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BTC Trade Plan (December 12, 2025)BTC Trade Plan (December 12, 2025) (D1 Neutral / H4 Buy dips / H1 Locally bullish / M15 Trend) ⬛️ 1. Higher Timeframe Context (D1 and H4) • D1 bias: neutral • D1 range (approx): 89,000 – 94,000 • Key D1 zones: • Supply: 93,000-94,000 tested highs • Demand: 89,000-91,000 supports • H4 bias: buy dips • H4 zones of interest: • H4 Sell Zone 1: – supply cluster/rejection • H4 Buy Zone 1: – demand area/gap fill potential Active setups are trend-aligned relative to D1/H4. ⬛️ 2. Preferred Setups by Horizon 🔳 2.1 Swing Setup (D1/H4) • Idea: trend-aligned long on dips (neutral structure support). • Time horizon: multi-day. • Context: stable macro, neutral derivatives. 🔲 2.2 Intraday Setup (H1 focus) • Idea: buy dips toward supports. • Time horizon: intraday. • Context: H4 demand zones, local bullish. ▫️ 2.3 Scalp Setup (M15 focus) • Idea: scalp minor trends upside. • Time horizon: minutes–hours. • Risk: higher-risk in expansion regime. ▪️ 2.4 Arbitrage/Pairs Concept (if relevant) • Idea: BTC dominance high, neutral vs ETH/sector. 🟩 3.1 Long Setup (Trend-Aligned) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Context: H4 demand, LVN support. • Pattern tags: Trigger conditions: • Liquidity sweep or SFP at/under key low, then reclaim (liquidity_sweep_reclaim). • Evidence of liquidation_spike_reversal and absorption_at_level. • ML-Predictive (15m): upside probability ≥ downside. • On-chain and regulatory risk not at “extreme”. 🟥 3.2 Short Setup (Counter-Trend) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Context: H4 supply + put-biased skew. • Pattern tags (from pattern_library): Trigger conditions (non-exhaustive example): • Price trades into the H4 sell zone and forms required pattern combination (e.g., double_sweep_high + vwap_rejection). • Orderflow: evidence of absorption_at_level and delta_divergence_high. • ML-Predictive (15m): downside probability ≥ upside. • Event/Regulatory risk is not “extreme” and uncertainty is not “high”. 🔴 4. Stops (Invalidation Levels) Long setups: • Stop: 88,000. • Logic: break of H4/H1 key low/demand invalidation; idea is wrong below this level. Short setups: • Stop: 95,000. • Logic: break of H4/H1 structural high or OB invalidation; idea is wrong above this level. 🟢 5. Targets Long: • TP1: 93,000 – local HVN/VWAP or M15/H1 level. • TP2: 94,000 – H4 supply/OB retest. • TP3 (optional): 95,000 – extended D1 objective (HVN). Short: • TP1: 91,000 – intraday HVN or VWAP retest (H1). • TP2: 89,000 – H4 demand / LVN void. • TP3 (optional): lower – extended D1 objective (gap fill). ⬛️ 6. Position Sizing • Baseline risk: • Trend-aligned setups: typically 1.0 (relative unit). • Counter-trend setups: ≤ 0.5 (relative unit). • Adjust up/down using: • high volatility_context, normal onchain_risk_profile.risk_level, normal sentiment_state.sentiment_risk, normal anomaly_state.manipulation_risk, overall_event_risk normal, uncertainty.level medium, trade_readiness.status ok_to_trade. Final recommended relative risk per setup: 0.8 for trend long, 0.4 for counter-trend short. ⬛️ 7. Risk Flags • Thin liquidity and high slippage risk • Macro headwinds (DXY flat, NQ flat) • Elevated regulatory risk (bank competition news) ⬛️ 8. Flip Conditions • For long bias → bearish flip: • Close below 89,000 with sell delta, failed demand. • For short bias → bullish flip: • H4 close above 94,000 with rising OI, positive delta, and acceptance above the OB cluster. ⬛️ 9. Alternative Scenario Reject highs with range_high_rejection, short direction entry 93,000-94,000, stop 95,000, targets 89,000-88,000, differs as bear continuation vs base range grind. ⬛️ 10. Model Self-Critique • Main assumptions: stable macro, neutral derivatives/on-chain. • Main vulnerabilities: regulatory shifts, large whale flows. • Behavioural risk notes: do not average into losers, do not increase leverage beyond a safe threshold. ⬛️ 11. Uncertainty and Constraints • Uncertainty level: medium. • Avoid high leverage, require strict pattern confirmation before entry, limit the number of trades.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by BTC_ETH_Intra_Day_Analysis
BITCOIN SIGNAL: FOMC MEETING WILL PUSH BTC TO HERE!!!? (warning)Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! We are discussing a lot of technical stuff—Elliott Wave theory. We are going through multiple time frames, and I'm updating you about the price action, development structure, and important levels, as well as what the highest probability next move is. And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
2
#BTC/USDT is currently strongly bullish#BTC The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We are seeing a bearish trend in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 88200, and the price has bounced from this level several times. Another bounce is expected. We are seeing a trend towards stabilizing above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward trend. Entry Price: 88900 First Target: 90000 Second Target: 91123 Third Target: 92300 Remember a simple principle: Money Management. Place your stop-loss order below the green support zone. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
BTC/USD) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT), showing likely support/resistance zones + moving averages + a projected downside “target.” I think the analysis has merit — but it also carries risks. Here’s a breakdown of what works & what to watch out for: --- What the analysis does well (strengths) Use of support and resistance zones: The chart marks a “key support zone / breakout level” and a “resistance level.” That’s textbook technical analysis — horizontal zones where price has previously stalled or reversed tend to work as future decision points. Dynamic resistance via moving averages: The chart uses EMAs (50 and 200) — those help traders spot trend direction and possible dynamic resistance/support. When price is below a major EMA (like the 200), that EMA often acts as resistance rather than support. Clear target defined: Having a target around ~$83,783 (as drawn) gives a concrete downside level if the bearish case plays out. This is useful for planning scenarios and risk management. Logical structure: support → breakdown → target: The idea seems to be that price broke a support zone (or tested and failed), is now below important moving averages — which supports the bearish bias. If support fails, move down toward target. That’s a valid “trend + structure” bearish setup. --- What to be cautious about (weaknesses / risks / what’s uncertain) Support/resistance zones are not guarantees: As described in guides for support/resistance — these zones work because many traders place orders there, but price can ignore them, especially under high volatility or news triggers. EMAs as dynamic resistance/support are probabilistic: While 50-EMA or 200-EMA often act as resistance/support, they are not always respected — especially in volatile crypto markets. Timeframe & context matter: The chart seems 1-hour, which means the zones and signals are relatively short-term. Levels that look robust on a 1-h chart may dissolve quickly when broader contexts (daily/weekly) shift. Many TA educators stress using multiple timeframes to confirm strong levels. No certainty of target — market structure can change: The “target point” assumes continuation of bearish momentum. But if price action reverses, or some bullish catalyst emerges, the setup becomes invalid. This is true for any technical projection. --- What this setup implies — possible scenarios Bearish scenario (the chart’s base case): Since price is below both EMAs and has recently broken support, BTC could drift toward the projected target around $83,000–$84,000 if downward pressure continues, especially if sellers dominate near EMAs/resistance zones. Invalidation / bull scenario: If BTC climbs back above the 50 and 200 EMAs, or reclaims a broken support zone, that bearish thesis fails — and price may instead bounce back toward higher resistance. In that case, the target becomes irrelevant. Choppy / range-bound scenario: Price may hover between the support/resistance / EMA zones, bouncing up/down without reaching the target — which is common in crypto when there’s no strong directional catalyst. Mr SMC Trading point --- My view: Reasonable as a probabilistic bearish trade — but not a guarantee Your chart offers a plausible bearish setup. It makes sense to watch how price interacts with the EMAs and the support/resistance zones. However: because markets are never deterministic, it’s best to treat this as one possible scenario, not a sure bet. If I were trading this, I’d probably: Wait for confirmation (e.g. a breakdown + close below support, or rejection at EMA) before committing. Define risk controls: like where to set a stop-loss (maybe just above the 200-EMA or above recent consolidation), and a realistic profit target as indicated. Monitor for catalysts (volume spikes, news) — these can up-end technical setups quickly in crypto. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
#BTC 4HOUR CHART UOPDATE !!BTCUSDT is still trading within an ascending channel, now pulling back towards the mid-lower portion of the structure after failing to sustain above 90k on the latest push. The price has rolled over from the upper half of the channel and is heading towards the main confluence zone around 87,000–88,000, where the lower channel line, previous horizontal support, and your marked circle align. 84,584 and 80,550 remain the next downside reference supports; holding above 87k maintains the short-term bullish channel, while a break below 84,584 would increase the risk of a deeper correction towards 80k. A decline into the 87k area, followed by basing and a continuation back towards 92k–94k, and if buyers defend the channel as drawn, possibly to the 96k–98k channel top. The RSI is mid-range rather than overbought, so there is room for another leg down or a sharp bounce to test support; using 87k–84.5k as the main invalidation band for aggressive longs fits within the current 4H structure. DYOR | NFA,
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
1
#BTC/USDT is currently strongly bullish#BTC The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 92500. The price has bounced from this level multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 92990 First target: 93204 Second target: 93750 Third target: 94406 Don't forget a simple principle: money management. Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
BITCOIN SIGNAL: ONE MORE DUMP BEFORE PUMP??? (warning)Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
1
#BTC/USDT is currently strongly bullish#BTC The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 85249. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards stability above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 86624 First target: 87386 Second target: 88635 Third target: 90106 Don't forget a simple principle: money management. Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
BTC Short-Term Chart 1H🔍 1. Current Market Situation BTC has made a very strong rebound from around ~87,000 and reached the key resistance zone of 92,700–93,200, where the first signs of a slowdown are currently visible. The Stoch RSI on the 1-hour timeframe is heavily overbought, which usually suggests a local correction or at least consolidation. 🔴 2. Key Resistance Levels (Short-Term) 92,726 → current resistance; the price has rebounded precisely from this zone. 94,057 → next strong resistance if BTC breaks above 92.7k. 96,018–96,866 → strong supply zone; only after breaking this zone will the uptrend resume in full force. 🟢 3. Major Supports (Short-Term) 90,379 – 90,990 → nearest intraday support zone 89,082 → strong support that halted the previous decline 87,726 → key to the upward structure 85,790 → critical level, a breakout opens the door to a deeper correction 📉 4. Short-Term Baseline Scenario Most likely in the coming hours: ✔ Scenario A – correction from the current level (preferred) Stoch RSI overbought Price rejected from the 92.7k resistance Large vertical move → market needs to cool down Correction Targets: 90,900–90,300 → first TP/buy zone 89,100 → deeper correction but still healthy. Long signal: Return of h1 candle closes > 91.3k after a pullback. ✔ Scenario B – breakout of 92.7k and continued growth If BTC breaks and holds above 93,200, upward momentum resumes. Targets: 94,057 96,000–96,800 (strong supply zone – take profit area)
by cryptodailyuk
1
BTCUSD Bullish Reversal Setup - Breakout from 5-Wave Bear CycleBITSTAMP:BTCUSD The significant bearish move since the high of $116K appears to be complete, or close to it, having been labeled as a 5-wave impulse (1-5). This structure often precedes a corrective relief rally. Price has recently broken out of a short-term consolidation pattern (potential bull flag) and is attempting to push above the diagonal downtrend line. This confirms a change in short-term momentum. Trade Plan: I am entering a long position based on the breakout and the potential completion of the bearish impulse. Entry: $90,490 (Entry is positioned at the confirmed breakout level). Target: $95,831 (A conservative target to the first major resistance/pivot level). Stop Loss (Invalidation Zone): $83,930 (Placing the stop below the recent swing low/support area is crucial for risk management). A successful move will likely challenge the previous major consolidation area around $101,000 - $105,111. Watch this zone for potential profit-taking. Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This is for educational analysis only.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
4
BTC: The Bitcoin bounce is not a trend reversal🚫 The Bitcoin bounce is not a trend reversal Here’s why the current move looks more like a liquidity trap than a real bullish reversal: - Momentum is lagging — the rebound isn’t supported by strength. - Liquidity spikes look engineered to squeeze short positions rather than coming from genuine buyers. - ETFs are selling while BTC is pumping → classic exit liquidity behaviour. - We remain in a bearish trend, and the current flag pattern is on the verge of breaking. Statistically, these patterns break down, with targets equal to the size of the previous leg. - Price is rising while volume is falling → this is a hidden bearish divergence on volume. 🎯 What I’m seeing It looks like many institutions were caught off guard by the depth of this downtrend, and now they’re trying to reduce exposure. They appear to be engineering a bounce to attract retail FOMO, allowing them to exit with smaller losses — a classic liquidity extraction move. As I’ve mentioned several times already: 👉 The primary trend remains bearish until Q2 2026, though we should expect bounces and manipulative moves along the way. ⚠️ My advice Don’t deploy all your capital into a fake FOMO rally and become the institutions’ exit liquidity. Wait for a proper bottom confirmation, such as: A W pattern, followed by a successful retest with a higher low. ❌ Invalidation This analysis becomes invalid only if the current pattern breaks upward with strong volume. DYOR
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
15
Selena | BTCUSD 1H — Breakout Setup FormingBITSTAMP:BTCUSD Liquidity has been collected both above and below the current range, suggesting possible buildup before an impulsive expansion. A clean break and retest above the range high may trigger continuation toward the next supply zone, while failure to hold support may lead to deeper retracement. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Entry 89775 → 🎯 Target 1: 96,435 (Major supply / imbalance fill) → Extended possibilities if momentum continues. ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Break below 87,767 If structure collapses further → deeper discount toward support demand zone below 86K–82K. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 93,165 | 96,435 Support 🟢: 91,160 (range mid) | 89,775 | 87,767 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
7
BTC real buy zone 48K - 32K $. Price should retest this zone... 2024/2025 bull market, thanks to buying power of Bitcoin's ETFs, has taken off very quickly. For first time in Bitcoin's history, price reached a new all-time high even before Bitcoin halving. From a purely technical and analytical perspective, price should recapture zone between $48,000 and $33,000. This zone is crucial, as it has not been recaptured so far throughout this significant upward movement. There is also significant financial liquidity in this zone, which could help Bitcoin reach new price highs with significant momentum. Patience is the key to success. GL... GM
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by potas58
BTC Forming a Massive Head & Shoulders - Macro Reversal Ahead?Bitcoin is forming a large Head & Shoulders pattern on the 3-day chart, with the left shoulder and head already completed, and the right shoulder now developing within the major resistance zone around the 0.5–0.618 retracement (103,000–108,000). Price recently bounced from the long-term ascending trendline, but the overall structure still suggests a potential macro reversal unless Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone with strong momentum. If the right shoulder completes and price rejects from the supply zone, BTC could retest the trendline again. A breakdown of this trendline may open the door for a deeper correction toward the lower demand zones. This is a medium-term pattern and may take 1–3 months to validate fully. Key Points: - Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder zone highlighted - Major resistance at $103,000–$108,000 - Price bouncing from long-term ascending trendline - Breakdown below the trendline may trigger a strong downside move - Right shoulder formation may take a few more weeks Cheers Hexa
Long
by HexaTrades
1
BTC Rising Channel Breakdown Setup – Bearish Continuation Possib1. Rising Channel (Bearish Structure) Price has been climbing inside a rising wedge / ascending channel, which is typically a distribution pattern during a downtrend. 2. Price Failed to COCH (Change of Character) You labeled “price fail to COCH” — this means buyers failed to flip the trend into bullish structure. This is bearish confirmation. 3. BOS (Break of Structure) earlier There was a clear BOS on the left side — confirming macro bearish flow. 4. Compression into the Channel Price is moving slowly upward with weak momentum, forming a squeezing structure. 5. POI (Point of Interest) at the bottom trendline You marked a zone under the trendline. A break into this zone is where momentum shifts from bullish to bearish. 6. If Trendline Breaks → Expect a Drop Your chart shows an arrow downwards toward 80,565 as the main downside target. This aligns well with: Trendline support Ichimoku cloud weakness Rising channel breakdown pattern Prior liquidity levels 📉 TRADE PLAN (Bearish Setup) This plan follows the logic of the chart you provided. 🔻 Trade Type: Short Position (Sell) Because price is at the end of a rising wedge and showing weakness. ✨ ENTRY (Sell Entry): 86,750 – 86,600 After a confirmed break and candle close below the ascending trendline + POI. ✔ Wait for a clean break and retest of the POI/trendline. 🛑 STOP LOSS: 87,350 – 87,450 Place the stop above: The small circle you highlighted Last minor swing high Ichimoku resistance This keeps maximum SL tight and structure-based. Risk: ~600–800 points 🎯 TAKE PROFIT (Exit Levels): TP1 – Safe Target (Liquidity Grab) 84,800 – 85,000 TP2 – Mid Target (Channel Origin) 82,500 – 83,000 TP3 – Main Target (Your Chart Target) 80,565 – 80,000 This matches your projected drop. 📐 Risk–Reward Ratio (Approx): If using: Entry = 86,650 SL = 87,400 TP3 = 80,565 ➡ RR ≈ 1 : 8+ (excellent)
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by KingProTrader
1
Bitcoin BTC Bearish Momentum: My Trade Plan ExplainedI’m keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) right now. On the 4H timeframe, price action remains firmly in a sustained bearish trend. I’m anticipating a possible continuation to the downside. If BTC holds at the current level and fails to retrace into the imbalance highlighted on the 1H chart — and we see a bearish rotation with a clean break in market structure — I’ll be watching for a potential short setup. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDShort
by fxtraderanthony
BITCOIN SIGNAL: BUY NOW!!!!!!!? (trap) Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
7