Is Btc finally bottoming (and alts)?Is Btc finally bottoming? If not today, then soon. There might be one more undercut of today's low (current low is $110,560). But since I dont want to miss the train before it leaves the station I'm getting on here at 110K. Could it hit 108K, sure. But that's only a 2% margin of error, which is acceptable. Of course there will be stops in place if Btc goes below 108K.
May the trends be with you.
Btcusdbuy
BITCOIN MASSIVE CRASH TOWARDS $44K JUST STARTED!!!? (warning) Yello Paradisers!
In this video, I'm sharing with you the CME futures gap that we have created and what needs to be done to close it. On the ultra-high time frame, I'm sharing with you the bearish cross. We are shifting our focus afterward to the high time frame where I'm seeing the bullish divergence. I'm telling you where the daily candle cannot close.
Then, we move our focus to the medium time frame, where I'm sharing with you the RSI bullish divergence plus the support. On the lower time frame, we will look in the next video.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTC recently broke through the descending channel Market picture and sentiment
The price is trading around $114,942, down slightly by about -0.65% on the day. Daily range: high - $115,833, low - $114,583.
The medium-term and long-term trend remains bullish, supported by large capital infusions (ETFs, institutional purchases).
Bernstein analysts suggest that the current bull rally could last until 2027, which is significantly different from the usual four-year cycles.
Support and resistance levels
Resistance:
The nearest zone is $120K-121K, where growth was expected to slow and consolidation.
The long-term target is $135K, and even $150K by 2026, according to analysts' forecasts.
Support:
Multiple bounce point at $110K–112K is critical to maintain bullish momentum.
Nearest technical support at $111.9K, followed by $107.4K and $105.2K.
Technical Momentum and Structure
Consolidation is seen around $113.8K, with volumes rising (to $48B), signaling pent-up interest despite short-term fatigue.
BTC recently broke out of its downward channel, a positive sign. RSI remains favorable, and declining balances on platforms indicate institutional accumulation.
A breakout of $114K could trigger upside potential to $143K (25%) and further to $200K, according to Rosenberg Research.
#Bitcoin Bearish Setup: $BTC is facing heavy resistance at 120k#Bitcoin Sunday Update Bearish Setup:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is facing heavy resistance at the long-term trendline (around 115K–120K). Volume is dropping, a double top has formed, and retail entries are clustered above 110K–120K, creating a strong trap.
🔸 Support 93K–95K:
This aligns with the CME gap, weekly EMA50 retest, and liquidity pool. Market makers likely drive price into this zone to flush weak hands before the next leg higher.
🔸 Upside Target: 135K–150K (after correction)
Once the correction plays out and retail gets washed out, BTC is expected to resume its bullish cycle and push into new highs.
🔸 Risk Level at 124K:
A clean weekly close above 124K with strong spot demand would invalidate the short-term bearish thesis.
🔸 Outlook:
Short area remains 110K–124K. Best strategy is gradual profit-taking on spot and step-by-step short positioning until the correction into 90–95K plays out. Reload lower for the next bullish leg.
Gold Shines Bright - Strong Buy Zone XAUUSD Buy Setup – Gold is maintaining strong bullish momentum after holding the 3375 support level. Market sentiment remains positive, with buyers stepping in and pushing price higher. As long as price sustains above 3375, the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
The next bullish targets are set at 3425 and 3450, where we expect potential profit-taking. A break and close above 3425 could accelerate momentum toward 3450. Traders should monitor intraday pullbacks for fresh buying opportunities, keeping stop-losses below the support zone to protect capital.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 15m Chart Analysis & Signal📊 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 15m Chart Analysis
🔹 1. Trend & Price Action
Previous downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.
Price found support around 114,600–114,800 (green demand zone).
Bullish breakout above descending trendline → early sign of reversal.
Formation of higher lows after bounce → shift in momentum.
🔹 2. EMA (9) Signal
Price is currently above EMA 9.
EMA is curving upward, signaling short-term bullish momentum.
As long as candles stay above EMA, buyers are in control.
🔹 3. Trade Setup
✅ Bullish (Long) Signal
Entry Zone: 115,050 – 115,150
Stop-Loss: 114,800 (below support)
Take-Profit: 116,500 (previous resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:4
🔹 4. Risk / Invalidation
If price closes back below EMA 9 and 114,800, bullish setup is invalid.
In that case, expect continuation toward 114,400 or lower.
📌 Summary
BTC is showing a bullish reversal signal on the 15m chart.
Support held at 114,600–114,800.
Price broke the trendline and trades above EMA 9.
As long as it stays above 114,800, upside toward 116,500 is favored.
Is Btc going lower? Aug 9th- As Btc was approaching a break of the trendline, I anticipated the usual % "fakeout" and set my T1 (green box) accordingly. Asking the question, "Is Btc doing what it always does?"
Because if it did, then setting my bearish targets (and their probabilities), was a matter of simple calculations.
Aug 12h - As my green T1 was confirmed, I became confident we were in a very common bearish pattern and with the highest probability, my bearish T2 would be hit.
Aug 16th- Once I ruled out the 12% chance of a Btc parabolic move (without a retrace into either bearish target), I was able to recalculate the probabilities of my bear targets. These were udated as seen on the chart below. I wanted my followers to understand WHY I had increased the probailities in each of T1 and T2 targets.
Aug 23rd - As of today, my bear T2 target has been hit and the entire anticipated bearish pattern has been confirmed. I wanted to offer a bit of an explination on how I came to determine price action once Btc broke trend.
But the question remains, will Btc go lower into my T2 target ($108K - $112K)? I believe the answer is yes. And that would be my ideal buy zone for Btc and my favorite alt coins.
May the trends be with you.
Bitcoin Eyes $100K Re-Entry: Retest, Support Zone,Then Push 130kChart Analysis
1. Price Structure & Trendlines
The chart displays a former upward trendline that has been broken, leading to a corrective pullback.
Following that, price is perched within a “retest zone” (the red-shaded rectangle), which aligns with both historical horizontal resistance—now turning into support—and an area of previous consolidation. This is a classic setup: price often retests key breakout levels before resuming its move.
2. Support Levels
The main support is clearly drawn around the $100K zone, highlighted by a grey bar below the retest zone. This is a psychological and structural area to watch for potential strong buying.
Immediate support appears near $110K–$112K, as noted by the lower edge of the red retest area—this zone has shown to catch corrections before in technical analysis and news reports
AInvest
Mudrex
Barron's
.
3. Resistance & Upside Targets
If the retest holds, the chart charts a potential bounce toward the upper rising trendline and beyond, potentially aiming for the $126K–$130K region, as marked by Fibonacci retracement levels.
This aligns with several external forecasts suggesting resistance or target zones in that range
AInvest
Mudrex
Barron's
.
4. Potential Price Path & Scenarios (Denoted by Red Arrows)
Bearish Scenario: Price may dip down into the retest zone, test support, and—if the breakdown occurs—continue lower toward $100K—a key area of interest.
Bullish Scenario: The support holds, leading to a V-shaped recovery that propels price back above $115K, potentially triggering a rally toward $122K–$130K.
Summary Table
Key Zone / Level Significance & Note
$110K–$112K Critical near-term support; breakdown risks move toward $100K
AInvest
Mudrex
Retest Zone (~$114K–$115K) Area combining horizontal support and trendline; serves as pivot for next move
Mudrex
AInvest
$120K–$123K Major resistance where a breakout could fuel continuation toward $127K–$130K
Mudrex
Barron's
Broader Context & Market Sentiment
Bitcoin is currently consolidating after setting new highs near $124K
MarketWatch
The Economic Times
Barron's
Cointribune
.
Analysts observe that sustaining above the $110K–$112K band is essential to the bullish case; falling below it could invite deeper downside
Barron's
Cointribune
AInvest
.
Conversely, a decisive move above $120K–$123K could validate continuation toward $127K–$130K, and even higher—some forecasts extend to $135K and beyond
Mudrex
Indiatimes
Barron's
CoinCodex
.
Final Thoughts
Your chart beautifully illustrates the classic “retest after breakout” dynamic:
Hold above the retest zone? Look for a rebound toward $120K+, with the potential for a full bullish revival aiming for $130K.
Break below $110K–$112K? Watch for a possible move toward $100K—a critical support level.
Stay alert to macro catalysts too—like Federal Reserve interest rate signals, institutional inflows (ETFs), and regulatory developments—which could steer the next leg substantially
BTC/USD Bullish Breakout Toward 124K🔎 Chart Analysis
1. Support & Resistance Zones
Support Zone: Around 113,600 – 115,000, holding price from further downside.
Resistance Zone: Around 116,000, where price faced rejection previously.
2. Trend Structure
The price has broken out of the descending channel (rejection line & support line).
This breakout suggests a bullish reversal signal.
3. Moving Averages (EMA)
EMA 70 (~115,080) and EMA 200 (~116,182) are converging.
If the price sustains above EMA 200, it will confirm a bullish continuation.
4. Candlestick Price Action
Recent bullish engulfing from support zone strengthens the case for upward momentum.
Consolidation near resistance indicates accumulation before a breakout.
5. Target Projection
If breakout above resistance is successful, target lies around 124,449 – 124,484 (next major resistance level).
📌 Trading Plan (Example)
Entry: Around 115,260 – 115,600 (after confirmation above EMA 200).
Stop Loss: Below 113,600 (support zone).
Target: 124,449 – 124,484.
⚡ Summary
Bitcoin is showing signs of a bullish breakout from a descending channel. If price sustains above the resistance and EMA 200, a strong move toward 124K is likely. The support at 113,600 remains a critical invalidation level.
When Bitcoin pulls back, you should open a long positionPowell's comments accelerated volatility across financial markets. He stated that "evolving" economic risks strengthen the case for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, signaling that he may support a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's next meeting in September. While acknowledging that the impact of the administration's trade war on consumer prices is now "clearly visible," Powell hinted that this effect is unlikely to persist and may instead be a one-time shock that the central bank can ignore. He stated, "Given the labor market is not particularly tight and faces increasing downside risks, this outcome (of persistently rising inflation) seems unlikely." He added, "The risks to inflation are upside, while those to employment are downside, creating a challenging situation."
The market has broken out of its range due to news headlines, and the short-term trend is strong. Strategies should follow the trend.
Bitcoin Personal Strategy
Open a long position in Bitcoin around 115,500, with a target of 117,600.
If you have questions about the direction of gold, crude oil, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, you can follow me.
I share my trading ideas and strategies daily for your reference. Feel free to follow my updates.
Bitcoin Explodes to $116,000 After Fed Speech SignalBitcoin Surges Past $116,000 as Federal Reserve Signals Historic Policy Shift
The cryptocurrency market experienced a dramatic reversal of fortune as Bitcoin rocketed past $116,000, recovering from a challenging period that had seen the digital asset touch six-week lows. The catalyst for this remarkable turnaround came from an unlikely source: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose dovish remarks at the prestigious Jackson Hole Economic Symposium sent ripple effects through global financial markets, fundamentally altering the trajectory for risk assets and digital currencies alike.
The Jackson Hole Moment That Changed Everything
In what many market observers are calling a pivotal moment for monetary policy, Jerome Powell delivered a speech that effectively cemented market expectations for an interest rate cut in September. The immediate reaction was nothing short of spectacular. Within minutes of Powell's comments hitting the wires, Bitcoin surged over 2%, climbing from approximately $114,200 to breach the psychologically significant $116,000 level. This rapid appreciation represented not just a technical bounce, but a fundamental reassessment of the cryptocurrency's near-term prospects in a changing monetary environment.
The significance of Powell's speech cannot be overstated. The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium has historically served as a platform for Federal Reserve chairs to signal major policy shifts, and this year proved no exception. Powell's carefully calibrated remarks suggested that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate-hiking cycle, which had been implemented to combat persistent inflation, might finally be approaching its conclusion. For Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem, which had struggled under the weight of tighter monetary conditions for much of the past two years, this represented a potential game-changer.
The market's interpretation was unambiguous. Federal funds futures immediately repriced to reflect a 90% probability of a rate cut at the September Federal Open Market Committee meeting, up from roughly 70% before Powell's speech. This dramatic shift in expectations triggered an immediate reallocation of capital across asset classes, with risk assets being the primary beneficiaries and the US dollar experiencing notable weakness.
A Broader Market Rally Takes Shape
While Bitcoin's surge captured headlines, the positive sentiment extended far beyond the cryptocurrency market. Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, staged an even more impressive recovery, rebounding 8% after having endured a painful 12% correction in the preceding sessions. This outperformance by Ethereum suggested that investors were not merely buying Bitcoin as a hedge against monetary policy uncertainty, but were expressing renewed confidence in the broader digital asset ecosystem.
Traditional financial markets also responded enthusiastically to Powell's dovish pivot. US equity indices gained approximately 1%, with technology stocks leading the advance. The yield on benchmark Treasury securities dropped to 4.27%, reflecting bond traders' expectations for a less restrictive monetary policy stance going forward. Gold, that traditional safe-haven asset and frequent competitor to Bitcoin for investor attention, rose 0.6%, demonstrating that the appetite for alternative stores of value remained robust even as risk sentiment improved.
This synchronized movement across asset classes highlighted an important dynamic that has become increasingly evident in recent years: the growing correlation between cryptocurrency markets and traditional financial assets during periods of significant monetary policy shifts. While Bitcoin was originally conceived as an uncorrelated asset that would provide portfolio diversification benefits, its behavior during major macro events has increasingly mirrored that of other risk assets, particularly growth-oriented technology stocks.
Understanding the Whale Dynamics
Beneath the surface of the price action, on-chain data revealed fascinating insights into how different market participants positioned themselves ahead of Powell's speech. Most notably, Bitcoin whales – entities holding large quantities of the cryptocurrency – had been quietly accumulating during the recent downtrend. According to blockchain analytics, these major holders added approximately 16,000 BTC to their positions during the period of price weakness, suggesting that sophisticated investors saw value at lower levels and were positioning for exactly the type of policy-driven rally that ultimately materialized.
This accumulation pattern by whales deserves closer examination, as it often serves as a leading indicator for future price movements. The fact that these large holders were adding to positions while retail investors were capitulating speaks to a divergence in market sentiment that often precedes significant trend changes. The 16,000 BTC accumulation represents over $1.8 billion at current prices, demonstrating serious conviction among institutional and high-net-worth investors about Bitcoin's medium-term prospects.
The whale accumulation also highlights the maturation of Bitcoin markets. Unlike the wild speculation that characterized earlier cycles, current market dynamics show signs of more sophisticated trading strategies and longer-term investment horizons. These large holders appear to be treating Bitcoin less as a speculative vehicle and more as a legitimate asset class worthy of strategic allocation within diversified portfolios.
The Federal Reserve's Delicate Balancing Act
The enthusiasm surrounding Powell's dovish turn must be tempered with an understanding of the complex challenges facing the Federal Reserve. Some cryptocurrency strategists have sounded alarm bells, warning that a significant Bitcoin surge could potentially clash with the Fed's broader economic goals. If cryptocurrency markets experience excessive speculation leading to wealth effects that stimulate consumer spending, this could complicate the Fed's efforts to bring inflation back to its 2% target.
This concern is not without merit. The cryptocurrency market's total capitalization now exceeds $2.5 trillion, making it large enough to have meaningful macroeconomic impacts. A sustained rally in digital assets could create wealth effects that filter through to the real economy, potentially reigniting inflationary pressures just as the Fed believes it has gained the upper hand in its fight against rising prices. This dynamic creates a fascinating feedback loop where the very monetary policy easing that benefits Bitcoin could ultimately be constrained by Bitcoin's success.
Furthermore, the Federal Reserve must consider the international implications of its policy decisions. A weaker dollar resulting from rate cuts could have significant consequences for global trade and financial stability. Many emerging market economies have dollar-denominated debt, and a rapidly weakening dollar could create challenges for these nations. Additionally, other major central banks might be forced to adjust their own policies in response to Fed actions, potentially triggering a global easing cycle with unpredictable consequences.
Technical Analysis and Market Structure
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's surge past $116,000 represents a significant development in market structure. The cryptocurrency had been trading in a descending channel for several weeks, with each rally attempt meeting selling pressure at lower highs. The Powell-induced breakout decisively violated this bearish pattern, suggesting a potential trend reversal is underway.
However, technical indicators present a mixed picture that warrants careful consideration. The Bitcoin Bull Score Index, a composite metric that aggregates various momentum and sentiment indicators, has been signaling fading momentum despite the recent price surge. This divergence between price action and underlying momentum suggests that while the immediate reaction to Powell's speech was strongly positive, questions remain about the sustainability of the current rally.
Volume patterns also deserve attention. The surge past $116,000 occurred on elevated but not exceptional volume, suggesting that while there was genuine buying interest, we haven't yet seen the kind of capitulation from bears or FOMO from sidelined buyers that typically characterizes major trend changes. This could mean that the market is still in the early stages of processing the implications of the Fed's policy shift, with more significant moves potentially ahead as participants fully digest the changing macro landscape.
Support and resistance levels have also shifted following the breakout. The $114,000-$115,000 zone, which previously acted as resistance, should now serve as support on any pullbacks. Above current levels, the next major resistance lies around $120,000, which represents both a psychological level and the site of significant selling during previous rallies. How Bitcoin behaves around these key levels in coming sessions will provide important clues about the strength of the current uptrend.
The Broader Implications for Cryptocurrency Adoption
Beyond the immediate price implications, the Federal Reserve's policy shift could have profound effects on cryptocurrency adoption and development. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin, making them relatively more attractive compared to traditional fixed-income investments. This dynamic could accelerate institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies as portfolio diversifiers.
Moreover, a more accommodative monetary policy environment could reignite interest in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, which had seen diminished activity during the period of rising rates. Lower rates in traditional finance make the yields available in DeFi more competitive, potentially driving renewed capital flows into these innovative financial platforms. This could create a virtuous cycle where increased DeFi activity drives demand for cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, which serves as the backbone for most DeFi applications.
The changing monetary landscape also has implications for central bank digital currency (CBDC) initiatives. As traditional monetary policy tools become less effective in a low-rate environment, central banks might accelerate their exploration of CBDCs as alternative mechanisms for implementing monetary policy. While CBDCs could potentially compete with cryptocurrencies in some use cases, they might also serve to legitimize digital currencies more broadly, ultimately benefiting the entire ecosystem.
Risk Factors and Considerations
Despite the current optimism, several risk factors could derail Bitcoin's bullish momentum. First, the Federal Reserve's commitment to rate cuts is contingent on continued progress in reducing inflation. Any resurgence in price pressures could force the Fed to maintain or even increase rates, potentially triggering another leg down in cryptocurrency markets.
Regulatory risks also remain omnipresent. While the regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies has generally improved in recent years, with the approval of Bitcoin ETFs and growing institutional participation, the potential for adverse regulatory actions remains. Any major regulatory crackdown, particularly in the United States or European Union, could quickly reverse current gains.
Geopolitical tensions represent another wildcard. While Bitcoin has sometimes benefited from geopolitical uncertainty as investors seek alternatives to traditional financial systems, extreme events could trigger broad-based risk aversion that negatively impacts all speculative assets, including cryptocurrencies. The ongoing conflicts in various regions and tensions between major powers create an environment where sudden shocks remain possible.
Technical vulnerabilities within the cryptocurrency ecosystem itself also warrant consideration. While Bitcoin's network has proven remarkably resilient over its history, the broader cryptocurrency space has experienced numerous hacks, exploits, and technical failures. Any major security breach or technical failure could undermine confidence and trigger selling pressure across digital assets.
Market Psychology and Sentiment Dynamics
The psychological aspect of the current rally deserves special attention. After months of ranging price action and failed breakout attempts, many market participants had grown pessimistic about Bitcoin's near-term prospects. The sudden reversal triggered by Powell's speech has likely caught many traders off-guard, potentially setting up a powerful short squeeze as bearishly positioned traders scramble to cover their positions.
This shift in sentiment is already visible in various metrics. Funding rates in perpetual futures markets have turned positive, indicating that traders are willing to pay premiums to maintain long positions. Social media sentiment, as measured by various analytical tools, has shifted from predominantly bearish to cautiously optimistic. The fear and greed index, which had been mired in "fear" territory for weeks, has begun moving toward neutral readings.
However, this rapid shift in sentiment also creates vulnerabilities. Markets that move too far, too fast often experience sharp pullbacks as early buyers take profits and late entrants get shaken out. The key for sustained upward movement will be whether the current rally can attract new capital from investors who have been waiting on the sidelines, rather than simply representing a reshuffling of existing positions.
The International Perspective
The Federal Reserve's policy shift has global implications that extend far beyond US borders. Other major central banks, including the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan, will need to carefully consider their own policy stances in light of the Fed's dovish turn. This could potentially trigger a synchronized global easing cycle, which would likely be highly supportive for risk assets including cryptocurrencies.
For Bitcoin specifically, international dynamics are particularly important given its global nature. Demand from regions experiencing currency devaluation or financial instability has historically been a significant driver of Bitcoin adoption. If the Fed's rate cuts lead to dollar weakness, this could accelerate Bitcoin adoption in emerging markets as a hedge against local currency depreciation.
The Asian markets, particularly China despite its official ban on cryptocurrency trading, remain influential in Bitcoin price dynamics. Any shifts in Chinese policy toward cryptocurrencies, or changes in how Chinese investors access Bitcoin through offshore channels, could have significant impacts on global prices. The recent rally has already seen increased activity from Asian trading hours, suggesting renewed interest from this important region.
Looking Ahead: The Path Forward
As markets digest the implications of Powell's Jackson Hole speech, the path forward for Bitcoin appears more constructive than it has in months. The combination of potential monetary easing, continued institutional adoption, and improving regulatory clarity creates a favorable backdrop for digital assets. However, the journey is unlikely to be smooth, with volatility remaining a defining characteristic of cryptocurrency markets.
The September Federal Open Market Committee meeting looms large on the horizon. While markets have largely priced in a rate cut, the magnitude of the cut and the Fed's forward guidance will be crucial in determining whether the current rally has legs. A more aggressive easing stance than currently expected could propel Bitcoin toward new all-time highs, while a more cautious approach might lead to some near-term disappointment.
Beyond monetary policy, several other catalysts could influence Bitcoin's trajectory in coming months. The continued development of the Lightning Network and other scaling solutions could enhance Bitcoin's utility as a payment method. Growing environmental consciousness and Bitcoin mining's increasing use of renewable energy could address one of the persistent criticisms of the cryptocurrency. Additionally, further institutional adoption, particularly from major corporations adding Bitcoin to their treasury reserves, could provide fundamental support for prices.
Conclusion: A Pivotal Moment in Bitcoin's Evolution
The surge past $116,000 following Jerome Powell's dovish signals represents more than just another rally in Bitcoin's volatile history. It potentially marks a pivotal moment in the cryptocurrency's evolution from speculative asset to recognized component of the global financial system. The fact that Federal Reserve policy now has such direct and immediate impacts on Bitcoin prices underscores how integrated cryptocurrencies have become with traditional financial markets.
For investors and observers, the current environment presents both opportunities and challenges. The potential for significant gains exists, particularly if the Federal Reserve follows through with monetary easing and the global economy achieves the sought-after "soft landing." However, the risks remain substantial, and the cryptocurrency market's inherent volatility means that dramatic reversals remain possible.
What seems clear is that Bitcoin has successfully weathered another period of adversity and emerged with renewed momentum. The quiet accumulation by whales during the recent downturn, followed by the explosive response to Powell's speech, demonstrates that demand for digital assets remains robust among sophisticated investors. As the financial world continues to evolve and adapt to technological innovation, Bitcoin's role appears increasingly assured, even if its exact price trajectory remains uncertain.
The coming weeks and months will be crucial in determining whether this latest surge represents the beginning of a new bull cycle or merely another rally within a broader consolidation phase. What is certain is that Bitcoin continues to capture the imagination of investors worldwide, and its correlation with macro policy decisions ensures it will remain at the center of financial market discussions for the foreseeable future. As traditional monetary policy reaches its limits and financial innovation accelerates, Bitcoin stands ready to play an increasingly important role in the global financial ecosystem, with the $116,000 level potentially representing just another milestone on a much longer journey.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: PUMP TO $135K STARTING???! (Buy Now?) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I'm sharing with you the high time frame chart, the double shooting star candlestick pattern, double top formation, bearish divergence that needs to be confirmed, and its channel that we are trying to break to the downside. High time frame chart, I'm sharing with you the ABC zigzag and the potentiality of that C move being already finished. If not, the previous low needs to hold, and we are looking at things on a medium time frame. The bullish things on a medium time frame are the bullish divergence, and on a low time frame chart, the Elliott wave count that seems to be completed to the downside. If the previous low is going to hold, we are starting a new impulse towards $129,000 as a higher degree third wave. Then we will have a fourth wave, and the final fifth wave will take us towards $135,000. Watch the video where I'm explaining all the confirmations and the price action dynamics, and how we will be developing with the highest probability.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Altseason Checklist! To spot the beginning of an Altseason, there are several key charts you need to track on TradingView. These indicators show whether capital is really leaving Bitcoin and flowing into altcoins.
1. Altseason Starts with ETH
Almost every time, the first signs come from Ethereum (ETH). When ETH gains strength, the rest of the altcoins usually follow.
2. BTC Dominance (BTC.D) ⬇️
Condition: forming Lower Low / Lower High
Interpretation: money is rotating out of BTC and looking for better opportunities in altcoins.
3. ETH Dominance (ETH.D) ⬆️
ETH’s share of the market is increasing.
This shows Ethereum is taking leadership over the flow of capital.
4. ETH/BTC Pair (ETHBTC) ⬆️
Key: breakout to the upside with weekly confirmation
This ratio reveals whether ETH is truly outperforming BTC.
When ETHBTC breaks up ⇒ strong trigger for ETH leadership.
5. TOTAL2ES ⬆️
Represents market cap of all altcoins excluding BTC.
Growth here means real money is flowing into alts, not just cycling into stables.
6. TOTAL3ES ⬆️ (with delay)
Represents market cap of all altcoins excluding BTC and ETH.
When this chart starts rising ⇒ after ETH, the rest of the alts join in.
This is usually the final confirmation of Altseason.
7. USDT Dominance (USDT.D) ⬇️ or ↔️
Should move down or at least stay flat.
If it rises too much ⇒ capital is not entering alts, it’s parking in stablecoins ⇒ Altseason trap.
⚠️ Key Note – Watch Out for the Trap
The biggest trap is when BTC.D is dropping and ETH.D is rising, but USDT.D is also climbing.
That doesn’t mean Altseason – it means money is leaving BTC but hiding in stablecoins instead of flowing into alts.
📌 Summary:
Starts with ETH
Confirm with BTC.D ⬇️, ETH.D ⬆️, ETHBTC ⬆️
Money entering alts ⇒ TOTAL2ES ⬆️
Expansion to full alt market ⇒ TOTAL3ES ⬆️
Watch USDT.D to avoid the trap.
BTC Dominance analysis – 1W OB & Market Structure/ AltseasonOn the weekly chart, Bitcoin dominance has rejected from the 70% Weekly OB supply zone and is now pulling back.
We currently have three major Weekly OB demand zones below:
54–55% OB
48–50% OB
40–42% OB
Possible scenarios:
1️⃣ A temporary bounce before continuation lower.
2️⃣ A steady decline into one of the OB zones (50% or 42%).
3️⃣ A strong breakdown below 50%, signaling a deeper shift in market structure.
⚡ Key Altseason Signal: If this decline in BTC dominance happens while Ethereum’s price rallies in Daily or Weekly timeframe, it will be a strong confirmation of the start of Altseason, with ETH leading and alts following aggressively.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
BTC Short Trade Setup – Bearish Momentum
🎯 **BTC Short Trade Setup – Bearish Momentum**
📌 **Instrument:** BTC
📉 **Direction:** SHORT
💰 **Entry Price:** \$115,200
🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$116,500
🏹 **Take Profit:** \$111,500
📏 **Position Size:** \$5M (1% of \$500M account)
💪 **Confidence:** 65%
⏰ **Timing:** Enter at market open
⚠️ **Key Risks:**
* Market volatility can trigger rapid moves.
* Breakout above \$116,500 invalidates setup.
* Macro correlations may amplify risk.
✅ **Rationale:**
* Lower highs & lower lows = bearish momentum
* Price below key MAs, weakening bullish conviction
* Technical indicators support short entry
🔥 **TradingView / Social Tags:**
\#Bitcoin #BTCShort #CryptoTrading #CryptoAnalysis #FuturesTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSignals #RiskManagement #MarketAnalysis #CryptoAlerts #HighConvictionTrade #BearishSetup #PriceAction #TradingStrategy #CryptoMarket
Bottom-building stage, waiting for riseYesterday, Bitcoin experienced a minor rebound after testing the support level near $112,000. However, during the early trading session, it fluctuated and declined, erasing yesterday's gains. As shown on the hourly chart, the $112,000 level has proven to be a strong support, having withstood three tests under pressure. Currently, Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase, and once this phase is completed, we can expect a significant upward movement. For those who are bullish on Bitcoin, it is recommended to consider entering long positions around $113,000, with a stop-loss set near $112,000.
“Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Ascending Support Holding,Eyes Set on $119KChart Analysis
Price Structure & Pattern
The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe, revealing a rising support trendline—price has rebounded from this upward-sloping base.
Previously, price formed a rising green channel, climbed toward the resistance zone near $119K, but was drawn back—creating a consolidation beneath that key level.
A horizontal resistance line at $119,582.80 marks a crucial ceiling. The drawn blue arrow suggests a potential bounce from trendline support aiming to test that resistance again.
Key Technical Levels
Support: The ascending trendline acts as dynamic support—if it holds, it may support another test of resistance.
Resistance: The $119K area remains a key barrier. Breaking above this level could be a strong bullish trigger.
Broader Technical Context & Market Sentiment
From recent technical insights and market commentary:
Resistance at $119K and Beyond
Analysts note Bitcoin is testing long-term resistance near $119K, a level tying back to major peaks. A breakout could catalyze a renewed bullish momentum
AInvest
+1
Brave New Coin
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Described by some as a descending wedge or consolidation, this structure suggests a potential breakout toward $123K–$125K if $119K is breached with conviction
AInvest
Brave New Coin
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Support & Consolidation
BTC has been channeling between roughly $116K support and $119K resistance, setting up a tightening range ripe for breakout
Brave New Coin
TradingView
+1
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Short-term support zones near $115K–$116K align with buyers stepping in, and a hold above these levels supports bullish continuation
TradingView
Mitrade
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Technical Sentiment & Momentum
Key resistance around $118.6K–$119K is underscored by moving averages and trendlines, with MACD and RSI metrics still nudging upward on hopes of a breakout
Mitrade
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Some analysts highlight a cup-and-handle pattern and potential for a 14% rally toward $134.5K if price breaks through and sustains above current highs
Business Insider
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Summary Table
Zone Description Potential Impact
Ascending Trendline Support Price recently bounced here Offers a base for bullish continuation
$119K Resistance Established ceiling of current range Breakout could fuel a rally to $123K–$125K
$115K–$116K Support Lower bound of consolidation Holds the structure—break below could trigger deeper pullback
Final Thoughts
Your chart beautifully captures BTC’s moment of decision—riding support and potentially preparing for another rally attempt at $119K. Watch for:
Bullish scenario: A bounce off the ascending support trendline, followed by clear volume-backed break above $119K—opening a path to $123K+.
Bearish scenario: A failure at resistance leads to trendline breach, risking a slide back toward the $115K or lower support zones.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: HERE IS WHERE THE CRASH WILL STOP!!! (deep) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I'm sharing with you an Ultra High Time Frame: the double-top shooting star candlestick pattern formation plus bearish divergence, plus that we are trying to break below our channel.
On a high timeframe chart, I'm sharing with you the ABC zigzag, explaining that right now we are in the C wave, which is a motive mode wave. That means five waves to the upside, and with the highest probability, right now we are in the secondary wave that on its primary waves is creating a zigzag formation.
The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level needs to hold, and the channel can't be reclaimed. I'm sharing with you the kind of confirmations for both short and long positions we are waiting for with the ParadiseTeam.
On a medium timeframe, we are seeing the first bullish signs and a bullish divergence, where we need to wait for confirmations before taking action. We are also looking at the Fibonacci support that is supporting the finishing of Wave 2.
On the low timeframe chart, we are analyzing the higher degree secondary wave, which is a zigzag. A and C waves are motive mode waves, so we are waiting for the completion of the five-moonstone downside inside of the C wave. This might perfectly confluence with the 0.618 Fibonacci's extension of Wave A, which is usually where the C Wave ends.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: BIGGER CRASH INCOMING!?? (warning) Yello Paradisers! In today's video, I'm revealing the truth to you. I'm sharing the Ultrahigh timeframe chart, which includes the shooting star double top formation, plus bearish divergence and the channel. And I'm revealing the Elliot wave theory on the Ultrahigh timeframe.
On the high timeframe chart, I'm revealing to you the ABC zigzag and the possibility that we have already concluded the five moves to the upside. I'm sharing with you the bearish divergence and the confirmation that is needed, and what needs to happen for us to go down to $108,000.
On a medium timeframe, we are seeing the triangle reclaim on low volume, but we are also checking the bullish divergence where we are waiting for confirmation. If the Elliott Wave breaks below $112,000, we will go lower toward $108,000. Then, the structure from an Elliott Wave perspective is going to turn bearish, and we will be treating the market as bearish and looking for short opportunities. But if you are able to reclaim it, we are looking for buying opportunities if you are able to defend the low. I'm sharing with you what kind of confirmations I'm waiting for so you can tactically also approach the market.
On the low timeframe chart, we are concluding the wave structure and waiting for its next move.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin: $120K Breakthrough – Getting Ready for $130K–$134K!Bitcoin: $120K Breakthrough – Getting Ready for $130K–$134K!
🚀 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Technical Review, August 2025
• Support: $110K–112K holds — above it, bulls retain initiative.
• Momentum resumes: BTC broke through $120K, thanks to $260 million inflow into Bitcoin via ETFs and potential Bullish IPO. Drive is maintained. Possible target is $130K–$134K.
• Technical outlook: Recovery above $115K after record highs in July. Breakout — will give way to $128K. Hidden risks — fall below $110K.
• Long-term targets: Technical measurement points to potential up to $146,400 if above $112K holds and top is broken. RSI remains favorable, volumes on exchanges are declining — signal of institutional outflow.
Bottom line: Bitcoin is confidently holding above the key $110-120K zone. A breakout of $120K is a starting point for a move to $130-$134K, and then to $146K. Watch for consolidation or pullback near current levels.
Tactics:
- Buy on dip: around $112-115K with targets of $130-134K.
- Breakout buy: if it consolidates above $120K, target $130-$134K, then $146K.
- Stop loss: under $110K.
Bitcoin - Clean chart that outlines the next leg up seamlessly!The Bitcoin chart is crystal clear, simple, and very bullish.
We’ve talked about it over and over, and we’ve always said that 120K is a confirmed target — and now that it’s been hit, I’m telling you the next stop is 150K.
We’ve got a reverse Head & Shoulders pattern, the neckline has been broken, and price is now retesting it.
BTC also broke its previous ATH at 109,500 and is on its way to retest it right now.
All of this on the weekly chart are strong bullish signals that will at least push price to the upper side of the Ascending Channel that we’ve been tracking. Plus, the projection target of the reversal H&S perfectly aligns with this outlook — no coincidence here.
👉 150K is the next station. 🚀
Best regards:
Ceciliones🎯
BTC: Rebound Imminent, Go LongBTC today broke below 115000, then rebounded right away 📉→📈. The rebound will keep going and retest 120000—now’s a solid chance to go long! 🚀
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 115000 - 115500
🚀 TP 117000 - 118000 - 119000
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