Bitcoin elliott wave count wave 4 of 3 in play?This count is based on my assumptions so anything can happen not a trading or financial advice just for educational purposes only kindly do your own ta thanks trade with care good luck.
Btcusdshort
Bitcoin - The devastating top formation!💎Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is creating a top:
🔎Analysis summary:
In the end of 2022, we witnessed another perfect bullish break and retest on Bitcoin. This retest was followed by an incredible rally of +600%. But slowly, Bitcoin is retesting a massive curve resistance, which has been pushing price lower for the past 15 years.
📝Levels to watch:
$100,000 and $50,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTC: Today's predictions and operations have been verified👏Today, our predictions for BTC have been verified by the market.
✔1-Judgment on Short-Term Market Nature: After Bitcoin experienced a sudden sharp surge at the opening, we accurately judged that "this surge was a short-term fluctuation lacking sustained support". Subsequently, the price fluctuated downward rapidly and fell back to the oscillating range, which fully validated the judgment that "it was not a trend reversal".
✔2-Trend Direction Prediction: We clearly proposed the downward target level of 103,000. After Bitcoin dropped to just above 103,000 and then rebounded, this fully confirmed our judgment.
🎉Today, we have successfully concluded this week’s trading and work. Next week, we will continue to provide you with more accurate market interpretations and operation references from a professional analytical perspective. Finally, we wish you all a relaxing and pleasant weekend in advance!
BTC: The next downside target looking at 103,000The price of BTC continued to decline today. The previous key support level of 109,500 was broken, and the moving average system was also in a bearish arrangement, exerting pressure on the price.
In terms of technical indicators, according to relevant analysis, Bitcoin's MACD indicator showed a bearish signal. Although the RSI indicator was in a neutral area, the price was lower than both the short - term and long - term moving averages, and the trading volume significantly shrank, indicating insufficient market momentum, an unhealthy price - volume relationship, and weak reversal signs. In addition, from the perspective of the 4 - hour K - line, the MACD histogram remained negative but gradually became shorter, indicating that the strength of the bulls was increasing, but the KDJ indicator had no golden cross or death cross, remaining neutral overall.
In terms of market sentiment, the continuous weakness of Bitcoin made the market sentiment more cautious, and the confidence of the bulls was somewhat damaged.
If Bitcoin cannot regain 110,000 in the short term, the price may continue to fall, and the next target may be around 103,000.
Sell 107000 - 106000
SL 108000
TP 105000 - 104000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Bitcoin Bearish Continuation from Daily FVGa bearish continuation setup on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) in the daily timeframe.
After a sharp rejection from the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone between roughly $114,000–$120,000, price shows strong bearish momentum. The large red candle indicates sellers’ dominance, and the marked downward arrow projects a potential move toward lower support zones around $108,000 and $105,000, which act as the next liquidity levels or demand areas.
BTC: Full verification of today's trend prediction👏Our prediction for today's BTC trend has been validated by the market, with the core logic highly aligned with the actual price movement. We targeted the risk of support level breakdown, and the downside target was accurately hit:
1 Trend Reversal Judgment
We clearly indicated in our signal that the 110,000 level is a key short-term support for BTC, if this level is breached, the price would fall further. Today, Bitcoin broke below the 110,000 support as expected, verifying our trend judgment that "support levels are prone to breaking under bearish dominance".
2 Downside Target Verification
Regarding the trend after the breakdown, we predicted in advance that the target level would be around 108,000. The actual market movement was in complete consistency with our prediction: after breaking below 110,000, Bitcoin continued to decline and accurately reached the area around 108,000, demonstrating our precise grasp of bearish momentum and key price levels.
💎Our today’s prediction for Bitcoin was based on the core framework of "technical key level breakthrough + trend continuity": it focused on the "bearish inertia following the breach of key support" for Bitcoin, and incorporated the deduction of market sentiment and volume logic. Ultimately, this achieved a high degree of alignment between the prediction and the actual market trend.
BTC: The key lies in the 110,000 supportFrom the 4-hour candlestick chart, since Bitcoin’s periodic high of approximately 126,000, a complete descending trend structure has been formed. Moving averages across all timeframes have created heavy dynamic resistance above the candlesticks, indicating that the market is currently in a phase dominated by bears.
This decline has triggered the spread of panic sentiment in the market, with a large number of investors choosing to take profits at high levels, further increasing selling pressure.
Today, the key focus is on whether the 110,000 support level holds. If this 110,000 support is broken, Bitcoin prices may fall further to 108,000 or even lower, as the market needs more time to digest the current negative sentiment and macroeconomic pressures.
💎
Buy 109000 - 109800 TP 110800 - 111800 SL 108000
Sell 112000 - 111800 TP 111000 - 109000 SL 112500
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Bitcoin Market Outlook – October 16, 2025-Today, there’s a strong possibility that Bitcoin may finally break out of its current consolidation range.
The market has been moving sideways for several sessions, showing signs of indecision among traders — but the current price action suggests that volatility could be returning soon.
-At the moment, all eyes are on the 110,400 support zone.
A confirmed breakdown below this level could provide an initial short opportunity, potentially opening the door for a deeper correction toward lower liquidity areas. Such a move would likely trigger stops and force weak hands out of the market, creating temporary downward momentum.
-However, if this breakdown turns out to be a fake move and the price quickly forms a V-shaped recovery pattern, it will be critical to shift the bias to long positions immediately.
That scenario would indicate a “risk-on” sentiment returning to the broader market, as liquidity and capital could start flowing back into Bitcoin — possibly marking the beginning of another bullish leg.
- In summary, today’s candle close around 110,400 is extremely decisive.
A clean breakdown confirms continuation of the correction, while a sharp rebound from this level could validate a strong reversal setup.
Either way, traders should stay alert, as this zone will likely define the next major directional move for Bitcoin.
For informational purposes only – not financial advice. © DIBAPRISM
Larry D.Kohn
BTC: Waiting for a trading opportunity📝Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has sent a dovish signal, indicating that the balance sheet reduction may end in the next few months. This has, to a certain extent, alleviated market concerns about the escalation of the China-U.S. trade war and provided a positive boost to the cryptocurrency market.
📝However, U.S. President Trump stated that Washington is considering terminating some of its trade ties with China. Persistent trade tensions have brought a certain degree of uncertainty to the market.
📈Bitcoin has fluctuated within a narrow range today, with no clear trend. We need to wait for a suitable trading opportunity and avoid losses caused by blind trading.
Bitcoin - It is either $50.000 or $1.000.000!🪅Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) remains undecided:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past couple of months, Bitcoin has been consolidating. With the two recent all time highs, we could see a similar pattern to what we saw back in 2021, followed by a bear market. But so far, Bitcoin remains bullish with the underlying trend continuation.
📝Levels to watch:
$1.000.000, $50.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTC aligns with my forecast📝BTC continued to decline today but encountered support above the $110,000 level and staged a slight rebound. We reminded traders to take profits in a timely manner around the $110,200 mark and urged them not to blindly chase the downward move. We also advised that if the price continued to drop to around $110,000, traders could consider entering small-position long trades, but they must set stop-losses properly.
💎Subsequently, Bitcoin’s trend fully aligned with our forecast—it rebounded and rose from around $110,200. For those traders who just established long positions following our advice, they can now also choose to take profits and avoid blindly chasing the upside to prevent losses.
BTC: The downward momentum is strongBTC has seen significant price volatility today. After hitting a high, it encountered heavy selling pressure, leading to a sharp pullback. From the candlestick chart, Bitcoin’s price and the previous high have together formed a potential "M-top"pattern—a classic bearish reversal signal. The market’s short-term trend has shifted from bullish to bearish, with strong downward momentum. Additionally, the price is trading below all short-term moving averages, further indicating a weak market structure.
In the short term, BTC’s downward trend is clear and market sentiment remains cautious. Short-term investors are advised to stay on the sidelines for now and avoid blindly bottom-fishing. If the price continues to drop to around the 110,000 level, a small-position long entry could be considered, but a stop-loss must be set properly—for example, if the price breaks below 109,000, investors should exit promptly to limit losses.
Despite the significant short-term price fluctuations, Bitcoin’s long-term fundamentals have not undergone any fundamental changes. Weekly and monthly capital flows still show net inflows. Long-term investors can continue to hold their existing positions and do not need to trade frequently due to short-term volatility.
Sell 113000 - 113500 TP 112500 - 112000 SL 113800
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BTC/USD – Resistance Rejection SetupChart Overview
Pair: Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTC/USD)
Timeframe: 30 minutes
Current Price: ≈ 110,706 USD
Resistance Zone: 115,993 – 116,800 USD
Target Point: 109,374 USD
Stop Loss: 116,800 USD
Bias: Bearish
📊 Technical Outlook
Resistance Level:
The highlighted blue zone marks a strong resistance area where BTC has previously rejected multiple times, showing that sellers are active around 116K.
Price Action:
After testing the resistance zone, the price dropped sharply — confirming bearish momentum.
This suggests that the market may continue its downward move as long as it stays below 116,000 USD.
Entry and Target:
Entry Point: around 115,993 USD after a minor pullback or retest.
Target: 109,374 USD, aligning with prior support and measured move projections.
Stop Loss: 116,800 USD to protect against breakout above resistance.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Approx. 1 : 3, which is favorable — meaning for every $1 of risk, the potential reward is about $3.
🧠 Summary
Parameter Level (USD) Interpretation
Entry 115,993 Ideal short entry after retest
Stop Loss 116,800 Above resistance zone
Target 109,374 Previous support / projected target
Bias Bearish Sell the rallies below 116K
⚠️ Notes
Watch for bearish confirmation candles (e.g., engulfing or rejection wicks) near resistance before entering.
A break and close above 116,800 will invalidate the short setup.
Momentum favors sellers while below 116K.
Operating within Supply & Demand zones (Bitcoin)Setup
Bullish. Correction
Bearish engulfing candle (but long lower wick)
False breakout after record high over $125,000.
Stay bullish while over 100k
Signal
Price has rebounded from demand zone around 104,000
a) Deamnd zone needs to hold to take next bullish signal
b) Looking for similar drop from supply zone near 120,000
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 - (14/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)BTC is trading around 115,700, consolidating after a strong recovery from 110,000.
Price has broken above intraday structure and is now approaching a key confluence resistance zone near 116,000–116,250.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Structure (1D):
• The pair continues to recover from the previous sweep at 107,700, forming a clear higher low on the daily.
• Momentum indicators (MACD and RSI) show bullish continuation, though still below the main descending trendline from 126,000.
• The Fibonacci retracement (126,000 → 102,200) highlights the Golden Zone at 116,700–118,800, where sellers could return.
1H Structure:
• Market structure flipped bullish after BOS at 114,400.
• EMA50 and EMA200 are showing early bullish crossover, confirming momentum shift.
• The 1H MACD is widening positively, and RSI near 67 suggests BTC is building strength but nearing intraday overbought conditions.
15M + 5M (Intraday Setup):
• Price is forming a rising channel with higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD histogram shows bullish momentum continuation; RSI is consolidating near the 70 zone.
• Current resistance: 115,950–116,250 (FVG + weak high)
• Strong support: 114,400–114,800 (EQL + 200 EMA + trendline support)
This zone is ideal for a break and retest setup confirmation.
⸻
📌 Breakout Levels to Continue Trend
Bullish continuation:
• Break above 116,250, retest 115,900–116,000 → targets 116,900 / 117,800 / 118,800 (Golden Zone)
Bearish correction:
• Break below 114,400, retest 114,600–114,800 → targets 113,600 / 112,900 / 111,800
⸻
📅 Fundamental Watch
• Asia session expected low volatility, but volume could build ahead of London open.
• Focus remains on U.S. CPI (Wednesday) — volatility likely to increase midweek.
• No major Asian economic events today.
⸻
⚠ Key Levels to Monitor
Resistance zones:
116,250 / 116,900 / 117,800 / 118,800
Support zones:
115,000 / 114,400 / 113,600 / 111,800
⸻
✅ Summary
BTC remains bullish short-term after reclaiming 115k support, but momentum is slowing near 116,200 — a key supply area.
A break and retest above 116,250 opens continuation toward 117.8k–118.8k (Fibonacci Golden Zone), while a rejection at 116,000 could send price back toward 114.4k support for re-entry.
Bias: Bullish with caution near 116k–118k resistance.
BTC: rebound on shrinking volume📈Today, BTC exhibits the characteristic of a "rebound on shrinking volume," and this trend continues yesterday’s recovery movement. After experiencing the extreme volatility of last week’s sharp decline, the market is now entering a phase of rebalancing between bullish and bearish forces.
💎If the U.S. government shutdown crisis persists or Sino-U.S. trade frictions escalate further, it may trigger another round of safe-haven capital outflows.
📝Currently, open interest remains at a historic high; if the price breaks above the key level of 116,000 or falls below 110,000, it could lead to a new wave of leveraged position liquidations.
💡Based on the bull-bear game pattern, a range trading strategy can be adopted. Since the current volatility is still at a high level, it is recommended that the leverage ratio does not exceed 2x, and heavy-position trading should be avoided before the key range breaks out.
@Buy 114000 - 114800 TP 115000 - 116000 SL 113200
@Sell 116000 - 116500 TP 115000 - 114000 SL 117000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BTC/USD – Intraday Structure Update (1H)🟠 BTC/USD – Intraday Structure Update (1H)
Price has just swept local highs (SWFTH) and is now showing a reaction from the critical resistance zone (CRTH–TS).
Current structure suggests a possible short-term pullback before continuation, with key levels marked below:
Resistance: 115,016 – 115,532
Support: 113,737 – 114,134
Current Price: 114,670
A sustained move above 115K could open room toward 115.5K+, while rejection from this area could bring 113.7K back into focus.
📊 Watch for liquidity grabs and confirmation wicks before entering any position.
💬 What’s your bias here — continuation or correction?
Follow for more.
Greetings,
MrYounity
BTC: Oscillate and ConsolidateAlthough BTC rose in oscillations today, it encountered resistance near 112,500 and failed to break through after several attempts. This position has gathered a certain number of trapped orders and active sell orders, forming a short - term resistance range. If the bulls can gather enough strength to break through the 112,500 with increased volume, the upward space will be opened, and the price may further challenge the resistance levels of 115,000 or even 120,000.
However, due to the sharp decline in the early stage, the market sentiment is still relatively fragile, and investors are generally cautious. From a technical point of view, Bitcoin is likely to continue to oscillate and consolidate in the range of 108,000 - 115,000 today, and the long and short sides compete around key levels.
BTC: Oscillating to build a bottomOver the weekend, after a sharp decline in the early stage, the Bitcoin price is currently in a shock - bottoming phase. In the early stage, the short - selling force was strong, pushing the price down rapidly. However, over the weekend, the price fluctuation range gradually narrowed, indicating that the strength of the long and short sides tends to be balanced in the competition, and the market is looking for a short - term direction.
Although Bitcoin rose in oscillations today, it encountered resistance near 112,500 and failed to break through after several attempts. This position has gathered a certain number of trapped orders and active sell orders, forming a short - term resistance range. If the bulls can gather enough strength to break through the 112,500 with increased volume, the upward space will be opened, and the price may further challenge the resistance levels of 115,000 or even 120,000. However, due to the sharp decline in the early stage, the market sentiment is still relatively fragile, and investors are generally cautious. From a technical point of view, Bitcoin is likely to continue to oscillate and consolidate in the range of 108,000 - 115,000 today, and the long and short sides compete around key levels.
Buy 108000 - 110000
TP 113000 - 115000
SL 106000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BTC:Flash crashToday Bitcoin suffered a "flash crash", plummeting by over 13% in the early hours and falling below the $110,000 mark, which triggered forced liquidations for more than 1.6 million traders.
The core market situation can be summarized as leverage-driven cascading liquidations led by policy negatives. While short-term volatility has intensified, long-term key factors remain unchanged. Before the crash, Bitcoin’s leverage ratio soared to 50x, and high-leverage trading was prevalent among retail investors. Price fluctuations triggered forced liquidations, amplifying the decline.
We judge that the 103,000 level and the psychological threshold of 110,000 serve as crucial short-term support levels. If the price breaks below 100,000, a deeper correction may be triggered.
The Federal Reserve’s October interest rate decision, the progress of the U.S. government shutdown, and the follow-up developments of Trump’s trade policies will become core variables in the next phase.
BTC:Performance Recap for the weekThis week, the Bitcoin market witnessed an extreme price movement characterized by "a frenzy-driven rally – panic-induced volatility – a cliff-like crash", with a weekly volatility of 21.3%, marking the most drastic fluctuation record since 2025. Market sentiment oscillated repeatedly between greed and fear, and the trend can be specifically divided into three phases:
Monday: A momentum-driven rally to a phased peak
Tuesday to Wednesday: The first pullback after hitting a new high
Thursday to Friday: A black swan event triggering a crash-like decline
We judge that the 103,000 level (this week’s low) and the psychological threshold of 110,000 serve as crucial short-term support levels. If the price breaks below 100,000, a deeper correction may be triggered. The Federal Reserve’s October interest rate decision, the progress of the U.S. government shutdown, and the follow-up developments of Trump’s trade policies will become core variables in the next phase. Uncertainties surrounding geopolitics and macro policies may continue to intensify market volatility.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Short SetupHi guys!
let's dive into btc:
BTC has recently broken down from its ascending channel, signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. After the breakout, the price could go toward the previous structure zone around $122,000–$123,500, which now acts as a potential supply area.
There are two potential entry zones for short positions:
First Entry: Around $122,000, where price may face initial rejection from minor resistance.
Second Entry: Toward $123,500, aligning with the upper boundary of the recent supply zone for a better risk–reward ratio.
Both setups target the $118,400–$118,000 demand zone, which overlaps with the previous consolidation base and channel support.
As long as BTC trades below $125,500, bearish momentum is likely to remain dominant in the short term. However, a confirmed close above this level could invalidate the short setup and signal a possible re-entry into the ascending structure.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BTC(based on NEo wave)there is a good possibility for the irregular flat.
I think 2-3 month we will see the red market
