Will Btc bounce off this support?Btc bounce incoming off support? If not, and support is broken... long way down to 85K.
Too soon for concern, but Btc is currently bottom feeding off my lowest support.
Followers of my charts would Know that "strangely accurate" calls have been made throughout Btc's recent months worth of price action. I anticipated this recent low and expressed my concens about this dump to a lower low. But I wish I knew how low and how long Btc stays in this lower range.
What I do know is that the "3 Red Week Down Rule" warned us that this lower low was coming. So now is a way better time to concider this asset, than at the recent top!
-Good luck
Btctothemoon
You will ask yourself "how did he know Btc would do that?On Aug 9th I suggested that Btc could dump as low as 107,800. The actual low came within a small margin of that.
On Sept 2nd I suggested that the bottom was in and Btc would soon bounce to 1 of my 3 targets.
On Sept 11th, I also suggested that a lower low was probable (below 107K).
On Sept 17th, the top of the run was called and we saw the anticipated reversal.
I also anticipated the day (time frame), the reversal would occur.
TA works for both the X and Y axis (for both price and time).
I wrote "the bounce was coming to an end within 5 days". On day 6 Btc fell.
I honestly thought Btc would form it's lower low when I published the above charts. But instead we got that low probability pattern of a liquidity grab above the local high...THEN swipe the lows, to form a lower low afterwards. This pattern liquidated all the longs and the shorts, in what tunred out to be the biggest liquidation event in crypto history.
Either way, we got the anticipated lower low and we were spared a catastrophic dump..allowing us to be on the right side of the trade. It's safe to say this was not a surprise, but anticipated and therefore we profited.
TA works! Thank you "3 Red Week Down Rule". lol
Btw I have been suggesting (for weeks), that Btc would hit a lower low, based on the "3 Red Week Down Rule". While everyone on social media is blaming Friday's announcement on China tariffs, for cuasing this lower low.
'Show me the chart and I'll tell you the news"
-Bernard Baruch
Pattern's can be predictive! Learn them all.
BTCUSD – Bulls Strong but Overbought! | 4H AnalysisBitcoin (BTCUSD) has rallied sharply from $110K to $124K, gaining strong bullish momentum. Price is now trading well above the 20/50/100/200 SMAs, confirming the uptrend. However, RSI is entering the overbought zone, suggesting a possible short-term pullback before continuation.
🔹 Technicals
Trend: Strong Bullish (above all major SMAs)
Resistance: $124,500 – $126,000
Support: $122,500 (20 SMA), $120,000, $118,000
RSI: Near 70–75 → Overbought, slight bearish divergence
✅ Bullish Case:
If price sustains above $122,500 and breaks $126,000, we may see an extension toward $128,000 – $130,000.
⚠️ Bearish Case (Pullback):
Failure to break $126,000 could trigger a correction toward $120,000 – $118,000 before another leg higher.
📌 Trading Plan
Long Entry (dip-buy): $122,500 – $120,000
Target: $126,000 → $128,000 → $130,000
Stop Loss: Below $118,000
🔑 Summary
Bitcoin remains in a strong bullish trend, but the market is short-term overheated. Best opportunities are on dips or a confirmed breakout above $126K.
Don’t Blink! BTC Signal Turns Bearish# BTC Quant Signals Stock 1M Prediction — 2025-09-28
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Quant Signals Kline Signal
📊 **CURRENT MARKET STATUS**
* Current Price: **$48.71**
* Data Quality: **Good**
* Timeframe: **1-Minute Bars (Scalping)**
---
🎯 **SCALPING PRICE PREDICTIONS**
* 30-Minute Target: **$48.32 (-0.81%)**
* 2-Hour Target: **$48.39 (-0.66%)**
* End-of-Day Target: **$48.49 (-0.45%)**
📌 Extended Outlook
* Final Target: **$48.39 (-0.66%)**
* Predicted Volatility: **21.8%**
* Expected Range: **$48.30 – $48.83**
---
📈 **SCALPING TREND ANALYSIS**
* Direction: **BEARISH**
* Confidence: **64%**
* Support: **$48.30**
* Resistance: **$48.83**
* Range Size: **1.1% of current price**
---
💰 **INTRADAY TRADE RECOMMENDATION**
* Direction: **SHORT**
* Entry Price: **$48.71**
* Target: **$48.45**
* Stop Loss: **$49.44**
* Confidence: **64%**
* Risk/Reward: **0.35 : 1**
* Session: **Intraday (1m bars)**
* Trend: **BEARISH**
#BTC #Crypto #Scalping #QuantSignals #TradingView
Is Btc STILL following this Eth Fractal? On Sept 9th I suggested Btc was following this Eth Fractal.
On Sept 12th I expressed concern for a lower low, and Btc seems to be heading lower now.
If Btc (on the 1 Day) is following this Eth (4 hr) fractal, then Btc may soon see a lower low (below 107). Alts may bleed harder.
I hope I'm wrong. But I am cautious for several reason, as also indicated in my other previously published charts.
You will ask yourself, "how did he know Btc would do that"?On Aug 9th, I suggested Btc would bottom as low as 107,700, before a bounce.
On Sept 9th I suggested Btc had bottomed at my target, and would bounce to between $114K-118K (within 18 days)...the form a lower low. Day 19 began this current retrace.
Each of these predictions have come true with the exception of the lower low (below $107K). So congratulations to everyone who have been making gains based on my everything I have been charting.
The question remains, will the "3 red week down rule" and my statistical analysis of it's historical price action continue to play out? So far it looks that way. If so, there's another bounce incoming at my red T1.
PS I don't point out my accuracy to brag, but moreso I want to accomplish 2 things.
1-Prove that TA works - for all those non believers (and I encourage you to learn).
2-Keep track of my accuracy stats (and so should you...how else would we know who we should follow).
Btc is Bullish - it approaches an end of a historical timelineOn Sept 3rd I had suggested that Btc had bottomed and would bounce into one of my 3 targets. As anticipated Btc has now hit the top of target 2 (T2).
More importantly, I suggested Btc would bounce to these targets within 1-2 weeks ("18 days max"). Meaning based on a the patterns involving 3 red weeks down, Btc always sees the bounce end by day 18 or sooner...then retraces (often below the previous low -ie $117K).
Yet we are now at day 18 and Btc is not showing signs of a retracement. If Btc does not begin it's retrace today, then this is very bullish for Btc and the altcoin market. I am cautiously bullish as my bias has changed as a result of this new data. We must learn to pivot our trading strategies as price action unfolds. But being able to apply strategies to anticipate price action, helps us to know immediately when our trade ideas are being invalidated. It appears we possibly have an invalidation and I am shifting my approach accordingly.
Btc to the moon. Let's go!
You will ask yourself "how did he know Btc would do that"?On Aug 8th I suggested that based on my research of historical data, Btc would bottom as low as 107K. Btc bottomed at 107...and I then suggested a "bounce incoming".
On Sept 2nd I suggested that Btc had hit a bottom and was about to bounce into 1 of my three targets within 2 weeks. We are at the end of that 2 week period and T1 and T2 have been hit.
Question remains where do we go from here?
The 3 week down rule suggests that we form a lower low (below 107K). Will today's Fed meeting be the excuse for that pattern to play out?
What are your thoughts? I'd like to hear from you to gauge sentiment.
CAUTION: Bitcoin may top within the next 1-5 daysOn Sept 2nd I suggested that Btc would see a bounce into 1 of my 3 targets. Btc has now entered the first zone. I am now cautiously on the look out for a reversal within the next 5 days (by Sept 16th). This expectation is based on my previous chart published where I stated "there is a possibility, based on the 3 week down rule, that the reversal from my targets, may lead to a lower low to my T3 (below current low at 107.5K).
My Aug 31st call for a T2 bounce hit perfectly. But I hope I'm wrong about a drop to T3
If Btc can hold support above 123K I will become very bullish. Until then I remain cautious, becuase I don't want to round-trip my gains. Proper risk management is crucial for me.
Is the Btc 1D chart following an Eth 4 hr chart fractal?Is the Btc 1D chart following an Eth 4 hr chart fractal? Sure looks that way. This also adds confluence to the other Btc chart update I posted today, suggesting Btc would hit a lower low withing the next week. I hope I'm wrong for those of you that are long.
BTC LOWER LOW INCOMING?On Aug 9th I suggested a breakout pattern that would lead Btc (with the highest probability) to an ideal low around $108K. This was based on a repeating historical Btc pattern I discovered.
That pattern played out as anticipated and on Aug 31st I called the bottom at $107,300 and suggested a "bounce - incoming".
I've held this long since the bottom, but I believe the anticipated bounce may be ending soon. I am anticipating a reversal at the above targets on/or before Sept 18th
With the highest probability, this reversal will lead to a lower low (below $107K).
"IF" Btc holds support above $123K I will switch to a more bullish stance. Until then the stats point downward.
Trade safe and may the trends be with you.
BTC Bounce Incoming! Buy the Dip Before It Soars!
🚨 **BTC Dip-Buy Alert! 💎🚀**
**Buy the dip, ride the bounce!**
**📊 Market Bias:**
* Short-term: 🟡 Mildly Bearish / Neutral (price < SMA20/50, 1H/4H mixed)
* Medium-to-long-term: 🟢 Bullish (price > SMA200; key support 101,640–106,900)
* Strategy: Controlled **mean-reversion long** from lower BB → mid/upper BB
**💵 Trade Setup (Enter at Open):**
* **Direction:** LONG
* **Entry Range:** 109,800 – 110,500 (Ref: 110,080)
* **Stop Loss:** 106,900 (hard stop, optional widen to 106,500)
**🏹 Take Profit / Tiered Exits:**
* **TP1 (30%):** 111,786 ⚡ (SMA20 / BB mid)
* **TP2 (50%):** 116,672 🟢 (BB upper / primary target)
* **TP3 (20%):** 120,000 🚀 (extension if momentum resumes)
**💡 Position Sizing Example:**
* Risk 1% of account → For \$100k: \~0.314 BTC
* Max Risk: 1–2% portfolio
* Leverage: 3–5x if using margin; avoid >10x
**📈 Confidence:** 59% ✅ (moderate, controlled risk)
**⚠️ Key Risks:**
* Daily close <106,900 or break under SMA200 (101,640) → bearish flip
* Macro shock, DXY surge, or equity sell-offs may override technicals
* Missing Open Interest data → possible crowding/liquidation risk
* Rapid funding spikes / large OI → potential short squeeze
**💎 Trade Rationale:**
* Price in corrective pullback inside long-term bull (above SMA200)
* MACD histogram improving 📊
* RSI leaves room for mean-reversion
* Favorable risk/reward from lower BB → BB upper (\~116.7k)
**⚡ Execution Notes:**
* Enter at market open
* Use tiered TPs
* Strict stop & position sizing
---
📊 **TRADE DETAILS**
🎯 Instrument: BTC
📈 Direction: LONG
💰 Entry Price: 110,080
🛑 Stop Loss: 106,900
📊 Size: 0.314 BTC
💪 Confidence: 59%
⏰ Entry Timing: market\_open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-09-07
Btc bottoming - See my short term bounce targetI have been anticipating a Btc local bottom as low as 108K since Aug 9th. It was a high probability call, because it's what Btc always does! Follow the patterns...
Now that my T2 has been hit, I anticpate a bounce into my high probability range as seen in the above chart. I will be monitoring price action very closely to see if either of the other 2 higher targets are possible before my anticipated reversal. I will be taking profit at the top of this bounce.
There is a possibility, based on the 3 week down rule, that the reversal (from my targets) may lead to a lower low to my T3 (below current low at 107.5K). This may happen as soon as late Sept- Oct. I hope I'm wrong about that.
May the trends be with you.
Bitcoin Bounce Loading | Long @ 110k → 115k+
# 🚀 BTC Mean-Reversion Play | Long @ 110.35k | Targeting 115k+ 🎯🔥
### 📊 Market Bias
* **Short-term**: Tactical LONG (bounce from lower BB near 110k)
* **Medium-term**: Neutral → Bearish (below EMAs); Bullish only vs SMA200 (\~101k)
* **Actionable Bias**: Scalp/Swing long → flip bearish if <109k
---
### 💡 Trade Setup
* 🎯 **Instrument**: BTC
* 📈 **Direction**: LONG (mean-reversion scalp)
* 💵 **Entry**: Limit 110,350 (stagger optional: 110,500 / 110,150 / 110,000)
* 🛑 **Stop**: 109,300 (below lower BB + liquidity buffer)
* 🎯 **Targets**:
• T1 = 114,976 (EMA21, 40%)
• T2 = 116,499 (30%)
• T3 = 122,528 (30%)
* ⚖️ **RR**: \~4.4:1 to T1
* 📊 **Size**: Risk 1% equity | ≤3x leverage
* 💪 **Confidence**: 60%
---
### ⚡ Rationale & Risks
✅ Sitting on lower Bollinger Band + SMA200 = strong mean-reversion zone
✅ RSI near oversold → bounce probability
✅ Good asymmetric upside vs downside
⚠️ Momentum (MACD & EMAs) still bearish
⚠️ Daily close <109k = invalidation → potential SMA200 test (\~100.9k)
⚠️ Macro shocks (CPI, DXY, Fed) can break levels fast
---
### 📌 Trade Management Rules
* Move stop → breakeven after 50% of T1 hit
* Exit fully if **daily close <109k**
* Cut exposure if ETH/alts roll over or funding spikes
---
### 🧾 JSON Trade Details
```json
{
"instrument": "BTC",
"direction": "long",
"entry_price": 110350.00,
"stop_loss": 109300.00,
"take_profit": 114976.00,
"size": 2.0,
"confidence": 0.60,
"entry_timing": "market_open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-26 08:22:18"
}
```
---
### 🔖 Tags
\#BTC #CryptoTrading #ScalpTrade #SwingTrade #MeanReversion #Bitcoin #DayTrading #RiskReward #TradingSignals #CryptoMarkets 🚀📈🔥
Is Btc finally bottoming (and alts)?Is Btc finally bottoming? If not today, then soon. There might be one more undercut of today's low (current low is $110,560). But since I dont want to miss the train before it leaves the station I'm getting on here at 110K. Could it hit 108K, sure. But that's only a 2% margin of error, which is acceptable. Of course there will be stops in place if Btc goes below 108K.
May the trends be with you.
You will ask yourself "how did he know Btc would do that"?On Aug 9th I suggested Btc would pump from $112K to at least $121K (green box). That has now been confirmed. I also anticipated that Btc would retrace from there, to either T1 or T2 (Red boxes). That is now confimed and Btc may still go lower. See original chart below.
Simply determining support and reisitance is not enough! I must determine with greater certainty in which direction the asset going (at all times). Will it hit support first or reistance? This makes ALL the difference in trading. I have determined the diection from Aug 9th to go up... And then down from my T1 (green box)...and then up from one of my 2 red boxes.
Now that the 12% chance of a Btc pump without a retrace has been ruled out, the probabilities for my 2 bearish targets have increased accordingly. Now T1 (red) is 28% & T2 is 72%.
I have taken profit at the top and will buy back in at the next low. I am monitoring price action closely and anticpate buying into this next bottom.
May the trends be with you.
Btc hit my upside target perfectly. Now retrace to downside T1?On Aug 9th, I suggested that Btc would break the downward trend and head up to my upside target (green T1). It did so the next day. I then anticipated a retrace to either T1 or T2 based on historical data (see chart below)
My upside target hit within 1%. So now...with the highest probability, Btc may now retrace into T1 (1st red box). There's always a chance it can go lower, but based on price action I expect a bounce at T1. We may not get T2 (even though there is a higher historical probability).
There is still that 12% chance Btc is just up only from here (with NO retrace into T1).
***Let me know what target you think will be hit (T1 or T2), or if you think up only from here.
May the trends be with you






















