BTC , 1D BTC has Break Down in 4Hr and Retest the lower Trendline in 1Hr , SO we think that it will Fall in Future , If BTC is Sustaining below its 1,05,600 then we confirm that it will be Fall Drastically
if BTC is falling then remaining coins , which are giving Breakdown of Patterns they will give Very Good Profit
Risk - 3% and Aim for 20 % .
Follow for More Swing Idea Like this
Bitcoinprediction
BTC/USDT Analysis: Expecting a Move Toward the Upper Boundary
Hello everyone! This is your trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics with the daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the $107,500 level, resulting in a false breakout before returning to the consolidation range. Each attempt to push the price lower was met with a sharp increase in trading volume, followed by buyers quickly taking control—a trend also visible in the absorption of sell orders via delta.
The current scenario remains unchanged. We anticipate a resumption of buying activity after a retest of the $106,600 level.
Buy Zones:
$106,600 (on a false breakout),
$103,200–$102,000 (absorption of market sell orders),
~$100,000 (pushing volumes),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance).
This post is not financial advice.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Moving Within the Scenario
Hello everyone! This is the daily market update from the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst.
At the moment, Bitcoin is attempting to break through the ascending trendline, which may indicate a shift into a sideways (consolidation) phase.
In the near term, local lows are likely to be tested, followed by a rebound after a false breakout, returning price back into the current range.
This scenario is supported by:
strong sell absorption on the cumulative delta,
the overall bullish market context,
and continued accumulation of long positions by whales in the spot ETF over the past 9 days.
Buy Zones:
$107,500 and $106,600 (in case of false breakdowns),
$103,200–$102,000 (market sell absorption),
around $100,000 (initiative volume),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance).
This publication is not financial advice.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis and Trade Idea📉 BTC Pullback or Full Reversal? Let's Break It Down 🔍
Looking at the Bitcoin chart right now, we’re seeing more than just a minor pullback. On the 30-minute timeframe, there’s a clear bearish market structure shift setting in. In my opinion, this isn't a quick dip before continuation — we may be in for a deeper retracement. 🧐
When we overlay NASDAQ (which Bitcoin is often closely correlated with), it becomes even clearer — tech stocks look overextended and are showing signs of a potential pullback. 📉
So here’s the plan:
If BTC pulls back into my point of interest, I’ll be watching for a bullish break of structure to consider a long position. Simple, structured, and in line with what the charts are telling us. 🔁💹
⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just sharing how I'm reading the market right now.
💬 What are your thoughts? Are you watching the same levels? Drop a comment below 👇 and let’s talk trade setups! 🚀
Bitcoin & Stock Market Rally Together .. My Trade Plan!🚨 Bitcoin Update! 🚨
Taking a look at the BTC chart 🧠📈 — we saw a sharp retracement followed by a strong rally 💥🔥, likely driven by recent tariff policy shifts 🌍📊.
Right now, I’m leaning bullish 🐂 — especially with the stock markets also pushing higher 📈💹. But let’s be clear: my bullish bias depends on the stock market holding strong 🛡️📊.
I’m keeping an eye out for a pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci level 🌀 for a potential buy opportunity 💸🚀.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — just sharing my outlook!
👇 Let me know what you think in the comments!
#BTC/USD The Uptrend is still intact! Here's Why!BTC Daily Close Update
Bitcoin closed at $108,951, marking another failed attempt to break through the $111K resistance.
It’s been nearly 8 days of consolidation just below this level. That’s not ideal, and it signals we may need a fresh catalyst to push higher.
Not bearish, just cautious.
As long as the blue EMA holds on the daily, the uptrend remains intact.
Still watching for a move toward $117K.
DYOR, NFA
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#PEACE
BTC/USDT Analysis – Still Long
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, Bitcoin bounced off the volume zone at $109,200–$106,500, but then faced resistance in the $110,100–$111,500 area — a zone we previously overlooked due to the strong bullish context.
Currently, the positive trend remains intact, and we are still expecting a new local high. However, before that happens, a decline and a retest of the local low at $106,600 is likely. Supporting the continuation of the overall uptrend are the following factors: absorption on the cumulative delta, an unbroken ascending trendline, and volume distribution.
Buy zones:
$109,200–$106,500 (volume zone)
$103,200–$102,000 (absorption of market sells)
Around $100,000 (aggressive buying volumes)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 level
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin vs. Gold: Central Banks Pick Gold (Here's Why)
The debate over the ultimate store of value has been reignited in the digital age. For centuries, gold, the immutable yellow metal, has been the bedrock of wealth preservation, the trusted haven in times of turmoil, and a core component of central bank reserves. In the last decade, a new contender has emerged: Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, often touted as "digital gold." Yet, as the dust settles on initial exuberance and institutional scrutiny intensifies, a clear preference is emerging from the world's most conservative financial institutions. Central banks, the guardians of national wealth and financial stability, are overwhelmingly demonstrating their continued faith in gold, signaling that when it comes to the ultimate safe reserve, tradition and tangibility still trump technological novelty.
The evidence for this preference is not merely anecdotal; it's etched in the consistent and accelerating trend of global gold accumulation by these institutions. In recent years, central banks have been on a gold buying spree, a phenomenon driven by a confluence of potent global factors. The shifting geopolitical landscape, characterized by increased tensions, trade disputes, and a move towards a more multipolar world, has spurred a desire for assets that are not tied to any single nation's political or economic fortunes. Policies emanating from major economic powers, including periods of heightened trade protectionism and shifting global alliances, have historically fanned uncertainty, prompting a flight to assets perceived as universally valuable and politically neutral – a role gold has fulfilled for millennia.
Furthermore, concerns over the long-term value of major fiat currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar which has long dominated global reserves, are playing a significant role. Persistent fiscal deficits, expanding sovereign debt levels, and unprecedented monetary stimulus measures in various countries have led to an undercurrent of apprehension about potential currency devaluation. In such an environment, central banks are actively seeking to diversify their holdings and hedge against the erosion of purchasing power. Gold, with its intrinsic value and finite supply, offers a compelling alternative to holding ever-increasing amounts of fiat currency, whose value can be diluted by policy decisions. This strategic de-dollarization, or at least a diversification away from dollar-centric reserves, sees gold as a primary beneficiary. It is a tangible asset that sits outside the traditional financial system, offering a layer of insulation from the counterparty risks inherent in holding other nations' currencies or debt.
In stark contrast to this institutional embrace of gold stands Bitcoin. While proponents champion its decentralized nature, its mathematically enforced scarcity, and its potential as an inflation hedge, its inherent characteristics currently make it a challenging proposition for central bank reserves. The most glaring issue is its extreme volatility. Bitcoin's price history is a rollercoaster of meteoric rises and precipitous falls. For an individual retail investor, this volatility might be a tolerable, even attractive, risk in pursuit of outsized returns. However, for a central bank, whose primary mandate includes capital preservation and maintaining financial stability, such wild price swings are anathema. Reserve assets must be relatively stable, liquid, and dependable. Bitcoin, in its current state, struggles to meet these criteria consistently. A significant allocation to Bitcoin could expose a nation's reserves to sudden and substantial losses, undermining public trust and potentially destabilizing its financial position.
This volatility poses a tangible risk, not just theoretically, but as observed in the experiences of investors globally, including those in the U.S. While some have reaped fortunes, many others have faced considerable losses due to ill-timed investments or the market's unpredictable nature. Institutional investors, including those in the U.S., while showing increasing interest in Bitcoin as a speculative asset class or a small part of a diversified portfolio, still largely treat it with caution. The kind of deep, unwavering institutional trust that gold commands – built over centuries of proven performance as a store of value and a crisis hedge – has yet to be earned by Bitcoin. Gold’s market is deep, liquid, and well-understood, with established clearing and settlement mechanisms. Bitcoin's market infrastructure, while maturing, is still relatively nascent and fragmented compared to the centuries-old gold market.
Beyond volatility, other factors hinder Bitcoin's adoption as a mainstream reserve asset for central banks. Regulatory uncertainty remains a significant hurdle. The global regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is a patchwork of differing approaches, with some nations embracing innovation while others impose strict controls or outright bans. For central banks, which operate within stringent legal and regulatory frameworks, this lack of global consensus and clarity is a major deterrent. The operational risks associated with custody and security of digital assets at a sovereign scale are also non-trivial. While blockchain technology is inherently secure, managing private keys for billions of dollars' worth of Bitcoin requires sophisticated and untested protocols for institutions of this nature.
Furthermore, the narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" sometimes overlooks fundamental differences. Gold is a physical commodity with diverse industrial and cultural uses, providing a baseline of demand beyond its monetary role. It is universally recognized and accepted, transcending technological barriers. Bitcoin’s value is derived primarily from its network effects, its code, and investor belief in its future utility and adoption. While powerful, these are different underpinnings than the tangible reality of physical gold bullion held in a central bank's vault.
The actions of central banks speak volumes. While a handful of smaller nations or entities might experiment with Bitcoin, the overwhelming majority of major central banks, those that collectively manage the bulk of global reserves, have either remained silent on Bitcoin or have issued cautious warnings, all while steadily increasing their physical gold holdings. This isn't to say that Bitcoin has no future role or value. It may well continue to evolve as a speculative asset, a niche store of value for some, or a technology platform for new financial applications. However, the idea that it is poised to usurp gold's position in the vaults of central banks appears premature, if not fundamentally misguided, given its current attributes.
In conclusion, the debate between Bitcoin and gold as the preferred store of value and reserve asset has a clear, if perhaps unexciting, winner in the eyes of the world's central banks. Faced with geopolitical instability, the specter of dollar devaluation, and the enduring need for reliable safe-haven assets, these institutions are doubling down on gold. Its long history, proven stability, tangibility, and lack of counterparty risk resonate deeply with their conservative mandates. Bitcoin's volatility, regulatory ambiguity, and operational complexities, while potentially surmountable in the distant future, currently render it unsuitable for the core reserve holdings of nations. While U.S. investors and others may grapple with Bitcoin's risk-reward profile, central banks have largely made their choice, and that choice, for now and the foreseeable future, remains firmly with the ancient, trusted allure of gold.
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, Bitcoin updated its historical maximum, after which it entered a correction phase. The price tested the key demand zone of $109,200-$106,500 (volume zone), where it encountered buyer activity: sales were absorbed, and a rebound followed.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, we’re still in an uptrend. This is evidenced by the unbroken trendline, the reaction during the test of the mentioned zone, as well as the absorption of sales along the delta within it.
In the opposite scenario and moving below the slope and the buyer's zone, we expect a decline to $103,000 and a change in the current trend, at least to the sideways.
Buy Zones:
$109,200–$106,500 (volume area)
$103,200–$102,000 (market sell absorption)
~$100,000 (aggressive buy volumes)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 (support level)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
$74,800 (support level)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic developments this week:
• Tuesday, May 27, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer confidence index for May from the Conference Board (CB);
• Wednesday, May 28, 02:00 (UTC) — announcement of the New Zealand interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, May 28, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of the minutes of the US FOMC meeting;
• Thursday, May 29, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of GDP for the first quarter and the results of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Friday, May 30, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer Price Index for May;
• Friday, May 30, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic index of US personal consumption expenditures for April, as well as in comparison with April 2024;
• Saturday, May 31, 1:30 (UTC) — the publication of the index of business activity in the Chinese manufacturing sector for May.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Short term BITCOIN 4 hour Chart and possible moves
As I rite this, we see PA pushing up under a line of local resistance, and being rejected.
Support is not far below on the old ATH line ( blue Dash) and below that we have the rising trned line at around 107K
So we have support all around but we are heading in to the unknown with this Fib circle that is just ahead of us.
As yet, I do not know what to expect.
Previous 618 Fib circles have rejected PA to some degree and so I will expect at least a dip in Price.
But as the MACD is nicely cooled off and rising Bullish just above Neutral, we certainly have the ability to piush through
So, We enter the unknown today but with Bullish intent and the ability to cope but we do need Caution.
BITCOIN new week open Green - Will we get 8 weeks Green in a row
These are all WEEKLY chart
7 weeks in a row closed Green.
At Time of writing, Bitcoin is around 109800 usd
So Very Bullish and every possibility that this week will also close Green though we are getting near a point of resistance.
If we zoom into the same chart, we can see more detail
We are above the 2.618 Fib extension and we could return to the 103K zone to test this as support. We may need to do this as it has only ever been resistance previously.
We are also very close to a 618 Fib circle.( Blue )
We do not know if this is an area of strong resistance yet but PA is now in the area that we may react to it.
As a result of this Fib circle, we need to be prepared for the possibility of reentering that rising channel,
We may not do that ,The reasons being that PA still has enough strength.
The MACD - or Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is a technical analysis tool used in trading to identify momentum and trend direction.
The 2 vertical lines on the left are the 2021 ATH points, to give a comparison.
In this cycle we have had 2 previous peaks and then the cooling off period from OverBought.
The Cooling off were the periods were BTC PA ranged..
We are currently rising Bullish, with room to move higher but we should be aware that we are in the area that rejected the 2nd ATH in 2021. The daily is in a very similar position but getting choppy.
The RSI - Relative Strength Index, a technical indicator used to understand the momentum of a price trend . The RSI helps signal when to buy and sell in a trending market by identifying overbought or oversold conditions in a security.
Again, the Vertical lines on the left show you the 2021 ATH points as reference.
See how RSI peaks before BTC PA Peaks.
We have not been fully OverBought since March 2024. RSI is rising Bullish with Room to move higher, though, again, note how it is in an area were rejection has occurred previously.
The Mayer Multiple is a ratio used in trading that compares the current market price of an asset, such as Bitcoin, to its 200-day moving average (SMA) price.
This indicator is particularly useful for swing traders to find zones of extreme overbuys and
It is generally considered a bullish indicator when the price is above the long-term moving average ( Yellow ) and bearish when the price is below it, although significant deviations from the moving average can indicate overvaluation or undervaluation.
Again, take note of the vertical lines and were this Mayer Multiple was.
Again, the tendency is that when this Drops, BTC PA has Ranged to cool off and when it crosses above its Average, it leads to a High on the push higher.
And once again, remembering what has been said above, we need to wait to see if this crosses its average or get rejected by it.
But as you can see, the Average is more often used as support amd mpt resistance.
So, in conclusion, I remain Bullish but with a note of Caution till we get a push higher conformed.
We could see a pull back and , if that happens, this maybe the last sensible buying Zone for Bitcoin this time round. The Risk is increasing as more and more coins enter into good profit margins. People may get tempted to sell.
On a longer term , this month has confirmed a very bullish intent and we have one week to go before month end. I will expand on this on 2nd June
This week. we wait and see how Bitcoin will react.
Be Kind to others. The world Needs LOVE
73 days looks to be spot on73 Day Lag to the Global M2 Money Supply looks to be spot on for the last year. If it is, this is good news with the M2 still climbing.
If I am right, we will have a dip within 24 hours of May 28th, only to get another pump to the upside withing 24 hours of June 2nd.
(I tried inputting all this data to Grok in order for him to give me some price targets. They were close to where I think the price will be but using the M2 for price targets still needs some work.)
BTC Hits ATH Time But Dont Let Euphoria Ruin Your PerceptionBitcoin has pushed into new all-time highs and is now testing the same resistance zone we saw back in December–January. While the breakout is technically impressive, price is stalling at the exact level where strong sell pressure previously kicked in.
Today’s weekly close is a key confirmation point. But the bigger issue? Next week is stacked with macro volatility — PPI, FOMC, and other data drops that could rattle risk-on assets.
⚠️ What I’m Seeing:
- Weekly RSI divergence continues to build
- Volume is drying up, not confirming the move
- Macro pressure is incoming — timing matters
🧠 My Bias:
I wouldn’t be surprised by a final liquidity grab into the $120K–125K range — enough to trap late longs and generate downside liquidity.
Personally, I’m de-risking. Not shorting yet — just locking in some gains.
Ask yourself: Are those extra 10% upside gains worth the risk of giving back 30%-50%?
Not calling tops. Just following structure.
Always open to opposing views — discussion sharpens conviction.
Don’t let euphoria cloud your perception.
📉 Stay safe out there.
Quick BITCOIN Fractal update, Not on Fractal but still good
BITCOIN still in that target circle, first posted in Feb 2025, and I expect to remain here till early June.
This daily chart shows us where exactly we sit in the circle.
There are a number of reasons why we may remain here a little longer but one thing to always look at is the MACD.
The Weekly is still rising Bullish with room to move higher
The Daily is choppy and currently just fallen below its Signal line
We need to watch this area as between the MACD and its Histogram, we could see a Strong Bearish Divergence
The shorter term 4 hour shows how support in approaching
The habit has been for MACD to bounce off Neutral line but if we look at that Histogram, we can see the volatility there and so this could point to a weaker reaction in the near future.
In conclusion, the potential for a drop lower exists but the lower time frame MACD can also show us that some support is available maybe
Lines of support for BTC PA suggest a Low of around 105K should curent support fail.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is currently rising again while the others are dropping.
If BTC PA Drops while this is rising, ALTS will Bleed heavy
Continued Range is the likely option till we reach June and then, Mid June, 18th, we have the FED Rate decision.
This could trigger renewed reaction.
We have reentered a zone of upmost CAUTION till we get some stronger momentum signals
Bitcoin Daily Timeframe TargetAs we can see at Daily Timeframe :
1. As we have learned about market structure, bitcoin has finished its correction phase, and now in daily view, as the initial target bitcoin will touch the level that I have determined
2.Daily view will lead us to buy trade direction, this means the probability of buy is greater than sell, whoever takes sell trade will be eaten by whales
Bitcoin’s Breakout Pattern Continues – Is $120K Next?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN Quick Update
Bitcoin is showing strong momentum — each time it accumulates, it breaks out to a new level. This "accumulate and explode" pattern has played out cleanly three times already.
Now, BTC is consolidating just under its all-time high. If this range holds, another breakout could be coming soon.
The structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the $103K zone. A clear break above ATH could send it toward $120K and beyond.
Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: $106k or New ATH?Bitcoin saw a sharp and aggressive drop following Donald Trump’s surprise announcement of a 50% tariff on EU imports. The sudden macro shock triggered broad risk-off flows, with BTC quickly selling off from local highs near 111.3K and tapping into a key fair value gap around 107.5K. Although we’ve seen a short-term bounce since that low, it’s not a convincing bullish reversal. Momentum remains fragile, and the overall structure still favors caution as we trade within a compression zone formed post-drop.
Key Technical Zones
We’re currently trapped between two major 1H fair value gaps that serve as clear boundaries for market direction. The lower zone around 107.5K has provided temporary support, acting as a reaction point after the dump. This FVG was left behind during the early-May rally and is now being tested for the first time. On the flip side, price was rejected earlier today from the upper 1H FVG at 109.8K to 110.7K, which previously served as the base of the last breakdown candle. That rejection confirms sellers are active at that level, and it’s now acting as resistance.
We’re essentially in a deadlock between demand and supply, and the next break will determine directional bias for the next major leg.
Bullish Scenario
If bulls can reclaim the 109.8K–110.7K area with strength and close above it convincingly, that would indicate demand has absorbed the supply in that zone. Ideally, we’d want to see a clear bullish displacement to confirm strength, not just a weak grind. In that scenario, BTC could make its way back toward the previous highs and retest the higher resistance zone around 112K. This level lines up with a larger supply zone and could become a key magnet if the market shifts risk-on again or if shorts begin to unwind.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold the lower FVG and breaks below 109K with a strong bearish candle or wick rejection from the upper range, it opens the door for further downside. The next target would be the clean liquidity pool near 106K, which is supported by a price inefficiency and unmitigated demand just below. This level also aligns with prior consolidation structure and would be a logical place for a deeper retracement following the news-driven shakeout.
Market Context and Decision Point
This is a compression structure formed after a high-volatility event, so it’s important not to get trapped in the middle of the range. Price is coiling between two well-defined FVGs, and whichever one gives way will likely trigger the next expansion move. Look for signs of displacement impulsive candles, clean breaks, and follow-through, to validate which side is in control. Until then, patience is key. Let price choose the path and then follow the momentum.
Price Target and Expectations
✅ Break and hold above resistance FVG → target 112K
🚩 Break and lose the support FVG → target 106K
Conclusion
Bitcoin is stuck in a tight battle between bulls and bears following a heavy news-driven drop. The current 1H FVG range offers a textbook breakout setup, with both sides clearly defined. This is not the time to force trades inside the chop. Wait for a clean break, then position for the follow-through. The resolution of this range will likely dictate direction soon, especially as the market continues to digest the macro developments.
___________________________________
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If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Bitcoin Be Setting Bull Trap?_Breakout Without High VolumeBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall yesterday after forming a new All-Time High(ATH) with high volume , but started to rise again. One of the reasons for Bitcoin’s sudden drop yesterday was the sharp drop in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) index .
First of all, I must say that Bitcoin’s situation is a bit complicated and difficult to analyze , so pay more attention to money management. Be prepared for any scenario.
Bitcoin is trading above the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,820) and near the Resistance lines and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($113,020-$111,833) . What is worrying is that the break of the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,820) was NOT accompanied by high volume , suggesting a bull trap is possible .
I see a correction to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($109,972-$108,609) given the low breakout volume for Bitcoin and the large sell orders in the upper prices for Bitcoin .
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Today, the Flash PMI data from the U.S . came in stronger than expected:
Flash Manufacturing PMI: 52.3 (vs. forecast 49.9, previous 50.2)
Flash Services PMI: 52.3 (vs. forecast 51.0, previous 50.8)
Analysis :
Both numbers exceeded expectations, signaling stronger economic activity in the U.S. This is bullish for the USD( TVC:DXY ) and could put short-term downward pressure on Bitcoin, as it lowers the chances of near-term Fed rate cuts.
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Do you think Bitcoin is completing a Bull Trap or should we expect Bitcoin to increase further?
Note: If Bitcoin breaks above $114,500 with high momentum, we can expect Bitcoin to rise to near $119,000.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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