Bitcoin: Critical Levels Ahead, $106k or $65kHi guys!
The current BTC structure displays a textbook Three Drives Pattern, followed by visible momentum weakness. After the first, second, and third drives completed, price failed to create higher highs, confirming exhaustion. This aligns with the RSI divergence, which began forming during the second and third drives.
Price has now pulled back into a key decision zone. Two scenarios stand out:
Bullish Scenario
If BTC breaks and sustains above 94,393 USD, it would signal renewed strength. This could trigger a continuation toward the upper supply zone around 105,000–110,000 USD, where previous rejection occurred.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to break higher and instead falling below 82,000–83,000 USD opens the path toward deeper retracement. A breakdown confirms the distribution phase after the three drives, exposing the broader support area near 74,500 USD and potentially down to 65,445 USD, which aligns with historical demand.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Btcusdshort
BTC : REVERSAL or FAKEOUT ?? Hello Bitcoin Watchers 📈
BTC is looking promising with a price recovery towards the upside, currently trading just over $90k.
📢But let's not forget, a higher high was observed here as well.
A further -30% drop followed after this pullback to the upside:
If we have to follow a similar trend, over the next two months we could end up at around $65K:
Conclusion - I'm leaning towards more drop to follow after a period of sideways trading here. We could see this zone hold for two or three weeks up until after Xmas, at which point longs could be liquidated again if the optimism goes too high.
If you've been following my previous BTC updates, you would have seen that it's not uncommon for the price to recover to the basis of the Bollinger bands, or mid-level moving average. And the only way that can be considered a reversal, is if the WEEKLY starts closing above the 50day moving average, which we are no where near close to seeing.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Short Term Sell IdeaH4 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Bitcoin - The classic bullrun top creation!🗿Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) created the bullrun top:
🔎Analysis summary:
A couple of weeks ago, Bitcoin retested a major decade long resistance curve. Since Bitcoin then already created bearish confirmation, we are currently seeing an expected crackdown. Considering all the underlying trends, this bearish cycle is still not over yet.
📝Levels to watch:
$70,000 and $50,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoin - The bearmarket officially started!🪚Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) will still head lower:
🔎Analysis summary:
Taking a look at all previous cycles on Bitcoin, each cycle lasted for about 1,000 days. Together with the current retest of the major resistance curveline, the recent move lower was totally expected. And looking at clear market structure, this correction is not over yet.
📝Levels to watch:
$75,000 and $60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoin Weakness Unfolding – Kijun Break Confirms Bear Bias🚨 BITCOIN (BTC/USD) BEARISH PROFIT PATHWAY 🚨
Hey Traders! 👋 A compelling bearish setup is unfolding on PURPLETRADING:BTCUSD. This swing trade plan leverages a classic Ichimoku signal with a sophisticated entry method for optimal risk distribution.
📉 THE BEARISH THESIS:
The bearish momentum is confirmed by a decisive breakout BELOW the Kijun Sen (Baseline). This indicates a significant shift in medium-term momentum, favoring the sellers.
🎯 MY TRADING PLAN:
Direction: BEARISH 🐻
Style: Swing Trade
Strategy: "The Thief" Layer Entry
⚡ ENTRY STRATEGY (The "Thief" Layer Method):
Instead of one risky entry, we use multiple sell limit orders at key resistance levels. This averages our entry price and builds a position as price moves in our anticipated direction.
Proposed Sell Limit Layers:
Layer 1: 96,000.00 🟥
Layer 2: 94,000.00 🟧
Layer 3: 92,000.00 🟨
Layer 4: 90,000.00 🟩
You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital & risk appetite.
🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT (STOP LOSS):
A safety stop loss is placed above a key resistance zone at 98,000.00.
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY plan. You MUST adjust your stop loss based on your personal risk tolerance and strategy. Protect your capital!
🎯 PROFIT TARGET (TAKE PROFIT):
Our primary target is 82,000.00, where we expect a confluence of:
Strong Support from the Triangular Moving Average (TriMA).
Oversold Conditions on lower timeframes.
A potential bull trap being sprung.
💡 SMART EXIT TIP: Consider taking partial profits on the way down. You are NOT obligated to hold until the final target. Secure profits according to your own plan!
🔍 RELATED ASSETS & KEY CORRELATIONS:
Watching these related markets can provide confirmation and strengthen the thesis:
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): 🟢 A stronger DXY often puts downward pressure on Bitcoin. Watch for bullish momentum in the dollar as a tailwind for this bearish BTC setup.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD (Ethereum): Crypto majors often move in tandem. If Ethereum shows similar weakness and breaks key supports, it confirms a broader crypto market pullback.
^SPX (S&P 500 Index): In recent years, BTC has shown correlation with risk-on assets. A declining stock market could accelerate the sell-off in Bitcoin.
AMEX:GBTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust): Monitor for significant discounts or premiums to NAV, as it can reflect institutional sentiment.
✅ LIKE & FOLLOW if you find this analysis helpful! It helps the algorithm and keeps you updated on my latest market insights. ✅
📣 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Are you bullish or bearish on Bitcoin here? 👇
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – BTCUSD PRO ANALYSIS (07/12/2025)1. Market Overview
BTC is trading inside a contracting corrective structure after rejecting the 89,750–89,850 supply zone. Price failed to sustain above the intraday EMAs and shifted momentum bearish. Liquidity remains heavy below current price, and MACD shows continued bearish pressure across short- and mid-timeframes. Weekend conditions favour engineered sweeps into deeper demand before any strong reversal attempt.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• BTC remains in a broader retracement phase after major rejections at 97,400 and 104,000.
• EMAs overhead continue acting as dynamic resistance.
• Short-term relief rallies lack follow-through; price is at risk of retesting 88,000–87,500.
• Momentum is flattening but still bearish (MACD increasing negative histogram).
🔹 H1
• Strong rejection at 89,750 followed by BOS to the downside.
• Price now trades under both 50/200 EMAs, retesting them as resistance.
• Trendline support from prior swing low is being tested.
• Demand pockets: 89,350 → 89,200 → 89,000 → 88,800 (PDL).
• Structure remains bearish unless 89,750 is reclaimed with conviction.
🔹 15M–5M
• Clear lower-high sequence with repeated CHoCH → BOS confirmations.
• Sellers defended the supply zone aggressively.
• MACD flipped short with strong follow-through; RSI mid-range but with bearish slope.
• Liquidity clusters align below: 89,200, 89,000, 88,800 → highly attractive for engineered sweeps.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Golden Zone)
Swing: 88,899 → 89,750
• 38.2% = 89,450
• 50% = 89,325
• 61.8% = 89,200
🎯 Golden Zone: 89,450 – 89,200
This aligns perfectly with intraday demand and previous liquidity builds.
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY Scenario (Countertrend Only)
Buy Zone:
• 89,200 – 89,000 – 88,800 (PDL sweep preferred)
Targets:
• 89,350 → 89,500 → 89,750
Stop-Loss: below 88,700
Confirmation Needed:
• Wick rejection at demand
• MACD re-flip long
• 5M BOS to confirm reversal structure
⚠️ Note: This is a counter-trend setup.
⸻
📈 BUY Breakout Scenario
Trigger: Break & hold above 89,750
Retest: 89,600–89,650 holding as support
Targets:
• 90,050 (PDH) → 90,300 → 90,750
Stop-Loss: 89,200
⸻
📉 SELL Scenario (Primary Setup)
Sell Zone:
• 89,600 – 89,750 (major supply zone)
Targets:
• 89,350 → 89,200 → 89,000 → 88,800 (PDL)
Stop-Loss: 89,900
Why this is preferred:
• Strong momentum confluence
• EMA rejection
• Multiple CHoCH/BOS confirming bearish control
⸻
📉 SELL Breakout Scenario
Trigger: Break below 89,000
Retest Fail Zone: 89,050–89,100
Targets:
• 88,800 → 88,400 → 88,000
Stop-Loss: 89,350
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Weekend trading = algorithmic liquidity hunts, low-volume manipulations.
• No major fundamentals expected; movement will be structure-driven.
• Liquidity below is highly attractive; expect volatility near 89,200 / 89,000.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
• 89,600 / 89,750 / 90,050 / 90,300
Support:
• 89,350 / 89,200 / 89,000 / 88,800
Breakout Buy Trigger: > 89,750
Breakout Sell Trigger: < 89,000
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
BTC sentiment remains short-term bearish with strong structural, momentum, and EMA confluence. The sell zone at 89,600–89,750 remains the primary area of interest. First key liquidity target sits at 89,200, with deeper sweeps into 89,000–88,800 likely if momentum persists.
Countertrend longs only activate after confirmation at those deeper zones.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
Primary Bias: Bearish below 89,750
Bullish Only If: Price reclaims and holds above 89,750
Key Decision Zone: 89,200–89,000
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 05/12/2025 🥇
⚡ Smart Entries. Consistent Wins.
📈 BUY +570 PIPS (From 04/12)
📈 BUY +500 PIPS (From 04/12)
📈 BUY +40 PIPS
🟥 SELL -55 PIPS (SL)
📈 BUY +120 PIPS
📈 BUY +210 PIPS
📈 BUY +20 PIPS
🟥 BUY -40 PIPS (SL)
📈 BUY +20 PIPS
📉 SELL +60 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💎 SWING TRADES – STILL RUNNING
🔵 BUY → +3,005 PIPS
🟣 BUY → +2,260 PIPS
🟢 BUY → +1,390 PIPS
📊 Long-term swing positions continue to dominate, while intraday precision adds consistent controlled gains.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +1,445 PIPS
🎯 8 Wins · 2 SL
🔥 80% Accuracy
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ A powerful close to the week — strong swings + clean intraday setups delivering exceptional profit.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
BTC Wave 4 Bounce Looks Like a Trap! Is it?BTC is still moving inside a clear corrective channel, with the current bounce likely forming wave 4 before one final drop toward the 1.618 extension near 79,650 . The highlighted red zone shows a potential trap area where price may lure traders into thinking a reversal has started. Until BTC breaks above the channel convincingly, the broader structure still favors a wave 5 decline. The wave count from 1–2–3 supports this final leg down before any major recovery.
Stay Tuned!
@Money_Dictators
BTCUSD – 30M Distribution Retest | Bearish Continuation SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BTC is currently oscillating inside a tight consolidation after a strong recovery rally. Failure to break and hold above 94,234 would open room for a corrective move toward resting liquidity below 89,055 and 86,150. A deeper sweep into 83,900 remains possible if momentum weakens further.
Key Scenarios
📈 Bullish Case – Break & Hold Above 94,234
🎯 Targets → 95,500 / 96,800+
Invalid if price closes back inside the range.
📉 Bearish Continuation – Preferred Swing Scenario
Rejects 94,234 & falls below range mid-line:
🎯 Target 1 → 89,055
🎯 Target 2 → 86,150
🎯 Extended Target → 83,900 liquidity pocket
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 94,234
Support 🟢 89,055
Break below → 86,150 → 83,900
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is educational market analysis, not financial advice.
BTCUSD (1H) – Distribution Under Supply + Breakdown SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
If price loses 91,868 support, bearish continuation could accelerate into the liquidity pocket below. First major reaction expected near 86,531, while a deeper sell-side target sits toward 80,524 if liquidity flush extends.
Key Scenarios
📉 Bearish Case (Primary Setup)
Break + retest below 91,868 →
🎯 Target 1: 86,531
🎯 Target 2: 80,524 (deep liquidity sweep)
📈 Invalidation / Bullish Flip
Sustained close above 94,200 = failed distribution → further upside.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 93,500–94,200
Support 🟢: 91,868 (break = sell continuation)
Main target: 86,500 → extension 80,524
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a market study only, not financial advice.
BTCUSDT – Major Distribution Zone Detected! Potential Drop Ahead📉 BTCUSDT – Distribution Completed, Correction Likely
1️⃣ Previous Range Accumulation (Left Zone)
Price moved sideways in a tight consolidation box.
After holding for some time, BTC broke down sharply, showing clear supply pressure.
---
2️⃣ Strong Recovery Rally (Middle Zone)
After the breakdown, price created a bullish accumulation zone.
A strong impulsive move up followed — this is a classic liquidity grab + reversal.
The diagonal trendline shows the momentum slope of the recovery.
---
3️⃣ Current Market Structure (Right Zone)
Price is currently inside another consolidation box, similar to the first range.
This suggests distribution, not accumulation.
Momentum is weakening near 93,000–94,000, with repeated rejections.
---
4️⃣ Expected Move (Bearish)
Your drawn projection is correct:
After sideways movement, BTC is likely to break down from this range.
Target region shown (~91,000 zone) makes sense because it aligns with:
Previous support
Unfilled imbalance
Ichimoku lower cloud support
---
5️⃣ Key Levels
Resistance: 93,800 – 94,200
Support: 92,000 → 91,000
Break Confirmation: Closing below 92,200
Bearish target: 91,000 – 90,800
---
🔍 Summary
BTC is forming a distribution zone after an overextended move. Market shows signs of exhaustion.
Unless BTC breaks above 94,200, the probability favors a move down toward 91,000.
Bitcoin - This cycle is totally clear!🚨Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) enters the next bearmarket:
🔎Analysis summary:
Bitcoin always creates textbook cycles. And after every retest of the major resistance curve, Bitcoin started a major bearmarket. Since we already witnessed bearish confirmation, Bitcoin is heading for a new correction. Just let it play out.
📝Levels to watch:
$60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTCUSD | Waiting for breakbitcoin got rejected from the red zone a few days ago. Posted that idea a while ago.
Since then it has come back and struggled a bit to break through.
If btc where to break the bottom blue line you see on the chart. I would be confident we are going to see lower prices fast.
Let me know what your analysis and outlook is for bitcoin!
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
BTC Approaching Key Resistance After Trendline SupportBitcoin continues to respect the rising trendline while gradually approaching a clearly defined resistance zone. Price structure suggests a possible pause or reaction in this area.
A clean break and sustained hold above the marked level could open space for further upside, while rejection may lead to a corrective move toward lower support areas.
Market direction will become clearer after a decisive reaction at resistance.
Bitcoin needs to break above the 101–103k zone.Bitcoin needs to break above the 101–103k zone.
If it manages to do that, the next target would be around 111k.
If it does not reach that level and does not break the downward trendline, then the next important level is 73k.
This area is likely to be strongly defended by investors to prevent the price from reaching it or falling below it.
If the price drops below that zone, then the bottom for the next cycle would be around 30k.
This is purely a technical analysis view.
If I personally wanted to invest, I would focus on prices that include the digit “5” in Bitcoin’s price.
I would be looking to enter at:
105k
135k in case of further upside
75k
35k in case of deeper downside
These levels are not guesses and not the result of a simple mathematical formula.
They come from a technical view of Bitcoin.
After Bitcoin broke below the 50-week moving average the week before last, the price quickly dropped by about 20%.
Right now, Bitcoin is breaking the 200-period moving average consecutively on the 3-hour timeframe. This is a positive sign, and it is also forming a low followed by a higher low. Along with the volume, this is creating a positive divergence.
But my final assessment to the question:
“Has the bearish wave really reversed now?”
My answer is: 0 out of 3.
That is my honest answer, not based on emotion or trying to please anyone.
In the end, and always: this is not investment advice.
Note: I am only translating and polishing your own analysis here, not adding any investment recommendation from my side.
Elise | BTCUSD 4H — Break of Bearish Structure |BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Price previously rejected from the major corrective zone and continued bearish until a final liquidity grab created imbalance and shift of character. The recent breakout from the bearish channel and bullish momentum suggests institutional repositioning, preparing for upside continuation toward higher correction levels.
Key Scenarios
🚀 Bullish Case (Primary Bias)
If price re-tests and holds above 93,500–95,300, upside continuation is expected:
🎯 Target 1: 100,500
🎯 Target 2: 105,800
🎯 Target 3: 116,200 (Major Correction Zone)
📉 Bearish Case (Invalidation)
A clean breakdown below 88,500 would shift bias back to bearish and may revisit the liquidity grab zone.
Current Levels to Watch
Entry Zone: 93,500–95,300
Support: 88,500
First Breakout Confirmation: Above 96,000
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
BTCUSD H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud, and has broken past the previous ascending trendline.
Sell entry: 90,257.4
- Strong pullback resistance
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 61.8% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 93,125.45
- Multi-swing high resistance
Take Profit: 85,488.56
- Overlap support
High Risk Investment Warning
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Bitcoin - The only 100% probability setup!🔪Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) will drop -40% very soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
If we just take a look at previous cycles, Bitcoin is already starting a major -40% correction. If we then also take market structure and price action into account, this becomes a 100% probability setup. The next clear crypto bearmarket is starting right now.
📝Levels to watch:
$100,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTCUSD | Rejected Posted this idea few days ago and worked out a bit to well maybe :).
We are still in a downtrend so that's the reasoning behind the short idea from the red zone.
looking forward to see what happens at the 81.500 level.
What are your insights on Bitcoin?
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
BTC Short-Term Range Reaction SetupThis view highlights how BTC/USD is reacting near a local zone where recent swings show repeated hesitation. The layout marks a clear reaction path with multiple downside targets, illustrating how price behavior is forming within this short-term structure without suggesting any specific action.






















