BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Update. BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Update.
Falling channel breakout confirmed
Short-term bullish while holding above channel & MA Ichimoku: Price pushing into/above cloud → momentum improving
Support: 87,800 – 88,200
Major Support: 84,600
Resistance / Target: 93,500 – 94,000 zone
As long as BTC holds above 88k, upside continuation is likely toward the 94k supply zone. Any pullback above support can be a healthy retest.
⚠️ Break below 87.5k may delay bullish move. Manage risk.
Btcshort
BTCUSDT (4H) — Chart UpdateBTCUSDT (4H) — Chart Update
Price is still inside a descending channel, but momentum is improving.
Support: 84.5K (strong reaction zone, buyers defended well)
Current: ~88.2K, testing the upper trendline
Break & hold above trendline: Opens path toward 92K – 94K (major supply zone)
Rejection from trendline: Pullback possible toward 86K → 84.5K again
This is a decision zone. Confirmation is needed — don’t front-run.
Trade with confirmation & proper risk management.
Bitcoin Cycle Fractal: Consolidation Before Bear Market 2026History Repeats: 2020–2022 vs 2024–2026
In 2020 , before the strong bull run of 2020–2021, Bitcoin formed a clear bull flag consolidation on the higher timeframe.
After the bull market top in 2021 , price entered a distribution phase , forming a bearish structure, which eventually led to the bear market of 2022.
The current market structure looks very similar.
During 2024–2025, Bitcoin is again consolidating after a strong impulse, forming a rising structure that resembles previous pre-bear-market consolidations.
If this fractal continues to play out, I expect:
Continuation of consolidation in 2025
Transition into a bear market in 2026
My near-term downside target is the 60–65k USD range, which aligns with previous support and structural levels.
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Update. BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Update.
Price swept liquidity near 84.5K and bounced → classic fake breakdown.
Still moving inside a descending channel.
84.5K = key support (holding keeps bounce valid).
82.2K = invalidation level if support fails.
Resistance: 88K → 92K–94K supply zone.
Neutral to slightly bullish as long as 84.5K holds.
Reclaim above 88K = upside continuation possible.
Below 84.5K = increased risk of a deeper pullback.
Not financial advice. Manage risk.
Local Bear Flag on BTC ( 78000$-80000$ )After a strong impulsive drop, price has formed a local bear flag — an ascending corrective channel within a broader bearish move. Price action inside the channel looks corrective, with no clear signs of strong demand.
I expect a breakdown from the flag to the downside and continuation of the bearish move in the short term.
Downside target:
$78,000 – $80,000
As long as price remains below the upper boundary of the flag and fails to break out to the upside, the bear flag scenario remains valid.
BTC — Range Deviation Play & Bear Flag TargetBitcoin continues to trade inside a clearly defined sideways range. Recently, the price made a deviation above the range high — a classic false breakout — and quickly returned back inside the channel, confirming the upper boundary as strong resistance.
Now, on the daily timeframe , the market is forming a bear flag , which typically acts as a continuation pattern to the downside. If this structure breaks lower, it opens the way toward the $68–67K zone , which aligns perfectly with the lower boundary of the range.
A move into this area would likely create a deviation below the range low, mirroring the earlier deviation at the top. Such symmetrical deviations often signal liquidity grabs before a potential mid-term reversal.
Key Points:
Range structure remains intact
Upper deviation confirmed — failed breakout
Daily bear flag suggests continuation lower
Target: $68–67K (potential lower deviation zone)
This scenario remains valid as long as BTC stays below the mid-range and the bear flag structure holds.
BTC/USDT –Chart Update (4H)BTC/USDT –Chart Update (4H)
Price is bouncing off the lower channel support near 84.5K.
Currently trading above the 4H moving average (~87K), indicating short-term strength.
The descending trendline resistance remains intact around 91–92K.
Support: 87K → 84.5K
Resistance: 90K → 92K → 94K (Major)
DYOR | NFA.
BTCUSDT – Chart Update (4H)BTCUSDT – Chart Update (4H)
BTC is respecting the rising trendline but facing strong resistance near 87.5K–88K.
The current structure suggests a weak bounce, with sellers still active at resistance.
Below 87.5K: Risk of pullback towards 85.5K → 84.5K support
Above 88K (hold): Trend continuation towards 90K+
For now, this is a make-or-break zone — wait for confirmation before bias.
DYOR | NFA.
4H chart, BTCUSDT. the 4H chart, BTCUSDT is consolidating in a tight range, holding above a rising trendline, while repeatedly rejecting from the same 93,500–94,500 resistance block.
The price is trading near rising support from the Ichimoku Cloud and lows of 82,000–83,000. Local horizontal support is now around 89,000–89,100, and if the trendline fails, deeper support is at 84,584 and 80,550.
As long as candles close above the trendline and 89,000, the setup favors another attempt to break the red resistance band; a clean 4H close above 94.5k would create room for a move towards 96,000–100,000.
A decisive break below the diagonal plus 89k level reveals a move first to 84.5k and then to 80.5k, where the larger, higher-timeframe demand zone and previous bounce began.
DYOR | NFA
BTC : REVERSAL or FAKEOUT ?? Hello Bitcoin Watchers 📈
BTC is looking promising with a price recovery towards the upside, currently trading just over $90k.
📢But let's not forget, a higher high was observed here as well.
A further -30% drop followed after this pullback to the upside:
If we have to follow a similar trend, over the next two months we could end up at around $65K:
Conclusion - I'm leaning towards more drop to follow after a period of sideways trading here. We could see this zone hold for two or three weeks up until after Xmas, at which point longs could be liquidated again if the optimism goes too high.
If you've been following my previous BTC updates, you would have seen that it's not uncommon for the price to recover to the basis of the Bollinger bands, or mid-level moving average. And the only way that can be considered a reversal, is if the WEEKLY starts closing above the 50day moving average, which we are no where near close to seeing.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC recovers ahead of interest rate announcementBTC Daily Chart – Short Analysis
Bitcoin is still trading inside a bearish structure, staying below key moving averages and the descending trendline.
Main resistance: $100,000 – $102,000
This zone aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and previous support turned resistance → high probability of rejection.
Current move: Price is bouncing, but no bullish confirmation as long as it stays under $102k.
Expected scenario:
BTC may retest the $100k–$102k zone, fail to break it, and continue downward.
Downside target: $83,700 – $84,000
This level matches liquidity and trendline confluence.
Conclusion:
Trend remains bearish unless BTC breaks and closes above $102k.
BTC = Bout To Collapse
I'm not trading bitcoin, but I trade the highly correlated stock Microstrategy. This is a pristine setup before the Asian session punishes Bitcoin for that faux breakout we saw into market close.
The downtrend on the daily chart is the dominant trend on BTC right now, and cracked the whip anytime Bitcoin even thought about crossing that downtrend.
BTC hit massive daily resistance.
Asia rarely breaks resistance overnight.
Max pain favors a move DOWN, not up.
Dealers are short gamma into the strike zone you’re playing.
Your deltas (–0.41) will explode to –0.55 to –0.70 on a gap-down.
IV crushed today → will expand tomorrow morning, benefiting you.
MSTR ALWAYS overreacts to BTC.
Strong Open Interest build at 185, 180 and 175 - temporarily OTM ;)
Max pain sits well below current price on MSTR of $186 at $175
Market Makers hedge delta, not max pain
The largest Open Interest of call options sit at $190.
My prediction for Bitcoin and MSTR for 12/5:
BTC opens below 91,400 and MSTR opens below $183
Under $183, Market Makers hedge mildly bearish
Under $181, MM's hedge strongly bearish (accelerating fall similar to what we saw today around 2-2:45pm)
Under $179, Gamma Squeeze in control - move down accelerates
Under $177, MMs forced to short to $175 (current max pain level)
Under $175, Max pain magnet realized. If we hit $175 - expect price to be pinned by MMs.
Options are pricing in a big downward movement for the overnight session pointing at a 65-70% likelihood of a big selloff.
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART ANALYSIS. Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is in a corrective phase within a larger bullish structure, currently bouncing off support and heading back towards a large supply zone around 102,000–106,000 USDT.
The price was previously rejected from the top resistance band of 123,000–125,000 and sold off sharply, breaking mid-range support and retesting the long-term rising trendline and horizontal support around 80,000–82,000 as a key demand area.
The chart highlights a large “critical and key support” zone from around the mid-60,000s to the low-80,000s, where multiple higher-timeframe supports and rounded bases converge, making this a key zone.
After marking support, BTC has begun a relief rally towards the broken trendline and gray resistance band near 100,000–105,000; this area could serve as a decision point where either a downward continuation or a resumption of the trend is likely.
Bull Case: A strong daily close above the gray zone and reclaimed trendline would signal continuation towards 115,000 and potentially a retest of the 123,000–125,000 highs.
Bear Case: A break below 90,000 following rejection from this resistance will likely trigger another leg down towards 80,000–82,000 and, if that fails, another deep sweep into the “Significant and Major Support” region around 60,000 before a larger accumulation base can form.
DYOR | NFA
BTCUSDT WEEKLY CHART UPDATE !!(BTCUSDT) The weekly structure remains bullish overall, but is currently in a corrective leg back into a key higher-timeframe demand zone.
Confluence of the long‑term ascending trendline and horizontal zone around 80,000–82,000, just under the current price; a deeper buffer of 76,000 marks the top of the “significant and major support” area highlighted on your chart.
The previous distribution band at 123,000–125,000 remains the main upside target and weekly resistance; any new impulse leg will likely aim back into this zone first.
The rounded basing structures since 2022, plus the current pullback, suggest a large continuation pattern rather than a full trend reversal, as long as weekly candles keep closing above the 76k support shelf.
80k–76k holds and forms a clear higher low; the weekly chart favors a renewed push toward six-figure territory and a potential retest of the 123k–125k highs. A decisive weekly close below 76k would invalidate this and open risk toward the mid-60k demand block inside the grey zone.
DYOR | NFA
bitcoin sell#BTCUSD await 2 times breakout 84600 or market entry on sell, price needs to fall below 83349 which holds sideways move until confirmation on buy or sell.
Sell 84600 2 times breakout, target 83349, SL 85393
Below 83400 holds sideways move, price can fall till 82k or 79500 if price can't hold 83400 but reverse back 84600 bullish reversal await.
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE. BTCUSDT is in a corrective phase on the 1D chart, but it is still sitting above a major higher-timeframe support zone.
The chart shows a long-term ascending trendline from late 2024 to early 2025 that currently intersects just below the price, acting as dynamic support together with the horizontal 80k–82k area.
Below that, the wider “significant and major support” region lies roughly between 70k and 65k, which is the last strong demand block if 80k breaks.
Bullish case: Holding above the trendline and 80k–82k could form a higher low; from there BTCUSDT can attempt a recovery toward 95k–100k and eventually back to the 120k+ resistance, but it needs clear higher highs and higher lows on the daily to confirm.
Bearish case: A clean daily close below the trendline and 80k support opens room for a deeper flush into the 70k–65k major support zone, where a larger accumulation base may form before any new up‑leg.
DYOR | NFA
111k Bitcoin top before the 50%+ plunge - THE BIG SHORTIn my previous idea, I explored the technical readiness for Bitcoin to have a strong downturn towards 50k or lower.
I believe we are at the twilight right before the storm.
As with everything, we recognize that price doesn't just continually move down, but that there are retraces in any strong move up or down where big firms are able to offload (in a downturn) or add positions in an upturn.
In our scenario, I believe that large firms have sold into buyers as a test of strength, and buyers were unable to keep prices going higher. The proof is in the imbalances that were created at the quarterly low.
What we are looking for now is the initial impulsive correction up, typically this is points 1 and 2 in a bearish Elliot Wave bearish impulse. the 3rd point, which is also the strongest is expected to come next year.
What we are doing now is setting ourselves up to either exit Bitcoin positions, or start shorting Bitcoin.
We have a solid point of time reference for taking out liquidity, which is actually at the high of THIS closing month. I foresee December being bullish for Bitcoin, but again, this is just before the fall.
The liquidity shown inside of our OTA zone gives us four different types of liquidity:
-Trendline liquidity near the Nov Monthly highs
-The actual high in Nov
-A previous iFVG
-A Current FVG
Here is an example of what we are looking for once prices reaches into our zone:
-The price MUST manipulate the current monthly high (Nov)
-If the price creates a bullish FVG into the high, it must invert it and close below it.
-The price MUST create a bullish FVG on the way down.
We should be looking for these signs in the DAILY chart. Once we have them, short the position.
Be forewarned that it is NOT impossible for the price to manipulate ATH again, so if you do enter this short, set your SL at $132,000.
Again, price MUST show willingness to create imbalances to the downside within the OTA! If this does not happen, you cannot short!
Theoretical position:
Initiate short: apx $111,700 (or whenever there are clear imbalances within OTA)
SL: $132,000
Take Profit 1: $74,720
Take Profit 2: $57,800 (61.8% of the larger move in my previous idea)
BTC - WEEKLY ANALYSISCOINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC saw strong volume today, and some other coins also showed strength — but is this a reversal or a trap? Let's analyze it
BTC recently made a low at 80,524, after which a reversal candle formed and the market showed strength. Now, if BTC breaks the recent low again, then the next long setup will form between 74–77k. If the low does not break and the price moves directly upward, then the 90.7k–94.4k zone is a sideways zone where you shouldn’t open long or short positions because the movement will likely be limited. Just above that, the 96.2k–101.5k zone acts as a bearish zone, and a rejection can be expected from there
If the market forms red candles in this bearish zone, I will short with a 106.4k stop-loss, keeping leverage and margin low






















