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Btcanalysis

Bitcoin Roadmap– Next Move Down Incoming?As I expected yesterday , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started rising from the Support zone($107,580-$106,700) and has now hit its Target at the Resistance zone($110,430-$109,380) . Now the question is: will Bitcoin continue its short-term uptrend in the next few hours, or is it going to drop again? Stay with me to find out. Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($110,430-$109,380) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($111,613-$110,542) . From an Elliott Wave perspective , it seems that Bitcoin is completing the wave C of an Expanding Flat Corrective Pattern(ABC/3-3-5) . Given that the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) ( which has recently been correlated with Bitcoin ) is likely to drop when the U.S. market opens , I expect Bitcoin to resume its decline . This next drop might be the final push to break the Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) . What do you think? Can Bitcoin break that Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) in the end or not? Let me know your thoughts! Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,606-$105,463 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
13
BTC/USD: Testing Key Supply Zone; Expecting Rejection1. Market Context (Prior Movement) The chart opens shortly after a sharp, significant downtrend from levels well above $118,000. Following the crash, the price action has been primarily sideways to slightly choppy, consolidating the large prior move. 2. Key Structure: Supply Zone The price recently saw a sharp, bullish candle that tested a new high in the consolidation but was immediately sold off. This peak region is highlighted by the teal box, which represents a Supply Zone (or Resistance Zone) between approximately $112,000 and $113,800. This zone signifies where sellers previously stepped in forcefully, absorbing the demand and pushing the price down. 3. Current Price Action and Prediction The price is currently retesting the lower boundary of this key Supply Zone. The chart includes a bearish prediction (downward arrow) originating from the Supply Zone. This suggests an expectation that the zone will hold, leading to a rejection and a move back down. The predicted downside target is the dotted line at approximately $109,233, which aligns with a previous area of support within the recent consolidation range. In simple terms, the price is at a critical ceiling, and the expectation is a rejection leading to a pullback.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by fx_martin9
BTC PLAN TODAY | 23.10.2025 | GOLD DOWN AND BTC UP? 📊 BTCUSD – 30m Smart Money Analysis Market Context BTC has broken out of the previous bearish structure (red trendline) with a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCH) to the upside. The market is now trading inside a key supply zone between 109.8k – 110.5k, after mitigating an internal FVG below. Momentum is still bullish overall, but short-term reaction from supply may cause a retracement before continuation. 🟩 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Main Bias) Idea: Price pulls back into the retest zone (FVG + demand) before pushing to the next liquidity level above 111k. Entry: 108,800 – 108,950 (Inside the FVG / previous ChoCH zone) Stop Loss: 108,400 (Below internal low / invalidation of bullish structure) Take Profit 1: 110,200 Take Profit 2: 111,500 – 112,000 R:R Ratio: Around 1:3 to 1:4 Confirmation: Look for liquidity sweep below equal lows or bullish engulfing in M15–M30 structure. 📈 Reasoning: Demand zone aligns with previous ChoCH and FVG imbalance. Market has shifted bullish, higher timeframe flow supports continuation. 111k area holds liquidity from previous highs — ideal next draw on liquidity. 🟥 Scenario 2 – Bearish Retracement Idea: If BTC fails to hold above 108.5k, structure turns bearish temporarily. Smart money may drive price lower to grab deeper liquidity near the 107k demand zone. Entry: 108,400 – 108,500 (after BOS below 108.5k confirmed) Stop Loss: 108,950 (Above internal range high / invalidation of bearish setup) Take Profit 1: 107,500 Take Profit 2: 107,000 R:R Ratio: Around 1:3 Confirmation: Break of structure + retest of internal supply before entering. 📉 Reasoning: Failure to maintain 109k would invalidate the bullish short-term structure. Clean liquidity pool below 107.5k makes it a likely draw target before new accumulation. Summary: Structure: Bullish Current Phase: Retesting the breakout Key Demand: 108.7k – 108.9k Key Supply: 110.5k – 113k Short-term bias: Buy dips within bullish structure until proven otherwise.
OANDA:BTCUSD
by Michael_Gold_Insider
Is Bitcoin still bearish? (1D)In response to the question of whether Bitcoin is still bearish | the answer is yes. After the drop, Bitcoin has reached a strong support zone, where it’s currently reacting and consuming lower supports. A rejection from the red zone is expected. However, keep in mind that due to the high volume of short positions, the red zone might even experience a fakeout before the drop continues. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
The Bitcoin bearish era has begun (1D)First of all, you should know that in our previous analyses, we had identified a large triangle. However, the market makers created another bullish wave, increasing the chart’s error margin (The scenario you see in the related ideas section.). This sharp move indicates the beginning of new bearish branches! It is expected that with a pullback to the red zone, the correction will continue, and we will be involved in it for at least a few months. Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Short
by behdark
6
BTC: Monthly FVG Retest Before New ATHCurrent Status: The price is around $104,447 and is currently in a strong corrective move after reaching a recent high. All-Time High (ATH): The previous peak is marked near $126,311. This is the key long-term target. Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG): The blue box between approximately $95,000 and $98,000 is a "Monthly FVG". This area is expected to act as a magnet for the price to retrace to. Projected Path: The analyst expects the price to drop further into the Monthly FVG (the $95k - $98k zone) before finding strong support. Following this test, a major rally is projected to push the price back up to hit the All-Time High near $126,311. The main idea is a deep correction to a technical support level (FVG) followed by a bullish continuation to a new ATH.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Bitcoin Bearish Continuation from Daily FVGa bearish continuation setup on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) in the daily timeframe. After a sharp rejection from the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone between roughly $114,000–$120,000, price shows strong bearish momentum. The large red candle indicates sellers’ dominance, and the marked downward arrow projects a potential move toward lower support zones around $108,000 and $105,000, which act as the next liquidity levels or demand areas.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by fx_martin9
2
Bitcoin Roadmap: Is a Major Correction the Next Stop?As I expected from the previous analysis , Bitcoin did start to drop and hit its targets . Now, with the news that the U.S. might impose a 100% tariff on China , we saw Bitcoin sharply sell off last night. Actually, as I mentioned in my previous ideas , the rally from about $109,000 to around $126,199(ATH ) (which was a new all-time high for Bitcoin) had relatively low volume. That was a sign that a correction might be on the way, and last night’s news just acted as a trigger to speed it up. In fact, what took Bitcoin 10 days to climb was reversed in about 4 days , showing how strong the sellers are right now. Educational tip: You can use volume candles on TradingView to see which candles had higher volume—the thicker the candle, the more significant the move. Now, the big question: will Bitcoin keep dropping or bounce back? Right now, it’s sitting near a cluster of Support lines and close to the daily 200_SMA(Daily) and the 50_SMA(Weekly) , as well as a Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) . Last night’s drop was basically the first test of these supports . Since it’s the weekend and volumes are usually lower, we don’t expect a huge downward move in the next 48 hours. Bitcoin might do a pullback to the broken Resistance zone($114,820-$113,180) and then continue its drop. According to Elliott Wave analysis , Bitcoin seems to be completing a microwave 4 of the main wave 3 . I expect that after Bitcoin completes , we might see it continue downward and fill the CME Gap($111,355-$109,915) early in the next week. So, do you think the major correction for Bitcoin has started or not? Let me know what you think! Note: In case the Support lines break, there’s also a chance that we might see a Death Cross (where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average), which could signal further bearish momentum. Note: Around the $108,000 level, we have huge buy orders stacked up, which might act as a significant support zone. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
56
Descriptions about the market! Read the caption!Given Mr. Trump's remarks and the unprecedented crash in cryptocurrencies, I must say this individual significantly harms markets, especially investors. Imposing a 100% tariff on Chinese goods essentially means "we want no trade with you," which is fundamentally unfeasible. The United States and China will undoubtedly negotiate. However, our main focus here is the financial market collapse. This decline isn’t merely about falling prices—it goes beyond that. The core issue is the loss of market trust and credibility. Once confidence is broken, it is difficult to restore and may take a long time. In any case, I felt it was my duty to bring this up and remind you to stay composed. Never forget to use stop-losses in your trades and practice proper capital management. If needed, you can always message me on this platform for advice. NOTE: This post is This post is educational.
Education
by Master_Hunter
2
Bitcoin Facing Channel Resistance: Another Drop Ahead?Hello guys! BTC is currently moving within a descending channel, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish structure. The price continues to respect this channel, and until a clear breakout occurs, the downward bias remains intact. Key Observations: Two bearish engulfing (Engulfed 1 & Engulfed 2) have marked strong rejections from the upper boundary, reinforcing seller dominance at higher levels. After the second engulfing, the price rebounded slightly, forming a minor pullback within the channel. The upper boundary around $122,200–$122,500 is acting as dynamic resistance, aligning with the trendline. Short-Term Expectation: BTC could potentially push once more toward the upper boundary of the channel (around $122,200), where sellers may re-enter. If the resistance holds, a continuation toward the $118,200–$118,300 support zone is expected, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel and previous reaction levels. Levels to Watch: Resistance: $122,200 – $122,500 Support: $118,200 – $118,300 Breakout confirmation: A clean close above $122,500 could invalidate the bearish setup and open the way for a short-term bullish correction. Bias: Bearish below $122,500
Short
by melikatrader94
30
BTC → Correction phase before bullish expansionBTC/USD Report-Based Analysis Bitcoin is currently in a corrective phase following a structured upward delivery. After showing strength early in the cycle, the market transitioned into a redistribution and consolidation zone, allowing liquidity to rebalance across both sides. This shift suggests that price is undergoing a short-term reaccumulation before the next impulsive move. The recent break of structure (BOS) indicates a temporary bearish delivery, designed to sweep liquidity below prior demand zones. Smart money appears to be collecting positions in discounted price areas, absorbing sell-side liquidity as volatility expands. The clean liquidity pockets under 116,000–114,000 levels highlight potential mitigation zones where larger participants may seek re-entry. The overall structure remains bullish on the higher timeframe. Once the current correction finalizes and liquidity is efficiently collected, BTC may resume its upward expansion, targeting premium zones near 125,000 and above. Momentum confirmation from volume and market flow will be essential for validating this transition back into a bullish delivery phase. In short, BTC is in a controlled correction, aiming to refine liquidity before reinitiating its bullish macro delivery cycle.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
Bitcoin Roadmap Before FOMC Minutes – Correction or New ATH?Today, we have one of the most important macro events — the FOMC Meeting Minutes Let’s quickly understand what it is and why it could shake the crypto market What are FOMC Minutes? They’re the detailed notes from the last Federal Reserve meeting, showing what members discussed about interest rates, inflation, and the economy. Markets carefully read every line to find hints about future rate cuts or continued tightening. Why does it matter for Bitcoin? When the Fed turns dovish (hinting at lower rates), risk assets like Bitcoin usually rally But when the tone is hawkish (worried about inflation), investors move to cash or bonds, causing crypto to dip. Let’s take a look at Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the 4-hour timeframe . Before analyzing the chart, let’s quickly review what defines a strong uptrend : 1-Higher Lows(HL): Each new low should form above the previous one, showing that buyers are stepping in earlier each time. 2-Higher Highs(HH): Each new high should be higher than the last, confirming that bullish momentum is still in control. 3-Structure Respect: The new low should not break below the previous high — if it does, it doesn’t necessarily mean the trend is over, but it indicates a weakening of the bullish structure. Based on the points above, Bitcoin failed to form a new Higher Low(HL) during the past 24 hours, and the previous high was retested . These signals indicate a loss of bullish momentum, suggesting that we might see at least a short-term correction from a technical perspective. Bitcoin has already started to bounce back nicely from the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) and is currently trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($124,474-$117,900) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that with the formation of a Lower Low(LL) , Bitcoin has completed at least a series of impulsive waves , and we can now expect corrective waves . I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($120,779-$119,957) before the FOMC Meeting Minutes start and could continue to rise or correct depending on the tone of the FOMC Meeting Minutes . Note: You should note that these days, Bitcoin has a higher correlation with the SPX500( SP:SPX ) index than before, so if there is a sudden movement in Bitcoin, one of the reasons could be a sudden movement in the SPX500. Do you think this bullish move could lead to a new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin again!? Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $124,350-$123,244 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $126,813-$125,000 CME Gap: $111,355-$109,915 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
17
Elliott Wave + Gartley Harmonic: Why Bitcoin May Correct Soon!?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has shown strong bullish momentum over the past week, climbing nearly +10% and testing key resistance zones . Several fundamental and technical factors fueled this rally. Key Drivers of the Rise: ETF inflows – Significant net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs boosted demand. Macro uncertainty – U.S. government shutdown risk and weaker job data supported risk assets. Monetary policy – Expectations of softer Fed policy improved market sentiment. Derivatives impact – Options expiry, high OI, and short squeezes added upward pressure. Exchange outflows – Lower BTC supply on exchanges signaled accumulation. Positive sentiment – “Uptober” narrative and bullish analyst targets lifted confidence. ------------------------------------------- Now, if we look at the Bitcoin chart in the above timeframes from a technical analysis perspective , we can see the following: First of all, let me say that the rally that Bitcoin has had over the past 7 days has NOT been accompanied by high volume, and this is not good news for Bitcoin to create a new All-Time High(ATH) . Bitcoin is entering a Heavy Resistance zone($124,474(ATH)-$117,900) and is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($122,120-$120,823) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a microwave C of the main wave Y . One of the reasons I saw the waves as corrective , other than the microwaves, was the low volume of Bitcoin in the past 7-day rally . If we look at the Bitcoin chart from a pattern perspective , the important Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern is also well and standardly defined on the chart, such that point D in the PRZ can be completed. The Gartley Harmonic Pattern is the most important pattern among the harmonic patterns . I DO NOT expect a new ATH formation for Bitcoin in this rally due to the above reasons, and I expect it to at least decline to the Support zone($114,820-$113,180) . Note: Important prices to watch for if Bitcoin reverses (in order of importance of volume): $118,400-$112,700 Note: You should note that these days, Bitcoin has a higher correlation with the SPX500( SP:SPX ) index than before, so if there is a sudden movement in Bitcoin, one of the reasons could be a sudden movement in the SPX500. Educational Tip : The volume of each candle is considered to be the identity and credibility of that candle, and you can find these candles with the help of volume candle charts. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $118,583-$118,000 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,652-$116,000 CME Gap: $111,355-$109,915 Stop Loss(SL): $125,00(Worst) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 8-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
44
BTCNEW UPDATE (1D)In the previous analysis, we considered Bitcoin’s scenario as a triangle, which has now failed. It now appears that this is not a triangle but a diametric pattern. Currently, it seems we are in the middle of wave F. The potential corrections we expect are buying opportunities, and we will look to buy within the green box if a correction occurs. The target for wave E could be between 138K and 140K. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will nullify this analysis. invalidation level : $106418 For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
BTC/USD Analysis: Bullish Continuation in FocusBitcoin continues to demonstrate strength following its recent recovery. After periods of consolidation and controlled retracement, the market shows clear signs of accumulation, with buyers maintaining momentum. Each upward leg has been supported by liquidity absorption, reflecting steady confidence in higher valuations. The current structure suggests that even if retracements occur, they are likely to serve as a foundation for further expansion. Market behavior highlights resilience, with the broader trend still pointing toward bullish continuation. Bitcoin remains positioned for progressive growth, with sentiment and structure both aligning in favor of buyers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
1
BTC Market Cap – Bearish Channel Reversal Setup (1H Analysis)Chart Context: The chart shows BTC market cap moving within an ascending parallel channel, with price recently reaching the upper boundary resistance and starting to show signs of weakness. 📊 Key Levels Entry Point: 2.46T Stop Loss: 2.49T Target (LABA TARGET POINT): 2.33T Current Price: ~2.44T 🔍 Technical Breakdown Ascending Channel: The BTC market cap has been trending upward within the blue channel, respecting both upper and lower boundaries. Rejection at Upper Channel: The price touched the top boundary near 2.49T and began consolidating — a classic signal for potential downside correction. Bearish Setup: The shaded red zone represents a short setup: Entry near 2.46T (retest of structure resistance). Stop loss above channel top (2.49T). Target towards 2.33T (lower channel / support zone). Risk–Reward Ratio: Estimated around 1:4, making it a favorable short setup if confirmation (e.g., bearish candle or structure break) appears. Volume & Momentum: Momentum seems to be slowing; lower highs and flattening volume often precede corrective moves in such setups. 🧭 Conclusion Bias: Bearish (short-term correction expected) Trade Plan: Wait for a small retracement or retest near 2.46T before entry. Stop loss: above 2.49T. Target: 2.33T (LABA zone). Invalidation: A breakout above 2.49T would invalidate this short setup and could push BTC market cap toward 2.52T+.
CRYPTOCAP:BTCShort
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
6
BTC vs. The Broader Market: A Dangerous Powerful Wave is Coming Today, we're taking a deep dive into the two most important charts in the crypto space: Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) and the Total Crypto Market Cap (TOTAL). Using an Elliott Wave framework on the weekly timeframe, we can see a clear bullish structure taking shape. However, some underlying weaknesses in key indicators warrant a cautious approach. Let's break it down. 1. Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): The Path to a new All-time high Hinges on a Key Level As we can see on the weekly chart, Bitcoin appears to have completed a major five-wave impulse cycle which topped out around the $108,000 mark. This was followed by a necessary ABC corrective phase. The exciting part is what comes next. We are potentially witnessing the beginning of a brand new five-wave impulse. Wave (1): Appears to have started from the $74,000 low and peaked near $124,000. Wave (2): A healthy correction followed, finding support around $107,000. If this count is valid, we are now in the early stages of Wave (3), which is typically the most powerful and extended wave in an impulse sequence. The Critical Condition: For this bullish count to remain the primary scenario, the current weekly candle must NOT close below $123,000. A weekly close below this crucial level would risk invalidating the start of this new impulse, suggesting that we may still be within a more complex corrective structure (such as a regular flat correction Check the article). Also during wave (3) the Weekly RSI must go beyond "80" showing strong momentum ( if it fails to do so then it's a caution signal to be strongly considered because a reversal could happen at any time!) Indicator Analysis: Bearish Divergences: We must note the lingering bearish divergences on both the RSI and MACD. These signals are suspicious and suggest that momentum is not fully confirming the recent price highs. They need to be monitored closely. Volatility Coiling: The Bollinger Band Width Percentile (BBWP) is showing significant contraction. This coiling of the bands indicates that weekly volatility is decreasing, which often precedes a massive price expansion in the coming weeks or months, However the lack of BBWP exhaustion (spectrum crossing 90%) remains a bullish sign combined with the contraction Trend Strength: The ADX is rising on the weekly chart, confirming that a strong trend is in progress. Volume: On-Balance Volume (OBV) and general volume profiles appear adequate for now. 2. Total Crypto Market Cap (TOTAL): The Broader Market Picture The Total Crypto Market Cap chart tells a very similar story, reinforcing our Bitcoin analysis. The bullish phase began in sync with BTC back in November 2022. The current Elliott Wave structure for the entire market is as follows: Wave (1): Completed in March 2024. Wave (2): Corrected into May 2024. Wave (3): Finshed on March 2024 Wave (5): Finshed on December 2024 Currently the Total market cap chart is closely alligned with BTC chart which confrims the BTC leadership is intact. The current Elliot count of TOTAL market cap indicated wave (1) started April 2025 but curretly wave 2 showing caution signals A Significant Red Flag - The Volume Divergence: While the price structure remains bullish, there's a concerning signal under the hood. On the weekly RSI, we see a double bottom pattern, which is typically bullish. However, looking at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) during the same period, the OBV printed a lower low. This is a classic bearish divergence between price/momentum and volume. It indicates that the recent push higher is not being supported by genuine, strong volume, suggesting conviction is weak. Alternative Scenario: If this volume weakness persists, we might see Wave (2) extenstion to around $3.23 Trillion. This would lead to a deeper Wave (2) correction, From that support, Wave 3 could launch that would still likely reach our ultimate ATH. Conclusion: Bullish Outlook with a Note of Caution Bringing both analyses together, the macro view for the crypto market remains decisively bullish. The Elliott Wave structures on both BTC and the TOTAL chart point towards significantly higher valuation, the lack of BBWP exhaustion on weekly charts of BTC & Total market cap remains a strong bullish indication combined with the BBWP expansion. However, the market is showing signs of fatigue. The bearish divergences on Bitcoin's indicators and the critical volume divergence on the TOTAL chart cannot be ignored. This suggests that while the overall destination is uptrend, the journey might include a corrective dip before the next explosive leg higher. Key Takeaways: Overall Bias: Bullish. Key Level for BTC: Watch the weekly close relative to $123,000. This is our line in the sand for the current impulsive structure. Key Concern: The lack of strong volume confirming the market's recent move up warrants caution. Volatility: Brace for a significant expansion in price movement. The compressed BBWP on both charts suggests a major move is brewing. Stay vigilant and manage your risk accordingly. The next few weekly closes will be critical in determining whether we blast off directly or take a detour first.
Long
by CryptoShip0
5