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A must-read for BTC trading before the Fed's decision#BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD The current market focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. This decision not only affects gold, but also has a certain impact on the BTC market. There are currently differences within the FOMC on the future policy path, and Trump is still continuing to pressure for interest rate cuts. Its internal divisions are likely to be reflected in the "dot plot," which shows Fed officials' projections of where they expect the benchmark interest rate to be in the coming years. The dot plot may reveal whether officials are inclined to continue cutting interest rates in October and December. At the same time, Fed officials will also release their interest rate forecast dot plots for 2026 for the first time, indicating how many more rate cuts they expect. According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" information report: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points this week is 96.1%. Any dovish comments from Powell or confirmation of multiple rate cuts from the Fed would support BTC's upward trend, potentially pushing it closer to its all-time high. Technically, the daily chart shows a doji candlestick pattern closing above the upper shadow, slowly breaking through the previous high. The 1-hour chart shows an oscillating pattern, with each rise followed by a fall, and the high point gradually moving up. Overall, the bullish momentum has not ended yet. In the short term, if the price falls back below the 115500-114500 range without breaking, you can try to go long on BTC, and the target can be 117000-118000. If the data is strong, it is even expected to test 120000. In any case, we need to pay attention to the market changes under data stimulation, and the focus during the day should be on risk control!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trading-Magician_G
1
Will Bitcoin break new highs?Bitcoin has seen no major market moves. Overall, the ascending channel remains intact, and there seems little more to elaborate on. We maintain our previous view: exchange time for space. Key Resistance: The $116,800 level has become the main battlefield for bulls and bears. If it breaks through strongly, the short-term target will look toward $118,000 or even $120,000. Key Support: The $114,400 level is the first line of defense below; a break below this level may lead to a retracement to $113,200. If you agree with my views, please give me a thumbs up. Thanks for your encouragement and support.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_8888
Can Bitcoin Still Rise to 120,000?The Bitcoin market is currently in a range-bound consolidation phase, with no clear overall trend breakout. Yesterday, the price once surged above the 116,000 mark, but failed to hold this position, and then quickly fell back into the oscillation range, forming a typical "false breakthrough" trend on the technical side. This phenomenon clearly indicates that the market still faces strong selling pressure at high levels, and bullish momentum to push prices upward is somewhat insufficient, making it difficult to break out of the volatile market in the short term. From a macroeconomic perspective, the window for the Fed to cut interest rates is approaching, and the market is in the process of digesting policy expectations, which makes the current market more characterized by "accumulating strength and waiting" - both bulls and bears remain relatively cautious, and the game intensifies near key points, waiting for clear policy signals or capital flows to break the balance. By observing the daily level pattern, it can be found that the market has recently shown a healthy volume structure of "large volume rise and small volume pullback". At the same time, the lower edge support of the rising channel formed in the early stage is still valid, the price pullback has not fallen below the key support level, and the overall upward trend framework has not been destroyed. Based on the above analysis, we still maintain the original strategy unchanged, continue to hold the existing long positions, and adhere to the operating idea of "trading time for space" - not being disturbed by short-term false breakthroughs or shock fluctuations, patiently waiting for the market to complete accumulation and clarify the direction, and then seize trend opportunities.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_8888
High-level fluctuations, BTC short-term trading arrangements#BTCUSD After BTC started to rise from 113500, it continued to fluctuate and consolidate at a high level, and is also waiting for the specific basis point of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. In the short term, BTC is experiencing a retracement. Aggressive traders can consider trying to arrange long orders at 115500-115000. Once it falls below 115000, SL is carried out in time, with the target looking at 116500-117500.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TP-Halson
Can Bitcoin break through 120,000?The Bitcoin market as a whole showed obvious "flat consolidation" characteristics over the weekend. Today's price maintained a narrow sideways fluctuation pattern, with an upper and lower range of only about 1,000 points. The bulls and bears played a moderate game in the current range, and there was no obvious directional competition. The market is temporarily in a state of accumulation. However, from a technical perspective, after Bitcoin successfully broke through the key resistance level at the 4-hour level, it did not pull back. Instead, it showed a trend of "continuously rising lows" - that is, the low point of each pullback is higher than the previous low point. This pattern is a typical signal of a bullish trend, indicating that the overall bullish power in the market is gradually accumulating, the short-selling pressure continues to weaken, and the market direction has shifted to the bulls. Based on this judgment, there is no need to adjust positions due to short-term sideways fluctuations. You should continue to firmly hold the long positions you have established and remain patient to "let profits fly for a while." The short-term sideways movement is more of a post-breakout accumulation phase. Once the market digests the current range, it is likely to continue its bullish trend, further opening up upside potential. I'm Matthew, an analyst focused on technical analysis. If you have any questions regarding specific operations or trend judgments, feel free to communicate and discuss with me at any time. Let's learn trading logic together and move forward steadily in the market!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_8888
BTC Buy Zone Forming – Potential Bullish Breakout AheadAnalysis: Trend Structure: After a corrective decline from the $124K resistance area, BTC has rebounded strongly, forming a rising channel (highlighted in blue). Support Levels: Strong demand observed near $107,200, aligning with the 0.868 Fibonacci retracement, making it a crucial support zone. Buy Zone: Chart highlights the $114K–$116K range as a buy zone before continuation of the upward trend. Resistance Levels: Key resistance remains around $124K–$126K, which is the next major target if the bullish momentum sustains. Outlook: As long as BTC stays above $114K support, the bias remains bullish, with a potential rally towards $120K–$124K. A breakdown below $112K would invalidate the bullish scenario. ✅ Bias: Bullish continuation 🎯 Targets: $120,000 → $124,000 🛑 Invalidation: Break below $112,000
Long
by Pipshunter27
2
CAUTION: Bitcoin may top within the next 1-5 daysOn Sept 2nd I suggested that Btc would see a bounce into 1 of my 3 targets. Btc has now entered the first zone. I am now cautiously on the look out for a reversal within the next 5 days (by Sept 16th). This expectation is based on my previous chart published where I stated "there is a possibility, based on the 3 week down rule, that the reversal from my targets, may lead to a lower low to my T3 (below current low at 107.5K). My Aug 31st call for a T2 bounce hit perfectly. But I hope I'm wrong about a drop to T3 If Btc can hold support above 123K I will become very bullish. Until then I remain cautious, becuase I don't want to round-trip my gains. Proper risk management is crucial for me.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
#BTC/USDT Bullish Divergence on 1H, Low Risk Trade#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout. There is a major support area in green at 0.0, representing a strong support point. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 112090 First target: 112177 Second target: 113111 Third target: 113963 Don't forget a simple matter: capital management. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
1
Bitcoin at Decision Point: Will BTC Break 112K?Bitcoin remains range-bound on the 4-hour chart. The bullish case depends on holding support near 110,920 and eventually reclaiming resistance around 112,170 to open the path higher toward 114,200 and beyond. On the downside, losing 110,920 would shift focus to the 109,800–108,600 area, and a break below there could expose deeper supports near 105,300–104,800. The main bias is still for more upside, but confidence comes only if resistance is reclaimed and momentum shifts back in favor of the bulls.
by Trade-Lean
BTC/USDT – Bullish Momentum Brewing! Are You In?🚀 Trade Setup Details: 🕯 #BTC/USDT 🔼 Buy | Long 🔼 ⌛️ TimeFrame: 1D -------------------- 🛡 Risk Management (Example): 🛡 Based on $10,000 Balance 🛡 Loss-Limit: 1% (Conservative) 🛡 The Signal Margin: $1256.28 -------------------- ☄️ En1: 110559.25 (Amount: $125.63) ☄️ En2: 107509.03 (Amount: $439.7) ☄️ En3: 105389.1 (Amount: $565.33) ☄️ En4: 103310.97 (Amount: $125.63) -------------------- ☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then: ☄️ Average.En: 106440.29 ($1256.28) -------------------- ☑️ TP1: 118316.05 (+11.16%) (RR:1.4) ☑️ TP2: 124474 (+16.94%) (RR:2.13) ☑️ TP3: 132765.65 (+24.73%) (RR:3.11) ☑️ TP4: 144116.05 (+35.4%) (RR:4.45) ☑️ TP5: 157777.77 (+48.23%) (RR:6.06) ☑️ TP6: Open 🔝 -------------------- ❌ SL: 97967.45 (-7.96%) (-$100) -------------------- 💯 Maximum.Lev: 7X ⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading ‼️ Signal Risk: 🙂 Low-Risk! 🙂 🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown: This technical analysis is based on Price Action, Elliott waves, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Losses are calculated using professional mathematical formulas. As a result, you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management. 📊 Sentiment & Market Context: Bitcoin (BTC) is showing strong bullish momentum as it consolidates above key support zones, signaling a potential breakout after recent healthy corrections. The broader crypto market is stabilizing, and BTC continues to maintain its dominance, attracting institutional interest and retail confidence alike. 🌍 Fundamentals Remain Strong: ETF inflows, continued network activity growth, and increasing adoption by global institutions are fueling BTC’s long-term outlook. With the next halving cycle already on the horizon, historical trends suggest bullish continuation over the medium to long term. Macro sentiment is also leaning risk-on, with fiat liquidity gradually increasing and global inflation concerns subsiding. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly. 💡 Stay Updated: Like this technical analysis? Follow me for more in-depth insights, technical setups, and market updates. Let's trade smarter together!
Long
by MergicNet
1
#BTC/USDT Bullish Divergence on 1H, Low Risk Trade#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is poised to break it strongly upwards and retest it. We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside. There is a major support area in green at 108062, which represents a strong basis for the upside. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 108450 First target: 108959 Second target: 109541 Third target: 110325 Don't forget a simple matter: capital management. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
BTCUSD Bearish Since March 13, 2023, the BINANCE:BTCUSD has consistently traded above its weekly 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), demonstrating sustained bullish momentum. The price has tested the weekly 50 SMA on three occasions, each time finding support and maintaining its position above Moving Average. However, a significant bearish divergence is evident on the weekly chart, signalling potential weakening momentum despite the upward price trend. Given this divergence and historical price action, there is a high probability that BTCUSD may retest the $95,851–$100,000 support zone in the near term. Traders should monitor this critical area for potential price reaction.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by KhalidUsman
BTCUSD Short Opportunity, Bears Take Control BTCUSD is currently trading around 116,980, facing strong rejection near the 117,200–117,500 resistance zone. The recent price action suggests that sellers are gaining control as bullish momentum fades. A sustained move below 116,800 could trigger further downside pressure, pushing Bitcoin toward 115,500 and 114,800 in the short term. If the bearish structure remains intact, the next major target lies near the psychological level of 110,000, which aligns with previous demand zones and a key Fibonacci retracement level. Stop-loss should ideally be placed above 117,600 to protect against any false breakouts. Watch for increased volatility during US trading hours and upcoming macroeconomic data releases, as these could accelerate the move. Overall bias remains strongly bearish as long as BTC trades below 117,500.
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by SadarExplore
43