Get started

Btcusdforecast

Bitcoin - Dawn of the Dark with some LightI posted a similiar chart as private idea some days ago. () This idea here is an updated slightly adjusted version. If i look at the big rise from 2017/2018 and our current swing i see certain similarities. 1. We created a top. 2. Downtrend and retest of the 50% of the swing. 3. Uptrend from the 50% and creating a swing high that takes out the big upper resistance 4. Again going towards 50% but this time no big buying showing up. 5. Fall under the 50% and heading towards the 23% - this is where we are now in the current swing If both swings move similiar we should see the following happening now: 1. Move to the 23% level. 2. Buyers show up push price again towards the 50% level - but no clean retake 3. Price falling down again to the 23.60 Additional: In Both times we had Engulfs or SFPs of the High. Problems with this analysis: We cant deny that the retest of the 50% level on the second swing generated a Higher High (red line) - however its a weak Higher High as it barely went above the recent swinghigh. Besides the similiarities with the shakeout and retest of 2017. I classified it even as divergence or engulf in my recent analysis.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by trader_se
BTCUSD: The Energy of an Upward WaveIn recent days, BTCUSD has shown a series of mixed movements, but the overall picture is gradually leaning toward growth. The wave structure suggests that the market is accumulating energy through short corrective pauses, creating a foundation for the continuation of the bullish impulse. The chart shows that the price is holding in the upper part of the range, while downward fluctuations appear more like temporary pauses than full-fledged reversals. This reflects the resilience of buyer interest and the gradual strengthening of sentiment. As a result, BTCUSD retains the potential to develop an upward wave, where further movement will depend on the market’s ability to confirm the strength of the current impulse and consolidate above local zones.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) — Bullish Pullback Into Demand | 15-Minute ChaMarket Structure Overall bias: Bullish Price is moving inside an ascending channel, showing higher highs and higher lows. The recent drop looks like a pullback within trend, not a trend break. --- 📉 Pullback & Demand Zone Price pulled back from the upper part of the channel into a strong demand zone (red box). Key demand levels: 88,768 88,404 This zone aligns with: Previous consolidation Prior impulse base Mid/lower channel support This increases the probability of a bullish reaction. --- 🔁 Expected Scenario (Primary) 1. Price holds above the demand zone 2. Forms a short-term base / higher low 3. Pushes back into the channel 4. Continuation toward the target zone 🎯 Upside Target 90,500 – 90,600 (marked “TARGET POINT”) This is: Channel resistance Previous high liquidity area --- ⚠️ Invalidation / Risk A clean 15m close below ~88,400 Breaks demand Invalidates bullish setup Opens downside toward 88,000 / 87,600 --- 📊 Summary Trend: Bullish continuation Entry logic: Reaction from 88.4k–88.8k demand Target: ~90.5k Invalidation: Below 8
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Moriss365
BTCUSD’s Weak ReboundToday, the BTCUSD pair exhibited a volatile and weak trend characterized by a decline followed by a pullback. After a sharp drop in the early trading session, it staged a slight rebound but still failed to break free from the recent downward trend overall. Bulls and bears engaged in fierce rivalry around key price levels, which was driven by multiple factors including expectations for macroeconomic policies, institutional attitudes and market sentiment. Resistance Levels The key short - term resistance stands at $90,400, a level that corresponds to the CME futures gap formed over the weekend. It exerts a strong magnetic pull on the price and serves as a crucial juncture determining whether the rebound can gain further momentum. The $90,500 level, where multiple moving averages converge on the 4 - hour chart, also acts as a resistance level. If this level can be breached, the pair will subsequently face a strong resistance zone between $92,000 and $94,000. Only a volume - backed breakout of this zone will enable Bitcoin to be expected to regain upward momentum. Support Levels The current core support zone ranges from $88,000 to $89,000. If this zone is lost, the price may further decline to the key Fibonacci Retracement level of $85,569, or even lower regions, and the subsequent trend will weaken further. Trading Strategy: Sell 91500 - 92000 SL 92500 TP 90000 -89000- 88000 Buy 88000 - 89000 SL 875000 TP 91000 - 91500 - 92000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by LouisJack66_trade
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart: Downtrend Pressure with Early Sta Trend: BTC is still trading below a clear descending trendline, confirming a broader bearish structure since the mid-year highs. Lower highs and lower lows remain intact. Price Action: Current price is around $90,160, consolidating after a sharp sell-off in November. This looks like a pause or base-building phase, not yet a confirmed reversal. RSI (≈44): RSI is below 50, indicating weak momentum, but it has stabilized above oversold territory. This suggests selling pressure is easing, though bulls are not in control yet. MACD: MACD remains below the signal line, but histogram contraction hints at bearish momentum slowing. A bullish crossover would be an early reversal signal. Momentum/Volume Indicator: Negative values persist, showing dominant bearish momentum, but the flattening bars imply reduced downside strength. Key Levels: Resistance: $95,000–$100,000 (trendline + prior support) Support: $85,000, then $78,000 Outlook: BTC is in a bearish-to-neutral transition zone. A daily close above the descending trendline with RSI reclaiming 50 would favor a trend reversal. Failure to hold $85,000 increases the risk of another leg down toward $78,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
BTCUSD 15-Minute Chart – Symmetrical Triangle Consolidation withAnalysis: Market Structure: After a sharp bearish impulse (strong sell-off), BTC entered a consolidation phase, forming a symmetrical triangle. This indicates balance between buyers and sellers after high volatility. Trend Context: The impulse move before the triangle was downward, but price has stabilized and volatility is compressing — often a precursor to a strong breakout. Pattern Details: Lower highs and higher lows are clearly converging. Price is currently near the apex, where breakout probability increases. Bias: The drawn plan suggests a bullish breakout scenario. Entry is placed slightly above triangle resistance to avoid false breakouts. Trade Plan (as illustrated): Entry: On confirmed breakout above the triangle resistance Target: Measured move projection upward (roughly equal to the triangle’s height) Stop Loss (SL): Below triangle support to invalidate the setup Risk–Reward: Favorable R:R, as the stop is tight relative to the projected upside. Confirmation to Watch: Strong bullish candle close above resistance Increase in volume on breakout Failure signal if price breaks down instead and closes below support Conclusion: BTCUSD is coiling inside a symmetrical triangle after a high-momentum drop. The setup favors a volatility expansion trade, with a bullish breakout being the planned direction — but confirmation is essential. A downside breakout would invalidate the bullish bias and shift momentum back to sellers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
BTCUSD – Key Level Rejection with Potential Liquidity Sweep TowaChart Analysis 1. Price Context BTCUSD is trading around $90,675. The chart shows price rejecting the Key Level and failing to hold above the Daily CLS (daily close level). Recent candles indicate loss of bullish momentum with a series of lower highs forming. 2. Key Zones on Your Chart 🔴 Daily CLS (Resistance) Marked in red. Price tried to break and hold above this level but rejected, showing it is acting as strong overhead resistance. The shaded gray area above looks like the stop-loss zone for shorts, suggesting a bearish setup. 🟢 Key Level Marked slightly below the Daily CLS. Price broke above it earlier but is now retesting from the top, failing to reclaim. This retest-rejection pattern signals a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. 3. Trade Bias Indicated by the Chart Your marked zone suggests a short position setup: Entry around current price or just under the Key Level. Stop-loss in the gray shaded box above the Daily CLS. Take Profit 1 at 50% CLS TP1, a midpoint liquidity target. Final TP near the green support at the bottom. This structure reflects a liquidity-based short setup, expecting: A sweep of local highs → rejection → push down to fill inefficiencies or revisit liquidity pools below. 4. Market Structure Price printed a strong move up earlier, leaving inefficiency below. Now forming lower highs and lower lows on the lower timeframe. Hold below Key Level suggests continuation downward. 5. Bearish Confirmation Signals ✔ Failure to hold above Daily CLS ✔ Break of Key Level and retest as resistance ✔ Weak bullish follow-through ✔ Liquidity target below at 50% CLS
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
BTC/USD Bullish Pennant – Breakout Entry Setup✅ BTC/USD Pennant Breakout – Technical Analysis Chart Breakdown The chart shows Bitcoin forming a bullish pennant pattern on the 45-min timeframe. A pennant typically forms after a strong impulsive move (pole), followed by price compression between: Descending trendline (upper) Ascending/flat trendline (lower) This usually signals continuation in the direction of the previous trend, which in this case is upward. Key Levels Entry Zone: Just above the pennant resistance (breakout zone). Stop-Loss: Below the pennant support — good risk management. Target: Projected by measuring the previous impulse (the pennant pole) and extending it upward. Market Signals ✔ Price is squeezing near the apex — breakout imminent. ✔ Buyers appear to be defending the lower trendline. ✔ If price breaks and closes above resistance, upside continuation becomes likely. ✘ But if price rejects and falls below support, the setup invalidates. Bias Bullish Continuation – If breakout occurs with strong volume. ✅ Title Suggestion “BTC/USD Bullish Pennant – Breakout Setup Forming”
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
BTC/USD BULLISH REVERSAL SETUP TARGET 111K, 113K, 115.Key Levels: Entry Zone: Around 109,800 – 110,000 Price is consolidating just above this level, indicating possible re-accumulation. Stop Loss: Below 108,300 – 108,400 This sits under the recent swing low (a strong liquidity area). Targets: Target 1: 111,637 → Reclaim of structure high. Target 2: 113,656 → Previous supply zone / liquidity pool. Target 3: 115,249 → Full bullish objective and previous major high. Structure & Smart Money Flow: The chart shows BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) signals, implying the bearish trend may be reversing. Price likely tapped into a demand zone below liquidity (Stop Hunt) before showing bullish intent. The marked consolidation suggests Smart Money accumulation, preparing for a possible upside expansion. Strategy Outlook: ✅ Bullish Confirmation: A clear break and retest above 110,000–111,000 zone would confirm buyers in control. ⚠️ Invalidation: A break below 108,300 would invalidate the bullish scenario and could resume the bearish trend toward 107,000–106,000 support. 🎯 Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:3 to 1:5, favoring long positions if executed near entry. Summary: Market Structure: Bullish Reversal Forming Entry Zone: 109,800 – 110,000 Stop Loss: 108,300 Targets: 111,637 → 113,656 → 115,249
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Zickey_11
1
BITCOIN BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION AND BULLISH CONTINUAION SETUPTechnical Analysis (3H Chart) 1. Market Structure: The chart shows a clear uptrend phase earlier, followed by a corrective pullback. Recently, Bitcoin has formed a Change of Character (CHoCH), indicating a potential shift back to bullish momentum after the correction. Price has broken key resistance around $114,500–$115,800, confirming short-term bullish strength. 2. Key Zones: Support Zone: $110,000–$112,000 (previous consolidation area; strong liquidity zone). Resistance / Target Zone: $120,000–$121,000 (major supply area & top of descending channel). 3. Current Price Action: BTC is currently testing the CHoCH breakout area (~$115,000–$116,000). A minor pullback (retest) toward the breakout level is expected before another bullish leg begins. The “eye” symbol suggests monitoring this retest for a long entry confirmation. 4. Target Projection: If the breakout retest holds, the next target lies near $120,500, aligning with previous highs and upper trendline resistance. 5. Technical Outlook: ✅ Bias: Bullish (short to medium term) 📈 Entry Zone: $114,800–$115,500 (retest zone) 🎯 Target: $120,000–$121,000 🛑 Invalidation: Below $113,000 (structure break)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Zickey_11