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BTC Bitcoin CRASHING! Is the $74K Floor About to BREAK?The macro narrative heading into this week is dominated by a sharp "crisis of confidence" as Bitcoin recently plunged nearly 40% from its 2025 all-time highs 🏦. The primary driver is a combination of risk-off sentiment triggered by the hawkish stance of the new Federal Reserve nominee and a massive $2.5 billion liquidation event that swept through the derivatives market. Interestingly, general online sentiment has hit "rock bottom" with a notable shift toward extreme fear, suggesting a potential liquidity hunt before any sustainable recovery can take place. While some institutional voices are calling for a further drop toward the $60,000 handle, the current proximity to one-year lows usually signals that the retail crowd is already maxed out on pessimism 🧹. We are seeing a Bearish Market Structure on the Daily timeframe 📈, characterized by aggressive selling pressure that has pushed price into a critical structural retest. However, widespread community chatter is heavily leaning into the "death cross" and further collapse, which often tells me retail is positioned poorly for a potential relief bounce. Price is currently testing a significant green support zone identified between $74,000 and $76,000, which aligns with the previous accumulation range seen in early 2025. We are currently trading at the bottom of the range, effectively "balancing on a knife-edge" near $76,405. I am watching for a 'run on liquidity' to sweep the late sellers I'm seeing across various social forums who are chasing the breakdown 🧹. If we see a failure to close below the $74,000 level, it could set the stage for a violent short squeeze as those bearish retail positions are forced to cover.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDShort
by fxtraderanthony
Why BTC is Heading to $43k!Looking at the weekly chart, the picture for Bitcoin is becoming increasingly bearish. We have a clearly defined Head and Shoulders pattern, and the recent price action suggests we are at a critical tipping point. Technical Outlook: The "Right Shoulder" has just been completed right around the 2025 Open level. My primary scenario involves a short-term corrective bounce towards the zone between the 2026 Open (~$88,000) and 2025 Open (~$94,000) to flip previous support into resistance. Following this, I expect a continuation of the downtrend with a primary target at the 2024 Open level (the ~$42k - $45k area), representing a potential -44% move from current levels. Fundamental Headwinds: Institutional Exit: Over the last 3 months, we've witnessed a massive $6.18 billion outflow from BTC ETFs. BlackRock Signal: Notably, even BlackRock's client base has shown a significant shift toward selling, which often precedes a deeper market correction. The MicroStrategy Risk: With their average purchase price hovering around $76,052, the current market price puts them near a break-even point. If BTC sustains a move below $70k, the pressure on their balance sheet becomes a real "black swan" threat. The 2nd Year Presidential Cycle: We are currently in the second year of Trump's presidency. Historically, the 2nd year of any US presidency over the last 50 years has been the weakest for high-risk assets. This is typically the year when economic "skeletons in the closet" appear. I don't expect a sustainable bull run until 2027 (the 3rd year), when administrations historically pump the markets to ensure favorable re-election conditions. Conclusion: The technical breakdown combined with institutional outflows and unfavorable cyclical timing points to a long-term correction. Watch the 2024 Open level as the ultimate magnet. Resistance Zone: $88,000 - $94,000 Target: $43,000 (2024 Open) Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk!
Short
by BMN_Trades
Bitcoin Bounce Here!?If you find this information helpful or inspiring, please consider a boost and a follow. Any questions or comments are always welcome. Bitcoin has just printed a swift selloff that swept 74,420, a level that immediately stands out as a potential swing pivot failure. This move also allows for two potential completed Elliott Wave interpretations, both of which suggest the possibility of a change in direction. That said, it is still too early to declare a confirmed trend change. From a structural perspective, the decline shows characteristics that allow for a completed larger degree Zigzag, as well as a completed Wave 3 of a lesser degree. Both interpretations point toward the possibility of a directional shift, even if that shift initially presents itself as only a weak or corrective bounce. The key word here is possibility, not certainty. So far, we have seen a fast move down followed by a sharp reaction. On its own, that is not enough. What matters next is how price behaves internally. For confirmation, the market needs to retrace the swift move up in a corrective manner and hold a Higher Low, ideally within our TDU AOI. Without that structure, any upside remains vulnerable to being just another countertrend reaction. If that Higher Low does form, the focus then shifts to whether price can challenge and break the most recent Lower High. A successful break would support the idea of at least a C wave advance for a Wave 4 within a larger impulse. If the Zigzag variant has completed, there is also the potential for further upside. What strengthens this area is the confluence across multiple counts. Both the corrective and impulsive interpretations currently lean toward the same near term directional outcome, even if their longer term implications differ. This alignment increases interest, but it does not replace confirmation. Additional confluence is also present through the swing failure pattern and surrounding support resistance. For now, this remains a tracking environment. The approach here is conservative by design. Let the market show its hand through structure, not assumptions. Until internal confirmation appears, patience remains the edge. Trade Safe! Trade Clarity!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoKnee
1
The key is whether it can rise above 79.9K ~ 80.9K Hello, fellow traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- #BTCUSDT It's testing support near the left Fibonacci level of 1.618 (76787.43). The key to this uptrend is whether it can break above the Fibonacci 1.902 (79902.66) level on the right and Fibonacci 2 (80999.68) levels on the left. If it fails to rise, it could lead to further declines, so we need to consider countermeasures. The maximum decline is expected to be around 69000 to 73499.86. Therefore, we should monitor the trading volume as it approaches the maximum decline. The next period of volatility is expected around February 7th. - Thank you for reading. We wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
2
Bitcoin recovers, back above support —daily timeframeYesterday's candle produced the highest buy (green) volume in a year, since February 2025. Whenever strong buy activity happens at bottom prices, at a new low or near support, a reversal is bound to happen or close. A reversal can happen the same day, within hours or within days. We have still 1-2 weeks of shaky action, until mid-February, so the market fully turns. The market is mixed right now with a strong bearish bias; but, multiple strong reversal signals are starting to show up. Reversal signals do not become invalidated when the market continues down, they become strengthen with each new drop. Bitcoin has been moving within a strong bearish wave since early October 2025. Lately, the down-move seems over-extended and we expect green this month after the final low is in. The final low can be any level before a new bullish phase. As long as Bitcoin trades above the April 2025 low at $74,500, there is potential for growth. If the action moves below this level, blue on the chart, the bears have the upper hand and we expect lower prices. If the action moves above, a recovery can start —a bullish wave. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
1
Pause, then drop — BTC won’t stop Back in October, I shared my view: BTC below 81K, with a deeper move toward 60K. So far, price action is following this path step by step. After several days of strong selling pressure, Bitcoin is taking a technical pause — a normal cooldown before the next move. What I’m watching right now 👀 • A short-term push into the 84,000–84,500 area • This zone looks like a potential resistance • From there, I expect continuation to the downside and a new local low My downside targets 🎯 Breaking the move into clear steps: • 🥇 Target 1: 80,000 • 🥈 Target 2: 78,000 • 🥉 Target 3: 73,000 and potentially lower Between these levels, short consolidations are possible before the next leg down. Trade idea (my personal plan) 🧠 • 📍 Short area: 84,000–84,500 • ⛔ Stop: 84,700 A move into this zone does not cancel the bearish structure, but it defines risk and adjusts positioning. Invalidation zone ⚠️ • ❌ 84,700 As long as price stays below this level, the bearish structure remains valid. For now, momentum stays on the downside. Watching reactions at resistance before the next impulse. 🐻📉
Short
by chart1stry
8
Bitcoin back below support, the magic has been undoneThe "magical happening" recently has been undone as Bitcoin is now back below support hitting a new low and lowest price since early November 2024. February is a tricky month, at the start. We are looking at the worst possible ever, the worst possible scenario is developing right in front of our eyes. The deeper it goes, the better. The stronger the crash, the bigger the recovery. Bitcoin is going the "straight down" route making no stops. It is still early in the month though, we can easily experience a continuation now, as it is happening, followed by a strong recovery. Next target is $65,000 which matches the 0.786 Fib. retracement level on the current chart. Below this level, we have two additional support mid-term, $55,555 and $50,000. Stay tuned for a more detailed update. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
Bitcoin Holds Heavy Support — Bullish Flag Signals Next ImpulseAs I expected in my previous idea , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) reached its targets and rose as anticipated. Currently, Bitcoin is moving within the heavy support zone($78,260-$70,080). From a classical technical analysis standpoint, on the 15-minute timeframe, Bitcoin seems to be forming a bullish flag pattern, which is a good sign for continued short-term upside. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears Bitcoin is completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) on the 15-minute timeframe. We should expect the start of a 5-wave impulsive move next. I expect Bitcoin to continue upward in the next few hours, at least toward the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($80,100-$79,450) and possibly fill parts of the upper CME Gap($84,560-$79,660). What’s your view on Bitcoin’s direction, at least for the next couple of days? I’d love to hear your thoughts! First Target: Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($80,100-$79,450) Second Target: $80,971 Stop Loss(SL): $76,281 Points may shift as the market evolves Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,170-$84,760 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $77,460-$76,600 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $75,000-$74,000 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Long
by pejman_zwin
39
BTC – Bearish Pullback Scenario Toward 50% Fibonacci (~63,000$)BTC – Bearish Pullback Scenario Toward 50% Fibonacci (~63,000$) BTC is currently showing signs of structural weakness after rejection from the upper Fibonacci resistance zone (0.786–0.88). Price failed to hold above this area and has started forming lower highs, suggesting momentum is shifting bearish in the short to mid term. From a Fibonacci retracement perspective, the 50% level (red line) around 63,000$ stands out as a key magnet price. Historically, BTC tends to revisit this level during deeper corrections within larger bullish cycles. Key confluences supporting this bearish pullback: Loss of momentum after ATH rejection Breakdown below local support and short-term moving average Market structure shifting from impulsive to corrective 50% Fib aligning with prior consolidation and demand zone Bearish Scenario: If BTC fails to reclaim and hold above the 0.618 Fib, continuation to the 50% Fib (~63K) becomes highly probable. This level could act as a major reaction zone for either a strong bounce or further downside. Bullish Invalidation: A clean reclaim and hold above the 0.786 Fib resistance would invalidate this bearish outlook and open the door for continuation toward highs. ⚠️ This analysis reflects a correction within a macro uptrend, not a trend reversal. Not financial advice. Always manage risk. Please comment what do you think BTC next scenario would be?
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by khaledabdrabo
BITCOIN and the powerful Stoch RSI Cycle SignalThe Stoch RSI is a very rarely used indicator, in fact the last time we made use of it on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was around the bottom of the 2022 Bear Cycle. We bring it forward to you once more as December closed with the 1M Stoch RSI below the 20.00 level. Historically, every time the market did that, BTC's new Bear Cycle had already started but it was still in its beginning. You can see that during the majority of each Bear Cycle, the 1M Stoch RSI settled sideways below the 20.00 mark and when it broke back above it, the new Bull Cycle had already started. The time distance between those signals during the last two Cycles has been just over 1 year (13 months, 396 days). This suggests that by January 2027, BTC's new Bull Cycle will already have started most likely. As to a potential bottom? The strongest candidate is the 3W MA100 (red trend-line), which has been hit during all previous three Cycles. That is currently around $53000 and rising, so we expect BTC to hit at least this level before a Bear Cycle bottom around October 2026. Additionally, the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMBs) green Zone, offers a Buy Zone, which priced the November 2022 bottom. So what do you think? Is this Stoch RSI signal useful in your long-term positioning? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
47
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #259Welcome to TradeCity Pro! After a long break, let’s get back to Bitcoin analysis. This analysis is based on the daily timeframe. Daily Timeframe On the daily chart, Bitcoin’s trend turned bearish after stabilizing below 108,000, and the first bearish leg played out down to 85,000. After a period of consolidation and a corrective move up to 97,000, Bitcoin started its next leg lower by breaking the 85,000 low, pushing price down to 76,000. The 76,000 zone is a very important support area for Bitcoin and overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci Extension. We also have another support level around 72,000, so overall we can consider a major support range between 72,000 and 76,000. A clean break of this zone would give us strong confirmation of a bearish trend, and if that happens, Bitcoin would officially enter a bearish cycle. As discussed before, this downside move could extend as far as 44,000. At the same time, during this bearish leg, the RSI has dropped to its support around 22.27 and is now sitting at a momentum support level. If price continues to move lower without consolidation and RSI breaks below 22.27, we could see a very sharp sell-off. Given the strength of the bearish trend, the next downward move could extend toward 65,000, 60,000, or even 53,000. Personally, I’ll be looking to open short positions on a break below 76,000. However, if price fakes a breakdown in the 72,000–76,000 range, or finds support there and starts forming higher highs and higher lows, we can look for long opportunities on lower timeframes—because this 72k–76k zone is a very strong support area and won’t be easy to break. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
3
USDT: are we due for a relief rally? key levels to monitorMarket Cap USDT Dominance. Ready for a crypto relief rally or is fear just getting started? While majors cooled off after the latest macro jitters and profit taking, traders have been hiding in stables, and dominance spiked hard according to market data. Now price is stalling right at the local highs, so this level suddenly matters a lot. On the 4H chart we’ve got a vertical pump into 7.1–7.3% plus RSI sitting in overbought and already curling down – classic “too much, too fast” vibes. Biggest volume shelf is down around 6.3–6.4%, so any unwind of fear can send dominance back into that value zone, which usually means a bounce for BTC and alts. I might be wrong, but current structure looks more like a blow‑off than the start of a calm uptrend. My base case ✅ rejection below 7.2% and a pullback toward 6.4% and possibly 6.2%, where I’d look to add risk on strong coins. Trigger for me is a 4H close back under 7.0% with RSI dropping from overbought. ⚠️ If buyers smash through 7.3% and hold above, then I’ll respect the squeeze, expect 7.5%+ on dominance and stay defensive on alt exposure.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by Trade_Logic_AI
USDCAD Breakout DoneUSDCAD is showing a bullish reversal structure after breaking out of a sustained descending channel, with price reclaiming short term resistance and forming higher lows, signaling a shift from bearish control into accumulation and early trend transition. The recent upside momentum aligns with firm US dollar demand driven by resilient US economic data, elevated Treasury yields, and cautious risk sentiment, while the Canadian dollar faces mixed pressure from fluctuating crude oil prices, softer growth expectations, and a more measured Bank of Canada stance compared to prior tightening cycles. Technically this breakout and consolidation above former supply suggests a classic breakout retest scenario, where the market is building acceptance before continuation, favoring bullish momentum, trend reversal, liquidity grab recovery, and higher high expansion setups as long as price holds above the reclaimed zone, keeping upside targets in play with dip buying interest and sustained USD strength supporting further gains.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
AUDUSD Still PumpingAUDUSD is trading in a strong bullish continuation phase after a clean impulsive breakout, with price currently consolidating above the previous resistance zone that has now flipped into short term support, signaling healthy price acceptance rather than exhaustion. The sharp rally reflects improving risk sentiment, sustained weakness in the US dollar, and supportive fundamentals from Australia including stable RBA policy expectations, resilient labor data, and strength in commodity-linked currencies, while recent US macro data continues to fuel speculation around future Fed easing which keeps downside pressure on USD. Technically this structure favors a pullback and continuation scenario, where shallow retracements are being absorbed by buyers, momentum remains intact, and higher highs with higher lows confirm trend strength, making bullish continuation, trend following, breakout retest, and buy the dip strategies favorable as long as price holds above the key support area and maintains bullish market structure toward higher targets.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Bitcoin: mean-reversion play? key levels and targets aheadBitcoin. Who survived that liquidation nuke and who’s still coping with the PnL trauma? After the latest cascade of longs getting wiped and headlines about cooling ETF flows and tighter liquidity, sentiment flipped from euphoria to “get me out.” That’s exactly when I start hunting for mean‑reversion plays. On the 4H chart we just bounced off a chunky demand block around 76–77k, with a clear volume spike on the low and RSI crawling out of oversold. Price is now camping under the first supply zone near 79.5–80k, right where the last dump accelerated. That combo looks like a classic relief‑rally setup, so I’m leaning short‑term long, aiming back into the 81–82.5k high‑volume area. My plan: I want a small dip toward 77.5–78k to join buyers, with invalidation under 76k. Base case – squeeze into 81–82.5k, maybe even a wick toward 83.5k, where I’d start scaling out. If 76k breaks on strong volume, I drop the long idea and look for the next flush into 74–75k support. I might be wrong, but fading a freshly washed‑out Bitcoin has rarely aged well. ✅
by Trade_Logic_AI
Bitcoin topped versus Gold 11 months ago.On the bright side the cyclical bear market of #BTC vs #GC is actually closer to the end, rather than just starting. Bitcoin has already lost tremendous value vs the Analog SOV With previous cyclical Bears lasting maximum 14 months. Which by that time I believe one if not both of these targets will be met. The troubling aspect is. If BTC achieves target 2 --- then once could argue a Double top has formed. And any subsequent bounce/recovery rally should be treated with suspicion. And furthers declines and retest of this target 2, could open up the trapdoor for a SECULAR Bear market taking us into 2027 before any meaningful recovery can begin. This is a merely observation of what has happened and what is currently unfolding with early (pre-coinbase launching) BTC investors unloading supply most of 2025 into their perceived six figure objective. $100K was always the dream! Will they buy back next bear? I suspect only if it becomes cheap enough. What is cheap for an OG?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BallaJi
BTC Bounce From Demand – Watching Continuation Into Upper ZoneBitcoin reacted strongly from a marked demand area after an extended move down, showing a shift in short-term momentum. Price is now pushing upward into a previously active resistance zone, where reactions have occurred before. The chart outlines a scenario where price continues moving from the lower demand zone toward higher supply, using the highlighted areas as potential reaction points along the way. The shaded risk-to-reward example is only for visual planning, showing how structure can be mapped between zones — not a guarantee of outcome. If price maintains strength above the reclaimed mid-level, continuation toward the upper zone becomes more likely. However, hesitation or rejection near resistance could lead to another rotation back into the range. These zones represent areas of prior market interest, and how price behaves when revisiting them can provide useful information about short-term direction. Patience and confirmation around these levels help avoid getting caught in choppy movement between zones.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FX_CAM
BTC Moving Between Key Zones – Monitoring Reaction at Upper RangBitcoin is currently rotating between clearly defined supply and demand areas, with price recently bouncing from a lower demand zone and pushing back into mid-range resistance. The chart highlights how price has been respecting these zones, using them as turning points during intraday movement. The latest move shows bullish momentum building off the lows, but price is now approaching an upper resistance area where reactions have occurred before. How price behaves here can help define whether the move continues higher through the range or if another pullback develops. The projected path on the chart is simply a visual example of how price may travel between marked zones based on current structure. These areas are not guarantees — they are locations where market participants have previously shown strong interest. Staying patient around these levels and waiting for clear price behavior can help avoid getting caught in the middle of range movement.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by FX_CAM
Bitcoin Is Not Bouncing — It’s Sliding Inside a Bearish ChannelBitcoin remains firmly trapped inside a well-defined descending channel, and the structure is doing exactly what a controlled bearish market is supposed to do: lower highs, lower lows, and weak corrective bounces. From a price structure standpoint, the recent sell-off was impulsive, breaking multiple short-term supports and accelerating price into the lower half of the channel. The bounce we are seeing now is purely corrective, capped below the descending channel resistance and the dynamic EMA, which is acting as active supply, not support. The orange projection highlights the most probable path: - A weak relief rally toward channel mid / EMA resistance - Followed by continuation lower, targeting the next liquidity pocket The highlighted horizontal zone around 74,500–75,000 is not strong demand, it is a reaction zone, already tested and partially consumed. Once price revisits this area again, the probability favors acceptance below, opening the door toward the next major liquidity magnet near 71,900. Trend & Momentum Context: Trend bias: Bearish (lower timeframe) Market behavior: Controlled distribution, not capitulation No structural sign of accumulation (no base, no absorption, no higher low) Macro & Liquidity Logic: Risk assets are currently repricing under tighter financial conditions and reduced speculative appetite. Until Bitcoin reclaims the upper boundary of the descending channel with acceptance, any bounce should be treated as sell-side liquidity, not trend reversal. Key Takeaway: This is not a dip to buy blindly. As long as Bitcoin remains inside this descending channel, rallies are reactions, and continuation risk points lower. The market is leaking liquidity patiently, structurally, and without panic.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by HENRY_TraderGold
2
Support and Resistance in relation to SMCIn this video I go through a bit of my analysis as it pertains to the concepts of Support and Resistance, and how I use those ideologies to further add confluence to my bias, narrative, and trade setups. This is in no way a p*ssing contest. Any combination of factors can create a positive edge, especially when experience comes into play. However, I prefer to actually understand what price is doing rather than rely on patterns alone. - R2F Trading
Short
by Road_2_Funded