Inside the channel and Flies.If you look at market patterns and Bollinger bands, price always goes from high volatility to price discovery, tightens. Market shows clear direction, ie 🟢 or 🔴.
The same when using longterm charts, they fluctuate and you can almost find where the important channel gonna be.
It's psychology.
85% bullish. 15% it fails, imo.:)
Btctrend
technical analysis for your BTC/USD chart:Pair: Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTC/USD)
Current Price: around $111,628
Structure: Ascending channel pattern
Key Zones:
Resistance Level: $112,000 – $112,500
Target Level (Support): $106,572
📊 Technical Analysis
Trend Structure:
BTC/USD is moving within a rising channel, showing short-term bullish momentum.
Price is now approaching the upper boundary of the channel and a major resistance zone ($112,000–$112,500).
Resistance Reaction Expected:
This zone has previously rejected price, so sellers may re-enter around this region.
If price fails to break above the resistance, a bearish correction is likely.
Bearish Scenario (Primary Expectation):
A potential reversal from resistance is indicated on your chart.
Confirmation: A strong bearish candle or break below the midline of the channel.
Downside target: around $106,572, aligning with previous demand/support and the lower boundary of the broader channel.
Bullish Scenario (Alternative):
If BTC/USD breaks above $112,500 with volume, price could extend toward $113,500–$114,000 before any correction.
⚙️ Trading Plan (Summary)
Direction Entry Zone Stop-Loss Target
🔻 Short (Sell) 112,000 – 112,500 Above 113,000 106,600
🔺 Long (Breakout) Above 112,500 (confirmed) Below 111,800 113,500 – 114,000
🧩 Technical Indicators (Implied)
Trend Channel: Uptrend but nearing exhaustion.
Volume: Likely decreasing as price nears resistance (sign of weakening momentum).
Market Sentiment: Short-term bullish → potential reversal zone ahead. RUS:SBER RUS:VTBR RUS:LKOH RUS:ROSN RUS:MOEX RUS:PLZL RUS:T RUS:NVTK RUS:AFLT RUS:SMLT
Will Btc bounce off this support?Btc bounce incoming off support? If not, and support is broken... long way down to 85K.
Too soon for concern, but Btc is currently bottom feeding off my lowest support.
Followers of my charts would Know that "strangely accurate" calls have been made throughout Btc's recent months worth of price action. I anticipated this recent low and expressed my concens about this dump to a lower low. But I wish I knew how low and how long Btc stays in this lower range.
What I do know is that the "3 Red Week Down Rule" warned us that this lower low was coming. So now is a way better time to concider this asset, than at the recent top!
-Good luck
Is This the Moment? BTC Poised for a Massive ComebackSince hitting the periodic low near 103500, BTC has entered a fluctuating upward structure, and successfully broke through the suppression of the area near 113000 today. Although it has retreated slightly, its fluctuating upward structure has not been destroyed. As the center of gravity of BTC continues to move upward and the signs of attempting to rush higher become more and more obvious, the importance of the fluctuating upward structural support is highlighted. Currently, BTC's short-term support is at 110000-109000; followed by the horizontal area support near 108000.
In addition, the accelerated decline in gold prices has led to profit-taking and panic selling. Funds that have no other place to go for the time being are likely to flow into risky assets such as BTC, which may further push BTC to around 115000.
Therefore, for short-term BTC trading, consider buying BTC in the 110000-10000 range, with a short-term rebound target of 113000-115000.
Bitcoin’s Downtrend Is Fading-The Big Reversal Is Coming!After hitting a low near 103500, BTC showed a fluctuating upward trend. It is currently under pressure in the 111500-112500 area in the short term. However, judging from the current technical structure, BTC is still inclined to operate in a bullish structure in the short term.
First, we can see that BTC has successfully constructed a W-shaped double bottom structure by combining the levels near 1 (103500) and 2 (106100); and combined with the horizontal area near 107500 and 103500, it has constructed an inverted head and shoulders structure. The technical structure supports the resonance effect, indicating that BTC still has the potential to continue to rise.
Therefore, it is highly likely that BTC will break through the 111500-112500 area. The support areas that deserve our attention below are first the area around 110000, and secondly the support area around 108000. If BTC holds above the 110000-108000 area during the retracement, then BTC is expected to continue to the 113000-115000 area.
Therefore, for short-term BTC trading, you can consider waiting for BTC to retrace to the 110000-108000 support area and then try to go long on BTC in small batches.
Pay attention to the Payment Innovation ConferenceOn October 21, the Federal Reserve will hold a payment innovation conference that could rewrite the industry landscape, inviting top cryptocurrency companies such as Chainlink, Circle, and Coinbase to its Washington headquarters. This conference precisely targets the core players in the entire chain of stablecoins, infrastructure, and trading terminals. However, it is worth noting that if the meeting only discusses the direction without details, the BTC market may pull back in the short term.
Looking at technical indicators, the short-term MACD has broken through the signal line, reflecting a bullish change, but the divergence signal of the RSI may foreshadow a short-term pullback. Based on the above information, BTC is likely to experience a short-term correction followed by an upward trend. Focus on the lower levels of 109,700-109,300 in the short term, with key support at 107,500-106,500. Above this level, focus on the short-term resistance levels of 111,000-112,000. A break above this resistance level could lead to a move towards 114,000-115,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
You will ask yourself "how did he know Btc would crash to 103K"?On Sept 23rd I suggested if Btc continues to follow this Eth fractal it would soon bottom at 102K (see chart below). Btc just crashed to 103K on Friday.
Fractals can act as maps for future price action. But they often deviate from the "expectation" at the worst time. I will follow this fractal until it stops working. Hope it has guided you well.
Between this Eth fractal (posted a month ago) and the "3 red week down rule" charts that I have been posting...it's safe to say we seen this week's (historic) dump coming . TA works!
I say this not to brag, but show the disbelievers that TA works (I encourage you to learn). And Also I keep track of my stats on my calls, to track my win ratios. You should too, how else would you know if it's worth following someone's predicitons.
May the trends to be with you.
BTC/USD – Bullish Reversal Setup from Key Support ZonePrice: $106,985
The market recently bounced from the lower channel line, showing that sellers may be losing momentum.
There’s a temporary consolidation near support — this could be a base for a reversal if buying pressure builds up.
⚙️ Technical Structure
Descending Channel: Shows a controlled downtrend — price respecting both upper and lower boundaries.
Support Zone: The green area marks a high-probability buying zone.
Target Point: Around $122,654 – $122,707, which aligns with previous resistance and upper channel breakout level.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If the price holds above $104,000 and breaks the channel resistance, we can expect:
First target: $114,000
Final target: $122,700
This move represents a strong bullish reversal potential.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If BTC breaks below $103,000, expect:
Next support: Around $101,500 – $102,000
It would confirm continuation of the downtrend within the channel.
🟢 Signal Summary
Direction Entry Zone Stop Loss Take Profit Confidence
BUY (Long) $104,000 – $106,000 $102,800 $122,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High if support holds)
⚠️ Conclusion
BTC/USD is at a critical support within a falling channel.
If the support holds, a strong bullish reversal toward the target zone ($122K) is likely.
But a break below $103K would invalidate this setup and resume the bearish trend.
You will ask yourself "how did he know Btc would do that?On Aug 9th I suggested that Btc could dump as low as 107,800. The actual low came within a small margin of that.
On Sept 2nd I suggested that the bottom was in and Btc would soon bounce to 1 of my 3 targets.
On Sept 11th, I also suggested that a lower low was probable (below 107K).
On Sept 17th, the top of the run was called and we saw the anticipated reversal.
I also anticipated the day (time frame), the reversal would occur.
TA works for both the X and Y axis (for both price and time).
I wrote "the bounce was coming to an end within 5 days". On day 6 Btc fell.
I honestly thought Btc would form it's lower low when I published the above charts. But instead we got that low probability pattern of a liquidity grab above the local high...THEN swipe the lows, to form a lower low afterwards. This pattern liquidated all the longs and the shorts, in what tunred out to be the biggest liquidation event in crypto history.
Either way, we got the anticipated lower low and we were spared a catastrophic dump..allowing us to be on the right side of the trade. It's safe to say this was not a surprise, but anticipated and therefore we profited.
TA works! Thank you "3 Red Week Down Rule". lol
Btw I have been suggesting (for weeks), that Btc would hit a lower low, based on the "3 Red Week Down Rule". While everyone on social media is blaming Friday's announcement on China tariffs, for cuasing this lower low.
'Show me the chart and I'll tell you the news"
-Bernard Baruch
Pattern's can be predictive! Learn them all.
From the Previous Warning to Today’s Move — Watch the Next LegThe prior BTC analysis aged well — we’ve had roughly 17% downside since that post.
This update maps the continuation: after a wave 2 correction, Bitcoin can resume a sharp selloff as wave 3. No fluff — just structure and Elliot
Previous analysis:
If this helps, save & follow for the next updates. (Not financial advice.)
Bitcoin Short-Term Update – October 17, 2025-The short trigger from yesterday has been triggered, and the market is currently moving in favor of the bearish scenario.
At this stage, the downside momentum remains strong, making it reasonable to keep short positions open, provided you manage your risk carefully and adjust stops appropriately.
-However, it’s important to remain prepared for a potential V-shaped reversal.
If such a pattern forms, it would signal a sudden shift in momentum, and we would need to flip our bias toward long positions.
-This is particularly relevant because our long-term trend is still bullish, meaning any corrective move could be temporary.
While the short-term setup favors sellers for now, flexibility and vigilance are crucial, as the market could quickly reverse.
For informational purposes only – not financial advice. © DIBAPRISM
Larry D.Kohn
BTCUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Bitcoin is currently trading near a major resistance zone, an area where price has faced repeated rejection in the past. After a strong bullish rally, momentum appears to be slowing, indicating that buyers are losing strength and sellers are gradually stepping in.
If the price continues to reject this resistance or forms a bearish reversal pattern (such as a double top, bearish engulfing, or lower high), it could signal the beginning of a downward correction.
Volume analysis also supports this idea, showing reduced buying activity and increasing selling pressure around the highs.
A break below the short-term support would further confirm bearish sentiment and could open the way for deeper pullbacks.
As long as Bitcoin remains below this resistance zone, the bias stays bearish, and rallies toward resistance may offer good selling opportunities.
Bitcoin Market Outlook – October 16, 2025-Today, there’s a strong possibility that Bitcoin may finally break out of its current consolidation range.
The market has been moving sideways for several sessions, showing signs of indecision among traders — but the current price action suggests that volatility could be returning soon.
-At the moment, all eyes are on the 110,400 support zone.
A confirmed breakdown below this level could provide an initial short opportunity, potentially opening the door for a deeper correction toward lower liquidity areas. Such a move would likely trigger stops and force weak hands out of the market, creating temporary downward momentum.
-However, if this breakdown turns out to be a fake move and the price quickly forms a V-shaped recovery pattern, it will be critical to shift the bias to long positions immediately.
That scenario would indicate a “risk-on” sentiment returning to the broader market, as liquidity and capital could start flowing back into Bitcoin — possibly marking the beginning of another bullish leg.
- In summary, today’s candle close around 110,400 is extremely decisive.
A clean breakdown confirms continuation of the correction, while a sharp rebound from this level could validate a strong reversal setup.
Either way, traders should stay alert, as this zone will likely define the next major directional move for Bitcoin.
For informational purposes only – not financial advice. © DIBAPRISM
Larry D.Kohn
BTC/USD Bearish Order Block Rejection Within Descending Channelhart Summary
Pair: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 30-minute
Trend: Bearish channel (clearly descending)
Setup Type: Bearish Order Block (OB) + Channel retest
🧭 Key Levels
Entry Point: around 112,764 – 112,793
Stop Loss: 114,058 – 114,065
Target Point: 105,001
Current Price: ≈111,627
📉 Technical Breakdown
Bearish Channel Formation:
Price has been moving within a well-defined descending channel, indicating sustained bearish momentum.
Order Block Zone (OB):
A bearish order block is marked at the top of the channel. Price is expected to retest this OB before continuation to the downside.
This aligns with typical smart money behavior — retracement into OB → sell-off continuation.
Structure Confirmation:
The structure shows a clear lower high formation setup, meaning sellers are likely to defend the 112.8–113.0 region.
Risk–Reward Ratio (RRR):
The setup provides a very strong RRR (around 1:6), which is excellent for swing/short-term trades.
Volume & Momentum:
While not shown on the chart, declining momentum during the pullback would further confirm this as a low-volume retracement before a sell continuation.
🧠 Trading Plan
Sell Limit: near 112.76 – 112.80
Stop Loss: 114.06
Take Profit: 105.00
Risk–Reward: ≈ 1:6.5
⚠️ Trade Notes
Wait for a bearish confirmation candle or rejection wick near the OB before entry.
If price breaks and closes above 114.1, invalidate the setup (structure break).
First partial profit zone could be around 108,500 before full target.
✅ Conclusion
The setup is bearish and well-structured, following smart money concepts with a clear OB and trend continuation expectation.
If BTC respects the OB zone, there’s a high probability of a drop toward 105,000 support.
BTC NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Bitcoin is currently trading around a strong support zone, an area that has previously triggered bullish reversals. After a phase of consolidation, the price is showing signs of accumulation and weakening bearish momentum — indicating that buyers are gradually stepping back in.
If BTC continues to respect this zone and forms a bullish candle structure (such as a higher low, engulfing, or breakout candle), it could confirm the start of a bullish reversal.
Volume analysis also supports this idea, showing reduced selling pressure and increasing buyer activity near the support levels.
As long as Bitcoin holds above this key demand area, the overall bias remains bullish, and a potential upward continuation can be expected in the coming sessions.
Traders should wait for clear confirmation before entering to stay aligned with the dominant market momentum.
Bitcoin Market Analysis – October 15, 2025🔸 Open interest is currently low, which means traders aren’t showing much interest in taking new positions for now.
🔻 Yesterday’s daily candle closed weak, failing to provide any solid confirmation for bullish continuation.
▫️At the moment, we’re starting to see early signs of a potential bearish scenario — technically speaking. However, from a fundamental perspective, there’s still a chance the market could shift back to a risk-on sentiment.
🔶 Bitcoin is now sitting on a very important support zone.
Right now, I’m waiting for a new structure to form before confirming any direction — whether it’s a deeper correction or a recovery move.
🔹 Summary:
As long as open interest stays low and no strong structure forms, the market remains in a waiting phase. The current support area will determine Bitcoin’s next major move.
#BTC/USDT Bullish Momentum: Will It Break Through Resistance?
#BTC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price higher at 109860.
Entry price: 112045.
First target: 113534.
Second target: 115471.
Third target: 117400.
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change your stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
Bitcoin BTC Breaks Structure | Watching for Discount Entry LongBitcoin has experienced a fairly aggressive retracement recently, but we’re now starting to see bullish momentum returning and a clear shift in structure to the upside 🚀.
💡 My plan is to look for a retracement into the 50% equilibrium level of the current swing range — from low to high — as this could provide a potential discount entry zone for a long opportunity 🏹.
If price pulls back and respects that equilibrium level before breaking structure bullish again, it could set up a strong continuation trade. If not, we patiently step aside and wait for confirmation — discipline over impulse.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Bitcoin Facing Channel Resistance: Another Drop Ahead?Hello guys!
BTC is currently moving within a descending channel, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish structure. The price continues to respect this channel, and until a clear breakout occurs, the downward bias remains intact.
Key Observations:
Two bearish engulfing (Engulfed 1 & Engulfed 2) have marked strong rejections from the upper boundary, reinforcing seller dominance at higher levels.
After the second engulfing, the price rebounded slightly, forming a minor pullback within the channel.
The upper boundary around $122,200–$122,500 is acting as dynamic resistance, aligning with the trendline.
Short-Term Expectation:
BTC could potentially push once more toward the upper boundary of the channel (around $122,200), where sellers may re-enter.
If the resistance holds, a continuation toward the $118,200–$118,300 support zone is expected, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel and previous reaction levels.
Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $122,200 – $122,500
Support: $118,200 – $118,300
Breakout confirmation: A clean close above $122,500 could invalidate the bearish setup and open the way for a short-term bullish correction.
Bias: Bearish below $122,500
BTC ( Long ) or (Spot)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
LONG & SPOT
Entry 117 800
SL 115 000
T1 131 700
Extra Targets 137 000 & 160 000 are optional
Golden Advices.
********************
* Please calculate your losses before the entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.






















