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Bitcointechnicalanalysis

Bitcoin Dominance, BTC ATH and ALT Seasons since 2017-some facts There is little doubt now, that this Crypto cycle is very different from previous cycles and the main reason for this is the Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D) of the Market. The reasons for this Dominance is complicated but we can certainly point towards the arrival of ETF's as one of the principle factors. Corporations simply Buy Bitcoin, Hold it and Trade the ETF's - The Key Principle here being that the Coins are HELD Long term. As we can see from the main chart, we have a key point in the BTC cycle called the Bitcoin Halving. To many extents, the explanation of this is not relevant right now. But what you can see is how, previously, after the BTC Halving, we saw a drop in BTC.D, This was due to the money Flow out of BTC and into ALT coins. As more ALT coins were bought up, the demand drove the price higher and so their dominance increased, driving BTC.D down This has not happened this cycle due to bulk buying of BTC for ETF's and BTC being Held Long term. We can also see how , as we approached a certain time span After the Halving, we saw a sharp rise in BTC.D as we headed towards the next BTC ATH as the BTC buying picked up. Again, this is not happening this cycle as the Bitcoins are being held long term. What we can also see on the main chart is how we would normally be approaching a period of expected BTC ATH ( green vertical box ) And the HUGE question is, Will we get a Bitcoin ATH in this period ? This is, to many extents, impossible to answer but as demand for Bitcoin continues and coins become harder to find, the price should continue to rise. The tricky bit is, now, with a Bitcoin costing over 100K usd, it becomes harder to move the price. Only Corporations can afford to bulk buy. So, again, things are different.. Retail is struggling to find a foot hold in the Bitcoin market, seeming to think that a Bitcoin is too expensive for them.....forgetting that they can buy a bit and that will also increase in price by the same %. And so they look to the ALTs, fast volatile price rises and high returns, This is seen very clearly in this chart that shows us when we had previous ALT seasons after the Halving See how, after a period of time after Halving, the ALT Seasons appeared when the BTC.D dropped. And that has simply just NOT happened this time. It has to be said, it did try to appear. ALT season tried to happen. See how after 210 days after halving this cycle, BTC.D did drop sharply but, it found a line of support and bounced back, Killing the ALT season dead in its tracks There have been a lot of attempts since but the Market has been Bloody for ALTS, with sharp rise and Falls destroying confidence..... And Bitcoin continues to Rise. So, where are we now ? This Daily BTC.D chart may offer some ideas BTC.D PA is currently at TOP of long Term range and finding it hard to get over that line of resistance. BTC.D Weekly MACD , while not overbought, is curling over Bearish BTC ATH's have previously been attained from Oversold areas as MACD Rose back higher. The Volatility has gone and MACD is ranging smooth SO, in conclusion, it is anybodies Guess right now if we will ever see an ALT season again. Technically, on many fronts, we are poised, ready for it, even if it is a mini one. But as we have seen on many occasions this cycle, Bitcoin is a very desired asset now and Demand drives price.....and so the Sell off that we need to drive an Alt season just may not occur. One thing that is Absolutely certain though, we are highly likely to see another Bitcoin ATH Stay safe everyone and Love one another. It is Free to do and is worth more than anything
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Orriginal
6
Bitcoin - Fib circles Happen. PA knocked down a little. Been warning you about this Fib circle coming up and now we know it is resistance... but how strong ? We do not know just yet but we can lok to the left to see what happened last time. Over pn the left, we can See PA droped for 7 days bwfore breaking away. This could happen again and support is below. The 4 hour chart gives us a better insight PA has already found the first line of support and we currently have a small green candle. Further support below at 104700 and 101700 If they fail, we have the 2.618 Fib extension at 98200 - This should be a strong line of support If that fails, there is ther support and I will talk abou tthat when the time comes. It is wise to be cautious with Bitcoin right now as the 4 hour and Daily MACD are Bearish. This could change anytime and the Bullish "Sentiment" still exists Bitcoin Dominance is dipping again but has the strength to bounce, so be cautious with the ALTS More Soon
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BITCOIN new week open Green - Will we get 8 weeks Green in a row These are all WEEKLY chart 7 weeks in a row closed Green. At Time of writing, Bitcoin is around 109800 usd So Very Bullish and every possibility that this week will also close Green though we are getting near a point of resistance. If we zoom into the same chart, we can see more detail We are above the 2.618 Fib extension and we could return to the 103K zone to test this as support. We may need to do this as it has only ever been resistance previously. We are also very close to a 618 Fib circle.( Blue ) We do not know if this is an area of strong resistance yet but PA is now in the area that we may react to it. As a result of this Fib circle, we need to be prepared for the possibility of reentering that rising channel, We may not do that ,The reasons being that PA still has enough strength. The MACD - or Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is a technical analysis tool used in trading to identify momentum and trend direction. The 2 vertical lines on the left are the 2021 ATH points, to give a comparison. In this cycle we have had 2 previous peaks and then the cooling off period from OverBought. The Cooling off were the periods were BTC PA ranged.. We are currently rising Bullish, with room to move higher but we should be aware that we are in the area that rejected the 2nd ATH in 2021. The daily is in a very similar position but getting choppy. The RSI - Relative Strength Index, a technical indicator used to understand the momentum of a price trend . The RSI helps signal when to buy and sell in a trending market by identifying overbought or oversold conditions in a security. Again, the Vertical lines on the left show you the 2021 ATH points as reference. See how RSI peaks before BTC PA Peaks. We have not been fully OverBought since March 2024. RSI is rising Bullish with Room to move higher, though, again, note how it is in an area were rejection has occurred previously. The Mayer Multiple is a ratio used in trading that compares the current market price of an asset, such as Bitcoin, to its 200-day moving average (SMA) price. This indicator is particularly useful for swing traders to find zones of extreme overbuys and It is generally considered a bullish indicator when the price is above the long-term moving average ( Yellow ) and bearish when the price is below it, although significant deviations from the moving average can indicate overvaluation or undervaluation. Again, take note of the vertical lines and were this Mayer Multiple was. Again, the tendency is that when this Drops, BTC PA has Ranged to cool off and when it crosses above its Average, it leads to a High on the push higher. And once again, remembering what has been said above, we need to wait to see if this crosses its average or get rejected by it. But as you can see, the Average is more often used as support amd mpt resistance. So, in conclusion, I remain Bullish but with a note of Caution till we get a push higher conformed. We could see a pull back and , if that happens, this maybe the last sensible buying Zone for Bitcoin this time round. The Risk is increasing as more and more coins enter into good profit margins. People may get tempted to sell. On a longer term , this month has confirmed a very bullish intent and we have one week to go before month end. I will expand on this on 2nd June This week. we wait and see how Bitcoin will react. Be Kind to others. The world Needs LOVE
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BITCOIN 5 lines and 3 indicators to watch now we in new ground I will be presenting a number of charts here and each has a different story to tell right now. The 5 lines are All valid trend lines. The Vertical lines are January year markers The white line at the bottom is th e long term support line from 2013 The Dotted line is a threshold line The Blue Arc is a line that has rejected EVERY ATH since 2013 The orange line is a marker that, once crossed has Always led to a New cycle ATH The upper dashed line is the line of rejection of all ATH since 2017 The Weekly Bitcoin PA chart Here we can clearly see how that Blue Arc has rejected PA previously. We can see how PA has reached a point of intersection and once it crosses that blue Arc, there is a line of rejection just above. This Blue line needs to be crossed and held as support. The Daily version of this chart shows ua how we have just crossed that blue Arc. It also shows us how FRAGILE this is right now. PA is currently testing that Blue line as support This needs to Hold. If we manage to hold this line and bounce, Stiff resistance is found around 120K The following charts are showing the following indicators The 3 indicators used are RSI - Relative Strength Index. used to measure the speed and change of price movements TSI - True Strength Index, used to indicate trend direction and overbought/oversold conditions. ADX - The Average Directional Index (ADX) is used to measure the strength of a trend, not its direction The 4 hour chart - short term expectations for the weekend Bitcoin PA the Yellow line at the Top, the indicators are in the order listed above, First thing to see here is how BTC PA is retesting that Blue Arc - this really needs to hold RSI (blue) - OVER BOUGHT, It has fallen below its own MA ( average) and could easily drop further today. Looking back along this, we can see how the 4 hour RSI likes to range along the Neutral line, so we may see it drop back to that level today, tomorrow TSI is also OVER BOUGHT. We can see when TSI is up here, PA ranges while it cools off. But there is room for one little push here if required ADX ( yellow ) is high showing trend could be getting near exhausted, The orange line is the DI+. This shows positive prince direction, the Red one is DI- and shows that negative price direction is climbing slightly. In the short term, we need to see PA hold above the Blue line but the likelihood is to possibly back below. There is support below. The WEEKLY shows us that PA has the ability to continue for a while longer but we are getting near a point where PA needs to recover Here we can see how the RSI and TSI are both up high, on the edge of OVER BOUGHT but with the ability to rise further. What is VERY important to take note of here is that ADX. It is Low, this is indicating that the weekly Trend has lost strength now. It could continue lower. Remember, ADX DOES NOT SHOW TREND DIRECTION, JUST STRENGTH So, the thing to see here is that we are in an area where we could see a New Trend begin. This trend could be either Bullish or bearish On a weekly chart, this change can take a long time to appear in PA And for the Longer Term, The Monthly Chart gives us hope for a fuhrer push higher for the rest of the year but one little warning bell WE See Both RSI and TSI up high again, where they have been since 2024. But neither of them are up in OVER BOUGHT as much as they have been in previous cucle Tops.... So we can assume room to move higher. But what does ring a bell is that ADX again. It is once again, in a place of Change and on this chart, showing that the current trend can start becoming weaker. However, DI+ has plenty of room to move higher So, in conclusion, we see that BITCOIN has the ability to continue higher but in the short term, we may see a pause and possinle Volatility Trends are about to change, This could take Weeks and PA can continue higher while a trend weakens. For me. we are in the last few months of this cycle and at a point of Decision. PA MUST get over that Blue Arc that has rejected Every ATH since 2013. If PA fails this, we go back to sub 90K but this is unlikely, There are numerous projections that see BTC PA in price discovery reaching the 120K before serious resistance. On this chart, if PA follows pattern and trends, we could see 378K by year end Getting over that irange line is KEY Stay safe everyone.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bullish Bitcoin Find ResistanceFenzoFx—Bitcoin remains bullish above the 50-period simple moving average but lost momentum near the $95,995 resistance. It currently trades around $94,650. A breakout above $95,995 could trigger a move toward $99,560. Conversely, a close below $92,875 may lead to a drop toward $91,720, with further downside potential to $88,830 if selling pressure intensifies. >>> Prop Trading >>> No Deposit Bonus >>> %100 Deposit Bonus >>> Forex Analysis Contest All at FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FenzoFxBroker
Bitcoin Tests Critical Resistance Level: What's Next?FenzoFx—Bitcoin is testing the $88,650 resistance, a level it has rejected more than three times. The Stochastic and RSI 14 indicators remain in overbought territory, indicating short-term overvaluation. Entering the market at this price is not recommended. If BTC/USD stays below $88,650, a consolidation phase may follow, with potential dips to $88,140 and $82,810. Bullish Scenario The bearish outlook is invalidated if BTC closes above $88,650, potentially resuming the uptrend toward $90,000.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by FenzoFxBroker
Bitcoin Double Bottom Pattern Came into PlayFenzoFx—Bitcoin jumped upward from $74,475 support as expected due to the formation of a double bottom pattern on the 1-hour chart, which is a bullish signal. As of this writing, the price is stabilizing and testing the $81,160 mark as support. However, the 50-SMA on the 1-hour chart serves as the pivot point between the bull and bear market. The next bullish target could be $84,730, followed by $88,000 if BTC holds above the discussed moving average. Trade BTC/USD Swap Free at FenzoFx Decentralized Broker
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FenzoFxBroker
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Potential Bull Run in Q4 2024 & Q1 2025 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) currently holds a strong support level at $55,300. This key level presents a significant opportunity for potential gains. If the support at $55,300 fails, the next critical supports are at $52,000 and $48,500. Given the approaching bull run, we expect a bounce from these levels, particularly in Q4 2024 and Q1 & Q4 2025. As with previous bull runs, we anticipate substantial volatility during this period. Remembering to exit the market around March or November 2025 is crucial, as the bull run is expected to conclude around this time. Based on historical data and calculations, the Minimum target for Bitcoin in this bull run is $253,623. If Bitcoin flips the resistance at $253,623 by February 2025, we could see a maximum target of $275,780. Previous bull runs in 2013, 2017, and early 2021 exhibited unexpected price pumps, and we may witness similar volatility this time. While observing resistance zones, it's essential to keep trades active and plan to exit long positions by March or November 2025. For more detailed analysis and insights, follow us on TradingView to stay updated with our latest ideas and benefit from our expertise.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Houseofcryptokings
Bitcoin Looks for ONE MORE Possible Chance to BUY THE DIP!! Remember to Like, Comment, & Follow for more in-depth analysis! Share with your friends! The greatest compliment one can give is a referral I've seen too many doom and gloom posts for Bitcoin, and there are macro and micro bullish patterns being layered with more bullish patterns as we get closer to the Havening. Bitcoin is in a descending parallel channel, but it is not a bearish distribution. The distribution is bullish due to the top of the channel being tested already 4 different times, and the bottom side of the channel has only been tested once. The more times a support or resistance level is tested, the weaker it becomes. Bitcoin has also created a macro inverse head and shoulders pattern, and each shoulder and the head of that inverse head and shoulders pattern is its own inverse head and shoulders pattern. The most bullish bottoming pattern in trading was just created 4 times to create the bullish support in the 60k - 73K range. This range includes the bullish double top that was made in 2021, plus now, this inverse head and shoulders pattern is made up of an inverse head and shoulder pattern in each of the shoulders and the head. We are now Even though we did not break out off the inverse head and shoulders pattern, we will continue to cool off indicators with another drop down to the 65K level, or potentially the 59.7k level. The only reason that we would drop down that far again after creating the bullish pattern we just made would be the fetish Bitcoin has with needing to hit the .618 Fib retracement level. The .618 Fib retracement level sits at 59.7k. The head of the inverse head and shoulders wicks down under the .55 fib retracement but never reaches the .618 fib retracement level. Since we are in a descending parallel channel, it would allow it to hit that .618 Fib retracement level now while staying within this parallel channel. Another bullish pattern bitcoin has made, is the macro bull flag. We had a major run-up, from 38.5k, where volume increase was consistent and noticeable, and we topped out at 73.5k (about +93% upward). Just by extrapolating the percentage move and estimating where the second pole moves from the bull flag would finish. More importantly, it would be important to know where the starting point for the next runup is. It would be starting from the 59.7k (.618 fib retracement level) and then extrapolating +93% upward would put us at about $115k (which also is the 1.618 Fib Extension Level). Another pattern I see that can occur is, as I said previously, we technically have not bounced off the .618 Fib Retracement level ($59.7k), which is the bounce point Bitcoin has a fetish for to be able to start another bullish move upward. Currently, we sit in a position where we are 2 weeks away from the Bitcoin Halvening, which is the catalyst that starts the new Bitcoin Bull Market, where we make a parabolic move. There are at least 10 different bullish confluences of support within the range of $60k- FWB:73K , and the only bearish confluence is that the top side of the descending parallel channel we have has held any breakout above it from happening. The move that I am possibly watching for would be one that lands us just shy of the $100k milestone. The move would look possibly something like this, where the only way I could see this bullish confluence zone could become more BULLISH would be to make an eve & eve double bottom and create the second bottom with another inverse head and shoulders pattern. We would then break out to $73.5k peak and then around the same time as the halvening, we would look to break the peak and then use the .55 Fib Ext.Level and .5 FIb Ext Level to create a Bullish W-Breakout Pattern with making both bottoms re-test the previous peak of $73.5k. After re-testing both times, holding support above that previous peak, We would launch to the .618 Fib Ext Level, possibly re-test the top of the W breakout we just made, and then after, we would take a launch at the 1 Fib Ext. Level that sits at $93.8k. Major key points would be: -Drop to the .618 Fib Retracement level ($59.7k) -Breakout bounce up to the .5 Fib Extension ($76.1k) or the .55 Fib Extension ($77.9k) of which breaks out $73.5k peak -Minor Correction from the .55 Fib Ext and the .5 Fib Ext level down to re-test the $73.5k peak to create a Bullish W breakout pattern -Breakout to either .618 Fib Ext ($80.3k) or the 1 Fib Ext ($93.5K) Let me know what you think in the comments below! Which pattern do you see playing out? 1. Run-up to $115k 2. Run-up to $94k
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Gamblers_Paradise
Bitcoin wants it higher but bears dontBitcoin\1H consolidating after breaking the down wards parallel channel and making a new extreme to the upside ~23.6.It could go up to ~24.1 where a big liquidity cluster is and come back down after that. **Next stop for bitcoin could be around 20500 where the CME Gap is** Please Boost,Follow,Comment if you find this video informative. We yet have to see a flood down to around 20K or even 19K. With SPX testing the biggest resistant line as a support ,today after a retest it will lose it and flood down thus btc will follow .
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by pcmonk
2
Bitcoin Continues Fake Pump Ends SoonBitcoin/1H afer it did a stop loss hunt at 22.7 it found support and came back to 23K where it did a break of structure and exited our down side parallel channel (two purple lines) resulting in a leg to the upside. Its Planning to do a liquidity grab untill ~24.2 with a possible wick up to 24.6 depending on the momentun and the volume for the rest of this ride after that it will not only retrace back but further down maybe even filling 20K gap on CME. Chance of a great short from 24172 to 24.6
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by pcmonk
1
BTC / USDT pair on Binance (4h timeframe) analysis + predictionHello, Today I'll look at the BTC/USDT chart pair on Binance in the 4h timeframe. The demand zone is around $15850, and the supply zone is sitting around $16770 (previous supply zone was around $18K). From the long-term timeframe, I can spot the Falling Wedge trading pattern coming from a downtrend, and from the short-term time frame, I can see that the Ascending triangle trading pattern is occurring with consolidation and a rising support trendline. As an ascending triangle is normally a bullish sign, I expect the price to go just a little higher before changing direction and moving towards the demand zone at around $15800. The possibility of a breakout can happen at $17,200. If the price breaks the Falling wedge structure, we can expect a bullish movement and the price to move in the direction of 18K. If the opposite happens, I am expecting that we will move with the price in a downtrend to the demand zone at $15800 or lower. Both of the patterns I noticed are primarily bullish, but TREND is your friend. I am expecting the price to slightly move upward and then go in a downtrend to the demand zone at around $15800 or lower. My trading idea is to go short/sell. We are still in a bearish cycle, don't forget that! Enjoy & have an amazing day! BF
Short
by elfabiiani
#Bitcoin Losing Steam, Anchored at Q3 2022 Support at $18.5kPast Performance of Bitcoin Bitcoin remains in a range, and price action is still dull at spot rates. As it is, BTC has support between $18.5k and $19k and is technically bearish, reading from the candlestick in the daily chart. Days after the October 13 bull bar with relatively high trading volumes, Bitcoin is back inside the bull bar and broadly inside a bear breakout formation. #Bitcoin Technical Analysis Presently, BTC bulls have a chance. From the daily chart, prices are in range inside the October 13 bull bar, a net positive for buyers. The sharp reversal of prices from below Q3 lows with increasing trading volumes may point to the early stages of recovery and the end of the 11-month bear run. This preview, nonetheless, is valid if prices are above $18.5k and, preferably, $20.5k in the short term, breaking away from the current consolidation. If not, losses below last week's lows at $18.2k may see Bitcoin disintegrate, falling to register new 2022 lows. What to Expect from #BTC? BTC is within a bear formation, and traders are overly apprehensive. Unless clear breakouts signal the end of the bear run or the continuation of Q3 2022 bears, trades can stay on the sidelines. Gains (losses) above $20.5k ($18k) would mean the sideways movement of the better part of Q3 2022 was accumulation (distribution). Resistance level to watch out for: $20.5k Support level to watch out for: $18.5k Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
Short
by Bitcoin_Analyzer
1