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BTC Bearish Signal. 1D Double-Top Break with RetestMy last post was about how I was hoping to catch the retest of the 1D Double Top bullish wave to 112.3K, well now that position is DONE! . It has hit my target TP. To continue, I have entered a Short at 112.1K with a Stop Loss at 113K , which is right above the short order block. I was able to enter at a good position this morning because i caught a 15m Reversal Candle with a declining volume during the push up. Not long after that, the 15m timeframe shows a Head and Shoulders Pattern with agreement with its volume. and lucky for me I entered at the head! In the hopes of having a TP at 106.9K (or even more!). This TP is based on the minimum objective of the Reverse Cup and Handle formation in 4H. In this position, the first challenge would be breaking the Support Line at around 109.5K , which is quite significant as it was touched a handful of times. When the price reaches 107K i will monitor the momentum to see if I should take the TP at 106.9K or extend my TP to 99.8K . Because right now there is a Double-Top minimum objective of 99.8K . I also did a Fibonacci Analysis that shows it actually might go lower than 99.8K. However, to me, it all depends on the price action then. I don't wanna be greedy and we can always set up new positions later on. Happy Trading!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by MrMoreLife
1
BTC/USDT Analysis. Buying Resumes Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with the daily market review. Yesterday, as expected, Bitcoin buying activity resumed. The price reached the resistance area around ~$112,000 (absorption of market buys) and showed an initial reaction. The seller’s response was relatively weak, so if the local high is broken, we may see a move towards the next supply zone at $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone). On the broader picture, demand remains weak, so a retest of the local low is still likely in the near term. For now, we remain out of positions and consider shorts from the next supply zone. Buy Zones: $110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes) Sell Zones: $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone) ~$116,500 (volume anomaly) $117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes) $121,200–$122,200 (absorption of buys) This publication does not constitute financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
BTC Professional Market Movement Analysis🏗️ How Market Moves Liquidity Grab at Support 🟢 Price dips into the 112K zone to collect liquidity (stop-hunts + institutional buys). Market shows wick rejections & volume absorption. This is where smart money positions for the next leg higher. Expansion Phase 🚀 After liquidity grab → market expands upward. Price pushes aggressively toward the 124K resistance. This movement is fueled by trapped sellers covering shorts + buyers entering late. Resistance Reaction 🔴 At 124K zone, market faces supply. Either: Rejects and falls back toward support (range continues). Breaks through → signals strong bullish continuation (trend shift). 📉 If Support Fails If BTC closes below 111K, it means liquidity is not enough. Market will seek the next major demand zone (100K) where bigger orders sit. This creates a stop-hunt + deeper accumulation before a new push higher. 🧠 Pro Definition Market does not move randomly — it moves from liquidity pool to liquidity pool. BTC is currently collecting orders at 112K support. Expect a bounce → expansion → test of 124K supply. If 112K fails, price will seek deeper liquidity near 100K before rebounding. ⚡ In simple terms: 👉 Market first hunts liquidity at support 🟢, 👉 then expands upward toward resistance 🔴, 👉 and finally decides — either reject back into the range or break higher for continuation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
2
Bitcoin - The magical $1.000.000 level!🚀Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is not done yet: 🔎Analysis summary: Over the course of the past couple of months, we have been witnessing a bullish continuation on Bitcoin. After the all time high breakout, there is a high chance that this bullrun will continue and Bitcoin might even retest the resistance trendline at seven digits in the near future. 📝Levels to watch: $1.000.000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
26
BTC/USD Eyes 50-Week EMA with Bearish MACD CrossoverSo, we just had a bearish cross on the MACD 1-Week chart. Looking at the long history of BTC price action, this has happened 15 times. In 12 instances, this resulted in a pullback to the 50-Week EMA. In 3 other instances, price was already at or below the EMA and experienced even deeper drawdowns. In the current cycle, this has already occurred 3 times. During the last cycle this happened 5 times, with the fourth crash marking the cycle top. Conclusion: 100% of such MACD crossovers resulted in significant pullbacks to or well below the 50-Week EMA. I hate to bear post, but charts are saying we dip to the 50-Week EMA in 1-5 weeks. Could be a good buying opportunity if price dips that low. I am new to TA, so always happy to learn your thoughts and criticisms. NFA. DYOR.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DeadCat25
1
Bitcoin Profits Hit 2-Month Low, How Are Investors Reacting?BINANCE:BTCUSDT current price is $111,653, falling through the $112,500 support level. This zone has held strong since early August, offering a key buffer against deeper losses. For now, price action shows consolidation rather than collapse. In the span of one week, BINANCE:BTCUSDT profits have declined sharply, hitting a two-month low. The price drop has pushed several addresses out of profit, reducing overall realized gains. Such drawdowns often follow overheated conditions, which may have marked a recent market top. Given the current sentiment and net accumulation, BINANCE:BTCUSDT could see a bounce to $115,000 . If buying pressure increases and macro support builds, BTC might stabilize above this resistance. Alternatively, it may continue to trade sideways between $112,500 and $115,000 until clarity returns. However, if accumulation slows and selling resumes, BINANCE:BTCUSDT may drop to $110,000. A move this low would mark a near two-month bottom and could expose BTC to increased downside risk.
by BeInCrypto
1
Bitcoin on Edge: Bearish Momentum Building Below $111,800🚨 Bitcoin Alert: Key Support Cracks! 🚨 Bitcoin has slipped below the crucial $111,800 support on the 4H chart, even as rate cut cues try to lift sentiment. 📉 If BTC closes another 4H candle under $111,800, this breakdown could gain momentum, eyeing the $105,000–$107,000 zone as the next major support area. ⚠️ Watch price action closely — failure to reclaim this level may accelerate the bearish move.
Short
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
Analytics: market outlook and forecasts 📈 WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, Bitcoin declined to a significant low of $112,000, where it formed a small false breakout. Amid news of a potential key rate cut in September, the price broke through the descending trendline. The first volume zone was passed without a reaction; however, in the $117,200-$119,000 zone (accumulated volumes), Bitcoin corrected and subsequently found no support until it formed a new low. The overall context is now shifting back to the bearish side. The key support zone of $110,000-$105,000 (accumulated volumes) has still not been tested, and its proximity makes this range a natural "magnet" for the price. At the same time, significant resistance levels based on volume have formed above the current price. 💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? The current market situation appears highly manipulative, and the lack of reaction in the mirror volume zone around ~$115,000 only reinforces this impression. We anticipate a test below the $110,000-$105,000 support zone. From this level, buyers will most likely resume their activity. Buy Zones: $110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes) Sell Zones: $114,400-$115,500 (volume zone) ~$116,500 (volume anomaly) $117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes) $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption) 📰 IMPORTANT DATES This week, we expect the following macroeconomic developments: • Monday, August 25th, 14:00 (UTC) — US New Home Sales for July. • Tuesday, August 26th, 14:00 (UTC) — US CB Consumer Confidence Index for August. • Thursday, August 28th, 12:30 (UTC) — US GDP for Q2 and US Initial Jobless Claims for August. • Friday, August 29th, 12:00 (UTC) — German Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August. • Friday, August 29th, 12:30 (UTC) — US Core PCE Price Index for July and the year-over-year comparison (July 2024). *This post is not financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Short
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin back at 112k: Bullish Illusion or Bearish Truth?1. What happened lately In my previous BTC analysis, I mentioned that as long as the 110k zone holds, the bullish structure technically remains intact. On Friday, Powell’s speech lifted the market precisely from that zone, as the possibility of rate cuts injected optimism across risk assets, including crypto. 2. The psychological trap But here’s the question I keep asking myself: is this genuine strength, or just wishful thinking? I’ve said it many times — trade what you see, not what you hope for . And what the charts are showing right now is not as promising as the initial bounce might suggest. 3. Technical signals - BTC quickly returned to the 112k support level, erasing the Friday rally. - Price remains under the trendline that started in April. - The bounce looks more like a retest of broken levels than a new impulsive leg. - Structurally, we can even identify a head and shoulders pattern with the neckline around the 110k zone, although not perfectly shaped. 4. Reading between the lines It’s hard for me to believe that Bitcoin came back to the same support just to give latecomers another easy buying opportunity. More likely, the “rate cut euphoria” was dead cat bounce, and the market is telling us something different than the headlines. 5. Conclusion At this moment, I remain neutral in my positioning but leaning bearish in my outlook. Optimism is tempting, but discipline requires us to trust the charts, not our hopes. And... if it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, and quacks like a duck… it’s probably a duck. 🦆
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
7
BTC: Trend or Trap? A Deep Dive AnalysisDisclaimer: In the past, my analyses have frequently deviated due to the erratic movements of BTC whales. Therefore, I advise you to read this study not as investment advice, but purely as a technical explanation. With growing institutional interest in BTC (ETFs, corporate investments, etc.), I hope it will gain more stable potential. For this reason, I expect it to exhibit fewer "erratic" movements and become more predictable compared to the past. However, the manipulative strategies of large investors, whom we call "whales," have always been devastating for retail investors. Still, money talks, and we can't predict how whales will move. When taking a position, if you are not a large investor, I recommend you never forget that you are a small fish. With the hope of long-term stability supported by ETFs and institutional investors, we can begin to examine BTC using classic technical tools. When we look at the monthly timeframe over a wide period, a typical Elliott Wave structure stands out: In compliance with all impulse rules, I believe BTC is about to complete the 5th wave. But when we look at the momentum oscillators, do they confirm this 5th wave? Looking at the RSI value, while the price makes a new high, the RSI has formed a lower high. This indicates a bearish divergence. If we were to check for a signal of a trend reversal or a decrease in wallet data: Neither the wallet data nor the transaction volumes show an outlook that supports the chart's positive sentiment. Based solely on this data, it's plausible to say that a downtrend might begin. I recommend that instead of immediately interpreting upward breaks at these levels as a "bull trend," you should first confirm whether it's a fakeout. Volume and money flow indicators are signaling a clear lack of interest, consolidation, and energy accumulation. This environment provides a very suitable ground for a potential climactic volume. The longer the consolidation and low volume, the more violent the subsequent move can be. Here too, the negative divergence is clearly visible. In summary: Although the market appears strong and healthy from the outside, it is exhibiting an uptrend that is running out of energy from the inside. The record-breaking prices are creating a dissonant picture with the decreasing money flow and weakening volume momentum. This increases the probability that the trend is not sustainable and may soon experience exhaustion, a correction, or a reversal. The ADX shows that the trend still maintains its strength. The Aroon indicator signals that buyers remain strong while sellers continue to weaken. When we include the Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channel, an interesting picture emerges: Price-Volume-Momentum indicators → signal risk. ADX, Aroon, Bollinger, and Keltner → suggest the trend remains strong. As I said at the beginning, BTC has always had its "erratic" movements. We can interpret this contradiction as the schizophrenic behavior of an "anarchist" asset. In short, in my opinion, the trend is not strong; on the contrary, it is weakening, and the chart does not fully reflect reality. However, we cannot say that the trend is completely over either. In a trend that seems to be forcing its way up, avoiding FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) would be the wisest strategy. Strategy and Risk Management If you open a short position, you risk getting caught in a climactic volume, which is highly risky. If you open a long position, you might find yourself falling off a cliff on the back of the trend after the final surges. Therefore, what will protect you more than my or any other analyst's comments are your own stop-loss and take-profit strategies. If the price moves upward contrary to my expectation, your loss would actually be "a profit you never had." However, if you remain in a trend that is about to fall, you are risking your existing capital. That is the real danger. Always act based on your own observations; do not invest based on rumors. Proceed by taking minimum risk. A potential M-Top (Double Top) formation is visible, nearing completion within the Bollinger and Keltner channels. The steps of the candle spikes on the band ("walking the bands") are clearly evident. You can confirm whether the M-Top will complete—and whether it is truly an M-Top—with a monthly close below the current candle's low. If the closes extend down to the Bollinger Band (BB) midline, the possibility of the uptrend reaching figures like 160k–200k–300k would be eliminated, at least for this season. For those willing to take risks: It might be logical to determine a position at levels where the BB midline acts as support during the corrective moves that follow this close. In a continued decline, the loss would be minimal. In a newly emerging trend, maximum profit could be captured. Indicators can be misleading when prices are at their peak. That's why I tried to interpret the indicators on the monthly period, as it is less prone to manipulation. In terms of chart and candle patterns, my first impression on the monthly chart is these two candles, which I believe will form an Evening Star formation. Before pointing to this formation, I want to draw attention to the harmonic pattern that the candle I suspect will form the Evening Star is drawing on the weekly timeframe. If we assume that the yet-to-be-completed D-leg of the weekly harmonic pattern (which is forming within the monthly Evening Star) will find support at the Fibonacci 1.27 - 1.24 levels, in alignment with past accumulation zones, we can expect a chart like this to emerge in the coming weeks: This means we could expect a resistance test between 132K and 127K on the retest of the harmonic pattern. If the simulation I've tried to draw materializes in line with technical measurements, the monthly Evening Star candle formation will also have been completed, thanks to the fractal harmonic pattern. This would provide a confirmation that we can combine with many other patterns like the hanging man, double top, bull trap, etc. Literally, this formation is expected to cause a decline. In that case, it could be a formational confirmation that substantiates the explanations we mentioned in the indicators section, such as climactic volume and fakeouts. Of course, what I have said are inferences based on existing structures that have not yet occurred. This is a simulation graphic. I am trying to catch nascent formations to provide a perspective on potential future scenarios. As we continue to simulate formations on the monthly period, another harmonic pattern, consistent with our previous measurements and analysis, can give us an idea about old supply zones. The harmonic pattern above is the main pattern that encompasses the Evening Star and double top formations. In a way that supports the signals from indicators and oscillators, it can inform us about the support zones where prices might retreat. Looking back, we can also see chart formations that literally told us the levels today's prices might reach. When we depict the all-time price movements within a Fibonacci channel on the weekly timeframe, the all-time accumulation zones become apparent. Based on this channel data, we can predict that a potential retest could occur slightly below the 90K levels. If, contrary to our expectations, prices form a new upward trend, I believe a new trend channel will form after the 140K levels by following this channel. Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
by FutureAlchemist
Period of ETH outperformance vs BTC is almost overWe got a clean five wave up structure that topped with a bang in April 25 This is from when ETH has been outperforming BTC nicely. We can see a very clean corrective three wave decline labelled as A down, B up, C down The ratio BTC vs ETH is approaching my Target 2. What that chart tells us is that most likely the period of ETF outperformance against BTC is almost over. That does not necessarily means that BTC should start a big rally. It is possible that both, BTC and ETH would decline. But that chart suggests that BTC would hold better in that case.
by CastAwayTrader
BTCUSD LongBitcoin: Small Bull Flag After Structural Shift – Upside Targets Ahead After last Friday’s bullish surge following Powell’s speech, Bitcoin has shifted structure and is currently consolidating in a small bullish flag. This pullback appears to be a healthy retracement of the previous impulsive move, setting the stage for another potential leg higher. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Retracement Zone: $45,100 – a potential area to seek new long positions if price dips. Upside Targets: Looking for a move first toward $117 (likely referring to $117K if BTC breaks ATHs), with an extended upside potential to $123K–$124K. Macro Tailwinds: The broader crypto market remains constructive. Expectations of interest rate cuts are fueling risk-on sentiment, which could further enhance upside momentum in crypto assets. Any confirmed dovish pivot or macro easing could accelerate flows into Bitcoin and the wider crypto space. Trading Plan: Watch for continuation patterns breaking to the upside, confirming the bull flag resolution. Manage risk around invalidation zones below recent swing lows.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by IndependentTradingUniversity