Bitcoinprediction
The ray of hope doesn't last longI think in about 2 hours we will see a new downward movement.
Only the market maker knows of course.
But these are calculations using probability theory.
Always look at all the details when analyzing, don't look at the fact that the candle is green.
It lures you psychologically to buy. But it's still early.
There are few liquidations on the market. They are not being written about yet.
There are still strong token inflows to the exchanges
Global M2 and Bitcoin Fib Bounce Targets Point to $134K Next Global M2 has been leading Bitcoin which has been diverging, mostly due to an economic slowdown and waiting for interest rates to start dropping as a catalyst.
Since we're pricing in and high probability of 3 rate cuts starting in September, I expect Bitcoin to start pushing higher and several studies point toward $134k - $135k from here.
These Fibs studies aren't exactly correct, b/c I drew the high / low using the wiicks vs the real bocy, but still interesting.
The first Fib swing high/low correction forecast the pump to the 1.618 target.
So using the most recent high/low swing, points toward around $134k on the 1.618 which is coincidentally the 2.618 extension from the first Fibonacci.
My bull-flag targets on Bitcoin also point to a measured move of $134k-$135k as the next likely profit target, before another pullback and ultimately on the way to $150k this year I think.
Let me know your thoughts below.
- Brett
Bitcoin Road to September 17Good morning, this is my first time here.
Today we’ll take a detailed look at Bitcoin’s path leading up to the main Fed meeting later this month.
A small “impulsive” move up to 117K is still possible while the market remains weak. Weekends are always weak, and market makers take advantage of this for their manipulations.
Right now, their goal is to gather as much liquidity as possible before the next upward move. Market sentiment is not in their favor, but the weekend is helping them.
Next, there are two major liquidity clusters at 112K and 110K. By luring traders into a trap with a fake rally, the price can safely head lower. It’s hard to move down against strong bullish sentiment, but there’s no other option—otherwise, during a rally without corrections, long positions will lock in profits as the price rises, each “pulling” liquidity to themselves.
This doesn’t necessarily mean the drop will reach those exact levels. You always need to watch the market in real time, not just “guess with daisies.”
Please subscribe and support, and I’ll continue to analyze the market live as the moves unfold.
Wishing you a great weekend and all the best!
Solana coin up another 60% Whats next In this video I recap our previous video calling for a pullback into $150 with a target of $240 which has now been fulfilled .
The question is whats next from $240, we are top heavy and despite market structure still bullish I anticipate a move up to fill the single prints at $245/250 before a healthy pull back into $200 zone .
I also recap Bitcoin and the ETH /BTC pair
Take the trades level by level and plan ahead . Enjoy
BTC/USDT Analysis. Buyers Remain in Control
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the $114,300–$113,700 zone (market sell absorption) and continued its upward move.
At the moment, we have broken through the $114,400–$115,500 sell zone (volume zone) and are now testing buyer liquidity around $115,000. The current selling wave shows weakness, so the overall context remains bullish.
We expect further upside movement towards the next sell zones, either from the current price or after a potential retest of the new volume zone at $114,300–$113,500.
Buy Zones:
$114,300–$113,500 (volume zone)
$111,600–$110,500 (accumulated volumes)
~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
PPI Shock Pushes Bitcoin Higher – Fake Pump Before Drop?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been making high momentum Sharpe moves over the last few days , which has made it a little difficult to trade, which is why I am still sticking to my previous analysis , and this analysis is an update of targets and even new entry points .
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($114,720-$113,580) , Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($114,510-$113,771) , Monthly Pivot Point , and Resistance lines = a set of Resistances
A few minutes ago, the US Core PPI m/m and PPI m/m data were released, which triggered a pump in Bitcoin . In my view, we should wait for Bitcoin to digest this shock and then continue its real trend .
Do you agree with me?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed microwave 5 of microwave C of the main wave Y , and we can expect a downtrend .
I expect Bitcoin to drop again to at least $111,600(First Target) .
Second Target: $110,883
Third Target: $110,000 and more dumps.
Stop Loss(SL): $114,923(Worst)
CME Gap: $117,235-$113,800
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $110,822-$109,752
Note: Be sure to follow capital management and do not take risks.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Approaching Resistance
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the pushing volumes zone at $113,700–$113,000, showed a reaction, and then fully reached the resistance area at $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone).
The first wave of selling was rather weak. Trading volumes increased at the moment, with buyers holding the upper hand. The newly formed volume zone at $114,300–$113,700 was absorbed by market buyers, which locally suggests the potential for further upward movement.
However, the fact that price is currently within a sell zone, combined with weak updates of local highs, points to a high probability of a notable correction. Thus, even this absorption could turn out to be another bull trap.
Buy Zones:
$114,300–$113,700 (market sell absorption)
$111,600–$110,500 (accumulated volumes)
~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
BTC - Crash Path PossibilitiesI expect Bitcoin to crash hard today, and here is a zoomed in look at my potential pathways.
NOTE - See linked related idea on DXY to make sense of this more
Beginning with most likely in my own opinion, to least likely:
Option 1:
114,200 to 35,000 - Short
35,000 to 85,000-86,000 - Long
85,000 to 8,000 - Short
8,000 - Long Entry
Option 2:
114,000-115,000 to 18,000-19,500 - Short
20,000 - Long Entry
Option 3:
114,200 to 43,000 - Short
43,000 to 77,000 - Long
77,000 to 8,000 - Short
8,000 - Long Entry
Strategy:
- Regardless of option I am short Bitcoin
- I will watch for a sudden crash initiate today
- I will first watch for a hold and bounce at 35,000 - closing 75% of my short at 45,000 (I expect wick to be very fast and hard to trade exact numbers)
- If we see a bounce at 35,000 - I will open a hedge long at that level
- Repeat first four steps if we drop below 30,000, looking for the correct bottom and closing short accordingly
- Safest option is low leverage short and spot buys at the bottom levels
Thanks to those who have been following me and supporting my ideas. I know I’m the only one speaking about this.
Happy trading.
Bitcoin Price Eyes Breakout as ETF Inflows Mirror ATH TrendBitcoin’s price is trading at $114,192 at the time of writing, facing resistance at $115,000. Sustained buying interest at this level will be crucial to trigger the next stage of upward movement.
If ETF inflows remain strong, BTC could flip $115,000 into support and rally toward $117,261 before targeting $120,000. This level would represent a critical milestone in Bitcoin’s ongoing bull cycle.
However, if the breakout attempt fails, Bitcoin may consolidate between $112,500 and $110,000. Such a pullback would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis but still keep BTC within its broader uptrend channel.
The end of Bitcoin…. begins in 40 days time @ ~$160k in Oct 2025** What the next 12 months will look like **
Let’s just start with a strong provocative title to raise the blood pressure.. “The end of Bitcoin”
…. with an explosion and then a slow erosion of relevance, that’s how.
Whether it withers through regulation, succumbs to its own technological limits, or is simply eclipsed by something faster, greener, and more useful, the end of Bitcoin will be a quiet fading of a once radical idea into the background hum of history over the next 12 years.
Can already feel the calls for his head. Take a breath, unclinch your fits, consider the possibility for a moment.
For years Bitcoin stood as a monument to a digital rebellion, a currency without borders or masters promising freedom from central banks and governments alike. Yet the freedom that was marvelled on Bitcoin’s launch was equally celebrated on its loss the day the ETF was active. A currency available to all they chanted, now controlled by the few. The irony.
Diminishing returns
The bitcoin Halving cycles are a great place to start on the story of “How Bitcoin ends”. Bitcoin maximalists will themselves acknowledge this technical observation, post cycle returns are not only diminishing but on the road to disappear forever. It is the reason we've seen 2010-2012 wallets unload on the market those past 2 months. They know.
On the above 2 week chart it is fairly evident the momentum of each cycle is losing steam as the line of support rotates another hour of the clock face for every two cycles. The next halving cycle will complete at 3 o’clock with no measurable return from the 2025 cycle top. Consider that as the talking heads call for $1m+ by 2030.
The influencers and 40 days
Have you noticed influencers talk about the amazing things quarter 4 will bring? “October through December to mint millionaires!” The cringe.
At the height of every market top we see the same smoke and mirrors, “New paradigm” shift mantra. Every other day a new News article on crypto, ft.com is full of them. All red flags as the market top grows closer. Although euphoria is still to return, the time until the top is deterministic.
There’s never been a market top post halving (vertical blue lines) greater than 546 days (vertical orange lines). This value also includes the +/- 5 days price trades at the peak. The last two cycles (2017 and 2021) took 526 days to reach the peak. 2021 gave traders an additional 20 days to exit at the peak. Few accepted while the rest signed up for the 2 year bag holding challenge.
The market top is now between September 28th to October 20th, at most 40 days away from today, if you’re reading this on September 10th, 2025. Yes, perhaps this time will be different, however there’s now 3 out of 4 cycles with less than 546 days (at max) until the cycle top, and the Bitcoin bull market is approaching that value fast. Is this time really going to be different? Influencers certainly think so.
PS: Notice the monthly reduction in market peaks? 2017 = December, 2021 = November, 2025 = October!
40 days / October 20th to $160k - Seriously?
Historical halving to market peaks
2012 Halving: +9,300% to $1,150 in November 2013
2016 Halving: +2,930% to $19,700 in December 2017
2020 Halving: +702% to $69,000 in November 2021
Lower limit
*** 2024 Halving: +160% to $160k in October 2025 ***
Upper limt
*** 2024 Halving: +180% to $180k in October 2025 ***
There’s a whole host of reasons or should I say confluence for this price action forecast too numerous to go into detail. However here’s a couple of standout reasons:
Reason 1
Each new cycle’s return is roughly ~25–30% of the prior cycle’s return. This means the halving to peak return is compressing by a fairly consistent factor in each cycle, close to a “quartering” effect. For this reason the 2025 market top falls between $160k to $180k.
It would also mean the end of Bitcoin as the next cycle peak would be a macro lower high. Consider a cycle 5 (2028 halving) with ~25% of Cycle 4’s return: 25% × 170% ≈ 40–45% return from the 2028 halving to its peak.
A market correction beginning in October 2025 for a new bear market would not be over until the $40-50k area. A 40% return in cycle 5 peaks out at $70k after the 2028 halving, a macro lower high! Remember talking heads are calling for $1m and beyond 2 years later.
If that becomes true, Bitcoin has entered a confirmed macro multi year bear market. A bear market just as long as the bull market from 2010. Such a bear market would not see price action arrested until around $6k in 2039! A long way from Michael Saylor’s $13 million per coin in 2045.
Welcome to the Ponzi scheme.
Reason 2
The Fibonacci 1.618 extension has been an excellent marker for the cycle top, as were previous extensions in previous cycle tops. The market will always react to Fibonacci extensions regardless. Even if you believe Bitcoin will continue to print higher highs and 2026 is going to a very green year for price action.. you must accept price action will react strongly with those extensions, it always has.
But there’s more…. the 1.618 extension for this cycle shares confluence with point number 1. Yes, the quarterly reduction in return forecast of 160% for this Halving is also the 1.618. Dazzled? You should be!
There are many other studies for considering this level as the market top, which is discussed elsewhere.
Conclusions
If history continues to rhyme, the next 40 days may mark not only the top of this cycle, but also the start of Bitcoin’s long fade into irrelevance. A projected move to the $160k–$180k range would appear spectacular on headlines, yet within the broader arc of Bitcoin’s halving mechanics, it represents nothing more than the final gasp of exponential returns before the math itself runs out of road.
Each halving cycle has delivered progressively weaker gains, compressing the dream from life-changing multiples to mere percentages. At this trajectory, the next cycle risks producing a macro lower high, the first true sign of a terminal bear market. Beyond that lies the possibility of decades-long decline, where the legend of “digital gold” becomes just another case study in market psychology and technological obsolescence.
The irony is inescapable: what was once celebrated as unshackled freedom from centralised control now trades under the thumb of ETFs, influencers, and institutional flows. The rebellion has been monetised, the revolution syndicated. If October 2025 plays out as expected, we will look back not at the rise of Bitcoin to a million dollars per coin, but at its slow descent into being just another ticker on the screen, remembered more for what it symbolised than for what it ever achieved.
Ww
DXY - Major Breakdown of bearish StructureDXY has broken down and is currently retesting a breakdown of this major ascending channel on the weekly - monthly time frame.
Applying this to equities and Bitcoin - we can anticipate a bull run spanning 3-6 years approximately.
Due to the major event of this retest here - I expect that Bitcoin and manipulated markets will see a flash crash of severe magnitude, popping the balloon of the over- leveraged market caps.
No black swan is needed to see this take place on Bitcoin. The charts been rising steadily and holding since 2023 - this attracts long leveraged positions and consequently their stop loss orders. Sell orders are cascading in the chart all the way down to 10,000 - and only fill when price crosses.
This is the event that will pop the bubble before we see stability in the bull run. I don’t expect the equities markets to drop substantially at all - rather I believe we will continue to rise for 3-6 years coinciding with DXY breakdown.
BTC – Bullish Head & Shoulders Pattern!Bitcoin is currently showing signs of a bullish inverse head & shoulders pattern on the 4H chart. This setup is typically a reversal signal, suggesting potential upside if the neckline resistance is broken.
Key Highlights:
- Left Shoulder, Head, Right Shoulder formation is clearly visible.
- Neckline Resistance: Around $113,500 – a breakout above this level could confirm the pattern.
- Potential Upside: If confirmed, BTC could see a strong move toward higher resistance zones.
- Volume Watch: A breakout backed by strong volume would add conviction.
Cheers
Hexa
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC/USDT Analysis. Breakout of the Local High
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin failed to immediately update the high: the $112,600–$112,000 support did not hold as expected and was broken downward.
After reaching the $111,000–$110,600 volume zone, we saw a strong buyer reaction, which eventually pushed the price to break the local high.
Currently, the price is approaching resistance, while a new support has formed just below at $113,700–$113,000 based on pushing volumes. We’ll be watching the reaction here to make decisions based on the context.
Buy Zones:
$113,700–$113,000 (pushing volumes)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume area)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Bitcoin Breaks Key Resistance – Upside Targets in Focus...Bitcoin has been consolidating below the $113,000 resistance level over the past few sessions. On the hourly timeframe, price has now successfully broken above this barrier and is sustaining the breakout.
📈 Trading Outlook:
* A pullback towards $113,000 could offer a favorable long entry opportunity.
* Upside Targets:
* First target: $117,000
* Second target: $122,000
The breakout and successful close above resistance suggest strong bullish momentum, provided price holds above the $113,000 zone.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: IS USA MANIPULATING THE MARKET?! (big move) Yello Paradisers! We have been taking a look at what's going on with the new data release from USA. We have been taking a look at the CME futures gap. We have been taking a look at the multi-timeframe analysis on the ultra-high timeframe chart. We have been going through the moving average touch channel possible reclaim and the Elliott Wave Theory on multiple timeframes. I've shared with you where, with the highest probability, the next move will happen and what kind of confirmations we are waiting for.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin BTC is at a Critical Level: Equal Highs Trade Plan💰 Bitcoin (BTC) Update 💰
BTC is currently trending upward 🟢📈 on the 30M timeframe ⏰ and has reached a critical level ⚖️. We’re seeing a shift in structure 🔄, but there are equal highs forming 📍, leaving the question: will price break higher and continue bullish 🚀, or reject and move lower 🔽?
📊 My trade plan is simple:
✅ Wait for a break above the current range/equal highs 📈
✅ Look for a retrace + retest 🔄
✅ Enter long on confirmation 🎯
If this setup fails to play out, then the idea is invalidated ❌ and we stand aside.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. 📚
BTC/USDT Analysis. Expecting a Breakout of the Local High
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the previously marked sell zone at $112,200–$113,200 (volume area), where we saw only a minor reaction.
The overall context, along with the large cluster of stop orders above $113,500, suggests a high probability of continued upward movement toward the next resistance zones: $114,400–$115,500 (volume area) and ~$116,500 (volume anomaly). At those levels, it will be important to watch for selling pressure, as another significant correction may occur.
Currently, the price is holding above local support at $112,600–$112,000. If buyers manage to protect this zone, we can expect another upward impulse. A breakdown and consolidation below it, however, may extend the decline at least toward the next support.
Buy Zones:
$111,000–$110,600 (volume area)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume area)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.