Bitcointrend
This Bitcoin Pattern Usually Ends One Way₿ BTC/USD – Bearish Continuation After Breakdown
Bitcoin remains in a clear downtrend, trading inside a well-defined descending channel. The market structure continues to print lower highs and lower lows, confirming that sellers are still in control.
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🔹 Descending Channel
• Price has been respecting the upper and lower bounds of the channel very cleanly.
• Multiple rejections from the channel top confirm strong overhead resistance.
• As long as BTC stays inside this channel, the trend bias remains bearish.
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🔹 Triangle Consolidation
• BTC is now forming a triangle inside the downtrend, indicating consolidation, not reversal.
• This type of triangle is typically a bearish continuation pattern.
• A breakdown below the triangle support would likely trigger the next impulsive leg down.
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🔹 Moving Averages
• Price is trading below the 50, 100, and 200 SMAs, reinforcing bearish pressure.
• The 200 SMA (~108.6K) remains far above price and acts as major resistance.
• Any bounce into these averages is likely to be sold into.
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🔹 RSI Confirmation
• RSI is below 50, showing weak momentum and lack of bullish strength.
• No bullish divergence is present, supporting the continuation downside scenario.
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🔹 Key Levels
• Resistance: 96K → 105K → 108K
• Support: 88K → 84K → 80K → low-70Ks (channel extension)
A confirmed breakdown could open the door toward the mid- to low-70K area.
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🔹 Conclusion
This looks like bearish consolidation before continuation, not accumulation.
Until BTC breaks above the channel and key moving averages, the path of least resistance remains down.
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🧠 “In a downtrend, consolidation is usually a pause — not a bottom.”
📜 Disclaimer : This is general information only and not financial advice.
Silent Waves Before the Surge The current BTCUSD structure shows the market completing a major impulsive wave, followed by a corrective phase that is still unfolding. The correction has taken the form of overlapping subwaves, suggesting consolidation rather than a sharp reversal.
Within this corrective movement, smaller waves are building a base that could serve as the foundation for the next impulsive leg. The pattern indicates that the market is preparing for renewed momentum once the corrective sequence is fully exhausted.
The overall wave count continues to favor a bullish continuation scenario, provided the corrective structure resolves in alignment with classical Elliott principles. Traders should watch for the transition from consolidation to impulse as the next defining move.
BTC Rising Channel Breakdown Setup – Bearish Continuation Possib1. Rising Channel (Bearish Structure)
Price has been climbing inside a rising wedge / ascending channel, which is typically a distribution pattern during a downtrend.
2. Price Failed to COCH (Change of Character)
You labeled “price fail to COCH” — this means buyers failed to flip the trend into bullish structure.
This is bearish confirmation.
3. BOS (Break of Structure) earlier
There was a clear BOS on the left side — confirming macro bearish flow.
4. Compression into the Channel
Price is moving slowly upward with weak momentum, forming a squeezing structure.
5. POI (Point of Interest) at the bottom trendline
You marked a zone under the trendline.
A break into this zone is where momentum shifts from bullish to bearish.
6. If Trendline Breaks → Expect a Drop
Your chart shows an arrow downwards toward 80,565 as the main downside target.
This aligns well with:
Trendline support
Ichimoku cloud weakness
Rising channel breakdown pattern
Prior liquidity levels
📉 TRADE PLAN (Bearish Setup)
This plan follows the logic of the chart you provided.
🔻 Trade Type: Short Position (Sell)
Because price is at the end of a rising wedge and showing weakness.
✨ ENTRY (Sell Entry):
86,750 – 86,600
After a confirmed break and candle close below the ascending trendline + POI.
✔ Wait for a clean break and retest of the POI/trendline.
🛑 STOP LOSS:
87,350 – 87,450
Place the stop above:
The small circle you highlighted
Last minor swing high
Ichimoku resistance
This keeps maximum SL tight and structure-based.
Risk: ~600–800 points
🎯 TAKE PROFIT (Exit Levels):
TP1 – Safe Target (Liquidity Grab)
84,800 – 85,000
TP2 – Mid Target (Channel Origin)
82,500 – 83,000
TP3 – Main Target (Your Chart Target)
80,565 – 80,000
This matches your projected drop.
📐 Risk–Reward Ratio (Approx):
If using:
Entry = 86,650
SL = 87,400
TP3 = 80,565
➡ RR ≈ 1 : 8+ (excellent)
Quick Bitcoin Update - DAILY
I think we could see a bounce today, off th eLong Term line of support that is also the 618 Fib retracement level
We will have to wait and see if that Holds longer Term or not.
Today is a BIG day
We do NOT want to go and stay below this long term line of support...It has never been Broken since 2011
HANG ON BULLS
Is BITCOIN in a DIP OF DOOM or Are the Bears having Fun ?
This is a Crunch time for Bitcoin and Many people Are running scared.
Me, I am sitting tight, NOT selling.
In Fact, I am BUYING
Why ?
Because we are Still in Channel and Above a long Term line of support.
Lets have a Look.
There are two major lines we need to pay attention to...The BLUE ARC that has rejected Every Bitcoin ATH since the beginning and the Line of support that was created in 2011.
And the problem we have right now, is that PA is getting Squeezed between the Two.
PA MUST React.
You can see how tight it is getting and PA is nearly on the lower trendline.
Lets look closer
Same chart as a Weekly chart
See how that Blue Arc has rejected PA and how the White long term support has supported PA>
And it is THIS image of this chart that Give me Hope.
A number of things to note here.
Most importantly is that the Bulls DID break over that Blue Arc once. This shows intent to do so. That was the First time that line of resistance has ever been broken.
And PA was Overbought when it did so and so we did not have the strength to remain above.
PA has retreated and as a consequence, PA is now Oversold.....and with in striking distance.
PA has the strength to attack that Blue Arc again and WIN
PA is currently on the 0.5 Fib Retracement
Should this support fail, we will Visit 89700 on the 0.618 retrancement. But that will only happen if we fall through a line of Support that HAS NEVER BEEN CROSSED
For Me, I remain VERY BULLISH
This is a Dip of Doom and has scared people but we are near the end....So long as we remain above that line of support, I remain positive.
As I mentioned at the beginning of the month, I am expecting this month to close RED but then we Rise....Have a look at the Month Candle Colout chart post.....all will be explained.
Stay safe
Technical analysis of bitcoin key levels and wedge chart pattern1. Trend Structure
The descending trendline (Resistance line) at the top of the chart remains valid.
The price has repeatedly faced rejection at this level, indicating that the medium-term downtrend is still intact.
2. Key Price Levels and Indicators
50-week EMA
The price has recently recorded its third downward break below the 50-week EMA.
From a traditional technical perspective, this is viewed as a signal that strengthens the possibility of a medium- to long-term bearish shift.
POC (Point of Control)
The mid-range POC is acting as a strong supply zone,
and recent rebound attempts have also failed to break above this level decisively.
3. Liquidity Zones
Two major liquidity zones are marked in the upper and mid sections of the chart.
Liquidity zone near 112k (upper zone)
A cluster of large liquidity pockets and liquidation points
If a short-term rebound occurs, this is the first upside target likely to be tested
Liquidity zone near 102k (mid zone)
Overlaps with the 4h FVG, making it a level closely watched by both buyers and sellers
4. FVG (Fair Value Gap)
Multiple FVGs are present on the 4-hour timeframe, with some already filled.
Unfilled FVGs have a high probability of being revisited as the market corrects in the future.
5. CME Gap
All weekday CME gaps have already been filled and may act as short-term resistance.
A weekend gap forms when Monday’s CME opening price starts above 95.4K.
6. Current Market Structure Interpretation
The price is currently attempting a rebound from the lower boundary of the downtrend.
However, several resistance layers overlap—POC, FVG zones, and trendline resistance—raising the likelihood of heavy selling pressure on any upward move.
In the short term, volatility consolidation is expected within the 96k–100k range.
7. Potential Formation of a Lower Wedge Pattern
The price has broken below the lower boundary of the wedge pattern, accompanied by rising volume.
A short-term rebound is likely, and if the price re-enters the wedge, further upside momentum may follow.
If the lower trendline is not reclaimed, the structure may shift into a range after a retest.
8. USDT.D Chart Analysis
The price has once again touched the upper boundary of a downtrend line that has persisted for over a year.
Downward pressure on the USDT dominance chart suggests potential upward momentum for Bitcoin.
Technically, this zone offers conditions supportive of a short-term rebound.
9. Summary
The medium-term trend remains bearish, with the ongoing breakdown below the 50-week EMA reinforcing a sustained bearish outlook.
A short-term bottoming attempt is visible, but dense supply overhead limits the strength of any rebound.
FVGs, POC, and liquidity zones overlap near the current price region, increasing the probability of heightened volatility.
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BTC/USDT: Symmetrical Breakout and Channel ContinuationHi guys!
Bitcoin has successfully broken out of a symmetrical triangle, confirming a bullish continuation pattern after several days of consolidation. The breakout was followed by a clean retest of the triangle’s upper boundary, which now acts as support.
Currently, the price is moving inside a rising parallel channel, showing a healthy bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. As long as BTC maintains above the midline of this channel, the short-term trend remains upward.
In the coming sessions, price may continue oscillating within this ascending channel, forming a series of higher lows before reaching the next key resistance around $118,682 , and potentially extending toward the triangle’s measured target at $122,56 7.
On the downside, a confirmed close below the channel’s lower line would be the first sign of weakening momentum and could lead to a deeper pullback toward $112,000–$113,000.
Important levels:
Support: $114,000 / $112,500
Resistance: $118,682 / $122,567
Trend: Bullish above $114,000
BTCUSD – 4H Volume-Structure Analysis
Indicators
Smart Money Support/Resistance (Lite) & ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action V1.03
Analytical Setup
• LTF: 10 seconds
• LTF Coverage Bars: 70
• Global Volume Period: 52
• Market Type: Range
• Active Zones:
- Support Zone: 121,557 – 123,941 USD (current active range shown in panel)
The analysis timeframe ensures valid volume coverage, as the period (52) is smaller than total LTF bars (70).
Resistance Area & Bull Trap Risk
In the upper range (≈123,900 USD), a Bull Trap Risk has formed immediately after an OverBought 6/7 condition — confirmed by RSI, Stoch, %R, CCI, MFI, and DeM modules in ATAI. At this point, both buy and sell volumes peaked within the 52-bar window, with S.Max = 4.33K and B.Max = 3.76K. This slight dominance by sellers indicates demand absorption at the top of the structure. The setup matches ATAI’s trap logic — high wick, overbought context, and volume imbalance — signaling potential exhaustion near resistance.
Support Area
Support is currently anchored near 121,550 USD, derived from B.Min and S.Min lows (B.Min = 7.29, S.Min = 807). This aligns with the lower projection from Smart Money S/R, marking the point where cumulative delta begins to compress. Historically, compression at minimum-volume zones often precedes short-term accumulation or range stabilization.
Structural Behavior
The chart shows a defined upward channel (orange and cyan dashed lines). After testing the upper boundary, price entered the resistance zone and generated a Bull Trap Risk followed by moderate rejection. Below, the Sharp ↓ Risk tag signals potential for a short liquidity sweep before stabilization. Volume readings still support range continuation rather than a confirmed reversal, consistent with the Range Market tag.
Probable Scenario
1. A short pullback toward the lower boundary of support (~121.5K) is expected.
2. If support holds and volume compression persists, a rebound toward 123.9K (resistance ceiling) is probable.
3. A breakdown below 121.5K could trigger a deeper correction toward the next S/R projection near 120K.
This represents a neutral-to-bullish range bias: short-term weakness, but constructive above support.
Summary
• OverBought 6/7 + Bull Trap Risk detected at resistance (≈123.9K).
• Support around 121.5K built from B.Min and S.Min.
• Sellers slightly dominant at the trap peak.
• Likely scenario: retest of support, then rebound toward resistance if volume confirms.
• Bias: range continuation until breakout beyond 123.9K or breakdown below 121.5K.
Why is Bitcoin under a LOT of pressure to move higher right now
That Blue line is a calculated Arc, that is, in fact, a part of a Fibonacci Spiral.
As you can see, it has rejected EVERY Bitcoin ATH - Every one.
And right now, PA is getting Squeezed by it and the line of long term support just below.
We have till year end to break and hold above this Blue Arc.
Here is a Zoomed version of the same chart.
PA is currently Just above that Line,,but only just.
It has been rejected a number of times since Q4 2024.
We need to break above and hold.
It is as simple as that, otherwise, PA will be dragged down.
As you probably realise, This is the end of this Series of Bitcoin cycles.
Once above the Spiral, we leave a series of patterns Bitcoin has been in since it was created in 2008
Exciting days ahead
#Bitcoin Bearish Sunday Update: $BTC short taken from 116K,#Bitcoin Bearish Sunday Update:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC short taken from 116K, and now BTC is already trading near 108K. I’m still holding my short position.
First target is 100K, then looking for 95K → 90K.
🔸 Market View:
No matter if BTC pushes into 112K–115K, the structure remains bearish. The CPI data outlook is also bearish for markets, adding more pressure. September will be brutal. Everyone is talking about the CPI data being very bearish, but I believe this is just a sell-the-news event. Be careful — I already told you the market is ready to dump.
🔸 Outlook:
I continue to hold my short from 116K and will update as targets get hit. The bigger picture stays bearish until we see real capitulation in the lower zones.
Bearish divergence analysis(short position).On the chart, you can see that price is making higher highs, but at the same time, the RSI is making lower highs.
This mismatch means that while price looks strong, the momentum behind the move is fading.
As a result, the current uptrend may not be sustainable, and there’s a possibility of a trend reversal or a correction in the near future with respect to EMA20.
Disclaimer:
I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor nor a financial advisor.
Any investments or trades I discuss on my blog are intended solely for educational purposes and do not represent specific financial, trading, or investment advice.
Disclosure:
I, the author of this report, and my immediate family members do not have any financial interest or beneficial ownership in the securities mentioned herein at the time of publication.
Strategy: “Breakout Bounce” – Buy the Retest, Ride the WaveHello Traders! BTC has broken out above $118K–$120K after a strong uptrend. Now it’s pausing, and a short-term pullback looks likely. Instead of buying the top, we wait for the price to retest previous resistance (around $112K–$114K), which could turn into support.
MY PLAN:
Wait for pullback to $112K–$114K zone.
Look for a bullish candle (daily or 4H) to confirm entry.
Target: $122K short-term or trail stop if trend continues.
Stop loss: Below $108K to manage risk.
Tip: Don’t chase. Be patient, follow the setup, and use proper risk management.
Please leave a comment and don't forget to support a fellow trader! Also, you can leave in the comments your target and plan ideas!
Have a great day y'all!
-Neo
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical AnalysisBTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical Analysis
Market Structure & Trend
Overall Trend : Bearish (clearly defined by a consistent downtrend channel).
Current Structure : Price is in a corrective downtrend within a descending channel, after multiple rejections from the supply zone.
Key Technical Zones
1. Supply Zone
Strong rejection zone where the price previously reversed sharply.
Still acting as resistance, located around the upper range.
2. Demand Zone
Currently being retested for the fifth time, weakening its strength.
Recent price action shows liquidity sweep and swing low break inside this zone, potentially trapping early longs.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) & Fibonacci Levels
1D FVG sits below the current demand, aligning with:
Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib).
Acts as a high-probability bounce zone for long entries if demand fails.
A break below this FVG could open up deeper downside toward the 0.786 Fib or beyond.
Psychological Levels
105,000 – Major resistance & potential take-profit area for long positions.
100,000 – Key support and liquidity magnet if the demand zone fails.
Volume Profile
High Volume Node: 102,000 – 106,800 — price tends to gravitate here, indicating potential consolidation or resistance.
Low Volume Area: Below 100,500 — suggests thin liquidity, which may cause sharp moves if price drops into this range.
Scenarios & Trade Ideas
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the demand zone (after multiple retests) and confirms on LTF:
Potential Long to local resistance.
On breakout, target the 105,000 psychological level.
Confluence: High volume area offers both support and a magnet.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold the demand zone:
Enter short position targeting the 1D FVG and 100,000 psychological level.
If that breaks, expect sharp continuation due to low volume below.
Conclusion
Price is at a pivotal point — currently balancing on weakened demand after multiple retests. Watch for LTF confirmation:
Above demand = bullish recovery setup.
Below demand = bearish continuation toward 100,000 and the FVG.
Manage risk tightly due to the proximity of both key zones.
BITCOIN - under resistance since 2011-Birth of a new cycle soon
The Chart Clearly explains itself
Since before Bitcoin PA went into its current channel, it was under a Huge Arc that resisted any move higher...strongly, Every single ATH, Every one, even the most recent
This is Easily seen by the Blue Arc
And as you can see, maybe THIS is the real reason why PA is struggling to break higher....It just cannot break over that Arc.
The main chart is Monthly, Lets look at the weekly.
You can clearly see what happened in 2021, rejected twice and again this cycle.
And you can see how, by December This year, 2025, PA will be squeezed very tight.
And PA usually moves before the APEX>
And, if we are going to repeat the previous cycle moves, the 1st year after a New ATH usually sees a decline in price, as can be seen by the red boxes.
But PA needs to break OVER that Arc first. and then remain ABOVE IT.
This would then create a new cycle pattern.
And we need it.
Currently, we can go back to Lows of 88K before we loose support on that lower trendline but from there, we need to break over.
A Strong move in SEPTEMBER / OCTOBER would be Ideal
Just saying
XECUSDT Forming Bullish WaveXECUSDT is displaying a strong bullish wave pattern, suggesting a potential continuation of its current uptrend. The structure reflects a healthy impulse wave formation, often indicative of early stages in a major bullish cycle. Price action has consistently respected key support zones while printing higher highs and higher lows—a classic sign of market strength. With volume backing this movement, investor sentiment appears increasingly positive as XEC begins gaining traction among altcoin watchers.
Technically, the asset has broken out from its consolidation phase and now targets the next resistance zones that could unlock a 50% to 60% price increase. This wave pattern is particularly compelling for swing traders and position traders, as the setup offers clear entry points and a strong risk-to-reward ratio. Volume surges during bullish candles confirm the accumulation phase is over, and momentum is building for a sustained leg up.
Fundamentally, XEC (eCash) continues to strengthen its ecosystem, focusing on fast, low-fee payments that appeal to real-world adoption. Its consistent development updates and community support are bringing more visibility to the project. As blockchain adoption grows globally, eCash's utility as a digital currency is becoming more relevant—attracting both retail and institutional interest.
This is a critical moment for XECUSDT, and traders watching this bullish wave structure could be early in capturing significant upside potential. If momentum continues and broader crypto sentiment remains favorable, the 50% to 60% target range appears well within reach in the near term.
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Bitcoin BTC price analysis🍿 At the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, we show one of the scenarios that could play out in the first half of June.
Much will be decided today with the opening of the US market. It is very likely that there will be a downward movement at the opening in response to the new tariffs announced by Trump on Friday after the markets closed.
🕯 Well, then we'll have to “keep our fingers crossed” that market players show their strength and hold on and buy back the drop — like say: we're tired of shaking with every crazy statement from Trump.
💰 If the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC stays above $103k, there is a chance that it will be “stuck” in the $103-110k consolidation. The market needs to digest and redistribute the results of two months of #BTCUSD price growth from $75k to $112k.
And considering the position of the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, there is a chance that the “little bit” of capital will pass to the altcoins, and they will shoot up a little.
⁉️ Probably, the safest thing to do would be to watch the altcoins and buy only those that have started a significant upward movement with volume.
What do you think?
Bitcoin weekly / Daily showing a Dip to sub 100K possibleBitcoin weekly / Daily showing a Dip to sub 100K possible but is avoidable.
On the weekly, we can see how PA is top of Range, just below the arc that has rejected everything since 2011.
There is more resistance overhead than support below and the first Real line of support sits around 103,599 , 101K then we go to 98K.
If we loose 98K for some strange reason, it is a png drop to around 88K - I doubt we will see that just yet.
However, as you can see on the weekly chart, that is the area of a STRONG line of support that has been used this cycle 4 times to propel PA higher.
The Indicators are Bull Bear Power, showing the momentum of the Trend. We have just begun a Red Bear Candle..gut this is currently sitting on a line of resistance....
The RSI is above its average and has just been rejected off the high, so the likelihood os that this will retreat lower in time or with a sharp drop.
The ADX shows trend strength NOT DIRECTION. This has just turned and has begun rising and with BTC PA falling, it suggests the beginning of a Bear trend - MAYBE
Looking at the Daily
We can see once again, PA got pushed away from the Arc of Resistance ( blue) and has begun falling.
The Bull Bear power chart shows ua how the Bears maybe meeting resistance right now and we may see a drop in bear power in the near future.
RSI has fallen below its average now and now has bumped into the Neutral line that does offer support, as we saw recently and in early 2025
Again, the ADX is Low and turning up , indicating a new trend maybe forming but we have to wait to see what this maybe
To conclude, we need to wait to get a clearer picture right now but it seems almost certain that a new trend is forming.
On the shorter term we have the chance of a bounce back / Range horizontal at current price range but the longer term looks a little more bearish for now
We are half way through June and as suggested in my posts about monthly colour candle close, It seems that a Red June candle would be a Good thing but it needs t be a not to deep candle.
So 2 more weeks of scary PA would be OK but nerve raking.
We shall have to watch close here....
Just a quick word of WARNING for BITCOIN- Local resistanceEasy to see and understand line od resistance here.
This is trhe line of rejection from 2017 and could well pose a problem in the short term
Technically, PA has the ability to break through this line but we need to see if it does.
BITCOIN is at a crossroads and this is just one of about 3 things that stand in ts way.
As mentioned earlier today, we have crossed one major hurdle today, this is the next one.
Hold on tight Guys and Gals, things could get very interesting but, for now, my preferred move for BTC is to range across for a little longer and come back to this next month
Unless the next 8 days are a strong push above this line and then try and stay above it
BITCOIN Seems to have Broken the LONG Term resistance- BIG DAY
The chart really does say it all
You can see the Arc, above PA that has rejected PA Every ATH since 2013
It created the point of rejection on 6 ATH in Total and presented a huge problem if it was not broken. And I can assure you, that arc touches Every ATH.
Just recently, this same line rejected PA Twice, with strength.
The Zoomed chart below shows you where we are now
This image shows you the two 2021 ATH points. and the last two touches { which I find remarkably close to the 2021 double ATH but in miniature }
And, as you can see, we have a candle ABOVE this Arc of resistance. and the Big question is now, WILL WE STAY ABOVE
And what is also notable is how this has happened perfectly at the end of the FIB TIME SCALE used.
This line will have to be tested as support one day and when that day comes, we really REALLY need to remain above.
And once we do that..we really will be in price discovery, in a way that we have never been before.
I am looking at some charts that may offer projected lines of resistance but I am waiting to see what happens here first before publishing them
ENJOY THE RIDE
BTC Double Top Patterns As we see BINANCE:BTCUSD made a new high that can be a double top formation on chart.
Also when we see the RSI chart it is seeing resistance above 60 and keep falling below 60.
So Looks like a bearish trend and if BINANCE:BTCUSD breaks its 3 months support around 91700 then we can see BINANCE:BTCUSD around 76000.
Lets see!
This post is just my perception and for study purpose only.
As crypto market has high risk of loosing money. Please invest your hard earned money carefully.
I will not be responsible for any loss in the crypto market.






















