HOW TO $1k to $12.4mil in 83 trades on BTCUSD1D BITFINEX w/ NSV4Through an analysis of 83 trades, NSV4 ('Ninja Signals V4' by BitcoinNinjas.org) has demonstrated its ability to turn a modest $1,000 investment into an impressive $12.4 million, showcasing remarkable potential.
In this particular configuration, NSV4 massively outperformed almost any other strategy including the traditional 'buy and hold' in the backtesting of this example.
This chart specifically provides insights and a deeper understanding of the effectiveness and potential of this indicator. It is one of the single best charts ever backtested for Ninja Signals. We have spent years receiving feedback from users and cultivating our script while backtesting different charts and timeframes to achieve this level of success.
The reliability and continual profit over time for 10+ years is astounding in this particular case!
This configuration is unique to this exchange, although is likely to achieve similar results on other exchanges (trading the same pair and the same time interval), perhaps needing only a few minor tweaks.
Let us dissect NSV4's performance and discover the principles that have made it a game-changer. How is it possible to turn 1k into 12.4m in 83 trades?
First of all, you can see that the first trade was in 2013, so these settings are backtested for over 10 years. This didn't happen over night.
Also, this configuration adds the profit of the previous trade to the next trade. On a bot, this would equate to using the entire balance of the account with each trade, and continually increasing the trade amount as profit accrues. Here, we are 'compounding the interest' and using 100% of the trade balance for each trade. This is referred to as "Compounding".
We always make sure that a configuration is highly profitable with compounding OFF before we turn it on. In this case, the results are magical.
When we are backtesting for the best configurations, there are a few things to keep in mind,
these principles are true for any Alerts generating indicator:
1) Has it traded recently, within the last few months? (Yes)
2) Has it been profitable each year if only traded for that year? (Yes)
3) Has it broke even or performed well in a bear market? (Yes)
As you can see, this configuration has traded recently,
It also meets all of the other criteria. Therefore, this would suffice as a tradeable config in our eyes.
In short, why is this pack so successful?
1) Compounding.
2) Long trading history (10yr+).
3) Low SL (Stop Loss) of 6 prevents losing large amounts and keeps trades tight.
4) The results without compounding are stellar to begin with, good start, good finish.
5) Years of backtesting experience from our team culminates in epic configurations.
The 1D chart equates to a longer period of time between trades than most people are used to, which results in approx 1 trade per 1-2 months.
Most people are looking for quick scalping trades but as you can see here, NSV4 has steadily outperformed almost any strategy using complex combinations of basic trading principles and trading for a long period of time.
The tortoise wins the race, in this case.
We generally like to use NSV4 between 60m and 1D, anywhere in between. Sometime obscure timeframes such as 177m or 431min seem to do well. It takes time backtesting to find the best results, as with any script.
Do you know of any other Alerts generating indicators on TradingView that have achieved this level of success? I haven't found any yet! I am anxious to try these settings and to keep testing!
-spiftheninja
PROFIT WHILE YOU SLEEP
Bot
#UNIBOT/USDT 12h (Gateio) Falling wedge near breakoutUnibot pulled back to 100EMA support, looks ready to bounce and resume bullish from here.
⚡️⚡️ #UNIBOT/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Huobi.pro
Signal Type: Regular
Amount: 7.7%
Current Price:
72.17
Entry Zone:
72.15 - 66.11
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 90.57
1) 106.72
1) 122.87
Stop Targets:
1) 51.19
Published By: @Zblaba
$UNIBOT GATEIO:UNIBOTUSDT #Unibot #Telegram #Bot unibot.app
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +31.0% | +54.4% | +77.7%
Possible Loss= -26.0%
Estimated Gaintime= 10-30 days
Navigate the Markets with PressureO DMI
Idea Description:
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Trading requires more than just data; it demands context. PressureO DMI provides that context by overlaying directly onto your charts, offering a visual guide to market pressure points. It's designed to enhance your interpretation of market trends, helping you to identify potential entry and exit points with greater confidence.
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Try the PressureO DMI today and step into a realm where data meets intuition. You're not just applying an indicator; you're adopting a piece of market wisdom, a slice of a trader's life-long quest for consistent performance.
How To Make Money With Crypto Trading BotsWe are at the beginning of a huge crypto bull run when it is possible to make millions of dollars with strong altcoins. So how is it possible to know if an altcoin strong or it is weak?
Look at the community around the altcoin you want to profit with. I prefer to count the traffic which comes to its official website first. Is the traffic rising or it is falling?
Also look at the altcoin's twitter and discord. How people react to the news. Do they write many comments or not?
But the most important thing is which funds have invested into the altcoin.
Lets look at the biggest gainers from the previous bull run. I remember Solana, THETA, Polkadot, Cosmos etc.
I prefer altcoins which were funded by Tier 1 funds. At least one or two (there are only 22 Tier 1 funds in the market now).
After that I look at the chart. I don't want to buy altcoins that are already overpriced.
One of the best examples of altcoins I have found for accumulation for the future bull run is APTos. It is not very expensive, have the great community, valuable traffic to its official website and so on.
We will need to find 10 - 15 altcoins like APTos to make our millions of dollars. And I will help you to find the most profitable ones.
The best way to accumulate an altcoin I have found is starting a position with a grid trading bot. It is the most simple yet very powerful tool you can use to get as much altcoins as possible before it is not too late.
Why I prefer to use grid trading bots? Because these bots can accumulate literally "free" altcoins for me. Here is how I use grid trading bots.
First I need to define the range for trading and second - how many orders will trading bot have.
And with APTos the low price for the trading is $ 3 and the high one is $ 25.
The number of open orders are 100. And the profit is 0.72% ~ 7.16% per grid.
So what is the goal? The trading bot should return to me all the money I invested and also it should give me a certain number of APT coins before I close it.
After that I can start a new trading bot position with the USD the bot have made for me and keep APT coins for the bull market to sell at the best price.
Do you like the strategy I use to accumulate strong alcoins for the crypto bull run?
Trading AutomationI am just going to put it out there, as you know I have said time and time again in my streams. Personally, the whole automated trading concept is not for me. However, that’s not to say there are not some good strategies, tools and instruments that could work for some people.
Risk tolerance, time frames, bull vs bear markets all play a role in trading. This is emphasised when the trading is automated.
A few weeks back, myself and @Paul_Varcoe starting streaming about shorter timeframes and automation. We said we were working on something in the background – mostly to do with trading via prop firms. Here’s on of my streams on that topic. So, the next part was automation.
Here's one of these streams:
www.tradingview.com
I have been lurking around a couple of services, tools and platforms – one of these is a company/product called 3Commas. A few things I found interesting.
One of which is that it supports multiple cryptocurrency exchanges, allowing users to trade on various platforms using a single interface. For the Tradingview community this is a very useful option. You can even go as far as connecting your bot to one or more TradingView indicators of your choice, and the bot will automatically receive alerts and open trades accordingly.
My reluctance of automation has always been, if a bot can do it – we won’t need Doctors or Police officers as they will all want to be professional traders. I have also spent some time in the money management sector and know the investment and effort some very large operators have put into the automation game. What I liked about this 3commas platform, is that it opens the door for retail to play in this world.
Having access to trading bots that can execute trades automatically based on predefined strategies is one factor, it still requires users to set up custom trading strategies or choose from a marketplace of existing strategies developed by other users. So, what this means is if you have a specific trading strategy you can link directly from Tradingview and just allow it to open trades.
I have taken this image as an example from their site, it’s easier than trying to write it myself.
There also seems to be a lot of open-source code, literature and information readily available online. All beneficial factors if you’re planning on going down the automation route.
Myself and Paul have been more conventional traders, operating in well established markets. But of course we have had our dabbles in alt coins, Bitcoin and so on. It seems to be the way the world is shifting.
I have been using webhooks on Tradingview recently to trade Aussie dollar and Euro on smaller timeframes just sending an alert to one of my channels – but the ability to take out the execution stage is a new one on me. If you’re a crypto fanatic I can say this is worth a look for sure!
When looking at this automation, I found another editors pick here on @TradingView
So, although I know very little about the strategy or the individual trader @Bjorgum who wrote the article, it’s a great example of the type of power mixing things like 3Commas and Tradingview can yield. Throughout 2023 I have shown and shared several articles on Prop firm trading, shorter timeframes and even how to use Chat GPT to write Tradingview indicators.
Link to one of them:
www.tradingview.com
My next step is to use chat GPT to program an indicator I can fully automate (market condition depending) to link to 3Commas using TV as the glue.
Here’s an example of what I mean:
I literally asked ChatGPT this question “can you write a pinescript version 4 code to enter trades based on pivot point breakouts taking profits at S2 and R2 with stop losses in the other direction at R1 and S1.”
I got a reply;
Before you ask - The code will probably get rejected to put out as an indicator as Pinescript will say “Pivot point indicators are readily available” but copy and paste my question above and you should get a similar result. Of course, this is only an example. Feel free to play around with your own strategies and concepts.
The idea then is to take this through the papertesting and backtesting to refine a strategy that you feel comfortable with in terms of plugging into a bot and connecting to your broker.
The whole concept for me is mind blowing, the fact that anyone can have a Tradingview account, use ChatGPT to build and indicator and execute a trade via your broker on a platform like 3Commas.
Over the next couple of weeks I intend on digging a little deeper with these and either start with using ChatGPT to link a strategy via Tradingview into 3Commas or take a strategy or indicator off the shelf and test drive it in a stream or sequence of streams.
Maybe give me some ideas, if you like? what timeframes? What instruments etc...
This will be part of the educational, how to make trading automation a real thing series.
Anyways! Enjoy the Holidays - Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to you all!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Sell Target at 43k & Buy Target at 13kLet’s see how this long position unfolds!
Only 4.2% of my time is spent on taking action, the rest of 95.8% are spent on waiting, planning, testing, reviewing, assessing, studying, etc...
So now ask yourself a few questions:
1. How much of a portion of your time is spent on taking action?
2. How often do you over-trade OR revenge-trade?
3. How does impulsive trades affect your consistency?
I believe the best Traders have the highest ability to sit with their hands.
The ability to look at a high volatility market environment and say "no", and yet only focus on your plan should be the end goal of us as a day trader.
There are countless of market opportunities everyday, but how many of them are meant for you?
Bullish potential detected for BOTFollowing a few stocks in the ASX of particular interest, BOT represents a potential bullish opportunity should momentum continue and higher highs and higher lows be made past the current position. I'll cover this more in the upcoming weekly video, however as can be seen in the chart, the stock price is currently testing prior resistance (now support) of $0.14 and thus far intraday is also achieving good support from the $0.14/$0.145 level, aligning with technical indicators of RSI and DMI. Personal stop loss for the trade would be the low of the recent gap-down on 26-Sep (i.e.: below the low of $0.115).
Demo of first complete TradingView Strategy called BunnyIntroducing Bunny - the groundbreaking TradingView strategy that promises to revolutionize the world of online trading. Developed by a team of experts in the field, Bunny offers a comprehensive and innovative approach to trading by combining advanced technical analysis tools with a user-friendly interface. With its intuitive design, Bunny allows traders to easily create, test, and deploy custom strategies tailored to their unique trading preferences. Whether you are a seasoned investor or just starting in the world of trading, Bunny provides users with a fully immersive experience that unlocks the full potential of TradingView's platform. With its array of powerful features and comprehensive market data, Bunny offers the necessary tools and insights to analyze market trends, make informed trading decisions, and maximize profits. Embark on a new trading journey with Bunny and unlock the doors to success in the ever-evolving world of financial markets.
Huge Buy Opportunity For $AIMBOT Is Approaching$AIMBOT has been all the rage over the past two weeks, and rightfully so. The rev share for this project has been impressive for just being a month old. Aimbot's price increased by 7x in a matter of 11 days. Since then, we have seen the price come back down to earth a bit. We have seen a perfect bounce off of the .618 Fib, but I think we are going lower. The sentiment in the market right now is that September is always a bad month for Crypto. With that said, I think most are a bit hesitant to jump into trades with large positions. When looking at the volume profile, the majority of buys come from the $5 range. I will be looking to accumulate anywhere between $5-$8. I doubt we see the price dip below that.
How much should the order amount be in quantitative trading ?First, you need to determine how your strategy calculates the order quantity, which can be based on:
1. Quantity of shares
2. Amount of money
3. Percentage
This article elaborates on the points of using "Fixed Order Amount" .
The amount of margin required for a trade depends on your risk tolerance.
Using "BOT | Trend" as an example,
In the backtested performance, a fixed "initial capital leveraged by 1x" is used as the order amount for each trade,
with a maximum drawdown of 25%, meaning the assets decrease by 25% from the "peak performance point" to the subsequent lowest point (1000 ➡️ 750).
Therefore, there are two key points to note here:
* The amount of margin required should consider “How much risk you can bear? ”
Assuming you currently have 1000 to operate "BOT | Trend," and you can tolerate a maximum loss of 500 (-50%), then the total amount of each trade (margin * leverage) can be set as 2000, and so on.
Example: Now you have 2000, and you can tolerate a maximum loss of 400 (-20%), then the total amount of each trade (margin * leverage) is 1600.
Practice: Now you have 5000, and you can tolerate a maximum loss of 2000 (-40%), then the total amount of each trade (margin * leverage) is ______ (Hint: What is 25% of 2000?).
* Timing to start running quantitative trading.
Running a "trend-following" quantitative trading strategy should not start during a continuous profitable period but rather when the strategy incurs losses (relative low point of equity). This is because for trend strategies, sideways market conditions can cause the strategy to go long at highs and short at lows, resulting in a depletion of funds during this period. Starting during a continuous profitable period is likely to encounter fund depletion right after entering because markets alternate between trending and ranging phases.
Answer: 8000
1% Grid Bot StrategyA Grid Bot strategy generally involves placing multiple buy and sell orders at predefined intervals (grids) within a specified price range. When the price moves up or down and hits these orders, it will automatically buy or sell the asset. The aim is to capture profits from price fluctuations within this range.
Here's a simple example of a Grid Bot strategy using Pine Script on TradingView. In this strategy:
We define a start price, an end price, and the number of grids.
We calculate the grid size (distance between grids).
For each grid, we place a buy order at the grid price minus half the grid size, and a sell order at the grid price plus half the grid size.
We assume that each order has a fixed size.
Please note: This is a basic conceptual implementation and does not consider various factors that might be necessary for a real trading environment (like slippage, fees, order execution guarantees, etc.). Make sure to adapt and test the strategy thoroughly before considering live usage.
Successful Automated Trading : Alpha Scalping Bot (XAUSUSD)Alpha Scalping Bot ( FX:XAUUSD )
From 2019 until now
Percent Profitable : 73.8%
Profit Factor : 4.4
Max Drawdown : Very Low 2.5%
We all know how it can be challenging, frustrating, struggling to make money especially in bear market. Save your energy, your emotions, your nerves! Alpha Scalping will allow you to sleep better and make money while you sleep!
We tested hundreds of indicators, strategies, bots since 2010, today we will start to release a series of successful bots and automatic strategies for you, some of them will be free, some of them will be paid (monthly subscriptions)
We will also indicate how to connect the Alpha Scalping to your Binance or FTX account so you can trade automatically.
Alpha Scalping is suitable for Crypto, Forex, Commodities, indexes ...
Enjoy, subscribe and stay tuned!
DM me if you want to access to Alpha Scalping Bots
Buy and sellimport backtrader as bt
class MovingAverageCrossover(bt.Strategy):
params = (
("fast_window", 20),
("slow_window", 50),
("order_percentage", 0.95),
("take_profit_percentage", 0.03),
("stop_loss_percentage", 0.02),
)
def __init__(self):
self.fast_average = bt.indicators.SimpleMovingAverage(
self.data.close, period=self.params.fast_window
)
self.slow_average = bt.indicators.SimpleMovingAverage(
self.data.close, period=self.params.slow_window
)
def next(self):
if self.position:
if self.data.close >= self.sell_price:
self.sell()
elif self.data.close < self.stop_loss:
self.sell()
else:
if self.data.close > self.fast_average :
self.buy_price = self.data.close * (1 + self.params.take_profit_percentage)
self.stop_loss = self.data.close * (1 - self.params.stop_loss_percentage)
size = self.params.order_percentage * self.broker.cash
self.buy(size=size)
if __name__ == "__main__":
cerebro = bt.Cerebro()
data = bt.feeds.YahooFinanceData(dataname="AAPL", fromdate="2020-01-01", todate="2021-12-31")
cerebro.adddata(data)
cerebro.addstrategy(MovingAverageCrossover)
cerebro.run()
avax usdt👌avax Usdt
🌹Smart capital management
Leverage 3
✅short term (short)
🔵amount : 1
🔵min balance : 1000$
🔵up:20
🔵down :14.9
🔵Order difference : 0.1%
🔵Order sell: 0.2%
🔵tp:10$
✅mid term (long)
🔴amount : 2
🔴min balance : 1000$
🔴up: 22
🔴down : 14
🔴Order difference : 0.2%
🔴Order sell: 0.5%
🔴tp:150$
✅long term (long)
🟢amount : 10
🟢min balance : 1000$
🟢up:30
🟢down :9
🟢Order difference : 1%
🟢Order sell: 1.5%
🟢tp:1000$
❗Open only with bot scm
Difficult decisions The bot signalled a double confirmation long on SGDJPY but looking at the chart I have my doubts. USDJPY is clearly the stronger of the two and has moved back above the inflection level, where as SGD is looking weaker after falling below INF and showing some bearish price action.
Interestingly however USDJPY didn't signal from the bot, so the difficult decision is to trust the bot and enter SGD or go without a clear signal and buy USD?
Neither trade really fits into my playbook, so I'm sitting on my hands for now.
Modular Trading Bot Framework (Example)This is another example of my NLX Trading Framework, in combination with two modules: A Trend Filter and QQE Signals.
The high success rate is possible because of partial take profits during the swing trades.
Combined with my scalper module it's possible to achieve really impressive returns, see: imgur.com
Check my signature below for more details about the framework.
1. Bots for everybodyHello there!
My name is Vlad I want to share my opinion regarding Pine bots.
First of all I would like to inform - I do not believe in "Universal the best bot for every case". A lot of people agree with me, and here are few points of it:
1. Cryptocurrency market - not a robot, it is filled by real people. In this case you cannot predict their behaviour, but if you think you can - you shall loose your money faster than anyone else.
Please remember - no one could predict crypto price movement more than with 60% successful trade deals. If You see somebody, who does better - check his activities once again before believe him ,probably this person tries to two-times you.
2. There is no bot can trade successfully only. There will be a lot of days/months every bot will lose you money.
3. Do not believe in any promise like "This bot is the best, You have to buy only and wait for your money! Just buy this program and enjoy your first million!"
If you see that - just run out of it as fast as you can! Your money is at risk and you will pay twice - first for bot, second for trading.
After all this notices it seems we can start.
In this topic we will discuss what trading bot is and how and why it works.
Every trading bot is nothing but written script with its behaviour. It fully depends on inputting data and outputting data(strange, isn't it?). but it is true and constant thing you should remember. No matter where this bot has been run - on your computer with a strong internet or on cloud(true for not-arbitrage only). Every bot takes information, process the data and return some value( to buy , for example). There is no universal bot which can be so adaptive to market to be able change its script fast and successfully and trade profitably all the time. I will describe the ML bots later, but notice - it will be controversial topic 100%(HOLLYWAR!!!).
First thing first.
In this topic you will not find any information about arbitrage-bots.
Lets have a look at two kinds of bots( in my opinion):
1. For short term trading
2. For long term trading
Let's take a closer look at the first one. In this case we are trading inside one day(max one week). This case bots generally always use stop limits, always close position after the conditions are met. It does not keep a lot of open orders and positions and does not need huge capital to start with.
Example -
A bot gets:
Input information - supertrend indicator(0 if red, 1 if green)
Output - make an limit order for buy short(if supertrend red) and reverse to long(green).
Inside the script could be a lot of different conditions like if, while, counts and values that makes the script choose when it should open the order and when should close. But in all the cases - it looks like that. Nothing else. The complexity of the script determines the rules for entering an order or, and is a reflection of the finished idea (trading strategy). The bot "in vacuum" does nothing but reflects the idea of the author of strategy.
How can we see the success bot depends the most on strategy. Of course it is important to have the great cod inside bot, but without good strategy - it costs nothing.
In the next post we will take closer look at long term bot trading and figure out what trading automatization is.
Thanks for attention,
Vlad.
Cross-Exchange Crypto Arbitrages Opportunities AnalysisDue to the inefficiency that still exist within the new crypto industry, large arbitrages exist especially during periods of volatility . Presenting risk-minimal trading opportunities for individuals, sometimes without the need to hold the token/crypto asset for very long at all.
Trading-view did not allow me to share less then 15min timeframe chart, but to analysis arbitrages you need a much smaller time-frame, for example as i examine in 1 minute time-frames below:
The first chart show the price differences between different exchanges for the same asset (easy enough for anyone to setup, just subtract price on one exchange from the price on another for the same token pair). Whilst the second chart shows a small circle / dot whenever an arbitrage of more then 1% opportunity occurs, with the y-axis showing the percentage differences (or gains to be made) from that pairing. If that difference is greater than set 'min_profitability' a label will also pop up with showing which exchange to BUY (or LONG) and which exchange to SELL (or SHORT) the asset to gain this arbitrage profit (eg. >1% - fee's). The labels will remain as long as thats the most recent opportunities for those exchanges, and disappear when a new opportunity arises on that exchange pairing.
To take advantage of this tool:
1. Setup custom charts like i did. And then your 'var' set, go to 'settings' and it gives you options; where you put the name of different exchanges you would like to use (followed by a ":") and then whatever crypto asset(pairing) you want to trade. Eg. in this example i have put BINANCE:LUNABUSD as the first option, KUCOIN:LUNAUSDT , etc.. but you could pick lots of different ones, looking for whatever has good patterns and sufficient liquidity. My tips: i first go to crypto screener: ( www.tradingview.com ), and sort out based on certain criteria, including '24 hour trade volume' > X amount, Volatility > X% amount etc, looking for pairs that have high volatility (means will have lot more arbitrage opportunities) and the exchange/pair have sufficient trade volume & liquidity to allow for high frequency and high enough volume trades to occur. At the time of posting this, OKCOIN:LUNCUSD , COINBASE:OMGUSD , BINANCE:THETAUSDT , BINANCE:GMTUSDT are other examples that have very high volatility. Even INDEX:BTCUSD showed some high volatility this week, and as such would be suitable.
2. Then you can do one of three things here:
Option (a) Bot-trading : to analysis opportunities for using a arbitrage bot find the pair with the best pulsating or radio frequency look. Or in other words an exchange and crypto pair that has a good high frequency pulse (the blue in this example as such is the best exchange pairs). Also not necessarily want the pair with highest arbitrage as you need a pairing that moves above and below the 0 (zero-line) frequently, so it can do lot of trades both ways for example Exchange A > Exchange B (A.BUY > B.SELL) and then (A.SELL >N.BUY), to keep rebalancing the portfolio or holdings of crypto asset or stable-coin in the exchanges so trades can keep occurring frequently and arbitrage profits can be realised. Then you can also examine the pulses and find at what percentage the pulses 'candles' tends to cross or hit above/below the most frequent (or is the most profitable on analysis over a 24hour window) to config your bot. In this case the green lines the blue one tends to hit frequently, so as such this would be the min profitability config i set for the bot on this exchange pairing. This strategy might hold more risk as need to hold both currencies on all exchanges to do it. This approach could also be done manually, if doing it manually set up ALERTS for whenever the dots occur (arbitrage opportunities) which will signal a notification on your tradingview app (computer and/or phone) informing you what trades to make and then do those.
Option (b) Manually Transfer Between Exchanges: the method that Sam Bankman-Fried first got rich and famous for doing with his Alameda Research company before he founded FTX ( finance.yahoo.com ). To do this strategy look for the one with the big arbitrages that hold for a long-time, and manually buy the crypto on exchange 1 (↑) that is the lowest, and then transfer it over manually to sell it on exchange 2 (↓). On this one example, an arbitrage between HUOBI:LUNAUSDT & BINANCE:LUNABUSD of 12.5% occurred today and it has also held up that arbitrage (>2%) for most of the day. If more then one pair is in arbitrage, then you can repeat across a 3rd exchange, before coming over to the first exchange again. This way you balance out all your assets (across the exchanges) back to where they were to start with. Make sure to pick ones that hold their arbitrage for a long-time, so have time to buy, transfer, and sell, then withdraw Fiat or stable-coin back, and exchanges that allow easy withdrawals. Try pick exchanges that have the same bank, or even use the same bank as you do, so withdrawals back to your bank are fast / near instantaneous. The purple in this example is following similar pattern to the KimChi and Japan premiums that Sam Bankman-Fried took advantage of actually, as that is Huobi exchange (a Chinese exchange) which tends to show differences due to different peak trade (liquidity) periods compared to exchanges with Americans and European trading during different time-zones.
Option (c) Derivative Hedge: : probably has the lowest risk. Here to use derivatives or perpetual contracts, and go LONG on the cheaper exchange and go SHORT on the higher priced exchange, so no cross-exchange transfers of assets are needed to re-balance your portfolio across the exchanges, and there is no need to hold onto a possibly risky/highly volatile asset neither. So for this example pick the purple one and then wait until the arbitrage stops, or the difference between the two exchanges comes back near to 0, which you can see on the chart, and then close the positions and thus making the arbitrage gains, and closing off to not hold any crypto. And wait until the peak arbitrage occurs again to open up the two positions again. A hybrid of this can be utilised to minimise your risk in Option (b) to, so open up a SHORT hedge on the exchange once you BUY that crypto and keep that SHORT open until you manage to SELL and withdraw on the other exchange so that you don't risk loses from a sudden price movements of the underlying asset.
Developed by Shane (Laowai Koala on Hummingbot's Discord): Im a sports physiotherapist and Masters in Data Analytics university student (not at all a financial expert), whom is just practicing some coding and data science skills. Still learning, and trying hypothesis out to make easier for anyone. As such this is just opinions and not financial advise, and also may have some bugs in the indicator script code i still need to improve or fix up before its open source (patience is a virtue).
Expected Key Points ETH 11 May 2022ETH 11 May 2022
The current implied volatility is at 81.61%/year
So that converted into daily is 5.14%
The opening price was on 30970
So based on that our
TOP 2460
BOT 2220
This channel has a 82.4% change to sustain based on the last 290 candles
At the same time with 80.3% we can affirm that the price is going to be above
TOP 2377
BOT 2303
From fundamental point, today we have CPI release and this marks a huge volatility moment
From volume point, current POC is around 2375
We can expect now with close to 65% that the market is going to end up between
TOP 2375-2460
BOT 2305-2220






















