MSFT 1D Time frameMarket Snapshot
Current Price: ~$498.41
Daily Change: +0.23 (≈0.05%)
Market Cap: ~$2.79 Trillion
P/E Ratio: ~28.9
EPS: ~12.93
🔎 Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): ~41 → Neutral, leaning slightly bearish.
MACD: –2.7 → Negative but giving a weak buy crossover signal.
Williams %R (14-day): ~–74 → Suggests a possible rebound (buy).
CCI (14-day): ~–108 → Oversold zone, buy indication.
ADX (14-day): ~20.6 → Weak trend strength.
ROC (Rate of Change): –3.5 → Mild bearish momentum.
📈 Moving Averages
5-day MA: Below current price → Bearish short-term.
20-day MA: Below current price → Bearish.
50-day MA: ~$509, above price → Acting as resistance.
100-day MA: ~$476, below price → Supportive.
200-day MA: ~$443, below price → Long-term uptrend still intact.
🔧 Support & Resistance
Support Zone: ~$491 – $497
Resistance Zone: ~$500 – $510
📅 Outlook
Bullish Case: If MSFT climbs above $509–510, momentum could extend toward new highs.
Bearish Case: A break below $491 may lead to a pullback toward $480–485.
Overall Bias: Neutral to slightly bearish in the short term, but long-term bullish trend remains intact above the 200-day MA.
Bitcoinupdate
BTC/USD: $100K Shakeout or New All-Time High Incoming?Bitcoin has been trading in a strong bullish cycle, recently touching highs above $124,000, driven by institutional inflows, favorable macro sentiment, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. However, the market is now showing early signs of exhaustion, with prices struggling to maintain momentum above the $118,000–$120,000 resistance zone.
From a technical perspective, the 50-day moving average currently sits near $107,000, acting as the first major support level. A decisive break below it could open the door to a deeper retracement toward the psychological $100,000 level, which also aligns with a key historical demand zone.
The RSI on the daily chart is entering overbought territory, suggesting that a short-term pullback may be healthy for the market. Meanwhile, MACD momentum is flattening, indicating that bulls may be losing steam after an aggressive rally.
Fundamentally, Bitcoin remains in a strong long-term uptrend, but short-term risks cannot be ignored. Regulatory headlines, macroeconomic shocks, or a failure to hold technical support could accelerate a correction. Many analysts, including Arthur Hayes, have mentioned the possibility of a drop to $100K, not as a collapse but as a potential accumulation phase before another leg higher.
Key Levels to Watch:
*Support: $107,000 – $100,000
*Resistance: $120,000 – $124,500
*Breakout Target: Above $125,000 could trigger a run toward $135,000+
*Breakdown Target: Below $100,000 could extend to $95,000
While the macro trend remains bullish, a short-term dip toward $100K is a realistic scenario if momentum continues to fade. Long-term holders may see such a move as an opportunity, while short-term traders should watch for a confirmed break of $107K to position accordingly.
Very quick and simple BITCOIN DAILY UPDATEPA is approaching TOP OF RANGE again
It it get rejected, it is another LOWER HIGH that may lead to another LOWER LOW
If we break through, we may watch a higher high but we need to see if we get a Higher Low afterwards to confirm change of Trend
The Falling channel has a number of boundaries.
PA has the ability to move higher.
This appears to be a Bullish move for now.
So we need to wait till month end.
Again, I am hoping for a small RED candle for the month
A small Green candle could lead to many options that would be Fragile and unfounded
Bitcoin extended cycle, $120,000-$140,000 next july-augustBitcoin looks like its gonna be a good summer imo, too much people say it will a boring summer and we top in oktober-dec but what if we top in august and drop 50%, and sep-dec will be correction month, and we continue the bullrun end 2025 till q1 2026 and we print a top in q1 2026,
NZDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY has just completed a clean breakout from its descending channel, and we are now setting up for a potential bullish continuation. The breakout above the channel resistance confirms a reversal of the prior downtrend, signaling fresh bullish momentum in play. Price is currently hovering around 85.90, and I’m targeting a move toward 91.90 in the coming weeks as market structure shifts in favor of buyers.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar is gaining strength following the RBNZ's recent hawkish stance. Despite global rate cut expectations, the RBNZ has held firm, emphasizing inflation remains elevated and may require prolonged tight policy. This divergence from other central banks, particularly the BoJ, gives NZD an upper hand. On the flip side, the Japanese yen continues to show weakness due to the BoJ's ultra-loose monetary stance, and there's still no concrete signal of a shift toward tightening. Yield differentials remain wide, fueling carry trades in favor of NZD.
Technically, the breakout is supported by strong bullish candles and increasing volume. The breakout level around 85.60 is now acting as fresh support, and as long as we hold above that zone, the bullish bias remains valid. The structure suggests momentum is building toward 88.50 as the next minor resistance, and a break above that could accelerate the rally to our full target at 91.90.
From a risk-reward perspective, this setup remains favorable. I'm closely monitoring bullish continuation patterns on lower timeframes to scale in. NZDJPY appears primed for a potential upside surge, supported by both fundamentals and technicals, and I’m looking to ride this trend as long as the current momentum holds.
Bitcoin Parabolic Curve - 2022 to 2026 Market CycleThis line chart shows the current Bitcoin market cycle from the bear market bottom in November 2022. As you can see, the price has formed a parabolic curve, which was violated around the beginning of March. A couple of weeks later, there was a retest of the curve, which was rejected. The price of BTC has since returned to the bottom side of the curve and is following it upwards.
I am also watching the Bitcoin monthly chart and, more specifically, the monthly Stochastic RSI indicator. As you can see in the chart below, between the second and third months after the market cycle peak, the Stochastic RSI indicator has always dropped below the "20" level, and was near zero at the close of the third month.
There was some speculation that the new all-time high set on January 20th at just over $109k was the peak for this market cycle. At the beginning of April, the Stochastic RSI dropped well below the 20 level but rebounded and was at 16.81 when the April candle closed. One week into May, the Stochastic RSI has pushed back above the 20 level and currently sits at 26.38.
I am still keeping an open mind, but if the high set on January 20th were the market cycle peak, based on past history, I would have expected the Stochastic RSI to have been much lower at the close of April. If the May candle closes with the Stochastic RSI above the 20 level, it will give me much more confidence that Bitcoin has not peaked for this market cycle.
My assumption for now is that Bitcoin is still following a 4-year market cycle. If this is true, I would expect a market cycle peak sometime in the final months of this year. Either way, it has been a very interesting market cycle with huge changes for the crypto asset class.
EURAUD DETAILED ANALYSIS BULLISH OR BEARISHEURAUD is currently trading around 1.75600, forming a classic falling wedge pattern on the 12-hour timeframe. This structure typically signals a bullish reversal, and with price compressing near the wedge’s apex, the likelihood of a breakout to the upside increases significantly. Momentum is slowing on the downside, while buyers are beginning to show signs of re-entering the market, suggesting the pair is gearing up for a potential bullish surge toward the 1.85600 level.
Fundamentally, the euro is holding firm amid persistent inflation data from the eurozone, increasing speculation that the ECB might remain hawkish longer than expected. On the other hand, the Australian dollar is facing pressure due to softer commodity demand and cautious rhetoric from the RBA. This divergence in central bank outlooks favors euro strength in the near term. Today's minor beat on euro PMI data and lackluster performance in Aussie retail sales reinforces the strength of this directional bias.
Technically, this falling wedge is forming after a strong bullish impulsive leg, which adds further credibility to the reversal setup. Buyers have successfully defended the 1.7500 psychological zone, and a breakout above the wedge resistance could trigger a sharp rally. A move above 1.7600 would likely act as confirmation for bulls, opening the door for a measured move toward the 1.85600 target area.
As long as price holds above the 1.7400 region, this remains a high-probability bullish setup with a strong risk-reward profile. Traders will be closely watching for volume increase and price rejection candles at resistance to confirm the breakout. This is a prime example of a technical and fundamental confluence setup that professional traders look for when positioning for medium-term swing trades.
BTCUSDT forming a Bullish Flag patternBitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently forming a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, often regarded as a strong continuation setup in technical analysis. The breakout from the prior descending wedge has already provided strong bullish momentum, and now BTC is consolidating just below key resistance, signaling the next possible leg upward. With volume steadily increasing during this consolidation phase, this flag pattern holds significant potential for a breakout rally.
The price structure reflects healthy accumulation, where smart money seems to be stepping in before the anticipated surge. The flagpole leading up to the pattern shows strong bullish dominance, and the sideways flag structure suggests that Bitcoin is merely taking a breather before pushing higher. A confirmed breakout from the flag could target an upside of 20% to 30%+, aligning with the projected price move shown on the chart.
Fundamentally, Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream traction, and the broader crypto sentiment is turning positive again. The volume patterns and technical indicators reinforce the bullish outlook. Investors are showing renewed interest, especially as BTC holds above key psychological and structural levels, which adds confidence to the continuation narrative.
This setup is ideal for breakout traders and investors looking to capitalize on short to mid-term gains. If the bullish flag plays out as expected, BTC could make another significant move toward its all-time high zone.
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AUDNZD Ascending Triangle Bullish Breakout Targeting 1.1340The AUDNZD currency pair is currently trading at 1.1140, with a target price of 1.1340, suggesting a potential upward move of 100+ pips. The pair is forming an ascending triangle pattern, a classic bullish continuation pattern. This pattern typically forms when the price consistently makes higher lows while encountering a horizontal resistance level, signaling a potential breakout above the resistance. Traders are looking for a confirmation of the breakout above the resistance level to target 1.1340.
From a technical perspective, the ascending triangle is often a sign of market indecision, but it’s typically followed by a breakout to the upside when the price pushes through the resistance at the top of the triangle. In this case, the breakout would likely target the 1.1340 level, where the next significant resistance could come into play.
On the fundamental side, the Australian dollar has been relatively stronger recently due to robust commodity exports, particularly iron ore and coal. In contrast, the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from a more dovish outlook from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which has recently taken a cautious approach to monetary policy. These economic dynamics could support the bullish case for AUDNZD, especially if the breakout occurs in favor of the Aussie dollar.
In summary, the ascending triangle pattern on AUDNZD points toward a bullish breakout above the 1.1160 resistance. If confirmed, the pair could target the 1.1340 level. Keep an eye on any upcoming economic data from both Australia and New Zealand, as these could provide further confirmation or invalidate the breakout.
GLUSDT 50%-77% Gains – Bullish Momentum Set to Surge!GLUSDT has recently broken out of a Falling Wedge Pattern, a technical formation that typically signals the end of a downtrend and the potential for significant price action upward. The Falling Wedge is characterized by converging trendlines, with the price action tightening as buyers and sellers reach an equilibrium before one side gains control. With a solid breakout now in play, GLUSDT is poised for a strong bullish move. The volume accompanying the breakout is good, indicating strong market participation and confirming that the move has the potential to continue. Traders are anticipating gains ranging from 50% to 77%+ as the price continues to push higher, potentially testing key resistance levels.
The breakout from the Falling Wedge pattern is a key event for GLUSDT, and with good volume supporting this move, it increases the likelihood that the price will continue its upward trajectory. Falling Wedges typically indicate that buying pressure is starting to build, and once the resistance level is cleared, the price often experiences a surge. The breakout has already set the stage for a potential rally, and traders are now looking for confirmation of the next resistance levels to determine how far the price might go. With strong technical backing and good investor interest, GLUSDT is well-positioned for substantial price gains in the near term.
Investors are taking increasing interest in GLUSDT, as the breakout from the Falling Wedge marks a key shift in sentiment. The good volume confirms that this pattern is not a false breakout, and with many traders eyeing the potential for higher returns, this project is gaining momentum. As the market shifts from a bearish to a bullish outlook, GLUSDT could see a sharp rise, testing higher price levels and delivering the anticipated 50% to 77%+ gains. The rising interest and positive market sentiment around GLUSDT further solidify its status as a potential high-reward opportunity.
Traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels as the price action unfolds. If GLUSDT can maintain its momentum and push through further resistance, the rally could extend toward the projected gain levels. As always, it’s important to track volume and market conditions to confirm the strength of the breakout. With the current setup and positive technical indicators, GLUSDT is one of the more promising crypto pairs to watch for potential substantial gains.
BITCOIN CYCLE CONCEPT, FIB ORBIT & TIME-ZONEBTC CYCLICAL pattern
1 Complete Cycle = 5 UP (green sine-wave) + 3 DOWN (red sinewave)
24 Jan 2025,
BTC entering Fib extension 0.618 (purple). Fib Circle orbit approaching 5.385 extension.
Expect 5 UP green wave to complete around jul-sept 2025 marked by red X-marks whereas Fib time-zone extension of 1.272 coincides with top of green sine-wave 5
Sine-wave cycle study was credited to Lars von Thienen at FSC
#BTC 2H. Ascending triangle & trend continuation. 11/19/24Earlier, the price formed an "ascending triangle" pattern—a continuation pattern that occurs when the price gradually forms a series of higher lows while the upper boundary (resistance) remains flat or slightly rising. This signals a narrowing range and potential further growth. And I warned you about this in advance! (By the way, which of your traders describes patterns this thoroughly?). But that’s not the point now.
According to technical analysis theory, if the price breaks out of the ascending triangle pattern, its movement usually matches the height of the pattern, measured from the base to the peak. If we follow the idea that the movement after the breakout equals the pattern's height, Bitcoin’s price could reach the $100,000 level. And honestly, why not?
At the same time, earlier this week, the market was in a "bullish" trend, meaning prices were rising. By the close of trading on the CME exchange on Friday, the price was around ~$92,000. I assume this price will become an important reference point (including a support level) that the price will aim for in the near future.
Sep 19, 2024 Short term bitcoin analysisBitcoin is within an approximate horizontal trend channel in the short term, which indicates further development in the same direction. The currency has broken up through resistance at points 61400. This predicts a further rise. In case of negative reactions, there will now be support at points 61400. The currency is assessed as technically positive for the short term.
Quick Bitcoin UpdateHello Traders,
This is a quick update on Bitcoin and also on RNDR. Yesterday we told you clearly about resistance and support and Bitcoin have tested exactly same levels on both sides