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Btctothemoon

BTC LOWER LOW INCOMING?On Aug 9th I suggested a breakout pattern that would lead Btc (with the highest probability) to an ideal low around $108K. This was based on a repeating historical Btc pattern I discovered. That pattern played out as anticipated and on Aug 31st I called the bottom at $107,300 and suggested a "bounce - incoming". I've held this long since the bottom, but I believe the anticipated bounce may be ending soon. I am anticipating a reversal at the above targets on/or before Sept 18th With the highest probability, this reversal will lead to a lower low (below $107K). "IF" Btc holds support above $123K I will switch to a more bullish stance. Until then the stats point downward. Trade safe and may the trends be with you.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
BTC Bounce Incoming! Buy the Dip Before It Soars! 🚨 **BTC Dip-Buy Alert! 💎🚀** **Buy the dip, ride the bounce!** **📊 Market Bias:** * Short-term: 🟡 Mildly Bearish / Neutral (price < SMA20/50, 1H/4H mixed) * Medium-to-long-term: 🟢 Bullish (price > SMA200; key support 101,640–106,900) * Strategy: Controlled **mean-reversion long** from lower BB → mid/upper BB **💵 Trade Setup (Enter at Open):** * **Direction:** LONG * **Entry Range:** 109,800 – 110,500 (Ref: 110,080) * **Stop Loss:** 106,900 (hard stop, optional widen to 106,500) **🏹 Take Profit / Tiered Exits:** * **TP1 (30%):** 111,786 ⚡ (SMA20 / BB mid) * **TP2 (50%):** 116,672 🟢 (BB upper / primary target) * **TP3 (20%):** 120,000 🚀 (extension if momentum resumes) **💡 Position Sizing Example:** * Risk 1% of account → For \$100k: \~0.314 BTC * Max Risk: 1–2% portfolio * Leverage: 3–5x if using margin; avoid >10x **📈 Confidence:** 59% ✅ (moderate, controlled risk) **⚠️ Key Risks:** * Daily close <106,900 or break under SMA200 (101,640) → bearish flip * Macro shock, DXY surge, or equity sell-offs may override technicals * Missing Open Interest data → possible crowding/liquidation risk * Rapid funding spikes / large OI → potential short squeeze **💎 Trade Rationale:** * Price in corrective pullback inside long-term bull (above SMA200) * MACD histogram improving 📊 * RSI leaves room for mean-reversion * Favorable risk/reward from lower BB → BB upper (\~116.7k) **⚡ Execution Notes:** * Enter at market open * Use tiered TPs * Strict stop & position sizing --- 📊 **TRADE DETAILS** 🎯 Instrument: BTC 📈 Direction: LONG 💰 Entry Price: 110,080 🛑 Stop Loss: 106,900 📊 Size: 0.314 BTC 💪 Confidence: 59% ⏰ Entry Timing: market\_open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-09-07
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by quantsignals
1
Btc bottoming - See my short term bounce targetI have been anticipating a Btc local bottom as low as 108K since Aug 9th. It was a high probability call, because it's what Btc always does! Follow the patterns... Now that my T2 has been hit, I anticpate a bounce into my high probability range as seen in the above chart. I will be monitoring price action very closely to see if either of the other 2 higher targets are possible before my anticipated reversal. I will be taking profit at the top of this bounce. There is a possibility, based on the 3 week down rule, that the reversal (from my targets) may lead to a lower low to my T3 (below current low at 107.5K). This may happen as soon as late Sept- Oct. I hope I'm wrong about that. May the trends be with you.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
4
Bitcoin Bounce Loading | Long @ 110k → 115k+ # 🚀 BTC Mean-Reversion Play | Long @ 110.35k | Targeting 115k+ 🎯🔥 ### 📊 Market Bias * **Short-term**: Tactical LONG (bounce from lower BB near 110k) * **Medium-term**: Neutral → Bearish (below EMAs); Bullish only vs SMA200 (\~101k) * **Actionable Bias**: Scalp/Swing long → flip bearish if <109k --- ### 💡 Trade Setup * 🎯 **Instrument**: BTC * 📈 **Direction**: LONG (mean-reversion scalp) * 💵 **Entry**: Limit 110,350 (stagger optional: 110,500 / 110,150 / 110,000) * 🛑 **Stop**: 109,300 (below lower BB + liquidity buffer) * 🎯 **Targets**: • T1 = 114,976 (EMA21, 40%) • T2 = 116,499 (30%) • T3 = 122,528 (30%) * ⚖️ **RR**: \~4.4:1 to T1 * 📊 **Size**: Risk 1% equity | ≤3x leverage * 💪 **Confidence**: 60% --- ### ⚡ Rationale & Risks ✅ Sitting on lower Bollinger Band + SMA200 = strong mean-reversion zone ✅ RSI near oversold → bounce probability ✅ Good asymmetric upside vs downside ⚠️ Momentum (MACD & EMAs) still bearish ⚠️ Daily close <109k = invalidation → potential SMA200 test (\~100.9k) ⚠️ Macro shocks (CPI, DXY, Fed) can break levels fast --- ### 📌 Trade Management Rules * Move stop → breakeven after 50% of T1 hit * Exit fully if **daily close <109k** * Cut exposure if ETH/alts roll over or funding spikes --- ### 🧾 JSON Trade Details ```json { "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "long", "entry_price": 110350.00, "stop_loss": 109300.00, "take_profit": 114976.00, "size": 2.0, "confidence": 0.60, "entry_timing": "market_open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-26 08:22:18" } ``` --- ### 🔖 Tags \#BTC #CryptoTrading #ScalpTrade #SwingTrade #MeanReversion #Bitcoin #DayTrading #RiskReward #TradingSignals #CryptoMarkets 🚀📈🔥
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by quantsignals
Strategy: Open a short position when Bitcoin reboundsAs mentioned previously, Bitcoin is in a descending channel, and the strategy of shorting on rebounds is correct. After rebounding above 114,000, it encountered resistance from the descending channel and then fell smoothly, pocketing profits from the short position. A small-scale downward trend channel forms within this channel, where the market primarily experiences volatile declines. A break below the channel will accelerate the decline. For short-term trading, long positions should be established at channel support and short positions should be opened at channel resistance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Violet_Trading_Strategy
Bitcoin's decline will continueBitcoin's recent trend is quite clear, clearly within a weak, narrow range. Ethereum, however, exhibits relatively greater volatility, offering greater room for maneuver. Currently, Bitcoin is expected to maintain this range until at least the end of this month. Regarding Ethereum, the overall trend hasn't reversed. While there have been rebounds, the strength of these rebounds has been noticeably weak. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum prices remain within a downward trend. For short-term trading, we prioritize short positions on rebounds. Short positions can be established around 113,500 for Bitcoin, with a target of 112,600. Short positions can be established above 4250 for Ethereum, with a target of 4120.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Violet_Trading_Strategy
4
You will ask yourself "how did he know Btc would do that"?On Aug 9th I suggested Btc would pump from $112K to at least $121K (green box). That has now been confirmed. I also anticipated that Btc would retrace from there, to either T1 or T2 (Red boxes). That is now confimed and Btc may still go lower. See original chart below. Simply determining support and reisitance is not enough! I must determine with greater certainty in which direction the asset going (at all times). Will it hit support first or reistance? This makes ALL the difference in trading. I have determined the diection from Aug 9th to go up... And then down from my T1 (green box)...and then up from one of my 2 red boxes. Now that the 12% chance of a Btc pump without a retrace has been ruled out, the probabilities for my 2 bearish targets have increased accordingly. Now T1 (red) is 28% & T2 is 72%. I have taken profit at the top and will buy back in at the next low. I am monitoring price action closely and anticpate buying into this next bottom. May the trends be with you.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Strangely-accurate
Btc hit my upside target perfectly. Now retrace to downside T1?On Aug 9th, I suggested that Btc would break the downward trend and head up to my upside target (green T1). It did so the next day. I then anticipated a retrace to either T1 or T2 based on historical data (see chart below) My upside target hit within 1%. So now...with the highest probability, Btc may now retrace into T1 (1st red box). There's always a chance it can go lower, but based on price action I expect a bounce at T1. We may not get T2 (even though there is a higher historical probability). There is still that 12% chance Btc is just up only from here (with NO retrace into T1). ***Let me know what target you think will be hit (T1 or T2), or if you think up only from here. May the trends be with you
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
BTC At Key Support! Will Bulls Breakout From $116K? Don’t Miss **💎 BTC TRADE SETUP — HOLDING SUPPORT FOR NEXT LEG UP** 📈 **Market Bias:** Mixed → Short-term pressure, long-term bullish 🔍 **Key Level:** Price holding near **50-SMA** support ⚡ **Potential:** Consolidation could fuel breakout toward **\$117.5K** **🛠 Setup:** * **Direction:** LONG * **Entry:** \$116,132.70 * **Stop Loss:** \$114,500 (below support) * **Take Profit:** \$117,500 * **Size:** 1 contract (1x leverage) * **Confidence:** 70% * **Timing:** Market open 📌 **Why Long?** * BTC above major moving averages — bullish trend intact * RSI & MACD hint at possible upside momentum * Favorable risk-reward near key support zone ⚠ **Risk Note:** Breakdown below **\$113,069** (50-SMA) flips bias bearish. Volatility can cause sharp swings — position sizing matters. --- **#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #Cryptocurrency #CryptoSetup #DayTrade #SwingTrade #PriceAction #CryptoSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #BitcoinPrice #BreakoutTrading #SupportAndResistance #BTCAnalysis #MovingAverages #RSI #MACD #CryptoInvesting #BullishSetup #CryptoMarket**
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by quantsignals
BTC/USDT Buy Setup – VSA & Demand Zone Reaction✅ Entry: Current price action near 117,297 🎯 Target: 119,078 (+1.22%) 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 116,944 (below demand zone) 📊 Technical Insight (Volume Spread Analysis): Stopping Volume at Lows: The recent down move halted with a wide spread down-bar on high volume, followed by an immediate rejection. This indicates potential professional buying absorbing supply. No Supply Confirmation: After the stopping volume, several narrow spread candles on low volume formed, suggesting weak selling pressure and a lack of commitment from bears. Bullish Reaction: Price rebounded from the demand zone with increasing volume on up-bars, showing early signs of demand dominance. The current consolidation just above the support is typical of absorption before a markup phase. Risk-Reward Structure: The setup offers a favorable 2.2:1 R:R ratio, with the stop placed just below the zone to avoid false breakouts while allowing the trade room to breathe. 📌 Trade Plan: Bias remains bullish as long as price holds above 116,944. A breakout above the minor resistance (117,828) with volume expansion would confirm the next leg up toward the 119,078 target. If volume fails to support the move, reassess before committing additional capital.
Long
by coolbouy
2
BTC Touching Heights !BTC Extremely bullish. BTC analysis shows that it touch supply zone of 107500 and later went to cross the day before previous day high which was residing on 109,684 and then swept previous week high which was 110,600 with strong buying. It hinted crossing the all time high. After crossing all time high of 111,900 gave a change of around 6000 dollars , At this position the BTC outlook shows it may show reversal of around 4K dollars change. The possibilities for the BTC are shown here. Take risk accordingly. Disclaimer : It isn't a financial advice check my analysis and decide on your own.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by srj_fxtrader
BTCUSDT Daily – Bullish Engulfing = Big Move?Whenever we've seen a bullish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe, it’s often followed by a strong upward move. This pattern has repeated consistently throughout the current cycle. 🔹 The recent daily close shows a clean bullish engulfing right off the 50 EMA support. 🔹 Previous purple zones also highlight areas where similar engulfing candles led to sharp rallies. 🔹 Price is once again reclaiming momentum after a liquidity sweep — a classic accumulation signal. 📈 If history repeats, we could be eyeing another leg higher toward the $112K–$115K zone. Pattern Psychology: "This bullish engulfing isn’t just a candle — it's a sentiment shift, where buyers overpower sellers completely in one session." 🔹EMA Bounce Strategy: "Price is using the 50 EMA as a trampoline — a typical smart money support zone." 🔹 Rejection of Breakdown Narrative: "The fakeout below 100,582 support could be a classic bear trap, setting up for a liquidity-driven rally." 🔹 Pivot Zone Reaction: "Immediate pivot zone (102,292) reclaimed — price now in a favorable position to target next R1 around 110,000." 🔹 Historical Context: "This setup mirrors the March bounce, where similar structure and RSI/MACD confluence led to a 12% surge." ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Analysis is for educational purposes only. All chart markings and interpretations are original.
Long
by SLPHOBIA
Could BTC Hit \$160,000 Before 2026? As of **June 2025**, Bitcoin trades near **\$61,000**. But based on historical patterns, market signals, and macro trends, here’s a bold scenario that could unfold: **📊 Key Signals:** * The **2024 Bitcoin halving** cut new supply by 50%. * **Institutional Bitcoin ETFs** now control over 6% of circulating BTC. * **U.S. rate cuts** expected Q3 2025 could trigger a flood of new capital. * **Global unrest** pushing investors toward alternative stores of value. **🔥 Mind-Blowing Prediction:** If Bitcoin follows even half of its average post-halving surge, we could see **\$150,000 BTC before March 2026**. That’s a **+145% gain from today’s price** — within historical norms: * 📈 2020 post-halving: +300% * 📈 2016 post-halving: +600% **⚠ Risks remain:** regulations, market shocks, or ETF outflows could stall momentum. **✅ Bottom Line:** If Bitcoin’s history repeats (or even rhymes), \$150k is not impossible — and 2025 could be the setup year. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoPrediction #CoinMarketCap
VANTAGE:BTCUSDLong
by IPatrice
2
Bitcoin Correction or Trap? Watch This Support Zone CloselyExclusive #Bitcoin Update I got lots of DMs, people are asking: Do you think the bull trend is finished, or is it just a correction and pullback? Guys, first stop panicking. This is exactly what the shark wants you to do. Don’t let them shake you out. Let’s get to the chart: My previous chart got invalidated, and the current situation is that CRYPTOCAP:BTC is defending strongly around the $104.8K to $104.3K support zone. According to the FIB level, we’re currently at the 0.383 level. This area has previously served as strong resistance, so it can now function as effective support. If bulls manage to bounce from this area and push above $107K, we could trigger a sharp move toward the $112K–$113K liquidation zone, where we have almost $12B in short liquidations acting as a strong magnet! Let's talk about the worst-case scenario, in case we break down below this supportive area, then we have 200 EMA and a strong support around $101.4k to $101.8k. I’ll keep you posted as things unfold. If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more! #Bitcoin2025 CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
2
Weekly Analysis for BTC (May 26–30)BTC played out clean last week. Broke above 108k, tapped a new ATH at 110.5k, and pulled back slightly. Structure still bullish — 4H HLs holding strong and 107k retest held nicely into weekend close. Key level to watch is 110k. If we break that with momentum, price can push to 115k or even 120.7k based on fibs and hype continuation. If we reject again, we might pull back to 107k or 100k — still a buy zone unless 88k breaks. On the macro side, confluence is heavy: – ETFs still driving big money inflow – US debt growing after Trump’s new tax bill – Moody’s downgrade adds more pressure – Geopolitical tensions + safe-haven flow also helping BTC hold strength – Holiday week in the US (Memorial Day), so volume might be low — fakeouts possible if liquidity dries up Best zones to watch this week: 🔸 110k breakout for continuation 🔸 107k and 100k pullback buys 🔸 110.5k ATH for possible rejection scalps As long as 88k holds, structure is clean. Bias remains bullish with both TA and macro pointing up. Will be posting more detial daily anaylsis. follow for more updates. Or check out Streefree_trade IG.
by StressFreeTrading
BTCUSD Market Analysis & Trade Outlook (May 9th 2025) 📊 BTCUSD Market Analysis & Trade Outlook (Post $103,500 Target) Instrument: BTCUSD Strategy Type: Probabilistic Breakout with Elliott & Gann Confluence Current Price: $102,600 Trade Horizon: 2–5 Days Timeframes Observed: 4H / Daily 🔍 Market Overview BTCUSD has successfully completed the prior trend continuation target of $103,500, respecting the bullish structure on 4H and Daily timeframes. As of now, price is consolidating just below key resistance, printing a high of $103,800 and retracing slightly to $102,600. This signals a potential decision zone where BTC may either continue its advance or initiate a deeper pullback. I define short-term key boundaries between: Upside: $106,200 – $108,400 Downside: $96,850 – $95,700 📐 Technical Structure & Key Zones Support Zone: $ 97870 , $96,850–$95,700 (Previous consolidation + high volume node) Resistance Zone: $106,200–$108,400 (Measured move & fib cluster area) Structure Bias: Bullish above $99,000; bearish pressure increases below $96,850 🔄 Elliott Wave Count (Short-Term, 4H) BTC appears to be in a Wave (3) of a higher-degree Wave 3, following a Wave (2) retracement toward $94,500. Current price movement is within a sub-wave 3 of (3), with the recent high at $103,800 potentially marking a sub-wave 3 top. A brief corrective Wave 4 could develop toward $100,500–$99,000, before a final Wave 5 drives price into the $106,200–$108,400 zone. If price fails to hold above $96,850, the structure may morph into a larger corrective Wave (4), targeting the lower boundary. 📊 Gann Analysis The Gann 1/1 angle from the March swing low is currently intersecting near $102,500–$103,000, offering resistance. Next key Gann levels: Above: $106,200 (120°) and $108,400 (135°) resistance arcs Below: $96,850 and $95,700 align with 45° and 60° support angles Timewise, entering a minor Gann cycle window on May 10–11, often associated with inflection points. Watch for breakout or reversal signals near this period. 🎯 Trade Scenario Outlook 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Breakout) Trigger: 4H close above $104,000 Target Zones: TP1: $106,200 TP2: $108,400 Invalidation: 4H close below $99,000 (consider tightening SL) 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Pullback) Trigger: Break below $99,000, especially on strong volume Target Zones: TP1: $97870 or $96,850 TP2: $95,700 Invalidation: Close above $104,000 invalidates pullback thesis ⚙️ Strategic Trade Notes Scalping & Swinging Options: Consider range scalps within $102,000–$99,000, but prepare for trend breakout. Swing traders may build positions on retracement (Wave 4) with invalidation below $97870, $96,850. Risk Management: Use volatility-adjusted stop losses under key Gann levels or 50EMA on 4H. Consider tightening stops or taking partials near $106,200 to protect gains if price extends. 📌 Conclusion BTCUSD remains in a bullish macro structure but approaches a key inflection zone. A break and hold above $104,000 could launch the next impulsive leg toward $108,400. Conversely, failure to hold above $99,000 opens the door for a deeper retracement to $ 97870, $96,850–$95,700. Traders should remain flexible, aligning with the prevailing momentum while respecting structural boundaries.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by NextElliott