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Btchalving

Bitcoin Cycles and Russell 2000! What's the Connection?I'm not a BTC maxi, and I'm not against BTC at all! I just never understood the fanatics—whether it's the BTC cult or XRP. As I've said before, the human brain is wired to hunt for patterns, confirmations, and setups where none actually exist! That's how conspiracy theories are born! Sure, on a global scale, conspiracies and certain ideas do turn out to be true! But with BTC and its 4-year cycle model, halvings, and all that jazz, it's such an oversimplified framework—tailor-made for people who aren't used to looking beyond the surface or thinking critically at all! Why bother thinking when they've told you there's this orange coin that should pump every 4 years, then the miners' rewards get slashed and the coin should pump again! Why? Nobody's ever explained it! It's just that, back then, the halving model was the only marketing gimmick tied to the tech side that could draw in users! How else was a brand-new asset, fresh out of nowhere in the world, supposed to grab attention? So they cooked up this price-growth stimulus like that! But the market's matured now—demand has exploded, enough to soak up any supply out there. To me, the halving is more of a news event that rallies all the market's forces into a tight timeframe, making it easier to reboot the whole thing. As far as I'm concerned, the whole story about halvings driving BTC's cycles and growth is pure fiction! On the chart, they've just slapped on the Bitcoin halvings, and down at the bottom is the RUT (Russell 2000)—that's the index of 2,000 small-cap companies across all sorts of sectors! How does it end up that the reactions on the charts are identical? Are people buying stocks in companies based on the halving of some made-up digital coin? Or is it way simpler: global investors, riding favorable market vibes in the moment, just pile into risk assets—and that includes both Bitcoin and those 2,000 small-cap companies And for all you BTC diehards to chew on: The RUT index kicked off in the late '80s! Thirty years before that orange coin even showed up! Every asset—especially in crypto—needs some kind of hook, a legend, a mystery! Something to stir up the buzz! So let's not keep dragging in the halving as some magical force! Just like we shouldn't put blind faith in these so-called cycles! CRYPTO:BTCUSD
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Crypto4light
6
A Question many people don't know the answer to.In this post we’ll answer a question many people don't know the answer to, and provide an in-depth explanation of why the crypto market is bound to a 4-year cycle. 🔸The answer: -The market is tied to a key event — the Bitcoin Halving . This is when the block reward for mining Bitcoin is cut in half every 4 years. Mining is the lifeline that brings Bitcoin into circulation. Without it, there would be no supply entering the market. But is this still effective now, given that most of Bitcoin’s supply is already mined? The total supply of Bitcoin is fixed at 21 million, and so far, around 19.9 million have already been mined. That leaves only about 1.1 million Bitcoin still to be mined — scheduled, with halvings, until the year 2140. I know what you’re thinking … Why does the halving still impact market behavior if the remaining supply is so small and its effect seems limited? -History shows that after every halving, the market tends to rise for about a year and a half. This proves that investors wait for the halving to take place, monitor the network’s smooth performance during the event, and once they confirm no issues exist, they begin injecting liquidity into the market. ------------------------------------------ Is there a scenario where the 4-year cycle could change? It’s difficult, but yes … Why? Because since Bitcoin’s inception, its price cycle has been tied to the halving. This pattern has been consistent since 2011, across three full cycles, and now we are in the fourth. However, the halving itself has become a symbol of trust and security for investors. Every successful halving event reinforces confidence in Bitcoin’s scarcity and strength. That’s why the 4-year rhythm will only change if another factor emerges strong enough to rival the influence of the halving. Signs of such a new factor already appeared in 2025 — with the U.S. President’s support for Bitcoin and the growing trend of corporations and financial institutions purchasing it, alongside increased transparency in declaring holdings and reserves. This shift is crucial. When supply moves from scattered hands (individuals) to stronger hands (corporations) , and holdings are publicly disclosed, it strengthens trust in the Bitcoin network and reduces the wild volatility that individuals once caused. Conclusion : The 4-year cycle could evolve in the future, especially if supportive policies accelerate and corporations continue to accumulate Bitcoin in massive quantities starting from the next cycle. Best regards Cecilione🎯
by ceciliones
12
BTC: Next price Halving 📊Analysis by AhmadArz: #BTCUSD By calculating the price growth in the 4-year halving time frame, we came to the conclusion that with the growth of the Bitcoin market cap, its growth will be halved and we can expect $120,000 from Bitcoin, and it is expected to grow up to 270,000 dollars in halvings. 🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz. 💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets." 🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ahmadarz
Bitcoin Halving DemystifiedI was recently asked of my opinion on how I could possibly come up with a Papa Bear Projection Chart where the correction period takes over a year long - one that takes us well into next year, and into and over the next Bitcoin halving date of May 2020. I figured it would be easier to simply print a chart for reference. A picture speaks a thousand words. Here's a history of Bitcoin halvings - all two of them. A. The first and the only point pertinent to the question that was asked of me is point A - the second BTC halving which occurred in July 2016 where the price of Bitcoin dropped ~40% immediately BEFORE, DURING and AFTER it. Need I say more? The rest of this post is for educational purposes. B. Here, the price dropped by 75% six months after the first halving (that should have said first on the chart). C. A drop in price of approximately 80% in its early days (11.85 to 2.22) and one year before the first halving. D. A correction period of over 1.5 years where the price dropped by about 90% between the two halvings (1163 to 152). E. The price rose by 100% one year after the second halving. As an analogy, in today's terms, it would rise from 3000 to 6000 or 8000 to 16000 one year after the next halving (I'm not saying this is what will happen). F. A correction period of over a year where the price dropped by ~85% (~20000 to ~3000). Bitcoin has had more elongated correction periods and FAR MORE drops in price than it has had halvings. A third correction period of over a year or another drop in price is neither an abnormality nor a deviation from the "norm". I guess the only reason I can think of as to why people think my projection seems so absolutely absurd is because they be dreamin' of owning Maseratis and Mansions and they be wantin' it now. Do I think halvings have anything to do with the price of Bitcoin (all one of the two halvings which had no significant correlation, where the price did not increase immediately after the halving and only increased months later in line with the trend it was in prior to the halving)? None whatsoever. Do I expect the price of Bitcoin to increase in the future? Yes, but only after it corrects. What is clear from this chart is that BTC, just like any other stock or crypto, goes through cycles. I can't predict when the corrections will end but I can forecast where it will likely finish based on its cycle and technical analysis, and that is what I am most concerned with at Purple Crypto Premium. Adios amigos. What goes up must come down. My Secret Papa Bear Chart It Played Out Like a Beautiful Melody Are We Ready for the Crash? Are We There Yet? What If It Goes Down? Future Projection ___________________________ There's only one person you need to follow when it comes to crypto.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by PurpleCrypto
11
RIOT next BTC to bull 🐂 road map I already provided RIOT analysis ⏰ successfully top 🔝 & correction completed 🚀 Unfortunately 😬 my 2 posts got disconnected against trading view rules 📌 Again making complete analysis for next bull run 🐂 Before entering pls #DYOR Below this post I will update you everything 🙂 So just follow and share post and save it by boosting 🚀 it 🙌 So if I updated anything in this macro correction or exit or crucial things u get updated 📌 Let's get started 📌 🧵👉
NASDAQ:RIOTLong
by vrvstick
55
Bitcoin Post-Halving Shockwave: Why 2025 Could Still See a Mega Now that the much-anticipated 2024 halving is in the rearview, the big question is: Will Bitcoin continue its explosive post-halving trend? My long-term chart analysis suggests that BTC remains on track for a powerful rally—if certain key support zones hold and historical patterns play out. Here’s what I’m seeing: Post-Halving Volatility We’ve already witnessed a surge in volatility around the 2024 halving date (which occurred earlier this year). Historically, halvings have often propelled multi-month bull markets, though they don’t always ignite immediately. Keep an eye on the next few quarters for signs of a prolonged uptrend. Mature Ascending Channel Since 2017 The broad rising channel (outlined on the chart) has been a reliable guidepost. Multiple touchpoints along its upper and lower boundaries highlight how BTC has respected this structure for years. As long as price remains within this channel, the long-term bullish bias stays intact. Critical Support Zones (S1, S2, S3) I’ve identified major horizontal levels where strong buying pressure has historically emerged. If the market corrects from current levels, these supports could offer prime “buy the dip” opportunities—or serve as warnings if they fail to hold. 2025 Outlook If previous cycles are any indication, we may see a continued grind upwards heading into 2025. Bitcoin’s supply dynamics, combined with growing institutional interest, support the potential for a high-volatility, high-upside environment. However, it’s essential to stay flexible and keep tabs on macro factors. Bottom Line: The halving has come and gone, but its after-effects may just be warming up. Whether you’re bullish or bearish, always back your technical analysis with robust risk management. What are your thoughts on Bitcoin’s post-halving trajectory? Let me know in the comments below!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by daniellalasa
2
Stablecoin Dominance Tipping PointI see two possible scenarios playing out: The Bullish Scenario The dominance goes lower and respects the current downtrend. This could either bounce off roughly 6% (this area has seen some interesting patterns in the chart) or just continue collapsing down. This would be bullish depending on if we don't have much trouble clearing the 5.8-6% range. The Bearish Scenario We break the current downtrend by going up to 7.5% or above in the next 2-3 weeks, at which point I think that worst case we would test somewhere around 8.15%. This would be short to slightly medium-term bearish at the worst in my opinion. I lean towards the bull case simply because markets are usually boring or choppy the month or so after the Bitcoin halving event; things usually ramp up after. We've dumped over 20% in BTC and altcoins got flushed aggressively while not establishing lower local lows at the same time as BTC did recently. Despite being bullish, it's definitely at a tipping point where if it goes up by a bit more then it's a cause for concern. This is a good chart to watch closely for the next 1-3 weeks as evidence of more incoming corrections for a few more weeks or as evidence of the bullish trend resuming.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by houseofcarle
Iran attacked Israel what impact can it have on Bitcoin?😱#Bitcoin Weekly Technical Analysis 📈 Bitcoin surpassed its previous all-time high of $69,028, reaching a new peak at $73,773. Currently, it's trading above a strong support level ranging from $64,500 to $66,300, which is considered a robust technical support zone. As the week concludes, Bitcoin needs to hold above this support area. The price of Bitcoin declined towards the week's end due to news about tensions between Israel and Iran. If Bitcoin remains within this range, it could consolidate or potentially drop further. It's wise to observe and wait for the market to stabilize before making any decisions. Stay tuned for further updates. CRYPTOCAP:BTC BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
12
BTC Elliot Wave 3-4 : CORRECTION Before HALVING📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 Fractals are a helpful way to identify how markets have previously moved. When identifying a similar pattern, it can be useful to speculate future potential price action. Here we'll take a look at how the previous bullish cycle played out. By following Elliot Wave Theory, we can find a target for a potential bounce zone for the current corrective pattern. Find HERE the method I used to call the bullish cycle early: If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD KUCOIN:BTCUSDT
Short
by Crypto-Check-
3
Bitcoin Option Expire on Halving date - What will happen ?Something else to watch out for this Week is the #BTC OPTIONS expiry on Friday 19th April This alps happens to be the #Bitcoin Halving day. What Will this do to BTC ? This has NEVER happened before and previous Halvings were no where near the halving date The chart shows you recent options expiry dates and PA results. Bitcoin options are financial derivatives contracts that allow you to buy or sell Bitcoin at a predetermined price on a specific future date. Trading Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency options works much the same as other options, except they're typically less liquid. The expectation is BTC price to RISE as supply becomes scare. I think we will continue ranging here till maybe after the MAT expiry on 17th May. Just my opimiom -
by Orriginal
2
Bitcoin Daily in Halving WeekA Still in Range. CME Gap Filled. PA moving into Neutral Zone on MACD and RSI close behind. This Week, we see the #BTC Halving and we also see PA bump into another Fib Circle, If PA is up near the current ATH line. Otherwise we hit that Circle Next week. As you can see, the last 2 Fib Circle PA has come across while in thie range, it went through and then rolled down the circle line as support until it hit bottom of Range. There is no knowing if that Will happen again. There is resistance right over us now as can be seen on the VRVP on the right of chart. Many are expecting a -30% Drop and if that happens, it is marked with the Orange line and would take us to around 52K USDT Should PA break out of Range and Not Roll down that Fib Circle, as it has the strength to break through, we will easily see 80K USDT and then 88K USDT before to much resistance, But, to many extents, we do not want to see to much of a push up as we need to keep some strength in reserve. We have a Very interesting Week ahead of us. Have safe guards in place and stay safe.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin (BTC) likely to selloff shortly after the 4/20 halving.Bitcoin has been on an absolute tear for the past few months, and its run from 27K to 70K+ was one with no major corrections, which is something to be cautious of. If you study the charts, you'll see that BTC generally sells off for a period after the halving (buy the rumor, sell the news) at its finest. I think we are going to see a sell-off shortly after the halving that's going to liquidate many traders who joined the party a little too late and will be major profit-taking for those who got in early, using the euphoric buying as exit liquidity. Be cautious! Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MetaShackle
1
Ladycoin to the moon :)hello everybody. ladycoin is continuing to make moves towards the upside. When I first wrote about this coin it was at 000580. its now at 0010. Good levels to buy are at 000790-000820. Possible chance we can re test 000680 levels but I would not bank on it. Again, everything is dependent on the way BTC moves. However, with a marketcap of only 45M, you are getting a opportunity of a lifetime! Imagine if you got into PEPE when it was only a 100M mkt cap. PEPE is now at 1B mkt cap and growing. Besides the TA on this chart, note that you are buying a coin that is backed behind the image of a women. All it takes is one major female influencer to start shilling this coin. Time for you guys all to become female activists ;) lol jk. (not financial advice) but consider making this coin a part of your portfolio. Sometimes in these bull markets the coins with 0 utility make bigger moves then ones with utility. Have a good day!
1Long
by kiashedgefund
BTC - Follow THIS Path to the HALVING📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 If you have been following me for a while, you'll know I've been saying we are trading in the opening moments of a new bullish cycle. I've also referred to this as Elliot Wave Theory Wave 1. According to my plan, this is the first impulse wave towards the upside. But the upwards wave are always followed by correction waves; a natural part of any cycle. I expected the second impulse wave (2-3) to happen very close to or just before the BTC halving, which is set to happen in April. This is based on a previous analysis that I did where we made a conclusion based on the price action of the previous BTC halvings before, during and after. 👉 Macro Analysis Bitcoin is due for that 30% correction / pullback. Even dropping to lower 30K zone would still be a lower high, classic Elliot Wave Theory before the next upwards impulse wave, which is the biggest ( wave 2). This will fall exactly on the white diagonal trendline, which is our support zone. 👉 Technical Indicator Analysis Our technical indicator is still bullish, but showing "Overbought". In a higher timeframe, this usually means it can carry n for some time - but a pullback is imminent before another impulse upwards. NOTE that I am BULLISH on BTC. We're in the opening moments of a new bullish cycle, but there are pullbacks and corrections in upward cycles - and I'm expecting that we're currently trading in impulse wave 0-1. If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by Crypto-Check-