Bitcoin: Steps to GrowthIn recent days, Bitcoin has been shaping a picture of gradual ascent after a period of uncertainty. The movement consists of alternating short impulses and pauses, creating the impression of energy accumulation for further development.
The chart shows that the market is holding the price in the upper part of the range, while downward fluctuations lack sufficient strength to change the overall direction. This configuration indicates that buyers maintain the initiative, even if growth is unfolding step by step.
As a result, Bitcoin is showing signs of forming an upward wave, where further movement will depend on the market’s ability to consolidate above current levels and confirm the strength of the impulse.
Btcprediction
BTC – SMC Suite Follow-Up: Liquidity Grab at 116K and the Drop!!BTC – SMC Suite Follow-Up: Liquidity Grab at 116K and the Drop That Followed
This is a follow-up to my earlier idea “ BTC – Liquidity Grab at $116K Before Deep Correction? ” where I highlighted the danger of price trading into stacked SMC levels on the 1D chart.
1️⃣ Quick recap of the original idea
In the previous post, price was trading around the $112K–$116K zone.
Using the SMC Suite on the 1D chart, I highlighted:
• A high-timeframe supply / OB cluster around 116K.
• A liquidity grab above prior highs – price spiked into fresh liquidity sitting above the range.
• A confluence of Breaker + OB Re-test + FVG acting as a “danger zone” for fresh longs.
• The idea that this move could be a distribution / liquidity grab before a deeper correction.
The key message was: this is not a safe place to be aggressive long; watch for rejection and potential downside.
2️⃣ How price reacted afterwards
Since that post:
• Price respected the 116K zone as supply – every attempt to hold above it failed.
• The highlighted OB + Breaker block acted as a ceiling; price consolidated there and then rolled over.
• After losing the mid-range structure, BTC started a trend of lower highs and lower lows , confirming distribution.
• We have now traded all the way down into the d emand / support zones below 92K and then lower , which were also plotted in advance by the same SMC levels.
In simple terms, the area we marked as a “ danger zone for longs ” turned out to be the top of the move before this large downside leg.
3️⃣ What the SMC levels showed well
This move is a nice case study of how the SMC concepts aligned:
• Liquidity Sweep : Price ran above previous highs into fresh liquidity, then failed to hold.
• Breaker + OB Re-test : Former demand became supply; retest of this breaker block rejected price.
• FVG + Imbalance Zones : Upside imbalances got filled and then flipped into resistance.
• Structure Shift : After the rejection, market structure shifted bearish with clean breaks of prior swing lows.
None of this is about “perfect prediction”, but about reading where smart money might be offloading risk and where retail is most vulnerable.
4️⃣ Takeaways & what I’m watching next
• HTF SMC levels matter. When multiple concepts cluster (Breaker, OB, FVG, previous highs), treat that zone with respect.
• Liquidity grabs at highs are great warning signals – especially when followed by a clear structure shift.
• For now, I’m watching how price behaves around the current demand zones and whether we see:
• Strong rejection + reclaim of broken levels (potential swing-long areas), or
• Continuation of lower highs pointing to further downside.
This post is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
Is This Where Bitcoin Makes Its Major Decision?
🔥 The Hidden April Gap Nobody Is Talking About — Is This Where Bitcoin Makes Its Major Decision?
Most traders completely missed this one.
Buried inside April’s fast displacement sits a hidden Fair Value Gap that aligns exactly with the real Monthly–Weekly Higher Low — and if price revisits it, this level could decide the next macro direction.
Let me walk you through it.
⸻
📍 The Level (Rounded for Clarity)
This forgotten 15m imbalance sits between:
• $86,200 (top)
• $85,350 (bottom)
Not just any gap — this one overlaps perfectly with the true HL in the Monthly–Weekly structure, the same HL that has been carrying the entire macro bullish leg.
This is where real decisions are made.
⸻
📉 Why This Zone Matters
If price revisits this area, there are only two outcomes — and both are significant:
1️⃣ Early Reversal Attempt (If Buyers Defend the HL)
A clean bullish reaction here could signal:
• Absorption of sell-side pressure
• Builder structure for a new daily leg
• First real attempt to end the higher-timeframe down sequence
2️⃣ Bearish Absorption (If Sellers Crush the HL)
If price cuts through the gap with displacement,
the Monthly–Weekly HL collapses.
That opens the door to deeper levels with minimal support.
This is not a small level — this is a macro hinge point.
⸻
👁️ My Plan
I’m watching $86.2K – $85.35K very closely.
When price returns to this zone, I want to see whether we get:
• Reversal intent,
or
• Full bearish continuation.
No predictions.
No hopium.
Price action will tell the truth.
⸻
🧭 Final Thought
This April gap isn’t random.
It’s the hidden liquidity pocket sitting directly on the real Monthly–Weekly Higher Low.
If Bitcoin revisits this level, the market will reveal whether buyers still have strength — or whether the bearish macro continues without mercy.
If this analysis brought you clarity or aligns with your view,
please Like ❤️ | Comment 💬 | Follow 🔔 | Share ↗️ —
your support motivates me to keep releasing clean, objective insights for the community.
NFA.
COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:MCZ2025
BTC 4H ENG.My kids are scared; they got scared with the October 10th crash. Do you know when they stop being scared? When it goes up! I have my futures take profits at 117k; you're my target. I've had my entry pattern very clear, since I was at 106k. The red box indicates an ideal entry area, although you should already be inside.
Low High High pivot called 2017 TopFib time of Low High High pivot called the 2017 top to the EXACT DAY. I have similar fib time that predicted our local BTC top to the exact day. Keep in mind that the pivots are based off of the respective current cycles starting from the low that was put in at the previous bear cycle. These fib times were not taking from just the higher time frames such as monthly or weekly but from the EXACT day the pivot was put in. I’ll share the current fib time in my next post.
BTC: Monthly FVG Retest Before New ATHCurrent Status: The price is around $104,447 and is currently in a strong corrective move after reaching a recent high.
All-Time High (ATH): The previous peak is marked near $126,311. This is the key long-term target.
Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG): The blue box between approximately $95,000 and $98,000 is a "Monthly FVG". This area is expected to act as a magnet for the price to retrace to.
Projected Path: The analyst expects the price to drop further into the Monthly FVG (the $95k - $98k zone) before finding strong support. Following this test, a major rally is projected to push the price back up to hit the All-Time High near $126,311.
The main idea is a deep correction to a technical support level (FVG) followed by a bullish continuation to a new ATH.
BTC/USD Bearish Order Block Rejection Within Descending Channelhart Summary
Pair: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 30-minute
Trend: Bearish channel (clearly descending)
Setup Type: Bearish Order Block (OB) + Channel retest
🧭 Key Levels
Entry Point: around 112,764 – 112,793
Stop Loss: 114,058 – 114,065
Target Point: 105,001
Current Price: ≈111,627
📉 Technical Breakdown
Bearish Channel Formation:
Price has been moving within a well-defined descending channel, indicating sustained bearish momentum.
Order Block Zone (OB):
A bearish order block is marked at the top of the channel. Price is expected to retest this OB before continuation to the downside.
This aligns with typical smart money behavior — retracement into OB → sell-off continuation.
Structure Confirmation:
The structure shows a clear lower high formation setup, meaning sellers are likely to defend the 112.8–113.0 region.
Risk–Reward Ratio (RRR):
The setup provides a very strong RRR (around 1:6), which is excellent for swing/short-term trades.
Volume & Momentum:
While not shown on the chart, declining momentum during the pullback would further confirm this as a low-volume retracement before a sell continuation.
🧠 Trading Plan
Sell Limit: near 112.76 – 112.80
Stop Loss: 114.06
Take Profit: 105.00
Risk–Reward: ≈ 1:6.5
⚠️ Trade Notes
Wait for a bearish confirmation candle or rejection wick near the OB before entry.
If price breaks and closes above 114.1, invalidate the setup (structure break).
First partial profit zone could be around 108,500 before full target.
✅ Conclusion
The setup is bearish and well-structured, following smart money concepts with a clear OB and trend continuation expectation.
If BTC respects the OB zone, there’s a high probability of a drop toward 105,000 support.
BTC Macro Top or Supercycle Ahead?Bitcoin’s long-term price action, alongside the monthly RSI, shows a repeating pattern at major cycle tops. Historically, whenever the RSI reached the descending resistance trendline (Above 85 level) , Bitcoin entered a cycle peak followed by a correction.
Currently, the RSI is once again approaching this key level, raising the question of whether history will repeat or if BTC can finally break through this long-term resistance.
Historical Pattern:
🔷 2013: RSI touched the upper trendline → BTC entered a cycle peak, followed by a deep correction.
🔷 2017: Once again, RSI hit the resistance → marked the bull market top.
🔷 2021: RSI faced rejection at the same line → led to a prolonged bear market.
Now, in 2025–2026, RSI is climbing back toward this resistance level, and the big question remains: Will Bitcoin break the cycle, or repeat history?
Key Points:
🔶 CRYPTOCAP:BTC has respected this RSI downtrend at previous market cycle tops (2013, 2017, 2021).
🔶 Price is trading near all-time highs while RSI nears historical resistance.
🔶 A breakout above this RSI trendline could signal a new phase of strength.
🔶 A rejection would suggest another cyclical cooling phase.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at a macro decision point. For over a decade, this RSI trendline has defined cycle tops. A confirmed breakout would mark a historic shift in BTC’s market structure, while another rejection could mean history repeats.
Cheers
Hexa
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDC
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
BTC/USD 4H Chart Setup – Bullish Breakout Targeting $104K1. Trend Direction
⬆️ Uptrend Detected
* Price is forming higher highs and higher lows
* Trading inside a bullish channel
* Breakout potential above the top trendline.
2. Key Zones
🟦 Support Zone: $95,252.31
* Labeled as RBS + RBR ZONE
* Strong buy area → previous resistance turned support
* Perfect area to catch a bounce
📏 Support Line & Trendline
* Trendline keeps price supported along the climb
* Acts as a launch pad for the next move.
3. EMA 70 (📉 Red Line)
* Current value: $93,636.88
* Price is above EMA, showing strong bullish pressure
* EMA acts as dynamic support.
4. Trade Setup
🎯 Target Point: $104,000
🟦 Target Zone: $103,918.60 – $104,747.91
🔥 Entry Zone: $95,252.31 (marked blue box)
⚠️ Stop Loss: $94,091.28
* Positioned safely below support
* Good Risk/Reward Ratio.
5. Extra Cues
📅 Economic event icons near May 3–6 → Potential volatility ahead
⚡ Pullback in progress → May offer a buying opportunity.
Conclusion
🚀 Bullish Setup!
* Watch for a bounce from the blue demand zone
* Targeting $104K breakout
* Strong support + momentum = solid long opportunity.
Bitcoin Monthly compared to Historical Cycle Tops-UPDATE $400K ?
Keeping this simple
PA is on the 3rd of 3 Candles below that Threshold line. The comparison is the same position back in 2017 ( left Arrow ), Same Months, same position and also in the 4th year of the Cycle.
Now, I will say, I am one of the many that are saying "this time is different" and yet, when we see this.....well....Is it ?
We will find out in time but for now, Lets follow the chart, as we Must......Charts Never Lie
SO, for that Green candle to touch the threshold line, we are looking around the current ATH and then, when MAY comes in, we need to stay above.
Now, The monthly Candle Colours charts I post, mentioned, that if April closes Green, May has a High Percent chance of also doing that.
We have to wait and see - 1 Week to go till April closes.
As you can see, historically, The year with the Green Box is the year we go to ATH and above the upper trend line, with the ATH on or above that dashed line.
This puts this cycle ATH around, or above, $400K !
That is near Twice my current projection.
Is this time different. ?
There is a chart I have that explains how Bitcoin has been under an Arc od resistance since it's crea\ion and This is something that could keep PA down to the 250K ATH that is expected by so many
The chart is Below, it exoplains itself
So, the next 6 weeks are Pivotal to how this cycle will play out, with one of two ATH zones available.
But more importantly, Bitcoin PA NEEDS to break above and away from that Arc of resistance....and THAT WOULD MAKE THIS TIME DIFFERENT
Enjoy the ride guys and Gals
Bitcoin's Bounce, Your Weekly Scoop on the Bullish Surge !The market has unfolded as anticipated, aligning with our projections.
Short-Term Outlook: Expect a relatively narrow trading range this week due to the absence of major news catalysts.
Bullish Perspective: We maintain a bullish stance, targeting a price range of $88,000–$92,000.
Local Bottom Confirmation: Bitcoin appears to have established a local bottom. Notably, it diverged from Ethereum, which recorded lower lows, while Bitcoin resisted forming a new low.
Technical Analysis: Last week, Bitcoin respected a daily bullish order block, resulting in a strong upward move.
Key Support Level: This week, an inverse fair value gap (FVG) on the daily chart around $82,400 is expected to act as a liquidity zone and support, with price likely to tap this level and rebound higher.
Thank you for your support! Stay tuned for more insights and drop a Like if you loved it 🚀
Bitcoin is ABSOLUTELY under Pressure - It MUST react before DECI have been looking at this in detail for some time and have decided to change how I calculate things and here is the result.
There are 2 things of Massive importance to see here.
First is that Curve that PA has been under since 2010
The Lower Dashed Line is the Trend line formed in 2011. It is Strong and it is Valid and PA is currently running along it.
Here is a closer image to show you where we are in relation to it right now. Directly below PA currently, we hit that line around 67K
The Apex of this "Triangle" is December THIS YEAR
PA Has to break Above that Arc, the same Arc that has Rejected PA EVERY TIME since 2011
BUT THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT - IT HAS TO BE and here is why
I am not going to explain the % increase each Cycle Low to ATH, it is in the chart but I do want to show you this,
The first real push of Bitcoin was a massive % rise that created the ATH that formed the 1st point of the Lower Trend line of the New channel. This is A on the chart
The Next push was to B. This push was 1.433% of the Original push A - smaller by a long way in % terms.
These 2 moves created the channel that PA has remained in ever since. ( see dashed upper trend line)
From this point on, we can see that each cycle push , while in channel, has been approx 20% of the previous rise. Or around 1/5 of the size in % terms
Or to put is another way, Each Rise has been a diminishing % rise from previous.
Look at that curve. It has pushed PA down each cycle ATH
This cycle, we are currently at 26.7% of the previous push ( to 2021 ATH ) and it has created a cycle ATH currently.
But is the cycle Over ? - Hopefully NOT
Because if it is NOT over, we need to break through that Curve of resistance by December.
The Much expected 200K ATH is way over that curve and would result in a 55% of previous push rise. That would break the "trend"
This is VERY Different. But Absolutely required.
So, the question that should be on Everyone's lips is "Which is stronger ? The line or the Arc ?"
My expectation is that we will break through. That Arc has been a Major part of the formative years of Bitcoin PA but now, it could prove detrimental. Because, if we do not break through it, It will push Peice DOWN, through that line of Long term support.
We do not want that
SO, Maybe THIS is why the Bulls are waiting for the Weekly MACD to reset to Neutral...PA Needs the strength to break through.
So, Go Buy your Local BULL a Beer ( or white wine lol ) and Lets get on.
Watch this Close. It really is more important that Trumps Reserve, Saylors Love nest or Bezos after burners.................
Bitcoin: 74k-72k Line in the Sand!Hello everyone!
First of all happy international women's day to all the ladies out there! (Don't forget to get flowers guys)
Bitcoin is approaching a key area
with extremely strong support, but several indicators also mark the line in the sand for the current bullmarket for Bitcoin.
Weekly
- Fib: 38.2% of the complete trend retracement (15.5k - 109.4k)
- MA: 50 SMA (75.4k)
- S/R: 70k-74k Strong supply/resistance area
A consistent pattern emerges on Bitcoin's chart: breaks below the 50-week SMA (black line) after an all-time high (red arrows) have reliably indicated bear markets. Similarly, reclaiming the 50-week SMA (green arrows) has historically confirmed bull runs toward fresh all-time highs.
3D
- Fib: 61.8% of the retracement from previous range low to current high (49.5k - 109.4k)
- MA: 100 SMA (77k)
On the 3-day chart, the 100 SMA has acted as strong support during this bull market. Bitcoin revisited the moving average on 5 individual occasions and bounced off it. Despite briefly closing below it twice, BTC quickly reclaimed it with the following candle.
A potential correction to $70,000 is possible for Bitcoin. To maintain the bull market, it's crucial for bulls to find support there and drive the price back above the 3-day 100 SMA and the weekly 50 SMA.
Happy trading!
Pat
Bitcoin road to 33 000 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
✅Before we start to discuss, I would be glad if you share your opinion on this post's comment section and hit the like button if you enjoyed it.
Thank you.
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️ Everything going according by my global 2023 plan for BTC what i’ve posted here in December 2022
➡️ We got uptrend line since covid dump
➡️ We retested downtrend line with FTX crash
➡️ Now we can see impulse-correction-impulse. Second impulse to test uptrend line and I think first rejection in April
➡️ All FOMC rate already included in price. Recession is only one things what not included, so we can see dump
➡️ After rejection at trend line and full fill of 3 month FVG we can drop by end of summer to 20K to find a support
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
---
• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BTC SHORT for Very Short until TRUMP's FIRST DAY!Bitcoin USD prediction: We had a fake-out to 89k, a mini one, but it could be enough for continuation. I'm letting it print some more price action before making new moves. Either way, I'm still convinced this consolidation at 98k with a possibility of retrace around 96K to produce highlows can attract more bullish people while we continue to reset FGM (fear greed meter) including RSI as leading indicator recently for protail and retail traders and investors.
This is my final and last prediction! I will make sure this will stay permanent and I will be brave in making these predictions. To support these predictions let's look from a zoom out cycle view, it’s still fine a -17% to -20% dips are expected in a bull market.
This is basic and the worst was more than -35% to -40% crashes at the middle of every BTC.d down and BTC price up. The bullish market structure is also intact. It still looks like the first consolidation after the first impulsive leg after breaking above the range high, which is the usual way the markets move.
I said this during live that this is going to be the smartest thing you will do in order to really enter the alts you want to bag or DCA since most of you guys worry about being fearful rather than taking action. Please watch my videos here;
Thought about BTC chart analysisBelow is a structured, step-by-step technical analysis of the shared BTC/USDT chart (on a 30-minute timeframe) along with a possible short-term (next 12 hours) outlook. Please note this is not financial advice but rather a technical perspective for informational purposes.
1. Identify the Overall Context
Timeframe: The chart is set to the 30-minute interval, indicating short-term price action and intraday volatility.
Current Price Region: BTC appears to be trading in the mid/upper 98,000 range (as shown on the screenshot).
Recent Movement: Price fell sharply from around 102,000–103,000 down to approximately 97,000, and then recovered slightly to the 98,000–99,000 zone.
2. Key Indicators Visible
Bollinger Bands (Purple Area)
Bands are relatively wide, suggesting increased volatility.
Price is near or below the middle band, indicating slight bearish pressure in the short term.
Moving Averages
There appear to be at least two commonly used MAs:
A shorter-term MA (possibly 50-period) in yellow/orange.
A longer-term MA (possibly 200-period) in blue.
The price has fallen below the shorter-term MA, which can be a short-term bearish signal.
The price is hovering around or slightly under the longer-term MA (the 200 MA in blue), which typically acts as a stronger support or resistance.
Volume Profile (SVP HD Up/Down)
Shows volume-by-price bars on the right side.
Notable high-volume nodes around 99,000–100,000, suggesting a strong interest level where price may consolidate or reverse.
Another cluster of volume near 97,000, possibly acting as short-term support if price revisits that zone.
Volume Bars (Below the Chart)
A significant spike in volume during the sharp move downward from ~102,000 to ~97,000.
Post-drop volume appears moderate, suggesting some stabilization but not an aggressive recovery.
3. Short-Term Momentum Evaluation
Price Action Relative to Moving Averages
Trading below the 50-period MA often indicates short-term weakness.
If the price fails to reclaim the 50 MA, the market may remain under bearish pressure for the next few candles (each candle = 30 minutes).
Bollinger Band Position
If candles close near or below the lower Bollinger Band, oversold bounces are likely but not guaranteed.
If candles remain compressed below the midpoint of the bands, it tends to confirm near-term bearish or sideways sentiment.
Possible Divergence Signals
Without direct MACD/RSI data on the screenshot, we rely on the advanced divergence indicator “MIS Adv Div.” If it’s showing bullish divergence (not fully clear from the image), there could be a short-term bounce. If it’s showing bearish continuation, the downward trend may persist.
4. Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance
Around 99,000–99,500: This area aligns with the lower side of a high-volume zone and the short-term MA.
Around 100,000–101,000: A psychologically significant level and also near the previous swing highs and volume node.
Immediate Support
Around 97,000: Where price found an initial bounce on the large sell-off.
Around 95,000: The next potential zone if 97,000 breaks.
5. Short-Term (Next 12 Hours) Price Outlook
Likely Scenario (Sideways to Slight Rebound)
The price may range between 97,000 (support) and 99,500 (local resistance).
If buyers step in at 97,000 again, expect a mild recovery toward the 99,000–100,000 region.
Bullish Breakout
If BTC reclaims the 99,500–100,000 zone with strong buying volume, it could target 100,500–101,000 next.
Watch for a 30-min candle close above the 50 MA to confirm potential upside momentum.
Bearish Continuation
If price fails to hold 97,000, a deeper retracement to 95,000 or lower may occur.
Sustained trading below the 200 MA would reinforce near-term bearish momentum.






















