zone. The descending trendline adds confluence ___________________ History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes Based on this fractal analysis, Bitcoin is likely forming the same bullish base seen earlier in 2025. The setup hinges on one key event: a return to the $99K–$100K zone, where demand is likely to step in aggressively. If the pattern repeats, the current market may offer one last high-reward long opportunity before a parabolic rally.
by melikatrader94
22
BTCUSD Trade Setup - 28/Jun/2025Hi Traders, I expect this pair to go Down after finishing the correction. 1) Need to wait for market to show changing of the direction. 2) The first reaction zone foe me will be at 95000 level followed by 89000 level. 3) Need to observe the characteristic of the move coming down in order to understand if market is planning to go up without coming to those levels. Current expectation for investing is to see market dropping to 89000 level and then start to look for entry. I only invest in BTC so no shorts for me but market shows potential to give a reversal soon and give a decent down move.
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSDLong
by For3xScalper
DATAUSDT Forming Strong Bullish Breakout outDATAUSDT is showing strong bullish potential after breaking out from a falling wedge pattern—a classic technical indicator often followed by significant upward momentum. The breakout from this compression zone suggests that bullish pressure is returning to the market, and a rally may be in play. With the recent surge in price action, traders are eyeing an expected gain of 80% to 90%, especially as volume supports the breakout confirmation. The Streamr project, which underpins DATA, is gaining traction for its real-time decentralized data-sharing protocol. As interest in Web3 and decentralized data ecosystems grows, investors are beginning to recognize the long-term utility of DATA. The recent pattern breakout reflects increasing investor confidence and accumulation at lower levels, setting the stage for potential explosive moves. The technical structure is clean, with a well-defined wedge breakout, a strong impulsive move, and a retest of previous resistance as support. This setup is ideal for swing traders and mid-term investors looking for high-probability entries. If momentum sustains, price could quickly push toward the upper targets, making this one of the stronger bullish setups currently on the radar. With market sentiment leaning towards recovery and altcoins beginning to attract capital flows, DATAUSDT is well-positioned to benefit from broader bullish trends in the crypto space. Keeping an eye on volume and continuation patterns will be key in managing this trade effectively. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
Bitcoin's Podium-Ready 'Bull Flag' Hints at Price Boom to $120KBitcoin's Podium-Ready 'Bull Flag' Hints at Price Boom to $120K Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency that has redefined the financial landscape, continues to spark intense debate and fervent speculation about its future price trajectory. Amidst the sea of technical analyses and market predictions, a compelling pattern has emerged on Bitcoin's price chart: the 'bull flag.' This bullish continuation pattern, often seen as a precursor to significant upward price movements, has ignited excitement among Bitcoin proponents, fueling predictions of a potential surge to $120,000. This article delves into the intricacies of the bull flag pattern, exploring its formation, characteristics, and implications for Bitcoin's price. We will analyze the current market conditions, considering the recent retreat from $108,000 and the overall sentiment of Bitcoin bulls. Furthermore, we will examine the factors that could either validate or invalidate the bull flag pattern, providing a nuanced perspective on the potential for Bitcoin to reach $120,000. By synthesizing these insights, we aim to offer a comprehensive overview of the technical and fundamental factors that could shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months. Understanding the Bull Flag Pattern The bull flag is a technical analysis pattern that signals a continuation of an existing uptrend. It is characterized by two distinct phases: 1. The Flagpole: This represents the initial strong upward movement in price. It is a sharp, almost vertical rally that establishes the overall bullish trend. 2. The Flag: This is a period of consolidation that follows the flagpole. The price moves sideways or slightly downwards, forming a rectangular or parallelogram-shaped pattern that resembles a flag. This consolidation phase allows the market to digest the initial rally and prepare for the next leg up. The bull flag pattern is considered a bullish signal because it suggests that the initial uptrend is likely to resume after the consolidation phase. Traders often look for a breakout above the upper trendline of the flag as a confirmation signal to enter a long position. Bitcoin's Bull Flag Formation Bitcoin's price chart has exhibited a pattern that closely resembles a bull flag. The flagpole can be identified by the significant upward movement that occurred in the months leading up to June 2025. This rally propelled Bitcoin to a high of $108,000, establishing a strong bullish trend. Following this rally, Bitcoin entered a period of consolidation, with the price moving sideways and slightly downwards. This consolidation phase has formed a flag-like pattern on the chart, characterized by two parallel trendlines that slope gently downwards. The formation of this bull flag pattern has led many analysts to believe that Bitcoin is poised for another significant upward movement. The target price for this potential breakout is often calculated by measuring the length of the flagpole and adding it to the breakout point on the upper trendline of the flag. In Bitcoin's case, this calculation suggests a potential target price of around $120,000. Factors Supporting the Bull Flag Pattern Several factors support the validity of the bull flag pattern and the potential for Bitcoin to reach $120,000: • Strong Underlying Bullish Trend: The bull flag is a continuation pattern, meaning that it relies on an existing uptrend to be valid. Bitcoin's price has been in a strong uptrend for several years, driven by increasing institutional adoption, growing mainstream adoption, and limited supply. • Positive Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment among Bitcoin investors remains positive, despite the recent retreat from $108,000. Many analysts believe that Bitcoin is still in the early stages of its adoption curve and that its long-term potential remains significant. • Increasing Institutional Adoption: Institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, are increasingly allocating capital to Bitcoin. This increased institutional adoption can drive up the price of Bitcoin and provide a more stable foundation for its long-term growth. • Growing Mainstream Adoption: Bitcoin is becoming increasingly accepted as a form of payment and a store of value by mainstream consumers and businesses. This growing mainstream adoption can increase demand for Bitcoin and drive up its price. • Limited Supply: Bitcoin has a fixed supply of 21 million coins. This limited supply makes Bitcoin a scarce asset, which can increase its value over time as demand grows. • Halving Events: Bitcoin's halving events, which occur approximately every four years, reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. These halving events can reduce the supply of Bitcoin and drive up its price. The next halving event is expected to occur in 2028. • Macroeconomic Factors: Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical instability, can increase demand for Bitcoin as a safe haven asset. Factors Invalidating the Bull Flag Pattern While the bull flag pattern is a bullish signal, it is not foolproof. Several factors could invalidate the pattern and prevent Bitcoin from reaching $120,000: • Breakdown Below the Flag: If the price breaks down below the lower trendline of the flag, the bull flag pattern is invalidated. This would suggest that the consolidation phase is not a temporary pause before another rally, but rather a sign of weakening momentum. • Negative News and Events: Negative news and events, such as regulatory crackdowns, security breaches, or macroeconomic shocks, could dampen investor sentiment and trigger a sell-off in Bitcoin. • Weakening Market Fundamentals: If Bitcoin's adoption rate slows down, network activity declines, or transaction volume decreases, it could indicate that the underlying fundamentals are weakening, which could invalidate the bull flag pattern. • Profit-Taking: After a significant rally, some investors may choose to take profits, which could put downward pressure on the price of Bitcoin and prevent it from breaking out of the flag. • Alternative Investments: The emergence of compelling alternative investments could divert capital away from Bitcoin, reducing demand and potentially invalidating the bull flag. Bitcoin Retreats From $108K: A Temporary Setback? As of June 26, 2025, Bitcoin has retreated from its recent high of $108,000. This pullback has sparked concerns among some investors, but Bitcoin bulls remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of the cryptocurrency. The recent retreat could be attributed to a number of factors, including profit-taking after a significant rally, regulatory concerns, or macroeconomic headwinds. However, it is important to note that Bitcoin has experienced numerous pullbacks throughout its history, and these pullbacks have often been followed by even stronger rallies. The key question is whether this pullback is a temporary setback within the bull flag pattern or a sign that the pattern is about to be invalidated. If the price can hold above the lower trendline of the flag and eventually break out above the upper trendline, it would confirm the validity of the pattern and increase the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $120,000. Trading the Bull Flag Pattern Traders who are looking to capitalize on the bull flag pattern can consider the following strategies: • Entry Point: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the flag before entering a long position. This helps to avoid false breakouts and increases the probability of a successful trade. • Stop-Loss Order: Place a stop-loss order below the lower trendline of the flag to limit potential losses if the pattern is invalidated. • Target Price: Calculate the target price by measuring the length of the flagpole and adding it to the breakout point on the upper trendline of the flag. • Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques, such as limiting the amount of capital you risk on any single trade. Conclusion Bitcoin's price chart is currently exhibiting a bull flag pattern, which suggests that the cryptocurrency could be poised for another significant upward movement. The potential target price for this breakout is around $120,000. However, it is important to note that the bull flag pattern is not foolproof, and several factors could invalidate it. Investors should carefully monitor the price action, market sentiment, and underlying fundamentals to assess the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $120,000. The recent retreat from $108,000 is a reminder that Bitcoin is a volatile asset and that pullbacks are a normal part of the market cycle. Whether this pullback is a temporary setback within the bull flag pattern or a sign that the pattern is about to be invalidated remains to be seen. Ultimately, the future of Bitcoin's price will depend on a complex interplay of technical factors, market sentiment, and fundamental developments. By staying informed and using proper risk management techniques, investors can position themselves to potentially profit from Bitcoin's continued growth and success. As always, remember to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The bull flag offers a tantalizing glimpse of potential gains, but prudent analysis and risk mitigation are essential for navigating the volatile world of cryptocurrency.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTCUSDT – Spring + S&R Rejection | 15min Power EntryBTCUSDT – Spring + S&R Rejection | 15min Power Entry 📅 June 26, 2025 Price swept support and printed a clean spring pattern on the 15-minute — Rejection off key structure + volume surge confirms buyers are back in control. ✅ Demand stepped in hard ✅ Strong wick below consolidation ✅ Protected by the rising 200 EMA ✅ Entry aligns with a Fibonacci 1.618 projection target I’m long to 109,290.56 — nothing less. Stop is clean, invalidation obvious. BTC just tapped the spring — I’m in.
Long
by theeOperator90
6
BTC/USDT Drop to 101k?🧠 High Time Frame Context Trend: Consolidation within a broad range (support and resistance clearly defined). Key Psychological Levels: 105,000 USDT – minor level, acting as a magnet in short-term PA. 110,000 USDT – major supply confluence and liquidity target. 🟪 Supply & Resistance Zone Zone: Marked in purple (108.5k-112k). Key Observation: Swing high formed inside this zone, indicating liquidity trap. Potential fake-out or strong rejection from this area. Strong confluence with a descending resistance trendline, adding to the selling pressure. 🔵 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Retracement Targets FVG identified just below the current price (~103.5k-104.5k). Price is projected to: Reject from the current high. Drop to fill the FVG zone. Possibly bounce between FVG and Fibonacci retracement levels: 0.5 0.618 0.786 🔴 Volume & RSI Divergence Volume breakout is noted on the last push down (bottom red annotation), followed by a retrace. OBV shows bullish divergence with price: 🔻 Support Structure Lower red trendline is a key long-term support. Previous swing low aligns with this trendline – buyers showed strong interest here. If FVG fails to hold, expect a retest of this trendline near 97,000–98,000. 📈 Likely Scenarios Base Case (Neutral-Bearish): Price rejects current zone (~107,000). Pullback into FVG (101–104K). Bounce to 105K (minor resistance), then decide next direction. Bullish Breakout: If price breaks and closes above 110K, it invalidates supply zone. Opens door to 115–118K range. Bearish Breakdown: Fails FVG zone. Tests previous swing low and support (~97K). Below that, structure becomes macro bearish. 🧩 Summary Short-Term: Retracement into FVG likely. Monitor reaction. Medium-Term: Bearish bias while price is below 110K. Invalidation for bears: Clean break and hold above 110K.
Short
by King_BennyBag
11
Signs of Bullish Reversal EmergingAs of today’s close, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal from a key mid-range Keltner Channel support zone. The recent Heikin Ashi candle reflects a strong recovery after a brief sell-off, with price rejecting lower support levels and closing firmly within the mid-band. 🔹 Key Observations: Support Zone Respected: Price action respected the mid-Keltner Channel support, suggesting underlying buying interest around the $103k–$104k range. Momentum Shift: The bullish engulfing nature of the current candle implies a potential shift in momentum, especially after recent consolidation below the upper range. 🔹Trade Idea: TP is near $112k, SL just under $102k. Continued confirmation above the mid-band and sustained bullish volume will be critical for this move to extend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by VisionaryInsights
Could BTC Hit \$160,000 Before 2026? As of **June 2025**, Bitcoin trades near **\$61,000**. But based on historical patterns, market signals, and macro trends, here’s a bold scenario that could unfold: **📊 Key Signals:** * The **2024 Bitcoin halving** cut new supply by 50%. * **Institutional Bitcoin ETFs** now control over 6% of circulating BTC. * **U.S. rate cuts** expected Q3 2025 could trigger a flood of new capital. * **Global unrest** pushing investors toward alternative stores of value. **🔥 Mind-Blowing Prediction:** If Bitcoin follows even half of its average post-halving surge, we could see **\$150,000 BTC before March 2026**. That’s a **+145% gain from today’s price** — within historical norms: * 📈 2020 post-halving: +300% * 📈 2016 post-halving: +600% **⚠ Risks remain:** regulations, market shocks, or ETF outflows could stall momentum. **✅ Bottom Line:** If Bitcoin’s history repeats (or even rhymes), \$150k is not impossible — and 2025 could be the setup year. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoPrediction #CoinMarketCap
VANTAGE:BTCUSDLong
by IPatrice
2
₿itcoin: Grinding higherBitcoin has extended its recent rally, reclaiming the $106,000 level in the last few hours. While short-term setbacks remain possible, our primary scenario continues to point higher: prices should aim for the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Within this zone, BTC should complete green wave B before initiating a corrective decline in wave C, which should extend into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. At the low of major wave a, a temporary recovery in wave b is likely, preceding the final downward push that should mark the end of the broader wave (ii) correction. Our alternative scenario (30% probability) suggests that Bitcoin remains within blue wave alt.(i). If true, a breakout beyond the upper blue Target Zone could occur. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
A Disciplined Approach to BTC/USDT - Wait for the Right Set Up!Right now, I’m closely monitoring BTC/USDT — and what immediately jumps out is how aggressively this rally has pushed upward 🚀. We’ve seen price climb into a key external range high, taking out liquidity that was likely sitting just above those prior highs 💧. This kind of move is often where institutional players step in to offload positions, as the liquidity makes it easier to find counterparts for previous accumulation phases 🏦. The way this price action is unfolding, I wouldn't be surprised to see a correction or retracement soon. With the market this stretched, I’m not looking to get long here — especially not while BTC is trading at such a clear premium 🎯. No edge in chasing the highs. Instead, I’ll be sitting back, waiting for a healthy pullback and a confirmed bullish structure shift before considering any entries 🔄📊. There’s no need to force trades in these conditions. Patience protects capital 🛡️. ⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just my current market perspective.
by fxtraderanthony