BTCUSD (4H) – Consolidation Below Key Volume Node After PullbackMarket Structure: On the 4H timeframe, BTCUSD shows a strong impulsive rally followed by a corrective pullback and current sideways consolidation. Price is holding above prior higher lows, so the medium-term structure remains bullish, but momentum has clearly cooled.
Price Action: After topping near the recent swing high (~93k area), price retraced and is now ranging around 90,500. The candles show indecision (overlapping bodies and wicks), suggesting balance rather than trend at the moment.
Volume Profile (Right Side):
A high-volume node (HVN) is visible roughly around 90k–91k, indicating a fair value area where buyers and sellers agree.
Below, another significant volume cluster appears near 88k–89k, which should act as strong support if price breaks down.
Above current price, thinner volume up toward 92k–93k suggests that if price breaks and holds above the HVN, movement could be relatively fast.
RSI (14): RSI is around the mid-40s, below the neutral 50 level. This confirms lack of bullish momentum, but it is not oversold—more consistent with consolidation than reversal.
Bias & Scenarios:
Bullish scenario: Acceptance above ~91k suggests continuation toward 92.5k–93k, where prior supply sits.
Bearish scenario: Loss of ~89.8k–90k acceptance could lead to a rotation down toward 88k, aligned with the next major volume node.
Most likely near-term: Continued range-bound price action until a clear breakout from the volume area.
Btcusdforecast
BTC/USD Daily Chart – Bullish Recovery Attempt After Deep PullbaOverall Structure
Bitcoin is in a recovery phase following a sharp decline from the previous highs.
Price is forming higher lows, suggesting buyers are regaining control in the short term.
The market remains below all-time highs, so this move is still considered a corrective rally within a larger cycle.
Trendline Behavior
Price is respecting a rising support trendline, which acts as dynamic support.
As long as BTC holds above this trendline, the bullish recovery structure remains valid.
A breakdown below the trendline would weaken the current bullish bias.
Momentum Indicators
RSI (14): ~60
Indicates moderate bullish momentum.
RSI is not overbought, leaving room for further upside.
MACD (12,26,9):
MACD lines are crossing upward.
Momentum is improving but still in an early expansion phase.
Awesome Oscillator (AO):
Histogram has turned green, confirming positive momentum shift.
Key Price Levels
Immediate Support: $90,000
Major Support: $84,000–$86,000
Immediate Resistance: $95,000–$96,000
Next Upside Targets: $100,000 and $104,000
Market Bias
Short-term bias: Bullish while above $90k and trendline support.
Mid-term bias: Neutral-to-bullish, pending a confirmed breakout above $96k.
Volume expansion on a breakout would be critical for confirmation.
BTCUSD 1H – Bullish Structure with Short-Term Resistance and PotTechnical Analysis (1-Hour Chart)
Market Structure
Bitcoin is in a clear bullish market structure on the 1H timeframe.
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) labels confirm continuation to the upside.
Earlier CHoCH (Change of Character) marked the transition from consolidation/bearishness into the current uptrend.
Price is respecting higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong trend control by buyers.
Price Action & Key Levels
Current price: ~91,395 USD
Price is trading near recent highs, just below a descending trendline resistance (blue dashed line).
A premium zone is visible near the highs, suggesting price may be temporarily overextended.
Below price:
FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone acts as a strong bullish retracement area.
This zone is a logical area for pullback and continuation if the trend remains intact.
Momentum Indicators
RSI (~64.7):
Bullish but approaching overbought territory.
Suggests momentum is strong, but upside may be limited short term without consolidation.
MACD:
MACD lines remain above zero with a mild bullish crossover.
Momentum is positive, but histogram shows slowing acceleration → possible short-term cooldown.
Volume
Volume is steady, not showing major distribution yet.
No clear bearish divergence, which supports trend continuation after a retracement.
Bias & Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Preferred)
Price pulls back into the FVG / demand zone, holds structure, then continues upward.
A clean break and close above 91,800–92,000 USD would open continuation toward 93,500+.
Bearish / Correction Scenario
Rejection from the trendline + premium zone could trigger a healthy pullback.
Loss of the FVG would expose deeper retracement toward 89,800–88,800 USD, still within bullish structure unless that support fails.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Daily Chart – Potential Bullish Reversal Above Market Structure
BTC experienced a strong downtrend from the October high, followed by a base formation in December.
Price is now forming higher lows, suggesting a potential trend reversal or early-stage uptrend.
The ascending trendline (dashed blue) indicates growing bullish structure if respected.
2. Support & Resistance
Key Support:
~$89,150 (marked level)
Psychological zone: $85,000–$88,000
Immediate Resistance:
$92,000–$94,000
Major Resistance Target:
$100,000–$102,000 (previous breakdown area)
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI is around 54, moving upward.
This shows bullish momentum building, but not yet overbought.
Confirms a healthy recovery, not an exhausted move.
4. MACD
MACD lines are converging upward.
Histogram is improving toward zero → bearish momentum is fading.
A bullish crossover would strengthen upside confirmation.
5. Momentum / Volume
Selling pressure has clearly weakened.
Momentum indicators suggest accumulation rather than distribution.
Bias & Outlook
Short-term bias: Mildly bullish
Confirmation needed: Daily close above $92k with volume
Invalidation: Break below $88k would weaken the bullish case
Bitcoin - Dawn of the Dark with some LightI posted a similiar chart as private idea some days ago. ()
This idea here is an updated slightly adjusted version.
If i look at the big rise from 2017/2018 and our current swing i see certain similarities.
1. We created a top.
2. Downtrend and retest of the 50% of the swing.
3. Uptrend from the 50% and creating a swing high that takes out the big upper resistance
4. Again going towards 50% but this time no big buying showing up.
5. Fall under the 50% and heading towards the 23% - this is where we are now in the current swing
If both swings move similiar we should see the following happening now:
1. Move to the 23% level.
2. Buyers show up push price again towards the 50% level - but no clean retake
3. Price falling down again to the 23.60
Additional: In Both times we had Engulfs or SFPs of the High.
Problems with this analysis:
We cant deny that the retest of the 50% level on the second swing generated a Higher High (red line) - however its a weak Higher High as it barely went above the recent swinghigh. Besides the similiarities with the shakeout and retest of 2017. I classified it even as divergence or engulf in my recent analysis.
BTC Trade Set Up Dec 15 2025Price pushed down to SSL over the weekend has been engulfed back to the upside. Now price is trading in between a bullish and bearish 4h FVGs so i will want to see a push through either one of them to confirm either a continuation lower to demand and SSL or a reversal higher to BSL
BTCUSD: The Energy of an Upward WaveIn recent days, BTCUSD has shown a series of mixed movements, but the overall picture is gradually leaning toward growth. The wave structure suggests that the market is accumulating energy through short corrective pauses, creating a foundation for the continuation of the bullish impulse.
The chart shows that the price is holding in the upper part of the range, while downward fluctuations appear more like temporary pauses than full-fledged reversals. This reflects the resilience of buyer interest and the gradual strengthening of sentiment.
As a result, BTCUSD retains the potential to develop an upward wave, where further movement will depend on the market’s ability to confirm the strength of the current impulse and consolidate above local zones.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) — Bullish Pullback Into Demand | 15-Minute ChaMarket Structure
Overall bias: Bullish
Price is moving inside an ascending channel, showing higher highs and higher lows.
The recent drop looks like a pullback within trend, not a trend break.
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📉 Pullback & Demand Zone
Price pulled back from the upper part of the channel into a strong demand zone (red box).
Key demand levels:
88,768
88,404
This zone aligns with:
Previous consolidation
Prior impulse base
Mid/lower channel support
This increases the probability of a bullish reaction.
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🔁 Expected Scenario (Primary)
1. Price holds above the demand zone
2. Forms a short-term base / higher low
3. Pushes back into the channel
4. Continuation toward the target zone
🎯 Upside Target
90,500 – 90,600 (marked “TARGET POINT”)
This is:
Channel resistance
Previous high liquidity area
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⚠️ Invalidation / Risk
A clean 15m close below ~88,400
Breaks demand
Invalidates bullish setup
Opens downside toward 88,000 / 87,600
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📊 Summary
Trend: Bullish continuation
Entry logic: Reaction from 88.4k–88.8k demand
Target: ~90.5k
Invalidation: Below 8
BTCUSD’s Weak ReboundToday, the BTCUSD pair exhibited a volatile and weak trend characterized by a decline followed by a pullback. After a sharp drop in the early trading session, it staged a slight rebound but still failed to break free from the recent downward trend overall. Bulls and bears engaged in fierce rivalry around key price levels, which was driven by multiple factors including expectations for macroeconomic policies, institutional attitudes and market sentiment.
Resistance Levels
The key short - term resistance stands at $90,400, a level that corresponds to the CME futures gap formed over the weekend. It exerts a strong magnetic pull on the price and serves as a crucial juncture determining whether the rebound can gain further momentum. The $90,500 level, where multiple moving averages converge on the 4 - hour chart, also acts as a resistance level. If this level can be breached, the pair will subsequently face a strong resistance zone between $92,000 and $94,000. Only a volume - backed breakout of this zone will enable Bitcoin to be expected to regain upward momentum.
Support Levels
The current core support zone ranges from $88,000 to $89,000. If this zone is lost, the price may further decline to the key Fibonacci Retracement level of $85,569, or even lower regions, and the subsequent trend will weaken further.
Trading Strategy:
Sell 91500 - 92000
SL 92500
TP 90000 -89000- 88000
Buy 88000 - 89000
SL 875000
TP 91000 - 91500 - 92000
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart: Downtrend Pressure with Early Sta
Trend: BTC is still trading below a clear descending trendline, confirming a broader bearish structure since the mid-year highs. Lower highs and lower lows remain intact.
Price Action: Current price is around $90,160, consolidating after a sharp sell-off in November. This looks like a pause or base-building phase, not yet a confirmed reversal.
RSI (≈44): RSI is below 50, indicating weak momentum, but it has stabilized above oversold territory. This suggests selling pressure is easing, though bulls are not in control yet.
MACD: MACD remains below the signal line, but histogram contraction hints at bearish momentum slowing. A bullish crossover would be an early reversal signal.
Momentum/Volume Indicator: Negative values persist, showing dominant bearish momentum, but the flattening bars imply reduced downside strength.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $95,000–$100,000 (trendline + prior support)
Support: $85,000, then $78,000
Outlook:
BTC is in a bearish-to-neutral transition zone. A daily close above the descending trendline with RSI reclaiming 50 would favor a trend reversal. Failure to hold $85,000 increases the risk of another leg down toward $78,000.
BTCUSD 15-Minute Chart – Symmetrical Triangle Consolidation withAnalysis:
Market Structure: After a sharp bearish impulse (strong sell-off), BTC entered a consolidation phase, forming a symmetrical triangle. This indicates balance between buyers and sellers after high volatility.
Trend Context: The impulse move before the triangle was downward, but price has stabilized and volatility is compressing — often a precursor to a strong breakout.
Pattern Details:
Lower highs and higher lows are clearly converging.
Price is currently near the apex, where breakout probability increases.
Bias:
The drawn plan suggests a bullish breakout scenario.
Entry is placed slightly above triangle resistance to avoid false breakouts.
Trade Plan (as illustrated):
Entry: On confirmed breakout above the triangle resistance
Target: Measured move projection upward (roughly equal to the triangle’s height)
Stop Loss (SL): Below triangle support to invalidate the setup
Risk–Reward:
Favorable R:R, as the stop is tight relative to the projected upside.
Confirmation to Watch:
Strong bullish candle close above resistance
Increase in volume on breakout
Failure signal if price breaks down instead and closes below support
Conclusion:
BTCUSD is coiling inside a symmetrical triangle after a high-momentum drop. The setup favors a volatility expansion trade, with a bullish breakout being the planned direction — but confirmation is essential. A downside breakout would invalidate the bullish bias and shift momentum back to sellers.
BTCUSD – Key Level Rejection with Potential Liquidity Sweep TowaChart Analysis
1. Price Context
BTCUSD is trading around $90,675.
The chart shows price rejecting the Key Level and failing to hold above the Daily CLS (daily close level).
Recent candles indicate loss of bullish momentum with a series of lower highs forming.
2. Key Zones on Your Chart
🔴 Daily CLS (Resistance)
Marked in red.
Price tried to break and hold above this level but rejected, showing it is acting as strong overhead resistance.
The shaded gray area above looks like the stop-loss zone for shorts, suggesting a bearish setup.
🟢 Key Level
Marked slightly below the Daily CLS.
Price broke above it earlier but is now retesting from the top, failing to reclaim.
This retest-rejection pattern signals a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
3. Trade Bias Indicated by the Chart
Your marked zone suggests a short position setup:
Entry around current price or just under the Key Level.
Stop-loss in the gray shaded box above the Daily CLS.
Take Profit 1 at 50% CLS TP1, a midpoint liquidity target.
Final TP near the green support at the bottom.
This structure reflects a liquidity-based short setup, expecting:
A sweep of local highs → rejection → push down to fill inefficiencies or revisit liquidity pools below.
4. Market Structure
Price printed a strong move up earlier, leaving inefficiency below.
Now forming lower highs and lower lows on the lower timeframe.
Hold below Key Level suggests continuation downward.
5. Bearish Confirmation Signals
✔ Failure to hold above Daily CLS
✔ Break of Key Level and retest as resistance
✔ Weak bullish follow-through
✔ Liquidity target below at 50% CLS






















