Bitcoin Still Bearish? My Roadmap to 140K+BTC is still looking bearish after closing a second weekly candle below the key 98k level. I’m still watching the 70 - 74k zone in December before we see the final rally toward $140K+. This cycle seems extended, with everything delayed by about 3-4 months. Historically, Bitcoin tops in Q4 of the year following the halving, but this time things played out differently, hitting $126k in October 2025 made many people call that the top. Personally, I’m still 50/50, and I have my reasons.
We haven’t seen the true euphoria phase yet. Bitcoin has never topped during fear - especially not maximum fear. QE is beginning, not ending. Interest rates are being cut, not raised. There’s been no major altcoin rally, and the crypto market overall is oversold. More than half the coins are even below their 2022 bear market lows.
This isn’t a prediction — I trade based on probabilities.
BTC recently touched 80k and will likely head back toward the 98–100k pivot area, which used to be strong support and has now turned into key resistance.
From there, I expect another drop into the 70–74k zone.
Once we reach that level and everyone becomes extremely bearish, that’s when market makers will likely push BTC to a new ATH, targeting 140k+ sometime around March/April.
However, if Bitcoin closes above 100k before sweeping liquidity from the 70–74k range, then we may form a lower high and roll into a bear market - meaning we might not get another ATH this cycle.
Let’s see how it plays out… I’m prepared for both scenarios.
