BTC Bitcoin Trade plan 24/4/2025BTC/USD Trading Outlook:
Key Resistance Levels: $95,000 and $97,000
Channel Support Level: $92,000
Support Zone: $86,000
Market Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to break above the resistance at $95,000–$97,000 and drops below the $92,000 channel support, it could trigger a sell-off.
Sell Targets:
Target 1: $90,000
Target 2: $88,000
Watch for further support around $86,000.
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above $92,000 and breaks through the $95,000–$97,000 resistance zone, it may resume its upward trend.
Buy Target: $97,000 (with potential to extend higher if momentum continues)
Bitcoinprediction
Bitcoin Forming Head & Shoulders – Watch for a Fake-OutPattern Formation: A complex Head and Shoulders structure is forming:
Left Shoulder ✅
Double Head ✅
Right Shoulder forming 🔄
Resistance Zone: The price is currently near a strong resistance area (around $87,000–$88,000).
This zone is likely to act as a ceiling and reject the price.
Expected Move (Blue Arrows):
shows a possible fake breakout above the resistance.
Then, a strong drop is expected, targeting:
First support near $78,000
Bitcoin Technicals & FundamentalsBitcoin/US Dollar (BTC/USD)
Price Action Observations:
Trend: Strong bullish trend — price is above the middle Bollinger Band and riding the upper band.
Current Price: ~$95,410 (as of the chart time).
Immediate resistance near the upper Bollinger Band (~$95,921).
A major horizontal resistance is at around $98,000 (thick black line).
Local pivot/support zone marked around $92,400 – $93,100 (purple horizontal lines).
20-SMA (middle BB) acts as dynamic support (~$93,085).
Stronger support around $90,200 (lower BB).
Volume increasing on the bullish candles after the breakout around the 21st-22nd April.
Higher volume on green candles suggests genuine buying interest — not just a low-volume rally.
Bollinger Bands: Bands are expanding — classic signal for a volatile move.
Price is walking the upper band → continuation pattern as long as price doesn't break below the 20-SMA.
Trendlines: Ascending trendline beneath the current price → confirming higher lows.
There is a larger upper channel line sloping upwards targeting ~$105,000–$106,000.
Bias: Strong Bullish
Above 92,400–93,100 pivot zone = bullish structure maintained.
Immediate target: $98,000
Stretch target: $100,000 - $105,000 (upper channel resistance)
Invalidation: If price closes below ~$92,000 (break below pivot + mid-BB).
Fundamental Analysis (as of April 25, 2025):
If US Dollar (DXY) is weakening, it favors Bitcoin.
Fed policies — if there’s talk of rate cuts or holding rates steady, Bitcoin rallies.
Halving hype: Bitcoin halving happened earlier in 2024. Historically, it leads to a delayed but strong rally about 12-18 months later — we are now entering that "parabolic" zone.
ETF Inflows: BTC ETFs launched earlier have been drawing huge institutional interest.
Supply Shock: Fewer Bitcoins available on exchanges post-halving = price pressure upwards.
Global uncertainty (recession fears, wars, bank failures) = safe-haven demand for BTC.
Bitcoin being seen as "digital gold" strengthens its position.
My Final View:
Bitcoin remains in a strong bullish structure technically and fundamentally.
As long as it holds above ~$92,000–$93,000 zone, expect moves toward $98,000–$100,000+. A deeper retrace to $90,200 could still maintain the bull trend, but below that would signal weakness.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Approaching Resistance
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested our support zone at $92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) and immediately received a buyer reaction.
At the moment, we are very close to long-term resistance levels. The buying activity appears relatively weak, and cumulative delta continues to decline, indicating that sellers might be accumulating positions. In the near term, a correction from one of the identified sell zones is expected.
The buyer zone at $92,000–$90,000 remains active but has slightly shifted lower to $91,500–$90,000.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
Do you think we’ll see a correction, or will Bitcoin reach $100,000 first?
Share your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea
🚦 Market Context & Price Action
Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move.
💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts
According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout.
🟢 Wyckoff Schematic:
Buying Climax (BC) at current highs
Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces
Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement
📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup
You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab.
🟢 Trade Plan:
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level
Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation)
Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation
Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low
🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment
Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable.
🟢 Key Fundamentals:
ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong
Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness
Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move
🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management
Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering.
🟢 Risk Management:
Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS
Use tight stops below the range
Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption
📈 Trade Idea Summary
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally
Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure
Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range
Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range
Not financial advice!
Market Analysis: #BTCUSDT💰 On the BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart, a clear symmetrical triangle pattern has formed and already broken down, leading to a confirmed bearish impulse. Price has now returned below the POC level at $93,370.4 (Point of Control by volume), indicating weakness from buyers.
📊 Key Levels
🔴 POC BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $93,370.4
— This is the highest volume area, now acting as strong resistance. As long as price remains below, short bias is favored.
🔵 Support BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $91,905.5
— A short-term target if the bearish momentum continues.
🎯 Lower Target Zone
— Indicates the full depth of the breakdown move, aiming at the $90,800–$91,000 range.
📈 Volume
➡️ Volume increased during the breakdown, then dropped as price revisited the $93,000 zone — this signals a weak retest and seller control.
📍 Important Notes
➡️ Currently, BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is trading between two key zones — the POC above and the $91,900 support below.
➡️ Failure to break and hold above $93,370 keeps the bearish scenario in play.
➡️ A move below $92,600 will confirm continuation of the downtrend.
📢 Strategy Recommendations:
🚨 SHORT Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Entry: on a retest of $93,000–$93,200 and rejection
Stop Loss: above POC ($93,450)
Targets: $92,100 → $91,900 → $90,800
🚨 Alternative LONG Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P (only if POC is broken):
Entry: after a solid breakout and hold above $93,400 with volume
Target: $94,200–$94,800
Stop Loss: below $93,000
🚨 Conclusion :
BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P has completed the triangle pattern and is now in a retest phase. So far, signs still point to bearish continuation, with final confirmation coming from a break below $92,600.
#BTC is stuck but Here's the simplified Plan!Bitcoin is currently trading between key levels:
Upper resistance: 93700
Lower support: 91670
We are stuck in this range, and a breakout above or below these levels will confirm the next move in the trend.
Right now, Bitcoin is holding the 50 EMA on the 30-minute chart. As long as this support holds, we could see a move towards 95k, after which we will reassess the chart.
Here are two possible scenarios if we hit 95,700 again:
We break above and target 100k
We face rejection and correct back to 88k. While this wouldn’t be a large correction, it could offer a very opportunistic entry point.
I’ll be sharing more insights and updates as the chart unfolds.
Follow me on all my socials (link in bio).
Drop your thoughts in the comment section and hit the like button if this is useful.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin (BTC) $95K Target? ETF Inflows & Supply Shock Key Signal
Bitcoin Flashes Bullish Signals: Record ETF Flows and Supply Shock Fuel $95K Target Hopes
Bitcoin, the original cryptocurrency, is demonstrating renewed vigor, capturing investor attention with a confluence of bullish indicators. After a period of consolidation and sideways movement following its all-time high earlier this year, recent data suggests underlying strength is building. Significant inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, a tightening supply on exchanges, strong relative performance against traditional markets, and key technical levels being tested are painting a picture that has analysts eyeing the next major psychological and technical hurdle: $95,000.
ETF Demand Roars Back: A Sign of Renewed Institutional Appetite
One of the most significant developments fueling recent optimism is the resurgence of demand for U.S.-based spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Launched in January 2024, these products marked a watershed moment, providing traditional investors with regulated and accessible exposure to Bitcoin. After an initial explosive launch, inflows moderated. However, recent weeks have seen a dramatic turnaround.
Reports indicate that these ETFs recently experienced their largest single-day net inflows since their early days in January, signaling a powerful return of institutional and potentially broader retail interest. This influx of capital into regulated vehicles is crucial. It represents sticky, long-term demand rather than just short-term speculative trading. Each dollar flowing into these ETFs effectively removes Bitcoin from the readily available market supply, contributing to a potential supply squeeze.
This sustained demand has also propelled Bitcoin's overall market capitalization significantly. While direct comparisons fluctuate daily and depend on methodology (e.g., including gold, different equity classes), Bitcoin's market cap has grown to rival that of major global corporations and even some traditional asset classes. Its ascent up the ranks of the world's largest assets underscores its growing acceptance and integration into the broader financial landscape. While claiming a specific rank like "5th largest" can be debated based on what's included, there's no denying Bitcoin is now a multi-trillion dollar asset class demanding attention.
The Supply Squeeze: Coins Vanish from Exchanges
Complementing the demand surge is a notable trend on the supply side: Bitcoin reserves held on cryptocurrency exchanges are dwindling rapidly. Data reveals that the amount of BTC available for immediate sale on major trading platforms has plummeted to levels not seen since November 2018. This marks a multi-year low, indicating a strong preference among holders to move their coins into self-custody or long-term storage solutions, rather than keeping them poised for sale.
What's driving this exodus from exchanges? Analysts point to several factors, including the aforementioned ETF accumulation, where authorized participants acquire Bitcoin on the open market to meet ETF share creation demand. Furthermore, there's growing anecdotal and on-chain evidence suggesting accumulation by long-term holders ("HODLers") and potentially public companies adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. While large-scale corporate buying sprees like MicroStrategy's haven't been widely replicated across the board, the cumulative effect of sustained institutional buying (via ETFs) and dedicated HODLers consistently pulling supply off exchanges creates a powerful dynamic.
Lower exchange reserves typically correlate with reduced selling pressure. When less Bitcoin is readily available to be sold, even moderate increases in demand can have an outsized impact on price. This scarcity factor is a core tenet of Bitcoin's value proposition, underpinned by its fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, and the current trend highlights this dynamic in action.
Relative Strength: The "Cleanest Shirt in the Dirty Laundry"
Bitcoin's recent performance also stands out when compared to traditional financial markets. Over the past 30 days (as per the provided context), Bitcoin has posted significant gains (e.g., +7.68%), while major equity indices like the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq have experienced notable pullbacks (e.g., -6.79% and -8.14%, respectively).
This divergence has led some commentators to describe Bitcoin as the "cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry pile." In times of macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tension, or wavering confidence in traditional financial systems, Bitcoin can attract capital seeking alternatives or hedges. While its correlation with risk assets like tech stocks has often been high, periods of decoupling, like the one observed recently, suggest investors may increasingly view Bitcoin through a different lens – perhaps as a non-sovereign store of value or a bet on future technological disruption, rather than just another high-beta risk asset. This relative outperformance can attract momentum traders and further bolster positive sentiment.
Technical Hurdles: The Road to $95K
From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's price action is generating significant discussion. One key metric analysts watch is the "realized price," particularly for short-term holders (investors who acquired BTC relatively recently). When the market price surpasses the average acquisition cost of these recent buyers, it can signal a shift in market psychology. Those who bought recently are now in profit, potentially reducing sell pressure and encouraging further buying. Bitcoin recently surpassed this level, leading to speculation about whether this marks the beginning of a sustained rally or potentially sets up a "double top" scenario – a bearish pattern where an asset fails twice to break above a certain resistance level.
Analysts are closely watching specific price levels. There appears to be a consensus around a key resistance zone that, if decisively reclaimed and held, could signal that "all bets are off" for the bears, potentially opening the door for a significant upward move. Conversely, failure to break through these levels, or a strong rejection from them, could lead to a pullback, validating the warnings from more cautious analysts.
The $95,000 mark looms large as the next major psychological and potential technical resistance area should the current momentum continue and key lower resistance levels be overcome. Reaching this target would likely require a confluence of the factors already discussed: continued strong ETF inflows, further depletion of exchange supply, supportive macroeconomic conditions (or continued relative strength despite macro headwinds), and a decisive break through established technical resistance zones.
What Triggers the Breakout?
Achieving a breakout towards $95,000 isn't guaranteed and likely requires several catalysts:
1. Sustained ETF Demand: Continued, consistent net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are paramount to absorb supply and signal ongoing institutional conviction.
2. Supply Shock Intensification: If exchange reserves continue to fall sharply, the scarcity narrative strengthens, potentially triggering FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) buying.
3. Macroeconomic Shifts: A dovish pivot from central banks, renewed inflation fears driving demand for hard assets, or further instability in traditional markets could push more capital towards Bitcoin.
4. Technical Confirmation: A convincing break and hold above currently watched resistance levels would give technical traders confidence and potentially trigger algorithmic buying.
5. Positive Regulatory Developments: While the ETFs were a major step, further regulatory clarity or positive developments globally could reduce perceived risk.
Conclusion: Optimism Tempered with Caution
The current Bitcoin landscape presents a compelling bullish case. Resurgent ETF demand, dwindling exchange supply creating a scarcity effect, and strong relative performance against traditional assets paint an optimistic picture. Technical indicators, such as surpassing the realized price of recent buyers, add fuel to the fire, bringing targets like $95,000 into the conversation.
However, caution remains warranted. Bitcoin is notoriously volatile, and technical resistance levels often prove formidable. The risk of a "double top" or rejection at key levels is real, and regulatory headwinds or negative macroeconomic shifts could quickly alter sentiment. While the confluence of positive factors is undeniable and the path towards $95,000 seems plausible given the current dynamics, investors will be keenly watching whether ETF flows remain strong, supply continues to tighten, and crucial technical levels can be decisively overcome. The interplay between institutional adoption, HODLer conviction, and market technicals will ultimately determine if Bitcoin can conquer its next major milestone.
BITCOIN NEXT MOVES!Bitcoin’s Next Move
In the long run, it's clear—Bitcoin is the new digital gold. Any dip at this stage is a potential opportunity. With over 7 years of experience in Bitcoin analysis, I believe in the bigger picture and long-term value.
If you'd like me to analyze or give insights on any other coin, feel free to ask. And don’t forget to follow for more crypto updates and analysis!
BTC/USDT Analysis: Following the Scenario
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market breakdown.
Yesterday, Bitcoin came just short of testing the $95,000–$96,700 resistance zone (accumulated volumes) and began to pull back. Most likely, we will see more significant selling pressure once this zone is directly tested.
At the moment, we’ve tested the $92,000–$90,000 buy zone (strong buying imbalance) and are already seeing a reaction from it. The main expectation is the continuation of the long position and a test of the mentioned resistance zones. This is supported by the relatively weak nature of the pullback, absorption of market selling pressure on cumulative delta, and the presence of strong support.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Bitcoin Rallies on Stablecoin Optimism and Liquidity BoostMacro:
- The crypto market rebounded as sentiment improved following the US Treasury Secretary's proposal to ease stablecoin regulations, boosting trading volumes and risk appetite.
- On-chain data reflects growing activity. The average bitcoin trade size rose 15% MoM, overall volume jumped, and 78% of supply is now in profit.
- Liquidity support from the increasing M2 money supply in China and the US has further enhanced bitcoin's appeal.
Technical:
- BTCUSD surged to resistance near 94300, aligning with the 100% Fibo Extension, before forming a Doji candle that signals possible correction. The price remains above both EMAs, indicating a bullish shift.
- If the price breaks below 92000, it may leads to a pullback toward the 87000–90000 support zone, near the 23.6%-38.2% Fibo Retracement levels.
- A breakout above 94300 may open the door for a move toward the next resistance around 101400.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
BTC/USDT Analysis – $100,000 Soon?!
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its almost uninterrupted upward movement and is now approaching our key long-term resistance zones.
In the coming days, we can expect a pullback within the bullish trend toward the $92,000 area, where a strong imbalance in delta and buying activity has been observed.
Now is not the time to fall into FOMO and enter long positions at market price — it's better to wait for the mentioned local retracement.
We've adjusted one of the buyer zones based on the broader context.
The previous $90,300–$89,500 (potential pushing volume zone) has now transformed into $92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance zone).
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volume)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume cluster)
$74,800 (key level)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
Do you think we’ll hit $100,000 this week?
Drop your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Is Following Our Trading Plan Hello, Skyrexians!
As we told you new impulsive wave to the new ATH has been started below 80k for BINANCE:BTCUSDT and now price found some resistance. Next 2-4 weeks will be very difficult for traders and holders and we will explain you why.
On the 4h time frame we can see the new impulse which shall consists of 5 waves. Awesome oscillator tells us that this is the wave 3 inside this impulse and it can be over because of target area according to Fibonacci. The wave 4 can retrace to FWB:88K and it can happen very soon, but this time altcoins promised to remain strong. The next growth will happen to $94-95k in the wave 5. Dominance can reach our final target at 66%. The further correction to 0.61 Fibonacci below $85k will cause the atlseason and after that altcoins will grow in the very short period of time with the growing Bitcoin.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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Forget Tariffs: Why Bitcoin Cares More About ETFs Than EarningsBitcoin's Great Decoupling: Why It Ignores Tariffs and Earnings, Fueled by Fundamentals and ETF Billions
In the complex tapestry of global finance, assets typically dance to the tune of macroeconomic news, central bank policies, corporate earnings reports, and geopolitical tensions like trade tariffs. Stocks rise on strong profits, bonds react to interest rate shifts, and currencies fluctuate with trade balances. Bitcoin, however, increasingly appears to be charting its own course, seemingly indifferent to the traditional market drivers that dictate the movements of legacy assets. This phenomenon, often termed "decoupling," isn't just a statistical anomaly; it's rooted in Bitcoin's fundamental nature and is gaining significant validation through the burgeoning success of US-listed Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
The core argument, as highlighted in recent market commentary, is compelling: Bitcoin's value proposition isn't tied to quarterly earnings calls, CEO performance, or the potential impact of import tariffs. It has no central bank adjusting its supply or setting its interest rate. Instead, its perceived value stems from a unique set of characteristics: verifiable digital scarcity capped at 21 million coins, a decentralized network resistant to single points of failure or control, and an emerging role as a neutral, global reserve asset in an increasingly politicized and fragmented world.
Fundamentals Over Fleeting News Cycles
Traditional assets are intrinsically linked to the health of economies and corporations. A weak earnings report can send a stock tumbling, while fears of a trade war can ripple through entire sectors. Bitcoin exists outside this framework. Its "earnings" are the security and finality provided by its blockchain; its "management" is the distributed network of miners and nodes enforcing consensus rules; its "monetary policy" is embedded in its immutable code.
This inherent separation means that while traditional markets might gyrate based on the latest Federal Reserve announcement or geopolitical flare-up, Bitcoin's trajectory is often more influenced by factors specific to its own ecosystem: adoption rates, network upgrades, regulatory clarity (or lack thereof), halving events that reduce new supply issuance, and, crucially, capital flows into vehicles that provide access to it.
The narrative suggests Bitcoin is maturing into something akin to a digital version of gold – an asset valued for its scarcity and neutrality, acting as a potential hedge against inflation, currency debasement, and systemic risks within the traditional financial system. In a world grappling with high debt levels, persistent inflation, and geopolitical instability (like the mentioned US trade war volatility), the appeal of a non-sovereign, mathematically scarce asset grows.
ETF Inflows: A Roaring Stamp of Approval
The most potent evidence supporting this decoupling narrative and Bitcoin's growing acceptance comes from the recent performance of US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Launched earlier in the year, these products represented a watershed moment, providing regulated, accessible exposure for institutional and retail investors alike through traditional brokerage accounts.
Recent data underscores their impact. On April 21st, these ETFs collectively witnessed their largest single-day net inflows since the initial launch frenzy in January, pulling in a remarkable $381.3 million. This surge in demand, with notable contributions like the $116.1 million flowing into the RK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB), coincided directly with significant positive price action. Bitcoin decisively broke through previous resistance levels, reclaiming the $91,000 mark after a seven-week consolidation period.
These inflows are more than just numbers; they represent a tangible shift in capital allocation. They signal growing institutional comfort and strategic positioning in Bitcoin. Unlike speculative futures-driven rallies, inflows into spot ETFs reflect direct demand for the underlying asset, potentially building a more stable foundation for price appreciation. This influx suggests investors aren't just chasing momentum but are making longer-term allocations, viewing Bitcoin as a legitimate component of a diversified portfolio, independent of its correlation (or lack thereof) to other asset classes.
Price Action, Leverage, and the Path Ahead
The technical picture for Bitcoin has brightened considerably alongside these fundamental drivers. The recent surge saw Bitcoin break key bearish structures, establishing a higher low that many traders see as a potential launchpad for challenging previous all-time highs. The reclaiming of the $91,000 level was a significant psychological victory for bulls, reinforcing the positive sentiment fueled by the ETF flows. Market participants are now eyeing levels like the yearly open around $93,000 as the next major hurdle.
However, caution remains warranted. Analysts note that recent price surges have often been accompanied by significant leverage in the derivatives market. While leverage can amplify gains and accelerate upward moves, it also increases volatility and the risk of sharp liquidations if the market turns. The critical question is whether the consistent spot buying, particularly through ETFs, can absorb selling pressure and provide the underlying support needed to sustain these higher price levels. A rally built predominantly on leverage without corresponding spot demand is often viewed as less stable.
The comparison to gold's comeback potential amidst trade tensions is intriguing, but Bitcoin still needs to prove its resilience. While it has demonstrated periods of acting as a safe-haven asset, its correlation to risk assets like tech stocks can reappear, especially during broad market liquidity crises. The "decoupling" is not absolute, but rather a dominant trend driven by its unique value proposition gaining traction.
Conclusion: A Maturing Asset Forging Its Own Path
Bitcoin's recent performance, marked by significant ETF inflows and a price surge seemingly disconnected from traditional market anxieties like tariffs and earnings reports, lends strong support to the decoupling narrative. Its fundamental characteristics – scarcity, decentralization, and neutrality – are increasingly resonating in a complex global environment. The success of spot Bitcoin ETFs provides a regulated gateway for broader adoption and serves as tangible proof of growing institutional and retail demand, validating Bitcoin's role as an emerging reserve asset.
While challenges remain, including inherent volatility, regulatory uncertainties, and the need for spot demand to underpin leverage-driven moves, the trend is undeniable. Bitcoin is increasingly trading based on its own unique supply/demand dynamics and its perceived role in the future financial landscape, rather than simply mirroring the movements of traditional markets. It doesn't care about Q3 earnings or new import duties because its value proposition exists on a different plane. As capital continues to flow in via accessible vehicles like ETFs, recognizing its distinct properties, Bitcoin's journey towards becoming a truly independent, globally significant asset class continues, one block at a time.
Bitcoin - The path to 170K
- Still enough NQ correlation to drag BTC
- No new highs unless QE (regime shift)
- Rangebound but stronger "decoupling rally" possible due to global liq etc. Fade unless real QE
- Front runs end of year (early Q4 stocks late Q4)
All of this could change, but one thing the charts keep telling me—
$170K Bitcoin this cycle is still very much a possibility.
Please check out my bear market Bitcoin-to-100K chart.
Thanks, feel free to leave a boost if you have found this helpful.
WNTR is Coming and the bears will be roam like white walkersPicture this, my pretties: it’s late 2025, and the crypto market’s a ghost town, ravaged by the icy claws of a crypto winter. Bitcoin, that sanctimonious coin-king, stumbles like a peasant I’ve drained dry, and MicroStrategy (MSTR), that Bitcoin-stuffed hog will collapse under its own greed. Enter the WNTR ETF, the YieldMax MSTR Short Option Income Strategy ETF, a sinister brew designed to fatten my coffers when MSTR’s pulse fades. This ain’t just an ETF; it’s a blood oath to thrive when the crypto market bleeds.
Why should you care, you nocturnal nibblers? Because WNTR is my bear market hard on. As MSTR and Bitcoin crumble, WNTR rises like a bat from the shadows, its inverse magic turning their death throes into a banquet of tendies. But beware, my lovely bears, in the sunlit days of a bull market, WNTR wilts like me at dawn. As of April 2025, with crypto still riding a post-halving high, WNTR’s slumped to $46.76, down from $50.94. Yet, when the winter winds howl, this beast could soar, a phoenix of profit rising from the market’s frozen ashes.
Crypto winters... Those glorious epochs when the market’s veins run cold, and the weak are culled like lambs at my altar. These ain’t mere dips; they’re prolonged bear markets, dripping with double-digit price drops and the sobs of retail mortals and disconnected high tower boys in white shirts. Remember the long night of late 2017 to December 2020? Bitcoin plunged from $20,000 to $3,000—an 85% descent into my crypt. Another hit in 2022, sparked by TerraUSD and Celsius Network imploding, leaving a trail of bankruptcies tastier than a virgin’s neck.
These winters stalk the heels of Bitcoin’s halving events and those quadrennial rites where mining rewards are slashed, tightening the supply and sparking bull runs… until the inevitable crash. If history’s my grimoire, the market peaks around late 2025 to early 2026, then plunges into the next crypto winter. Mark your calendars, my fiends, is when the feast nears.
What’s WNTR mean in this gothic tale? It’s a two-faced fiend, my darlings. In the first year post-halving, as bulls charge and Bitcoin soars, WNTR’s a shriveled husk, its dividends a mere trickle of blood. But when the winter descends, and bears roam free, WNTR transforms into a gushing vein, its value swelling as MSTR and Bitcoin bleed out.
Think of WNTR as your income hedge, a way to sip the market’s essence no matter the season. In bull markets, I wanna reinvest WNTR’s dividends into YBIT or other crypto toys, letting them fatten on mortal optimism. When the winter bites, I wanna shift your fangs: use WNTR’s income to buy Bitcoin on the cheap as it sinks, or sell off WNTR shares in profit if you are above various % of average cost basis. The cold deepens, pocketing gains while the bulls cry into their blockchain Kool-Aid. It’s a dance of darkness, and I’m an undead maestro.
The Blood Ritual: How to Feast
Here’s how you, my fellow nightwalkers, can join the carnage:
Track the Halving Pulse: The next crypto winter looms around late 2025 or early 2026. Watch Bitcoin’s post-halving strut—when the euphoria peaks, the fall is nigh. Listen for the cracks in coinbase, mstr, for the unraveling of the great tarrif tsar era.
Stock the Crypt with WNTR when the trend reverses: As the market cracks, hoard WNTR shares. Its price may be low now, but in winter’s depths, it could spike like my fangs on a full moon.
Reinvest Like a Leech: In bull markets, funnel WNTR’s dividends into crypto gains. In bear markets, buy the Bitcoin dip or cash out WNTR for profit.
Flee the Dawn: WNTR’s a creature of the night. When bulls return, its power fades. Time your exit, lest you burn in the sunlight.
This ain’t for the faint-hearted, my pretties. WNTR’s a leveraged beast, riskier than a sunrise stroll. Volatility decay can stake your gains, and if MSTR rallies, your losses’ll hit faster than a hedgie fleeing a margin call. Do your own necromancy and scour the ancient texts (or a financial advisor) and never YOLO your entire crypt. The market’s feral, crypto winters are feraler, and WNTR’s the feralest of all.
So, as the crypto winter looms, heed this, my degens: the bears are coming, and they hunger. With WNTR in your claws, you can turn their feast into yours. Snort wisely, or crumble to dust.
Disclaimer: This is unholy entertainment, not mortal advice. Investing in WNTR is dicier than a daylight dash, and you could lose your blood money. Do your own research, don’t YOLO your crypt, and maybe consult a living advisor instead of a WSB vampire. Feast at your own peril.
Bitcoin Will Soon Follow GOLD!!!Bitcoin has just hit the $87,000 mark, breaking out of a classical bullish continuation pattern. This breakout is significant and indicates strong bullish momentum that could lead to further upside. If this momentum continues, Bitcoin has the potential to not only reclaim its previous all-time high but also push beyond into price discovery mode.
Interestingly, this move comes right after Gold printed a new all-time high. Historically, Gold has often led major macro cycles, with Bitcoin following closely behind. This pattern seems to be playing out once again. As investors rotate capital and seek safe havens or inflation hedges, Bitcoin stands to benefit as the digital equivalent of Gold. If history repeats, Bitcoin could be on the verge of its next major rally.
From a technical standpoint, the breakout is supported by increasing volume and bullish momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD. The key support now lies around the $85K– GETTEX:87K zone, which previously acted as resistance. If price holds above this level, the next targets to watch are $90K and the psychological $100K mark.
That said, proper risk management is crucial. The market is moving fast, and while the setup is bullish, it’s important to have a well-defined stop-loss strategy in place. Avoid chasing price—wait for clean retests or consolidations if you missed the initial breakout. Momentum may be in the bulls’ favor, but discipline keeps you in the game.
Bitcoin has made its move. Gold has shown the way. If the historical correlation holds true, Bitcoin may be just getting started. Stay focused and manage your risk wisely.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Confirmed Bullish Trend
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin continued accumulating around our marked level of $87,000 without dropping below it.
Today, we broke the key high of $88,800 and are now seeing a surge in volume.
Our main scenario remains a continuation of the uptrend toward the next sell zone or until we encounter abnormally strong market or limit sell pressure (a sharp volume spike followed by a failure to hold above, or a technical trend break).
At this stage, it's important to secure a position above $90,500 — in that case, the current volume spike may act as support, providing a good opportunity to join the long side.
If not, we expect a return to the $88,000 area.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume),
$97,500–$98,400 (initiative pushing volumes),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
$90,300–$89,500 (potential pushing volume zone),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume),
$82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area),
Level at $74,800,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin & the Resistance...who will win?Its early 2025 any Bitcoins hashrate is hovering around 1000 EH/S! The computational power is becoming staggering. Has anyone considered the sci-fi world we currently live in and how that might affect BTC in the future? I like the version of the new matrix where a truly decentralized, pro human AI program is released on the bitcoin network to grow...lol
The future and perps markets determine bitcoins price now. There are fewer coins in circulation so everything is leveraged. Be mindful of massive head fakes but like the $96200.00 area for resistance. Might be a nice area to short for a 5x leveraged scalp...
Not financial advice and crypto has unique risks that usually end of you losing funds. Have fun and learn.
Bitcoin Tests Critical Resistance Level: What's Next?FenzoFx—Bitcoin is testing the $88,650 resistance, a level it has rejected more than three times. The Stochastic and RSI 14 indicators remain in overbought territory, indicating short-term overvaluation. Entering the market at this price is not recommended.
If BTC/USD stays below $88,650, a consolidation phase may follow, with potential dips to $88,140 and $82,810.
Bullish Scenario
The bearish outlook is invalidated if BTC closes above $88,650, potentially resuming the uptrend toward $90,000.
BTC Breaks Key Resistance –Pullback Your Last Chance to Enter!?To start today's analysis, it's best to look at the Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) analysis I shared with you on April 10 , which can give us good insight and has performed well so far .👇
Bitcoin seems to have finally managed to break through Important Resistance lines as well as the Resistance zone ($86,500-$85,150) . The break volume is also high and could be a good sign for the continuation of the upward trend .
According to Elliott Wave theory , with the breaking of important resistance lines , we should wait for the next 5 impulsive waves , which I will try to analyze step by step in this idea and future ideas.
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) for the first time after the pullback to the broken Resistance zone ($86,500-$85,150) (it is better to enter a long position on the pullback ). Basically, assets can NOT break such heavy zones for the first time . ( With very good news, it may break for the first time ).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,022-$85,539
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,340-$88,000 = Important
Do you think the main uptrend has resumed or will Bitcoin correct again?
Note: The pullback is likely to start from the third point of contact with the Resistance lines.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,100, it seems we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Failed Breakout + Rising Wedge = Bearish Signal for Bitcoin!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840) and the important Resistance line as I expected in yesterday's idea , but it seems that it failed to break .
Bitcoin is moving between two Support and Resistance zones .
From a Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to have formed a Rising Wedge Pattern .
From an Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a main wave 5 on the 1-hour time frame .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
If we look at the Bitcoin chart in the 4-hour timeframe , a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern with high volume is clearly visible near the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840 ), which could signal a reversal and decline in Bitcoin .
I expect Bitcoin to start declining again after an upward correction and break the lower line of the rising wedge pattern , and reach the targets I have indicated on the chart.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $87,708-$86,487
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $84,520-$83,687
Do you think Bitcoin can finally break the important resistance line? I would like to hear your thoughts.
Note: If Bitcoin breaks above the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840), we can expect a pump.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,000, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC/USD Rallies Above $82,140FenzoFx—Bitcoin has surged past $82,140 resistance and is now trading near $86,800, correcting 1.0% of its recent gains.
The bullish trend persists above the 50-period simple moving average, with immediate support at $86,140 offering a potential entry point for buyers. If this level holds, the uptrend could target $89,000.
Conversely, a dip below $86,140 might push prices toward $84,000 or $82,811.
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