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BTC(20250806) market analysis and operationAugust 6th BTC Contract Technical Analysis: Today, the large-scale daily chart closed with a small bullish candlestick pattern, with consecutive bullish candlesticks. However, the price remains consolidating at a high level, with no signs of an upward breakout. The accompanying indicator forms a death cross. Therefore, based on the current trend, the price is still within the range, with rising and falling prices unlikely to continue or break out of the range. Therefore, trading should be considered within the range. The short-term hourly chart showed yesterday's intraday gains, followed by pressure and declines in the European session, with the US session continuing its correction. Prices rebounded after finding support in the Asian morning. The current candlestick pattern shows consecutive bullish candlesticks, with the accompanying indicator forming a golden cross. Therefore, an intraday rise is highly likely, but the overall trend is stuck in a range-bound market, so a one-sided trend should not be considered. Today's BTC Short-Term Contract Trading Strategy: Buy on a pullback to the 113,700 area, with a stop-loss at 113,200 and a target of 115,000. Sell on a touchdown to the 115,200 area, with a stop-loss at 115,700 and a target of 114,000. Focus on the short-term range.
by NicolaZhu
$BTC bouncing over crucial support!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently pulling back from the $123K resistance area, heading toward a major confluence support zone between $107K–$110K, which aligns with: ✅ Previous breakout zone ✅ 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement ✅ Lower bound of the ascending channel ✅ 200 EMA support This level is expected to attract buyers and act as a strong base for the next bullish leg. Price dips into the $107K–$110K support Look for a bullish reversal (reaction candles or bullish divergence) Target 1: $128K – retest of resistance Target 2: $132K – upper boundary of the ascending channel CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains within a healthy bullish structure. This pullback is constructive, not bearish. The $108K–$110K zone is a high-probability long setup — wait for bullish confirmation before entering. A daily close below $106.8K would invalidate the structure and open up downside risk.
Long
by persis10t
3
BTC sounded the alarm, 115,000 became the key point#BTCUSD Last week, as global risk sentiment deteriorated, the cryptocurrency market came under pressure, pushing BTC back from its recent highs. This correction was significant, and while BTC has subsequently rebounded, technically, the bearish divergence signaled by the daily MACD indicates weakening short-term rebound momentum. The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart are trending downward, indicating that the market remains in a period of volatile correction. If BTC cannot effectively break through the upper resistance of 115,000 in the short term, the bears may continue to exert their strength. You can consider shorting with the target at 114,000-113,000. 🚀 SELL 115,000-116,000 🚀 TP 114,000-113,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
BTC-----Sell around 114500, target 113500-113000 areaAugust 5th BTC Contract Technical Analysis: Today, the daily chart closed with a small bullish candlestick pattern, with prices remaining high. However, the accompanying indicator forms a death cross. While the broader trend remains bearish, the market is still trending downwards. However, yesterday's significant upward trend suggests a range-bound trend in the short term. Without a continuation of the trend, a significant unilateral move is unlikely. On the hourly chart, yesterday's intraday gains continued in the European and American sessions, but prices failed to break above the previous high. The current candlestick pattern shows consecutive bearish candlesticks, with prices trading below the moving average and the accompanying indicator forming a death cross. Therefore, continued support is crucial for the day, with the strength and potential breakouts of the European session also key. Today's BTC Short-Term Contract Trading Strategy: Sell on pullbacks to the 114,500 area, with a stop-loss at 115,000, and a target of 113,500-113,000.
Short
by NicolaZhu
BTC/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, with a focus on smart money concepts like FVG (Fair Value Gap) and support/resistance zones. --- Technical Breakdown: 1. Price Structure & Path Projection: BTC is currently in a sideways range, but the drawn projection suggests a potential bullish reversal from the key support zone or the FVG level. Two bullish paths are suggested: One bounces from the key support zone (~114,725). The other dips deeper into the FVG level, sweeping liquidity before heading higher. 2. Key Zones: Key Support Level: Around 114,700–114,800, aligning with the EMA 200 and prior reaction levels. FVG Level (Fair Value Gap): Just below the support zone — marked as a potential liquidity sweep area before bullish continuation. Resistance Zone: 123,069.65, where partial profit could be taken. Final Target Point: 130,312.02, projecting a strong bullish move from the base. 3. EMA 200 (Blue): EMA sits around 114,685.97, acting as a strong dynamic support, supporting the bullish scenario. 4. RSI (14): RSI is neutral at 51.10, providing room for bullish momentum without being overbought. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: Conservative: Near 114,725.18 (key support + EMA 200) Aggressive: Deeper at FVG level if price sweeps that zone Targets: TP1: 123,069.65 (resistance zone) TP2: 130,312.02 (main target) Invalidation: Break and close below FVG zone would negate the setup --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
7
BTC Breaks Down: Retest Could Lead to More LossesHello guys! Bitcoin has officially broken below the descending channel it was stuck in for weeks. Right now, price is pulling back to retest the broken channel, which is now acting as resistance around the 114,700 zone. What I'm watching: Broken channel = bearish signal Retest zone around 114,700 Downside target near 110,400 So far, it looks like a clean setup for further downside, unless bulls manage to reclaim that broken trendline. Until then, the pressure remains to the downside. Let’s see how price reacts here... Rejection = short opportunity.
Short
by melikatrader94
28
Gaussian and the LMACD deep dive!As you can see LMACD is showing signs of exhaustion. Histogram has been compressing or decreasing in momentum while the price has been climbing up. This divergence wont last for too long and a change in the trend seem very likely. BTC might be entering in the bear market pretty soon and you might start seeing the histogram turning red and increasing in bearish momentum before changing the trend once we approach to the core of the Gaussian or even bellow this time. Breaking bellow the core would mean range bellow 40k as bear market bottom.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by elalemiami
2
Reversal from Channel Bottom or a Real Breakdown? Identifying th 🎯 BTCUSDT - Analysis 🔹 Analysis Date: 1 August 2025 📉BTCUSDT: Price is currently moving inside an ascending channel and has touched the bottom of the channel again, offering a potential buy opportunity. However, for those seeking a low-risk entry, the zone around 118,000 could be ideal—if price returns to the channel and confirms support. Although it seems the channel’s lower boundary might break, this could be a fake break to mislead traders before a rebound. The support at 110,000 is a crucial short-term level; if it fails, a deeper correction toward 98,090 or even 94,000 is likely. Our targets remain at the upper boundary of the channel. ⚠️ Risk Management Tip: Wait for confirmation near 118,000 if unsure, and always size positions based on overall volatility.
by TrendShot
BTC : The future of Bitcoin...Hello friends🙌 👀According to the price history, the price has always been bullish and is in a long-term bullish channel. 📈Now that the price is struggling in the middle of the channel and is gathering strength for a big move, which is expected to break the middle of the channel in the form of a resistance or middle channel, the price will move to the ceiling of the channel. ⚠Don't forget risk and capital management. 🔥Follow us for more signals🔥 *Trade safely with us*
Long
by TheHunters_Company
1
BTC/USDT Buy Setup – VSA & Demand Zone Reaction✅ Entry: Current price action near 117,297 🎯 Target: 119,078 (+1.22%) 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 116,944 (below demand zone) 📊 Technical Insight (Volume Spread Analysis): Stopping Volume at Lows: The recent down move halted with a wide spread down-bar on high volume, followed by an immediate rejection. This indicates potential professional buying absorbing supply. No Supply Confirmation: After the stopping volume, several narrow spread candles on low volume formed, suggesting weak selling pressure and a lack of commitment from bears. Bullish Reaction: Price rebounded from the demand zone with increasing volume on up-bars, showing early signs of demand dominance. The current consolidation just above the support is typical of absorption before a markup phase. Risk-Reward Structure: The setup offers a favorable 2.2:1 R:R ratio, with the stop placed just below the zone to avoid false breakouts while allowing the trade room to breathe. 📌 Trade Plan: Bias remains bullish as long as price holds above 116,944. A breakout above the minor resistance (117,828) with volume expansion would confirm the next leg up toward the 119,078 target. If volume fails to support the move, reassess before committing additional capital.
Long
by coolbouy
2
Chart Analysis (2h Timeframe)✅ Chart Analysis (2h Timeframe) MY using Ichimoku Cloud, support/resistance zones, and trend lines. Price is currently around 118,319 USD. It has broken out of the Ichimoku cloud and is respecting the trendline support, indicating bullish momentum. --- 🎯 Upside Target Levels 🔵 Target 1: Level: ~120,000 USD Reason: Horizontal resistance (clearly marked) Action: Minor profit-taking or partial exit 🔵 Target 2 (Main): Level: ~122,000 USD Reason: Second resistance zone & projected move from breakout Action: Ideal full target zone --- 🔻 Support & Invalidations 🟡 Immediate Support Zone: Levels: 118,404 118,296 118,065 These are dynamic Ichimoku & short-term support levels
OKX:BTCUSDLong
by RSI_Trading_point
8
BTC Trade Plan: Watching for Break and Retest Above Daily Range🟠 Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading range-bound on the daily timeframe ⏳📉📈. I’m monitoring price action for a bullish break and retest 🔓🔁 of the current range to confirm a potential long entry 🎯. 📍 Key levels are already marked on the chart 🗺️— 🛑 Stop-loss would sit just below the previous swing low, 🎯 Target aligns with the higher price zone marked out to the left of the chart 🔼👈. This is a classic range breakout setup—patience and precision are key. 🧠 As always, this is not financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Navigating BTC Tremors on the Path to a Million Dollar New Bitcoin Paradigm: Navigating Short-Term Tremors on the Deliberate Path to a Million-Dollar Valuation The Bitcoin market is currently a paradox, a theater of conflicting signals where short-term jitters coexist with audacious, long-term prophecies. On one hand, the price experiences sharp, gut-wrenching drops, with a recent dip to $118,000 attributed to institutional selling, sending waves of anxiety through the retail sector. On the other, the world’s most formidable financial institutions are issuing forecasts that seem to border on the fantastical, with one Wall Street banking giant boldly predicting a $200,000 Bitcoin by the end of December. This schizophrenic market sentiment is the new normal for an asset in the midst of a profound transformation. Bitcoin is no longer the fringe digital curiosity of a decade ago; it is a maturing global asset class being integrated into the very heart of the traditional financial system. This integration brings with it immense capital, but also new complexities and a different rhythm of growth. The story of Bitcoin today is one of navigating immediate volatility, fueled by market maker games and institutional repositioning, while keeping an eye on a future where corporate adoption, macroeconomic shifts, and a new, more deliberate growth pattern could methodically pave the way to a once-unthinkable $1,000,000 valuation. The current landscape is a confluence of powerful, often opposing, forces. While institutional capital is the primary engine of this bull cycle, it is also a source of calculated selling pressure. At the same time, a steady drumbeat of corporate adoption continues, with companies like the UK-based The Smarter Web Company quietly adding hundreds of Bitcoin to their balance sheets. This is happening against a backdrop of favorable macroeconomic tailwinds, including what some are calling the "biggest trade deal ever" sealed by the United States, an event that subtly reinforces Bitcoin's role as a neutral, global store of value. And just when the narrative seems set, a new player like the mysterious "WeWake" enters the stage with a "big launch" that stuns investors, hinting at a new frontier of consumer-level adoption that could dwarf previous catalysts. This intricate dance between short-term technicals and long-term fundamentals defines Bitcoin's current journey—a journey that is less about the parabolic explosions of the past and more about a calculated, powerful ascent. The Immediate Battleground: Volatility, Support, and the $123,000 Squeeze To understand Bitcoin's path to six figures and beyond, one must first dissect the trench warfare happening at current price levels. The recent plunge to $118,000 served as a stark reminder that the road up is paved with volatility. While alarming, this dip was not seen as a catastrophic failure by seasoned analysts, but rather as a textbook example of institutional mechanics at play. Unlike retail investors who may hold with unwavering conviction, institutional desks are constantly managing risk, rebalancing portfolios, and taking profits to meet quarterly targets. The selling that triggered the drop was likely not a sign of lost faith, but a strategic repositioning, shaking out over-leveraged positions and creating liquidity for larger players to re-enter at more favorable prices. This is precisely where the concept of the "ideal long zone" comes into play. For bullish traders and institutions, these orchestrated dips are not a crisis but an opportunity. An "ideal long zone" is a price range where multiple technical support indicators converge, creating a high-probability area for a price reversal. This zone might be defined by a combination of a key moving average (like the 50-day or 200-day), a significant Fibonacci retracement level drawn from a previous major low to a high, and a historical price range where the asset has previously found strong buying support. The fact that bulls were able to gain traction in this zone following the $118,000 dip indicates that this calculated selling was met with equally calculated buying. The market is currently engaged in a reversal campaign with an initial, modest target of reclaiming the $121,000 level, a crucial psychological pivot point. However, a far more explosive scenario is brewing just beneath the surface: the potential for a massive short squeeze. Market makers, the large entities that provide liquidity to exchanges, are reportedly setting a "trap" for traders betting against Bitcoin. A short squeeze is a powerful market phenomenon that occurs when a heavily shorted asset begins to rise in price. The initial price increase forces short sellers to buy back the asset to close their positions and cut their losses. This wave of forced buying creates a feedback loop, driving the price even higher and forcing more short sellers to capitulate. It's a cascade of liquidations that can lead to rapid, vertical price movements. Analysts believe that market makers are intentionally allowing short positions to build up around the current range, creating a pool of rocket fuel. The target for igniting this fuel appears to be a decisive break above $123,000. If Bitcoin can push past this level, it could trigger a chain reaction of short liquidations, propelling the price upwards with violent speed. This is not organic buying pressure but a technical event driven by market structure. Looking at the week ahead, two primary scenarios emerge from this tense setup. The bullish scenario involves Bitcoin successfully bouncing from the current support zone, holding its ground, and making a concerted push towards $123,000. A break of this level would likely trigger the short squeeze, leading to a rapid retest of recent highs and potentially pushing into the $125,000-$130,000 range. The bearish scenario, conversely, would see Bitcoin fail to hold this "ideal long zone." A break below the recent lows around $118,000 would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis, suggesting that the institutional selling pressure is more significant than anticipated. This could lead to a deeper correction, potentially testing support levels closer to $100,000-$110,000. The outcome of this short-term battle is critical, as it sets the stage for the remainder of the year and will determine whether the more ambitious price targets remain in play. Adding to the tension, the market is heading into August, a month that analysts have flagged as being filled with potential volatility catalysts, from central bank policy announcements to major options expiry dates, ensuring that the current state of high alert will persist. The Wall Street Endorsement: The Race to Six Figures by Year-End While traders battle over short-term levels, Wall Street has its eyes fixed on a much grander prize. The narrative of this bull run has been fundamentally defined by the legitimization of Bitcoin as an institutional asset, and the price targets now emanating from the heart of traditional finance reflect this new reality. In a stunning vote of confidence, a major, unnamed banking giant has put forth a research note predicting that Bitcoin could reach an astonishing $200,000 by December of this year. This is not a casual prediction from a rogue analyst; it represents a calculated forecast from an institution with immense resources and influence. Such a bold call from a pillar of Wall Street signifies a deep conviction in the asset's trajectory, likely based on proprietary models of capital inflows from ETFs, corporate treasuries, and high-net-worth individuals. It serves as a powerful signal to the rest of the financial world, effectively giving institutional clients the green light to allocate significant capital to Bitcoin. This prediction, along with a growing consensus that Bitcoin is expected to exceed $150,000 by the end of the year, creates a powerful psychological anchor. When institutions of this caliber set such high targets, they can become self-fulfilling, as asset managers and funds feel compelled to gain exposure, lest they miss out on the anticipated rally. These bullish forecasts are not based on sentiment alone; they are supported by increasingly sophisticated on-chain analysis. One of the most-watched metrics in this cycle is the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio. In simple terms, the MVRV ratio compares Bitcoin's current market price to the average price at which all coins in circulation were last moved. When the ratio is high, it suggests the market is overheated and holders are in significant profit, increasing the likelihood of selling. When it's low, it suggests the asset is undervalued. Analysts have taken this a step further by creating MVRV Pricing Bands. These bands represent standard deviation levels above and below the "realized price," creating a data-driven framework for identifying potential market tops and bottoms. Currently, these pricing bands are hinting at a cycle peak valuation of around $130,000. This provides a more conservative, data-grounded target that aligns with the lower end of the Wall Street predictions. However, this on-chain model comes with a critical caveat: it is only valid if Bitcoin's price holds its current macro support level. This elegantly connects the long-term on-chain outlook with the immediate price battle discussed earlier. A failure to hold the line in the short term could invalidate the assumptions underpinning these models, forcing a recalibration of year-end targets. The path to $130,000, $150,000, or even $200,000 is contingent on winning the present fight. The New Adoption Paradigm: Corporate Strategy, Macro Shifts, and the "WeWake" Wildcard The fuel for Wall Street's bullish fire is coming from tangible, real-world adoption. The trend of corporations adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets, pioneered by MicroStrategy, is quietly but powerfully continuing. A recent example is The Smarter Web Company, a UK-based firm that recently announced the addition of 225 BTC to its holdings. While not on the scale of a multi-billion dollar purchase, this move is incredibly significant. It demonstrates that the corporate treasury thesis is expanding beyond a few high-profile early adopters and is becoming a global phenomenon, embraced by small and medium-sized enterprises who view Bitcoin as a superior long-term store of value and a hedge against currency debasement. Each of these purchases, while small individually, collectively contributes to a persistent supply shock, as more coins are moved from the open market into corporate treasuries for long-term holding. This steady corporate accumulation is occurring against a highly favorable macroeconomic backdrop. News that the United States has successfully sealed what some insiders are calling the "biggest trade deal ever" is being interpreted as a significant long-term tailwind for Bitcoin. Large-scale international trade agreements often involve complex currency fluctuations and settlements. In a world of increasing geopolitical friction and competitive currency devaluations, Bitcoin's properties as a neutral, apolitical, and globally accessible settlement asset become increasingly attractive. Such trade deals can increase global liquidity and put pressure on national currencies, subtly reinforcing the value proposition of a decentralized, non-sovereign store of value. Just as the market was beginning to digest this new landscape of institutional flows and macro support, a wildcard has entered the fray. A company named "WeWake" has reportedly stunned investors with a "big launch," creating a new, unexpected catalyst. While details remain scarce, the market chatter suggests WeWake is not another financial firm or institutional player, but a major consumer-facing technology company. The speculation centers on a groundbreaking integration of Bitcoin's Lightning Network for micropayments within a massively popular application or service. If true, this would represent a paradigm shift in adoption. To date, the primary use case driving this cycle has been Bitcoin as "digital gold"—a store of value for institutions and corporations. The WeWake launch hints at the reawakening of Bitcoin's other primary narrative: a peer-to-peer electronic cash system. A successful, large-scale consumer integration would prove that Bitcoin can function not only as a reserve asset but also as a transactional currency for everyday use, opening up an entirely new dimension of demand. The shock and excitement from this launch stem from its potential to onboard millions of new users to the network, not as investors, but as active participants in a new digital economy. This move from passive investment to active utility could be the key to unlocking the next major phase of exponential growth. The Long Road to a Million: A Mature Asset's "Pump and Consolidate" Journey With year-end targets of $200,000 now part of the mainstream conversation, the once-fringe prediction of a $1,000,000 Bitcoin is being re-evaluated with newfound seriousness. However, a key analyst has offered a crucial insight that reframes this journey: "The days of parabolic Bitcoin bull runs are over." This statement may sound bearish, but it is, in fact, a sign of Bitcoin's profound maturation as an asset class. The wild, untamed, 100x rallies of the early cycles, driven by retail mania and a lack of liquidity, are being replaced by a more structured and powerful, albeit less explosive, pattern of growth. The new path to $1,000,000, according to this expert view, will be a "slow and steady" process defined by a "pump and consolidate" pattern. This model envisions a market that behaves less like a volatile penny stock and more like a blue-chip technology giant. The "pumps" will be powerful, rapid upward movements, but they will be driven by specific, fundamental catalysts—the approval of a new wave of ETFs, a landmark corporate adoption by a Fortune 100 company, a major nation-state adding Bitcoin to its reserves, or a successful consumer integration like the one hinted at by WeWake. Following each of these catalyst-driven pumps, the market will enter a prolonged "consolidate" phase. Instead of a dramatic crash, Bitcoin will establish a new, higher plateau of price discovery. During these consolidation periods, which could last for months, the market will build liquidity, institutional players will accumulate and distribute positions, and the new price level will be normalized and accepted as a baseline. This creates a far more stable foundation for the next leg up. This methodical, stair-step ascent is the hallmark of a mature market with deep, two-sided liquidity provided by institutional players who both buy and sell, preventing the extreme parabolic blow-off tops and subsequent 80-90% crashes of the past. This "pump and consolidate" model makes the journey to $1,000,000 seem not only more plausible but almost inevitable, assuming the underlying drivers of adoption continue. It is a path built on structural strength rather than pure speculation. Each consolidation phase absorbs selling pressure and builds a stronger floor, making the entire structure more resilient to shocks. In conclusion, Bitcoin stands at a fascinating and pivotal juncture. It is weathering the short-term storms of institutional profit-taking and the intricate games of market makers, fighting to establish a firm footing above the critical $120,000 level. At the same time, its long-term trajectory is being underwritten by the full faith and credit of Wall Street, with audacious year-end targets of $150,000 to $200,000 now serving as the institutional base case. This optimism is fueled by a relentless wave of corporate adoption and favorable macroeconomic winds, and has been supercharged by surprising new catalysts that hint at a future of mass consumer utility. The ultimate destination may be the long-fabled million-dollar mark, but the journey will look different this time. The wild, parabolic arcs of youth are giving way to the measured, powerful, and deliberate steps of a mature global asset. The "pump and consolidate" rhythm is the new heartbeat of a market driven by institutional capital and fundamental adoption. While the path will undoubtedly be fraught with volatility, corrections, and periods of agonizing consolidation, the underlying narrative has never been stronger. Bitcoin is navigating the tremors of the present as it builds the foundations for a truly monumental future.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC-----Buy around 119000, target 120000-1205000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on July 28: Today, the daily level of the large cycle closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to rise, the price was above the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross. The general trend of rising is still very obvious, but from the trend law, it is not a very strong trend at present. The trend of oscillating upward and range is highly likely. In this case, we must find a good rhythm for trading, keep short-term, and don’t be greedy, otherwise it is easy to have profit-taking problems; the short-term cycle hourly chart yesterday’s US market rose and then fell under pressure to correct the low position near the 118700 area. The current K-line pattern is continuous, and the price is at a high level. The attached indicator is golden cross and shrinking. In general, the trend is still strong and the retracement is relatively small. If we look at the continuation of the rise today, it is still the old rule. The retracement cannot be large and cannot break the intraday low. Today’s BTC short-term contract trading strategy: Trade in the 119000 area when retreating, stop loss in the 118500 area, target 120000 and break to the 120500 area;
Long
by NicolaZhu