Bitcoin BTC Trend Shift: Watching for a Break (BoS) Confirmation🚀 Bitcoin (BTC) Update 🚀
Bitcoin has made a bullish move 🟢📈, showing a clear structural shift to the upside 🔄 on the 4H chart ⏰. My bias remains bullish ✅, but with a degree of caution ⚠️.
What I want to see next is a decisive break above the previous swing high 📍📊 — this would confirm a true break of structure (BOS) 🔓 versus the current stage, which is only a structural shift 🔄.
⚠️ This analysis is educational only and not financial advice. 📚
Bitcoinpriceprediction
Bitcoin Price History Says BTC Needs To Crash 8% To Form New ATHAt the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $112,221, holding firm above the $110,000 support. This resilience reinforces the four-month uptrend line and signals potential short-term gains. The momentum is intact, with BTC eyeing higher levels.
If sustained, Bitcoin could climb past $112,500 and head toward $115,000. Yet to reach a new ATH, history suggests BTC might need to drop to $101,634 first, setting the stage for a stronger breakout.
On the flip side, if profit-taking escalates, BTC could slip toward the retracement level sooner. But should fear-driven selling dominate, the price risks falling below $100,000, which would invalidate the bullish outlook and extend the correction phase.
Bitcoin Targets $116K or $104K Post-CPIMy main bias is to the upside, expecting more upward movement, contingent on holding $104,770. The upcoming CPI data is the key catalyst. On the 4-hour chart, a break above $111,721 targets $116,722, while a break below $109,464 targets the key support zone at $104,777.
History Suggests Bitcoin Price Is Fated To ConsolidateBitcoin crossing the $112,500 resistance is encouraging, providing a path toward $115,000. This level is crucial for attracting new capital inflows, which would validate the recovery and increase the likelihood of sustained upward momentum.
However, historical patterns suggest consolidation remains likely. Bitcoin may settle under $115,000 or slip below $112,500, with sideways price action dominating the short term as the market absorbs recent volatility.
If profit-taking accelerates, Bitcoin could face sharper declines. A drop back to $110,000, or even a loss of this support, would weaken sentiment and invalidate the bullish thesis, leaving BTC vulnerable to extended consolidation or further downside.
Analytics: market outlook and forecasts
📈WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week was marked by an update of the local minimum again. However, the breakdown turned out to be uncertain and weak, accompanied by delta absorption.
We've rebuilt the global buying zone on the daily chart: now it's in the range of $108,000-$102,500. Until the price is fixed below these levels, the global trend can be considered upwards.
In the short term, bitcoin is still in a downward trend. It's extremely risky to open long positions before the breakdown of the inclined line. The seller's activity remains limited, but the buyer doesn't take the initiative either.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
The main scenario for the current week is the expansion of the range to collect liquidity in both directions.
The minimum is most likely not formed yet. For a more confident decline, the market needs more activity. This requires two conditions: an increase in open interest from the buyer and liquidity in the form of stop orders.
For now, it's better to refrain from trading the first cryptocurrency or, in anticipation of the resumption of the global long trend, consider grid spot strategies.
Buy Zones:
• $108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
• $112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone)
• $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone)
• ~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
• $117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:
• Tuesday, September 2, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for August;
• Tuesday, September 2, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (PMI) USA for August;
• Wednesday, September 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for July;
• Thursday, September 4, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector in August;
• Thursday, September 4, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States for August;
• Thursday, September 4, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the business activity index (PMI) in the US services sector for August;
• Thursday, September 4, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-manufacturing sector (ISM) USA for August;
• Friday, September 5, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States for August.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTCUSD Faces Mid-Band Rejection: Deeper Retracement incoming Price is showing rejection around the mid-range of its volatility bands after failing to sustain above the $112,800 zone, suggesting a potential continuation lower. The setup aligns with multiple bearish signals favoring downside momentum.
✅ Bearish Confluences:
Fibonacci Resistance: Price rejected just below the 38.2% retracement level at $114,619, failing to reclaim higher ground.
Lower High Structure: Market continues to print lower highs, reinforcing the short-term bearish trend.
Volatility Band Pressure: Rejection from the mid-band area highlights weakening buy-side momentum and strengthens the case for further downside.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $111,016 (38.2%): First support test within the lower range.
TP2 – $109,903 (61.8%): Deeper retracement target in line with bearish continuation.
TP3 – $108,102 (100%): Full measured move completion toward the lower volatility band.
SL: Placed above $114,620 to invalidate the short thesis in case of bullish breakout.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Testing a key low
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, a strong market seller emerged in Bitcoin, pushing the price lower. The local zone at ~$112,000 (abnormal cluster) provided only minimal reaction.
At the moment, we have already tested the local low. Now we need to wait for a buyer’s response. If strong activity appears, the main upside potential is towards $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone). If there is no reaction, the first downside target is around $107,000.
We have updated the global buying zone on the daily chart, now defined as $108,000–$102,500. As long as the price does not consolidate below this range, the broader trend can still be considered bullish.
Buy zones:
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes).
Sell zones:
$112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone),
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone),
~$116,500 (volume anomaly),
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes),
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption).
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
How Potentially Manipulated NFP Data Could Affect BTC's PricBitcoin rallied last Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's prepped the market for an interest rate cut in September.
However, these gains have faded, with Bitcoin back to where it started last Friday; around $112,000.
The market's focus is now shifting to the upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, scheduled for release next week, which could greatly influence interest rates expectations.
Strong job data may reduce the likelihood of a September rate cut.
And with an Orwellian portrait of Trump now hanging from the Department of Labor Building, and his administration potentially pressuring the Bureau of Labor Statistics to inflate job numbers, this scenario is becoming a real possibility. If this happens, we could expect price action to test the lower Fibonacci retracement levels, such as the 141.4% at around $109,900 or further at $108,700.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Continuation of the local uptrend
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, the market followed our scenario, continuing the local uptrend and breaking the previous high. At the moment, there are no strong signs of profit-taking that could trigger a reversal, nor major resistance zones nearby. The main expectation remains further growth towards the $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone), where a reversal pattern may start to form.
For intraday traders, the key level to watch is around $112,000. An abnormally high volume cluster was recorded there, which positioned buyers earlier. If the price dips into this zone and shows a reaction, a local long setup may be considered.
Buy zones:
~$112,000 (local zone, abnormal cluster),
$110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes).
Sell zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone),
~$116,500 (volume anomaly),
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes),
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption).
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Buying Resumes
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with the daily market review.
Yesterday, as expected, Bitcoin buying activity resumed. The price reached the resistance area around ~$112,000 (absorption of market buys) and showed an initial reaction. The seller’s response was relatively weak, so if the local high is broken, we may see a move towards the next supply zone at $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone).
On the broader picture, demand remains weak, so a retest of the local low is still likely in the near term. For now, we remain out of positions and consider shorts from the next supply zone.
Buy Zones:
$110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (absorption of buys)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Bitcoin - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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Bitcoin Profits Hit 2-Month Low, How Are Investors Reacting?BINANCE:BTCUSDT current price is $111,653, falling through the $112,500 support level. This zone has held strong since early August, offering a key buffer against deeper losses. For now, price action shows consolidation rather than collapse.
In the span of one week, BINANCE:BTCUSDT profits have declined sharply, hitting a two-month low. The price drop has pushed several addresses out of profit, reducing overall realized gains. Such drawdowns often follow overheated conditions, which may have marked a recent market top.
Given the current sentiment and net accumulation, BINANCE:BTCUSDT could see a bounce to $115,000 . If buying pressure increases and macro support builds, BTC might stabilize above this resistance. Alternatively, it may continue to trade sideways between $112,500 and $115,000 until clarity returns.
However, if accumulation slows and selling resumes, BINANCE:BTCUSDT may drop to $110,000. A move this low would mark a near two-month bottom and could expose BTC to increased downside risk.
Analytics: market outlook and forecasts
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, Bitcoin declined to a significant low of $112,000, where it formed a small false breakout.
Amid news of a potential key rate cut in September, the price broke through the descending trendline. The first volume zone was passed without a reaction; however, in the $117,200-$119,000 zone (accumulated volumes), Bitcoin corrected and subsequently found no support until it formed a new low.
The overall context is now shifting back to the bearish side. The key support zone of $110,000-$105,000 (accumulated volumes) has still not been tested, and its proximity makes this range a natural "magnet" for the price. At the same time, significant resistance levels based on volume have formed above the current price.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
The current market situation appears highly manipulative, and the lack of reaction in the mirror volume zone around ~$115,000 only reinforces this impression.
We anticipate a test below the $110,000-$105,000 support zone. From this level, buyers will most likely resume their activity.
Buy Zones:
$110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,400-$115,500 (volume zone)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
This week, we expect the following macroeconomic developments:
• Monday, August 25th, 14:00 (UTC) — US New Home Sales for July.
• Tuesday, August 26th, 14:00 (UTC) — US CB Consumer Confidence Index for August.
• Thursday, August 28th, 12:30 (UTC) — US GDP for Q2 and US Initial Jobless Claims for August.
• Friday, August 29th, 12:00 (UTC) — German Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August.
• Friday, August 29th, 12:30 (UTC) — US Core PCE Price Index for July and the year-over-year comparison (July 2024).
*This post is not financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BITCOIN BTC PRICE ANALYSIS AND NEXT EXPECTED MOVES!!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update & Next Possible Trade Ideas!!
• Right Now For Short term i am expecting sideway movement in CRYPTOCAP:BTC Price. (Overall No Trade Zone Area)
REASON:
Volume is Low, LTF's Structure look Bullish & HTF's Structure is Bearish... I think we will stuck in a trap🚨
• But after consolidation if price manage to hold 114600$ then we will look for long setup OR It's Price Drop B/w 111500$ to 110000$ zone then we will also look for quick long scalp🫡
• Trade ideas that i marked on a chart are also for quick scalp.
• Let's see how Price react in comming days🫠
Warning : That's just my analysis DYOR Before Taking any action🚨🚨
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Indicators Suggest $127,000 TargetAt the time of writing, BINANCE:BTCUSDT trades at $115,061, holding firmly above the $115,000 support. The models suggest that selling by STHs will remain limited until BTC approaches $127,000, which sits above the previous all-time high of $124,474 and marks the next major profit-taking level.
For BINANCE:BTCUSDT to reach this target, broader market support will be necessary. Geopolitical tensions remain a drag on sentiment, but renewed investor confidence could aid momentum. Reclaiming $117,261 as support and pushing to $120,000 would set the stage for a potential new all-time high in the near term.
If conditions worsen, BINANCE:BTCUSDT risks losing $115,000 support, with a possible decline to $112,526 or lower. Such a move would invalidate the bullish thesis and highlight the vulnerability of BTC to external pressures, reinforcing caution among traders while the market reassesses its trajectory.
Bitcoin Key Holders Turn Neutral Ahead Of Volatility ExplosionBINANCE:BTCUSDT price had shown an upward trend throughout the month, but this momentum faltered in the last 24 hours, with BTC falling to $117,305 . This decline occurred as the price slipped below the established uptrend line, signaling a shift in market sentiment.
If investors maintain their positions during the expected volatility surge, BINANCE:BTCUSDT could stabilize above $117,000. This would open the door for a potential push toward $120,000, turning it into support and allowing further upside movement.
However, if investor sentiment turns bearish and selling increases in response to volatility, BINANCE:BTCUSDT could face a significant drop . In this case, the price may fall through the $115,000 support level, potentially reaching as low as $112,526 . This would wipe out the gains seen in August, invalidating the bullish outlook.
Why are Whales Moving Bitcoin to Binance? Weekly Whale WatchBINANCE:BTCUSDT price is currently trading at $116,830 after slipping below the key $120,000 level. The price fell from the recent ATH of $124,474 , showing some volatility. Despite this decline, Bitcoin is maintaining support above $119,000, suggesting that the recent dip could be a short-term correction.
In the past 24 hours, Binance has seen a massive increase in BINANCE:BTCUSDT deposits, with 6,060 BTC, worth approximately $722 million , added to the exchange’s balance. This surge primarily comes from whales
Given the mixed market sentiment, BINANCE:BTCUSDT could potentially reclaim $120,000 as a solid support level. If the bulls manage to maintain this level, Bitcoin might be able to recover from the recent dip and push towards $122,000.
However, if selling pressure intensifies, BINANCE:BTCUSDT price may fall through the $117,261 support level . A deeper drop could take the price to $115,000 or lower, which would invalidate the bullish outlook and indicate further market weakness.