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Bitcoin Near $125K Resistance — Is the Rally Over?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) increased to $120,000 after breaking resistances , as I expected in my previous idea . Bitcoin has already managed to break the Resistance zone($121,000-$119,000) and is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin is completing the 5th major impulse wave . In my opinion, this is the last bullish wave of Bitcoin, and after that we should wait for the main correction of Bitcoin . Do you agree with me that it is time to run and take profit!? To get a better view of the main waves , I suggest you look at the idea below . Also, since Bitcoin is correlated with the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) and since I also foresee the possibility of a correction in the S&P500 Index, it is also possible to expect a decrease in the price of Bitcoin based on the S&P500 Index analysis . I expect Bitcoin to start declining after entering the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($125,000-$122,580) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and at least fill the CME Gap($119,100-$117,425) . Note: There are heavy sell orders around $125,000. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $120,866-$119,442 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,743-$115,452 What is your opinion on Bitcoin and its trend? Can it see $130,000, or will a main correction begin? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
45
BITCOIN Can it break above this 3-year Resistance and hit $200k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its main 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) fueled rebound, which only recently confirmed the continuation with a short-term bounce on the 1D MA50. The short-term setting is transferred now back to the long-term and the next Resistance, which is the middle (0.5 Fibonacci level) of the macro Channel Up, that has been dominating BTC's price action since late 2017. The 0.5 Fib has made its last rejection/ failed attempt to break on December 16 2024. It's been holding as a Resistance since May 02 2022. The last two Cycle Tops however haven't only been priced above the 0.5 Fib but above the 0.786 level too (obviously as close to the Channel Top as possible). As a result, if BTC does break above the 0.5 level, a 'mere' test of the immediate upper Fib (the 0.618) could be translated by the end of the year (timing of Cycle Top) to a $200k test. That would also be a test of the Top of the 1st SD above (red Zone) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMBs), which is technically still within high tolerance levels. So do you think we can get near $200k by the end of the year if the 0.5 Fib breaks? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
BITCOIN Can $160k be the Top???Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last week on strong bullish fashion as it completed a formidable green 1W candle following a technical bounce on its 1D MA50 (red trend-line). This is a strong bullish signal as every time the (orange) Fibonacci Channel rebounded on its 1D MA50 after a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce, BTC extended the uptrend towards a new technical Higher High. Based on the 1W LMACD, we could be roughly half-way (blue circle) through such a Bullish Leg. As you can see, those Bullish Legs have typically made rounded Tops (red Arcs), with the last two both breaking above the Fib Channel's 0.236 level. At the same time, on the horizontal Fib level, the sequence has applied significant importance to every .618 and .0 interval, with peaks on the 0.618, 1.0, 1.618, 2.0, 2.618. Now what's left realistically before the end of the Cycle at the end of the year are 3.0 and 3.618. As a result, a rather modest potential Top projection is $160000, which is even conveniently placed just below the 0.236 Channel Fib from late October onwards. Do you think that could be a potential Cycle Top candidate? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BITCOIN Bounced on its 1D MA50. Bull Flag breaking soon?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a beautiful technical rebound on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), testing and holding it on 3 separate 1D candles. This has caused a short-term rebound so far, taking the price to the top of the Channel Down. As we mentioned on previous analysis, if BTC breaks above that Channel, it will be technically confirmed as a Bull Flag, similar to the May 20 - June 20 pattern. Interestingly enough, that one was confirmed by a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, a formation that the MACD is about to make again. However it is not conclusive as 1 out of the last 3 such sequences was false. In any case, if the break-out does take place, we are ahead of potentially two targets. Short-term $140000, which would be a +25.45% Bullish Leg, such as the one that led to the current Flag and medium-term $148000, which is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Which Target do you think we'll hit, if any? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
Bitcoin Consolidates Below VWAP Amid Structural UncertaintyFenzoFx—Bitcoin’s downtrend eased near the bullish order block but hasn’t entered the zone. It’s currently consolidating around $114,360.0, below the July 14 VWAP. No clear break of structure has occurred, making long positions risky. Key support lies at $110,650.0, backed by high volume. Technically, price is expected to enter this zone. If it does, traders should watch for a break of structure on lower time frames like M15. This setup offers a minimum 1:7 risk-to-reward. If BTC closes below the main support, bearish momentum may continue toward the next order block at $110,120.0.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FenzoFxBroker
White House Crypto Report Incoming: Will BTC Pump from Support? One of the important news for Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) that was released today was that " White House confirms first Bitcoin and crypto report will be released TOMORROW ". Bitcoin is likely to rise with the release of the White House report . What do you think? At least a temporary pump may be in store for Bitcoin. Bitcoin fell to the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and filled the New CME Gap( $119,500-$118,295) as I expected in the previous idea . Bitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($116,828-$115,710) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . I expect Bitcoin to rise from the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) to at least $118,680(First Taregt) . Second target: Upper line of the descending channel Note: Stop Loss: $114,680 = Worst Stop Loss(SL) CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $118,827-$118,298 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $120,144-$119,200 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
19
BITCOIN One last rally left in the tank?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a non-stop rally following the April 07 2025 rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Being inside a 3-year Channel Up since the November 2022 market bottom, that was the second time it rebounded on the 0.236 Channel Fibonacci level. The previous one was during the last Bullish Leg, which was a +106.37% rise, absolutely symmetrical with the Channel's first such Leg in late 2022 - most of 2023. If the September 2024 (Higher Low) on the 1W MA50 was the start however of a greater expansion Leg similar to late 2023 - early 2024, which delivered a +197.23% rise, we can claim that by October we may see it peaking at around $155500. That seems to agree with the majority of Cycle Top models we have come up after many analyses. Do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
BITCOIN Is this just a giant Bull Flag?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is basically on its first strong pull-back since the July 14 All Time High (ATH), as it is the 3rd straight red day going from roughly $120300 to below $115000 as of this moment. Technically this Channel Down pull-back looks like a Bull Flag to the uptrend that started following the June 22 Low. The 1D RSI pattern is similar to the May 22 - 30 fractal, which was also a correction that started after a Channel Up and initially hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), only to rebound a settle for a last dip lower closer to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). If the 1D MA50 fails to contain the current correction, we may again be faced with a slightly more prolonged pull-back, which may be translated into an Accumulation Phase that could eventually lead to prices above $130000 by September. Do you think that will be the case or we will see an instant rebound? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
Bitcoin: The Key Buying Level Near $112K Liquidity ZoneFenzoFx—Bitcoin consolidation extended into the bullish FVG, trading near $115,470.0. The 4-hour chart shows an indecisive candle, while the 200-day MA points upward, signaling bullish control. The bullish outlook remains intact if price holds above the critical $112,000.0 support. However, current bearish momentum may drag price toward this level, potentially filling nearby FVGs. Traders should monitor $112,000.0 for bullish setups, including break of structure and long-wick bullish candles.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FenzoFxBroker
BITCOIN Should we start thinking about the next Bear Cycle yet?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had extremely symmetric (time-wise) Cycles in the past +10 years and this is a subject we've analyzed extensively many times. We've spent the last months projecting potential Targets for each stage of the bull run and only the last few are left. This is exactly why we thought today's chart would be very fitting. The current Bull Cycle isn't over yet but also, based on the 4-year Cycle Theory, isn't far of either. By October 2025, that model suggests that all profit should have been taken. As you can see, we are in the green zone, the Bull Cycle's Final Phase and since this Cycle has been trading entirely within the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci Channel range, by October the price shouldn't be much higher than $160k. In any event, this is a good guide, presented to you in a good time, to keep your mindset inside a long-term perspective and prepare you for not only the upcoming Top but also the next (1 year) Bear Cycle, which could again push the price below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which would be a solid level for long-term buy positions again. So do you think the Top is closer than it looks? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
12
BITCOIN Former Resistance turned Support!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is consolidating right above the December 17 2024 Pivot trend-line, a level that started off as a massive Resistance delivering two strong rejections but has now been turned into Support, holding this consolidation. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) will soon cross this Pivot trend-line and will confirm it as a Support with the price technically looking for a new Bullish Leg towards the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at least ($138000), similar to the April - May uptrend, which also consisted of an Accumulation Phase much like the current. Can the Pivot trend-line provide the necessary support for such a rebound? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
BITCOIN Isn't even overbought yet!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been rising strongly within a structured Channel Up pattern but even this consistent and steady uptrend since the April 07 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) hasn't been enough to touch the Pi Cycle's overbought trend-line (red). Throughout BTC's historic Cycles, all Tops have been priced after the overbought level was breached, which currently sits around $180000 (and rising). Given that the 4-year Cycle Theory won't change, even a repeat of the 'weaker' +136.49% last rally of the previous Cycle (Jun-Nov 2021), would take us to $180k exactly but still will be below the overbought trend-line. This just shows the immense upside potential of the market even at the current stages. So do you think we will get that kind of rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BITCOIN Accumulation Phase almost completed. Higher from here?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is making a strong rebound on the bottom of its 1-month Channel Up and this analysis is in direct response to the one we published last week (July 15, see chart below), where we called this one-week consolidation: We won't be going into too much detail then, as you can see the price made the Accumulation 2 Phase, after an identical +25.9% Bullish Leg, same as April's and by breaking below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), it hit the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. As per the May 05 fractal hit, as long as the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) supports this Channel Up, the market should start Bullish Leg 3 towards Accumulation Phase 3 and eventually peak at around +43% from its start at $140000. Do you think the pattern will continue to be repeated in the exact same order? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
7
Bitcoin- 175-200k by year's endEvery major Bitcoin move over the last decade — whether a jaw-dropping bull run or a brutal crash — has shared one silent macro trigger. It’s not the halving. It’s not ETF hype. It’s not Twitter sentiment or TikTok FOMO. 👉 It’s global liquidity. And right now, this powerful force is expanding fast — the same setup that previously drove Bitcoin from $5K to $70K in under a year. But here’s the twist: as of today, Bitcoin is already trading near $120,000, not $20K or 30k. That means the engine is already roaring — and if this macro thesis holds, the next stop might just be $175,000-200.000 by year's end. ________________________________________ 🧠 What Is Global Liquidity, Really? Global liquidity = the total money sloshing around the financial system. It’s often measured through M2 money supply, combining: • Cash • Checking/savings deposits • Easily accessible liquid assets The most comprehensive view comes from Global M2, which aggregates liquidity from 20 of the world’s largest central banks. Right now, Global M2 is not just rising — it’s breaking to all-time highs. And if history repeats itself, Bitcoin tends to follow this wave closely. ________________________________________ 📅 Past Performance: Bitcoin and Liquidity Walk Hand in Hand Let’s break it down: • 2016–2017: Liquidity surges → BTC +5,000% • 2020–2021: Post-COVID easing → BTC $5K to $69K • 2018 & 2022: Liquidity dries up → BTC crashes ~70% It’s a recurring pattern: Liquidity drives the crypto cycle. ________________________________________ 💡 Why Liquidity Moves: Interest Rates and Central Banks Central banks control the tap. • 🟢 Cut rates → Easier credit → More lending → More liquidity • 🔴 Raise rates → Tighter credit → Less spending → Liquidity contraction In 2022, the Fed tightened hard. 🧊 U.S. money supply shrank. 📉 Bitcoin fell from $70K to $15K. But starting August 2023, the Fed paused, then pivoted. Since then: • 🟢 The U.S. M2 supply rebounded • 🟢 Global M2 began expanding again • 🟢 Over 64 global rate cuts were made in just six months — one of the fastest global easing cycles in history The last time we saw this much cutting? 2020. And we all know what happened to Bitcoin then. U.S M2 ________________________________________ 🟢 Today’s Setup: The Engine Is Already Running Fast forward to mid-July 2025: Bitcoin is no longer at $30K — it’s already testing $120K. Intraday highs have touched $123K, with a current consolidation zone between $117K–$120K. This isn’t a "recovery rally" — we’re already in price discovery territory. The question now becomes: Is $150K and above next… or are we topping out? ________________________________________ 📈 Charting the Path: Bitcoin vs Global M2 When we overlay Bitcoin price over global liquidity trends, one thing becomes crystal clear: 📊 Bitcoin tracks liquidity direction. • When money supply expands, Bitcoin rallies. • When money dries up, Bitcoin tanks. Given that global M2 is at record highs, and liquidity conditions are easing globally, the chart suggests there’s still plenty of fuel in the tank. And if we follow the same growth, Bitcoin could realistically reach $175,000 before 2026 kicks in. ________________________________________ Technically: As we can clearly see from the posted weekly chart, you don’t need to be an expert to recognize the strength of the current uptrend. While last week printed a small bearish Pin Bar, this alone shouldn’t raise major concerns — especially considering the presence of multiple key support levels, starting from the 110K zone. In the context of a strong and well-established trend, such candles often reflect normal short-term profit-taking, not a reversal. 🎯 Conclusion – Don’t Fight the Tide This isn’t about hopium. It’s not moon talk. It’s about macro flows and monetary velocity. Ignore the noise. Watch what the central banks are doing. Because Bitcoin moves not on wishful thinking, but on waves of liquidity — and the tide right now is rising fast. Whether $175K comes by year-end, one thing is clear: We are in the middle of a liquidity-driven expansion phase, and Bitcoin is already responding. Stay focused, manage your risk, and don’t chase — ride the wave. 🌊
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
9
BITCOIN Entering Cyclical Profit Zone. Risk should be limited.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just entered the first level of the Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC) Resistance Zone, which is the light pink band. The Top of the previous Cycle was priced at the top of the band just above this. In fact every BTC Cycle had this as the 'Profit taking Zone'. The market marginally touched that also within December 2024 - January 2025 but got rejected, almost in similar fashion as January 2021, which was a Double Top approach of the peak formation during the previous Cycle. This Cycle Top is expected to be within October - November 2025, so we call this the 'Profit Taking Zone' for a reason. Risk exposure from now on should be getting more and more limited. Peak range (depending of the nature of aggression of potential Rate Cuts in September) could be anywhere within $140 - 200k. Do you think this is the time to start limiting BTC exposure, perhaps moving some of the huge profits to alts? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
16
BITCOIN Should we still trust the Stock to Flow model??It sure worked perfectly during Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) first Cycles, but the Stock-to-Flow model has greatly diverged from the current price action since March 2024. Right now the model sits at around $750000, which is vastly above the current market price of $119000. It's been trading sideways actually since June 2024 and all of the times that it was ranging, Bitcoin eventually caught up and closed the gap. It has always been a 'story' of divergence and convergence but it sure seems unrealistic to catch up this time, especially during if this Cycle continues to follow the 4-year model. So what do you think? Should we still trust what seems more and more like an 'obsolete' model as mass adoption kicks in? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
BITCOIN Will it go lower?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) pulled back rather aggressively yesterday after marginally breaking above $123000 and making a new All Time High (ATH). We've mentioned before the similarities of this Bullish Leg to the April - May structure and so far the current pull-back having already touched the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, resembles the late April pull-back. However, besides the 0.236 Fib, that pull-back also hit its 4H MA50 and rebounded, so that's a condition that hasn't been fulfilled. If it does, we are potentially looking for a Low around the $115k mark. Notice also how both fractals are supported by a Higher Lows trend-line exactly on their respective 4H MA100 (green trend-line) levels. If BTC continues to replicate this pattern, we expect to see $140000 (+43.05% from the bottom) by early August. Will the Support levels hold and push it that high? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
Bitcoin: Support at $112K Holds Key to Bullish ContinuationFenzoFx—Bitcoin is bullish, trading above $112,000.0 after forming a new all-time high at $123,231.0. The current dip may offer a strong reentry if $112,000.0 holds as support, aligning with a bullish fair value gap. Price remains above the ascending trendline, reinforcing the bullish outlook. If momentum continues and BTC breaks past $123,231.0, the next target could be $130,000.0. A fall below the trendline would invalidate the bullish setup.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FenzoFxBroker