Bitcoin All Time Highs Forecasted DateWas just working on a new study showing the number of months and days between prior ATH's for Bitcoin has typically been between 46-49 months or 1400 to 1492 days as shown in the Green boxes.
Based on the 2017 cycle, that puts this cycle ATH around November 1st 2025.
So we don't have much time if this cycle is going to play out like prior ones.
Also global liquidity is slowing down, and BTC is deviating from following M2 Money Supply.
However, the daily cycle low is signaling a local bottom is in here.
What do you think?
Bitcoinprediction
Analysis BTC/USDT. Will the growth continue?
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here is the daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin updated its local high and continues to move according to our planned scenario.
Currently, the price is consolidating in a sideways range, where we notice absorption of market selling. The potential remains bullish — toward the next selling zones.
During this upward move, a new support point has formed with strong seller absorption around ~$110,000. If tested, we may expect buyer activity.
Buy Zones:
~$110,000 (market sell absorption)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone)
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Swing Trade Setup – Institutional Inflows Fuel Bulls🎭 BTC/USD – Money Heist Plan 🚀 (Swing + Scalping Strategy)
📊 BTC/USD Real-Time Market Data
Current Price: $111,156.01
24h Change: +$2,117.61 (+1.94%)
Day’s Range: $108,540.93 – $111,180.45
52-Week Range: $49,538.00 – $123,640.00
😰 Fear & Greed Index
Score: 49/100 → Neutral 😊
Trend: Shifted from “Fear” to “Neutral” in the last 24 hours.
🧠 Investor Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders: Cautious (63% worry about crypto safety).
Institutional Traders: Bullish (💵 $3.7B net inflows in August).
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Score
Policy Uncertainty: High (U.S. tariffs, Fed policy shifts).
Fed Rate Cut Probability: High (expected September cut).
Key Event: Non-Farm Payrolls (Sept 5; forecast 45K jobs).
Gold Rally: $3,508/oz (+30% YTD, strong hedging demand).
🐂 Market Outlook
Short-Term: Neutral → Slightly Bearish (September volatility ahead).
Long-Term: Bullish (Institutional inflows + macro liquidity).
Bull/Bear Score: 55% Bullish vs 45% Bearish.
🎯 Thief’s Trading Plan (Layered Entry Strategy)
I’m setting up multiple limit orders (“Thief Layers”) instead of going all-in — this spreads risk, builds better entries, and keeps flexibility.
Entry (Layered Buys):
$109,000 → $109,500 → $110,000 → $110,500
(Add more layers as per your own strategy)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
$107,500 (Adjust for your own risk appetite)
Target Zone (Profit Extraction):
$116,000 (Checkpoint before major resistance zone)
💡 Key Takeaways
BTC rebounded +1.94% but faces headwinds from whale profit-taking & policy risks.
Neutral sentiment (49/100) reflects a balanced investor mood.
Friday’s NFP jobs data could shape Fed rate expectations → big volatility catalyst.
🔍 Related Pairs to Watch
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD | COINBASE:SOLUSD | BITSTAMP:XRPUSD | BINANCE:BTCUSDT | CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #Scalping #TradingStrategy #LayeredEntries #CryptoCommunity
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Analysis BTC/USDT. Local Long Trend
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, bringing you the daily market review.
Yesterday, buyers dominated in Bitcoin, and by now the price has broken through the descending trendline. A sustainable long trend has not yet been established — the price retested the POC zone of the lower range. However, the buyer’s reaction was strong enough, which increases the probability of a move towards the selling zones.
It is important to note: even if the price rises further, this cannot yet be considered a completed reversal. From the resistance levels above, strong selling pressure may resume. If buyers fail to show sufficient strength, the market could update the current low.
Buy Zones:
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone)
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Daily on Lower Low Lower high again -till ?
This chart uses the SMA. Red - 50, Blue - 100, Green - 128 and 200 - Yellow
PA is absolutely in a descending channel with repeated Lower Low Lower high on a daily chart
Today, we will see if we break that or not as PA reaches resistance on a Trend line.
The 50 SMA is descending as potential resistance when the day comes were PA breaks out and reaches higher.
This will happen as I do not believe we are entering a Deep Bear..This is a Local "Cool off" but we may hit a tough one at that 50 SMA at around 113K
Till then, we are hitting the 100 as resistance and the 128 as support.
This may break today as we hit that line of resistance with the 128 SMA not far below.
The DAILY MACD offers some hope of strength as we see it bouncing off oversold
We will have to watch today close to see where we go
If we get rejected today, Next stop down could be the 200 SMA at around 103K low
This line needs to hold to show use confidence in the Bulls.
My line of concern will be reached if e go to 95K and fall through.
This daily chart below shows a number of things to support what is written above.
On this , we see the 2.618 Fib extension around the same area as the 200 day SMA @ 103900 usd
The circle highlights a point where a 236 Fib circle crosses over a rising line of support.
This is around 97K and just below this is another line of support around 95K
People that follow me will know that I often highlight 236 Fib circles as lines of strong resistance and on this occasion, this maybe Exactly why we see PA dropping now.
The intersection is near the end of September, a usually slow month that has a majority of RED Candle Closes on a month chart ( 9 red to 5 Green since 2013)
I am not saying we will get to this level but the potential does exist while we remain in a down trend....
I would hope that PA bounces off the Fib extension on that 200 SMA if we get near that 104K line.
On a longer term, we should take note of the WEEKLY MACD
Should this continue down the line drawn, that takes us to Late October before a bounce ur a more sustained push higher.
We should keep this in mind
I welcome any comments ( Sensible ones..)
Analytics: market outlook and forecasts
📈WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week was marked by an update of the local minimum again. However, the breakdown turned out to be uncertain and weak, accompanied by delta absorption.
We've rebuilt the global buying zone on the daily chart: now it's in the range of $108,000-$102,500. Until the price is fixed below these levels, the global trend can be considered upwards.
In the short term, bitcoin is still in a downward trend. It's extremely risky to open long positions before the breakdown of the inclined line. The seller's activity remains limited, but the buyer doesn't take the initiative either.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
The main scenario for the current week is the expansion of the range to collect liquidity in both directions.
The minimum is most likely not formed yet. For a more confident decline, the market needs more activity. This requires two conditions: an increase in open interest from the buyer and liquidity in the form of stop orders.
For now, it's better to refrain from trading the first cryptocurrency or, in anticipation of the resumption of the global long trend, consider grid spot strategies.
Buy Zones:
• $108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
• $112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone)
• $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone)
• ~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
• $117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:
• Tuesday, September 2, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for August;
• Tuesday, September 2, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (PMI) USA for August;
• Wednesday, September 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for July;
• Thursday, September 4, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector in August;
• Thursday, September 4, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States for August;
• Thursday, September 4, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the business activity index (PMI) in the US services sector for August;
• Thursday, September 4, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-manufacturing sector (ISM) USA for August;
• Friday, September 5, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States for August.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Bitcoin Breakout Watch: Key Levels Ahead...Bitcoin is consolidating in a tight range on the 1-hour timeframe and is showing strong momentum as it tests the $109,500 resistance zone. A decisive breakout and sustained close above this level could trigger a move toward the $112,000 mark, signaling bullish momentum building in the market.
Keep a close watch on volume confirmation for a stronger breakout signal. 📈
Bitcoin - Important scenario of what will happend soon!Did you know this cycle is almost identical to the 2020 cycle?
When I say identical, I don’t mean the exact percentage of price moves, but rather the price behavior and market structure.
If you look closely at the Bitcoin chart, you’ll notice that the current price action is very similar to what happened back in 2020 — and not only that, it’s happening in the same months as well.
There are so many strong similarities confirming this theory.
📌 So what’s the reason behind this?
-Both cycles are happening under Trump’s presidency.
-Same policies, same decisions, which lead to the same market behavior.
-The market is literally moving the same way it did during his first term.
- for example Bitcoin Dominance, didn’t reach the 66% level since 2020, and right after that it dropped to around 40%. The same setup could be repeating now... as it's expected to move up and retest the 60% level during Sep before going to 40% level
And here’s the shocking part 👇
If you check the SPX fractal between Feb 19, 2020 and 2025, you’ll see the exact same pattern — even on the same day! This can’t just be a coincidence. It’s part of a much bigger game being played on us.
Based on this, here’s what I expect:
The S&P 500 (SPX) could correct around 10% in September, dropping towards the 5800 level.
And of course, this will have a direct impact on the crypto market, likely causing it to drop in September.
So what should we expect?
September is likely to start with high volatility and downside pressure, with some altcoins potentially dumping over 30%.
After that, starting in October, we could be entering the real bull run, lasting until mid-2026.
Best Regards :
Ceciliones🎯
Bitcoin at Make-or-Break: Will BTC Fill the CME Gap?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) increased to $113,500 as I expected in my previous idea .
Do you think Bitcoin can fill the upper CME Gap($117,235-$113,800) !?
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($114,720-$113,580) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($115,000-$113,588) , Resistance lines , and Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin’s movement over the past 2 days has been in the form of corrective waves and has had low momentum . The corrective wave structure is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
From a Classic Technical Analysis perspective, Bitcoin appears to be completing a Rising Wedge pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to move towards Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($109,500-$108,000) after volatile movements over the next two days .
CME Gap: $112,870-$112,700
CME Gap: $112,155-$111,940
Stop Loss(SL): $115,510(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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A Question many people don't know the answer to.In this post we’ll answer a question many people don't know the answer to, and provide an in-depth explanation of why the crypto market is bound to a 4-year cycle.
🔸The answer:
-The market is tied to a key event — the Bitcoin Halving . This is when the block reward for mining Bitcoin is cut in half every 4 years. Mining is the lifeline that brings Bitcoin into circulation. Without it, there would be no supply entering the market.
But is this still effective now, given that most of Bitcoin’s supply is already mined?
The total supply of Bitcoin is fixed at 21 million, and so far, around 19.9 million have already been mined. That leaves only about 1.1 million Bitcoin still to be mined — scheduled, with halvings, until the year 2140.
I know what you’re thinking … Why does the halving still impact market behavior if the remaining supply is so small and its effect seems limited?
-History shows that after every halving, the market tends to rise for about a year and a half. This proves that investors wait for the halving to take place, monitor the network’s smooth performance during the event, and once they confirm no issues exist, they begin injecting liquidity into the market.
------------------------------------------
Is there a scenario where the 4-year cycle could change?
It’s difficult, but yes …
Why? Because since Bitcoin’s inception, its price cycle has been tied to the halving. This pattern has been consistent since 2011, across three full cycles, and now we are in the fourth.
However, the halving itself has become a symbol of trust and security for investors. Every successful halving event reinforces confidence in Bitcoin’s scarcity and strength. That’s why the 4-year rhythm will only change if another factor emerges strong enough to rival the influence of the halving.
Signs of such a new factor already appeared in 2025 — with the U.S. President’s support for Bitcoin and the growing trend of corporations and financial institutions purchasing it, alongside increased transparency in declaring holdings and reserves.
This shift is crucial. When supply moves from scattered hands (individuals) to stronger hands (corporations) , and holdings are publicly disclosed, it strengthens trust in the Bitcoin network and reduces the wild volatility that individuals once caused.
Conclusion : The 4-year cycle could evolve in the future, especially if supportive policies accelerate and corporations continue to accumulate Bitcoin in massive quantities starting from the next cycle.
Best regards
Cecilione🎯
BTC: Major RSI divergence - Next stop around $69K?Bitcoin is showing strong warning signals that the current bull run may be ending. On the weekly chart, we can clearly see a massive RSI bearish divergence, similar to what happened before previous cycle tops.
Today’s BTC options expiry added extra pressure, and with no quick resolution in sight for the Ukraine war, alongside worsening global economic conditions (trade wars, inflation, tightening liquidity), the macro environment does not favor sustained risk-on sentiment.
The chart highlights a likely correction path, with the next major support zone sitting around $64K–69K (previous resistance turned support). If this level breaks, further downside cannot be excluded.
For now, caution is advised – this may mark the end of the bull run and the start of a new accumulation phase.
BTCUSD Faces Mid-Band Rejection: Deeper Retracement incoming Price is showing rejection around the mid-range of its volatility bands after failing to sustain above the $112,800 zone, suggesting a potential continuation lower. The setup aligns with multiple bearish signals favoring downside momentum.
✅ Bearish Confluences:
Fibonacci Resistance: Price rejected just below the 38.2% retracement level at $114,619, failing to reclaim higher ground.
Lower High Structure: Market continues to print lower highs, reinforcing the short-term bearish trend.
Volatility Band Pressure: Rejection from the mid-band area highlights weakening buy-side momentum and strengthens the case for further downside.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $111,016 (38.2%): First support test within the lower range.
TP2 – $109,903 (61.8%): Deeper retracement target in line with bearish continuation.
TP3 – $108,102 (100%): Full measured move completion toward the lower volatility band.
SL: Placed above $114,620 to invalidate the short thesis in case of bullish breakout.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Testing a key low
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, a strong market seller emerged in Bitcoin, pushing the price lower. The local zone at ~$112,000 (abnormal cluster) provided only minimal reaction.
At the moment, we have already tested the local low. Now we need to wait for a buyer’s response. If strong activity appears, the main upside potential is towards $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone). If there is no reaction, the first downside target is around $107,000.
We have updated the global buying zone on the daily chart, now defined as $108,000–$102,500. As long as the price does not consolidate below this range, the broader trend can still be considered bullish.
Buy zones:
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes).
Sell zones:
$112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone),
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone),
~$116,500 (volume anomaly),
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes),
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption).
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Bitcoin – Next Buying Area in Focus📊 Zooming out to the daily chart, CRYPTO:BTCUSD is currently correcting against the April low, following the completion of that bullish cycle. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement near $105K stands out as a key technical zone where a higher low could form heading into September.
Structure remains intact, and patience here could unlock a cleaner entry with better risk-reward.
⚠️ Reminder: The daily buying zone spans a wide range from $105K to $97K—this isn’t a pinpoint level for random entries.
If you're a trader, you need a clear plan: defined entry levels, stop-loss, and exit strategy.
No guesswork. No chasing. Let price come to you and act with precision.
BITCOIN Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#BITCOIN made an epic
Bearish breakout of a very
Strong key horizontal level
Of 112340.5which is now a
Resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Bitcoin Daily update - will the 100SMA hold this time?
So, PA lost momentum and is falling abck to support on the 100 Daily SMA ( blue )
Last time we fell through the 100 we reached down to teh 128 Daily SMA ( green ) and found support
We need to watch closely and se if this happens again if the 100 fails
It is worth remembering that should the 128 fail, the 200 Daily SMA ( Yellow ) is down around 100K
After this, support lays around 94K
Bitcoin Reclaims Support Zone – Potential Move Toward $117KBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is rebounding from a key dynamic support zone within its descending channel, with price action now testing the mid-range of the EMA cloud structure. This bounce suggests potential short-term upside continuation if momentum holds.
✅ Bullish Confluences:
Fibonacci Retracement Support: Price respected the 38.2%–61.8% retracement zone between ~$111,330 and ~$110,218, confirming strong demand.
EMA Cloud Reclaim: Current price action is attempting to reclaim the EMA cluster, signaling improving bullish pressure.
Trend Structure: Short-term higher low forming after the recent sell-off, keeping the possibility of a reversal alive.
Candlestick Reaction: Strong rejection wicks from support levels indicate buyers stepping back in.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – ~$114,442 (38.2% retracement resistance).
TP2 – ~$115,555 (61.8% retracement / mid-supply zone).
TP3 – ~$117,356 (full retracement / key resistance).
🛡️ Stop-Loss: Just below $110,800 (61.8% support breakdown), invalidating the bullish scenario.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Continuation of the local uptrend
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, the market followed our scenario, continuing the local uptrend and breaking the previous high. At the moment, there are no strong signs of profit-taking that could trigger a reversal, nor major resistance zones nearby. The main expectation remains further growth towards the $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone), where a reversal pattern may start to form.
For intraday traders, the key level to watch is around $112,000. An abnormally high volume cluster was recorded there, which positioned buyers earlier. If the price dips into this zone and shows a reaction, a local long setup may be considered.
Buy zones:
~$112,000 (local zone, abnormal cluster),
$110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes).
Sell zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone),
~$116,500 (volume anomaly),
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes),
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption).
This publication does not constitute financial advice.