Another upside breakout—can this rally continue?Bitcoin has broken upward again. However, for those who haven't entered the market yet, there's no need to rush into chasing the rally. Looking back at the characteristics of recent market trends, after the price made multiple breakout moves, it has been difficult to sustain the upward momentum, often followed by a rapid pullback. Blindly chasing high prices can easily leave you in a passive situation of being trapped in the short term.
As for those who have already established long positions near key support levels in line with the previous strategy, there's no need to adjust your positions frequently at present—just continue to hold firmly. From a technical perspective, if this breakout can effectively hold above the key resistance level, the subsequent upside potential of the market will be far beyond the current minor fluctuations. The short-term consolidation is more like a period of momentum accumulation before the trend begins. It is recommended that everyone stay patient, hold onto your positions well, and give the market sufficient time to develop—"let the bullets fly for a while."
I'm Matthew, an analyst focused on technical analysis. If you have any questions regarding specific operations or trend judgments, feel free to communicate and discuss with me at any time. Let's learn trading logic together and move forward steadily in the market!
Btctrade
A flat trend; continue with the previous strategy. Recently, the Bitcoin market has generally been trapped in a range-bound consolidation pattern, with trading activity remaining persistently low. The price has mainly fluctuated repeatedly within the narrow range of 110,000 to 113,000, failing to achieve an effective directional breakout. From the perspective of market performance, the occasional small-scale breakout moves seen earlier have all failed to sustain the trend; instead, the price quickly reverted to within the range. The competition between bulls and bears within this range has shown a temporary state of balance, and the market lacks clear driving forces to break the current deadlock.
Fortunately, however, in response to the current oscillating market, the long-position entry points we supplemented and advised on later are quite ideal. Based on this, there is no need to adjust positions at present, and we can simply continue holding. At the strategic level, we still adhere to the previous core idea of "exchanging time for space" — we will not rush to pursue profits from short-term fluctuations. Instead, through patient position-holding, we will wait for the market to complete sufficient consolidation within the range and for the balance between bulls and bears to be broken. Only then will a clear trending breakout occur, allowing us to further seize greater profit opportunities.
Is the Btc 1D chart following an Eth 4 hr chart fractal?Is the Btc 1D chart following an Eth 4 hr chart fractal? Sure looks that way. This also adds confluence to the other Btc chart update I posted today, suggesting Btc would hit a lower low withing the next week. I hope I'm wrong for those of you that are long.
BTC LOWER LOW INCOMING?On Aug 9th I suggested a breakout pattern that would lead Btc (with the highest probability) to an ideal low around $108K. This was based on a repeating historical Btc pattern I discovered.
That pattern played out as anticipated and on Aug 31st I called the bottom at $107,300 and suggested a "bounce - incoming".
I've held this long since the bottom, but I believe the anticipated bounce may be ending soon. I am anticipating a reversal at the above targets on/or before Sept 18th
With the highest probability, this reversal will lead to a lower low (below $107K).
"IF" Btc holds support above $123K I will switch to a more bullish stance. Until then the stats point downward.
Trade safe and may the trends be with you.
Bitcoin Price Hunt – Based on a One-Day Analysis
Key Bullish Zone:
• If the price can hold above the key bullish zone, it is likely to continue rising for the next day toward the levels of:
• 120,040 USD
• 124,567 USD (this is the all-time high for Bitcoin)
• If the price stays above this level, it indicates Bitcoin is operating in a bullish zone and upward momentum may continue.
Key Bearish Zone:
• If, for any reason, the price fails to hold above the key zone, it will likely drop into a support zone targeting:
• 105,530 USD
• 101,129 USD
Summary:
• Above the key zone: bullish trend, potential for higher targets.
• Below the key zone: bearish pressure, potential for price drop.
perseverance leads to victoryToday, the Bitcoin market has shown a "first decline then rise" trend. the price first retraced to the previous key support level , and after receiving effective support, it quickly launched a rebound. From the technical chart, this rebound has successfully pushed the price upward to break through the upper edge resistance of the descending triangle pattern that it had been trading within previously. This breakout means that the previous convergent consolidation pattern has been officially broken, and the market's direction selection has initially been confirmed.
However, it is important to note that the volume release of the current rebound is not yet sufficient, and the upward momentum is relatively moderate. There has been no obvious upward surge with increased volume for the time being. In the follow-up, it may still take some time to absorb the profit-taking orders and locked-up orders after the breakout. Looking back at the recent strategy, we have repeatedly suggested the operation idea of "deploying long positions after the price retraces to the support level". If everyone executed according to this strategy, they are likely to have obtained a certain amount of floating profit by now. Regarding the subsequent resistance, the primary resistance level to focus on above is around 115800. This level is not only a previous intensive trading area but also has a certain psychological threshold attribute. It is necessary to focus on observing the breakout momentum of the price at this level and the coordination with trading volume.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: MASSIVE MOVE INCOMING!!! (Guard UP NOW) Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are professionally analyzing Bitcoin. We are doing multi-time frame analysis as professional traders. First, we are starting on an ultra-high time frame chart where I'm sharing with you the magical moving average trend line, how it's perfectly working as a support, and the possible channel retest and the bearish cross.
On the high timeframe chart, we are looking at a zigzag that has finished with the highest probability. The first wave of an impulse has started—that is the question. We have a bullish divergence plus a shooting star, and we are waiting for the daily candle to close and reclaim that resistance to confirm some nice long positions.
On the medium timeframe, I'm sharing with you the bearish divergence we are waiting for across and the possibility of finishing the first wave.
On the low timeframe chart, we are going through the ending diagonal. Watch the fourth high; it cannot be reclaimed. Until it gets reclaimed, we are actively looking for short positions. We are anticipating a huge move, and we are going to be positioning ourselves aggressively very soon.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Can Bitcoin break upwards?Currently, Bitcoin's price is trading within a typical "descending triangle" pattern. From a technical perspective, this convergent consolidation structure indicates that the battle between bulls and bears is approaching its end, and the market is likely on the verge of choosing a breakout direction. Considering factors such as recent changes in market volume, the supporting logic of gradually rising previous low points, and the flow of mainstream funds, I personally lean towards the view that the market will break out upward above the upper edge of this descending triangle in the future, initiating a new round of trending movement.
Based on this judgment, there is no need for us to adjust our positions frequently at present. We can continue to hold the long positions we have already established and remain patient while waiting for the confirmation of the breakout signal. However, a key reminder is essential: all market judgments carry uncertainties. It is imperative to set a strict stop-loss level for the held long positions in advance. This measure is to prevent unnecessary losses caused by failing to control risks in a timely manner if the market moves in an unexpectedly reverse direction, and to avoid disrupting the overall trading rhythm.
Trade time for spaceRecently, the Bitcoin market has been in an obvious sideways consolidation phase with significantly reduced trading activity. In terms of intraday price movements, the full-day price fluctuation range has basically remained around 3,000 points. The forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced, and there has been no clear directional breakthrough, with the price fluctuating repeatedly within the range. However, a key signal can be observed from the technical chart: despite the overall consolidation, the market's low points are gradually moving upward. This indicates that the downward support is slowly strengthening, and the embryonic form of a potential upward trend has emerged.
Based on the current market characteristics, it is recommended to continue adhering to the previously formulated trading strategy and there is no need to adjust the approach due to short-term fluctuations. For specific operations, you can wait for the price to retrace to the key support level, then build up long positions in batches and gradually, instead of pursuing a one-time full-position entry. Adopt the strategy of "exchanging time for space", hold the positions patiently, and wait for the market to complete the consolidation and accumulate momentum, then a clear rally will come, allowing you to seize the trending opportunity.
BTC Bounce Incoming! Buy the Dip Before It Soars!
🚨 **BTC Dip-Buy Alert! 💎🚀**
**Buy the dip, ride the bounce!**
**📊 Market Bias:**
* Short-term: 🟡 Mildly Bearish / Neutral (price < SMA20/50, 1H/4H mixed)
* Medium-to-long-term: 🟢 Bullish (price > SMA200; key support 101,640–106,900)
* Strategy: Controlled **mean-reversion long** from lower BB → mid/upper BB
**💵 Trade Setup (Enter at Open):**
* **Direction:** LONG
* **Entry Range:** 109,800 – 110,500 (Ref: 110,080)
* **Stop Loss:** 106,900 (hard stop, optional widen to 106,500)
**🏹 Take Profit / Tiered Exits:**
* **TP1 (30%):** 111,786 ⚡ (SMA20 / BB mid)
* **TP2 (50%):** 116,672 🟢 (BB upper / primary target)
* **TP3 (20%):** 120,000 🚀 (extension if momentum resumes)
**💡 Position Sizing Example:**
* Risk 1% of account → For \$100k: \~0.314 BTC
* Max Risk: 1–2% portfolio
* Leverage: 3–5x if using margin; avoid >10x
**📈 Confidence:** 59% ✅ (moderate, controlled risk)
**⚠️ Key Risks:**
* Daily close <106,900 or break under SMA200 (101,640) → bearish flip
* Macro shock, DXY surge, or equity sell-offs may override technicals
* Missing Open Interest data → possible crowding/liquidation risk
* Rapid funding spikes / large OI → potential short squeeze
**💎 Trade Rationale:**
* Price in corrective pullback inside long-term bull (above SMA200)
* MACD histogram improving 📊
* RSI leaves room for mean-reversion
* Favorable risk/reward from lower BB → BB upper (\~116.7k)
**⚡ Execution Notes:**
* Enter at market open
* Use tiered TPs
* Strict stop & position sizing
---
📊 **TRADE DETAILS**
🎯 Instrument: BTC
📈 Direction: LONG
💰 Entry Price: 110,080
🛑 Stop Loss: 106,900
📊 Size: 0.314 BTC
💪 Confidence: 59%
⏰ Entry Timing: market\_open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-09-07
#Bitcoin Sunday Update#Bitcoin Sunday Update 📉
I’m still holding my short from the past 20 days. CRYPTOCAP:BTC is stuck near $111K, trading weak below the 50MA, and the structure remains bearish. If we get a CPI-driven spike into 115K–120K, I’ll look to add more short positions.
📌 Downside Targets:
105K → 100K → 95K → 90K
“BTC/USDT at Crossroads Key Levels to Watch🔎 Chart Analysis – BTC/USDT (45m)
Resistance Zone: Around 112,586 – 113,200 USDT. Price has tested this area multiple times but failed to break out, confirming strong selling pressure.
Support Zone: Around 107,529 – 108,400 USDT. Buyers have consistently defended this zone, making it a key demand area.
Current Price: 110,720 USDT, sitting in the middle of support and resistance.
📌 Scenarios:
Bullish Case 🟢🚀 – If BTC breaks above 112,586 USDT, momentum could push toward 113,500+ USDT.
Bearish Case 🔴📉 – If BTC fails to hold 109,349 USDT, price may retest the deeper support around 107,500 USDT.
⚖️ Trading Plan Idea:
Long Entry: Above 112,600 breakout ✅
Short Entry: Below 109,300 breakdown ❌
Target Zones:
Upside 🎯 → 113,500+
Downside 🎯 → 107,500
Bitcoin Analysis: Bitcoin Will Continue to RallyBitcoin began rebounding after confirming support near 107,200 on August 29th and 30th. After several days of volatile gains, it has now stabilized above 110,000. Resistance at 113,500, the highest point on August 28th, saw further declines yesterday. Short-term double top pressure exists, but as long as it stabilizes at 110,000, bullish momentum persists. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the current upward trend remains intact. In terms of short-term trends, I personally believe Bitcoin will continue to rebound, at least breaking through 113,500. Of course, this level is unlikely due to the relatively quiet weekend trading. A breakout is possible next week. Let's wait and see.
Bitcoin Strategy
For Bitcoin: Previously, below 110,000, there were consistent signals for opening long positions to ambush bullish sentiment. Any price below this level presents a good opportunity to open long positions. The market has rebounded to the resistance level, but I think it will continue to rebound after a slight correction. If the price pulls back to 110500, 110000, or 109500, you can consider opening a long position. The target is 112700.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: SECRET PATTERN FORMING!!! (scary) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I have been analyzing Bitcoin for you on multiple time frames because we are doing professional trading analysis. On the ultra-high timeframe chart, I have been showing you the ABC corrective mode wave formation that we are doing right now and the next targets from an ultra-high timeframe perspective. Thanks to this, we can better understand the context of the overall market and make better trading ideas on lower timeframes.
On the high timeframe chart, I'm sharing with you that the zigzag of that ultra high timeframe degree B wave was, with the highest probability, finished. We are right now working on the first wave from a lower degree. I'm sharing with you also the bullish divergence.
On the medium timeframe chart, I'm putting your focus on the volume, which is dropping with the price rising. This is usually a sign of bulls being weak. Confluence this with being at resistance; it's usually a recipe for a reversal.We are also seeing two bearish divergences, which need to be confirmed, but the medium time frame is kind of bearish.
On the lower timeframe chart, I'm revealing to you the secret pattern formation: the ending diagonal. The Fibonacci sequence levels are sharing with you all the supports and resistances. I forgot to show you the confirmed bearish cross, but that's okay because the ending diagonal itself is revealing to us the next highest probability movement of Bitcoin.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin Daily SMA update- trend line tested and heldThis chart uses the SMA, Simple Moving Average
Red = 50, Blue = 100, Green = 128, Yellow = 200
As expected, PA came down and tested the trend line that has rejected PA since 13 August and has since bounced back up.
We will have to wait and see but this may have created a Higher Low as PA rose and now sits on the 100 as support.
Should PA continue to rise from here, the 50 SMA at 113254 is the line of resistance we Need to cross and test. This would then give is a Higher High.
After that, the next Higher High will be at a price after 119
Should PA get rejected, the 128 SMA is at 108995 and then the previous Low is at 107165
The Daily MACD seems to have Crossed above its signal line
This is "only Just " and so we wait to see where it goes form here but we are certainly looking Bullish in a longer term as Bulls show us they can respond.
The 4 hour BTC PA chart
This chart makes me a little cautious for now, waiting for confirmation of this move higher,
See how that 2nd Green candle after the bounce, came up and got rejected off the 100 SMA and the current candle is having the same problem.
We do seem to have support on the 50 SMA
PA is currently in a tight range above, with the SMA's very tight.
It is easier for PA to Drop from here so today could be a battle.
The 4 hour MACD is also at a point of crossing
The MACD here has NOT yet crossed the signal line and so we wait, watching to see what happens.
The Histogram shows positive momentum.
It should be remembered that we have the USA calling the possibility of Rate cuts this month.
If the FED goes against the grain, this could be damaging and should the FED decide to cut rates, we are off to the races.
This month is Pivotal.
Long term still Bullish, short term undecided..remaining Bullish CAUTIOUS
Bitcoin at Decision Point: Will BTC Break 112K?Bitcoin remains range-bound on the 4-hour chart. The bullish case depends on holding support near 110,920 and eventually reclaiming resistance around 112,170 to open the path higher toward 114,200 and beyond. On the downside, losing 110,920 would shift focus to the 109,800–108,600 area, and a break below there could expose deeper supports near 105,300–104,800.
The main bias is still for more upside, but confidence comes only if resistance is reclaimed and momentum shifts back in favor of the bulls.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHY IS NOBODY TALKING ABOUT THIS!!?(warning)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are again, as professional traders, analyzing the multi-time frame context of the market. On an ultra-high time frame, we are seeing the medium moving average touch. We are also discussing the possible channel retest, plus I'm sharing with you the bearish cross and bearish divergence.
On the high time frame chart, we are having the zigzag finished, probably with the highest probability. The first ultra-high time frame wave is starting, that is the question of this video, which we are answering, and we are seeing the bullish divergence.
On the medium timeframe, we are seeing that as we are touching the resistance, the volume is dropping, which is a bearish sign. We are seeing two bearish divergences on RSI and MACD histogram, and with the highest probability, we are finishing the first wave.
On the low timeframe chart, I'm discussing the ending diagonal with you, and I forgot to tell you about this, but we are also having a bearish cross there.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Has Bitcoin's long-short trend reversed?Recently, Bitcoin has demonstrated strong resilience at the key support level of 107,000: this level has undergone multiple downward tests, with no effective breakdown occurring; instead, it has rebounded quickly after each touch, confirming the market recognition of this support zone and the strength of buying interest. As the bottom support is confirmed, the price momentum has gradually strengthened and has now successfully broken through the previous resistance level on the 4-hour timeframe. Technically, a bullish structure of "valid support - broken resistance" has been formed, and the short-term trend has shifted from consolidation to a bullish bias. Based on this market change, our trading strategy needs to be adjusted accordingly: we can take a small-position long trade when the price retraces to the support level.
Btc bottoming - See my short term bounce targetI have been anticipating a Btc local bottom as low as 108K since Aug 9th. It was a high probability call, because it's what Btc always does! Follow the patterns...
Now that my T2 has been hit, I anticpate a bounce into my high probability range as seen in the above chart. I will be monitoring price action very closely to see if either of the other 2 higher targets are possible before my anticipated reversal. I will be taking profit at the top of this bounce.
There is a possibility, based on the 3 week down rule, that the reversal (from my targets) may lead to a lower low to my T3 (below current low at 107.5K). This may happen as soon as late Sept- Oct. I hope I'm wrong about that.
May the trends be with you.
BTC/USD Technical AnalysisHello guys!
The price has broken through the last resistance level and is currently forming a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. At this stage, it's unclear whether we’re seeing a reversal H&S or a continuation H&S. Here’s how to play it:
1️⃣ If the neckline breaks upwards, consider going long with a target toward the pink resistance zone. This area is key for shorts, so be prepared to flip your position here!
2️⃣ If the neckline holds as resistance, look for short opportunities targeting:
$106,460
$105,250
💡 My strategy:
Open half your short position now. If price moves toward the pink zone, add more shorts there for a stronger position.
⚠️ Caution: Always keep an eye on the neckline, it will determine whether we go bullish or bearish from here!
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC Very good bullish pin bar on 4h off of $107,461 support, put bullish engulfing following it. $110,423 resistance being tested, $109,022 support in effect and tested, Bullish engulfing on previous daily close too, time to see if it can follow thru. Decline in volume on last 4h close, weakening climb, we gonna be here for a while, support at $107,461 to watch with resistance remaining at $110,423 and key resistance at $115,753.